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14 October 2016 2519 comments
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Crystal ball gazing took centre stage during the second week of the international break as our community writers sought to find the best way to predict Fantasy returns.

A host of data, metrics and player attributes came under their watchful eyes as they considered the optimum captains and transfer moves over the coming weeks.

Our hot topics were also in spiritual mood as they prepared for Gameweek 8, a part of the fixture schedule with almost holy status among Fantasy managers. Elsewhere, there’s further number crunching predictions in our Members table section, and we assess whether some of our key players will find themselves benched this weekend or add to the legend that is Gameweek 8.

The Community Articles

Statistical chat stepped up a gear this week with a raft of articles delving deep into the player numbers to see how best to predict Fantasy returns.

Spreadsheet led the numerical charge with two articles, the first looking at how reliable points per game is as a guide to potential points and the second focusing on the best data to use to assess captaincy candidates.

Also armed with facts and figures was Your Mum’s Athletic, who dropped by to explain how fixture and form data can combine with bookies odds to help us pick out Gameweek 8’s best armband options.

Meanwhile, Bowstring the Carp undertook a refresh of Rakkhi’s One Stat To Rule Them All research from last year, which looked at the influence of shot accuracy on spotting points hauls. The comments section in this Members community article is particularly fascinating for those looking to gain further insight into points prophesising.

The veterans had mixed fortunes in their ability to number crunch player data over the last three Gameweeks, according to Kavali’s latest update on the fortunes of the 50 experienced Fantasy Premier League managers he is tracking this season

Don’t forget, if you’ve got some analysis, scout reports or features brewing, be sure to visit our community section to submit your article.

The Hottest Topics

Gameweek 8 has legendary status among Fantasy managers, with the potential to make or break a season. For the last two years, popular captain pick Sergio Aguero has scored a total of nine goals over this set of fixtures. While its position in the calendar, often around an international break, can make it a potential minefield for rotation and injuries.

Investment in some of Stoke City’s cut-price players is among the potential opportunities open in 2016/17’s Gameweek 8: the Potters now embark on a lengthy run of “easy” match-ups. In our discussion on the Stoke’ schedule we found out whether you are willing to take a risk on the fixtures improving their form.

Another team garnering interest is Tottenham Hotspur, particularly their defenders. As Dino’s hot topic shows, while the likes of Kyle Walker are expensive, they offer considerable points potential for those with some spare change in the bank.

For those looking for some less popular, under the radar options Worzel Gummidge’s hot topic will appeal. There were further differential striker options on offer in our discussion on the best front three to have for Gameweek 8 and beyond.

Chelsea’s Diego Costa may be one card away from a ban, but KTK Interiesta thinks on current form the Premier League’s top goalscorer this term is being unfairly overlooked for one of the three FPL striker roles.

International injuries are just one of the traditional Gameweek 8 pitfalls. Luckily knocks and niggles to the likes of Everton striker Romelu Lukaku looked to have passed. However, there are still concerns that fatigue could curtail the minutes of some of the Premier League’s more well-travelled players, in particular, Arsenal’s Chilean midfielder Alexis Sanchez and Aguero, who played 163 minutes for Argentina during the international break. MNR96 has been looking closely at their minutes for their national squads in his discussion on whether the pair will start or be asked to take a rest this weekend.

One player that is in no danger of fatigue is Wayne Rooney, who was dropped from England’s starting line-up for their Tuesday night clash with Slovenia. His axing from both the England and Manchester United first XI prompted us to start a discussion on other Premier League stars, who look to have passed their sell by date.

Finally, Gameweek 7 proved another poor week for our Scout Picks, but at least the Scoutcast team did well with their successful differential picks, according to Andy85wsm’s review.

The Members Tables

The analyser has taken a look at the best midfielders to choose from. For best results this table should be sorted by either chances created or goal attempts.

Also, here’a reminder that I turned Rakkhi’s One Stat To Rule Them All analysis into a Members table last year. Click here to see the latest accurate chancers with the potential to rack up the points over the coming weeks.

If you’re a member and are yet to get to grips with the custom statistics tables, you can view this movie for an explanation of how they work. Also, remember to tag them so that people can find the tables with ease.

J0E Podcaster and writer. Tweets stats and stuff via @FFScout_Joe Follow them on Twitter

  1. Geoff
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Antonio > Sanchez/Walcott doing my head in.

    As is Aguero vs. Sanchez for captain.

