FPL
29 October 2025 552 comments
FPL Marc FPL Marc
Share:

Two weekend goals have caused Bryan Mbeumo (£8.2m) to be the most-bought Fantasy Premier League (FPL) player in the run-up to Gameweek 10. By Wednesday afternoon, he’s already reached 750,000 purchases.

However, while he’s ahead of costlier Manchester United teammate Bruno Fernandes (£8.9m) for points, committing to the Cameroon international isn’t a straightforward decision.

Using basic numbers, deeper stats from our Members Area and some additional context, let’s try to determine which midfielder is best.


RECENT FORM

It’s not just Mbeumo’s brace, but also his Gameweek 8 goal at Anfield, which followed an assist against Sunderland. Whereas Fernandes has only one attacking return over the last four Gameweeks.

During this period, Mbeumo dominates his colleague for both goals and points, while both have created the same number of big chances (two).

[GAMEWEEKS
6 TO 9]
FPL POINTSATTEMPTSSHOTS ON
TARGET
BIG
CHANCES
CHANCES
CREATED
xG (DELTA)xGI (DELTA)
FERNANDES14104291.54 (-1.54)2.17 (-1.17)
MBEUMO3286471.05 (+1.95)1.82 (+2.18)

Fernandes’ shots are more about quantity than quality, as Mbeumo makes up for his fewer efforts by having a high accuracy (85.7%).

Yet here we have a case of overachievement versus underachievement when it comes to expected goals (xG) and expected goal involvement (xGI) tallies.

Despite the worse FPL output from Gameweek 6, Fernandes has still outdone Mbeumo for both. Still, it’s worth remembering that the latter, when at Brentford, had 2024/25’s biggest xG Delta (+7.74), showing a recent history of beating the data.

GOAL THREAT


defensive contributions

FPL Marc Broadcaster, writer and overthinker. Hoping that ‘differential potential’ will catch on.

552 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. ‘Tis the Season
    • 7 Years
    1 month, 7 days ago

    Rio starts

    1. Moon Dog
        1 month, 7 days ago

        And Dowman. Some exciting youngsters on show tonight.

    2. RedLightning
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 15 Years
      1 month, 7 days ago

      New Community Article:
      https://www.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/2025/10/29/ffs-mini-leagues-and-community-competitions-gameweek-9-2

      The latest news from Last Man Standing, the Head-to-Head Leagues, the Live Hall of Fame and many FFS community mini-leagues after Gameweek 9.

    3. Stap
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 7 days ago

      Thiago or Welbeck?

      1. NoOneCares
          1 month, 7 days ago

          Wellbeck for me.

        • Wenger_In
            1 month, 7 days ago

            Welbz if he can stay fit.

        • Stranger Mings
          • 5 Years
          1 month, 7 days ago

          Is chabloah still a good pick? Chelsea have good fixs

          1. Punter
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 10 Years
            1 month, 7 days ago

            Great pick and price

            1. Stranger Mings
              • 5 Years
              1 month, 7 days ago

              Cheers

          2. NoOneCares
              1 month, 7 days ago

              Chelsea def is utter garbage, avoid.

              1. Stranger Mings
                • 5 Years
                1 month, 7 days ago

                Ok cheers other options senesi burn guehi

          3. Pep Roulette
            • 8 Years
            1 month, 7 days ago

            Saka captain?

          4. Punter
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 10 Years
            1 month, 7 days ago

            Rank these picks for most points next 4 game weeks:

            A) Anthony Gordon
            B) Ismaila Sarr
            C) Bruno G

            I think it’s C, B, A

            1. Haa-lala-land
              • 5 Years
              1 month, 7 days ago

              Bit if recency bias in your order perhaps.
              I like BrunoG's box crashing, but it could equally be Tonali to take over that role.
              I hope its C though because thats who i want to bring in

          5. el polako
            • 8 Years
            1 month, 7 days ago

            Weird that Gyokeres is not starting.
            Why Arteta is putting at risk ending his hot streak of scoring for fun?

            1. Qaiss
              • 9 Years
              1 month, 7 days ago

              He scored a brace last week

              1. NoOneCares
                  1 month, 7 days ago

                  World class.

                  1. Qaiss
                    • 9 Years
                    1 month, 7 days ago

                    So so good

                    1. NoOneCares
                        1 month, 7 days ago

                        Best striker in the league I reckon.

