Spot the Differential
11 December 2025 277 comments
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Our Gameweek 16 differentials column brings a trio of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) assets for your consideration.

All three of the players have an ownership of 5% or lower.


MICHAEL KAYODE

  • FPL ownership: 0.5%
  • Price: £4.5m
  • GW16-20 fixtures: LEE | wol | BOU | TOT | eve

A favourable match-up at home to Leeds United has us turn to Brentford defender Michael Kayode (£4.5m).

The Italian has enjoyed an impressive campaign thus far, offering a real threat down the right flank.

Indeed, Kayode is top or joint-top among Brentford players for chances created (17), dribbles (43) and final-third touches (243), while only Mikkel Damsgaard (£5.8m) and Jordan Henderson (£5.0m) have delivered more successful crosses (11).

His long throws are an important weapon, too, with the right-back launching more of them into the opponent’s penalty box than any other player (70).

13 of his long throws have been succeesful, another league-high.

Brentford are top of the Fixture Ticker over the next six Gameweeks, with Leeds United and Wolverhampton Wanderers up first.

It’s also important to mention that four of the next six fixtures are at the Gtech Community Stadium, where Keith Andrews’ side have been in fine form. They’ve won five of their seven home matches on home turf, only losing to Manchester City.

On top of the fixtures detailed above, Sunderland also visit west London in Gameweek 21.

It suggests Kayode, who sets us back just £4.5m in FPL, can be an effective differential for some time to come.


MATHEUS CUNHA

  • FPL ownership: 3.7%
  • Price: £7.9m
  • GW16-20 fixtures: BOU | avl | NEW | WOL | lee

Handed the striker role for Manchester United’s 4-1 win over Wolves, Matheus Cunha (£7.9m) looks like a solid differential ahead of Monday’s home meeting with Bournemouth.

The Brazilian racked up eight shots, including two Opta-defined ‘big chances’, in Gameweek 15.

He also created a couple of chances for his teammates.

Diving further into the underlying stats, Cunha has registered a goal attempt every 25.9 minutes this season. That’s a better rate than every other Man Utd player and only marginally behind Erling Haaland’s (£15.0m) 22.5 minutes per shot.

Even with 15 of his 33 efforts outside of the box, it suggests Cunha could flourish in the absence of Bryan Mbeumo (£8.4m) and Amad Diallo (£6.3m), who are set to depart for the Africa Cup of Nations (AFCON) next week.

Bournemouth arrive at Old Trafford winless in their last six matches. They’ve also conceded 19 goals on the road, the most of any side except Burnley.

Above: Teams sorted by goals conceded per 90 minutes (away matches only)

Additionally, United’s schedule over the medium term, particularly between Gameweeks 19 and 21 (WOL/lee/bur), is very favourable.

Owned by only 3.7% of FPL bosses, and with a very decent fixture outlook, Cunha consequently looks a tempting option for those Fantasy managers who need to make up lost ground.


DJED SPENCE

  • FPL ownership: 1.2%
  • Price: £4.3m
  • GW16-20 fixtures: nfo | LIV | cry | bre | SUN

At the cheaper end of the scale is Tottenham Hotspur’s Djed Spence (£4.3m).

The England international produced a solid display at left-back against Slavia Prague in midweek, frequently stepping into midfield.

He also offered a threat in behind, as well as linking up well with the ever-improving Xavi Simons (£6.5m) and Wilson Odobert (£5.3m), ending the match with one shot and three key passes, the most of any player on the pitch.

With Destiny Udogie (£4.4m) ruled out until January due to a hamstring injury, those relationships have the potential to further improve and flourish over the festive period.

Spence and Tottenham will next face a Nottingham Forest side that have scored just one goal in their last three matches.

Furthermore, the Tricky Trees have conceded the third-most key passes from the right flank since the appointment of Sean Dyche.

They’ll also encounter Brentford and Sunderland over the next five Gameweeks.

Setting us back only £4.3m, Spence can easily be benched in Gameweek 17, when Spurs entertain Liverpool.

Priced kindly, and owned by only 1.2% of FPL managers, Spence can provide a nice solution for Fantasy managers in need of a budget defender option.


277 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. g40steve
    • 7 Years
    2 days, 9 hours ago

    Who to bench?

    Cap Saka…….or stay safe with Haaland?

    Dubravka
    Timber O’Reilly Chalobah
    Saka Foden Semenyo BrunoG H Wilson
    Haaland Thiago Woltemade

    Petrovic #### Senesi Guehi

    2.1

    4FT

    1. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      2 days, 9 hours ago

      Saka a great choice this GW. Don’t be afraid.

