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31 August 2014 4790 comments
J0E J0E
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There was panic among the Fantasy Football Scout community this week, as pre-season bandwagons de-railed and the Fantasy Premier League (FPL) price changes became even more difficult to predict. We look back on the reaction to these events, along with some of the week’s top contributions, including some further number-crunching from our community contributors. Elsewhere, we catch up on the latest custom statistics tables created by our members and the runners and riders in the various community tournaments.

The Community Articles

With two weeks’ worth of statistics at their disposal, our community writers felt confident enough to wave goodbye to some early-season punts and follow some new leads.

Stoke City’s mercurial forward Bojan Krkic started the season surrounded by plenty of hype following an impressive pre-season, earning him a handsome ownership level. Sadly, he’s struggled to come to terms with expectations and has failed to make an impression for Mark Hughes’ men, disappointing an army of Fantasy managers. Aussie Pundit was amongst them, leading him to create this article offering an in-depth analysis of the Spaniard and the Fantasy conundrum he’s posed.

The Puntmaster was on hand to offer an immediate solution to Bojan issue – he urged us to take a closer look at West Ham’s Mauro Zarate as a tailor-made replacement as part of three punts going into Gameweek 3 – the latest instalment of his excellent regular article.

Elsewhere, Arvination was another to highlight the talents of Zarate, although the focus of his his round-up of the weekend’s best punts was most definitely Manchester City’s Sergio Aguero.

As ever, our number-crunching experts have been busily generating new theories with the data at their disposal. Red Lightning has been looking in detail at the measurement of points per 90 minutes, while Rab Mac brought us news of a team and player spreadsheet he’s developed to help Fantasy managers get to grips with the latest statistics.

Don’t forget, if you’ve got some analysis, scout reports or features brewing, be sure to visit our community section to submit your article.

The Hottest Topics

There was widespread panic amongst Fantasy managers this week with the realisation that the Fantasy Premier League (FPL) seemed to have tweaked the values that govern the player price changes – leading to some expected results. With less information available and seemingly fewer price falls taking place, Dr Funk wondered whether casual managers will benefit at the expense of veteran managers who have based their strategies on monitoring movement in the market.

That unwelcome development has compounded an uncertain opening to the campaign, with a wide array of options and no cast-iron captaincy contender on offer. AA7’s Hot Topic captured the issue perfectly, as he underlined the bewildering amount choice available, particularly in the key attacking roles.

With panic setting in, it’s far too easy to make rash decisions and, with that in mind, Harrysponge invited the community to look back at the best and worst 11th-hour alterations from the opening weekend of the season.

Talking of rash decisions, last week we witnessed Berbinho’s Forehead and Rayne Wooney’s foolhardy and unpleasant pair of pledges should Liverpool complete the signing of a certain Mario Balotelli. This week it was John Barnes’ turn to make a promise he’d regret: he was so keen to see Stevan Jovetic score a brace last week that he swore to captain the Manchester City striker every week for the rest of the season if he could achieve that feat. The Montenegrin duly delivered against Liverpool, leaving John Barnes banking on a few more braces as the season progresses.

There’s nothing like a trip down memory lane to calm the nerves and anxiety and, fortunately, Leicester’s unlikely signing of Esteban Cambiasso offered us the opportunity for nostalgia as we looked back on other legends who have arrived in the Premier League in their twilight years.

There was further serenity among UFPL managers who are busily completing their Transfer Window selection. A timely contribution from Goonerbyron provided an invaluable list of the teams playing on Matchdays 2 and 3 for those still tinkering those long-term plans.

The Members Tables

Over in the members area, Jesus Navas My Lord has been taking an in-depth look at the underlying stats of attacking full-backs, a group that is thought to be favoured by a change in the Fantasy Premier League bonus calculations this summer. His Bertrand v Clyne table focuses on final third touches among this group, while he has also cast his gaze on the attacking threat of Chelsea’s defenders.