    Basic

    1. Jeremiah
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Sanchex to both 😉

      1. Geoff
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        🙁

    2. Geoff
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Messed that up. EDIT EDIT EDIT

      Antonio > Son/Walcott

      1. Jonty Rhodes
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        I am also going nuts and wanna take -4 to take out Januzaj for: (Please also suggest why)

        A) Mane
        B) Snodgrass
        C) Walcott
        D) Son
        E) Save

        4m ITB - 0 FT

        Team:
        Pickford (Foster)
        Baines, Collins, Mustafi (Mc Auley, Amat)
        Hazard, Antonio, Capoue (Chadli, Januzaj)
        Aguero (c), Deeney (vc), Lukaku

  2. AYEW KI-EDEN MEE
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Start Evans or play Capoue AOA?

    1. Revival
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Evans YC magnet, play AOA

    2. Valencia's Left Foot
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      I'd go AOA. Can't see WBA keeping a CS. Similar dilemma. Do I play Capoue over Valencia AOA?

      1. AYEW KI-EDEN MEE
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        Valencia probably

  3. Tmel
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Pretty much a one week punt as I have 2FT and not much else to do:

    Antonio >

    a) Iwobi
    b) Tadic
    c) Arnie
    d) Jaku > Grant

    1. Jeremiah
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      D

    2. BENOIT
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Keep

    3. liiusions
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      D, I'm assuming you already have Pickford

    4. badgerboy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      D

  4. Blue Gaffer
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    1.Ibra, Fletcher, Valencia---Austin, Sanchez, Adam Smith -4 or.....
    2.Ibra, Lukaku, Fletcher, Valencia---Koscielney, Walcott, Costa, Benteke -8

    1. Jeremiah
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      2 out of that bunch.

    2. CunkOnFPL
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      1

    3. GloryBXI
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Costa soon to be suspended

      1. Ruth_NZ
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        ...but not necessarily for a PL game. 😕

  5. BENOIT
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Anyone worried about captaining Kun?

    1. liiusions
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Not anymore now I've changed it to Sanchez 🙂

      1. BENOIT
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        That worries me also

    2. Garlana
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Yes, him or Sanchez...

    3. Dr Dream
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Yes. We have no idea what his manager might do with all the talent he has.

      Iheanacho has looked really good when he's played, or rather the team has looked really good with him in it, he has no need to flog Aguero...

      We'll find out this weekend.

    4. Helia
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Any new news about this or still just m the same guessing game?

    5. Revival
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      2014/15 GW8 Aguero - 4 goals
      2015/16 GW8 Aguero - 5 goals
      2016/17 GW8 Aguero - 6 goals

  6. DÏLKS
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Alright lads, I do apologise in advance.. but what do I do with this? I've missed the trend over the international break!

    Pickford-Jakupovic
    Coleman-Lovren-Holebas-Amat-Evans
    Sanchez-Firmino-Snodgrasd
    S-Antonio-Capoue
    Aguero-Costa-Lukaku

    I'll admit, I've missed the trend! Please let me know what the general consensus is! 2FT!!

    Bump..

    1. Jeremiah
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Jaku > Grant and bank a transfer.

      1. For Fuchs Sake
        • 16 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        Butland back soon though

    2. The Fantastic Mr Fox
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Seems fine. If u don't wanna waste the FT, do
      Evans > adam Smith(bou)

  7. Ghost86
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Fellow wildcarders what's the final teams looking like?

    1. dcarlito
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      You tell me 😉

    2. Ghost86
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Grant
      Bellerin walker smith
      Sanchez mane payet snoddy
      Aguero deeney Defoe

      Bench is weak
      What u think???

      1. dcarlito
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        Might be a bit weak up top? Like the midfield, have Firm, Sanchez, Sterling, Snoddy (Capoue) myself.

    3. Ghost86
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Whats your strikeforce?

  8. PMz
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Any recommendations to improve the team this week? Defence is looking shoddy. 2FT and 0.0ITB.

