The Numbers Game – ICT Form Analysis

Just three more days to go till the curtain draws on the domestic campaign, then. As many Fantasy managers look to load up on more assured Fantasy assets ahead of Sunday’s deadline, plenty more are in the position where differentials are needed for that vital edge in the final Gameweek of the season.

This latest article for members takes a look at the top ten players per position over the last four Gameweeks in accordance with our very own ICT Index averages. Also using the Opta data available, we dig deep in order to highlight some overlooked potential perhaps worth considering this weekend.

This content is restricted to Premium Members. Click here to register and get access to Opta stats, the Rate My Team tool, Points Projections, 150+ Premium Member articles, exclusive videos, a customisable Season Ticker, the FFS Transfer Planner... and more!

1,680 Comments Post a Comment

Sickboy
11 years, 11 months ago
Who to play? Pienaar or Siggy?

Thanks in advance.
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1. WOLVERiNES
  11 years, 11 months ago
  Siggy for me.
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2. Messimerized- Join My FPL L…
  11 years, 11 months ago
  Pienaar
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3. Mr Smith
  11 years, 11 months ago
  NEVER BENCH SIGGY!
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Sarnab
11 years, 11 months ago
lol 😀
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1. Messimerized- Join My FPL L…
  11 years, 11 months ago
  ?
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2. Sarnab
  11 years, 11 months ago
  reply fail.
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Sarnab
11 years, 11 months ago
dempsey or valencia to play??
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Messimerized- Join My FPL L…
11 years, 11 months ago
Reply@Sarnab
Start Dempsey
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Kevin Twine
11 years, 11 months ago
Vorm or Ruddy in goal this week?
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1. SayWhaaaaat
  11 years, 11 months ago
  Ruddy. Villa are playing very poorly.
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2. Holy See
  11 years, 11 months ago
  Because Villa are so toothless, I'm thinking of giving Ruddy a game.
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3. Messimerized- Join My FPL L…
  11 years, 11 months ago
  Ruddy
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GoonerzSLO
11 years, 11 months ago
Clichy or Kompany for 4 point hit??

My defense is as follows:

Vermaelen Terry Rangel Williamson Evans (GK Vorm)

Midfield: VDV Siggy Pienaar Moses (Valencia)
Attack: Jelly RVP Aguero

Need to gain 5 points, my rival also took a 4 point hit...
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1. SayWhaaaaat
  11 years, 11 months ago
  Don't take a 4point hit.
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2. embo76
  11 years, 11 months ago
  You don't need the hit. And you need to gain 1 point on your rival due to his hit. Bingo
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  1. GoonerzSLO
    11 years, 11 months ago
    Makes sense 🙂
    
    Rangel or Williamson?? (GK Vorm)
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    1. Messimerized- Join My FPL L…
      11 years, 11 months ago
      Williamson
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thetinkerman
11 years, 11 months ago
Morning folks.

A lot of talk surrounding plans to bench/transfer out Dempsey due to his fixture and the fact Fulham have nothing to play for.

Does anyone know if Dempsey will likely play in support of the striker?

He played left wing and Dembele played 'in the hole' according to most sources but his average position 'heat map' shows he was just as far forward as Pog with Dembele dropping slightly deeper.

Anyone think he will play is an advanced role this week?
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1. Messimerized- Join My FPL L…
  11 years, 11 months ago
  Dempsey likes to play centrally.
  So, despite starting on the wings, he will come centrally & would be more advanced in average position
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Christina.
11 years, 11 months ago
I need a 6mil def for Euro's. I have Ward/Kadlec/Zhirkov/Papadoup/?

Go!
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1. Beavis
  11 years, 11 months ago
  When are you WCing?
  
  Look at Rami/Debuchy or potentially Bouhlarouz if he looks like he's going to start.
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  1. Christina.
    11 years, 11 months ago
    gw 2. Ok, I still have space for a hollander.
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2. Messimerized- Join My FPL L…
  11 years, 11 months ago
  Piszczek
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  1. Christina.
    11 years, 11 months ago
    No go. I have 2 pole dancers already.
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3. Sarnab
  11 years, 11 months ago
  Alba(6.5) , i think he is worth 0.5 more.. bring him in.
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  1. Christina.
    11 years, 11 months ago
    What part of 6 mill don't you get?
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Green Arrow
11 years, 11 months ago
Doing Jelly>Aguero...shipping out Dempsey to fund for this..who can i get instead of him for 8.9? Ramires/ Yaya?
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1. Messimerized- Join My FPL L…
  11 years, 11 months ago
  Yaya
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2. ILOVEBAPS
  11 years, 11 months ago
  I went Ramires. Is in form and will play.
  Plus I have Ags so I spread the coverage!
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  1. Darren Caskey
    11 years, 11 months ago
    Yaya
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manu4life99
11 years, 11 months ago
1) Dempsey or siggy?