Arvin-ation has been another prolific table builder this week, looking at a comparison between Dzeko and Jovetic, Bojan Krkic replacements and Gameweek 2’s most attacking players in defence and higher up the pitch.

If you’re a member and are yet to get to grips with the custom statistics tables, you can view this movie for an explanation of how these work.

The Community Tournaments

In TorresMagic‘s”Last Man Standing” competition, Chrissy Waddle’s 85 was the top score in Gameweek 2, where 102 teams were eliminated, leaving 1502 to progress.

”The Dead Team Challenge”, in which managers selected a team and captaincy in Gameweek 1 that has to remain in place until the end of the season, saw Medo_Je climb to the top of the leaderboard after Gameweek 2’s matches. He scored 142 points in the first two Gameweeks of the competition that has been organised by Zep.

Elsewhere, Kalmoffit won the Gameweek 2 “Scout Picks Challenge”, the competition organised by @ofcprodigy that is loosely based on our Scout Picks. Overall in the competition Lionel’s Messy Boxers and IniestaFiesta are joint top.

In AZ’s “Early Bird FFS Cup” the group leaders ahead of Gameweek 3 were Doosra, Pundit of Punts, Baines on Toast, AZ, Acquafresca, Costa – The Chosen One, cmonster and NTFM.

With the international break, our search for a Gameweek 4 community champion will start on Monday 8 September. Watch out for a hot topic that day when we will be asking for nominations and votes for those wishing to follow Tom Fenley, HVT and Innsie as your champion.

J0E Podcaster and writer. Tweets stats and stuff via @FFScout_Joe Follow them on Twitter

  1. TheCurseOfRaheem
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 3 months ago

    Anyone else sell Chambers this week?

    1. Wouter
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      Yeah. For Naylor though so wasn't that bad.

    2. VougieDipond
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      me for colocinni 🙁

  2. Bareth Garry
    • 14 Years
    11 years, 3 months ago

    Cahill > Azpi to afford Eriksen > Sterling for -4?

    1. VougieDipond
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      I did a similar move to shift Lamela to Sterling and im happy with it

      1. Bareth Garry
        • 14 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        Reckon Azpi's spot is fairly secure?

        1. VougieDipond
          • 13 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          I have Azpi in my team so I am hoping so 🙂

    2. Vardy Gras PBFC
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      JM not happy with the defending against Everton so something might change.

  3. WSRevilo
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 3 months ago

    Hold on till the window shits for FT?

    1. Gigging Order
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      Wow.

    2. WSRevilo
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      Or shuts, even...

  4. HUMZAH96
      11 years, 3 months ago

      Aldewereild to the saints, goodbye Yoshida's starting place 😛

      1. The EJJ
        • 14 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        Link?

        1. HUMZAH96
            11 years, 3 months ago

            Demi posted it last page

        2. Mr_Partridge
          • 11 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          Thought he was RB

          1. HUMZAH96
              11 years, 3 months ago

              Can play CB, Clyne won't be dropped

            • ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
              • 15 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              mainly cb

              can play rb too but main position is cb

            • Walrus Eggs
              • 12 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              CB deputized as a RB for Belgium, I think. I lot of international teams do that, as fullbacks that are really good in both attack and defense are really hard to come by and CBs have a tendency to be better defensively.

          2. Woy of the Wovers
            • 15 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            It was never safe. Clyne is the best route now with Bertrand for the cheapskates 😉

            1. HUMZAH96
                11 years, 3 months ago

                I wanted Yoshida for a couple of weeks but nah, he did me wrong

          3. Zizou
            • 16 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            is costa going up 2nite?

            1. 4vets
              • 15 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              I'd imagine so.

            2. HUMZAH96
                11 years, 3 months ago

                Costa is up every night

                Most likely

            3. RyanC
              • 11 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              Won't be as active these next couple weeks as I'm off to catch some early September sun. Good luck with the wildcard resisting, price change battling and knee-jerk resisting, all. Don't have too much fun. 😉

            4. Walrus Eggs
              • 12 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              I have Mata, Rooney, and Zamora in my team. I see no urgency to get rid, but the price drops concern me. If I were to wildcard I could also get rid of Fabregas, Adebayor, and Foster. I might also make some very sideways moves on defenders. I have 2.9 ITB. What would you do? Stick, one, two, or three transfers, or wildcard?

