Scout Notes
3 April 2025 121 comments
FPL Marc FPL Marc
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Wednesday night brought Manchester City v Leicester City and Brighton and Hove Albion v Aston Villa to Fantasy Premier League (FPL) managers.

So let’s continue the Gameweek 30 Scout Notes with another round-up.

The numbers and graphics you see in this article come from our Premium Members Area. Here, you can access Opta player and team data from every single Premier League fixture.

NINE MARMOUSH SHOTS

Around 1.35 million FPL managers bought Omar Marmoush (£7.5m) for Gameweek 31, expecting goals at home to Leicester.

The logic was there, as his nine shots were the most of any player in a single 2024/25 match. But despite his 1.45 expected goals (xG), just one real strike took place, pouncing on a mix-up between Wout Faes (£3.9m) and Mads Hermansen (£4.4m).

Marmoush did at least reward his new owners with nine points, having claimed the maximum bonus.

FPL notes 61

Above: Marmoush’s shot map, via StatsBomb

The four-in-a-row champions settled for a 2-0 win, as Jack Grealish (£6.4m) not only made a rare start but scored his first league goal for 16 months.

Savinho (£6.2m) set up the opener to claim his 11th assist of this top-flight campaign. Yet the Brazilian is massively underachieving in terms of his own glory, being the second-biggest xG disappointment so far (-3.77).

A provider of plenty and due one himself, Savinho has a lot of differential potential.

PEP CONFIRMS HAALAND’S TIMELINE

Afterwards, Pep Guardiola spoke again on Erling Haaland‘s (£14.8m) ankle problem.

“We saw it [best] to make a treatment there, so five to six weeks.” – Pep Guardiola on Erling Haaland’s injury, assessed in Barcelona

This estimate suggests a comeback around Gameweek 36 or 37.

NORWEGIAN MAKES HIS RETURN

At least one Norwegian Man City guy could return from injury, as the 21-year-old winger Oscar Bobb (£4.7m) was applauded onto the pitch.

A highly promising pre-season was cut short by a leg break just before Gameweek 1.

He could prove to be a bargain, though it’s more likely that these final weeks will simply build his match fitness before the Club World Cup.

FODEN UNUSED + CENTRE-BACK GVARDIOL

Some managers interpreted Haaland’s absence as a reason to punt on Phil Foden (£9.2m), but last season’s second-best FPL asset was instead benched for the third time in four league games.

Furthermore, he didn’t come on as one of Pep’s four substitutions, allowing owners to call upon autosubs elsewhere.

At the back, half a million were rewarded for purchasing Josko Gvardiol (£6.1m) this week. He bagged a clean sheet, as Leicester reached 12 goalless matches from 15.

This season’s top defender for goals (five), big chances (10) and xG (4.21) had to play at centre-back but still mustered one shot.

RASHFORD UP FRONT

Meanwhile, Aston Villa loanee Marcus Rashford (£6.6m) followed his FA Cup brace with a goal at Brighton.

Within seconds of a Seagulls corner, Emiliano Martinez (£5.0m) rolled the ball to Morgan Rogers (£5.5m), who then hit a long pass that put Rashford clean through. Very clinical.

It put Villa on their way to a sixth consecutive win in all competitions, with curiosity building over where Unai Emery intends to use Rashford. This time, his centre-forward role allowed an Ollie Watkins (£8.9m) benching.

“His second match in a row as a striker, getting confidence and goals. Of course, we have to support Ollie Watkins as well. He has to try to compete with Rashford to help the team as a striker. The next step maybe we can try to do – in case we have time – is to play with both.” – Unai Emery on Marcus Rashford

“With us, we were practicing and we were open to [him] playing both positions — as a winger and as a striker. It depends on each moment. For example, today he played as a striker because on Sunday we practiced and he scored two goals. I decided to carry on with the same position he was playing, but he can play as well on the left side. It depends.” – Unai Emery on Marcus Rashford

So Emery could play them both up front. They’ve started only one league match together from a possible six, versus Liverpool in Gameweek 25, where Watkins scored.

FPL Haaland Villa

Above: Average positions from the match that both Ollie Watkins (11) and Marcus Rashford (9) started

ASENSIO + ROGERS SHINE

It was goalless at half-time but three January signings netted after the break to help Villa leapfrog Brighton in the table. The tight race for Champions League qualification is enthralling.

Constant FPL troll Rogers assisted twice to finish on 11 points. He cut the ball back for substitute Marco Asensio (£6.1m) to make it 2-0, and the Spaniard set up Donyell Malen (£5.3m) in the tenth minute of stoppage time.

