Spot the Differential
11 December 2025 277 comments
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Our Gameweek 16 differentials column brings a trio of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) assets for your consideration.

All three of the players have an ownership of 5% or lower.


MICHAEL KAYODE

  • FPL ownership: 0.5%
  • Price: £4.5m
  • GW16-20 fixtures: LEE | wol | BOU | TOT | eve

A favourable match-up at home to Leeds United has us turn to Brentford defender Michael Kayode (£4.5m).

The Italian has enjoyed an impressive campaign thus far, offering a real threat down the right flank.

Indeed, Kayode is top or joint-top among Brentford players for chances created (17), dribbles (43) and final-third touches (243), while only Mikkel Damsgaard (£5.8m) and Jordan Henderson (£5.0m) have delivered more successful crosses (11).

His long throws are an important weapon, too, with the right-back launching more of them into the opponent’s penalty box than any other player (70).

13 of his long throws have been succeesful, another league-high.

Brentford are top of the Fixture Ticker over the next six Gameweeks, with Leeds United and Wolverhampton Wanderers up first.

It’s also important to mention that four of the next six fixtures are at the Gtech Community Stadium, where Keith Andrews’ side have been in fine form. They’ve won five of their seven home matches on home turf, only losing to Manchester City.

On top of the fixtures detailed above, Sunderland also visit west London in Gameweek 21.

It suggests Kayode, who sets us back just £4.5m in FPL, can be an effective differential for some time to come.


MATHEUS CUNHA

  • FPL ownership: 3.7%
  • Price: £7.9m
  • GW16-20 fixtures: BOU | avl | NEW | WOL | lee

Handed the striker role for Manchester United’s 4-1 win over Wolves, Matheus Cunha (£7.9m) looks like a solid differential ahead of Monday’s home meeting with Bournemouth.

The Brazilian racked up eight shots, including two Opta-defined ‘big chances’, in Gameweek 15.

He also created a couple of chances for his teammates.

Diving further into the underlying stats, Cunha has registered a goal attempt every 25.9 minutes this season. That’s a better rate than every other Man Utd player and only marginally behind Erling Haaland’s (£15.0m) 22.5 minutes per shot.

Even with 15 of his 33 efforts outside of the box, it suggests Cunha could flourish in the absence of Bryan Mbeumo (£8.4m) and Amad Diallo (£6.3m), who are set to depart for the Africa Cup of Nations (AFCON) next week.

Bournemouth arrive at Old Trafford winless in their last six matches. They’ve also conceded 19 goals on the road, the most of any side except Burnley.

Above: Teams sorted by goals conceded per 90 minutes (away matches only)

Additionally, United’s schedule over the medium term, particularly between Gameweeks 19 and 21 (WOL/lee/bur), is very favourable.

Owned by only 3.7% of FPL bosses, and with a very decent fixture outlook, Cunha consequently looks a tempting option for those Fantasy managers who need to make up lost ground.


DJED SPENCE

  • FPL ownership: 1.2%
  • Price: £4.3m
  • GW16-20 fixtures: nfo | LIV | cry | bre | SUN

At the cheaper end of the scale is Tottenham Hotspur’s Djed Spence (£4.3m).

The England international produced a solid display at left-back against Slavia Prague in midweek, frequently stepping into midfield.

He also offered a threat in behind, as well as linking up well with the ever-improving Xavi Simons (£6.5m) and Wilson Odobert (£5.3m), ending the match with one shot and three key passes, the most of any player on the pitch.

With Destiny Udogie (£4.4m) ruled out until January due to a hamstring injury, those relationships have the potential to further improve and flourish over the festive period.

Spence and Tottenham will next face a Nottingham Forest side that have scored just one goal in their last three matches.

Furthermore, the Tricky Trees have conceded the third-most key passes from the right flank since the appointment of Sean Dyche.

They’ll also encounter Brentford and Sunderland over the next five Gameweeks.

Setting us back only £4.3m, Spence can easily be benched in Gameweek 17, when Spurs entertain Liverpool.

Priced kindly, and owned by only 1.2% of FPL managers, Spence can provide a nice solution for Fantasy managers in need of a budget defender option.


