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14 October 2016 2519 comments
J0E J0E
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Crystal ball gazing took centre stage during the second week of the international break as our community writers sought to find the best way to predict Fantasy returns.

A host of data, metrics and player attributes came under their watchful eyes as they considered the optimum captains and transfer moves over the coming weeks.

Our hot topics were also in spiritual mood as they prepared for Gameweek 8, a part of the fixture schedule with almost holy status among Fantasy managers. Elsewhere, there’s further number crunching predictions in our Members table section, and we assess whether some of our key players will find themselves benched this weekend or add to the legend that is Gameweek 8.

The Community Articles

Statistical chat stepped up a gear this week with a raft of articles delving deep into the player numbers to see how best to predict Fantasy returns.

Spreadsheet led the numerical charge with two articles, the first looking at how reliable points per game is as a guide to potential points and the second focusing on the best data to use to assess captaincy candidates.

Also armed with facts and figures was Your Mum’s Athletic, who dropped by to explain how fixture and form data can combine with bookies odds to help us pick out Gameweek 8’s best armband options.

Meanwhile, Bowstring the Carp undertook a refresh of Rakkhi’s One Stat To Rule Them All research from last year, which looked at the influence of shot accuracy on spotting points hauls. The comments section in this Members community article is particularly fascinating for those looking to gain further insight into points prophesising.

The veterans had mixed fortunes in their ability to number crunch player data over the last three Gameweeks, according to Kavali’s latest update on the fortunes of the 50 experienced Fantasy Premier League managers he is tracking this season

Don’t forget, if you’ve got some analysis, scout reports or features brewing, be sure to visit our community section to submit your article.

The Hottest Topics

Gameweek 8 has legendary status among Fantasy managers, with the potential to make or break a season. For the last two years, popular captain pick Sergio Aguero has scored a total of nine goals over this set of fixtures. While its position in the calendar, often around an international break, can make it a potential minefield for rotation and injuries.

Investment in some of Stoke City’s cut-price players is among the potential opportunities open in 2016/17’s Gameweek 8: the Potters now embark on a lengthy run of “easy” match-ups. In our discussion on the Stoke’ schedule we found out whether you are willing to take a risk on the fixtures improving their form.

Another team garnering interest is Tottenham Hotspur, particularly their defenders. As Dino’s hot topic shows, while the likes of Kyle Walker are expensive, they offer considerable points potential for those with some spare change in the bank.

For those looking for some less popular, under the radar options Worzel Gummidge’s hot topic will appeal. There were further differential striker options on offer in our discussion on the best front three to have for Gameweek 8 and beyond.

Chelsea’s Diego Costa may be one card away from a ban, but KTK Interiesta thinks on current form the Premier League’s top goalscorer this term is being unfairly overlooked for one of the three FPL striker roles.

International injuries are just one of the traditional Gameweek 8 pitfalls. Luckily knocks and niggles to the likes of Everton striker Romelu Lukaku looked to have passed. However, there are still concerns that fatigue could curtail the minutes of some of the Premier League’s more well-travelled players, in particular, Arsenal’s Chilean midfielder Alexis Sanchez and Aguero, who played 163 minutes for Argentina during the international break. MNR96 has been looking closely at their minutes for their national squads in his discussion on whether the pair will start or be asked to take a rest this weekend.

One player that is in no danger of fatigue is Wayne Rooney, who was dropped from England’s starting line-up for their Tuesday night clash with Slovenia. His axing from both the England and Manchester United first XI prompted us to start a discussion on other Premier League stars, who look to have passed their sell by date.

Finally, Gameweek 7 proved another poor week for our Scout Picks, but at least the Scoutcast team did well with their successful differential picks, according to Andy85wsm’s review.

The Members Tables

The analyser has taken a look at the best midfielders to choose from. For best results this table should be sorted by either chances created or goal attempts.

Also, here’a reminder that I turned Rakkhi’s One Stat To Rule Them All analysis into a Members table last year. Click here to see the latest accurate chancers with the potential to rack up the points over the coming weeks.

If you’re a member and are yet to get to grips with the custom statistics tables, you can view this movie for an explanation of how they work. Also, remember to tag them so that people can find the tables with ease.

J0E Podcaster and writer. Tweets stats and stuff via @FFScout_Joe Follow them on Twitter

  1. Kingmasson
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    I'm back on reinvigorated by Evs and his cry for help. Just proves that even the best aren't immortal!.