“The adaptation was quick with Marco Asensio because the position he’s playing with us is really his position. Sometimes, he was not playing as number 10. But with us, it’s easy for him. Rashford is getting progressively better – more slowly. But now I think we can feel him playing with confidence and feeling good with his teammates and our idea. As a striker, his power is running behind the opponent.” – Unai Emery

It means that, despite only playing 36 minutes, Asensio is currently Gameweek 30’s top scorer with 12 points. In all competitions, he’s picked up eight goals and one assist in 10 matches.

EMERY TO KEEP ROTATING

However, what holds him back from being an essential FPL purchase is Villa’s rotation. Asensio has started just four of those 10, which makes the rate of attacking returns phenomenal, but there’s no game time reliability.

“Now, we are playing on Saturday and maybe we will have options and opportunities to show, to change some players on the field that didn’t play today. It’s because some players with two matches in a row playing in three days, maybe it’s not enough time to rest.” – Unai Emery

The victory at Brighton simply showcased Emery’s good squad depth, making it hard to predict his Gameweek 32 line-up at last-placed Southampton because it sits between both Champions League legs against Paris Saint-Germain. It’s not ideal if you’re planning to Bench Boost at that time.

It’s the same in defence, as centre-back Pau Torres (£4.2m) made his first start since December’s injury. So we don’t even know if Ezri Konsa (£4.4m) or Axel Disasi (£4.2m) will face the Saints.

At least they’ve collected a second successive clean sheet, though – a Simon Adingra (£5.1m) equaliser was ruled out due to Kaoru Mitoma‘s (£6.5m) handball.

FPL team previews – Liverpool: Best players, predicted XI + more

FPL Marc Broadcaster, writer and overthinker. Hoping that ‘differential potential’ will catch on.

121 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Gudjohnsen
    • 8 Years
    8 months, 6 days ago

    Best replacement for Kluivert up to 8 million?

    1. Yes Ndidi
      • 6 Years
      8 months, 6 days ago

      Who have you got at the moment and what chip strategy are you on?

    2. Fintroy
      • 5 Years
      8 months, 6 days ago

      Dango - according to most posters on this site...he's a 'hauler'

  2. Ballito
    • 2 Years
    8 months, 6 days ago

    How long is Isak out for with his groin injury? going to have a major impact on Murphy, Gordon co! Just another spanner in the works this week!

  3. estheblessed
    • 10 Years
    8 months, 6 days ago

    AM for the next 3 GWS:

    a) Glasner (BHI, mci, new, BOU, ars)
    b) Howe (lei, MUN, CRY, avl)
    c) Emery (NFO, sou, MEW, mci)
    d) Arteta (eve, BRE, ips, CRY)

    1. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
      • 9 Years
      8 months, 6 days ago

      I am on B for next 2 and D in the 3rd

    2. FPL Sanky
      • 2 Years
      8 months, 6 days ago

      Howe in 31-32 and Arteta/ Pep in 33

  4. Nightcrawler
    • 6 Years
    8 months, 6 days ago

    Opinions needed please. Have AM & FH left (1 FT, unlimited cash itb)

    Team:

    Kepa (Areola)

    Munoz Gvardiol Milenkovic (Agbadou, Quansah)

    Salah Mbuemo Bruno Sarr (Elanga)

    Isak Marmoush Evanilson

    Option A: FH 33, AM later (triple up on Newcastle and get Palmer in 32)

    Option B: AM 31-33, FH 34 ( can only realistically get 6-7 33 DGWers but back to back AM DGWs)

  5. C0YS
    • 9 Years
    8 months, 6 days ago

    Which transfer would you rather do ahead of GW31?

    A. Wood -> Watkins (NFO)
    B. Kluivert -> Murphy (lei)

    1. Bucket Man
      • 7 Years
      8 months, 6 days ago

      Hard to know if Wood is back soon then B as Watkins looks like he will be rotated with Rashford and Wood has been on fire this season. Plus Leicester fixture looks good for Murphy.

      1. C0YS
        • 9 Years
        8 months, 6 days ago

        Cheers

  6. Ajax Hamsterdam
    • 11 Years
    8 months, 6 days ago

    Are you planning

    A 2 arsenal defence and one attack
    B 1 arsenal defence and 2 attack

    Cheers

    1. C0YS
      • 9 Years
      8 months, 6 days ago

      I would think B

      1. Ajax Hamsterdam
        • 11 Years
        8 months, 6 days ago

        Saka and ? I find it difficult to find another great option.