277 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Yes Ndidi
    • 6 Years
    1 month, 22 days ago

    The Munoz news is a bit of a pain in the Arsenal to be honest. Having owned him since GW1, my cash-in is only 5.8m, and the plan was to make him my transfer next week, but with the Timber flag I think it's too risky to run with the following back line this week

    O'Reilly Timber van den Berg (van Hecke, Munoz) (would've started Munoz over O'Reilly or VDB as well - never bench Munoz)
    My preference is 4ATB with 3 premium & a H&A rotating pair

    Is it a really stupid idea to go back to Virgil now for 4 GWs until after LEE & WOL, & hope that Gabriel is back by then?

    No other defenders are really jumping out. I don't want Chalobah, because the minute Gabriel is back on the radar, Raya will become Sanchez to accommodate him.
    All this and trying to come up with a pathway to Bruno by GW19 without blowing the AFCON transfers at once

    1. Fiasco da Gama
        1 month, 22 days ago

        Andersen is a reasonable purchase and playable for three weeks. Dirt cheap too which should help to get Fernandes.

    2. Hughes Your Daddy
      • 13 Years
      1 month, 22 days ago

      Uche goal, Nketiah assist.

    3. Vasshin
      • 7 Years
      1 month, 22 days ago

      How does this wildcard team look?
      Kelleher
      Timber Hincapie Andersen
      Foden Gordon Saka(c) bruno Semenyo
      Haaland Thiago
      Dubravka Oreilley Guiu Esteve

      What should I do
      1. Keep, looks good
      2. Change Hincapie to Challobah or anyone under 5.4
      3. Anything else

      1. BR510
          1 month, 22 days ago

          2 and can you squeeze rice in there? If not just kelleher to verbruggen. He rotates so well with dubravka and a better defence

      2. Wonderful Wizard Hazard
        • 12 Years
        1 month, 22 days ago

        Really stuck on what to do with 4FT.

        Raya
        Munoz* Timber Senesi
        Saka Foden Semenyo Enzo
        Haaldn Thiago Wolemade
        Dubravka Esteve Gud King

        I'm tempted to do Munoz/Semenyo/Enzo -> Guehi/BrunoF/Wilson, and then I'd have one more transfer if I wanted to upgrade King or Gud and use BB this week. Perhaps Cash/Chalobah/Anderson would be better Munoz replacements this week, but think I'd rather just get in Gaehi now.

        1. I have no Wirtz
            1 month, 22 days ago

            Use only 1FT for Munoz>Chalobah. You will be gtg. Reassess next week.

            1. Wonderful Wizard Hazard
              • 12 Years
              1 month, 22 days ago

              Looking at Chelsea's next 5 fixtures again, they aren't great: EVE(H), new(A), AVL(H), BOU(H), mci(A).

              Cash at AVL does not have great fixtures either over the next 5.

              Guehi has some nice ones after MCI this week. Anderson and O'Reilly have decent fixtuers as well.

              Think I'd go for Guehi, Anderson or O'Reilly to replace Munoz.

              1. I have no Wirtz
                  1 month, 21 days ago

                  That sounds very good. Personally I currently have Timber, Senesi, O’Reilly, Guehi, Chalobah and feel comfortable.

                  1. Utopsis
                    • 6 Years
                    1 month, 21 days ago

                    Goodness me, that's an expensive defence! Benching headaches every week

                    1. I have no Wirtz
                        1 month, 21 days ago

                        Ha. Not when Timber and Senesi are yellow flagged. Actually soothing to have options. Midfield is my headache.

              2. theodosios
                • 8 Years
                1 month, 22 days ago

                I am in a same boat + have problems with Calafiori and De Ligt. Hmmm maybe Brentford defender? I’m seriously considering bringing in VDB or Kayode.

            2. Tony Soprano
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 6 Years
              1 month, 22 days ago

              Start 2 of these

              1. Livra
              2. Guehi
              3. VVD
              4. Alderete

              1. FPL Blow-In
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 13 Years
                1 month, 22 days ago

                1 & 3

            3. Hughes Your Daddy
              • 13 Years
              1 month, 22 days ago

              Nketiah goal, Uche assist this time. Seem to be linking up well

            4. Alexis Nonsense
              • 10 Years
              1 month, 22 days ago

              Which one for the long run:

              A) Andersen (DC dropping off, he's useless without DC, Fulham won't keep clean sheets)
              B) Cash (Tougher fixtures but exciting with attacking threat)
              C) Dalot (Same as Cash but is he nailed for starts?)