      1. g40steve
        • 7 Years
        2 days, 8 hours ago

        Currently Saka bus team Cap just need to get pissed Fri night & miss deadline

    2. Magic Zico
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 days, 9 hours ago

      Bench Wolte or Semenyo

      1. g40steve
        • 7 Years
        2 days, 8 hours ago

        Good to know those were the two I was on 😉

        Got a favourite to bench.

  2. Magic Zico
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    2 days, 9 hours ago

    Only 1FT left, save or sell Woltemade?

    Option is underwhelming: Raul, Bowen ...

    Raya
    VVD Hincapie Andersen
    Foden BrunoF BrunoG Rice
    Haaland Thiago Woltermade

    Dub Thiaw Stach Gud

    1. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      2 days, 9 hours ago

      Save

      1. Magic Zico
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        2 days, 9 hours ago

        Ta

    2. g40steve
      • 7 Years
      2 days, 8 hours ago

      Save this week

      1. Magic Zico
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        2 days, 8 hours ago

        Cheers

    3. WVA
      • 9 Years
      2 days, 8 hours ago

      Nice, will you captain Rice?

  3. AD105
    • 9 Years
    2 days, 9 hours ago

    Best MID to bring in this week? Max 5.5

    A) KDH (could move to him in a couple of games though)
    B) H. Wilson short term punt before moving to KDH
    C) Someone else

    1. Magic Zico
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 days, 9 hours ago

      B or Anderson

    2. F4L
      • 11 Years
      2 days, 9 hours ago

      if its to play this gw, b

  4. BR510
      2 days, 9 hours ago

      Thiaw => Oreilly

      a. This week
      b. Next week

      1. The Knights Template
        • 12 Years
        2 days, 9 hours ago

        B

    • shirtless
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      2 days, 9 hours ago

      I have 2.3m and wildcard. Planning to bring in Saka this week. Would you use 2FT's or go the whole way and wildcard..? No point using any more than 2FTs as I'm not sure when I'd use the wildcard or what I'd do with it if make big changes now with FTs. Not sure on selling Semenyo or Pedro this week though...?

      Dubravka
      Cucerella Gvardiol VdVen
      Bruno Foden Semenyo ROGERS KDH
      Haaland Pedro

      POPE Guiu Roden Hartman

      2 FTs ; Pope & Rogers > 4.2 & Saka(c)

      Wildcard ; Pope Rogers Semenyo Guiu > 4.6 Saka(c) Rice Thiago

      1. BR510
          2 days, 8 hours ago

          WC19

          1. shirtless
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 14 Years
            2 days, 8 hours ago

            Think I will. Ta

      2. OneTeamInBristol
        • 2 Years
        2 days, 9 hours ago

        White or Hincapie for 1 week?

        1. F4L
          • 11 Years
          2 days, 8 hours ago

          would rather have white for this gw if hes predicted to start

      3. F4L
        • 11 Years
        2 days, 9 hours ago

        got szobo in yesterday to avoid missing a price rise, but slowly dawned on me today that i bet vvd still outscores him in the long run for the same price. defenders are too good this season . just cant bring myself to playing 5 atb

        1. Ser Davos
          • 10 Years
          2 days, 8 hours ago

          I'm playing 4-5 atb and then rotating the attackers, trying to target when they may score well (if that makes sense)

          Consistency/reliability of defenders/DCs and then no too over exposed to fickle attackers

          1. F4L
            • 11 Years
            2 days, 8 hours ago

            fair, nice plan. yeah been on a 4 back for quite a few GWs now, just the fun is sucked out of them game ever so little playing more defenders than you need to. but its getting more points though so hey ho cant complain too much

            hope the rotation works for you with mids/strikers, always had trouble with that when i tried but know it can be effective

      4. royals forever
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        2 days, 9 hours ago

        Lost on last page

        Best combo for next few GWs

        Saka & DCL
        Eze & Bowen

        Any ideas would be appreciated

        1. F4L
          • 11 Years
          2 days, 8 hours ago

          saka and dcl

        2. g40steve
          • 7 Years
          2 days, 8 hours ago

          First easy

      5. AD105
        • 9 Years
        2 days, 9 hours ago

        3 FT and 3.4 ITB

        A) Semenyo/Stach > Saka/KDH or H.Wilson
        B) Stach > Rice

        Raya
        Timber VVD Andersen
        Bruno Foden Semenyo Enzo Stach
        Haaland Thiago

        Dubravka Richards Alderete Guiu

        1. AD105
          • 9 Years
          2 days, 8 hours ago

          Or C) Stach > Eze for a punt before moving to Rice as a longer term hold

      6. WATERMELONS
        • 8 Years
        2 days, 8 hours ago

        Talking of differentials, I am leaning toward Ben White for Munoz (have Timber).

        I see him as a good 2-3 week punt and he can keep Gabriel's seat warm for when I want him back.