        1. C0YS
          • 9 Years
          8 months, 6 days ago

          Merino

          1. Ajax Hamsterdam
            • 11 Years
            8 months, 6 days ago

            Yes good shout

    2. ProfessorM
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      8 months, 6 days ago

      A: Raya, Gab replacement, Saka (for now)

      1. Ajax Hamsterdam
        • 11 Years
        8 months, 6 days ago

        Cheers

    3. PascalCygan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      8 months, 6 days ago

      My automatic thought was A (as below) but have seen some suggestions to keep options open

      1. Ajax Hamsterdam
        • 11 Years
        8 months, 6 days ago

        The Ipswich fixture makes me want to go 2 attack. Maybe merino is a decent option.

        1. PascalCygan
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          8 months, 6 days ago

          I can see the appeal. My original plan was Rashford or Rogers in for Murphy but maybe Merino is an option

  7. PascalCygan
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    8 months, 6 days ago

    I wanted to save my transfer this week and next after wildcarding in 30 but I think the Gabriel news has forced my hand.

    I think I’ll just do a sidewise move to Saliba as I’m planning BB33. With Trippier flagged, seems sensible to do it this week. Make sense?

    1FT 1.2ITB
    Raya
    Gvardiol Trippier* Munoz
    Salah Saka Savinho Murphy
    Isak* Marmoush Mateta

    Areola Sarr Konsa Gabriel**

    Cheers

    1. Bucket Man
      • 7 Years
      8 months, 6 days ago

      If Trippier good to go I’d roll. I’d be tempted to anyhow with Konsa on the bench.

      1. PascalCygan
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        8 months, 6 days ago

        Thanks

    2. C0YS
      • 9 Years
      8 months, 6 days ago

      Good plan

      1. PascalCygan
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        8 months, 6 days ago

        Thanks

  8. Bucket Man
    • 7 Years
    8 months, 6 days ago

    What’s better?

    1) Arteta AM GW31-34 and Sarr
    2) Glasner AM 31-34 and Rogers/Asensio/Merino
    3) BB with Areola v Southampton, Neco v Spurs, Livramento v Villa, and possibly Villa mid Double. AM later

    1. PascalCygan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      8 months, 6 days ago

      2 with Rogers if wildcarding later

      1. Bucket Man
        • 7 Years
        8 months, 6 days ago

        Just wildcarded. Had thought Emery could be good or Glasner could have table bonus but plans already up in smoke.

        1. PascalCygan
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          8 months, 6 days ago

          If you’ve just wildcarded im guessing you’re in good shape for BB32 or 33? So BB in that case, AM36 onwards?

          1. Bucket Man
            • 7 Years
            8 months, 6 days ago

            Not too bad. Livramento and Neco wouldn’t be great but then Forest defence is good. May put off AM. Thanks.

  9. Gudjohnsen
    • 8 Years
    8 months, 6 days ago

    Is Harvey Barnes now nailed in that Newcastle team?

    1. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 11 Years
      8 months, 6 days ago

      Anything but....

    2. Stranger Mings
      • 5 Years
      8 months, 6 days ago

      Prefer murphy

    3. Tonyawesome69
      • 6 Years
      8 months, 6 days ago

      Only when Gordon continues to be out with an injury

      1. Andy_Social
        • 13 Years
        8 months, 6 days ago

        He's placeholding for Gordon. Murphy has the right flank.

  10. rozzo
    • 12 Years
    8 months, 6 days ago

    How's this wildcard?

    Sels Raya
    Saliba Gvardiol Milenkovic Munoz Burn
    Salah Saka Mbuemo Sarr Rogers
    Isak Marmoush Mateta

    0.6 itb

    Leaves me 5 doublers for tc32 and 9 doublers for bb33

    1. Fpl Richie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      8 months, 6 days ago

      Pretty good. I have a similar situation with forest defence picks in 33 - are you happy with playing them on BB? If so, then looks fine

    2. _Ninja_
      • 15 Years
      8 months, 6 days ago

      Your current bench in 33 Sels Milenkovic Burn Mbuemo, what kinda scores you expecting from them?

    3. Tonyawesome69
      • 6 Years
      8 months, 6 days ago

      I would be inclined to switch to BB32 TC33 (Saka/Marmoush)

  11. Stevecat
    • 11 Years
    8 months, 6 days ago

    Will Liverpool have another double gameweek this season?

    1. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 11 Years
      8 months, 6 days ago

      No

    2. CoracAld2831
      • 4 Years
      8 months, 6 days ago

      No, I'd say.

