Spot the Differential

Jesus a tempting differential for Manchester City’s post-Gameweek 32+ fixture swing

Once again differentials had a lot of success in Gameweek 31+.

The likes of Eddie Nketiah (£4.4m), Christian Pulisic (£6.9m), Matt Ritchie (£5.3m) and one of last week’s selections, James Justin (£4.7m), all delivered for their owners, suggesting there is still value to be found.

This time, we focus on three low-owned picks, all of whom have an ownership of 5% or less, who we like the look of for Gameweek 32+ and beyond.

Jarrod Bowen

  • FPL ownership: 0.1%
  • Price: £6.4m
  • GW32+ – 36+ fixtures: CHE | new | BUR | nor | WAT

Jarrod Bowen (£6.4m) has enjoyed a promising start to life at West Ham United.

Having arrived at the London Stadium in January from Hull City, where he registered 16 and six assists goals in 29 Championship appearances this season, Bowen does not look out of place in the Premier League.

He’s now started four back-to-back matches for the Hammers, scoring his first goal on his first start against Southampton in Gameweek 28, and went close on Tuesday against Tottenham Hotspur, with one effort blocked and another rattling the post.

Following a second consecutive defeat, David Moyes’ side remain precariously above the relegation zone on goal difference alone.

However, until they were forced to chase the game at Spurs, they were well drilled and limited their opponents to just a few chances, and the return of Sébastien Haller (£6.8m) from a hip problem could give them a sharper edge going forward.

Despite a tricky tie against Chelsea on Wednesday, the Blues will have played twice since the Hammers last played a game, and the real appeal lies in Bowen’s fixtures to follow, which includes promising home matches against Burnley, Watford and Aston Villa.

With a crucial run of games coming up, 23-year-old Bowen can make a real impact, and could be a bargain at just £6.4m.

Gabriel Jesus

  • FPL ownership: 3.8%
  • Price: £9.6m
  • GW32+ – 36+ fixtures: LIV | sou | NEW | bha | BOU

With Sergio Agüero (£11.7m) facing a lengthy spell on the sidelines, Gabriel Jesus (£9.6m) looks set to profit, which hands FPL managers an intriguing, and potentially explosive differential for the run-in.

Ahead of last night’s match against Chelsea, Pep Guardiola revealed the Brazilian forward was carrying a knock which prevented him from starting, but having appeared from the bench in the second half, he should be fit and raring to go when Liverpool visit on Thursday.

This campaign has felt a lot like previous ones for Jesus – almost half of his appearances have come from the bench, yet he has still racked up 18 goals in all competitions, and has the second highest xG per 90 of players who have registered 200+ minutes. Whilst it can be difficult to draw strong conclusions from that data (he doesn’t start as many of the big games as others), it does demonstrate his ability to get into good shooting positions.

Like Bowen, this is a move with fixtures from Gameweek 33+ in mind, when the highest ranked team Manchester City will face is Newcastle United in 13th.

Jesus has never been able to hold down a spot in the City starting XI due to the brilliance of Agüero, but now has seven Premier League matches to impress, and although it’s unlikely Guardiola will start him in every game until the end of the season, he will certainly get more chances, and could be an ideal gamble for those willing to roll the dice.

Abdoulaye Doucouré

  • FPL ownership: 2.2%
  • Price: £5.6m
  • GW32+ – 36+ fixtures: SOU | che | NOR | NEW | whu

27-year-old midfielder Abdoulaye Doucouré (£5.6m) joined Watford from Rennes in 2016 and has been one of their most consistent performers since.

Whilst he’s been coached by five different managers during that time, some of his best performances have arrived this season when playing in a more advanced midfield role. Manager Nigel Pearson pushed the Frenchman further up the pitch in his first match in charge, and he’s largely stayed there, registering three goals and three assists.

Doucouré was close adding to his tally in Gameweek 30+ against Leicester City, when he missed a great opportunity to open the scoring, and despite dropping to the bench last night, the feeling amongst supporters is that it was purely for rotation purposes, bearing in mind it was Watford’s second game in five days.