    Anyway:- What do you experts reckon?.

    Byram to Smith or
    Capoue to Arnautovic

    1ft only and for the record I'm in Evs top 50 world 2013 league but have lost my way again!.

  2. YouReds
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    How's this for a 325th wildcard effort

    Foster Pickford
    Mustafi Vertonghen Lovren Pieters Amat
    Sanchez Walcott Firmino Snoddy 4.4
    Aguero Lukaku Benteke

    I'd appreciate your opinions on:
    1) Benteke + Vertonghen
    2) Deeney + Walker

    1. Jehstafari
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      I like it, very similar to mine below

      1

    2. liiusions
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      1, think Benteke will get 15-20 this season

    3. PatrickLee
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      yup, 1.

    4. FPL Emu
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      I see you have Lukaku. What's your opinion on him? He's just worth it over Benteke even with price difference, isn't he?

  3. Jehstafari
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Thoughts on this WC ?

    Jakupovic Pickford
    Bellerin Stones Pieters Holebas Amat
    Sanchez Walcott Coutinho Snodgrass Marney
    Costa Aguero Benteke

    1. Hurricane Gilbert
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Yeah. Jaku to Grant and Stones to Lovren

    2. badgerboy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Marney to De Roon saves you .1m. Loose Jakupovic.

  4. SheBangsTheDrums
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Play Holebas or Stones this week?

    1. sully29
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Holebas

  5. FPL_DON
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    why all the hype around heaton and cheap GK's?

    1. Pariße
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Save points.

      1. FPL_DON
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        thank you!

    2. Puyol Pants Up
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Check top scoring GK's 😛

      1. FPL_DON
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        very true haha

  6. FPL Emu
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    God, I need to go to bed, getting up soon. Please help me just decide this once and for all, and I'll be forever indebted 🙂

    I missed out on going Antonio and Ibra to Sanchez and Benteke. Now I have to do one of these instead:

    A) Sterling instead of Antonio out

    B) Deeney instead of Benteke in

    C) Payet and Lukaku instead of Sanchez and Benteke

    D) Sterling to Walcott (no hit)

    1. Hurricane Gilbert
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      D

    2. sully29
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      B

    3. Brazooka
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      D

  7. Bruno Bruno!!
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    surprised people arent considering Callum wilson for this GW

    1. Hurricane Gilbert
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      I am

      1. Bruno Bruno!!
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        hattrick incomming like against westham last year?

        1. Hurricane Gilbert
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 5 months ago

          Really hope so!

          1. Hurricane Gilbert
            • 10 Years
            9 years, 5 months ago

            Although he was on my bench that GW...

            1. Bruno Bruno!!
              • 10 Years
              9 years, 5 months ago

              i think i made the mistake of triple captaining him before the gw but it paid off

  8. Lecky Legs FC
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    How many (C)osta captainers are there this GW lets see those hands.

    1. liiusions
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Early kick off, good luck

      1. Lecky Legs FC
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        I know can't wait.

    2. Football Weekender
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Me. Early kick-off has me all nervous though!

      1. Lecky Legs FC
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        Likewise mate he's either hot or cold on his day here's hoping for a big haul.

    3. FPL Virgin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      I had it on Aguero but Jonty is convincing me to go Costa.

      1. Lecky Legs FC
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        Do it could go either way like with Diego but it will be a end to end game hope he gets a big haul.

  9. phace
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    A) Bellerin

    or

    B) Rose

    1. liiusions
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      A easily

    2. Kevin Twine
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      A

      1. Brazooka
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        A

    3. Hurricane Gilbert
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      A

  10. zuzuViking
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    RMWCT if you please: 1-10

    Lloris
    Koschielny Walker vanDijk
    Sanzhez Walcott Son Tadic Snodgrass
    Aguero Benteke

    Pickford, Smith, Diomande, Amat

    0 in bank.

    1. Weasel Boy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Very nice
      9

      1. Weasel Boy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        Oh wait
        8

        No Liverpool cover.

  11. Puyol Pants Up
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    For those on a WC are you all keeping Amat?

    He could possibly be dropped under the new manager.

    1. Sharpe Shuffle
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Keeping. Still the best 4m defender I think

    2. Edwardio
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      For Kingsley right ?

    3. Petr Cech the Table
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Back to square one. Sigh.

  12. Rum Ham
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Repost.

    Costa. Four yellows. Worth bringing in or keeping Lukaku?