    Pickford (Heaton)

    Holebas Williams Stones

    Antonio Sanchez Firmino Sterling

    Lukaku Rashford Aguero

    Subs: Capoue Jevans Amat

    1. Jeremiah
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Looks good mate. Maybe get in some Stoke defence.

    2. Helia
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Start with rashford to williams.. then you should be able to upgrade a defender by .5

  9. Helia
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Pickford
    Koscielny valencia stones
    Sanchez firmino antonio bolasie
    Aguero(c) lukaku benteke

    Foster capoue williams amat

    1ft 0.1itb

    A) bolasie to snodgrass
    B) save

    Currently on save. Thinking 2 frees may serve me well next gw, im just unsure over that move

    1. Jeremiah
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      B

    2. ZimZalabim
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      A

    3. badgerboy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Save it unless your going to do that move next week.

  10. Garlana
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Struggling to decide between kun and Sanchez, rmt says to captain Sanchez but the difference is minor...what are you guys basing your captain decision on if between these two?

    1. Jeremiah
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Sanchez, going to the game 😉

      1. Bantchester United
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        Reading he's been rested tomorrow though?

      2. Garlana
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        Lucky you, id do the same.

  11. KING_ZLATAN
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    A) Bellerin - Pieters - Puncheon

    B) Koscielny - Adam Smith - Snodgrass

    Long term picks to go for?

    1. liiusions
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      B

      1. Mulla
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        B for me

  12. ZimZalabim
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    2nd Repost
    Please help fplers any suggestions i need some help

    Foster(jaku)
    Walker Baines Smith (amat, kone)
    Mane, sterling, Firmino, Antonio (capoue)
    Lukaku, Aguero, Deeney

    A. sanchez, austin in sterling, lukaku out

    B. Sanchez, snodgrass and pieters in sterling, antonio and baines out (-4)

    C. walcott in sterling out and baines out mustafi/monreal in

    D. some other move ?

    I feel like i need an arsenal player in
    2FT and 0.5 itb

    1. Sharpe Shuffle
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      You seem set on getting rid of Sterling.

      I would do Walcott for Antonio and Grant or Pickford for Jaku and play whichever one you get as Foster is unlikely to get a CS v Spurs

      1. ZimZalabim
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        dont really want to get rid of any my mids tbh but i think i need one of sanchez or walcott so im really confused.
        I was thinking i might just sell capoue and roll the transfer and get an arsenal player next gw but again not sure thats the right move

  13. Flying Assassins
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Wally or Son? (I have Sanchez)

    1. Garlana
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Son

    2. Jeremiah
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Wally.

  14. Ange Ball
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    This team worth a minus 8

    Foster

    Shaw Collins Clyne
    Sanchez Walcott Mane Son
    Bony Aguero Deeney

    Pickford Capoue McAuley holbet

    1. Sharpe Shuffle
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Depends. What are the changes? Shaw's injured I think

      1. UKG
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        Na he is fit and could return.

  15. FPL Emu
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    A) Smith

    B) Holebas

    C) Cameron / Pieters (gives funds to go Antonio -> Walcott next week)

    1. Jeremiah
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      C

  16. UKG
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Sterling or Lallana to who? 1FT 0.1 ITB. - Other mids are Sanchez, Antonio, Capoue

    1. RoysCallerAnne
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Lallana -> Tadic

  17. RoysCallerAnne
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    First -4 of the season done. Good luck ev1 🙂

    Pickford
    Bellerin, Lovren, Holebas
    Sanchez (c), Firmino, Walcott, Antonio
    Aguero (vc), Lukaku, Wilson

    (Karius, deRoon, Amat, Kingsley) 0.8 itb

    1. Jonty Rhodes
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Can you help do my -4: Januzaj for: (Please also suggest why)

      A) Mane
      B) Snodgrass
      C) Walcott
      D) Son
      E) Save

      4m ITB - 0 FT

      Team:
      Pickford (Foster)
      Baines, Collins, Mustafi (Mc Auley, Amat)
      Hazard, Antonio, Capoue (Chadli, Januzaj)
      Aguero (c), Deeney (vc), Lukaku

      1. RoysCallerAnne
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        I'd wildcard dude, sorry. If you don't have a WC, take a -12.

        1. Jonty Rhodes
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 5 months ago

          Dont have WC. -12 why? I hope hazard and collins are on track.

