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14 October 2016 2519 comments
J0E J0E
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Crystal ball gazing took centre stage during the second week of the international break as our community writers sought to find the best way to predict Fantasy returns.

A host of data, metrics and player attributes came under their watchful eyes as they considered the optimum captains and transfer moves over the coming weeks.

Our hot topics were also in spiritual mood as they prepared for Gameweek 8, a part of the fixture schedule with almost holy status among Fantasy managers. Elsewhere, there’s further number crunching predictions in our Members table section, and we assess whether some of our key players will find themselves benched this weekend or add to the legend that is Gameweek 8.

The Community Articles

Statistical chat stepped up a gear this week with a raft of articles delving deep into the player numbers to see how best to predict Fantasy returns.

Spreadsheet led the numerical charge with two articles, the first looking at how reliable points per game is as a guide to potential points and the second focusing on the best data to use to assess captaincy candidates.

Also armed with facts and figures was Your Mum’s Athletic, who dropped by to explain how fixture and form data can combine with bookies odds to help us pick out Gameweek 8’s best armband options.

Meanwhile, Bowstring the Carp undertook a refresh of Rakkhi’s One Stat To Rule Them All research from last year, which looked at the influence of shot accuracy on spotting points hauls. The comments section in this Members community article is particularly fascinating for those looking to gain further insight into points prophesising.

The veterans had mixed fortunes in their ability to number crunch player data over the last three Gameweeks, according to Kavali’s latest update on the fortunes of the 50 experienced Fantasy Premier League managers he is tracking this season

Don’t forget, if you’ve got some analysis, scout reports or features brewing, be sure to visit our community section to submit your article.

The Hottest Topics

Gameweek 8 has legendary status among Fantasy managers, with the potential to make or break a season. For the last two years, popular captain pick Sergio Aguero has scored a total of nine goals over this set of fixtures. While its position in the calendar, often around an international break, can make it a potential minefield for rotation and injuries.

Investment in some of Stoke City’s cut-price players is among the potential opportunities open in 2016/17’s Gameweek 8: the Potters now embark on a lengthy run of “easy” match-ups. In our discussion on the Stoke’ schedule we found out whether you are willing to take a risk on the fixtures improving their form.

Another team garnering interest is Tottenham Hotspur, particularly their defenders. As Dino’s hot topic shows, while the likes of Kyle Walker are expensive, they offer considerable points potential for those with some spare change in the bank.

For those looking for some less popular, under the radar options Worzel Gummidge’s hot topic will appeal. There were further differential striker options on offer in our discussion on the best front three to have for Gameweek 8 and beyond.

Chelsea’s Diego Costa may be one card away from a ban, but KTK Interiesta thinks on current form the Premier League’s top goalscorer this term is being unfairly overlooked for one of the three FPL striker roles.

International injuries are just one of the traditional Gameweek 8 pitfalls. Luckily knocks and niggles to the likes of Everton striker Romelu Lukaku looked to have passed. However, there are still concerns that fatigue could curtail the minutes of some of the Premier League’s more well-travelled players, in particular, Arsenal’s Chilean midfielder Alexis Sanchez and Aguero, who played 163 minutes for Argentina during the international break. MNR96 has been looking closely at their minutes for their national squads in his discussion on whether the pair will start or be asked to take a rest this weekend.

One player that is in no danger of fatigue is Wayne Rooney, who was dropped from England’s starting line-up for their Tuesday night clash with Slovenia. His axing from both the England and Manchester United first XI prompted us to start a discussion on other Premier League stars, who look to have passed their sell by date.

Finally, Gameweek 7 proved another poor week for our Scout Picks, but at least the Scoutcast team did well with their successful differential picks, according to Andy85wsm’s review.

The Members Tables

The analyser has taken a look at the best midfielders to choose from. For best results this table should be sorted by either chances created or goal attempts.

Also, here’a reminder that I turned Rakkhi’s One Stat To Rule Them All analysis into a Members table last year. Click here to see the latest accurate chancers with the potential to rack up the points over the coming weeks.