              1. Gigging Order
                • 14 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                Selling Fabregas>?

                1. Walrus Eggs
                  • 12 Years
                  11 years, 3 months ago

                  Not a priority, to be sure, but I would definitely get rid if I wildcarded. Chelsea attack is being wildly overhyped after victories over two promoted teams and an Everton that is woefully out of sorts at the back.

              2. Wells - Anti-Dentite!
                • 11 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                No you would not seek Fábregas or Adebayor at this stage.

                1. Walrus Eggs
                  • 12 Years
                  11 years, 3 months ago

                  So how many, if any, of Rooney, Mata, and Zamora would you get rid of?

            5. Mull
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 14 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              Can't wait for Paul Merson to watch a Saints game after Alderweireld signs.

            6. Wells - Anti-Dentite!
              • 11 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              .........................Krul
              ...............Terry, Clyne, Chester
              Sigurdsson, Sterling, Fábregas, Ramsey
              .Diego Costa (C), Rooney (VC), Jovetic

              Gilks, Hutton, Naylor, Albrighton.

              Save FT? Obviously, if Falcao signs for City I'll transfer him out.

              Thanks all.

            7. Bielsa's Blue Bucket
              • 14 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              Haha sterling, the run of a genius and the finish of a 4 year old. Classic commentary there 🙂

              1. Tiote on Peyote
                • 14 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                In the box like Ricky Villa and finished like Ricky Gervais. Fair play Breandan Rogers.

            8. ACCOUNTING ON CHRIS
              • 12 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              Wildcard?

              Main reasons :

              I can't accommodate essential players for the coming game weeks without -8 or more
              Team value

              Krul/foster

              Pjones cahill* Clyne Wisdom Hutton
              Ramsey Eriksen* Siggy fab Marney*
              rooney* dzeko* dcosta

              * denotes player I want rid of (cahill may be chucked for collocini and krul/foster removed for Courtois)

              Thanks x

              1. Wells - Anti-Dentite!
                • 11 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                I'd still save the wildcard for a DGW

                1. ACCOUNTING ON CHRIS
                  • 12 Years
                  11 years, 3 months ago

                  I plan immaculately so ill have a sick team for a DGW anyway...

              2. Wouter
                • 11 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                I have the same team except Terry for Cahill, Naylor for Clyne and Sterling for Eriksen and am considering not using my FT at all. Don't see why you would WC with that.

                1. ACCOUNTING ON CHRIS
                  • 12 Years
                  11 years, 3 months ago

                  Sterling.

                  If I had him, I wouldn't be considering it.

                2. Wells - Anti-Dentite!
                  • 11 Years
                  11 years, 3 months ago

                  Agree.

            9. KISSES
              • 12 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              Will we see many rise/drops tonight, if so who are the obvious ones?

              Would it be beneficial to hold on for tomorrow for deadline day?

              1. Wells - Anti-Dentite!
                • 11 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                Sterling, Dyer, Costa, Naismith may all rise. Basically anyone who scored on the weekend 😀

              2. RyanC
                • 11 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                Very surprised if Costa and Dyer don't rise looking at their transfers in/ownership change.

            10. phattbeats
              • 11 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              hi guys any help would be appreciated

              currently got foster, krul

              debuchi,vlarr,shawcross,rose, invoavic,
              fabregas, siggy, sterling, ramsey, hazard (miralez)??
              jovatic (costa) ,naismith,zareta,

              thinking about making the changes hazard / jovatic, -8 ???

              1. VougieDipond
                • 13 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                why would you ditch hazard when's hes a potential captains choice next gw

                1. Carrick Doesn't Deserv…
                  • 12 Years
                  11 years, 3 months ago

                  haz, fab and costa is a bit much

            11. WSRevilo
              • 12 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              What would you do with this team?

