Scout Notes
8 December 2020 488 comments
DavidMunday815 DavidMunday815
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Liverpool 4-0 Wolves

  • Goals: Mohamed Salah (£12.3m), Georginio Wijnaldum (£5.3m), Joel Matip (£5.4m)
  • Own goals: Nelson Semedo (£5.6m)
  • Assists: Jordan Henderson x2 (£5.4m), Salah, Sadio Mané (£12.0m)
  • Bonus points: Salah x3, J Henderson x2, Matip x2

RETURN OF THE KING

A kind run of fixtures and a first double-digit haul since returning from self-isolation has made Mohamed Salah (£12.3m) the hot topic of a Gameweek 12 trip to Fulham.

The Egyptian registered a goal and an assist as Liverpool ran out comfortable winners over Wolves on Sunday, becoming only the second team to put four goals past Nuno Espirito Santo’s men since their return to the Premier League in August 2018.

His 14-point haul was made all the more ominous for Fantasy Premier League managers as Diogo Jota (£7.0m), a recent emerging alternative option, watched from the bench for 73 minutes before registering a one-point cameo.

Unsurprisingly, Salah is now the second-most signed player for Gameweek 12 when Liverpool travel to Fulham.

More importantly, Salah’s long-term appeal stretches beyond Sunday’s trip to Craven Cottage as the Reds face Crystal Palace (away), West Bromwich Albion (home) and Newcastle (away) between then and Gameweek 16.

At the time of writing, the Egyptian is owned by 32% of Fantasy managers; relatively low by his historic standards.

Meanwhile, more managers inside the top 10k own Jota than Salah. Therefore, the differential potential is still there for him, although it is unlikely to last too long considering the volume of new backers he is picking up for Gameweek 12.

REINFORCEMENTS

A clean sheet against Wolves is certainly something to be encouraged by for owners of Liverpool defensive assets 

Since the first match after Virgil van Dijk‘s (£6.3m) injury at Everton (against Ajax in October), the Reds have conceded six goals in 11 games in all competitions, keeping six clean sheets in the process.

However, there are several mitigating factors to consider for future investment.

Firstly, it must be said that Liverpool were helped in their latest shut-out by Wolves’ own problems.

This was their first match without Raúl Jiménez (£8.3m) who suffered a fractured skull against Arsenal.

Rather than replace the Mexican with Fabio Silva (£5.2m) in a straight swap, Nuno selected Daniel Podence (£5.4m) to lead the line with Pedro Neto (£5.6m) and Adama Traoré (£6.2m) providing the width.

Without Jiménez’s ability to hold the ball up and bring others into the game, Wolves lacked penetration and even when Traoré did manage to break free from Liverpool’s doubled-up marking, there was very little for the winger to aim at. As an aside, such a dynamic could bode well for Aston Villa’s defensive credentials in Gameweek 12, especially as they’ve conceded just two goals in four away matches this season.

It also, of course, also worth pointing out that Wolves generally struggle against Jurgen Klopp’s men. This was their eighth consecutive defeat to Liverpool, a run which has seen them concede 19 times and score just twice.

Meanwhile, the best way to invest in Liverpool’s defence is in flux once again. Budget options Caoimhin Kelleher (£4.5m) and Neco Williams (£3.9m) both benefitted from the clean sheet in goal and at right-back respectively.

However, Alisson (£5.9m) could be back from his hamstring injury in time for the Fulham game while Trent Alexander-Arnold (£7.2m) returned to action against Wolves, replacing Williams in the 68th minute.

FAB FOUR VS FLAT FOUR

Wolves have now used a four-man defence for three Premier League matches in a row, suggesting that Nuno intends to shift to a 4-3-3 formation longer term.

His team have been synonymous with a back-three and wing-backs since their return to the Premier League but those days could be over now.

Nuno first used this new system in the 1-1 draw against Southampton largely because of Conor Coady (£5.0m) and Romain Saïss (£5.1m) both missing out.

The fact that the back-four persists despite those two returning to the fold suggests it could be here to stay, bad news for Max Kilman (£4.3m) who has been omitted from the starting XI over the last two, unable to displace either one of Coady or Willy Boly (£5.5m) at centre-back.

That said, the results of this switch have not been too promising. Against Liverpool, Coady was more error-prone than usual, his poor chested control gifting Salah his early goal – only his third error leading to a goal in 87 Premier League matches.

Between Gameweeks 1 and 8, Wolves kept clean sheets in 50% of their matches and gave up 1.1 goals per game. Since moving to a back-four, they are yet to shut an opposing team out and have conceded two goals per game. It is early days, of course, but owners of Aston Villa and Chelsea attacking assets, their next two opponents may be buoyed by what they have seen so far.

