Spot the Differential
6 November 2025 259 comments
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Arsenal, Nottingham Forest and West Ham United assets are on our differentials radar in Gameweek 11 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL).

All three of these players have an ownership of 5% or lower.


MIKEL MERINO

  • FPL ownership: 0.6%
  • Price: £5.9m
  • GW11-15 fixtures: sun | TOT | che | BRE | avl

In the wake of Mikel Merino’s (£5.9m) impressive performance against Slavia Prague, the Spaniard’s differential appeal in Gameweek 11 cannot be ignored.

After a quiet first half, Merino burst into life by scoring two goals on Tuesday, one of which was a superb backwards header.

“It’s a joy to have him, I always say the same thing. It’s his versatility on the pitch, the things that he can do, it’s his mindset, it’s his leadership, it’s the way he is as a person. Today we are missing a lot of attacking players and we have to find different solutions, he comes in the Champions League and scores two goals.” – Mikel Arteta on Mikel Merino

Owing to that superb UEFA Champions League display and the likelihood that Viktor Gyokeres (£9.0m) will once again miss out through injury, Merino furnishes Fantasy managers with a unique route into an Arsenal side that is currently in excellent form, having secured 10 consecutive wins in all competitions.

During his temporary stint as a stand-in striker in 2024/25, Merino posted some very decent numbers, scoring four goals in six league matches from mid-February to April. In that period, he was either top or joint-top among Arsenal teammates for shots in the box, penalty box touches and expected goals (xG).

“My view was always that he had really good timing and the capacity to finish in the box, especially one-touch. And then talking to him and making sure that he plays closer to the box, and he identifies the opportunities, the timing, the way he needs to attack the spaces in relation to how they defend the box, which today was a bit different as well, the way they set up. And then it’s obviously his quality, his willingness to learn and practice every day.” – Mikel Arteta on Mikel Merino

Next on Arsenal’s itinerary is a trip to newly-promoted Sunderland, who have recorded two clean sheets in five home matches this season, whilst conceding only three goals.

That being said, they have only faced West Ham United, Brentford, Aston Villa, Wolverhampton Wanderers and Everton at the Stadium of Light, who are mostly bottom-half material for xG thus far.

For those with the Wildcard already booked in for the international break, Merino therefore looks the perfect gamble.

MORGAN GIBBS-WHITE

  • FPL ownership: 3.0%
  • Price: £7.3m
  • GW11-15 fixtures: LEE | liv | BHA | wol | eve

A favourable home fixture against Leeds United leads us to believe that Morgan Gibbs-White (£7.3m) can deliver in Gameweek 11.

The attacking midfielder was on the scoresheet in last week’s 2-2 draw with Manchester United, having previously converted a penalty against FC Porto in Europe.

Over the season, Gibbs-White is top among Nottingham Forest teammates for shots and penalty box touches, with 22 and 33 respectively.

In fact, when combining shots with key passes, Gibbs-White is ranked seventh among all Fantasy players:

Certainly, Leeds don’t appear to have the defensive resolve to deal with the Forest threat, particularly at the City Ground, where the Tricky Trees have scored four goals in two home matches in all competitions since the appointment of Sean Dyche.

Furthermore, Daniel Farke’s side arrive without a clean sheet on the road in 2025/26, having conceded 12 goals across five away matches, the most of any top-flight team except Burnley.

Upcoming encounters against Brighton and Hove Albion and Wolverhampton Wanderers over the next four Gameweeks mean Gibbs-White also has the platform to maintain form beyond Sunday’s clash.

So, with his confidence levels up and perhaps extra motivation gained to impress Thomas Tuchel (provided he’s named in the squad!), this may be a good time to take a punt on the England international.

LUCAS PAQUETA

­­­FPL Gameweek 4 differentials: Elliott, Truffert + Paqueta 4

  • FPL ownership: 2.6%
  • Price: £5.9m
  • GW11-15 fixtures: BUR | bou | LIV | mun | bha

Handed the No 10 role for West Ham United’s 3-1 win over Newcastle United on Sunday, Lucas Paqueta (£5.9m) now looks a much more enticing option for Fantasy managers.

In a performance full of attacking intent, the Brazilian international scored and created a big chance.

“I’ve spoken to him about many things. We need Lucas. I told him personally and the squad that being a No 10 is more than a number, it’s a symbol. That’s what we need from Lucas. We need him to help his teammates because they trust him. We know there is more to come from him, and we need him as a No 10.” – Nuno Espirito Santo on Lucas Paqueta

He wasn’t far away from gaining defensive contribution (DefCon) points, too, with one clearance, one block, one interception, four recoveries and three tackles in Gameweek 10.