              1. Assisting the assister
                • 10 Years
                1 month, 22 days ago

                A

            5. Assisting the assister
              • 10 Years
              1 month, 22 days ago

              Best option here to replace Munoz
              A. Tark
              B. Chalobah

              Cheers

              1. Alexis Nonsense
                • 10 Years
                1 month, 22 days ago

                A

              2. JoeSoap
                • 12 Years
                1 month, 21 days ago

                Tark from 18 for me. Any other options?

            6. Henning
              • 11 Years
              1 month, 22 days ago

              Need some advice
              5ft

              Munoz out for
              1 Chalobah
              2 O'Reilly
              3. Andersen
              4. Tarkowski/Keane
              5. Guehi

              My other defenders are
              Timber Virgil Van de Ven and Rodon

              1. Assisting the assister
                • 10 Years
                1 month, 22 days ago

                Same am between 1 and 4

              2. Hughes Your Daddy
                • 13 Years
                1 month, 22 days ago

                I went 2

              3. Assisting the assister
                • 10 Years
                1 month, 22 days ago

                Got 2 already but he should be your pick

              4. Henning
                • 11 Years
                1 month, 22 days ago

                Thanks

            7. royals forever
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 16 Years
              1 month, 22 days ago

              For GWs 16 - 18 what’s the best combo

              Andersen, Eze & Bowen
              Alderete, Saka & DCL

              Any ideas would be appreciated

            8. Bobby Digital
              • 8 Years
              1 month, 22 days ago

              How's my team looking?

              Raya
              OReilly Timber Alderete
              Saka Mbeumo BrunoF Foden Wilson
              Haaland Thiago

              Dubs Guehi Gudmund Guiu

              1.1m itb, 0 fts

              Am I benching the right players and who should I captain?

              1. C0YS
                • 10 Years
                1 month, 22 days ago

                Team looks great

              2. Under my Cucurella
                • 10 Years
                1 month, 22 days ago

                Looks good, bench correct and cap Saka

            9. TafOnTour1
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 1 Year
              1 month, 22 days ago

              Who's the better option here in Man City's defence?!

              A) Gvardiol

              B) Ruben Dias.

              1. Bobby Digital
                • 8 Years
                1 month, 22 days ago

                Toss a coin

              2. Bobby Digital
                • 8 Years
                1 month, 22 days ago

                Gvardiol has higher xGi

            10. C0YS
              • 10 Years
              1 month, 22 days ago

              Would you sell either of these 2 lads or keep for this GW?
              A. VdV (nfo)
              B. VVD (BHA)
              C. Hold

              The alternatives I’m looking at are Chalobah, Tarkowski, Cash and Gvardiol

              Thanks!

              1. Under my Cucurella
                • 10 Years
                1 month, 22 days ago

                C for this week I think

            11. Zenith UK
              • 9 Years
              1 month, 22 days ago

              FH16 anyone?

              1. g40steve
                • 7 Years
                1 month, 21 days ago

                Thought about it 19 looks good as well

                1. Utopsis
                  • 6 Years
                  1 month, 21 days ago

                  I'm on 19 as well

            12. Maddamotha
              • 9 Years
              1 month, 22 days ago

              Which one? Used 2FTs already. Stach benched in option A.

              A) Munoz > Hincapie

              B) Munoz, Stach > Collins, Rice

              1. C0YS
                • 10 Years
                1 month, 22 days ago

                Wouldn’t get Collins so A

              2. theodosios
                • 8 Years
                1 month, 22 days ago

                Collins 1 YC from susp

            13. Yozzer
              • 8 Years
              1 month, 22 days ago

              Who out in Enzo please guys.. then I'll roll my last 2ft and hope Pope gets his place back

              A Rice
              B Cunha
              C Sboz

              Tempted to just go with Cunha and try and make up some ground after a disgusting few weeks

              1. BR510
                  1 month, 22 days ago

                  a

                • Yozzer
                  • 8 Years
                  1 month, 22 days ago

                  Lol sorry. *Who to get in for Enzo ?

                • theodosios
                  • 8 Years
                  1 month, 22 days ago

                  Rice...Utd is pathetic

                  1. x.jim.x
                    • 11 Years
                    1 month, 22 days ago

                    Only scored 2 goals less than the self-appointed “best team in the world” tbf

                    1. theodosios
                      • 8 Years
                      1 month, 22 days ago

                      Only lost to 10 men for 75mins on own field

                      1. x.jim.x
                        • 11 Years
                        1 month, 22 days ago

                        Makes what I said even more embarrassing for Arsenal if anything

                        1. theodosios
                          • 8 Years
                          1 month, 22 days ago

                          The hatred toward Arsenal is so strong that they can’t find any valid metric, so they’re looking at goals scored. What’s next, yellow and red cards?

