Spot the Differential
8 May 2025 212 comments
avfc82 avfc82
Share:

Gameweek 36 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is on the way, which allows us to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Brentford, Ipswich Town and Nottingham Forest, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

To qualify, the player should have an ownership of 5% or less.

MIKKEL DAMSGAARD

­­­FPL Gameweek 13 differentials: van Hecke, Amad + Damsgaard 2

  • FPL ownership: 1.2%
  • Price: £4.9m
  • GW36-38 fixtures: ips | FUL | wol

A favourable away fixture against Ipswich has seen us plump for Brentford playmaker Mikkel Damsgaard (£4.9m) as our headline differential.

The Bees will arrive at Portman Road on Saturday realistically needing to win in order to maintain their European qualification hopes.

Damsgaard has provided 11 assists this season, the third-most of any player.

His chance creation numbers, meanwhile, place him top among Brentford assets, having averaged a key pass every 45 minutes.

Damsgaard’s appeal is further boosted by the fact that Ipswich have struggled to prevent the opposition from creating chances, so moving between the lines, he is likely to find valuable space to exploit.

Above: Ipswich Town’s chances created conceded heatmap – last six matches

Damsgaard could get further joy from set plays, too.

That’s because Ipswich have conceded a league-worst five goals from such situations in their last six matches.

Furthermore, the Tractor Boys have only managed one clean sheet in their 17 home matches in 2024/25 and suffered a 4-3 defeat when the two teams met earlier this season.

While many Fantasy managers already own Damsgaard’s teammate Bryan Mbeumo (£8.2m), the fixtures look strong enough to consider the Danish schemer alongside him.

JULIO ENCISO

  • FPL ownership: 0.1%
  • Price: £5.4m
  • GW36-38 fixtures: BRE | lei | WHU

In the same fixture, Julio Enciso (£5.4m) is another cheap midfielder worth considering.

The 21-year-old, who joined Ipswich on loan from Brighton and Hove Albion in January, was the best player on the pitch at Goodison Park last week, showing his quality with a 30-yard screamer.

It was Enciso’s fourth attacking return in six matches.

He’s also produced 14 shots and six key passes over that same timeframe, placing him among the top FPL midfielders.

“He has an incredible show reel for a young player certainly. It is in some ways frustrating we’ve not had him for more of the season as he arrived late and had an injury pretty soon after coming. That individual quality which pretty much every team at this level has lots of can win you points and win you games and Julio is certainly one who has that.

“We’ve enjoyed having him and it is testament to him how he is working for the group because he is a loan player here for a short while and he’s not quite been able to get the momentum up that we would have wanted earlier enough in the season. He made a big difference for us today, a big difference at Stamford Bridge [where he scored in a 2-2 draw] and Bournemouth and we would have loved to have had him earlier.” – Kieran McKenna

Given his long-range shooting ability, Brentford are perhaps the ideal opponent.

That’s because Thomas Frank’s side have conceded more shots from outside the box than any other team this season:

It’s partly by design, of course, as the Bees are excellent at limiting opponents to low-quality shooting opportunities, but at the same time, it could play into the hands of Enciso.

Two favourable fixtures follow, too, with a trip to Leicester City and a home encounter against West Ham United on the final day.

Enciso therefore represents plenty of upside as a differential for Fantasy managers in need of a late-season push.

NECO WILLIAMS

­­­FPL Gameweek 36 differentials: Damsgaard, Enciso + Williams

  • FPL ownership: 3.8%
  • Price: £4.5m
  • GW36-38 fixtures: LEI | whu | CHE

Neco Williams (£4.5m) represents a viable route into Nottingham Forest’s resilient rearguard.

No team has seen their defence breached on fewer occasions than Nuno Espirito Santo’s side on home turf this season, so it’s no wonder Matz Sels (£5.2m), Nikola Milenkovic (£5.2m) and Ola Aina (£5.2m) are heavily-backed options.

Williams, however, comes with the obvious upside that he’s priced below the other starters in Forest’s backline.

He also carries a bit of open-play goal threat, having averaged a shot every 63.8 minutes in 2024/25, a figure which is only bettered by three other FPL defenders with significant minutes:

Furthermore, Williams has created eight chances for his teammates in his last six matches, placing him joint-seventh among his positional peers.

Clean sheets are the bread and butter of any FPL defender, however, and Forest have eight of those at home this term, the most of any side in the division.

Although they have struggled to shut out teams of late, with no clean sheets in their last five matches, the scoring form of Leicester is far from prolific.

