Spot the Differential
10 August 2018 3777 comments
DavidMunday815 DavidMunday815
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The Gameweek 1 deadline is now upon us which gives us a chance to have a look at some differential options for the start of the season.

We’ve pulled out three players currently under five percent ownership who represent viable alternatives to some of the more popular assets out there.

Alexandre Lacazette (£9.5m)

Ownership: 4.3 percent

There is reason to believe that Alexandre Lacazette (£9.5m) could match Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (£11.0m) in FPL this season, which could help Fantasy managers looking to save money.

The two strikers have scored the same number of goals in Arsenal’s public pre-season friendlies, with six apiece and Aubamayang just one ahead on assists (three to two).

As Lacazette’s involvements have come from slightly less time on the pitch, his minutes-per-goal involvement is remarkably similar to his Gabonese colleague. The Frenchman has averaged one every 31.37 minutes, with Aubameyang involving himself in a public pre-season strike every 32.22 minutes.

As for his position within the team, Lacazette looks likely to start as the central striker, with Aubameyang operating from an inside-left position, as has been the case this summer.

It must also be noted that Lacazette actually finished the end of last season in sensational form, as he began to develop a great relationship with Aubameyang. In his final six appearances of 2017/18 he found the net five times and produced one assist. By comparison, Aubameyang also scored the same number of goals in his last six outings of the campaign, edging the Frenchman only on assists (three to one).

In the last six Gameweeks, Lacazette also bettered Aubameyang for minutes-per-goal (90.3 to 103.6) and was close behind when it came to minutes-per-shot too (33.9 to 30.1).

Having one of the two Arsenal attackers looks to be a smart move for the beginning of the season. Their opening fixture against Manchester City has the makings of a high-scoring game and Gameweek 2 pits the Gunners against a new-look Chelsea side that look defensively vulnerable in the Community Shield final.

After those two fixtures, there are home meeting with West Ham, Everton, Watford and Leicester mixed with trips to Cardiff, Newcastle, Fulham and Crystal Palace before Liverpool come to the Emirates in Gameweek 11. That is certainly a run of matches where there are goals on offer.

In both the climax of last term and in friendlies this summer, Lacazette has demonstrated the ability to match his more esteemed colleague. This could prove hugely important for Fantasy managers as it gives them the potential to save £1.5m to use elsewhere in their squad if they were to opt for Lacazette over Aubameyang, while still investing in an attack with potential for goals.

ANDROS TOWNSEND (£6.0m)

Ownership: 2.6 percent

Andros Townsend (£6.0m) could prove to be a steady supplier of assists for Crystal Palace this season and offer a differential route into their attack, with just 2.6 percent ownership. The Englishman has impressed both in the back-end of last term and during pre-season, so considering the strength of the Eagles’ fixtures, there’s every reason to believe he is worth investing in.

In the final 10 Gameweeks of 2017/18, no midfielder in the league created more big chances than Townsend’s five. Furthermore, no midfielder from a club outside the top six managed more passes received in the final third between Gameweek 29 and 38, while only one (Riyad Mahrez) registered more touches in that area of the pitch. In that time-frame he laid on three assists, but more ruthless finishing from colleague Wilfried Zaha (£7.0m) at the start of this campaign could help improve on that.

In fact, that has largely been the case in pre-season with no Palace player involved in more goals than Townsend. He provided six assists during the summer months, which is actually more than any other Premier League player managed to accrue during their respective off-seasons.

The Eagles also have the fixtures to get the best out of Townsend. No team ranks higher for attack than them on our Season Ticker in the first six Gameweeks of 2018/19, with trips to Fulham, Watford and Huddersfield alongside home meetings with Liverpool, Southampton and Newcastle.

RYAN FRASER (£5.5m)

Ownership: 1.1 percent

Bournemouth midfielder Ryan Fraser (£5.5m) could prove a shrewd investment at the start of the season as an alternative route into the Cherries’ attack.

Eddie Howe’s men have some appealing fixtures in the early part of the season which has led to 7.2 percent of managers looking to Josh King (£6.5m) for their forward lines. They host newly-promoted Cardiff on the opening day of the season before Everton and Leicester come to the Vitality Stadium. Trips to West Ham, Chelsea and Burnley are a little tougher but could still offer goals for this particularly attacking side.