Paqueta, who took and scored West Ham’s last penalty against Nottingham Forest in August, now hosts a Burnley side that have conceded 15 goals in five away matches, the most of any top-flight club.

Furthermore, the Clarets are bottom for shots conceded, shots in the box conceded and big chances concede.

They also rank 18th for key passes conceded from the centre zone, which should interest Paqueta, who leads the way at West Ham for chances created this season with 14.

The Hammers’ upcoming fixtures beyond Gameweek 11 may put off any would-be suitors, but with guaranteed minutes, open play attacking threat, penalties, corners/free-kicks and DefCon potential, Paqueta could be a very decent set-and-forget option for the busy upcoming period.  


259 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. OneTeamInBristol
    • 2 Years
    2 months, 29 days ago

    This game would had been perfect in the prem as a non Mateta owner!

    1. OneTeamInBristol
      • 2 Years
      2 months, 29 days ago

      (Sarr owner)

      1. Zalk
        • 14 Years
        2 months, 29 days ago

        Same setup for me and same agony last week. Two goals in the cup and Mateta scores on the weekend. This season has been a joke.

  2. Hughes Your Daddy
    • 13 Years
    2 months, 29 days ago

    Lovely ball from Mateta there for Sarr goal.

    1. The Bandit
      • 15 Years
      2 months, 29 days ago

      Hope they both come off soon.

  3. FPLMACKEM
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    2 months, 29 days ago

    Raya
    Gabriel, Richards, Senesi
    Bruno, Ndiaye, Semenyo, Sarr
    Gyokeres, Mateta, Haaland (c)

    Dubravka, Stach, Andersen, Rodon,

    3ft 0.6 itb.

    Not too sure what to do here. Not many strikers taking my fancy. So I'm thinking Gyokeres to Guiu and then Stach to either?

    A Enzo
    B Saka
    C Rice

    Who would you choose?

    1. Mr. O'Connell
      • 13 Years
      2 months, 29 days ago

      If Gyokores is fit, I'd roll again. 4 FT in int break would be good.

      1. FPLMACKEM
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        2 months, 29 days ago

        Not sure it's looking great for Gyokeres. Just trying to put a contingency plan together in the event he is injured.

    2. Bggz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      2 months, 29 days ago

      Welbeck? We have to start taking him seriously at some point

  4. Mr. O'Connell
    • 13 Years
    2 months, 29 days ago

    Sarr blank at the weekend gonna hit hard

    1. Bggz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      2 months, 29 days ago

      Tucking froll!

  5. The Bandit
    • 15 Years
    2 months, 29 days ago

    Apart from the assist, Mateta’s had a bit of a stinker.

  6. I have no Wirtz
      2 months, 29 days ago

      We like what we see. Who feels like captaining Sarr?

      1. Feanor
        • 16 Years
        2 months, 29 days ago

        Yup, he's bound to score 4 goals in 72 hours. Happens all the time !

      2. Mr. O'Connell
        • 13 Years
        2 months, 29 days ago

        Sarr owners at the weekend: https://youtu.be/87a7jH8U7WE?si=_ZI4z4k01Bo6YOHr

    • gooberman
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      2 months, 29 days ago

      Mateta is technically very poor.

      1. BUZZBOMB ♡
        • 11 Years
        2 months, 29 days ago

        What do you mean "technically"?

        1. gooberman
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          2 months, 29 days ago

          He has dodgy technique.

          1. BUZZBOMB ♡
            • 11 Years
            2 months, 29 days ago

            Not being funny but what do you mean "technique"?

            Missed the pen, yes and looks a little off the pace tonight but I'm just not sure what you are trying to say.

            1. Herger
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 4 Years
              2 months, 29 days ago

              I think Gooberman and Bennerman might be related

            2. gooberman
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 14 Years
              2 months, 29 days ago

              Technical ability.

      2. MJF
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        2 months, 29 days ago

        His header last week displayed great technique.

        1. gooberman
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          2 months, 29 days ago

          Yes it was but in general terms his technique is poor, demonstrated by that poor shot he dragged wide when through on goal. Very poor connection on the ball which is a lack of technique. Its often noticeable with him. Another example was that chance he had to win the game against Bournemouth when he blazed over from 5 yards. Absolute sitter but terrible technique.