    3. Tonyawesome69
      • 6 Years
      8 months, 6 days ago

      Nope, Brighton had to beat Forest in FAC QF for a chance of a double in 36

  12. Messiah Hazard
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    8 months, 6 days ago

    Has anyone done an analysis of whether BB DGW33 Or BB DGW36? I have 9 DGW33 players currently and will have 3 transfers for DGW33. But if I do BB DGW33 then I have to AM GW 35-37.

    1. _Ninja_
      • 15 Years
      8 months, 6 days ago

      There's a few fixtuers with popular players against each other in both 33 (Villa v Newcastle and Bou v Palace) and 36 (New v Chelea Ars v Liverpool) so its tough. We dont know the 36 doubles yet either its likely City and Bou will double, maybe Palace, Villa, Spurs, Wolves. 37 could have a blank or 2.

  13. Jet5605
    • 11 Years
    8 months, 6 days ago

    Bench one

    A - Sarr (BRI)
    B - Murphy (lei)
    C - Rogers (NFO)

    1. Messiah Hazard
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 months, 6 days ago

      I was benching Rogers but am now confused after his haul last night

  14. Jet5605
    • 11 Years
    8 months, 6 days ago

    Brighton shipped 3 and Murphy has Leicester. It's a toughie

  15. C0YS
    • 9 Years
    8 months, 6 days ago

    Bench 1:

    A. Murphy (lei)
    B. Isak (lei)
    C. Wood (avl)

    1. chilli con kone
      • 12 Years
      8 months, 6 days ago

      C

  16. chilli con kone
    • 12 Years
    8 months, 6 days ago

    How nailed is Kiwior for rest of season?

    This is assuming that the injury prone Timber and White will rotate at RB

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 6 Years
      8 months, 6 days ago

      You need to factor in Calafiori return date as well, more likely to play LCB over Kiwior

    2. Andy_Social
      • 13 Years
      8 months, 6 days ago

      Depends how well he plays. Right now, he's not my choice to replace Gabriel.

  17. boombaba
    • 12 Years
    8 months, 6 days ago

    That sounds like Asensio will start next game to be fair

  18. Alexis Nonsense
    • 9 Years
    8 months, 6 days ago

    Any reason Eze is off it this season?

    Ongoing injury or something?
    He's been terrible for fpl, still Palace has been doing ok

    1. Philosopher's Stones
      • 5 Years
      8 months, 6 days ago

      He's taken it a bit too Eze

    2. Royal5
      • 14 Years
      8 months, 6 days ago

      Over achieved last season

    3. _Ninja_
      • 15 Years
      8 months, 6 days ago

      Missing Olise who used to also get marked, now teams focus more on Eze.

    4. F4L
      • 10 Years
      8 months, 6 days ago

      just had a poor season, had more shots per 90 this year than last. less big chances though

  19. Stranger Mings
    • 5 Years
    8 months, 6 days ago

    Gvardiol just seems expensive - any city alternative like edesron?

    1. Andy_Social
      • 13 Years
      8 months, 6 days ago

      Dias. I got Gvardiol and Dias on my WC in the misguided notion that there's enough games between them and there must be some clean sheets in the easy run of fixtures to the line. Doing okay so far.

      1. Stranger Mings
        • 5 Years
        8 months, 6 days ago

        Tricky

  20. Questions for Zophar's GW31 Q&A article
    zøphar
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    8 months, 6 days ago

    Taking questions for the Gameweek 31 Q&A, answers will be posted in a separate article tomorrow

    send them in!

    1. RoyaleBlue
      • 14 Years
      8 months, 6 days ago

      For those planning AM 31-33, who are the best options? And is it worth booking in AM transfers or just going the same guy all 3 GW’s?

      (Current thinking Frank 31 -> Glasner 32/33 to chase Table bonus!)

      1. Free Hat
        • 6 Years
        8 months, 6 days ago

        Very much this question

      2. ViperStripes
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        8 months, 6 days ago

        Ditto this question.

        Need an analysis of likely league positions in next 3 GW's for the main contenders and hence likelihood of table bonus.

      3. Bod
        • 14 Years
        8 months, 5 days ago

        This 100%, particularly going further than the obvious two

    2. Bluetiger1
      • 3 Years
      8 months, 6 days ago

      Must have players in GW31/ GW32 & GW33 covering DGWs

      ---
      Also, Zophar Which Game weeks to end of season GW31 to GW38) to play following
      TC
      FH
      WC
      BB

    3. Caligula's third favou…
      • 3 Years
      8 months, 6 days ago

      Best Villa midfielder on wc?

  21. Tripleh123
    • 5 Years
    8 months, 6 days ago

    Best replacement for Gabriel for next few weeks? Was planning to go for a DGW 33 defender but not too convinced about Saliba or Digne.