        Is it a madness?

        No one else is calling out to me with juicy upside. I know Brentford defence could be interesting, but it doesn't fill me with massive confidence.

        Someone talk me out of Ben White ? (or into it...!)

        1. F4L
          • 11 Years
          2 days, 8 hours ago

          not madness but first choice back 4 would be timber saliba hincapie cala when saliba is fit. not sure how close he is, if still out for some time white looks a solid punt

      7. thom830g
        • 8 Years
        2 days, 8 hours ago

        If I FH this week, will I have 5 or 6 transfers next GW?

        1. F4L
          • 11 Years
          2 days, 8 hours ago

          5, you cant have more than 5 saved

        2. g40steve
          • 7 Years
          2 days, 8 hours ago

          5 is the max

        3. RedLightning
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 15 Years
          2 days, 6 hours ago

          When you play a Free Hit or Wildcard, you get the same number of FTs for the following week as you had for the week in which you played the chip.
          So you get 5 FTs next week.
          You can never have more than 5 FTs in the same week.

      8. g40steve
        • 7 Years
        2 days, 8 hours ago

        Play either Semenyo or Woltemade this week?

        1. BR510
            2 days, 8 hours ago

            Wolt

          • F4L
            • 11 Years
            2 days, 8 hours ago

            semenyo

          • g40steve
            • 7 Years
            2 days, 8 hours ago

            50:50 😆

          • OptimusBlack
            • 12 Years
            2 days, 8 hours ago

            Semenyo

          • IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
            • 9 Years
            2 days, 8 hours ago

            Sem

        2. BR510
            2 days, 8 hours ago

            Gtg?

            Dubravka
            Timber Thiaw Andersen
            Saka Rice Foden Cunha
            Haaland Thiago Woltemade

            Pope KDH Richards Rodon

            Just need to decide Captain. 3ft's to use next week

            1. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
              • 9 Years
              2 days, 8 hours ago

              Yes

          • F4L
            • 11 Years
            2 days, 8 hours ago

            dont like GWs without an early KO. why did these tv companies keep picking teams that play on wednesday/thursday european matches for that slot ugh

            1. RedLightning
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • Has Moderation Rights
              • 15 Years
              2 days, 6 hours ago

              Because those are the matches that they want to show, rather than less attractive matches that don't involve any teams playing on Wednesday or Thursday.
              And they don't care that any late evening kick-offs that result might cause travel problems for supporters.

          • Fifa las vegas
            • 13 Years
            2 days, 8 hours ago

            Is it madness to do Calafiori to White and reverse it whenever White looks like not starting? Basically next week? 😆

            I’ll be getting Saka and have Rice already, will also need to replace Munoz though, maybe Livramento for that one.

            1. Fifa las vegas
              • 13 Years
              2 days, 8 hours ago

              Even though looking at it, Newcastle fixtures are a bit of a mixed bag still too, maybe a Brentford defender to attack the fixtures?

              1. OptimusBlack
                • 12 Years
                2 days, 8 hours ago

                Post ur team
                O'Reilly also great pick but prefer to get him GW 17 not next GW

              2. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
                • 9 Years
                2 days, 8 hours ago

                Brentford haven't kept many clean sheets so far but could be worth a punt for the fixtures

                I'm between Brentford Everton Guehi (have Richards) to replace Muñoz, and think I'm gonna do it tonight to avoid price drop on Muñoz

                1. Fifa las vegas
                  • 13 Years
                  2 days, 8 hours ago

                  Yes I’m thinking the same.

                  You’re right too in that Brentford don’t really like keeping clean sheets, so might not be even worth following the fixtures with them. Like the look of Everton but more so after the next two fixtures, I’m in need of players to go into the first 11 immediately though!

                  1. Fifa las vegas
                    • 13 Years
                    2 days, 8 hours ago

                    Although I could get Arsenal defender and Tarkowski and just bench him for now

            2. OptimusBlack
              • 12 Years
              2 days, 8 hours ago

              Okay not a bad idea but White or Hincpie ?

              1. Fifa las vegas
                • 13 Years
                2 days, 8 hours ago

                White, can see him getting an attacking return down the right alongside Saka for some reason!

                Maybe Hincapie is more secure for starts fo a few more weeks though?

            3. Fifa las vegas
              • 13 Years
              2 days, 8 hours ago

              Team is currently:

              Sanchez (Dub)
              O’Reilly, Calafiori, Munoz, Senesi, VdV
              Foden, Mbeumo, Gakpo, Rice, Rogers
              Haaland, Thiago, Welbeck

              Saka wil be in for Gakpo. Was thinking of downgrading Welbeck to Guiu to fund it in order to allow me keep Mbeumo for the Bournemouth game, but I’m still not convinced by that.

