We came so close to a string of wins last week, with goals for Romelu Lukaku, Moussa Sissoko and Gareth Bale dropping in nicely. Sadly, consolation strikes from Sunderland, Southampton and Theo Walcott’s failure to assist in Arsenal’s win over Villa robbed us of some big profits and left Paddy Power grinning. Let’s see if we can take the smile off their face with this week’s Scout Pick inspired markets…
Javier Hernandez is perhaps a surprise inclusion in this week’s Picks selection, but we’re pretty confident that the Mexican will get the pitch time to inflict damage on a Norwich defence on Saturday, perhaps at the expense of Robin Van Persie. With Sir Alex Ferguson’s back four keeping three consecutive clean sheets and Norwich hardly prolific of late, Paddy’s odds of 5/2 on an Hernandez goal with a United shutout are understandably slim but, with confidence in the “little pea”, we’ll place £4 on this one with little hesitation.
Leighton Baines is a Scout favourite and was always going to find his way in the Picks with Reading visiting Goodison this weekend. With five goals to his name this term, Baines is always in the hat to fetch attacking returns – in truth, it’s been clean sheets that have been hardest to come by. Even so, with Reading without Pavel Pogrebnyak up front, Everton may well see this one out and Baines, with penalties and free-kicks, could also crash the scoresheet. Paddy have 10/1 on a Baines goal with an Everton clean sheet against the Royals and we’ll take that for £2 of our tenner.
Stephane Sessegnon was subject of a Watchlist article earlier in the week and almost broke into a highly competitive midfield five in this week’s Picks. A scorer at West Brom, Sessegnon’s goal denied us winnings last week so he owes us this time around. Paddy’s odds of 12/1 on a Sessegnon strike with a Sunderland clean sheet against a Fulham side who have struggled for a cutting edge, look tempting enough for us to part with another £2 of our cash.
That leaves another couple of quid for the weekend treble. With Luis Suarez highly fancied for his trip to Wigan and David Silva in the Picks off his double assist against Chelsea last time out, we feature them both as Paddy offer 9/1 on a Suarez goal at Wigan, a Silva assist at Villa (assists must be verified by Soccernet.com) and a United clean sheet at home to Norwich.
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11 years, 2 months agoSturridge
if he doesn't start, is it most likely he will not feature in the game at all? So 50% chance of lets say ~6 points and 50% chance for a 0point score but then a sub will come on.
RvP
In my opinion RvP will either start or come on as sub. So 50% for a lets say 8p score and 50% for a 2 point score as sub (averages taken from thin air), so a calculated score of: 5points
Starting RvP: avg score of 5 points
Starting Sturridge: average score of 5,5 points
thus we should start Sturridge.
my numbers are taken from thin air, but the logic should be good?