    1. Puyol Pants Up
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      I'd keep Lukaku

      1. Rum Ham
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        Better fixture next week also. Think I've probably missed a lot of the Costa haul already. Thanks.

  13. For Fuchs Sake
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Jaku Pickford
    Williams Amat Lovren Holebas Smith
    Sanchez Antonio Capoue Sterling Firmino
    Kun Luk Deeney

    Have 2FT, so want to at least one, but can't upgrade defence without changing mids

    Ideas?

    1. SheBangsTheDrums
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Any £ ITB? I'd downgrade Capoue to a 4.4 and look to bring in an Arsenal defender.

    2. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Deeney to Callum Wilson or Antonio to Snodgrass to free up cash to upgrade defence next week

    3. Jaymar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      i have basically same team and just did antonio to iwobi and williams to kosh..

    4. badgerboy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Do some housekeeping. Capoue to a cheaper 5th mid, De Roon/Fletcher, bank the cash roll the other FT.

    5. For Fuchs Sake
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      sorry yes 0.3m ITB

  14. Hurricane Gilbert
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    A) Callum Wilson
    B) Chaz Austin

    1. Lecky Legs FC
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      B

      1. Hurricane Gilbert
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        Even during those hard fixtures Pete?

    2. Puyol Pants Up
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      A

    3. Brazooka
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      A

  15. Yank Revolution
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Odds for Sterling playing? Pep's comment is not helpful...

  16. Gaztafari
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Finally settled on WC, don't sway me now:

    Marshall Pickford
    Mustafi Smith Holebas Pieters Amat
    Sanchez Fimino Walcott Snodgrass Fletcher
    Aguero (V) Costa (C) Benteke

    1. Edwardio
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Drop Amat for Kingsley

  17. Gooner97
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    GW 8 2014/15 - 4 goals - 19 points
    GW 8 2015/16 - 5 goals - 25 points
    GW 8 2016/17 - ?

    1. Gooner97
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Aguero record

    2. FPL Emu
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Doesn't mean anything

    3. Geezer
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Wow

    4. Weasel Boy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Two years ago it was Spurs and they were not the side they are now.
      Last year it was Newcastle.
      They were terrible and got relegated.

      Cant see Everton getting duffed.

  18. vova
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Who should I play? Pick one:

    A) Walker (wba)
    B) Smith (HUL)
    C) Pieters (SUN)

    1. Yank Revolution
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      A

    2. Hurricane Gilbert
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Why don't play Walker and Smith?

  19. Puyol Pants Up
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Oh how tempting it is to captain Mane....

    1. FPL Emu
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Not the worst shout

  20. Twelve years a slave
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Antonio or not Antonio that is the question

    1. FPL Emu
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Indeed.

    2. Yank Revolution
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Two good fixtures, Im gonna hold

    3. Gooner97
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Fixtures are not that bad, but I don't trust West Ham anymore

    4. Brazooka
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Just keep him.

    5. Gaztafari
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      I'm on WC and really want to squeeze him in for SUN next week but Walcott and Son just trump him.

    6. Gizzachance
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      gonna hold for next two, palace not kept a cs, then sunderland next
      top scoring midfielder 5 goals, on same goals as kun, lukaku {only costa more with 6} good price compared to other expensive mids

    7. RedLightning
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Whether 'tis nobler in the mind to suffer the slings and arrows of outrageous fortune
      Or to take arms against a sea of troubles, and by opposing end them.

      Shakespeare clearly knew a lot about the problems of fantasy football!

  21. Totti
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    who is your captin?
    are u all going with sanchez and aguero?

    1. Weasel Boy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Yup Sanchez

  22. tm370
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Which looks better?
    A) Rose, Lallana/Antonio, Sanchez and Wilson
    B) Smith, Walcott, Mane and Lukaku
    C) Valencia, Antonio, Mane and Lukaku.

    1. Brazooka
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      A, everyone needs Sanchez for the coming weeks.

      1. tm370
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        Cheers.

  23. FPL Emu
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    It's this weird situation now where it doesn't feel right to sell any of your mids, but at the same time you know you have to get in an Arsenal mid (Sanchez or Walcott for these three fixtures)

    Firmino - Sterling - Antonio - Snod - Capoue

    What does one do? As a United fan it's tempting to ditch Firmino, but ... I dunno. Seems a bit stupid

    1. Yank Revolution
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Sterling Id say-- do u have funds to upgrade from Snod/Capoue?