              1. OptimusBlack
                • 12 Years
                2 days, 8 hours ago

                Sure keep Mbuemo and the. Sell after this GW and okay get white

          • OptimusBlack
            • 12 Years
            2 days, 8 hours ago

            It's better to get O'Reilly directly this GW or get Hincapie and then switch to O'Reilly next GW ??
            A- Hincapie High chance of CS this GW

            B- O'Reilly maybe RAN play this GW before go to AFCON

            1. Fifa las vegas
              • 13 Years
              2 days, 8 hours ago

              Tricky one, if O’Reilly was guaranteed to start I think I’d just go directly with him.

              Think he should be alright for that start though?

              1. OptimusBlack
                • 12 Years
                2 days, 8 hours ago

                I feel and this just a feel he may get rest this GW and the other reason the highly chance for arsenal CS want to get one of them beside Timber that already in my team

                1. Fifa las vegas
                  • 13 Years
                  2 days, 8 hours ago

                  I really could do without him being rested. Definitely better get decent backup then.

          • ball c
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 5 Years
            2 days, 8 hours ago

            How important is Saka this gw?
            I can bring him in but don’t really want to use up all
            My 5 ft’s.. Can Eze be a better option? Like he was against spurs?
            Might even captain him.
            Or double up on them both?

            1. Fifa las vegas
              • 13 Years
              2 days, 8 hours ago

              I’ll probably get Saka in and captain, doubling up with Rice, it could of course backfire though

            2. OptimusBlack
              • 12 Years
              2 days, 8 hours ago

              Double

          • IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
            • 9 Years
            2 days, 8 hours ago

            Tarkowski or Keane, who's a bit more short-term?
            Keane cheaper and higher PPG

            1. Fifa las vegas
              • 13 Years
              2 days, 8 hours ago

              Just looking into this myself.

              Feel like I should get Tark, but sort of cornered into getting Keane if I want Saka.

          • Fifa las vegas
            • 13 Years
            2 days, 8 hours ago

            Calafiori, Munoz, Gakpo, Welbeck > White, Keane, Saka (C), DCL

            What do you make of that?

            1. OptimusBlack
              • 12 Years
              2 days, 8 hours ago

              Okay do it would u play DCL or bench ?

              1. Fifa las vegas
                • 13 Years
                2 days, 8 hours ago

                Bench mostly. Maybe the odd game here and there, but I’ll be making funds most likely in midfield through Mbeumo and potentially selling Saka again after a few weeks so could upgrade again if needed. Will also be FHing in 19 (or some GW!).

                Leaves me with this for next GW:

                Sanchez
                White, O,Reilly, VdV
                Saka (C), Foden, Mbeumo, Rice, Rogers
                Haaland, Thiago

                Dub, DCL, Senesi, Keane

            2. SligoRovers1928
                2 days, 7 hours ago

                Have you ever seen DCL play?
                He’s awful

                1. Fifa las vegas
                  • 13 Years
                  1 day, 21 hours ago

                  Ya but the alternative is a non-playing Guiu

                  1. SligoRovers1928
                      1 day, 7 hours ago

                      I’d prefer the money saved

              • thom830g
                • 8 Years
                2 days, 8 hours ago

                Why is people keen on Guiu? Are we expecting that he gets gametime?

                1. Fifa las vegas
                  • 13 Years
                  2 days, 8 hours ago

                  Permanent bench. Spend in modified and defence.

                  I’ve gone off the idea and am looking at DCL now though. Least I can play him the odd time if needed.

                  Still a little worried about getting rid of Welbeck before Pool, but needs must.

              • thom830g
                • 8 Years
                2 days, 8 hours ago

                How do you see this?
                1) Dunna -> Raya
                2) Thiaw -> Hincapie
                3) Semenyo -> Foden
                4) Gakpo -> Bruno
                5) Reijnders -> Wilson
                6) Mateta -> Guiu

                for -4 and then BB this:

                Dub - Raya
                Esteve - James - VVD - VdV - Hincapie
                Saka - Foden - Dewsbury Hall - Bruno - Wilson
                Thiago - Guiu - Haaland

                1. Fifa las vegas
                  • 13 Years
                  2 days, 7 hours ago

                  Think it’s madness to take -4 and BB with Guiu on it.

              • SligoRovers1928
                  2 days, 8 hours ago

                  is it worth doing Mbeumo to Saka for free this week with a view to captain saka?

                  1. Fifa las vegas
                    • 13 Years
                    2 days, 7 hours ago

                    Probably. Even though I’ve worked it so that I can keep Mbeumo just for this week, out of fear of it backfiring if I drop him now

                    1. SligoRovers1928
                        2 days, 7 hours ago

                        Yeah, I’ve but the bullet so enjoy his hat trick this weekend