Spot the Differential
19 April 2025 618 comments
Skonto Rigga Skonto Rigga
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Gameweek 33 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us but there’s still time to pick out three more differentials.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Manchester City, Aston Villa and Fulham, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

To qualify, the player should have an ownership of 5% or less.

We’ve slightly bent the rules this time on Kevin De Bruyne (£9.3m), who was owned by under 4% of managers when we earmarked out differentials earlier this week but who has attracted nearly 400,000 transfers in since.

KEVIN DE BRUYNE

­­­FPL Gameweek 15 differentials: De Bruyne, Paqueta + Enzo 3

  • FPL ownership: 8.3%
  • Price: £9.3m
  • GW33-35 fixtures: eve + AVL | – | WOL

Given that he’s not in the Scout Picks, it felt remiss not to cover De Bruyne in some capacity this week.

Be it sentimentality or just desperation to tap into the City attack ahead of their Double Gameweek 33, the veteran Belgian is back in vogue.

The third-most-bought midfielder of the upcoming Gameweek, he’s more than doubled his ownership in the process.

De Bruyne was sublime in Gameweek 32, securing a 12-point haul in Manchester City’s 5-2 win over Crystal Palace.

He topped both the shot and key pass tables in that match, too:

Speaking after his starring role, the City stalwart said he was pain-free for the first time in a long time.

“It’s been a hard year. You know, having a hernia wasn’t fun but I think now I would say I’m basically pain-free for the last six weeks and that’s a massive difference playing with pain or no pain. It was hard but now I feel free, I’m able to do a lot of training sessions and I feel I can do a good job.” – Kevin De Bruyne

Currently, he’s operating in a roaming ‘false nine’ capacity – possibly to limit the amount of hard yards he has to put in, something he would be doing in a more orthodox central midfield role. The two wingers on either side of him are playing narrower and running beyond him:

There are two schools of thought.

One, that Guardiola is going to get as much out of De Bruyne as he can before the Belgian departs in the summer and give him a fitting, prominent farewell.

Or, the 33-year-old playmaker is just another pawn on Guardiola’s moving chessboard. The slippery City boss could go back to ‘wide wingers’ and an orthodox striker at the drop of a hat and/or merely manage his veteran midfielder’s minutes.

We can’t even guarantee two starts in Gameweek 33 (a start and a substitute appearance would be our best guess) but that may well be the case for most City attackers and indeed a lot of the Villa and Arsenal midfielders.

At least we know that when De Bruyne gets on the grass, he’s capable of the special.

YOURI TIELEMANS

­­­FPL Gameweek 6 differentials: Tavernier, Savinho + Tielemans 1
  • FPL ownership: 1.3%
  • Price: £5.5m
  • GW33-35 fixtures: NEW + mci | – | FUL

The ‘undroppable’ status of Morgan Rogers (£5.7m) has been widely discussed in recent weeks but there is another Aston Villa midfielder who has logged even more minutes than the England international in 2024/25.

Youri Tielemans (£5.5m) is the only Villan to start all 32 league matches for his club, completing 90 minutes on 25 of those occasions.

Unai Emery discussed both players’ durability last weekend.

“Some players are showing us their consistency, playing minutes and recovering. It is not easy to play at the level we demand in matches in a row without being injured.

“Youri and Morgan, they are being very important and consistent. I am always analysing if we can take some minutes to rest them, but until now they are being consistent and playing the demands we need.” – Unai Emery

Minutes aside, Tielemans is not the most glamorous of picks. He’s never managed more than 10 attacking returns in a single season, and is currently on eight for 2024/25.

Two of those have arrived in the last two Gameweeks, at least.

Tielemans’ recent underlying numbers haven’t been bad, either. Over the last six Gameweeks, he’s Villa’s leading chance creator (CC, below) and joint-second for shots (Tot, below):

differentials Gameweek 33

With Gameweek 33 opponents Newcastle United and Manchester City possessing two of the higher, more aggressive defensive lines in the division, Tielemans could find ample space in behind for his superb through-balls from central midfield.

differentials Gameweek 33

The Belgian is also on a share of set plays.