Liverpool XI (4-3-3): Kelleher; Robertson, Fabinho, Matip, N Williams (Alexander-Arnold 68′); C Jones, Wijnaldum, J Henderson (Keïta 81′); Mané, Firmino (Jota 73′), Salah.

Wolverhampton Wanderers XI (4-3-3): Patrício; Marçal, Coady, Boly, Semedo; Neves (F Silva 62′), Moutinho, Dendoncker; Neto (Vitinha 79′), Podence (Aït-Nouri 71′), Traoré.

Lessons learned from FPL Gameweek 11

488 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. ChickenTikkaMoSalah
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 12 months ago

    Play DCL or Konsa?

    1. Champione
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 12 months ago

      DCL

    2. Pukki Blinders
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 12 months ago

      Benching DCL is not an option

  2. Champione
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 12 months ago

    Needs to go: Lamptey and Trossard, 1 FT, 0.2 ITB

    Have considered Lamptey > Dallas but don't want to double up on Leeds in defence. Alternatively I could do Trossard > Jota but needs to free up 0.9 from somewhere. Suggestions?

    Meslier
    Robertson Chilwell James Lamptey
    Salah KDB Bruno Grealish
    DCLBamford

    Steer Trossard Brewster Dunne

    1. Pat Bonner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 12 months ago

      Trossard to rafinha?

      1. Champione
        • 10 Years
        4 years, 12 months ago

        not sure on having three Leeds players. Not too much?

        1. Pat Bonner
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          4 years, 12 months ago

          Possibly, other option is to save and then get grealish in by downgrading the defence

  3. OBAMA
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 12 months ago

    Mendy / Nyland

    James / Walker / Coufal / Mitchel / Dunne

    KDB / Bruno / Son / Jota / Burke

    Kane / DCL / Watkins

    How do I bring in Salah? (0.1m ITB)

    Help would be much appreciated. Atm all I can think of is downgrade bruno for a hit and bring him back in next GW

    1. OBAMA
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 12 months ago

      or downgrade Kane -> Welbeck and do Jota -> Salah

      1. Footieboot
        • 4 Years
        4 years, 12 months ago

        In a similar kind of dilemma myself and the more I look at it, the more I feel like not going for Salah is the best move. Jota and Kane (C) feels much better than freaking Danny Welbz and Salah (C) especially if it requires a -4.

        1. OBAMA
          • 11 Years
          4 years, 12 months ago

          I have to take a hit next week if I want him anyway though - feel like I might as well pull trigger now since Salah plays Fulham

          1. JY84
            • 10 Years
            4 years, 12 months ago

            I am in a similar dilemma as u... Since most in my league hv Salah, i guess i can't risk not having him.... So i prob removing KDB for Salah this week... Removing KDB rather than Bruno due to e bigger loss i wld incur in price if i were to sell Bruno...
            In e subsequent weeks, when Leicester's fixtures become tougher, I will prob do a minus 4 n remove Vardy n Jota to get KDB back n another cheap forward (prob Watkins or Bamford).. .Not planning to take a minus 4 now coz I feel Vardy will do well against Brighton.. Wat do u think of my plan?

            1. OBAMA
              • 11 Years
              4 years, 12 months ago

              I don't like taking out KDB as you'll want him next week vs West Brom 100%

  4. The Final Boss
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 12 months ago

    Guys best way to get Salah

    A) robbo ziyech dcl to masuaku salah Watkins -8?
    B) vardy and ziyech to Watkins salah -4?
    C) or ziyech to jota for free?

    1. OBAMA
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 12 months ago

      C

    2. Rasping Drive
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      4 years, 12 months ago

      B

    3. Pariße
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 12 months ago

      Oh yeah B easily, Vardy and Ziyech are well worth selling.

  5. Baines on Toast...
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    4 years, 12 months ago

    Grealish got a lot better in the eyes of this site during his week off.

    DGW aside, he has a very tough run soon.

    1. Zimo
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 12 months ago

      He does well on the counter as seen in the Liverpool mauling so I'm not too fazed.

    2. FPL Theorist
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 12 months ago

      Still 4 weeks away. This community doesn't plan that far ahead.

    3. Team Bobcat
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 12 months ago

      Christmas is a trivk period. His appeal to me is guaranteed minutes as much as anything else. Zaha to me would have the same appeal for that reason despite tough fixtures also. Depends what you value in your team. Everyone valuessomething different

    4. Pat Bonner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 12 months ago

      Have you seen his next 4 fixtures? He’s a great pick and arguably the best value pick

    5. Karan_G14
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 12 months ago

      Only 3 tough fixtures between GW16-18. Otherwise his fixtures look good for attacking returns until GW30. And he's probably going to have two DGW fixtures during that period. A form hold for me unless attacking returns dry up.

  6. Pariße
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 12 months ago

    I see Dallas is becoming very popular, are you sure about Leeds’ defence?