                    2. el polako
                      • 8 Years
                      1 month, 7 days ago

                      True, the scuffed shot was fully intended.

                    3. I have no Wirtz
                        1 month, 7 days ago

                        Almost as world class as another Scandinavian forward from Arsenal called Nicklas Bendtner.

                    4. el polako
                      • 8 Years
                      1 month, 7 days ago

                      He did.
                      Why not keep the momentum going?
                      Make it 3 goals in 7?

                  2. Old Man
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 14 Years
                    1 month, 7 days ago

                    I'm not so sure. We're 9 games into a 38 match campagn. Assuming that you'll be happy to leave Raya/Timber until your next Wild Card, is 4 points such a big cost for a genuine set-and-forget defender? That's the way I'm looking at it, for I am contemplating a hit for Raya+Kroupi to give me an extra Arsenal and a team reformat.

                    1. Old Man
                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                      • 14 Years
                      1 month, 7 days ago

                      Reply fail to SlinkyMinky below

                      1. Old Man
                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                        • 14 Years
                        1 month, 7 days ago

                        or even sminkypinky!! 😀

                        1. sminkypinky
                          • 14 Years
                          1 month, 7 days ago

                          😀

                          Cheers Old Man!

                          The thing is, I tend to forgive myself easier for the things I’ve done rather than the things I left undone.
                          Hits galore it is!

                          1. sminkypinky
                            • 14 Years
                            1 month, 7 days ago

                            Also, it would look like this beauty:

                            Raya Dubravka
                            Gab Timber Guehi Senesi Vdv
                            Semenyo Bruno Mbeumo Gakpo King
                            Haaland Thiago Mateta

                            Screams bench boost for gw11

                • sminkypinky
                  • 14 Years
                  1 month, 7 days ago

                  I only have Gabriel from Ars. Silly to take a hit on either
                  A) Vicario -> Raya
                  B) Andersen -> Timber?

                  1. sminkypinky
                    • 14 Years
                    1 month, 7 days ago

                    Oh, defence atm
                    Gabriel Vdv Guehi Senesi Andersen

                    1. JT11fc
                      • 7 Years
                      1 month, 7 days ago

                      B popular

                      1. sminkypinky
                        • 14 Years
                        1 month, 7 days ago

                        If I knew Andersen would be fit after this week I wouldn’t be interested but it looks like he’s out. And Senesi and Vdv have tough fixtures.
                        Maybe I should just bite the bullet.

                        1. sminkypinky
                          • 14 Years
                          1 month, 7 days ago

                          OR….. and hear me out, go all in and do both for -8?!

                          1. Old Man
                            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                            • 14 Years
                            1 month, 7 days ago

                            See my reply above

                • F4L
                  • 10 Years
                  1 month, 7 days ago

                  so much rotation from the bigger sides today, didnt expect that tbh. come on brighton/palace!

                  1. F4L
                    • 10 Years
                    1 month, 7 days ago

                    * and Wolves

                  2. Moon Dog
                      1 month, 7 days ago

                      The winner of the competition gets £100,000 - that doesn't even cover a day's worth of wages for these big sides. Makes sense not to take risks.

                      1. F4L
                        • 10 Years
                        1 month, 7 days ago

                        fair enough but its still silverware. anyways give me a QF line up of:

                        Brentford
                        Fulham
                        Cardiff
                        Brigthon
                        Palace
                        City
                        Wolves
                        Newcastle

                        and its happy days. let teams who actually want to win this competition win it + the chance of european football

                    • x.jim.x
                      • 11 Years
                      1 month, 7 days ago

                      Nobody cares about this tournament until they win it - even then, it's only rated marginally above the Charity Shield (a friendly)

                  3. JT11fc
                    • 7 Years
                    1 month, 7 days ago

                    Doku starting....cmn Pep, also Im sure Arteta said White had an injury setback..

                  4. Qaiss
                    • 9 Years
                    1 month, 7 days ago

                    As a Munoz and Sarr owner, when are they going to get a rest? Munoz is quite literally a machine

                    1. Moon Dog
                        1 month, 7 days ago

                        Palace wouldn't play them unless they believed the risk was minimal. Munoz and Sarr must have high levels of fitness.