    2. Hurricane Gilbert
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      I will ditch Sterling. This is the time to do it because of rotation and busy schedule

      1. FPL Emu
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        How busy is this schedule? Are any of the CL fixtures likely to need Sterling more than PL fixtures?

        1. Hurricane Gilbert
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 5 months ago

          Barca on tuesday, then barca again after West Brom in GW10. They face united in the EFL cup between these games too

      2. FPL Emu
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        Wow, they are playing Barcelona. Hm, is pep even going to play a player like Sterling away to them?

        1. Hurricane Gilbert
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 5 months ago

          Ofc he will do that - it's his best winger atm. Nolito and Sterling will play against Barca.

    3. tm370
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      I know exactly what you mean - it is an odd situation. Do not sell Firmino, because Liverpool have a great run of fixtures and he will be a big scorer.

      I think it should come down to Antonio, in view of West Ham's form, or else swapping out a striker and changing Capoue for Theo.

      But perhaps ignoring the Arsenal attacking option makes the most sense for now.

    4. PatrickLee
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      I'm also reluctant to hang on to a Liverpool player (also a United fan), but they've got a good run of fixtures. When Lallana is back he's good value, then I'd get Walcott.

    5. ZimZalabim
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      same issue here i have no arsenal players and dont want to sell any my mids and i have 2 FTs so im thinking either i sell capoue for a 4.4 mid and keep the 2 FTs or i sell sterling/antonio for walcott. Time is running out dunno what to do

    6. Edwardio
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Keep Sterling...

  24. Twelve years a slave
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    And does Valencia even need to be sold? Like everyone else im on autopilot to an Arsenal defernder, but is that really the best play?
    Valencia at 5.5 should be great value really, although he does not have the points to show it

    1. Dr Dream
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      I'm keeping him.

    2. FPL Virgin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      He's a season keeper. I wish I had him.

  25. PatrickLee
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Thoughts on my team please...

    Foster (Heaton)

    Francis, Valencia, Stones (Amat, Lovren)

    Capoue, Ozil, Townsend, Mane (Bolasie)

    Ageuro, Benteke, Lukaku.

    Thoughts welcome! Will be happy to reciprocate.

  26. Dušan Citizen
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Is it worth getting Tadic with those fixtures?

    1. Dr Dream
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Yes. Do you think City, Chelsea and Liverpool and co are tight at the back...I don't...I wouldn't bother with a Soton defender yet but Tadic looks like a good long term pick...

      1. Dušan Citizen
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        Cheers

        1. Dr Dream
          • 13 Years
          9 years, 5 months ago

          My son brought him in tonight which has naffed me off a bit tbh...

  27. SheBangsTheDrums
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    I really want to captain Sanchez this week but was burnt after captaining his cameo after the last international break!

    Anyone in the same boat? Who are you giving the armband too?

    1. Viper
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      I'm going Aguero. Look at his record in the previous 2 gwk 8 fixtures 😉

  28. CERVELO
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    What to do with this - 1FT

    Foster - Jaku
    Valencia Amat Baines McAuley Collins
    Sanchez Mane Sterling Capoue Bolaise
    Aguero Lukaku Rashford

    Use the transfer or save?

    1. maglia rosa
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Depends of the cash you have spare, shouldnt you have the cervelo sign as a grav? 😉

  29. Viper
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Which 1 to start?

    A. McAuley (TOT)

    B. Coleman (mci)

  30. andy85wsm
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Lukaku, Bolasie, Johnson to Austin, Walcott, Mustafi for -4 leaves me with:

    Pickford
    Baines - Mustafi - Holebas
    Firmino - Sterling - Walcott - Antonio
    Aguero - Ibra - Austin

    Heaton - Capoue - Lovren - Amat

    Any objections? 🙂

    1. Hurricane Gilbert
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Would prefer to downgrade Ibra. He doesn't live up to his price tag. Also just prefer Wilson to Austin.

    2. maglia rosa
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Not sure on Lukaku out tbh Andy.

    3. Sharpe Shuffle
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Keeping Ibra. Balls of steel

    4. ZimZalabim
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      looks good

    5. Puyol Pants Up
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Looks good!

    6. FPL Virgin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Much better!