    • F4L
      • 11 Years
      2 months, 29 days ago

      if you consider winning a pen 0.76 xA or whatever, sarr must be above 2 xGI from this match....maybe even 2.5

      1. Tonyawesome69
        • 7 Years
        2 months, 29 days ago

        That's not how xA works...

        1. F4L
          • 11 Years
          2 months, 29 days ago

          my bad. is it not though? like the pen kick is 0.76xG or close to that. i get winning the pen doesnt go down in the xA column in the stats but essentially its the same no? maybe im wrong idk

          1. Tonyawesome69
            • 7 Years
            2 months, 29 days ago

            xA does not equal xG

            There is no xA for winning a penalty as its a foul, xA measures the likelihood that a completed pass will lead to assisting a goal.

            1. x.jim.x
              • 11 Years
              2 months, 29 days ago

              What he’s saying makes sense for FPL purposes though

              1. Tonyawesome69
                • 7 Years
                2 months, 29 days ago

                The example of winning a penalty is categorised as a 'fantasy assist'. No xA is recorded for fantasy assists.

                https://www.statsperform.com/opta-event-definitions/

                1. x.jim.x
                  • 11 Years
                  2 months, 29 days ago

                  Yeah I know, he’s talking hypothetically

            2. No Professionals
              • 8 Years
              2 months, 29 days ago

              He said xGI not xG

              1. Tonyawesome69
                • 7 Years
                2 months, 29 days ago

                The person mentioned both xG and xGI. He assigned a value of 0.76xG for a penalty as 0.76xA and added this to his xGI since xA is not recorded for winning a penalty.

            3. F4L
              • 11 Years
              2 months, 29 days ago

              yeah you're right, sorry just meant in a more hypothetical sense. apologies for the misunderstanding

    • The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      2 months, 29 days ago

      Mateta captain this GW could be the go.

    • The Bandit
      • 15 Years
      2 months, 29 days ago

      Sarr rested

    • MetallicaJack93
      • 2 Years
      2 months, 29 days ago

      Bottomed

      Play Reijnders or Gakpo this week?

      1. #1 Salah Hater
        • 1 Year
        2 months, 29 days ago

        Reijnders higher chance of playing 30+ mins

      2. The Bandit
        • 15 Years
        2 months, 29 days ago

        I wouldn’t bank on either starting. I’d sell for someone nailed, Sarr?

        1. MetallicaJack93
          • 2 Years
          2 months, 29 days ago

          No ft, who would you play? Thanks

          1. MetallicaJack93
            • 2 Years
            2 months, 29 days ago

            Alternative is Guehi or Senesi

            1. The Bandit
              • 15 Years
              2 months, 29 days ago

              I’d play either of them over the two rotations risk mids. Guehi

              1. MetallicaJack93
                • 2 Years
                2 months, 29 days ago

                Thanks

              2. Radulfo28773
                • 4 Years
                2 months, 29 days ago

                Me too

    • The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      2 months, 29 days ago

      Sarr captain this GW could be the go.

    • FPL_WILDCARD
      • 8 Years
      2 months, 29 days ago

      Who gets more points over the next 3:

      Enzo - WOL(H), BUR(A), ARS(H)
      Ndiaye - FUL(H), MNU(A), NEW(H)

      1. Herger
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        2 months, 29 days ago

        Enzo doesn’t have to play Utd so him

      2. BUZZBOMB ♡
        • 11 Years
        2 months, 29 days ago

        Enzo. Target Wolves and a longer term keep.

    • I have no Wirtz
        2 months, 29 days ago

        Sarr at least gets his minutes managed, off at 65’. If you can only start one, Mateta or Sarr, who will it be at the weekend?

        1. The Bandit
          • 15 Years
          2 months, 29 days ago

          You have to start both.

          1. Haa-lala-land
            • 5 Years
            2 months, 29 days ago

            Brighton v Palace is always 1-1

            1. The Bandit
              • 15 Years
              2 months, 29 days ago

              Not this time.

              1. Zalk
                • 14 Years
                2 months, 29 days ago

                Six 1-1 in a nine game stretch...yep

                1. Tonyawesome69
                  • 7 Years
                  2 months, 29 days ago

                  "Brighton v Palace is always 1-1"

                  "Six 1-1 in a nine game stretch...yep"

                  Haha

            2. Hughes Your Daddy
              • 13 Years
              2 months, 29 days ago

              We did actually have 3 x 1-1 in a row 2021 to 2023. But recent years been 4-1 / 1-3 / 2-1

        2. The Knights Template
          • 12 Years
          2 months, 29 days ago

          Poor management!