RYAN SESSEGNON

  • FPL ownership: 0.6%
  • Price: £4.1m
  • GW33-35 fixtures: CHE | sou | avl

Ryan Sessegnon (£4.1m) might be a pick that some FPL managers will want to hold fire on, with the really good stuff – Southampton (a) – not until next weekend. He could enter the Gameweek 34 Free Hit conversation in particular.

If you’re going early on the budget Fantasy defender, Chelsea aren’t exactly formidable foes right now. After nearly losing to Championship-bound Ipswich Town, the Blues fell to a 2-1 loss at home to Legia Warsaw on Thursday.

Enzo Maresca’s side are also winless in their last eight Premier League matches on the road.

differentials Gameweek 33

Above: Chelsea are bottom of the eight-match away form table

The Cottagers even turned over their neighbours at Stamford Bridge in December, winning 2-1.

Why Sessegnon? If you’ve not watched Fulham in the last few weeks, you may have missed the former Tottenham Hotspur defender playing ‘out of position’ on the right wing.

differentials Gameweek 33

After successive returns off the bench in Gameweeks 29 and 30, Sessegnon was rewarded with a start in the last home match against Liverpool and turned in a superb showing, scoring for the third time in five matches.

He unsurprisingly kept his place on Monday at Bournemouth. Don’t be spooked by his early withdrawal: that turned out to be a touchline admin error, something that sent Marco Silva apoplectic.

Those two starts have brought six shots in the box, a Fulham high over that period:

differentials Gameweek 33

Sessegnon has also had more than twice as many penalty area touches (16) as any teammate in the last two Gameweeks.

There’s obvious risk involved with Fulham well stocked with wingers but Sessegnon seems to hold the upper hand for now.



618 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Merlin the Wraith
    • 9 Years
    7 months, 21 days ago

    BB with no Villa this week. (A Villan) 🙂

    1. Conners
      • 6 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      Glad I'm not the only one risking a Villa-less team this week.

      I think a fair few of the SGWers will score better.

      1. The Knights Template
        • 12 Years
        7 months, 21 days ago

        No fun in that Jimmy!

      2. AC/DC AFC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        7 months, 21 days ago

        No Villa for me either

        Other issues to sort out

    2. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      12 DGWers with BB! Martinez, Konsa and Rogers!

      1. Conners
        • 6 Years
        7 months, 21 days ago

        Judging by last week's attempt, I'll get this week horribly wrong too!

        GL with the BB (both)

        1. Conners
          • 6 Years
          7 months, 21 days ago

          p.s. Where does the 'Jimmy' reference come from.. Aussie slang?

          1. The Knights Template
            • 12 Years
            7 months, 21 days ago

            Jimmy Conners mine friend, Jimmy Conners!

            1. Conners
              • 6 Years
              7 months, 21 days ago

              Ah, got you.

        2. Merlin the Wraith
          • 9 Years
          7 months, 21 days ago

          Cheers! GL to you too 🙂

  2. Chrisaa87
    • 4 Years
    7 months, 21 days ago

    Crazy to hold Bruno? Or swap him to Rogers?

    1. FantasyTony
      • 8 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      Bruno could easily outscore Rogers but the latter is the safer bet.

    2. Revival
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      I'd swap. The player with the double gameweek always has the higher ceiling for points.

    3. Royal5
      • 14 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      I made the swap

  3. ran
    • 4 Years
    7 months, 21 days ago

    Areola
    Munoz Konsa Gvardiol Kerkez
    Mbeumo Salah Sarr Saka
    Marmoush Isak

    Raya Saliba Rogers Mateta

    Playing bb this week. Team gtg?

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      Isn't the BB really

      Aerola
      Kerkez
      Mbeumo

      Not that is really matters but Raya, Saliba and Rogers are all prime starters.

      Good luck

      1. ran
        • 4 Years
        7 months, 21 days ago

        Trying to get the highest bench boost score lol

        1. AC/DC AFC
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          7 months, 21 days ago

          Switch Salah for Mateta then!

          1. ran
            • 4 Years
            7 months, 21 days ago

            Oh yes I should!

        2. g40steve
          • 7 Years
          7 months, 21 days ago

          That’s not how it works, best 11 & then decide if worth it?