    1. FPL Theorist
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 12 months ago

      People were fooled by the two clean sheets before Chelsea. Which were caused by me selling Meslier on my wildcard 😉

    2. Team Bobcat
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 12 months ago

      As sure as any other defence I guess Spurs or Che asside. Cheap guaranteed starter is what you get

      1. ShaunGoater123
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        4 years, 12 months ago

        with some attacking threat / sometimes plays OOP.

        can't ask for much more for 4.6m

      2. Pariße
        • 10 Years
        4 years, 12 months ago

        You’re just guessing. Leeds are 17th for shots conceded per game, likelihood of them keeping a CS is low. It doesn’t tell the whole story but Brighton are 2nd, Southampton 5th, Wolves 6th, West Ham 7th. All of those have cheap defenders available too.

  7. Moxon
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 12 months ago

    What to do with Cancelo?

    1. Pariße
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 12 months ago

      I’d be able to help if I knew what happened to Walker. If he’s fit then sell. I’m a happy owner of Dias.

      1. FPL Theorist
        • 6 Years
        4 years, 12 months ago

        I agree, I am keeping Dias. I'll probably sell Cancelo for James and be a sheep for a change.

  8. wagner is king
    • 15 Years
    4 years, 12 months ago

    I'm in a few mini leagues that have monthly prizes.
    we just had the first game week of the month and noticed when you click on December points it showed the the guy at the top with 90 even he took a -8.

    if you take hits does it not effect your monthly score?

    if this is right then I should be taking hits alot in the league with big monthly prizes.

    1. Pariße
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 12 months ago

      Depends on what rules you got in those mini leagues.

    2. Pat Bonner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 12 months ago

      It’s a bit of a fault in the game I think - the first week of the month it doesn’t take into account the hits. So you could take a mini wildcard at the start of each month to set up your team which a few guys in my mini league have done!

      1. Andy'81
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 12 months ago

        Agreed, my mini league used to take this into account and deduct the hit points manually for the monthly prizes until he couldnt be bothered to check them anymore and just scrapped it.

    3. Karan_G14
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 12 months ago

      Yes that is correct the Monthly FPL table on the official site does not include hits taken for the Gameweek at the start of the month.

      1. ShaunGoater123
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        4 years, 12 months ago

        i did not know this!

        Seems like a big miss from FPL and opens a can of worms in mini leagues doing monthly prizes

    4. Sean
      • 16 Years
      4 years, 12 months ago

      Had this problem last month, I lost by exactly 4 points to a rival that took a -4 in GW8 that wasn't deducted from his total, to make it even worse he also used bench boost...

  9. waltzingmatildas
    • 15 Years
    4 years, 12 months ago

    A) kdb to Mané
    B) Kane and grealish to Salah and Watkins (-4)
    C) Kane and jota to Salah and brewster (-4) - soucek plays every week
    D) wc
    E) go without Salah, captain Kane or jota

    Mccarthy button
    Chilwell James dias ayling mitchell
    Kdb Bruno grealish jota soucek
    Kane DCL Bamford
    1ft 0.4itb

  10. Catenaccio FC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 12 months ago

    Trivia Question
    How many different colors do you see on the fixture ticker?

  11. Steve The Spud
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 12 months ago

    Why is kdb all of a sudden essential and Bruno isn’t even tho bruno has 27 more points ?

    1. Iwantmorepointsthanks
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 12 months ago

      Recency bias.
      Hence some consider Zaha a better option than Grealish now

    2. Holmes
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 12 months ago

      He scored more last week 😉

  12. OBAMA
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 12 months ago

    Mendy / Nyland

    James / Walker / Coufal / Mitchel / Dunne

    KDB / Bruno / Son / Jota / Burke

    Kane / DCL / Watkins

    How do I bring in Salah? (0.1m ITB)

    Help would be much appreciated. Atm all I can think of is downgrade bruno for a hit and bring him back in next GW..

  13. gringo1000
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 12 months ago

    a) Salah plus wilson for a hit
    B) grealish and Kane, no Salah, no hits
    c) DCL to Wilson, no hit

    Which do you like? 🙂

  14. willos_wanderers
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    4 years, 12 months ago

    I have 2 FT. Do I:

    A) Jota, Robbo -> Son, Balbuena
    B) Save

    Current team:

    Martinez
    Justin, Lamptey, James, Zouma, Robbo
    Salah, Grealish, Bruno, Jota, Podence
    Kane, DCL, Brewster

  15. shabalala
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 12 months ago

    McCarthy
    Fofana Chillwel KWP Dallas
    Bruno Salah De Bruyne Grealish
    Kane DCL
    Bench: Button, Brewster, Killman, Ridiewald
    Should I change anything here?
    1FT 0,3 in bank, OR 90k