2) A or B?
A) aguero(C), maloney (-4pts)
B) cisse, any mid (C)

Thanks
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Torrestar
11 years, 11 months ago
OMG Lawrenson predicts only 2 goals for Man City on the weekend. Surely, all Aguero captainers should rethink?
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1. Messimerized- Join My FPL L…
  11 years, 11 months ago
  Aguero will score both of them. 😉
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2. Bubbles
  11 years, 11 months ago
  Has he ever predicted a team to score more than two goals?!
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Sarnab
11 years, 11 months ago
jelly > torres for a hit ?? Y or N ?

chasing 20 points.
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1. Messimerized- Join My FPL L…
  11 years, 11 months ago
  N
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  1. ILOVEBAPS
    11 years, 11 months ago
    Mmm... depends on other differentials to ur rivals team.
    Weigh it up.
    
    I think Che will put 6 past BB.
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roscola
11 years, 11 months ago
Me: Jellyfish, Cisse, RVP
Rival: Rooney, Cisse, RVP

I'm 8 points ahead and will bring in Aguero or Tevez. Question is who for? Everton's defence is rock-solid at home and I don't expect Cisse to score. Newcastle, on the other hand, can be shaky at the back on the road. So ordinarily I would lose Cisse.

BUT - is it risky to create more differentials? Likewise, benching Valencia for Siggy. Rival has Valencia and will almost certainly play him so should I do the same to reduce differentials?

Thanks
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1. Sarnab
  11 years, 11 months ago
  cut down differentials.. that must be your plan.
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2. Messimerized- Join My FPL L…
  11 years, 11 months ago
  Cisse>Aguero
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Sarnab
11 years, 11 months ago
Aguero + Nasri
OR
Aguero + Moses

??
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1. Messimerized- Join My FPL L…
  11 years, 11 months ago
  1.
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Sarnab
11 years, 11 months ago
Mata's starting chances??
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1. Bubbles
  11 years, 11 months ago
  I'd be surprised if he did. Only 6 days between this (meaningless) game and the Champions League fina. No need to take any risks.
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2. Messimerized- Join My FPL L…
  11 years, 11 months ago
  I don't think he will be start.
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  1. In Like Flynn.
    11 years, 11 months ago
    Found you, Yes I shall have a stab at the Euros. But know little and will learn not much more by the end I suspect.
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Turd
11 years, 11 months ago
Not fpl but money at stake.
Pick 3 please.
A) Downing @ swansea
B) Rosicky @ wba
C) Siggurdsson v liverpool
D) Moses v wolves
E) Sessegnon v man u
F) M. Davies @ stoke

Currently planning on B, D, C as can't rely on Downing starting. But he did look dangerous v Chelsea reserves.
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1. Darren Caskey
  11 years, 11 months ago
  Agree, D B C
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2. Sarnab
  11 years, 11 months ago
  B C D
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  1. Turd
    11 years, 11 months ago
    Cheers lads. Nice and reassuring responses.
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3. LWO23
  11 years, 11 months ago
  B C D for me as well.
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Darren Caskey
11 years, 11 months ago
Have closed a 134 point gap on biggest rival down to 2 (!!!) points before last GW.

We have similar teams, for the first time in weeks though I feel he has the strongest team so I might have to gamble.

Me: Schwarzer, Vermaelen, Skrtel, Caulker, VDV
Him: Vorm, Gibbs, Kompany, Terry, Moses

Only have 1 FT:
A) Dempsey+Jelavic -> Maloney+Aguero (-4)
B) Rooney -> Aguero/Tevez

Other?
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1. Sarnab
  11 years, 11 months ago
  B
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  1. Turd
    11 years, 11 months ago
    Not a fan of hits with only 1 week to get it back.
    B. Aguero. Is what I'm doing
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2. LWO23
  11 years, 11 months ago
  Yeah, B for sure. Don't throw away the points at this stage when you can get Aguero anyway.
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  1. Darren Caskey
    11 years, 11 months ago
    Thx guys!
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Sarnab
11 years, 11 months ago
Chasing 20 points:
took a 8 point hit..so its 28.