If you’re a member and are yet to get to grips with the custom statistics tables, you can view this movie for an explanation of how they work. Also, remember to tag them so that people can find the tables with ease.

J0E Podcaster and writer. Tweets stats and stuff via @FFScout_Joe Follow them on Twitter

  1. Thomas Magnum
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Pick 1
    A) Stones and Williams > Vertonghen and 4.4
    B) Stones/ Williams and Peryra > Holebas and Snoddy .3ITB
    C) Other

    1. Skyarm
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      B

    2. TheOneAndOnly
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Wouldn't be too quick to lose Stones

      1. Thomas Magnum
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        So B but sell Williams?

        1. TheOneAndOnly
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 16 Years
          9 years, 5 months ago

          Only thing that worries me is Holebas on 4yellows, doesnt really matter if he misses a game tho I suppose

  2. jernej93
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Which spurs defender ? 🙂

    1. Skyarm
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      If you have money for Walker get him otherwise Vert

      1. Thomas Magnum
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        Agreed

    2. Geezer
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      How much do you got?

    3. kavonk
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      rose

    4. Rolls-Royce
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Toby.

  3. melvinmbabazi
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Who is more important?
    A) Arsenal Mid
    B) Arsenal Def

    1. Geezer
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      A

    2. Krafty Werks
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Lol both for next 3 for sure.

    3. nailedonness
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Sanchez is important 😀

      1. melvinmbabazi
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        Cant afford him 🙁

    4. Thomas Magnum
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      A

    5. AA33
        9 years, 5 months ago

        Both are important in their respective positions. There is no harm having 2 or 3 Arsenal players

    6. nailedonness
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Very excited after a long international break! Come on San(c)hez!

      1. Geezer
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        But it`s GW8... What about Kun?

    7. Thomas Magnum
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Who is the best 5.0 or below defender. Currently thinking Holebas and having money itb but not sure. All suggestions welcome

      1. WINNING!
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        Adam Smith

    8. Keno
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Pickford or Foster?

      1. melvinmbabazi
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        Pickford

    9. Geezer
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Bellerin worth the extra cash over Kosc/Mustafi?

      1. Ne0
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        yes

      2. Thomas Magnum
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        Long term yes

        1. Geezer
          • 15 Years
          9 years, 5 months ago

          Thanks. If only short term?

          1. Thomas Magnum
            • 10 Years
            9 years, 5 months ago

            Still yes.

            1. Geezer
              • 15 Years
              9 years, 5 months ago

              Cheers

    10. cutch
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Is Sterling definitely nailed on against Everton?

      Sterling -> Walcott maybe? (from Arsenal and City attack I already have Sanchez and Aguero)

      1. Geezer
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        Not definitely, but guessing he will start. Walcott over Sterling.

      2. Thomas Magnum
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        No one can say definitely yes or no, but I believe he should play. And I wouldn't sell him for Walcott

      3. cutch
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        Thanks for your answers 🙂

    11. Puyol Pants Up
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Huh, after doing some research I might only play Cameron once in the next 5 weeks.

      I guess going with Amat over Cameron as my 5th defender should be better and gives me 0.4 😛

    12. Cheeseoid
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Well this is the final version of my wildcard. Fingers crossed everyone gets some gametime

      Boruc - Pickford
      Koscielny - Lovren - Smith - Holebas - Amat
      Coutinho - Son - Sanchez - Walcott - Sterling
      Benteke - Aguero - Diomande

      1. Hy liverpool
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        looks good
        no spurs defender is only thing you've missed but this midf. looks awesome .
        that's mine btw http://www.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/2016/10/14/the-community-round-up-165/?hc_page=16#hc_comment_14274018

        1. Cheeseoid
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          9 years, 5 months ago

          Nice. Amazingly we share only 1 mid

          1. Hy liverpool
            • 12 Years
            9 years, 5 months ago

            i hope payet to outscore sanchez and i will be fine ... if wally do that i will be finer 😀

            1. Cheeseoid
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 13 Years
              9 years, 5 months ago

              Who is your cap? I haven't decided yet but am leaning toward Wally

              1. Hy liverpool
                • 12 Years
                9 years, 5 months ago

                havent decided too, will be payet tekkers and firmino
                leaning towards Firmino .
                wally is great pick too .