          True bench is gash?

  4. Gizzachance
    • 11 Years
    7 months, 21 days ago

    Play 2 ?
    A Isak
    B mateta
    C Sarr

    Cheers

    1. nico05
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      A & B

      1. Gizzachance
        • 11 Years
        7 months, 21 days ago

        Cheers

    2. Jam0sh
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      Tough one. Maybe B and C

      1. Gizzachance
        • 11 Years
        7 months, 21 days ago

        Cheers, hard to ignore dgwers, been poor, especially mateta with early subs

    3. thom830g
      • 8 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      B C

      1. Gizzachance
        • 11 Years
        7 months, 21 days ago

        Cheers

    4. Ronnies
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      Same situation, I'm playing Isak and Sarr. Too many early subs for Mateta recently for my liking

  5. nico05
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    7 months, 21 days ago

    Is now a good time to use manager chip? Thinking of using it on Pep.
    Other option is get KDB for Palmer.
    Cheers

    1. Revival
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      I'm going Pep AM from 35 to 37. Could be a potential Man City double gameweek.

  6. FantasyTony
    • 8 Years
    7 months, 21 days ago

    Saka or Marmoush for the Captaincy?

    1. Royal5
      • 14 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      Yes

      1. FantasyTony
        • 8 Years
        7 months, 21 days ago

        Are you sure?

        1. Royal5
          • 14 Years
          7 months, 21 days ago

          No, but between those

  7. Jam0sh
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    7 months, 21 days ago

    Hello guys. Anything worth a hit in here? 8 doublers and AM active on Arteta.

    Raya
    Bradley, Gvardiol, Munoz
    Salah, Saka, Savinho, Eze
    Mateta, Isak, Marmoush

    Subs: Fabianski - Murphy, Konsa, Greaves - 0 FT, 1.7 itb

    1. FPL Blow-In
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      It looks good. Probably missing a Villa attacker. If only we knew what kind to expect from Savinho

      You could sell Murphy for Tashford/Rogers and bench Isak ?

      1. Jam0sh
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        7 months, 21 days ago

        Murphy to Rogers for a hit probably the most tempting option if any. Just not sure about the hit part. I think for this week I just hope to get something from Savinho. After FH34 have money to get KDB in for him

  8. FPL Blow-In
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    7 months, 21 days ago

    What a mess this is. 0 ft .7 itb. Not planning on using FH in 34 as I’ve 9 playing currently so will FH for the gw36 doubles.

    And advice appreciated!

    Raya
    Munoz, Milenkovic, Ait Nouri
    Salah, Palmer, Bowen, Asensio, Malen
    Marmoush, Mateta

    Pickford, Isak, Robinson, Tarkowski

    Thanks in advance

    1. FPL Blow-In
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      Should I bench a Villa ‘doubler’ for Isak?

      Neither will get many minutes

      1. AC/DC AFC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        7 months, 21 days ago

        Isak over Malen then?

        1. FPL Blow-In
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          7 months, 21 days ago

          Potentially yes

  9. pjomara
    • 15 Years
    7 months, 21 days ago

    Free Hit team, g2g?
    Raya,
    Munoz, Saliba, Gvardiol
    Salah, Saka, Kdb, Rogers, Eze
    Marmoush(c), Mateta
    1.4m itb

    Was thinking if Rashford should be included?

    1. FPL Blow-In
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      Yeah, probably Rashford over Eze for me

    2. MADCHESTER UTD
      • 10 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      Exactly the same xi as my FH! Though thinking of Raya eze to Martinez trossard. Martinez could get big save points, trossard will be lowly owned differential who should play striker vs Ipswich. Eze maybe rested arsenal game with fa cup semi coming up?