Indeed, the Foxes visit the City Ground having only registered two away goals in their previous six road trips.

Williams could prove a canny acquisition, then, bearing in mind Forest also visit West Ham in Gameweek 37.



212 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. have you seen cyan
    • 6 Years
    7 months, 12 hours ago

    If you think about it, whoever wins the Europa league has had a more successful season than Arsenal.

    1. FantasyClub
      • 4 Years
      7 months, 12 hours ago

      Lmao

    2. The Suspended One
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      7 months, 11 hours ago

      Hell, winning the conference league is more than they won

  2. The FPL Units
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    7 months, 11 hours ago

    Which one?

    A Isak & Salah => Haaland & KdB
    B Isak & Sarr => Wissa & KdB
    D Hold

    1. FantasyClub
      • 4 Years
      7 months, 11 hours ago

      B

    2. FantasyClub
      • 4 Years
      7 months, 11 hours ago

      Don’t mind A but not to Haaland

      1. Letsgo!
        • 9 Years
        7 months, 11 hours ago

        And why? What if u know he start

        1. FantasyClub
          • 4 Years
          7 months, 11 hours ago

          If he starts yes but I doubt we’re gonna know

    3. The Suspended One
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      7 months, 11 hours ago

      Sell sarr for Rogers or something

  3. FantasyClub
    • 4 Years
    7 months, 11 hours ago

    Can I change the AM as much as I like before deadline without a hit?

    1. The Suspended One
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      7 months, 11 hours ago

      Only first week I believe, afterwards it’s a hit

    2. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      7 months, 11 hours ago

      Not sure you can once you lock in a pick.

      1. The Suspended One
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        7 months, 11 hours ago

        Looks like you’re right

        Excluding the initial transfer in, any subsequent changes to your manager will cost a saved transfer

      2. FantasyClub
        • 4 Years
        7 months, 10 hours ago

        Thanks mate

    3. Mozumbus
      • 4 Years
      7 months, 11 hours ago

      No

  4. FantasyClub
    • 4 Years
    7 months, 11 hours ago

    Also what time is price changes?

    1. Sheffield Wednesday
      • 5 Years
      7 months, 11 hours ago

      01:30am UTC [GMT] all season, every season.

      1. Benedict_Alexander_Arnold
        • 1 Year
        7 months, 10 hours ago

        Given how incredibly often this question is asked, maybe adding a ticking Price Change click at the top of the site/every page would be a good idea. I haven’t been here long but nonetheless I would be rich if I had a £ for every time it’s asked

        1. The Knights Template
          • 12 Years
          7 months, 9 hours ago

          I’d also like to see a nudist alarm added to the site!

  5. Sheffield Wednesday
    • 5 Years
    7 months, 11 hours ago

    So Spurs & ManU - do they field a weaker team this weekend, or next Friday, or both?

    1. The Suspended One
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      7 months, 11 hours ago

      Weaker than … other teams?

      Every week.

      1. Benedict_Alexander_Arnold
        • 1 Year
        7 months, 10 hours ago

        Bravo

  6. Bruno Commando
    • 11 Years
    7 months, 11 hours ago

    Would you sell Foden for KDB using point hit?

    1. The Suspended One
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      7 months, 11 hours ago

      Probably. Can you go back and do it last week?

      1. Bruno Commando
        • 11 Years
        7 months, 11 hours ago

        I would even strip Mbeumo of the captaincy and put it on KDB!

    2. FantasyClub
      • 4 Years
      7 months, 11 hours ago

      Yep

      1. Bruno Commando
        • 11 Years
        7 months, 11 hours ago

        Thanks!

  7. Letsgo!
    • 9 Years
    7 months, 11 hours ago

    Start sels or flekken?
    Will be starting milenkovic, not sure if should double up

    1. The Suspended One
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      7 months, 11 hours ago

      Gotta play sels if you have him

    2. FantasyClub
      • 4 Years
      7 months, 11 hours ago

      Sels

  8. kanuforpresident
    • 3 Years
    7 months, 11 hours ago

    Chasing: 50 pts off. I have BB, he has no chips left. Need to take some risks.