                        1. Qaiss
                          • 9 Years
                          1 month, 7 days ago

                          Must do yeah. Not much depth in their squad though

                      • JT11fc
                        • 7 Years
                        1 month, 7 days ago

                        Thats what put me off Munoz

                    2. FPL Sanky
                      • 2 Years
                      1 month, 7 days ago

                      Eze starting today does not hold good for his involvement this weekend

                      1. Gizzachance
                        • 11 Years
                        1 month, 7 days ago

                        Was thinking same
                        Eze owner

                      2. Stranger Mings
                        • 5 Years
                        1 month, 6 days ago

                        Oh was getting on wc so hope comes off earluly

                    3. Count of Monte Hristo
                      • 12 Years
                      1 month, 7 days ago

                      That Liverpool lineup stinks to high heaven, bloody awful. Palace are going to win at a canter.

                      1. x.jim.x
                        • 11 Years
                        1 month, 7 days ago

                        Nketiah's starting mate

                        1. Count of Monte Hristo
                          • 12 Years
                          1 month, 7 days ago

                          He is a decoy. Do you see Muñoz, Sarr and Pino in the lineup?

                          1. x.jim.x
                            • 11 Years
                            1 month, 7 days ago

                            No actually - very sportsmanlike of them to match Liverpool's quality though

                            https://pbs.twimg.com/media/G4ag_dtW0AAgCVB?format=jpg&name=medium

                    4. AC/DC AFC
                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                      • 10 Years
                      1 month, 7 days ago

                      Howe went with a stronger starting side against Bradford City.

                      https://x.com/NUFC/status/1983606011819913337?t=XtgHYFULH-33MJ9eSsLsZQ&s=19

                    5. Nightcrawler
                      • 6 Years
                      1 month, 7 days ago

                      Read somewhere we might have dgw/blank in first half of the season if palace reached quarts if this comp

                      Looking likely after looking at the pool team, and more importantly, the subs

                        1. Nightcrawler
                          • 6 Years
                          1 month, 7 days ago

                          Thank you. FH or BB still u used so that would be ideal if that happens

                    6. Freshy
                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                      • 15 Years
                      1 month, 7 days ago

                      Pool sending out a sub optimal squad against a near optimal squad.
                      Gaffer does everything for a reason.

                      1. Freshy
                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                        • 15 Years
                        1 month, 7 days ago

                        Which match will you watch???????????/

                      2. x.jim.x
                        • 11 Years
                        1 month, 7 days ago

                        Reason = he's scared of getting sacked for losing again

                    7. Stevie B
                      • 15 Years
                      1 month, 7 days ago

                      What to do with this lot?

                      Pope, Dubravka,
                      Gabriel, Senesi, Guehi, Rondon, Alderete
                      Saka, Semenyo, Enzo, Sarr, Gordon
                      Haaland, Mateta, Woltemade

                      Sadly no money in the bank.

                      I am not happy with Gordon, Enzo and that I have not a second Arsenal defender.

                      Thank you and good luck!

                      1. Atimis
                        • 9 Years
                        1 month, 6 days ago

                        then roll

                    8. Atimis
                      • 9 Years
                      1 month, 7 days ago

                      Which one sounds better?

                      1. Saka Enzo 352
                      2. Saka Thiago/Welb 343
                      3. Eze Bruno 352
                      4. Eze Wolte 343

                      1. BR510
                          1 month, 6 days ago

                          Rice Bruno 352

                        • NoOneCares
                            1 month, 6 days ago

                            2

                        • Haa-lala-land
                          • 5 Years
                          1 month, 7 days ago

                          This season now we're a quarter of the way through, what i dont like is that defcons have lessened the impact of the value of an assist.

                          A defender and a midfielder getting an assist without defcons is only ever a point ahead of the other half dozen players who pick up defcons in the same game

                          And counting defcons during a game, is not as fun as it sounds 🙁

                          1. Freshy
                            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                            • 15 Years
                            1 month, 6 days ago

                            Be Creative - Defcons drinking game

                          2. White Pony
                            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                            • 7 Years
                            1 month, 6 days ago

                            I can’t say DC has improved how much I enjoy the game.