        3. Tonyawesome69
          • 7 Years
          2 months, 29 days ago

          Makes no sense to have both if you don't plan to start them

        4. Hughes Your Daddy
          • 13 Years
          2 months, 29 days ago

          Its Brighton, so got to start both really.

      • boombaba
        • 13 Years
        2 months, 29 days ago

        Would you sell Gyokeres for mateta
        Or
        Play FH

        Raya Dub
        Calafiori VDV Rodon fodder fodder
        Salah Caidedo Rjeinders Semenyo
        Haaaland JP Gyokeres

        If I FH I would get Saka Merino and Gabriel to start

        1. XX SMICER XX
          • 7 Years
          2 months, 29 days ago

          Mateta

        2. Bggz
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 15 Years
          2 months, 29 days ago

          Wc

        3. boombaba
          • 13 Years
          2 months, 29 days ago

          Or fodder Gyokeres to Gabriel Thiago

      • MetallicaJack93
        • 2 Years
        2 months, 29 days ago

        Good to go?

        Pope
        Gab Timber Cala Guehi
        Mbeumo Semenyo Caicedo
        Haaland Mateta Woltemade
        Dub Senesi Gakpo Reijnders

      • theshazly
        • 2 Years
        2 months, 29 days ago

        Pope ( Dub )
        Timber Gabriel Guehi ( Diouf / Mukiele )
        Saka Semenyo Mbuemo Enzo Sarr
        Haaland Thiago ( DCL )

        Captain who ?

        And which combo to play from :

        A ) Diouf
        B ) Thiago
        1 ) Pope
        2 ) Dub

        1. XX SMICER XX
          • 7 Years
          2 months, 29 days ago

          Enzo is due a goal
          A1

      • Tinmen
        • 12 Years
        2 months, 29 days ago

        Folks, should I save ft or do Ekitike to Mateta ?

        1. XX SMICER XX
          • 7 Years
          2 months, 29 days ago

          I would hold for now. If Isak ends up being injured longer term then he is a great differential

        2. Bggz
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 15 Years
          2 months, 29 days ago

          Is there another way to mateta

        3. FplmorelikeFml
          • 1 Year
          2 months, 28 days ago

          I wouldn't. I'm personally thinking of bringing him in after the man city game especially if Isak is still injured

      • XX SMICER XX
        • 7 Years
        2 months, 29 days ago

        I need a defender for bench boost + long term 4th choice, upto 4.6m

        Defence is: Gabriel Timber Richards Diouf

        A. Andersen
        B. Cash
        C. Fofana
        D. Shaw
        E. Truffert
        F. Van Heckle

        I’m currently think Cash over Andersen due to No of shots he is taking

        1. boombaba
          • 13 Years
          2 months, 29 days ago

          F

        2. Haa-lala-land
          • 5 Years
          2 months, 29 days ago

          B, maybe E

        3. ted mcnure
          • 15 Years
          2 months, 29 days ago

          E

      • FCSB
        • 10 Years
        2 months, 29 days ago

        Raya
        Gabriel Senesi Munoz Van Hecke
        Bruno Semenyo Enzo Reijnders
        Haaland Mateta

        Dubravka Gyokeres Stach Gudmundsson

        1FT, 0.2itb

        Best option for this week?

        1. Save FT, lineup as above
        2. Gyokeres Reijnders >> Guiu Saka [-4]
        3. Gyokeres >> Pedro

        Thanks

        1. SomeoneKnows
          • 9 Years
          2 months, 29 days ago

          Gyokeres > Thiago

        2. BUZZBOMB ♡
          • 11 Years
          2 months, 29 days ago

          Pedro puts me off 3. Id go 1 and then 2 next week but with Rice and strengthen Rejinders spot.

        3. XX SMICER XX
          • 7 Years
          2 months, 29 days ago

          1
          Guiu won’t play
          Pedro is underwhelming

          1. ted mcnure
            • 15 Years
            2 months, 29 days ago

            This

        4. Bggz
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 15 Years
          2 months, 29 days ago

          Wait for 2ft

      • SomeoneKnows
        • 9 Years
        2 months, 29 days ago

        Bench one...

