The Numbers Game – ICT Form Analysis
Filed under: Members - Posted by: Mark
Just three more days to go till the curtain draws on the domestic campaign, then. As many Fantasy managers look to load up on more assured Fantasy assets ahead of Sunday’s deadline, plenty more are in the position where differentials are needed for that vital edge in the final Gameweek of the season.
This latest article for members takes a look at the top ten players per position over the last four Gameweeks in accordance with our very own ICT Index averages. Also using the Opta data available, we dig deep in order to highlight some overlooked potential perhaps worth considering this weekend.
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“Mark created the beast. He's now looking to tame it.”
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Scout Picks
For Gameweek 38
- Boruc
- Zabaleta
- Vertonghen
- Johnson
- Walcott
- Michu
- Coutinho
- Bale
- van Persie
- Carroll
- Sturridge
- Rangel
- Nolan
- Rodriguez
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The Watchlist
Goalkeepers
| Player | Club | Factors | |
|---|---|---|---|
| No Change | Hart | MCI | B, Vs |
| Up | Cech | CHE | B, Vs |
| Up | Robles | WIG | C, Vs, £ |
| No Change | Lloris | TOT | C, Vs |
| No Change | Foster | WBA | C, Vs |
| No Change | Vorm | SWA | C, Vs |
| No Change | Mignolet | SUN | B, Vs |
| No Change | De Gea | MUN | A |
| Up | Boruc | SOT | B, Vs, £ |
| No Change | Jääskeläinen | WHM | A |
| No Change | Begovic | STO | C |
| No Change | Howard | EVE | A |
Defenders
| Player | Club | Factors | |
|---|---|---|---|
| No Change | Kompany | MCI | B, Vs, Rest |
| No Change | Vertonghen | TOT | A, Vs, Rest |
| Up | Luiz | CHE | A, Vs, Rest |
| No Change | Baines | EVE | A |
| Up | Boyce | WIG | C, Vs, OoP |
| Down | Bassong | NOR | B, Vs |
| Up | McAuley | WBA | C, Vs |
| Down | Johnson | LIV | B |
| Up | Jones | MUN | A |
| No Change | Sagna | ARS | B |
| Up | Huth | STO | C |
| No Change | Cuéllar | SUN | B, Vs, £ |
| No Change | Rangel | SWA | C, Vs |
| Up | Clyne | SOT | B, Vs, £ |
Midfielders
| Player | Club | Factors | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Up | Bale | TOT | A, Vs |
| No Change | Mata | CHE | C, Vs, Rest |
| Up | Walcott | ARS | C, OoP |
| Up | Hazard | CHE | B, Vs, Rest, Inj |
| Up | Maloney | WIG | B, Vs, £ |
| No Change | Y Touré | MCI | B, Vs |
| No Change | Silva | MCI | B, Vs, Inj |
| No Change | Fellaini | EVE | C |
| No Change | Coutinho | LIV | B |
| Up | Morrison | WBA | C, Vs |
| Down | Cazorla | ARS | C |
| No Change | Snodgrass | NOR | B |
| Up | Kagawa | MUN | B, Rest |
| Up | Walters | STO | B |
| Down | Lallana | SOT | C, Vs |
| Down | Sissoko | NEW | C |
Forwards
| Player | Club | Factors | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Up | Tevez | MCI | A, Vs, Rest |
| Up | Koné | WIG | B, Vs, £ |
| Down | van Persie | MUN | A, Vs |
| Up | Sturridge | LIV | B |
| Up | Lukaku | WBA | B, Vs, Rest |
| Up | Benteke | AVL | A |
| Down | Aguero | MCI | B, Vs, Inj |
| Up | Rodriguez | SOT | A, Vs, £ |
| Up | Defoe | TOT | B, Vs, Rest |
| Down | Lambert | SOT | C, Vs |
| Down | Rooney | MUN | C |
| Up | Carroll | WHM | A, VsX |
| Up | Ba | CHE | C, Vs, Rest |
| Down | Berbatov | FUL | C |
| Up | Cissé | NEW | B |
| Down | Remy | QPR | B |
Selection Factors
| A, B, C | Current Form |
|---|---|
| Vs | Favourable Fixtures |
| VsX | Unfavourable Fixtures |
| Rest | Rotation Risk |
| Inj | Injured/Returning from Injury |
| OoP | Out of Position |
| £ | Potential Bargain |
| Sus | Suspended/Near Suspension |
“I am happy with the way I’ve started, but on the other hand, I should have scored four or five more, so that’s something for me to work on.”