Fraser can provde a cheaper alternative to King while still being central to the Bournemouth attacking output.

In the last six Gameweeks of 2017/18, only four midfielders created more chances than Fraser. Across the course of the season, he was Bournemouth’s most creative player, with 38 key passes played, at a rate of 1.6 per game. He also topped the Cherries’ charts for touches in the final third (23.5m), passes received there (14.7), successful crosses (0.7) and successful passes in the attacking third (10.5).

There is also the potential for finding the net to go alongside his assist credentials. No Bournemouth player had a higher goal conversion rate. He scored 16.9 percent of the 30 opportunities that fell his way, with King behind him on 15.7 and Wilson on 15.1.

Fraser’s strength does largely lie in his ability to create goals, though. In pre-season he was the provider of four assists, adding one of his own strikes to take his goal involvement tally of five – the same as King.

The form of the Norwegian striker also heightens Fraser’s appeal. He found the net four times over the summer and looks set for a good spell now that the Premier League is back. If he does take his chances at the beginning of the campaign, there’s a good chance he’ll be helping Fraser register assist points.

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  1. The Royal Robin
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    I was set on Pickford / Stek but now hearing Pickford is a doubt? Buggered everything up! Might have to resort to the best 4.5 rotation, which is?

    1. ElliotJHP
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Surely Stek then steps in and you are fine no?

      1. The Royal Robin
        • 10 Years
        7 years, 5 months ago

        Perhaps. But how long is Pick out for? Seems a waste of £5m.

        1. Captain Roberto
          • 8 Years
          7 years, 5 months ago

          I have that combo. Pickford injured or just "fatigued" from his goal keeping for England?

        2. ElliotJHP
          • 13 Years
          7 years, 5 months ago

          You are literally breaking this news to me now haha, so I have no idea!

    2. Saïss Doesn't Mat…
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      I was on daniels/cedric but woke up to a cedric flag.... smh

    3. Please Help I Don't Kn…
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Patricio/Foster and Fabianksi.

    4. bobby_bookah
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      surely the point of Pick/stek is that you always have the everton keeper playing which would still be the case

  2. Kno
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Neves or cairney for that last midfield slot in a 352?

    1. Jordan Stott
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Cairney!

    2. KingoftheRunts
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Prefer cairney personally. Ralls or Murphy also an option

  3. JoeJitzu +42
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    When’s Scout Pick team for GW1?

    1. super zlatan
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Surely your name should be Daniel Laruso?

      1. JoeJitzu +42
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        7 years, 5 months ago

        Tried! Copyright infringements and all that...

  4. The Overthinker
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    A) mkhi and Cedric
    B) Townsend and Coleman.

  5. Siggy in the Middle
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Pages gonna fly

  6. AzzaroMax99
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Boly or Jonny as 4th def?

    1. bobby_bookah
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Ive gone with Otto man cos i love a wb

      1. AzzaroMax99
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 5 months ago

        Is he nailed as Boly?

  7. Football Heaven
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Quick one guys

    Jota or King?

    1. Siggy in the Middle
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      King

      Proven

    2. AzzaroMax99
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      King

    3. Jordan Stott
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      King!

  8. New Community Article
    Geoff
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    New Community Article on rotating keepers vs stick with one:

    https://www.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/2018/08/10/rotating-keepers-or-stick-with-one/

  9. palace ash
    • 16 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    So what's the current template?

  10. MavKing14
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    a) Schurrle + Richarlison

    or

    b) Mkhitaryan + Fraser

    1. Chockky
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      A at moment but if Miki gets his place then B could be intresting

  11. Kinder Mbueno
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Just when I think I'm set I'm now considering changes. Thoughts on:

    Erik or Sanchez
    Arnie or Zaha

    (short term)

    1. AlexDelPiero
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      erik and zaha

  12. Jordan Stott
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    RMT - thoughts much appreciated...

    Hart - Fabianski

    TAA - Daniels - Davies - AWB - Peltier

    Richarlison - Mane (C) - Eriksen - Miki - Siggy

    Auba - Zaha - King

    3m in the bank to get Hazard in moving forward or to move to Salah/Kane if needs be...

    Like the look of Siggy, would be tempted to dump Richarlison but unsure for who currently.