    A. Saliba/Digne ( dgw 33)
    B. RAN
    C. VVD
    D. Milenkovic

    1. g40steve
      • 7 Years
      8 months, 6 days ago

      D & Ars mid

    2. F4L
      • 10 Years
      8 months, 6 days ago

      d

  22. DA Minnion (Former great)
    • 13 Years
    8 months, 6 days ago

    Palmer starts.

  23. F4L
    • 10 Years
    8 months, 6 days ago

    Jackson in from the start. Time for Palmer to turn up

  24. Yes Ndidi
    • 6 Years
    8 months, 6 days ago

    Can do a lot worse than a Forest defender. RAN could be a bit of fun though. Fixtures aren't bad.
    Pool & Arse are both a bit threadbare at the back at the mo.

    1. Yes Ndidi
      • 6 Years
      8 months, 6 days ago

      Reply fail, but you know what I mean, TripleH

  25. JAS
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    8 months, 6 days ago

    What is the likelihood of a better double in 36 than 33? I have BB still to play and trying to work out the best option for it. Are there any articles on the possible outcomes and probabilities?

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 6 Years
      8 months, 6 days ago

      Potential DGW36 - FA Cup finalists and their opponents in GW37

    2. _Ninja_
      • 15 Years
      8 months, 6 days ago

      https://x.com/BenCrellin/status/1907823026999112125/photo/1

      Try to work out what your likely bench would look like in each, hard to know what transfers you'd make by 36 though

  26. Reddonkeyham 42
    • 11 Years
    8 months, 6 days ago

    Chelsea XI: Sanchez; Chalobah, Cucurella, Colwill, Gusto; Caicedo, Fernandez, Palmer; Sancho, Jackson, Neto.

    Subs: Jorgensen, Adarabioyo, Badiashile, Madueke, Nkunku, Dewsbury-Hall, James, George, Acheampong.

    Tottenham XI: Vicario; Udogie, Romero, Van de Ven, Spence; Bergvall, Maddison, Bentancur; Odobert, Solanke, Son.

    Subs: Kinsky, Bissouma, Tel, Gray, Johnson, Porro, Sarr, Davies, Moore

    1. Yes Ndidi
      • 6 Years
      8 months, 6 days ago

      Excellent news. Palmers 2 pointer blocking Murphy's 5 on the bench.

      1. Reddonkeyham 42
        • 11 Years
        8 months, 6 days ago

        Have faith, tis the week sellers are being punished

    2. Bluetiger1
      • 3 Years
      8 months, 6 days ago

      Thanks Reddonkeyham2

      No not Sanchez - never wanted him to be in a Blue shirt game - plus Jackson back

      Palmer needs to play on the right in the same role as Salah & Saka - behind the forward
      too easy to take out of the game

      ** Come on Chelsea **

  27. Dr Funk
    • 13 Years
    8 months, 6 days ago

    So what doubles are still left to be allocated?

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      8 months, 6 days ago

      All of them after Newcastle v Crystal Palace

      Or has gw33 happened??

  28. Yes Ndidi
    • 6 Years
    8 months, 6 days ago

    Through poor planning, I appear to have WC-ed into a team that falls between 2 strategies. I have enough transfers to either bring in 10 doublers in 33 and FH34, or FH33 and bring in enough to give me 12 in 34. Pretty set on BB32 due to the SGW fixtures (currently favouring FH33 because I don't really want any Villa or triple-ups on the others going forward, and I can be a bit more punty)

    Raya Verbruggen
    Gvardiol Schar Munoz Milenkovic Kerkez
    Salah Saka Palmer Murphy Sarr
    Isak Marmoush Mateta

    7 doublers in 33 vs 8 playing in 34.

    Here's the decision to be made:-

    A. stock up on DGW33 and FH34
    B. aim to play 34 and FH33

  29. Stranger Mings
    • 5 Years
    8 months, 6 days ago

    Best replacement for timber from arsenal under 5.5?

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 6 Years
      8 months, 6 days ago

      I don't think you'll need one

      1. Stranger Mings
        • 5 Years
        8 months, 6 days ago

        Hopefully not as prefer to keep

  30. AzzaroMax99
    • 9 Years
    8 months, 6 days ago

    Who's the best choice for NEW def? Schar, Burn or Livra? Money no issue.

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 6 Years
      8 months, 6 days ago

      Livramento

      1. George Sillett
        • 10 Years
        8 months, 6 days ago

        Trippier

        1. Tonyawesome69
          • 6 Years
          8 months, 6 days ago

          Agreed but he's not listed by the OP.

    2. Stranger Mings
      • 5 Years
      8 months, 6 days ago

      Trip