ME: Aguero(c),Moses,Bale, RVP, Lescott,Kelly
Him: Rooney(c),Sess,Dempsey,Cisse,Turner + 28 points

🙁 no chance of me winning.. but still last try. An aguero hattrick maybe and rooney blank would do it.
😀
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1. LWO23
  11 years, 11 months ago
  Yeah, that is pretty much what it will take. But it's still possible.
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Gravless wonder
11 years, 11 months ago
tevez or aguero? Rivals will have Aguero and I'm chasing
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1. LWO23
  11 years, 11 months ago
  How many other differentials do you have? If you need a big differential, then Tevez. Otherwise, Aguero and hope you make the points up elsewhere.
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asyrafdanial
11 years, 11 months ago
need new post please !!
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Squeakybumtime
11 years, 11 months ago
Morning all.
Need help quick.
Chasing an 11 pt mini league leader.
Differentials are
Him: Shotton Kilgallon vs Me: Walker Caulker
Him: Lennon McClean vs Me: Valencia Pienaar
Him: Aguero vs Me: Cisse

I'm thinking Rooney -> Aguero (C), almost as a defensive move. Tevez if I'm feeling brave.

Anyone see any other potential moves.
Who will win do you think?
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1. Christina.
  11 years, 11 months ago
  Just copy him with Kun. I think Shotton/Kil are more of a liability then anything else for him.
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  1. Squeakybumtime
    11 years, 11 months ago
    He has Vorm and Caulker too I just spotted, which makes me having caulker worthless.
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2. LWO23
  11 years, 11 months ago
  Tough one. I do like your team bettter except for Aguero vs. Cisse. It does feel wrong to just match the guy you are trying to catch, though. I like Aguero for captain this week, but perhaps that isn't your move. You already have RVP? Can you afford him?
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  1. Squeakybumtime
    11 years, 11 months ago
    My team is
    Krul/Mig
    Vermaelen Walker Caulker (Evans Turner)
    Bale Dempsey Valencia Pienaar (Dyer)
    RVP Rooney Cisse
    
    If i do Roo -> Aguero it leaves him Rooney vs Cisse, which I'm not overly worried about.
    
    11 point could be made up almost by a Pienaar/Val goal and a clean sheet for spurs (although unlikely)
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LWO23
11 years, 11 months ago
Benching one of Valencia or Siggy. Thoughts?
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1. Squeakybumtime
  11 years, 11 months ago
  Who's your other midfield. Very hard to bench either. Would always fancy United to score more than swansea so bench Siggy (cue 2 goals from the icelandic)
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2. LWO23
  11 years, 11 months ago
  Bale, VDV, Dempsey are the other three. Had money to spare after DGW and now have selection headache after upgrading mid. Silly. I don't like benching Siggy as he has done me well, but I see goals in Tott vs. Fulham.
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  1. Squeakybumtime
    11 years, 11 months ago
    you've answered your own Q there - if theres goals at WHL then play demps Bale and VDV. Valencia then for me
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roscola
11 years, 11 months ago
RMET

Čech -- Lindegaard
Zhirkov -- Boateng -- Kadlec -- Jodlowiek -- M.Olsson
Sneijder -- Mandžukić -- Özil -- Dzagoev -- Makos
Ibrahimović -- Huntelaar -- Lewandowski

Weak point is Makos. He's a bench warmer and I understand that this isn't a game that rewards bench warmers. Who do I downgrade though? I really want to keep Özil and Huntelaar.
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1. Christina.
  11 years, 11 months ago
  Someone mentioned that Lindy is not a starter for Denmark, but I'm not sure. Not to sure if it's wize to double up on Kadlec/cech.
  