      1. pjomara
        • 15 Years
        7 months, 21 days ago

        Good idea. Definitely need differentials

    3. bring_on _the_fantasy
      • 15 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      Great team

  10. ball c
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    7 months, 21 days ago

    Isak to Watkins for -4?
    Yes or no

    1. Royal5
      • 14 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      Nah, will he even start both?

    2. thom830g
      • 8 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      No

    3. Il Capitano
      • 5 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      nope

    4. Jam0sh
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      Nah

  11. thom830g
    • 8 Years
    7 months, 21 days ago

    A) Timber + Murphy -> Rogers + Kiwior
    B) Burn + Savinho -> Bradley + Rogers
    C) Timber + Burn + Murphy -> kiwi + Bradley + Rogers (-4)

  12. Paganoi
    • 11 Years
    7 months, 21 days ago

    I'm terrified to take the armband off Salah v Lei.

    1. bring_on _the_fantasy
      • 15 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      Could clear up. Seems like a lot of other Liverpool players scoring currently though

  13. Football99
    • 1 Year
    7 months, 21 days ago

    Saka or marmoush captain?

    Should I get rid of elanaga or mbuemo and put another arsenal mid in? If so who?

    1. Chrisaa87
      • 4 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      Saka. Maybe, id go merino or Ødegaard if you have the money

    2. FantasyClub
      • 4 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      Marmoush

    3. FantasyClub
      • 4 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      Boomo to Merino or Rice

  14. EWH2020
    • 11 Years
    7 months, 21 days ago

    50 points behind in ML. Need to take a huge risk. Don't care about overall rank.

    Captain one

    A) Merino
    B) Salah

    1. FantasyClub
      • 4 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      B

  15. bring_on _the_fantasy
    • 15 Years
    7 months, 21 days ago

    Anyone tempted by Merino over Saka….very little mentions of him

    1. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      I did, and I shall conquer all!

  16. Roshen
    • 3 Years
    7 months, 21 days ago

    Using BB, have 2 FT. Free Hit next week (so can have triple Newcastle again):

    Raya
    Saliba - Gvardiol - Konsa - Munoz
    Saka - Salah - Sarr - Rogers
    Marmoush - Mateta
    (Martinez - Isak, Murphy, Livramento)

    a. Isak + Livramento -> Wissa + Dias
    b. Isak + Murphy -> Joao Pedro + KDB
    c. Livramento -> Bradley
    d. hold transfers for 36/37

    Thanks and have a good GW!

    1. FF Dirtbag
      • 14 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      D.
      Isak is a hold for the rest of the season. And Bradley might only play this GW

      1. Roshen
        • 3 Years
        7 months, 21 days ago

        thanks!

  17. SomeoneKnows
    • 9 Years
    7 months, 21 days ago

    Start one:

    A) Collins (BHA)
    B) Milenkovic (tot)
    C) Kerkez (cry)

    1. FantasyClub
      • 4 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      B

  18. Alli
    • 8 Years
    7 months, 21 days ago

    BB and 2 FT

    A. Livra > Dias
    B. Livra, Isak > Dias, Watkins

    Raya - Areola
    Gvardiol - Saliba - Munoz - Livra - Konsa
    Saka - Salah - Rogers - Sarr - Murphy
    Mateta - Isak - Marmoush

  19. Obligatory
    • 12 Years
    7 months, 21 days ago

    Okay I've narrowed down two options, any help appreciated:

    A) Howe, Foden, Gabriel -> Arteta, Saka, Ruben Dias - Free

    B) Howe, Kluivert, Foden, Isak -> Guardiola, Saka, De Bruyne, Ndiaye - -4

    Nidaye would be benched, FH34 and then in for GW35 against IPS.

    1. Revival
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      A

    2. FF Dirtbag
      • 14 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      I dont think you should get rid of isak. You'll want him back.
      So A for me. Even though Dias is a bit meh.

      1. Obligatory
        • 12 Years
        7 months, 21 days ago

        Open to alternatives for Dias tbf, seems the only option I have for the double given budget and have Raya, Konsa and Munoz

    3. Obligatory
      • 12 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      Also to note I have to do Guardiola if I don't get rid of Gabriel as I have Raya

  20. FF Dirtbag
    • 14 Years
    7 months, 21 days ago

    Savinho and Glasner -> Rashford and Pep worth a hit?