              2FT, £0

              De Gea
              Cahill, Coloccini, O'Shea
              Siggy, Ramsey, Henderson, Erikson
              Costa, Sturridge, Rooney

              (Gilks, Chambers, Chester, King)

              1. ManTree(v2!) or just JAY!
                • 14 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                Eriksen to sterling

            12. Fantasy Gold
              • 11 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              Can any experienced fantasy geeks talk me OUT of wildcarding please?

              I am getting suckered in by all the price fallers in my team 🙁

              1. MJ6987
                • 15 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                Stop looking at the price change sites.

                1. Fantasy Gold
                  • 11 Years
                  11 years, 3 months ago

                  Yeah but I still know who is being transferred in/out lol.

                  Are you saving yours MJ? I just fear Rooney/Mata dropping massively

              2. The ghost of a Pug's g…
                • 14 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                Don't do it.

              3. Mr Wizard
                • 15 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                I'm wildcarding

                1. Mr Wizard
                  • 15 Years
                  11 years, 3 months ago

                  I don't know how that helps you though 🙂

                2. The ghost of a Pug's g…
                  • 14 Years
                  11 years, 3 months ago

                  Tbf your team is rubbish

                  1. Mr Wizard
                    • 15 Years
                    11 years, 3 months ago

                    That isn't my team. I should probably change that

              4. 4vets
                • 15 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                No. Do it. This can be make or break time for a lot.

              5. VougieDipond
                • 13 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                ride it out an enjoy the break while others are too busy staring at NTI spreadsheets

              6. Tiote on Peyote
                • 14 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                Can't tell you without seeing your team - link it. Wildcarding is tempting but I think it's too early and there's not enough clarity.

              7. Fergies fledgling
                • 14 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                I've just done it. It can work wonders.

                It can also go horribly wrong. Be warned.

            13. MJ6987
              • 15 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              @Triggerlips

              How's yer WC team looking?

              Or do we have to tune into your blog to find out?

              1. MJ6987
                • 15 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                Hold on, you're ranked inside the top 12k. How can you possibly need to wildcard?

                1. Twelve years a slave
                  • 15 Years
                  11 years, 3 months ago

                  It looking geraaaat

            14. HUMZAH96
                11 years, 3 months ago

                For those asking "will ...... go up/down tonight"

                Nobody knows what will happen, there is a new algorithm that is kind of hard to predict.

                1. 4vets
                  • 15 Years
                  11 years, 3 months ago

                  That's not true. FPL are now hiding data that was needed to predict prices accurately.

              • Park the bus
                • 14 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                Team has transformed into a mess after a decent start..

                DDG 4.0
                Debuchy Colo OShea Cahill Wisdom
                Hazard Fabregas Eriksen Ramsey Mutch
                Rooney Jovetic Bojan

                0 in bank, 2.FT.

                Need to get Sterling in and prob Costa too? Although my gut tells me to keep Hazard despite him freeing up cash. Thoughts would be appreciated!!

                1. Think Tank
                  • 11 Years
                  11 years, 3 months ago

                  Haz to Ster and Jov to Costa?

              • CelticBhoy1
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 12 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                Is making two transfers now (to avoid price rise) too risky two weeks in advance????

                1. Think Tank
                  • 11 Years
                  11 years, 3 months ago

                  Depends how much you want them I guess.

              • Schwarzer
                • 15 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                Mata > Fab
                Chambers > Clyne

                0.1 ITB. Worried about the unpredictability of price changes, pull the trigger on any of them or hold out as long as possible?

              • Aubamazette
                • 11 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                Mata, Di Maria or Fab?

                1. Walrus Eggs
                  • 12 Years
                  11 years, 3 months ago

                  None of them.

                2. Think Tank
                  • 11 Years
                  11 years, 3 months ago

                  I have Fab and pleased thus far.

                  1. Aubamazette
                    • 11 Years
                    11 years, 3 months ago

                    He looks better thus far but, Man U's next games look promising for Mata and Di maria?