          1. RoysCallerAnne
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 16 Years
            9 years, 5 months ago

            Foster, McAuley = tough WBA fixtures and leaking goals.
            Baines is too expensive and they let in 1 every time.
            Hazard is looking too patchy at that price compared to Sanchez.
            Collins = West Ham defence = lol
            Capoue, Chadli and Januzaj = oh dear
            I like your front 3 🙂

    2. RoysCallerAnne
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Mystery +1er = Cheese 😎

  18. Puyol Pants Up
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Pick one to start?

    A) Smith (HUL) - have snodgrass
    B) Cameron (SUN)
    C) Holebas (mid)

    1. RoysCallerAnne
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Wow that's tough. Smith

    2. Jonty Rhodes
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Cameron as HUL looks like scoring

    3. Norfolk&Chance
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      B

    4. Sharpe Shuffle
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Smith

  19. Jonty Rhodes
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    -4 to take out Januzaj for: (Please also suggest why)

    A) Mane
    B) Snodgrass
    C) Walcott
    D) Son
    E) Save

    4m ITB - 0 FT

    Team:
    Pickford (Foster)
    Baines, Collins, Mustafi (Mc Auley, Amat)
    Hazard, Antonio, Capoue (Chadli, Januzaj)
    Aguero (c), Deeney (vc), Lukaku

    1. che
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Walcott, because everyone has Sanchez and he's gonna outscore him

  20. For Fuchs Sake
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Play Antonio or Capoue?

    1. Norfolk&Chance
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      ant

  21. AYEW KI-EDEN MEE
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Pickford
    Bellerin Pieters
    Ozil Sterling Firmino Antonio Capoue
    Aguero(C) Lukaku Benteke

    Subs Heaton Evans Williams Amat

    Which one?

    a) AOA with Capoue
    b) Play Evans over Capoue and save AOA

    1. Jonty Rhodes
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Play your AOA. Can you advise me

      -4 to take out Januzaj for: (Please also suggest why)

      A) Mane
      B) Snodgrass
      C) Walcott
      D) Son
      E) Save

      4m ITB - 0 FT

      Team:
      Pickford (Foster)
      Baines, Collins, Mustafi (Mc Auley, Amat)
      Hazard, Antonio, Capoue (Chadli, Januzaj)
      Aguero (c), Deeney (vc), Lukaku

      1. AYEW KI-EDEN MEE
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        C) probably

  22. Thomass
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Who to captain from this lot?
    A) Sanchez
    B) Aguero
    C) Costa

  23. DA Minnion (Former great)
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Are we sure sanchez is gonna start tomorrow.Is perez fit?

    1. Hurricane Gilbert
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      No and yes he seems to be fit again

  24. Norfolk&Chance
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Rashford to Austin for a -4?

    1. Hurricane Gilbert
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Nope

  25. Hurricane Gilbert
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Theo Walcott rising tonight?

    1. Norfolk&Chance
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      doubt it

    2. RoysCallerAnne
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Doubt it. 75% on FPLS and 74% on FFF

      1. Hurricane Gilbert
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        Cheers

  26. Puyol Pants Up
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Capoue on 100.1%

    The rise is possible 😀

  27. Atwood
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Thoughts on this wildcard squad? Don't think I have as much spare cash as some of you.

    Jakupovic - Pickford
    Stones - Bailly - Francis - Holebas - Pieters
    Firmino - Sanchez - Son - Capoue - Redmond
    Wilson - Costa - Aguero

    1. For Fuchs Sake
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Jaku prob won't lay again
      Stones could be dropped soon

  28. For Fuchs Sake
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Capoue run his course now? worth downgrading to 4.5m mid?

    1. badgerboy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Yeah but wait till after the price changes. Another .1 could be on the way.

  29. Blue Gaffer
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Ibrahimavic, Valencia, Fletcher to Sanchez, Austin and Adam Smith -4 and keep Lukaku yes or no?

  30. TorresMagic™
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    What would you do with this lot?

    Pickford Jaku
    Baines Walker Evans Holebas Amat
    Sanchez Firmino Sterling Antonio Capoue
    Aguero Lukaku Deeney

    2 FTs, 0 in bank

    Which choice would you pick?

    a) Jaku > Grant
    b) Antonio + Evans > Snodgrass + Mustafi
    c) Antonio + Baines > Snodgrass + any Arsenal def
    d) Antonio + Baines > Walcott + up to 5.0 def
    e) Capoue + Baines > 4.3/4.4m mid(if he rises) + Mustafi
    e) something else

    Cheers in advance.

    1. Puyol Pants Up
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      I like E. That's how you take advantage of Capoue's rises 😀

    2. Geezer
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      The first e

    3. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Thanks both.