    Raya
    Munoz Gvardiol Kerkez
    Merino Rogers Mbeumo Salah
    Marmoush Isak Mateta
    Subs: Areola, Sarr, Konate, Burn

    A) BB
    B) Save for later

    1. Merino, Mateta -> Elanga, Wissa (-4)
    2. Above -> Elanga, Wood
    3. Above -> KDB + cheap FWD
    4. Merino, Konate -> Elanga, Sessegnon

    1. The Suspended One
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      7 months, 11 hours ago

      Your only chance is differential C selections hitting

      Hit kills the BB, just do Mateta to Wissa or Wood.

    2. Haa-lala-land
      • 5 Years
      7 months, 6 hours ago

      Probably keep Merino and BB in 38.
      Lose Isak because everyone will own him and you won't make ground with him.

  9. rainy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 10 Years
    7 months, 11 hours ago

    Price changes 9th May

    Rises: Elanga 5.5, Schade 5.2

    Falls: Salah 13.7, Mateta 7.6

    1. Mozumbus
      • 4 Years
      7 months, 11 hours ago

      Cheers rainy

    2. Andy_Social
      • 13 Years
      7 months, 10 hours ago

      0-2, late transfer costs me this week
      Cheers, Rainy

    3. nanxun
      • 4 Years
      7 months, 10 hours ago

      Thx, as always!

    4. Haa-lala-land
      • 5 Years
      7 months, 6 hours ago

      Is this the first time this season that Salah has dropped?

      1. rainy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 10 Years
        7 months, 6 hours ago

        The fourth, in fact
        02 Oct 12.7
        18 Oct 12.6
        15 Mar 13.7
        09 May 13.7

        1. Men in green tights
          • 7 Years
          7 months, 6 hours ago

          Advantage of changing message when mistyping numbers.
          Cheers Rainy

          1. rainy
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • Has Moderation Rights
            • 10 Years
            7 months, 5 hours ago

            Some cheeky archer robbed £4m off the last figure

  10. niaz1982
    • 6 Years
    7 months, 9 hours ago

    Current team

    Martinez
    Ruben Gvardiol Munoz
    Sarr Rogers Salah Saka
    Marmoush Mateta Isak

    Subs: Raya, timber, burn, Murphy
    2FT £0.7M ITB

    A. Roll sub
    B. Mateta & Saka/Sarr > Wissa & Schade
    C. Mateta & Saka/Sarr > Wissa & Mbuemo
    D. Mateta & Saka/Sarr > Wissa & Bowen
    E. Something else

  11. Letsgo!
    • 9 Years
    7 months, 8 hours ago

    Salah to kdb for -4
    Or rogers to kdb for -4?

    1. Skogen89
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      7 months, 7 hours ago

      Lol do you want salah or Rogers in your team? Really?

  12. BIGREDDOG
    • 8 Years
    7 months, 8 hours ago

    Salah to Palmer for the brave and true?

  13. DavvaMC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    7 months, 7 hours ago

    Not sure what to do here? I have 1 FT don't mid taking a hit.

    A. Trossard > Bowen
    B. Savinho > Elanga
    C. Any other moves?

    Martinez
    Konsa / Munoz / Gvardiol
    Mbuemo / Savinho / Salah / Saka
    Marmoush / Isak / Wissa

    Raya | Trossard | Konate | Kerkez

    Thanks

    1. Punned It
        7 months, 6 hours ago

        Maybe Trossard > Bowen, no sense in double Arsenal attack. Although I'd fancy Trossard over Saka (but that's prolly just me).

    2. -GK22-
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 months, 7 hours ago

      Anything worth a transfer below, not sold on palace players or rogers tbh

      Also bench seem odd

      Emi
      Konsa, Gvardiol, Livramento
      Salah, Bowen, Mbuemo, Rogers
      Isak, Wissa, Marmoush

      Raya, Sarr, Saliba, Munoz

      1. BIGREDDOG
        • 8 Years
        7 months, 7 hours ago

        Definitely play Sarr over Rogers and Munoz over Konsa/Livra. I’d save if I only had one FT.

    3. GW36 fixtures and clean sheet odds
      G-Whizz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 8 Years
      7 months, 7 hours ago

      GW36 fixture odds can be found here:
      https://prnt.sc/9TIPFQsFRQ_p
      (Provided by williamhill.com)

      GW35 clean sheet results:
      MCI: 45% ✅
      EVE: 43% ❌
      AST: 37% ✅
      ARS: 36% ❌
      BRE: 35% ❌
      CRY: 31% ❌
      LEI: 29% ✅
      NFO: 29% ❌
      CHE: 26% ❌
      NEW: 24% ❌
      WHU: 24% ❌
      SOU: 23% ❌
      BHA: 22% ❌
      BOU: 21% ❌
      LIV: 20% ❌
      TOT: 20% ❌
      FUL: 18% ❌
      MNU: 15% ❌
      IPS: 18% ❌
      WOL: 11% ❌