Robin Van Persie talks about his early form at United ahead of his first Manchester derby
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May 10 at 11:58 pm
Title20 says:
worth -4 hit to swap rooney for aguero?
other forwards are Rvp and jelavic
May 11 at 12:00 am
RoysCallerAnne says:
I say a big no
May 11 at 12:19 am
Phaze 1 says:
Hell no
May 11 at 12:31 am
jimmythegent says:
yes …. aguero will hit the big numbers this week, united will wimper out of the season against a sunderland side with a very good home record under martin
May 11 at 12:48 am
triggerlips says:
Could be , 4 point hit not so bad if it for a capt
May 10 at 11:58 pm
Men who stare at Gotze says:
I’ve been having trouble deciding my front 7 for this week and I’ve been constantly meddling around with it. I’m currently torn between benching either Dempsey or Siggy. :/
It’s looking like this atm:
Moses — Siggy — Valencia — Bale
– RVP (C) — Jelavic — Rooney
May 11 at 12:02 am
you can call me AL says:
You need to play siggy at home
May 11 at 12:03 am
The Viper says:
I would love to have a frontline of Rooney/RVP/Aguero but that way I would have to lose Jelavic who is a differential and hold onto Rooney who is not..
Lose Rooney or Jelavic (Non differential vs. differential) for Aggy? To fund Jelavic -> Aguero I would be doing Bale -> Maloney..
May 11 at 12:04 am
The Viper says:
(Or Hoolahan)
May 11 at 12:07 am
Nerdlinger says:
I’d be inclined to not change anything!
May 11 at 12:14 am
The Viper says:
Nah, I have to get Aguero or Tevez in for sure..just not sure for who..
I think I’m going to lose Rooney & Bale to have 2 extra differentials.. I understand it is risky but its all or nothing at this stage..
May 11 at 12:11 am
CravenA says:
If its any use to you – I have Jelavic, Aguero, RvP, as it stands (and enough dosh) but I’m not ditching a no-hit Jela > Rooney ‘cos of diff. And either are as likely to score, so why?
May 11 at 12:12 am
CravenA says:
*ditching/doing!!
May 11 at 12:13 am
Bojan says:
i have the same 3 as Cravena…..im contemplating getting Torres in for Jelly but i already have Piennar
May 11 at 12:05 am
Nerdlinger says:
Huth or Zabaleta in the differential defender slot?
May 11 at 12:11 am
unoaime says:
Huth for goal threat.
May 11 at 12:25 am
RedForLife says:
Agreed.
May 11 at 12:32 am
jimmythegent says:
Pablo…. Stoke are already sunning it in Barbados
May 11 at 12:06 am
Archie - Click here for Euro lineups says:
Liverpool’s new home kit:
http://goo.gl/ucE1m
May 11 at 12:10 am
Gervinho's Forehead + Doos = Partners in crime says:
Disappointed.
May 11 at 12:12 am
nomar says:
No like.
Looks like something a barrow boy would wear on a night out with a ton of cheap aftershave announcing his presence a good 20m before he arrived, upon which he’d say ‘;ello dahlin’ to every girl he meets.
May 11 at 12:24 am
jimmythegent says:
very specific, good shout
May 11 at 12:15 am
Archie - Click here for Euro lineups says:
Yeah, changed the logo and all sorts, it’s alright I guess, but I prefer this season’s one.