        A) Porro (MUN)
        B) Senesi (avl)
        C) Anthony (whu)

        1. XX SMICER XX
          • 7 Years
          2 months, 29 days ago

          C

        2. Bggz
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 15 Years
          2 months, 29 days ago

          A or c

      • Qaiss
        • 10 Years
        2 months, 29 days ago

        Saka seems to be flavour of this week

        1. Bggz
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 15 Years
          2 months, 29 days ago

          A wait for me. It would be good to have a premium option but three ars def is going really well for me atm

          1. Qaiss
            • 10 Years
            2 months, 29 days ago

            You don’t need to come off that. Saka isn’t worth £10.1

            People are just unsure of how to use the funds

            1. Qaiss
              • 10 Years
              2 months, 29 days ago

              And of course depends on what midfielders you have

        2. I have no Wirtz
            2 months, 29 days ago

            I heard someone say Rice

            1. Qaiss
              • 10 Years
              2 months, 29 days ago

              Rice is a great pick to set and forget

          • Tonyawesome69
            • 7 Years
            2 months, 29 days ago

            Funds available from downgrading Gyokeres

        3. MetallicaJack93
          • 2 Years
          2 months, 29 days ago

          Good to go?

          Pope
          Gab Timber Cala Guehi
          Mbeumo Semenyo Caicedo
          Haaland Mateta Woltemade
          Dub Senesi Gakpo Reijnders

          1. Dangles
            • 3 Years
            2 months, 29 days ago

            That's a deep bench! Yeh gtg

            1. MetallicaJack93
              • 2 Years
              2 months, 29 days ago

              Bench boost soon haha

        4. Denis Tueart on the wing
          • 15 Years
          2 months, 29 days ago

          can someone send me a link to the scout selections - thanks

          1. RUUD!
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 13 Years
            2 months, 29 days ago

            Article not been published yet

            1. Denis Tueart on the wing
              • 15 Years
              2 months, 29 days ago

              thanks, I'm in Africa and the format here is dodgy 😀

        5. x.jim.x
          • 11 Years
          2 months, 29 days ago

          Elliott gone 5 games on the bounce with 0 minutes now, and Liverpool fans were telling me he’d rip it up at Villa…

          1. Qaiss
            • 10 Years
            2 months, 29 days ago

            Isn’t there an obligation to buy if he plays a certain number of games?

            1. Denis Tueart on the wing
              • 15 Years
              2 months, 29 days ago

              Yes, what a waste of a talent. i'd have him on first team at Sunderland. hope it works out well for him soon!

            2. x.jim.x
              • 11 Years
              2 months, 29 days ago

              10 I think, no chance he gets that. He’ll get withdrawn and sent to the Champo in January probably.

        6. RUUD!
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          2 months, 29 days ago

          Might seem a little obvious but which is the better combo?

          A) Chalobah & Mbeumo
          B) James & Cunha
          C) James & Sarr

          1. Herger
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 4 Years
            2 months, 29 days ago

            The one that includes Mbeumo. Until Utd sign a proper striker he’s the main threat

        7. RICICLE
          • 3 Years
          2 months, 29 days ago

          It’s gonna be annoying when Saka hauls after everyone flocking to him, and there’s me going early on him collecting his mediocre points haha!

        8. Radulfo28773
          • 4 Years
          2 months, 29 days ago

          Totally lost on who to bench. Is this right?

          Raya
          Gabriel Calafiori Guehi Senesi
          Semenyo Grealish Mbeumo
          Haaland(C) Woltemade Mateta

          Dubravka VandeVen Gakpo Reijnders

          1. Dangles
            • 3 Years
            2 months, 29 days ago

            Gakpo > VdV imo. City always sieve at least one

        9. Buck The Trent
          • 14 Years
          2 months, 29 days ago

          Is it silly to use FT to do Mbuemo (tot, EVE) to Sarr (BHA, wol) ?

          Made money off Mbuemo transfer and actually prefer Bruno if I need to choose United asset

          1. Herger
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 4 Years
            2 months, 29 days ago

            Yeah, not a fan. Sesko’s averaging a goal every 5 minutes - if/when he gets dropped, it’s likely Mbeumo up top

            1. Herger
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 4 Years
              2 months, 29 days ago

              *goal every 5 games

        10. AC Pilkington
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          2 months, 29 days ago

          Did Palace assets come out tonight unscathed? No injuries?

          1. Haa-lala-land
            • 5 Years
            2 months, 28 days ago

            I think so, though Mateta missed a penalty so not sure what that means