    Currently have 3x Mci, 3x ars and Rogers

  21. Dave2008
    • 5 Years
    7 months, 21 days ago

    Team 0,3 ITB 2 FT
    Gk Raya Martinez
    D Munoz Gvardiol Digne Timber Livramento
    M Salah Saka Rogers Murphy Sarr
    F Isaak Mateta Marmoush(C)

    60 points behind the leader in mini league. Bench Boost active and looking for differentials.
    He has Konsa (Gabriel replacement.. Sailba?) Eze Savinho. I have Digne Timber Rogers Sarr. I need to get more differentials to try to catch up? But who?
    A Livramento Murphy for ?? no real options here I cant think of any at the price
    B Saka Murphy for Trossard and Bowen
    C Saka Murphy Livramento for Trossard Bowen Ruben
    Any thoughts most appreciated!

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      Timber isn't expected to start against Ipswich for some reason.

  22. _Gunner
    • 11 Years
    7 months, 21 days ago

    Which is a better Combo for BB?

    A- Kiwior + Kerkez + 4 points
    B- Saliba + Bradley

  23. Will
    • 15 Years
    7 months, 21 days ago

    A. Sarr (x2) Rogers (x2) Agbadou
    - or -
    B. Rogers (x2) Murphy Burn

    On BB. Free hitting next week so one week punt. Likely doing A for more doublers and to punish Sarr sellers.

    1. Fifa las vegas
      • 13 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      I could do with Sarr punishing, Christ he’s been painful this year

  24. Football99
    • 1 Year
    7 months, 21 days ago

    Captain saka or marmoush?

    1. FantasyClub
      • 4 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      Marmoush

    2. Chrisaa87
      • 4 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      Saka

    3. G Banger
      • 7 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      Currently flip flopping here, but probably Marmoush as I'm defending leagues rather than attacking

    4. thom830g
      • 8 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      Saka

  25. Chrisaa87
    • 4 Years
    7 months, 21 days ago

    N Williams to Bradley? Going for bb

  26. HD7
    • 8 Years
    7 months, 21 days ago

    Im playing my BB in next DGW 35 or 36. If I have Kerkez and RAN its better not to sell them because from what I see they play with the FA cup semi finalists and should have a DGW, correct?

  27. Fifa las vegas
    • 13 Years
    7 months, 21 days ago

    Are these city fixtures are concern for goals? Don’t want to be blinded completely by the DGW again.

    1. Atimis
      • 9 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      That’s why I’m considering selling Savinho for Bowen and risking Saka (c) over Marm

      1. Fifa las vegas
        • 13 Years
        7 months, 21 days ago

        Ya I’ve done Foden to Bowen already, but I guess that was more clear cut

    2. FF Dirtbag
      • 14 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      They did just score 5 vs palace. they are more difficult defences, but city seem to be playing better

      1. Fifa las vegas
        • 13 Years
        7 months, 21 days ago

        Ya all true, want to do Palmer to KdB which would mean benching Isak but it’ll be frustrating if it backfires and is a transfer burned.

    3. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      There is nothing, nothing more fun than a DGW, don’t be a killjoy!

      1. Fifa las vegas
        • 13 Years
        7 months, 21 days ago

        I’m sorry

      2. Fifa las vegas
        • 13 Years
        7 months, 21 days ago

        The last DGW wasn’t exactly thrilling 😉

  28. Strudders
    • 9 Years
    7 months, 21 days ago

    With a bench of the below, is it worth using bench boost this week?

    Sels (away @ Spurs),
    Murphy (away @ Villa)
    Kerkez (away @ Palace)
    Milenkovic (away @ Spurs)

    It was the plan but not sure if it'll be better used in future gameweeks.

  29. G Banger
    • 7 Years
    7 months, 21 days ago

    Ah the old Captain flip-flop...
    a) Saka (higher ceiling - minutes risk)
    b) Marmoush

    I'm looking to defend rank rather than attack so leaning towards b)

    1. WVA
      • 9 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      Whichever you go for will do well!

  30. OffsidePenalty
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    7 months, 21 days ago

    Raya
    Gvardiol Munoz Saliba
    Savinho Salah Saka I.Sarr
    Marmoush Isak Mateta

    Areola Murphy Konate Livramento

    Best option?
    A) BB and do Livramento to Konsa
    B) Bench Isak for Murphy
    C) leave it like this