On the plus side it looks better than united’s new tablecloth-inspired shirt
May 11 at 12:18 am
RoysCallerAnne says:
I’ve seen 30 seasons of kit changes….meh….who cares. We all know it’s part of the corporate football world they expect us to live in. Once it’s red, it’ll do the job
May 11 at 12:26 am
Sizo says:
I actually think its neet. Clean, nice colours. I`ma get me one of those, question is: Who shall i decor my back with? Suggestions?;)
May 11 at 12:32 am
Dermot says:
Wasn’t convinced when I saw those photos, but I think it looks great in the actual photos on their website.
May 11 at 12:07 am
unoaime says:
ROYSCALLERANNE,
Who’s your cheaper mid and who will you be benching for him?
May 11 at 12:14 am
RoysCallerAnne says:
I’m thinking of Demp to Petrov
Giving me ;
VDV, Valencia, Siggy, Petrov (Brunt)
RVP, Roon, Aguero
May 11 at 12:19 am
unoaime says:
Ah, alright. Nice one.
With Brunt being out you don’t have any benching troubles. If i do what i currently plan (similar to what your doing) i have to either bench Maloney (who’ll get in) or Valencia – all for a 4 point hit. Eugh.
May 11 at 12:19 am
unoaime says:
who i’ll get in*
May 11 at 12:24 am
RoysCallerAnne says:
Go back to scratch, imo. If your 4 point hit involves benching one of the players you get in, you need to re-asess, imo
May 11 at 12:26 am
unoaime says:
Aguero seems so essential though.
May 11 at 12:26 am
jkisthe1 - Aguero to score a hat-trick and QPR to win 4-3 says:
Said the same thing RCA
May 11 at 12:08 am
Blind says:
Chasing 28pts.
Have VDV, RVP, Rooney, Valencia and Siggy the same.
He will do Dempsey to Nasri/Silva or Rooney to Aguero I think.
So I’m going to do RVP to Ade/Torres and Valencia to any mid.
What do you think?
May 11 at 12:08 am
Blind says:
and bench siggy
May 11 at 12:15 am
Nerdlinger says:
Don’t bench Siggy! Who will he captain? That’s almost as big an issue here. You might want to even stick the (c) on RVP as a differential?
May 11 at 12:18 am
Blind says:
He will probably captain his new City player if Aguero or VDV.
I’m going to bench Siggy as he will play him and I have Reina anyway. I need to get as many points as possible so bench Siggy and hope for Liverpool clean sheet.
May 11 at 12:24 am
CravenA says:
I’m in a similar boat to you but might sell Siggy > Pienaar for the diff. What’s the chance of L’pool shutting out Swans d’ya think? I reckon quite good.
May 11 at 12:27 am
Blind says:
I fancy Liverpool to win 2 or 3 nil to be honest.
Already got Pienaar myself and HBA so hoping Eve/New is a goalfest.
May 11 at 12:34 am
CravenA says:
Interesting . . .
May 11 at 12:34 am
jimmythegent says:
dont try and predict what he is doing, play your own game and he might slip up, you just never know
May 11 at 12:13 am
Gervinho's Forehead + Doos = Partners in crime says:
Manchester Utd kit flopped.
Arsenal kit flopped.
Liverpool kit flopped.
Damn these kit designers are clueless. They get paid so much for something a 5 year old can design.
May 11 at 12:14 am
Gervinho's Forehead + Doos = Partners in crime says:
This.
May 11 at 12:14 am
The Viper says:
That.
May 11 at 12:36 am
Reedy - Caretaker Manager, Llareggub CF says:
The other.
May 11 at 12:14 am
Spike says:
Good night all. Some good banter on here tonight from the usual suspects
May 11 at 12:15 am
Archie - Click here for Euro lineups says:
Now that was a good film
May 11 at 12:14 am
Title20 says:
jelavic –> aguero would leave me with 4.7 for any midfielder…(selling bale in order to do that)
front 8 of
valencia-HBA-siggy-bale-pienaar
rvp-rooney-jelavic
A) get a midfielder worth 4.7 and play them(maloney maybe?)(-4)
B) get any random midfielder and just play valencia, HBA, siggy, and pienaar(-4)
C) rather do rooney –> aguero (then 1. bale –> VDV/mata/dempsey/silva(-4) or 2. HBA –> moses or yaya(-4))
May 11 at 12:20 am
unoaime says:
A.