      Highest weekly clean sheet % odds success rate this season currently: 41.46% (up from 40% on the previous GW)

      GW36 clean sheet odds:
      NFO: 49%
      MCI: 45%
      FUL: 18%
      MNU: 34%
      BRE: 32%
      LIV: 31%
      BOU: 26%
      BHA: 26%
      NEW: 26%
      WOL: 25%
      AST: 24%
      TOT: 24%
      EVE: 23%
      ARS: 22%
      CRY: 22%
      WHU: 20%
      CHE: 17%
      IPS: 15%
      LEI: 11%
      SOU: 8%
      (Provided by fantasyfootballpundit.com)

      Clean sheet totals:
      Liverpool: 14
      Nottingham Forest: 13
      Arsenal: 12
      Newcastle: 12
      Man City: 11 (+1)
      Crystal Palace: 10
      Everton: 10
      Chelsea: 9
      Man Utd: 9
      Bournemouth: 8
      Wolves: 8
      Aston Villa: 7 (+1)
      Brentford: 7
      Brighton: 6
      Spurs: 6
      West Ham: 6
      Fulham: 5
      Ipswich: 2
      Leicester: 2 (+1)
      Southampton: 2

      *(+1) denotes team kept a clean sheet in the past GW.

      Hope you all have a great GW and may your arrows be green 😀

      G

      1. The-Red-1
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        7 months, 6 hours ago

        Cheers, is Fulham meant to be 38% this week?

        1. G-Whizz
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 8 Years
          7 months, 6 hours ago

          Yes bruv, sorry my bad 😆

        2. Holmes
          • 12 Years
          7 months, 6 hours ago

          18% was better

          1. G-Whizz
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • Has Moderation Rights
            • 8 Years
            7 months, 6 hours ago

            LMAO 😀

      2. Mr. Eko
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        6 months, 29 days ago

        Maybe its a sign? (and Lukic out)

      3. Mr. Eko
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        6 months, 29 days ago

        5 clean sheets for Fulham all season - WOW

    4. The Mighty Whites
      • 10 Years
      7 months, 7 hours ago

      Start Murphy or Rogers?

      1. The 12th Man
        • 12 Years
        7 months, 6 hours ago

        Rogers

      2. My heart goes Salalalalah
        • 8 Years
        7 months, 6 hours ago

        Rogers

    5. The 12th Man
      • 12 Years
      7 months, 7 hours ago

      Is it worth using a Free Transfer to move a defender?

      I’m playing Gvardiol,Konsa,Munoz as it stands this week with Kiowah and Livramento on the bench.

      Was thinking Konsa to Ait Nouri or Williams.

      1. Sandy Ravage
        • 9 Years
        7 months, 6 hours ago

        Williams could be a handy differential

      2. Ajax Hamsterdam
        • 11 Years
        7 months, 6 hours ago

        save 100% imo

    6. Bavarian
      • 7 Years
      7 months, 6 hours ago

      Who to bench?

      A- Sarr (TOT Away)
      B- Bowen (MUN Away)

      1. My heart goes Salalalalah
        • 8 Years
        7 months, 6 hours ago

        Tough. Probably A as Bowen is talisman

    7. My heart goes Salalalalah
      • 8 Years
      7 months, 6 hours ago

      Morning all. Looking for some advice...
      1ft & 2.2itb

      Sels
      Milenko Munoz Gvardiol
      Mneumo Salah Rogers Bowen
      Isak Marmoush Mateta
      Raya Murphy Saliba Bradley

      Bowen to (K)dB only? Mateta to Wissa -4?

      1. My heart goes Salalalalah
        • 8 Years
        7 months, 6 hours ago

        Maybe save and Captain Mbeumo?

        1. Haa-lala-land
          • 5 Years
          7 months, 6 hours ago

          Captain Salalalalalalahhh?
          Liverpool will catch a shook Arsenal cold, and I've a snaky feeling that Liverpool could embarrass them.
          Salah double digit return, an under the radar pick!

