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14 October 2016 2519 comments
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Crystal ball gazing took centre stage during the second week of the international break as our community writers sought to find the best way to predict Fantasy returns.

A host of data, metrics and player attributes came under their watchful eyes as they considered the optimum captains and transfer moves over the coming weeks.

Our hot topics were also in spiritual mood as they prepared for Gameweek 8, a part of the fixture schedule with almost holy status among Fantasy managers. Elsewhere, there’s further number crunching predictions in our Members table section, and we assess whether some of our key players will find themselves benched this weekend or add to the legend that is Gameweek 8.

The Community Articles

Statistical chat stepped up a gear this week with a raft of articles delving deep into the player numbers to see how best to predict Fantasy returns.

Spreadsheet led the numerical charge with two articles, the first looking at how reliable points per game is as a guide to potential points and the second focusing on the best data to use to assess captaincy candidates.

Also armed with facts and figures was Your Mum’s Athletic, who dropped by to explain how fixture and form data can combine with bookies odds to help us pick out Gameweek 8’s best armband options.

Meanwhile, Bowstring the Carp undertook a refresh of Rakkhi’s One Stat To Rule Them All research from last year, which looked at the influence of shot accuracy on spotting points hauls. The comments section in this Members community article is particularly fascinating for those looking to gain further insight into points prophesising.

The veterans had mixed fortunes in their ability to number crunch player data over the last three Gameweeks, according to Kavali’s latest update on the fortunes of the 50 experienced Fantasy Premier League managers he is tracking this season

Don’t forget, if you’ve got some analysis, scout reports or features brewing, be sure to visit our community section to submit your article.

The Hottest Topics

Gameweek 8 has legendary status among Fantasy managers, with the potential to make or break a season. For the last two years, popular captain pick Sergio Aguero has scored a total of nine goals over this set of fixtures. While its position in the calendar, often around an international break, can make it a potential minefield for rotation and injuries.

Investment in some of Stoke City’s cut-price players is among the potential opportunities open in 2016/17’s Gameweek 8: the Potters now embark on a lengthy run of “easy” match-ups. In our discussion on the Stoke’ schedule we found out whether you are willing to take a risk on the fixtures improving their form.

Another team garnering interest is Tottenham Hotspur, particularly their defenders. As Dino’s hot topic shows, while the likes of Kyle Walker are expensive, they offer considerable points potential for those with some spare change in the bank.

For those looking for some less popular, under the radar options Worzel Gummidge’s hot topic will appeal. There were further differential striker options on offer in our discussion on the best front three to have for Gameweek 8 and beyond.

Chelsea’s Diego Costa may be one card away from a ban, but KTK Interiesta thinks on current form the Premier League’s top goalscorer this term is being unfairly overlooked for one of the three FPL striker roles.

International injuries are just one of the traditional Gameweek 8 pitfalls. Luckily knocks and niggles to the likes of Everton striker Romelu Lukaku looked to have passed. However, there are still concerns that fatigue could curtail the minutes of some of the Premier League’s more well-travelled players, in particular, Arsenal’s Chilean midfielder Alexis Sanchez and Aguero, who played 163 minutes for Argentina during the international break. MNR96 has been looking closely at their minutes for their national squads in his discussion on whether the pair will start or be asked to take a rest this weekend.

One player that is in no danger of fatigue is Wayne Rooney, who was dropped from England’s starting line-up for their Tuesday night clash with Slovenia. His axing from both the England and Manchester United first XI prompted us to start a discussion on other Premier League stars, who look to have passed their sell by date.

Finally, Gameweek 7 proved another poor week for our Scout Picks, but at least the Scoutcast team did well with their successful differential picks, according to Andy85wsm’s review.

The Members Tables

The analyser has taken a look at the best midfielders to choose from. For best results this table should be sorted by either chances created or goal attempts.

Also, here’a reminder that I turned Rakkhi’s One Stat To Rule Them All analysis into a Members table last year. Click here to see the latest accurate chancers with the potential to rack up the points over the coming weeks.

If you’re a member and are yet to get to grips with the custom statistics tables, you can view this movie for an explanation of how they work. Also, remember to tag them so that people can find the tables with ease.

2,519 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Thomas Magnum
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Pick 1
    A) Stones and Williams > Vertonghen and 4.4
    B) Stones/ Williams and Peryra > Holebas and Snoddy .3ITB
    C) Other

    1. Skyarm
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      B

    2. TheOneAndOnly
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Wouldn't be too quick to lose Stones

      1. Thomas Magnum
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        So B but sell Williams?

        1. TheOneAndOnly
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 16 Years
          9 years, 9 months ago

          Only thing that worries me is Holebas on 4yellows, doesnt really matter if he misses a game tho I suppose

  2. jernej93
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Which spurs defender ? 🙂

    1. Skyarm
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      If you have money for Walker get him otherwise Vert

      1. Thomas Magnum
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Agreed

    2. Geezer
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      How much do you got?

    3. kavonk
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      rose

    4. Rolls-Royce
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Toby.

  3. melvinmbabazi
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Who is more important?
    A) Arsenal Mid
    B) Arsenal Def

    1. Geezer
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      A

    2. Krafty Werks
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Lol both for next 3 for sure.

    3. nailedonness
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Sanchez is important 😀

      1. melvinmbabazi
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Cant afford him 🙁

    4. Thomas Magnum
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      A

    5. AA33
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Both are important in their respective positions. There is no harm having 2 or 3 Arsenal players

  4. nailedonness
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Very excited after a long international break! Come on San(c)hez!