              • Gigging Order
                • 14 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                I have acted early and done a -4 to get Fab, Sterling and PVA for Eriksen, Mata and Debuchy.

                A 0.5 TV saved/gained at an absolute minimum is worth the risk for me.

              • SuperMario
                • 16 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                Lads, what site is looking semi reliable for the price rises these days??

                Jest realised I have enough to do Lamela ------> Sterling. but would rather wait until after the internationals??

              • Spencer
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • Has Moderation Rights
                • 14 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                Hahaha.

                "He dribbled through the Spurs defence like Ricky Villa, but his finish was more like Ricky Gervais!”

                1. Woy of the Wovers
                  • 15 Years
                  11 years, 3 months ago

                  Easy to say when they were three goals up.

                2. The EJJ
                  • 14 Years
                  11 years, 3 months ago

                  Great stuff 🙂

                3. Gnu
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 16 Years
                  11 years, 3 months ago

                  SSN
                  "He dribbled through the Spurs defence like Lionel Messi but his finish was more like Lionel Blair".

              • Woy of the Wovers
                • 15 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                My 1 transfer has cost me a rank of 4% higher. And that's before the points I lost from dropping Giroud.

              • The EJJ
                • 14 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                Krul, Elliot
                Cahill, Chester, NTaylor, Wisdom, Moore
                Hazard, Ramsey, Eriksen, Siggy, Marney
                Dzeko, Rooney, Costa

                2FT, 0.0m in bank

                Thinking: Hazard -> Fabregas
                Eriksen -> Sterling

                Any thoughts, had a very bad week aha, cheers.

              • asm_fanz
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 11 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                Who do you think will rise twice over the international break? Dyer seems obvious but besides thatt?

                1. RyanC
                  • 11 Years
                  11 years, 3 months ago

                  Costa, Ivanovic, maybe Sterling, maybe Schneiderlin.

                  1. Think Tank
                    • 11 Years
                    11 years, 3 months ago

                    Likely candidates are top 3 in each position.

                    1. Twelve years a slave
                      • 15 Years
                      11 years, 3 months ago

                      Naismith

                      1. Twelve years a slave
                        • 15 Years
                        11 years, 3 months ago

                        Forgot about sneiderlin

                        1. Twelve years a slave
                          • 15 Years
                          11 years, 3 months ago

                          Doubt he will though

              • GreenWindmill
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 14 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                Would like to get Sterling but would mean losing one of Hazard, Fabregas, Ramsey or Sigurdsson. Any thoughts? I'm stumped 😐

                1. SW6
                  • 13 Years
                  11 years, 3 months ago

                  I have a feeling I might end up doing Ramsey -> Sterling..

                2. Woy of the Wovers
                  • 15 Years
                  11 years, 3 months ago

                  Probably one of the Chelsea boys. Leaves room for Ivan the Awesome.

                3. VougieDipond
                  • 13 Years
                  11 years, 3 months ago

                  Fabregas would be my pick to take out

                4. Mílanista
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 14 Years
                  11 years, 3 months ago

                  Run the comparison tool, you won't be too sorry to sell Hazard afterwards.

                  1. GreenWindmill
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 14 Years
                    11 years, 3 months ago

                    Interesting, cheers Milanista.

                    1. Think Tank
                      • 11 Years
                      11 years, 3 months ago

                      I'd get rid of Haz - Fab is keeping pace and .8 cheaper.

                5. GreenWindmill
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 14 Years
                  11 years, 3 months ago

                  Cheers all, don't think there's an easy answer!

              • DÏLKS
                • 12 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                Would you WC?

                Krul-Gilks*
                Terry*-Moore-Wisdom-PVA-Chester
                Hazard*-Ramsey*-Sterling-Siggy-Wanyama*
                Diego Costa-Rooney*-Jovetic*

              • HUMZAH96
                  11 years, 3 months ago

                  Torino winger Alessio Cerci has signed a 3 year contract with Atletico Madrid

                  Not going to Arsenal then