Scout Notes
30 September 2025 20 comments
FPL Marc FPL Marc
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The next bunch of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) Scout Notes cover a couple of Saturday afternoon clashes: Chelsea v Brighton and Hove Albion, plus Leeds United v Bournemouth.


SENESI = DEFCON POINTS

In a game where Erling Haaland (£14.4m) means goals and Bruno Fernandes (£9.0m) means missed penalties (too soon?), Bournemouth centre-back Marcos Senesi (£4.9m) is quickly becoming associated with FPL’s brand-new defensive contribution (DefCon/DC) points.

Ranked second overall for defensive actions (81), the Argentinian has received a reward for these in all six Gameweeks.

He is, following James Tarkowski‘s (£5.5m) failure to match that achievement on Monday, the only FPL asset to do so:

Combine this with two assists and three clean sheets, and he’s the top scorer of his position. Having risen four times in price, expect another one by Friday evening’s deadline.

It’s easy to forget that while Senesi had a 2024/25 season restricted by hamstring issues and the impressive Illia Zabarnyi and Dean Huijsen partnership, his previous full campaign ended with nine attacking returns.

RODON OFFERING VALUE + MORE SEMENYO JOY

However, at Elland Road, his assist was outdone by opposing defender Joe Rodon (£4.0m). The cheap Welshman racked up four attempts and two shots on target, including a header that wiped out Antoine Semenyo‘s (£7.8m) opener.

Rodon has already reached the DefCon threshold twice but, agonisingly, the latest couple of outings have seen him finish one short of it. At least he’s in and around the ’10’ mark with regularity.

As for Semenyo, he joins teammate Senesi in a relentless, everlasting string of price rises. Since the start, he’s increased on a staggering eight occasions.

It’s easy to see why. The leading midfielder so far, he’s only once failed to record five or more points, drilling in a low free-kick that mocked Leeds’ idea of placing a ‘draft excluder’ underneath their wall.

Senesi

Semenyo is responsible for 14 efforts and six big chances, having been 2024/25’s third-best player for shots. He’ll have plenty more takers for Bournemouth’s upcoming home fixtures versus Fulham and Nottingham Forest.

As an aside, Sean Longstaff (£4.9m) bagged 15 points, a nostalgic Dominic Calvert-Lewin (£5.5m) missed three big chances and substitute Eli Junior Kroupi (£4.5m) scored in stoppage time. Could he replace Marc Guiu (£4.3m) as the template cheap forward?

UPDATE: THE FITNESS OF JOAO PEDRO

Sticking with Chelsea strikers, Joao Pedro (£7.8m) lasted all 90 minutes against former club Brighton but was shotless once more. In fact, he’s only on 0.06 expected goal involvement (xGI) from the Blues’ two consecutive defeats – albeit they’ve been down to 10 men in both games.

Monday quotes from Enzo Maresca’s pre-match press conference suggest that FPL’s most-owned player may need his minutes to be managed.

“This afternoon, we are going to assess Caicedo, Joao Pedro and Andrey Santos. Unfortunately for us, they all have small problems. We are going to see if they are available for tomorrow.” – Enzo Maresca, speaking ahead of Tuesday’s Champions League clash

Yet it was later revealed by reporter Kieran Gill that Pedro was involved in that afternoon’s training session.

LIVERPOOL BOOSTED BY CHALOBAH RED?

Instead, Enzo Fernandez (£6.7m) stepped up to the plate. His fifth attacking return put Chelsea ahead, meaning he’s currently the number three midfielder.

They were comfortably on top for a while, according to the StatsBomb race chart, until last man Trevoh Chalobah (£5.2m) pulled down Diego Gomez (£4.9m). Deemed to have denied a goal-scoring opportunity, the defender was shown a red card.

FPL notes: 'DefCon' magnet Senesi, Chalobah red + Pedro's fitness

Above: The race chart shows that Chelsea’s cumulative expected goals (xG) tally stagnated when down to 10 men

From that point, Brighton overturned the deficit. First from a 77th-minute Danny Welbeck (£6.3m) header, then – like seemingly every match these days – further strikes in stoppage time.