Watford need a reaction against Southampton on Sunday and will want to be safe by Gameweek 37+ when they face a Manchester City side who have beaten them 6-0 and 8-0 in their previous two encounters.

You get the feeling the Hornets’ season will be defined by their next three home matches, which sees them take on Norwich City and Newcastle United after the Saints.

The task of avoiding relegation won’t be easy for Watford but they have enough quality to survive and, whilst many FPL managers will turn to Ismaïla Sarr (£6.3m), Doucouré is an interesting, cheaper alternative who has the ability to thrive.

FPL Lessons Learned from Gameweek 31+

612 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Tibbs
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Who do you play this week?

    1) Nketiah (NOR)
    2) Aurier (shu)

    rest of squad is:
    Pope
    TAA/ Doherty/ AWB
    Salah / KDB / Son / Bruno
    DCL / Jimi

    1. Tshelby
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      1 for sure

    2. FOO FIGHTER
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      2

    3. Beavis
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      1

    4. Ranger3
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      1

    5. YuvalFPL
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      1 all day long.

    6. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      1

    7. Hairy Potter
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      1

    8. Bielsa's Bucket
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      1 for sure. I definitely see Nketiah (NOR) getting at least 70% of the remaining games (a depressed Arsenal fan).

  2. kysersosa
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Ballers, Richarlison to Pulisic on a FT?

    Pope
    TAA, Aurier, Doherty
    Son, Martial, Bruno, Richarlison*, Mane
    DCL, Jimenez

    Button, Nketiah, Lascelles,Taylor

    TIA

    1. Tshelby
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Has Pulisic before and he was a great disappointment so don't know.. Fixtures are nice though

    2. Patron
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      He looks great when he is on, like yesterday. I have the same dilemma...
      I’m scared of FA cup game and the rotation.
      Also it would give me some cash to get back KDB or some other MCI mid in gw33.

    3. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Due to Chelsea playing in the FA cup and possible rotation for Pulisic, I would stick with Rich

    4. Rover
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      I would roll it this GW and then see based on the two team sheets.

  3. Tshelby
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Would love some feedback on my team:
    Still have all my chips..
    1FT/0.2 ITB

    DDG, Button
    TAA, Doherty, Soyuncu, Aurier, Kiko
    Salah, KdB, Grealish, Fernandes, Hayden
    Ings, Jimi, Vardy

    1. Patron
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Imo u lack MUN attackers, looks like Bruno alone isn’t enough. Also i dont like Ings.

      1. Tshelby
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        Could do Vardy to Rashford

        1. Patron
          • 5 Years
          3 years, 9 months ago

          Ye that sounds nice

  4. goriuanx
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Would you do either of these moves?

    Pogba to Pulisic or DCL to Nketiah.

    Or save FT?

    1. FOO FIGHTER
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      P to P

    2. waltzingmatildas
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Would you play nketiah?
      Probably save FT

    3. Hairy Potter
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Probably save

    4. Zilla
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Save

    5. Bielsa's Bucket
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      DCL to Nketiah is a boss move again a all but relegated Norwich. But saving FT is perfectly acceptable.

    6. goriuanx
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Thanks for your replies.

      Just did Pogba to Jordan Henderson TC cos why not.

      1. Rinseboy
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        haha

    7. Patron
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Save

    8. KunDogan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Save

    9. The Ejiptian King
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      I'd save.

  5. waltzingmatildas
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Next gw:
    A) Mount to Mahrez
    B) Son and Leno to Salah and Martinez (-4)

    Mid is:
    KDB Son Bruno Martial Mount

  6. Pep Roulette
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Thoughts on Firmino against Villa as a differential?

    1. waltzingmatildas
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      He just seems so unlucky! I wouldn't

      1. Pep Roulette
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        Yes. But he gets in good position. Maybe he is due!

        1. waltzingmatildas
          • 13 Years
          3 years, 9 months ago

          How long has he been due for? You could be right, but think there are better options

    2. Rover
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      What if Origi starts? City would be the crowning game for the champions with a full strength XI.

    3. Patron
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      I wouldnt. Wouldnt be surprised if he didnt even start. But its “a long” way till gw 33 😀

  7. dshv
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Who should be my captain?