                1. Hy liverpool
                  • 12 Years
                  9 years, 5 months ago

                  one of *

                  1. Cheeseoid
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 13 Years
                    9 years, 5 months ago

                    See I just think there is a chance the Man U defence might just turn up. Which puts me off of the Liverpool players this week

    13. Spoiler
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Pickford
      Loveren | Gibson | Stones
      Sanchez | Firmino | Antonio | Sterling
      Aguero | Rashford | Lukaku

      Jakop | Capoe | Mccauley| Amat

      2ft, any ideas?

      1. BlzE_94
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        I did Sterling to Son just now

        1. Total Foot 5
          • 12 Years
          9 years, 5 months ago

          will sterling not start?

      2. Tree House
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        Any money in bank to upgrade a defender to vert?

    14. Pierce34
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Is it too irrational to chicken out of (C)osta just because he plays first?

      1. Cheeseoid
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        A bit yeah

      2. Geezer
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        Yes

    15. Total Foot 5
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Jaku will he start?

      1. Cheeseoid
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        No

      2. Geezer
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        No

    16. BlzE_94
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Are Baines and Lukaku fit for the weekend?

      1. Waylander
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        Yes, both fit.

    17. Waylander
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Foster (Stryjek)
      Baines-PVA-Clyne (J.Evans, Amat)
      Antonio-Walcott-Mane-Sterling (Capoue)
      Deeney-Aguero(c)-Lukaku

      (1.5) itb, -4 transfers thus far

      A) Good to go for this GW
      B) All Out Attack with Capoue in for Baines?
      C) Take a -8 hit to upgrade the defence?

      Cheers.

      1. Waylander
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        -8 is folly?

    18. Clintymints
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Daddy or Chips?

      Sanchez or Aguero?

      CL gona affect either's minutes?

    19. TheOneAndOnly
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Given+Collins+Shaw > Cech+Smith+Pieters -4

      Yay or Nay?

      Team at the top of the page

      1. TheOneAndOnly
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        Any thoughts?

      2. Big Red Dog
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        Is Capoue back to playing more defensive now?

    20. Deicide
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Wildcard team, thougths?

      Thoughts about my team?

      Foster Jaku
      Friend Vertonghen Stones Amat Pieters
      Fletcher Firminho Shanchez Son Capoue
      Benteke Aguero Deeney

      2,1 itb.
      Thanks in advance

      1. Cheeseoid
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        Did you look at the Spurs defence article in the week? I would consider using some cash to get one of the fullbacks as Vert has very little threat.

        I also think it is a little dangerous to have Fletcher and Capoue onb a wildcard. I just don't think Capoue is good enough to be 4th mid.

        1. Waylander
          • 9 Years
          9 years, 5 months ago

          Also this.

        2. Deicide
          • 14 Years
          9 years, 5 months ago

          Thank you

          So should I get Walker instead?
          who is good and cheap midfielder?

          Thank you again.

          1. Cheeseoid
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 13 Years
            9 years, 5 months ago

            I would take a look back a couple of days and read the article on the spurs defence but both the full backs are good attacking threats. Toby costs more and is also much stronger attacking wise.

            Can you afford Snodgrass in the middle?

      2. Waylander
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        WBA fixtures are terrible for the next 5 so I'd go with a different keeper.

        1. Thomas Magnum
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 5 months ago

          Agreed

          1. Cheeseoid
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 13 Years
            9 years, 5 months ago

            Actually me too. I shipped Foster on mine

    21. Total Foot 5
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Start Foster
      or
      FT Drop Foster for Grant?