                        • BR510
                            1 month, 6 days ago

                            A. JP, KDH to Kroupi, Mbeumo
                            B. JP to Mateta (have sarr)
                            C. JP, Andersen, Enzo to Mateta, Mukiele, Mbeumo (-4)

                            1. Freshy
                              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                              • 15 Years
                              1 month, 6 days ago

                              B

                            2. Atimis
                              • 9 Years
                              1 month, 6 days ago

                              B but would be tempted by C

                          • Stranger Mings
                            • 5 Years
                            1 month, 6 days ago

                            Chabolah injured , dtopped or just rested toniht?

                            1. Cruyff's Eleven
                              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                              • 7 Years
                              1 month, 6 days ago

                              Who's this Chabolah people talk about?

                              1. Stranger Mings
                                • 5 Years
                                1 month, 6 days ago

                                Condidering on wc

                              2. Haa-lala-land
                                • 5 Years
                                1 month, 6 days ago

                                The Cheslea defneder

                                1. Stranger Mings
                                  • 5 Years
                                  1 month, 6 days ago

                                  Wolves & burnley up soon

                                2. Cruyff's Eleven
                                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                  • 7 Years
                                  1 month, 6 days ago

                                  Haha. That's funny. You made me laugh, thank you Sir.

                          • Amartey Partey
                            • 6 Years
                            1 month, 6 days ago

                            Did I see correctly that Haaland might have a niggle?

                            1. Freshy
                              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                              • 15 Years
                              1 month, 6 days ago

                              Yes
                              Still my permacap

                          • F4L
                            • 10 Years
                            1 month, 6 days ago

                            liverpool playing wing backs with a back 3. wonder if its something slot might use in the league to help defensive issues

                          • AC/DC AFC
                            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                            • 10 Years
                            1 month, 6 days ago

                            Swansea 1

                            Man City 0

                            1. Haa-lala-land
                              • 5 Years
                              1 month, 6 days ago

                              I was about to post great to see Ait Nouri back starting. Dont think I will now..

                              1. Count of Monte Hristo
                                • 12 Years
                                1 month, 6 days ago

                                Bald fraud no longer does defensive training with his players.

                            2. F4L
                              • 10 Years
                              1 month, 6 days ago

                              nice

                          • Brosstan
                            • 11 Years
                            1 month, 6 days ago

                            Why is Alderete still flagged. He was flagged before the weekend and played, but still flagged?

                            1. Haa-lala-land
                              • 5 Years
                              1 month, 6 days ago

                              I dont think he did play did he? I think Ballard might have played from memory

                              1. Brosstan
                                • 11 Years
                                1 month, 6 days ago

                                Oh thats right. My page showed he played "last game" but "last game" was the wolves game.

                            2. NoOneCares
                                1 month, 6 days ago

                                Try again.

                            3. estheblessed
                              • 10 Years
                              1 month, 6 days ago

                              Am I G2G here? Correct subs?

                              Raya
                              Alderete, Gabriel, Geuhi
                              Mbeumo, Semenyo, Sarr, Saka, Minteh
                              Mateta, Haaland

                              Dubravka, Thiago, Rodon, Senesi

                            4. Prinzhorn
                              • 4 Years
                              1 month, 6 days ago

                              What are we Richards owners doing this week?

                              1. White Pony
                                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                • 7 Years
                                1 month, 6 days ago

                                Am just gonna bench for Mukiele.

                              2. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
                                • 9 Years
                                1 month, 6 days ago

                                Have him as first sub

                                1. Prinzhorn
                                  • 4 Years
                                  1 month, 6 days ago

                                  Start Guiu or Doku instead?

                                  1. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
                                    • 9 Years
                                    1 month, 6 days ago

                                    Hmm, start Richards with Doku first sub
                                    Either Richards will start or not play at all imo

                                    1. Prinzhorn
                                      • 4 Years
                                      1 month, 6 days ago

                                      Agree

                            5. Baps Hunter
                              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                              • 8 Years
                              1 month, 6 days ago

                              Barnes missed great Wolte A

                            6. Wolfman180
                              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                              • 11 Years
                              1 month, 6 days ago

                              Play Semenyo or Kudus?

                              1. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
                                • 9 Years
                                1 month, 6 days ago

                                Semenyo

                            7. JT11fc
                              • 7 Years
                              1 month, 6 days ago

                              Acheampong could be 1st choice starter by Christmas