And bench HBA.
May 11 at 12:21 am
RedForLife says:
REPOST: Sorry guys really need some opinions, stuck on bottom of last page.
Before we move right into the deadzone wondering if I could get some thoughts on this?
After much thought & discussion this is the plan. Nani & Pogs out, Tevez & Maloney in.
Leaves for final week.
Bego
Enrique – Santon/Evans – Jags
Valencia – Bale – Dempsey – Maloney
RVP – Aguero (c) – Tevez
What do we think?
May 11 at 12:21 am
The Viper says:
Sorenson OR Vorm?
Vorm seems the obvious choice with Bolton desperate for points?
How ‘catchable’ is a 23 point lead? Not sure if I should be loading up on differentials or play it safe and just hope the captain decision goes my way?
May 11 at 12:25 am
unoaime says:
Depends on how many differentials you’ve already got throughout your team – some people don’t realise they’ve already got enough.
A different successful captain choice could potentially be all you need.
May 11 at 12:30 am
The Viper says:
The differences are:
Me- Vermaelen, Jagielka, Rafael, Dempsey, VDV, Jelavic, possibly Aguero (he will probably bring him in though?)
Him -Walker, Boyce, Moses, Valencia, Torres
May 11 at 12:33 am
unoaime says:
vDV and a decent captain choice could do it. He already has the main differential people are going for in Torres. If you have a FT, maybe Dempsey > Maloney to limited his Wigan threat and if Moses isn’t amongst the goals whilst Maloney is – it could be enough for you to catch that lead.
May 11 at 12:34 am
unoaime says:
limit*
May 11 at 12:37 am
The Viper says:
But Dempsey is one of my differentials? Do you not think that makes a difference?
May 11 at 12:43 am
unoaime says:
Well you could do McClean > Maloney but then you’ve got a benching problem.
I just had a proper look at your team and maybe Bale > Maloney, Jelavic > Aguero is your best option. A gamble, sure…. but who knows?
May 11 at 12:48 am
The Viper says:
Cheers, will certainly take it all into consideration! Thanks!
May 11 at 12:28 am
CravenA says:
To catch up 23 probably calls for at least 4 good diffs and one of them cpt.
May 11 at 12:33 am
The Viper says:
See just above for my differentials.. Hopefully Aguero(c) will be a differential but he will probably do the same!
May 11 at 12:44 am
CravenA says:
It looks like you’re in with a strong chance to me. I’d get another hit-free to take out one of his diffs without losing mine, if that’s possible, and leave it at that.
May 11 at 12:29 am
RedForLife says:
Viper I’m actually going Bego ahead of Vorm. If Sorenson gets the nod it sorts that problem out for me. Is Bego out with injury or just rotation?
May 11 at 12:32 am
The Viper says:
Its just rotation. Pulis said he would give Sorenson gametime in anticipation of the Euro’s. You should just start Vorm incase Begovic had to come on for 1 pointer for some reason..
May 11 at 12:56 am
RedForLife says:
Fair point. Is Sorenson guaranteed to start?
May 11 at 1:01 am
The Viper says:
It seems so! Trust your own judgment but I would certainly be advising that..
May 11 at 12:25 am
nevercaptorres says:
is moses price going up 2nite??
May 11 at 12:26 am
smash says:
Thinking about going Jelly/Demps to Augero (c) Petrov
Figure Bolton will go all out to score, actually have something to play for, can anyone think of a better last week punt than him? only have 5.9 already have Moses
May 11 at 12:38 am
RoysCallerAnne says:
Exact same moves as me and exact same reasoning. So i approve
May 11 at 12:27 am
jkisthe1 - Aguero to score a hat-trick and QPR to win 4-3 says:
@Viper
Still can’t help but be drawn to Lamps. Gotta think he’ll play he rarely misses games. I know Chelsea’s schedule has been hectic, but he has had a rest, has 6 days between games is practically bullet-proof.
May 11 at 12:38 am
Blind says:
He’s playing deep though
May 11 at 12:54 am
The Viper says:
After reading through the Chelsea forums I have been put off.. 95% of the people suggest/recommend that he will/should be rested..