    1. Geezer
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      But it`s GW8... What about Kun?

  5. Thomas Magnum
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Who is the best 5.0 or below defender. Currently thinking Holebas and having money itb but not sure. All suggestions welcome

    1. WINNING!
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Adam Smith

  6. Keno
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Pickford or Foster?

    1. melvinmbabazi
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Pickford

  7. Geezer
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Bellerin worth the extra cash over Kosc/Mustafi?

    1. Ne0
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      yes

    2. Thomas Magnum
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Long term yes

      1. Geezer
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Thanks. If only short term?

        1. Thomas Magnum
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 9 months ago

          Still yes.

          1. Geezer
            • 15 Years
            9 years, 9 months ago

            Cheers

  8. cutch
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Is Sterling definitely nailed on against Everton?

    Sterling -> Walcott maybe? (from Arsenal and City attack I already have Sanchez and Aguero)

    1. Geezer
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Not definitely, but guessing he will start. Walcott over Sterling.

    2. Thomas Magnum
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      No one can say definitely yes or no, but I believe he should play. And I wouldn't sell him for Walcott

    3. cutch
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Thanks for your answers 🙂

  9. Puyol Pants Up
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Huh, after doing some research I might only play Cameron once in the next 5 weeks.

    I guess going with Amat over Cameron as my 5th defender should be better and gives me 0.4 😛

  10. Cheeseoid
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Well this is the final version of my wildcard. Fingers crossed everyone gets some gametime

    Boruc - Pickford
    Koscielny - Lovren - Smith - Holebas - Amat
    Coutinho - Son - Sanchez - Walcott - Sterling
    Benteke - Aguero - Diomande

    1. Hy liverpool
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      looks good
      no spurs defender is only thing you've missed but this midf. looks awesome .
      that's mine btw http://www.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/2016/10/14/the-community-round-up-165/?hc_page=16#hc_comment_14274018

      1. Cheeseoid
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Nice. Amazingly we share only 1 mid

        1. Hy liverpool
          • 12 Years
          9 years, 9 months ago

          i hope payet to outscore sanchez and i will be fine ... if wally do that i will be finer 😀

          1. Cheeseoid
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 14 Years
            9 years, 9 months ago

            Who is your cap? I haven't decided yet but am leaning toward Wally

            1. Hy liverpool
              • 12 Years
              9 years, 9 months ago

              havent decided too, will be payet tekkers and firmino
              leaning towards Firmino .
              wally is great pick too .

              1. Hy liverpool
                • 12 Years
                9 years, 9 months ago

                one of *

                1. Cheeseoid
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 14 Years
                  9 years, 9 months ago

                  See I just think there is a chance the Man U defence might just turn up. Which puts me off of the Liverpool players this week

  11. Spoiler
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Pickford
    Loveren | Gibson | Stones
    Sanchez | Firmino | Antonio | Sterling
    Aguero | Rashford | Lukaku

    Jakop | Capoe | Mccauley| Amat

    2ft, any ideas?

    1. BlzE_94
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      I did Sterling to Son just now

      1. Total Foot 5
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        will sterling not start?

    2. Tree House
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Any money in bank to upgrade a defender to vert?

  12. Pierce34
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Is it too irrational to chicken out of (C)osta just because he plays first?

    1. Cheeseoid
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      A bit yeah

    2. Geezer
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Yes

  13. Total Foot 5
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Jaku will he start?

    1. Cheeseoid
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      No

    2. Geezer
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      No

  14. BlzE_94
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Are Baines and Lukaku fit for the weekend?

    1. Waylander
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Yes, both fit.

  15. Waylander
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Foster (Stryjek)
    Baines-PVA-Clyne (J.Evans, Amat)
    Antonio-Walcott-Mane-Sterling (Capoue)
    Deeney-Aguero(c)-Lukaku

    (1.5) itb, -4 transfers thus far

    A) Good to go for this GW
    B) All Out Attack with Capoue in for Baines?
    C) Take a -8 hit to upgrade the defence?

    Cheers.

    1. Waylander
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      -8 is folly?

  16. Clintymints
    • 17 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Daddy or Chips?

    Sanchez or Aguero?

    CL gona affect either's minutes?

  17. TheOneAndOnly
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Given+Collins+Shaw > Cech+Smith+Pieters -4

    Yay or Nay?

    Team at the top of the page

    1. TheOneAndOnly
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Any thoughts?

    2. Big Red Dog
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Is Capoue back to playing more defensive now?

  18. Deicide
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Wildcard team, thougths?

    Thoughts about my team?