                          1. x.jim.x
                            • 11 Years
                            1 month, 21 days ago

                            Trophies won would be a good one

                            1. theodosios
                              • 8 Years
                              1 month, 21 days ago

                              In Howard Webb era or after?

                              1. x.jim.x
                                • 11 Years
                                1 month, 21 days ago

                                Still fewer than a “pathetic” team lol

                          2. Captain Mal
                            • 1 Year
                            1 month, 21 days ago

                            Imagine bringing up goals scored in a game where players get points based on... you guessed it, goals scored.

              2. BR510
                  1 month, 22 days ago

                  1. Exact cash to do Cunha and Minteh to Foden and Rice - Means I need to deal with Boomo next week
                  2. Mbeumo and Minteh to Foden and Rice - Keeps Cunha

                  1. Under my Cucurella
                    • 10 Years
                    1 month, 22 days ago

                    2

                  2. Yozzer
                    • 8 Years
                    1 month, 22 days ago

                    Honestly. I'd roll this gw. Then sell Boomo next

                    1. g40steve
                      • 7 Years
                      1 month, 21 days ago

                      Good point

                • TafOnTour1
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 1 Year
                  1 month, 22 days ago

                  A or B here?!

                  A) Ruben Dias and Bruno Fernandes

                  B) Gvardiol and Mbeumo.

                  1. theodosios
                    • 8 Years
                    1 month, 22 days ago

                    A

                  2. BR510
                      1 month, 22 days ago

                      FH? Because Mbeumo leaves next week. For FH - A

                    • Under my Cucurella
                      • 10 Years
                      1 month, 22 days ago

                      A

                  3. Under my Cucurella
                    • 10 Years
                    1 month, 22 days ago

                    Too many options with all these transfers. Does anyone think there is a clear choice out of the below options or am I missing something?

                    A: Minteh > Szobo
                    B: Thiaw > Hincapie/White/O'Reilly
                    C: Woltemade Minteh Thiaw > Raul Rice/Szobo Hincapie/White/O'Reilly
                    D: Thiaw Woltemade > Timber Raul
                    E: Verbruggen Woltemade > Raya Raul
                    F: Do nothing and roll

                    Dub
                    Virgil Thiaw Andersen
                    Saka Bruno Mbuemo Minteh
                    Haaland Woltemade Thiago

                    Verbruggen Xhaka Richards Mukiele

                    4FT 0.6ITB (BB available)

                    1. Four Letter Wirtz
                      • 10 Years
                      1 month, 21 days ago

                      I like the Verbruggen to Raya move, especially because you have no other ARS defenders.

                      Problem is that I don't like the Wolte>Raul part, but I can't think of a better way to get the necessary funds either.

                      Maybe just roll and then next week reassess with the Mbeumo money.

                      1. Under my Cucurella
                        • 10 Years
                        1 month, 21 days ago

                        Thanks, but just realised I made a mistake in the lineup. Mbuemo is actually Foden as I've already done that move. I agree with the Wolt to Raul move, it's only there to make the funds up but I don't really like it either

                  4. Tinfoil Deathstar
                    • 5 Years
                    1 month, 22 days ago

                    Rank pecking order if on a free hit:

                    A) Palmer
                    B) Mbeumo
                    C) Foden
                    D) Dango

                    1. Bobby Crush
                      • 11 Years
                      1 month, 22 days ago

                      B
                      C

                      the others don't register

                      1. g40steve
                        • 7 Years
                        1 month, 21 days ago

                        CB 😉

                    2. C0YS
                      • 10 Years
                      1 month, 21 days ago

                      CB

                  5. Atimis
                    • 9 Years
                    1 month, 22 days ago

                    Need a starter for my back 3:

                    1. OReilly
                    2. Andersen
                    3. Guehi

                    1. Bobby Crush
                      • 11 Years
                      1 month, 22 days ago

                      This week is a bit special fo NOR, could get a rest. Gvardiol?

                      Guehi has City, also a bit tough.

                      But if long term, NOR and Guehi are excellent choices.

                      Andersen too, but more as a back up.