  Huntelaar is your problem. Waay to exp.
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  1. ROBERTO MANKINI
    11 years, 11 months ago
    Sorensen always starts for Denmark
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  2. roscola
    11 years, 11 months ago
    But he scored over half of Netherlands' goals in qualifying so I really want to keep him.
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    1. Christina.
      11 years, 11 months ago
      Ok. Shoot yourself.
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      1. roscola
        11 years, 11 months ago
        Nice.
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2. HVT
  11 years, 11 months ago
  Makos > duff, when Eire score hes usually involved, he always starts, trap loves him and IMO Eire could get out of this group, 4 pts from Croatia/Italy should do it.
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HVT
11 years, 11 months ago
Sorry for the repost, you might give me a quick hand with this one:
Zhirkov or Jerkoff ?
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1. Christina.
  11 years, 11 months ago
  😕
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  1. SPorting
    11 years, 11 months ago
    Alexi or Flexi?
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    1. Christina.
      11 years, 11 months ago
      Sexi
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      1. HVT
        11 years, 11 months ago
        As to earlier q , walker if woy starts him in friendliest he could be a decent shout.
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        Christina.
        11 years, 11 months ago
        Baines/Cahill/Evra all 6 mill...struggling to make up my mind.
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        Christina.
        11 years, 11 months ago
        BTW, re your Q....I'm going Dzagoev+Zhirkov
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2. Test Eagles
  11 years, 11 months ago
  the other one
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Test Eagles
11 years, 11 months ago
ive got cahill and evans in the backline ... 4 point hit for clichy??
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1. Squeakybumtime
  11 years, 11 months ago
  yes, simples
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2. HVT
  11 years, 11 months ago
  For what ? A 3 point gain if your lucky, IMO play Kelly walker Jenrique roll the dice, if your taking a hit this week it should be for something more creative.
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Lanley Staurel
11 years, 11 months ago
Morning all. Views on who to bench pls...

A. Siggy Liv(H)
B. Dempsey Tot(A)
C. Valencia Sun(A)

Cheers.
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1. colin1201
  11 years, 11 months ago
  I'll lean towards benching
  dempsey, then valencia, then siggy.
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2. Ismail
  11 years, 11 months ago
  demps
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3. LWO23
  11 years, 11 months ago
  I have the same choice. I really don't want to bench any. I see the other votes are Dempsey, but I'll be playing him for sure. Comes down to Siggy or Valencia on the bench for me. Leaning towards Valencia out of loyalty to Siggy (who has done me well).
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  1. Lanley Staurel
    11 years, 11 months ago
    Thanks for all your replied. Might go for Valencia but still unsure. It won't be Siggy now tho.
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    1. Old Schoolᴼˢ “disa…
      11 years, 11 months ago
      I'm benching siggy, different options though will play petrov and Moses ahead of him
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colin1201
11 years, 11 months ago
choose 4 out of 5

mata vdv bale valenia moses
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1. Squeakybumtime
  11 years, 11 months ago
  bench mata, wont play more than 30 mins
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2. In Like Flynn.
  11 years, 11 months ago
  Can't we just pick one and you guess the rest?
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  1. In Like Flynn.
    11 years, 11 months ago
    Mata most likely for half a game.
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3. Bubbles
  11 years, 11 months ago
  I don't choose Mata.
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UnitednationsXI
11 years, 11 months ago
Cant believe its almost over:(

anyways, anyway i can makeup 28 points?

bogdan
huth caulker mcauly (evans kelly)
bale siggy barfa pienaar (demps)
rvp rooney adebayor

What should i do? I have 1 FT left....should i take hits?

PLZ HELP:D
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1. Squeakybumtime
  11 years, 11 months ago
  Play Demps over Barfa
  Any funds. you need city coverage. Aguero if you can afford him, or tevez as differential
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2. LWO23
  11 years, 11 months ago
  Agreed ... play Demps. Don't take hits. Decent team. Either shoot for the stars with Rooney to Aguero if that is a differential or go Evans to Clichy and hope for double figures from there. Be sure to captain someone your rival doesn't have. You need a good captain differential and then it's possible. Remember ... no hits.
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ROBERTO MANKINI
11 years, 11 months ago
I have a 13 point lead, which is better?

A) Dempsey -> VDV

B) Dempsey -> Silva

C) Dempsey+Jelavic -> Aguero+Moses & -4pt hit

Opponent also has Dempsey, Jelavic, Aguero and VDV
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1. Squeakybumtime
  11 years, 11 months ago
  whats your full 11? I dont see any of those moves as necessarily going to gain you major points
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  1. ROBERTO MANKINI
    11 years, 11 months ago
    Krul
    Enrique, Verm, Walker (jevans) (caulker)
    Bale, Valencia, Siggy, Cabaye (demps)
    Rooney RVP Jelavic
    
    current squad
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    1. Squeakybumtime
      11 years, 11 months ago
      Surely Demps over Cabaye. I'd play Caulker over Jenrique too. If i was sacrificing a midfielder I would do Val and Jel -> Kun/Tev and Yaya
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Ismail
11 years, 11 months ago
demps - toure
jelly - aguero
bale - maloney or moses or hoolahan?
need to make the 3rd for the money
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