          1. My heart goes Salalalalah
            • 8 Years
            7 months, 6 hours ago

            Juat owning this week ahould be enough. Until all the ghost ships sail by after his haul 😆

      2. Holmes
        • 12 Years
        7 months, 6 hours ago

        Mateta to Wissa. Cap Mbeumo/Wissa

        1. My heart goes Salalalalah
          • 8 Years
          7 months, 6 hours ago

          Cheers Holmes. Definitely in my thoughts. Don't you think Spurs will have all eyes on the Europa final though? Just 1 assist from Mateta and the move might not pay off at all.
          I guess those are the gambles this game is all about...

          1. Holmes
            • 12 Years
            7 months, 6 hours ago

            Same could be said for Palace FA cup final.

            Tough to predict really, save and Mbeumo cap is boring but possibly a safe approach. But you will have Mateta issue next week again.

            1. My heart goes Salalalalah
              • 8 Years
              7 months, 6 hours ago

              That's the insight I'm looking for! Sorted then. Will try and wait for Marmoush leak...

    8. gomez123
      • 12 Years
      7 months, 6 hours ago

      Start Rogers or Sarr

      1. Holmes
        • 12 Years
        7 months, 6 hours ago

        Sarr

      2. My heart goes Salalalalah
        • 8 Years
        7 months, 6 hours ago

        Sarr

    9. Els365
      • 3 Years
      7 months, 6 hours ago

      Have switched armband from Kdb to Wissa. I do not trust pep and with Haaland lurking, we might see rotations. Hope i wont regret the decision.

      1. Ajax Hamsterdam
        • 11 Years
        7 months, 6 hours ago

        gl 🙂

    10. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 11 Years
      7 months, 6 hours ago

      play raya or vert?

      1. Holmes
        • 12 Years
        7 months, 6 hours ago

        Vertonghen returns?

        I have both in draft, rolling with Verbruggen. (expecting both to concede tbh but Verburggen atleast makes some saves)

        1. Ajax Hamsterdam
          • 11 Years
          7 months, 6 hours ago

          cheers holmes.

    11. AD105
      • 9 Years
      7 months, 5 hours ago

      Best captain?

      A) KDB (sou)
      B) Wood (LEI)
      C) Mbeumo (ips)
      D) Wissa (ips)

      1. Sho-kun
        • 8 Years
        7 months, 5 hours ago

        C

    12. Atimis
      • 9 Years
      7 months, 5 hours ago

      Sarr to KDB -4? Not sure if I can stand the look of both Mateta and Sarr in my team anymore...

    13. Steavn8k
      • 2 Years
      7 months, 5 hours ago

      Who to bench?
      A: Murphy
      B: Rogers
      C: Mateta

      1. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
        • 9 Years
        7 months, 5 hours ago

        A

        1. Steavn8k
          • 2 Years
          7 months, 5 hours ago

          Cheers

    14. Nightcrawler
      • 6 Years
      7 months, 5 hours ago

      start kepa or areola?

      1. Sho-kun
        • 8 Years
        7 months, 5 hours ago

        Areola

    15. GC123
      • 4 Years
      7 months, 5 hours ago

      Morning all. Help please

      1. Salah & Pep
      2. De Bruyne & Frank

      Thanks

      1. Sho-kun
        • 8 Years
        7 months, 5 hours ago

        If u r chasing 2.

        1. GC123
          • 4 Years
          7 months, 5 hours ago

          Yeah joint 3rd in my ML. 1st is probably out of reach but I’d like to go for 2nd (15 points behind). I liked Pep as City could get 3/4 at Southampton. Tough call

    16. Sho-kun
      • 8 Years
      7 months, 5 hours ago

      For free:

      A) Mateta, Murphy, Saliba > Wissa, De Bruyne, RAN
      B) Mateta, Murphy, Munoz > Wissa, De Bruyne, Sessegnon

    17. Count Olaf
      • 1 Year
      7 months, 5 hours ago

      Do you think Marmoush, Haaland and DeBruyne can start together?
      Not worried so much about GW 36, as Haaland might not start, but Marmoush could be an issue in 37,38.

      1. Holmes
        • 12 Years
        7 months, 5 hours ago

        Yes

        -------------Haaland
        Marmoush-Kevin-Savio

        1. Count Olaf
          • 1 Year
          7 months, 5 hours ago

          That could work, Doku is the one that worries me.
          Thanks!

      2. Drizzle
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 2 Years
        7 months, 5 hours ago

        They can and they have. But it's just as likely they won't...

    18. dansmith1985
      • 3 Years
      7 months, 5 hours ago

      Start Saliba or Munoz?

      1. Steavn8k
        • 2 Years
        7 months, 5 hours ago

        Munoz