    Foster Jaku
    Friend Vertonghen Stones Amat Pieters
    Fletcher Firminho Shanchez Son Capoue
    Benteke Aguero Deeney

    2,1 itb.
    Thanks in advance

    1. Cheeseoid
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Did you look at the Spurs defence article in the week? I would consider using some cash to get one of the fullbacks as Vert has very little threat.

      I also think it is a little dangerous to have Fletcher and Capoue onb a wildcard. I just don't think Capoue is good enough to be 4th mid.

      1. Waylander
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Also this.

      2. Deicide
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Thank you

        So should I get Walker instead?
        who is good and cheap midfielder?

        Thank you again.

        1. Cheeseoid
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          9 years, 9 months ago

          I would take a look back a couple of days and read the article on the spurs defence but both the full backs are good attacking threats. Toby costs more and is also much stronger attacking wise.

          Can you afford Snodgrass in the middle?

    2. Waylander
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      WBA fixtures are terrible for the next 5 so I'd go with a different keeper.

      1. Thomas Magnum
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Agreed

        1. Cheeseoid
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          9 years, 9 months ago

          Actually me too. I shipped Foster on mine

  19. Total Foot 5
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Start Foster
    or
    FT Drop Foster for Grant?

    THNX

    1. WINNING!
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Foster

    2. Thomas Magnum
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Foster

    3. Total Foot 5
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      thnx, why? thot foster nailed for a while + cash itb for fture ft

  20. SpaceCadet
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Best option?

    a. Sell rashford
    b. Sell baines
    c. Sell both for a hit
    d. keep both and save ft

    1. Thomas Magnum
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      A or D probably D this week and then A next week

    2. Hy liverpool
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      a

  21. Thomas Magnum
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Please help me. Who to captain.
    A) Ibra against a leaky Liv defence and no international games.
    B) Aguero
    C) Antonio against a leaky Palace defence
    D) Alli in good form although WBA away.
    All comments very much appreciated

    1. Waylander
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      I went with Aguero but it's a lottery this week with everyone coming back from internationals and Ibra with a tough fixture.

    2. WINNING!
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Kun or Sanchez (if you have)

  22. Steirish
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    I see a lot of people getting rid of sterling is he likely to start?

    1. rainy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Pep says De Bruyne, Aguero, and Sterling are all “much, much, much better”.

      Some of them are going to play against Everton but not all of them, and he adds it is something he will have to think about this afternoon and tomorrow morning.

      http://www.manchestereveningnews.co.uk/sport/football/football-news/man-city-transfer-news-live-12023187

    2. WINNING!
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Sergio Aguero and Raheem Sterling hanging in the balance. For what it’s worth, I’d expect Kun to start, with Sterling and possibly De Bruyne to get some minutes as Pep will want to keep his big guns fresh ahead of an away trip to the Nou Camp on Wednesday. #Rotoworld

  23. Jinswick
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Good to go? (Already taken a 4 pointer)

    Cech
    Baines, Valencia, Kone
    Sanchez, Walcott, Antonio, Firmino
    Aguero, Benteke, Defoe

    Pickford, Capoue, Collins, Amat
    Bank 0.0m, 0FT

  24. Sanguinista
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Does anyone have any stats on Aguero's record with Ashley Williams in defence? Was his poor record against Swansea (before this season of course, given that he smashed 2 past them last month) down to William's marking him well and in that case does that help decide against captaining him tomorrow vs Everton?

  25. JasonG123
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Which transfer is giving me the biggest upgrade?
    (A) Antonio to Walcott
    (B) Coleman to Mustafi

  26. SpaceCadet
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Payet cap too punty or could work?

  27. Valar(Keith)
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Lloris Pickford
    Koscielny VVD Smith Lovren Amat

    How does this look for a WC defense? Lovren to Holebas/Robertson and kosc to Bellerin is an option too(i had bellerin until someone posted an article last nyt about bellerin not training)

  28. Ravager
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Foster (Japu)
    Walker Valencia Williams (Kelly Amat)
    Sterling Firmino Antonio Capoue (Fletcher)
    Aguero Deeney Lukaku

    1 FT 4.5 ITB

    A. Fletcher > Walcott
    B. Antonio > Sanchez
    C. Sterling+ Valencia+ Sanchez+ Mustafi

    1. Ravager
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Sterling + Valencia > Sanchez + Mustafi (-4) sorry

  29. the german
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    foster
    koscielny evans stones
    sanchez firmino coutinho redmond
    aguero lukako wilson

    jaku fer kone smith
    should I play kone or evans??

  30. CrouchDown
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Hey folks, got 2FT but don't know what to do, any ideas? Replace Jakup?

    Pickford
    Baines Walker Kelly
    Sanchez(C) Sterling Firmino Snodgrass
    Kun Lukaku Benteke

    Subs: Jakup, Capoue Evans Amat

    1. fedolefan
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      How much in the bank? You could sell Capoue and Kelly for a better defender.

    2. Venom Snake
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Yeah swap Jak to a playing GK

    3. Jestadt1
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Shore up the defense.

      I would recommend Kelly-->Stoke def and Evans-->Bournemouth def

    4. kenzo.
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      evans has horrible fixtures and on 4 yellow cards so i would suggest transferring him out.....

      how much money itb do you have?