    Let me know your thoughts!

  13. Helia
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    At 5.0 in defence, I can’t see anyone better than mee. (Don’t want anybody with a risk of rotation)

    Would love taa but might not be starting first game

    1. KingoftheRunts
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Lowton better imo

  14. timPgoodwin
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    What's the deadline time today?!

    1. Kinder Mbueno
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      7pm

  15. JoeJitzu +42
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Fabianski or Patricio with 4m bench fodder.

    1. Chockky
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Pat may be more nailed at moment.

      1. Helia
        • 10 Years
        7 years, 5 months ago

        I think they are both fully nailed lol

  16. IAmTheWalrus
    • 16 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    zaha or mitrovic?

  17. rnrd
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Hi

    Not planning on playing him for the first 2gw so this puts forward to GW3 on AUG25 so thinking about Monreal at 5.5 from the start.

    I believe he is quite good value at that price what do you think?

  18. Smurf
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Are the press conferences on Sky Sports News?

  19. luke25
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Firmino and Mane combined last season only scored 25 more points than Salah

  20. pablo discobar
    • 15 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    .Struggling between A and B here. Players in capitals are the issues.

    A
    GK Foster, Fabiankski
    DEF SHAW, Luiz, Mendy, ROBERTSON, Win Bisara
    MID Salah, B SILVA, Jota, Cairney, Wilshire
    FWD Aguero, Firminio, Tosun

    B
    GK Foster, Fabiankski
    DEF PIETER(or BEDNARK), Luiz, Mendy, TAA, Win Bisara
    MID Salah, ERIKSON Jota, Cairney, Wilshire
    FWD Aguero, Firminio, Tosun

    So its 
    A Shaw, Robertson, B Silva
    Or
    B Pieter(or Bednark), TAA, Erikson

    Kinda leaning towards B as im trying to avoid too many eggs in one basket, 3 city and 3 liverpool when they play the likes of west ham and wolves in the first 3 gw's would see multiple players in limited amount of games. Same goes for bournmouth and Everton players tbh

    Wilshire in his no 10 advanced role works really well with Cairney imo

    Thanks

    1. Helia
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Lol good luck

    2. Squib
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      B

  21. Yellin' in my Ear
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Which would you choose?
    A) Patricio and Luiz
    B) Kepa and Boly/Doherty

    Cheers

  22. Blanka
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Seems a bit wrong, but have 3 mill left over.

    Flexibility to upgrade pretty much anyone is my thinking, and quite happy with team for first 3 lot of fixtures or so.

    1. Yellin' in my Ear
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Wow, good job

    2. Siggy in the Middle
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      I think that's too much

    3. Jordan Stott
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      That’s exactly how I’m currently stuck... unsure if it’s the wrong thing to do or if it’s really sensible?

      1. Blanka
        • 11 Years
        7 years, 5 months ago

        The plan was to probably upgrade king or Zaha to maybe Laca.

        Or upgrade Mendy for another city mid when he inevitably drops out.

  23. Danny Fischarge
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    I have gone for cairney

    1. Siggy in the Middle
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Fair play

  24. Siggy in the Middle
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Any press conference times?

    1. Spatburgunder
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      in the stickys pal

  25. Adro3
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Got 0ITB with Arnie Aguero King up top. Anyone planning to bring in Laca from GW3?

    1. Helia
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Why not go with him from now?

      1. Adro3
        • 13 Years
        7 years, 5 months ago

        Can't see a way of bringing him in without disrupting the team

  26. Ibralicious
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Boly or Doherty?

  27. Enes_Sahini1
    • 7 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Azpilicueta or Davies?

    or downgrade Azpi to David Luiz
    or keep Azpi?

  28. Chickennuggets224
    • 7 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    RMT please folks,

    Fab (Foster)
    Coleman, Mendy, Tompkins (Daniels, Wan-Bissaka)
    Richalison, Salah (c), Sane, Neves (Cairney)
    Zaha, Aguero, Firmino

  29. Typo
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    List of best 4.5 mids?

    1. Bumbaclot
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Stephens that’s it

  30. Bumbaclot
    • 15 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Why are people saying Daniels likely to be dropped??

    1. luke25
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      They've signed a new left back but he's suspended for first three matches

    2. AlexDelPiero
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      No idea