May 11 at 12:28 am
jimmythegent says:
Play Valencia or Siggy?
Siggy and Valencia have higher scores away so the stats would point to play Tony. But Siggy may want to leave a goodbye present.
thoughts much appreciated
May 11 at 12:30 am
smash says:
I’m trying to decide between Siggy and Pienarr, currently going Sig for the same reason – leave on a high.
May 11 at 12:37 am
jimmythegent says:
Pienaar may also want to leave a present and he is in hot hot form, very tough call for you!
May 11 at 12:52 am
CravenA says:
Pienaar more so, possibly – thanks for the thought, might now do Siggy>Pienaar & keep Valencia to stock up on diffs over the leader in my ML.
May 11 at 12:37 am
Ryan says:
http://soccernet.espn.go.com/n.....nt?cc=3436
What a shame eh, it was fun while it lasted but I don’t think there will be a Moses wagon next season
May 11 at 12:47 am
unoaime says:
Can’t believe he’s only 21.
May 11 at 1:00 am
riQuelme techniQue - Moses' Sold Me Down The River says:
These Nigerian birth certificates are not what they seem…..
May 11 at 12:47 am
IamIronMike says:
If the right club and offer comes along for him then fair enough, but really think he could do with playing well for a full season before moving on and not just here and there and I say that as a latics fan…. sometimes his decision making can be awful as he often feels the need to beat everybody and try and score himself (which can be great form a FF point of view) when picking the right final pass is just as good.
May 11 at 12:39 am
Bojan says:
a)lampard+jelavic
b)torres+peinnar
who will score more…
May 11 at 12:43 am
jimmythegent says:
b) ….. lampard will probably be rested
May 11 at 12:41 am
A-O-Chamberlain says:
Best midfielder for 7.2 or under?
Already have Ramires.
Thanks
May 11 at 12:55 am
triggerlips says:
Moses , if already have then petrov
May 11 at 12:56 am
triggerlips says:
If ramires was a guaranteed starter then i would had him in too , and of course Siggy deserves a mention
May 11 at 12:50 am
triggerlips says:
Cant decide who to bench from front eight
Pienaar Siggy Dempsey VdV Valencia
Aguero Van Persie Jelly
looks like will have to be one of siggy or dempsey , but not happy about it
May 11 at 12:52 am
Chicho says:
On 2 FT:
Dempsay -> Silva
Pappis -> RVP
*still left 1.1 in bank after above transfers
That would leave me:
Silva Siggy Bale VDV
Jelly Aguero RVP
Doubling City & Spurs in front 7. Or should I take cover from other team?
May 11 at 12:54 am
unoaime says:
Sounds good to me.
May 11 at 12:56 am
Chicho says:
How about cover from ManUtd or in form Liverpool?
May 11 at 12:59 am
unoaime says:
You can’t work Rooney in without silly hits and none of your current mids are droppable for a Man United one.
As for Liverpool, what form? Apart from beating Chelsea and Norwich they haven’t done much and Swansea have been great at home all season.
May 11 at 12:54 am
Ginkapo says:
6 hours, 2500 word essay complete. Don’t know why arts students moan so much.
May 11 at 12:57 am
triggerlips says:
What was the title?
May 11 at 12:58 am
Ginkapo says:
An audit of Calatrava’s Ponte della Constituzione against Sustainability, Paranoia and Iconicism.
May 11 at 12:59 am
triggerlips says:
I could of done it with one word
Bollocks !!
May 11 at 1:01 am
Ginkapo says:
Doesnt take much to expand that to 2.5k
May 11 at 1:04 am
triggerlips says:
I dont really understand any of it , according to wiki Ponte della Costituzione is a bridge in venice , cant quite figure out where paranoia fits into it
May 11 at 1:06 am
Ginkapo says:
Its generally the opposite allowing increased freedom of movement and as unobstructing as possible.
Although those parapets look mighty chunky, its almost like the designer didnt want people commiting suicide from it. Bit unfair of them to take away our right to suicide dont you think. Why should I have to obey society norms about life?