                      1. Atimis
                        • 9 Years
                        1 month, 22 days ago

                        May just roll the dice on NOR, thanks

                  6. Bobby Crush
                    • 11 Years
                    1 month, 22 days ago

                    Long term:

                    Guehi
                    or
                    Chalobah?

                    Ta!

                    1. Atimis
                      • 9 Years
                      1 month, 22 days ago

                      Damn, I may be wrong but I still think these Chelsea fixtures are not that good

                      1. Make FPL Casual Again
                        • 7 Years
                        1 month, 21 days ago

                        Agree

                      2. Bobby Crush
                        • 11 Years
                        1 month, 21 days ago

                        Yes, I was looking at that right now.

                  7. Make FPL Casual Again
                    • 7 Years
                    1 month, 22 days ago

                    Money question: Who are best 3 Ars assets this gw?

                    1. g40steve
                      • 7 Years
                      1 month, 21 days ago

                      SAKA
                      Timber

                      Roll dice on Trollhard for upside

                  8. Kodap
                    • 8 Years
                    1 month, 22 days ago

                    Thoughts on these moves guys?

                    Munoz, VVD, Minteh, Reijnders, Joao Pedro & Mateta

                    to...

                    Anderson, Livramento, Bruno F, Mbeumo, Thiago & Guiu

                    1. C0YS
                      • 10 Years
                      1 month, 21 days ago

                      Why would you get Mbeumo or Livramento?

                  9. FPLamateur
                    • 1 Year
                    1 month, 21 days ago

                    Start Guehi or Nunes

                  10. Full ham tragic
                    • 3 Years
                    1 month, 21 days ago

                    Team Gtg ?

                    Martinez
                    Timber orielly chalobah Vdv
                    Bruno f rice foden eze mount
                    Haaland

                    Dub Dcl senseii guiu

                  11. SligoRovers1928
                    • 1 Year
                    1 month, 21 days ago

                    Which one?
                    Going from Mbeumo, rice, mateta and Munoz to…
                    a) Mbeumo, Saka, raul, Richards
                    b) Saka, rice, raul, thiaw
                    c) Saka, rice, raul, guehi

                    1. SligoRovers1928
                      • 1 Year
                      1 month, 21 days ago

                      a) would mean Mbeumo to Cunha next week

                    2. JoeSoap
                      • 12 Years
                      1 month, 21 days ago

                      A & hope Cunha does the business

                  12. La vida FPL
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 12 Years
                    1 month, 21 days ago

                    Mateta & Semenyo to Raul & Foden?

                    1. SligoRovers1928
                      • 1 Year
                      1 month, 21 days ago

                      Yes if it’s exact money

                    2. JoeSoap
                      • 12 Years
                      1 month, 21 days ago

                      Yes

                  13. BR510
                      1 month, 21 days ago

                      Who to start?

                      1. Richards MCI (H)
                      2. Dewsbury Hall CHE (A)
                      3. Woltemade SUN (A)

                      1. La vida FPL
                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                        • 12 Years
                        1 month, 21 days ago

                        3

                        1. g40steve
                          • 7 Years
                          1 month, 21 days ago

                          This

                          Makes my decision even harder 😳

                      2. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
                        • 9 Years
                        1 month, 21 days ago

                        2

                      3. JoeSoap
                        • 12 Years
                        1 month, 21 days ago

                        3

                      4. C0YS
                        • 10 Years
                        1 month, 21 days ago

                        2

                      5. I have no Wirtz
                          1 month, 21 days ago

                          3

                      6. JoeSoap
                        • 12 Years
                        1 month, 21 days ago

                        A. Minteh/Wolte/Xhaka/Senesi>Bruno F/Guiu/Wilson/Hincapie
                        B. Minteh/Xhaka/Senesi>Rice/Wilson/Anderson
                        C. Use less of my 4 FTs remaining

                        Dubravka
                        Guehi, Timber, VVD
                        Saka, Semenyo, Foden, Minteh
                        Thiago, Haaland, Wolte
                        Verbruggen, Xhaka, Mukiele, Senesi

                        1. OptimusBlack
                          • 12 Years
                          1 month, 21 days ago

                          A

                        2. Assisting the assister
                          • 10 Years
                          1 month, 21 days ago

                          A

                        3. JoeSoap
                          • 12 Years
                          1 month, 21 days ago

                          Thanks. Liking A albeit uses all my transfers