    Rashford
    Jimenez
    Name other..

    1. Hairy Potter
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Think I'm going Jimenez if that's any help

    2. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Salah

      1. Hairy Potter
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        Oops forgot about Salah and Liverpool being out of the cup. Will go Salah.

  8. FCSB
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    https://mobile.twitter.com/lateriser12/status/1276400075380412416

    Jimenez had one shot last game, and plays a ‘tight-ish’ villa defence in a derby game... food for thought

    I was quite set on him but these stats lead me more towards Salah against a sloppy city defence

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      I'm on Salah - against a terrible City defence, City in the FA cup and Salah gonig for the golden boot

      1. Patron
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        Me tooo, fingers crossed

    2. Flaming Flamingo
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      If Villa defence is tight-ish, I'm not sure it's fair to call City's sloppy

      1. KunDogan
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        This

    3. Patron
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      It’s always the same goal.
      Traore runs down the right side, crosses, Jimenez heads it into the net. I mean its so obvious but they manage to do it every time.

    4. Rover
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Also it could be Laporte and Otamendi and that is a recipe for disaster.

      1. I Member
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        Fernandinho is suspended right?

        1. Rover
          • 7 Years
          3 years, 9 months ago

          Yes

    5. FOO FIGHTER
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Jimenez consistent but Salah explosive and consistent.

  9. Taegugk Warrior
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Leno+Aguero to Pope+Jimenez for -4.

    Y/N

    1. Pep Roulette
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Big Yes

    2. waltzingmatildas
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Y

    3. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      easy y

    4. Patron
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Y

  10. Tinmen
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    What’s looking like the best week to use the free hit folks?

    1. Liastro ⭐️
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      38

    2. Zilla
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      33, 35 and 38.

    3. Hairy Potter
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Depends on your team, injuries, rotation, etc. For me it was the last GW, but that was decided by injuries and wanting to load up some players that I didn't have for those fixtures.

  11. Beavis
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    2 FTs to punt before playing WC, which combination scores more this GW?

    A: Martial + Auba
    B: Son + Rash
    C: Doherty + Martial

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      A

    2. Bielsa's Bucket
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      I think Laca may start with Auba on the bench against Norwich
      I'd go C

  12. dshv
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    To play holgate over aurier ?

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      no

  13. Dele
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    2 free transfers here, any suggestions? Was thinking Mane > Martial and using the remaining funds elsewhere...

    McCarthy,
    TAA, Doherty, AWB
    Salah, Mane, Fernandes, KDB
    Jimenez, Jota, DCL

    Button, Lascelles, B Williams, Douglas Luiz

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      I have the same front 7 as you and considering this transfer as well but undecided. What about McCarthy to Martinez?

  14. Ready Manager One
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Comments much appreciated!

    Mooy + VVD —> Pulisic + Kiko Fem (-4)

    This gives me teM below with 0.2 ITB

    McCart
    TAA Boly Lascelles
    Kdb Salah Bruno Sarr Pulisic
    Auba Jimi

    Bench: Button; DCL, Kiko, Stephens

    1. stu92
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Not worth a -4

  15. Jässi
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    I have the worst benching dilemma of the whole season now:

    DDG - Martin
    TAA - Doherty - Saiss - Holgate - Lascelles
    Fernandes - Salah - KDB - Son - Martial
    Jimenez - DCL - Nketiah

    Which two would you play this GW?
    A) Saiss
    B) Holgate
    C) Lascelles

    and

    1) Nketiah
    2) DCL

    1. stu92
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Saiss & DCL

    2. Lazaretti
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      A1

  16. stu92
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Pope
    TAA - Saiss - Lascelles
    Salah - KDB - Bruno - Barnes
    Jimi - Vardy - DCL
    (3.9 - Taylor - Holgate - Foden)

    A) Roll transfer, Salah/Foden > Son/Martial next week
    B) something else

  17. Fletch365
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Really want KDB back in my team ideally, how would you go about getting him into this? (0.2 ITB) or would you roll this weeks transfer?