Looking at Gameweek 7, Chalobah’s suspension looks ideal for managers in possession of Liverpool attackers. Wesley Fofana (£4.4m) and Tosin Adarabioyo (£4.4m) could also be absent, like long-term problem Levi Colwill (£4.8m).

It’s a chance for Mohamed Salah (£14.5m), Florian Wirtz (£8.2m) and Alexander Isak (£10.6m) to inflict another defeat and boost their own faltering FPL credentials.


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FPL Marc Broadcaster, writer and overthinker. Hoping that ‘differential potential’ will catch on.

20 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. rainy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 10 Years
    2 months, 6 days ago

    Price changes 30th September

    No rises

    Falls:
    Aït-Nouri 5.8
    McNeil 5.6
    Rees-Dottin 4.4
    José Sá 4.4
    Obi 4.3
    Bevan 3.9

    1. The Night Trunker.
      • 2 Years
      2 months, 6 days ago

      I'm only happy when it rains.

      1. The Knights Template
        • 12 Years
        2 months, 6 days ago

        We’re listening to Blancmange today.

    2. lilmessipran
      • 13 Years
      2 months, 6 days ago

      Need Obi or Guiu to get to 4.2 soon to get rid of one of the fwd spots.

  2. How Green Was My Arrow
    • 1 Year
    2 months, 6 days ago

    3.9 group increasing steadily.

  3. TorresMagic™
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 16 Years
    2 months, 6 days ago

    Last Man Standing GW6 (1261 teams)

    Safety score = 42
    Top score = Charles Bompay with 103

    78 teams to be removed, 1183 teams through to GW7
    Congrats to all the survivors 🙂

    https://plan.livefpl.net//LMS

    1. How Green Was My Arrow
      • 1 Year
      2 months, 6 days ago

      Always enjoy playing LMS.
      Still there, this season.

    2. Guru Mediation
      • 10 Years
      2 months, 6 days ago

      Can we still join TM?

      1. TorresMagic™
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 16 Years
        2 months, 6 days ago

        Will reopen after GW7.

  4. Philosopher's Stones
    • 5 Years
    2 months, 6 days ago

    KDH suspended until October 18? What's that about?

    1. Casual Player
      • 5 Years
      2 months, 6 days ago

      its 1 game this coming weekend for 5 yellow cards. Then international break gets you to the 18th Oct

      1. Philosopher's Stones
        • 5 Years
        2 months, 6 days ago

        5 YCs in 7 games? What a fker.

        1. Casual Player
          • 5 Years
          2 months, 6 days ago

          Actually 5 in 6 games, and really 5 in 5... GW 2 to 6.

          I wonder if anyone has got to 5 in 5 games before

  5. james_lebron
    • 8 Years
    2 months, 6 days ago

    Seems a bit silly I have 1FT. Do I trade Drewsbury Hall out for the likes of King? Or just hold him. I was going to start KDH this week, but seems like I’ll have to play Thiago against City

    1. Casual Player
      • 5 Years
      2 months, 6 days ago

      That's exactly what I need to do now. Thanks KDH!

  6. Jet5605
    • 11 Years
    2 months, 6 days ago

    Who to lose for Sarr? Have a feeling Slot may start Gakpo v Chelsea and Man U after bringing him on at HT at Palace.

    A - Gakpo
    B - Grealish

    1. lilmessipran
      • 13 Years
      2 months, 6 days ago

      A

  7. Albrightondknight
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    2 months, 6 days ago

    Think I have come round to losing Pedro rather than Ekitike for Gyokeres.
    Pedro got Liverpool then early Saturday kick off after international break that don’t sound good without looking at international games schedule
    Might be time to go against the ownership?
    Not that Gyokeres in feels inspired - just playing the fixtures.

  8. Albrightondknight
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    2 months, 6 days ago

    Punting on Elliot to start or come on and get something against Burnley is stupid if that means Ekitike Virgil and Caicedo are on the bench?
    Elliot probably doesn’t start based on early sub last week?

  9. SharkyT
    • 12 Years
    2 months, 6 days ago

    Pedro news may force the choice, however:

    A) Pedro > Gyoceres
    B) Williams > Gabriel
    C) Sanchez > Raya
    D) Roll FT & play Pedro