And yes I did right crap similiar to that.
May 11 at 1:12 am
triggerlips says:
I thought my sociology degree was a waste of time , think yours might beat it
May 11 at 1:17 am
Ginkapo says:
Hehe, I do Structural Engineering with Architecture. The with architecture bit is a complete waste of my time.
May 11 at 12:59 am
Ryan says:
Ha, whats the grammar like? Bet it hardly makes any sense
May 11 at 1:01 am
Ginkapo says:
Nope its just as pretensious and grammatically perfect as all my essays.
May 11 at 12:58 am
riQuelme techniQue - Moses' Sold Me Down The River says:
I’ve been talked into getting Mata for a hit
May 11 at 1:02 am
RedForLife says:
Will he play?
May 11 at 1:05 am
riQuelme techniQue - Moses' Sold Me Down The River says:
From a logical perspective, RDM can’t expect to plonk him straight into the CL final without playing a match for two weeks, he’d be going through the gears. I’m hoping he’ll give him 60mins against Blackburn, hopefully put in a good performance and go into the final with confidence.
May 11 at 1:04 am
The Viper says:
Juan ‘I never get 90 minutes and am candidate no.1 when it comes to handing out rests’ Mata, the week before the champion league final…for a hit??
Good luck!
May 11 at 1:08 am
riQuelme techniQue - Moses' Sold Me Down The River says:
I’d rather punt on Mata than Torres, now that would be a risky one!
May 11 at 1:10 am
The Viper says:
Lukaku is where its at
It is so hard to predict a starting line up, I was thinking Lampard all week but just not going to risk it..
May 11 at 1:01 am
Spoiler says:
need some help lads, tied in my mini league going into final week.
his main differentials are silva, mata and jelavic, thinking maybe cisse out for aguero?
Sorenson
Turner | Evans | Kos
Pienaar | Bale | Valencia | Dempsey
Cisse | RVP | Adebayor
Vorm | Siggy | Enrique | Simpson
May 11 at 1:03 am
riQuelme techniQue - Moses' Sold Me Down The River says:
Cisse out for Aguero
And I’d start Siggy over Demps and Valencia.
Maybe even take one of them out for a hit? And get a Mata/Silva if you are confident they will deliver.
May 11 at 1:05 am
Spoiler says:
not touching mata personally. rival has dempsey so not sure whether to take risk and bench and play siggy, might drop valencia instead
May 11 at 1:04 am
RedForLife says:
Who wins:
A. Tevez & Maloney
or
B. Suarez & Petrov
Already have Aguero.
May 11 at 1:08 am
The Viper says:
A. 100% for me..
May 11 at 1:35 am
RedForLife says:
Cheers Viper. Looking more & more like the move for me!
May 11 at 1:06 am
tahoe don says:
need a replacement for JEvans…6.4 to spend …. have a secure ML lead
A) Clichy
B) Lescott (don’t have MC coverage)
C) another def. option
Are both Clichy and Lescott nailed on?
Thanks for the help
May 11 at 1:10 am
Sizo says:
Yes, Lescott even more so and he has goal threat, so i`d do him.
May 11 at 1:15 am
tahoe don says:
ty .. will do
May 11 at 1:09 am
TorresMagic™ - Congrats to Desertbug(FPL Open) & Phaze1(Elite 64) for being the Winners. Commiserations to Reply Fail & JOMT.. Hot Tip, send me an email to the link please... says:
Finally a GW where trades are easy & just have to work out my bench.
May 11 at 1:09 am
Nicholas Fish says:
Alright guys, my first time posting.
Was wondering who you think I should pick to start out of this XI, I’m 8 points clear in my mini league (blew 45 points last week, after spending 8 points to get VERM, MOSES and Pienaar…chasing another league.)
Krul -Mignolet
Verm – Walker – Lescott – Evans – Bardsley,
Bale – Siggy – Pienaar – Moses – Maloney,
Aguero (c) – Rooney – Ba
Thanks guys for any help.
May 11 at 1:09 am
Sizo says:
Does anyone have a link to the official Euros game?