    Pope (Martinez)
    Aurier TAA Doherty (Lund Robinson)
    Son Barnes Salah Fernandes (Foden)
    Rash DCL Jiminez

    1. stu92
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Roll this week, get rid of Salah and Lund next week. Liverpool will go full strength this week but think they'll start rotating after the City game.

  18. Pep Roulette
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    GW33

    For -8

    Barnes Mount Auba to Salah Martial Greenwood

    Yes or No?

    1. stu92
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Would be hesitant to bring Salah in after the City game, think Origi/Minamino will start getting more games.

  19. Flynny
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Hi....2.3mitb and 2ft...... views on what to do please?

    A.. jota to nketiah (can become jesus for 33

    B....jota and hendo jesus and 3.9m

    C...something else

    McCarthy (hendo )
    Taa Maguire boly (soy Stephens )
    Salah Kdb Fernandes martial (fleck )
    Jiminez jota dcl

    Thanks

    1. rjcv177
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      A...chase hauls (Lateriser knowledge)

      1. Flynny
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        Thanks

  20. Firmino
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Would you do Robbo -> Doherty? Have also TAA.

    1. Lav
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Yes

    2. rjcv177
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Yes
      No hint on klopp rotation, but Wolves are gunning for higher

  21. Don Kloppeone
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Afternoon all

    Looks (for now) like this might be a ‘roll FT’ situation. Agree?

    1FT 0itb
    Pope
    TAA, Doherty, Lascelles
    Salah (C), KDB, Son, Bruno
    Rash, Jimi (v), DCL
    (Martin) (Kiko, Guendo, Simpson)

    Cheers!

    1. goriuanx
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Save.

      By the way, I hope you're as happy as me!!

      1. Don Kloppeone
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        Oh in dreamland mate! My eldest son stayed up last night and we were going crazy.

        It was a great match to bring it home. A real nail biter!

        Just wish all this covid business wasn’t going on so we could celebrate properly!

    2. Lav
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Save

    3. Kabayan
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Roll...
      I have 14 players from your team,

      1. Don Kloppeone
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        Haha nice one. Who is the difference?

        1. Kabayan
          • 7 Years
          3 years, 9 months ago

          DDG

  22. Rinseboy
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Salah now our go to guy for the armband this week?

    1. goriuanx
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Yeah I'm going Salah. I think that game has the potential to be high scoring. Liverpool will have an adrenaline rush and will be playing with zero pressure. Fernandinho out too, so would be expecting goals.

  23. Tonyawesome69
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Downgrade Rash or DCL to Nketiah and Barnes to KDB or Lund to C.Taylor and Son to KDB

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Sorry response to FLETCH365

      1. Fletch365
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        Cheers mate!

  24. Lav
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    WC side. 0 ITB. GTG?

    Pope - 3.9
    TAA - Doh - Aurier - Saiss - 3.9
    Mane - KDB - Son - Martial - Foden
    Rash - Jimi - DCL

  25. rjcv177
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Morning scouts
    Pope
    Taa, alonso, doh
    Salah, pepe, bruno, sarr
    Rash, jim, dcl

    Saka, taylor, cath

    Save?
    Sarr to pulisic?
    Other option?

  26. The Legend Squad
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    If not Doherty, who is the best Wolves defender?

    1. ChickenTikkaMoSalah
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Saiss

    2. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Saiss

  27. ChickenTikkaMoSalah
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Harvey Eliott needs to make 3 more appearances to become the youngest ever premier league winner.

    And he plays right wing 🙂

    1. goriuanx
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Is the 5 app rule still a thing? I recall reading that the club decide who get the remaining medals.

      1. ChickenTikkaMoSalah
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        I believe so. Could be wrong though

    2. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Came on as a sub and played on the left in the last game

  28. In a Rush
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Any thoughts on this please, am I good to go?
    A bit unsure on captain/vice at the moment

    Ddg
    Taa Lascelles Doherty
    Salah kdb Bruno martial son(vc)
    Nketiah Jimenez(c)

    Martin ayew Kiko Holgate

    Cheers

  29. HairlessGrealish
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Dcl+Salah>Kane+Martial?
    Already have fernandes and rashford tho

  30. Bob_the_builder
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Salah a viable candidate for TC chip against Villa or too much of a rotation risk?