      THNX

      1. WINNING!
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        Foster

      2. Thomas Magnum
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        Foster

      3. Total Foot 5
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        thnx, why? thot foster nailed for a while + cash itb for fture ft

    22. SpaceCadet
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Best option?

      a. Sell rashford
      b. Sell baines
      c. Sell both for a hit
      d. keep both and save ft

      1. Thomas Magnum
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        A or D probably D this week and then A next week

      2. Hy liverpool
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        a

    23. Thomas Magnum
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Please help me. Who to captain.
      A) Ibra against a leaky Liv defence and no international games.
      B) Aguero
      C) Antonio against a leaky Palace defence
      D) Alli in good form although WBA away.
      All comments very much appreciated

      1. Waylander
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        I went with Aguero but it's a lottery this week with everyone coming back from internationals and Ibra with a tough fixture.

      2. WINNING!
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        Kun or Sanchez (if you have)

    24. Steirish
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      I see a lot of people getting rid of sterling is he likely to start?

      1. rainy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        Pep says De Bruyne, Aguero, and Sterling are all “much, much, much better”.

        Some of them are going to play against Everton but not all of them, and he adds it is something he will have to think about this afternoon and tomorrow morning.

        http://www.manchestereveningnews.co.uk/sport/football/football-news/man-city-transfer-news-live-12023187

      2. WINNING!
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        Sergio Aguero and Raheem Sterling hanging in the balance. For what it’s worth, I’d expect Kun to start, with Sterling and possibly De Bruyne to get some minutes as Pep will want to keep his big guns fresh ahead of an away trip to the Nou Camp on Wednesday. #Rotoworld

    25. Jinswick
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Good to go? (Already taken a 4 pointer)

      Cech
      Baines, Valencia, Kone
      Sanchez, Walcott, Antonio, Firmino
      Aguero, Benteke, Defoe

      Pickford, Capoue, Collins, Amat
      Bank 0.0m, 0FT

    26. Sanguinista
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Does anyone have any stats on Aguero's record with Ashley Williams in defence? Was his poor record against Swansea (before this season of course, given that he smashed 2 past them last month) down to William's marking him well and in that case does that help decide against captaining him tomorrow vs Everton?

    27. JasonG123
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Which transfer is giving me the biggest upgrade?
      (A) Antonio to Walcott
      (B) Coleman to Mustafi

    28. SpaceCadet
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Payet cap too punty or could work?

    29. Valar(Keith)
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Lloris Pickford
      Koscielny VVD Smith Lovren Amat

      How does this look for a WC defense? Lovren to Holebas/Robertson and kosc to Bellerin is an option too(i had bellerin until someone posted an article last nyt about bellerin not training)

    30. Ravager
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Foster (Japu)
      Walker Valencia Williams (Kelly Amat)
      Sterling Firmino Antonio Capoue (Fletcher)
      Aguero Deeney Lukaku

      1 FT 4.5 ITB

      A. Fletcher > Walcott
      B. Antonio > Sanchez
      C. Sterling+ Valencia+ Sanchez+ Mustafi

      1. Ravager
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        Sterling + Valencia > Sanchez + Mustafi (-4) sorry

    31. the german
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      foster
      koscielny evans stones
      sanchez firmino coutinho redmond
      aguero lukako wilson

      jaku fer kone smith
      should I play kone or evans??

    32. CrouchDown
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Hey folks, got 2FT but don't know what to do, any ideas? Replace Jakup?

      Pickford
      Baines Walker Kelly
      Sanchez(C) Sterling Firmino Snodgrass
      Kun Lukaku Benteke

      Subs: Jakup, Capoue Evans Amat

      1. fedolefan
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        How much in the bank? You could sell Capoue and Kelly for a better defender.

      2. Venom Snake
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        Yeah swap Jak to a playing GK

      3. Jestadt1
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        Shore up the defense.

        I would recommend Kelly-->Stoke def and Evans-->Bournemouth def

      4. kenzo.
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        evans has horrible fixtures and on 4 yellow cards so i would suggest transferring him out.....

        how much money itb do you have?