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The Watchlist Updated – Gameweek 1

Our Watchlist rankings, offering player recommendations over the next four-to-six Gameweeks, returns to the site again today. With the season only days away, a number of World Cup stars are still struggling for fitness and we subsequently steer clear of the doubts and place our faith in one or two of the form players over the close-season action:

Unsurprisingly, United and Chelsea dominate our early thoughts – both clubs have shown strong form over the pre-season and have the early fixtures to benefit. Louis Van Gaal’s men face just one of last term’s top eight in the first eight Gameweeks and approach the season with a 100% summer record – David de Gea’s security of starts earn him top spot for keepers, whilst Phil Jones gets the nod due to the fact that he’s the only centre-half who has yet to pick up an injury or knock over the recent action.

Juan Mata’s role behind the front two in a 3-4-1-2 brings him to the summit of the midfielders – with a full pre-season behind him, the Spaniard is looking to continue the form which harvested six goals, five assists and 15 bonus points in 15 appearances for the Old Trafford outfit. At 9.0, Mata looks a convincing double-up option with Wayne Rooney for those looking to load up on the Red Devils – Rooney’s ownership is now 44% and rising, making him the most popular pick by some distance in FPL right now, while Robin van Persie gets back to full fitness.

Ashley Young also comes into contention at 5.5 – fielded as a wing-back, he’s scored three times over the summer and is likely to benefit from injuries to the likes of Luke Shaw, Rafael and Antonio Valencia.

Over at the Bridge, Diego Costa’s four goals and three assists over the summer sum up his instant impact at Chelsea. Now sitting in 30% of teams, his arrival could be the final piece of the jigsaw for Jose Mourinho – the Blues fired more shots than any other side last season but a lack of clinical edge proved costly to their title tilt.

With games against Burnley, Leicester, Swansea and Villa in the first six, Eden Hazard and Branislav Ivanovic also feature prominently in their respective positions – we reckon the Belgian will start this weekend, despite a relative lack of pre-season. Cesc Fabregas is a cheaper alternative to Hazard at 9.0 to 10.0, though the concern is that, as we’ve seen in pre-season, Mourinho can utilise him in the double-pivot as well as in “the hole” behind Costa.

Aside from the usual suspects, there are some notable options in the upper echelons of our first Watchlist. Stoke’s Asmir Begovic sits second for stoppers – with so much uncertainty over Mark Hughes’ defence, the 5.0-priced Bosnian offers a nailed-on option between the posts and faces only three of last season’s top eight in the opening 12 Gameweeks.

For the time being, Joel Ward (5.0) is our Palace defender of choice ahead of home games against West Ham, Burnley and Leicester in the first six. There’s every chance that we could turn our attentions to Martin Kelly if his proposed move from Liverpool goes through – at 4.5, the latter would be the cheapest option amongst Tony Pulis’ defence, with Ward expected to shift left to accommodate the new boy.

Steven Caulker’s goal threat brings the new QPR man into consideration. The centre-half notched five times last season for Cardiff and had more attempts in the box than any defender – with home games against Hull, Sunderland and Stoke in the first five, we’re backing the big centre-half to quickly prosper.

In midfield, the usual suspects dominate the main positions. Delve deeper, though, and mid-price options such as Gylfi Sigurdsson, Jason Puncheon and Dusan Tadic are all bubbling under – opening trips to United, Arsenal and Liverpool temper their initial appeal but all three should rise in our estimations from next week onwards. Tadic has been fielded wide in a front three by Ronald Koeman and with dead-ball duties to further his appeal, faces only one of last season’s top eight from Gameweek 2-12 and, at 7.5, should be a key player for the new-look Saints.

Up top, Rooney, Costa and Daniel Sturridge – a front three that would certainly test our £100m budgets – lead the way. City’s Stevan Jovetic tucks in just behind the trio on the back of five goals over pre-season – with Alvaro Negredo and both Sergio Aguero and Edin Dzeko yet to retain their match fitness, Jovetic, at 8.0, certainly offer an in-form route into the champions attack for the time being, though it’s best to plan an exit route in preparation for Aguero’s return to the fold.

While the Montenegro star is more of a short-term option, Stoke’s Bojan Krkic seems nailed-on by comparison and has the potential to be a bargain buy. Three goals over pre-season, allied with a price tag of just 5.5 and the Potters’ above-mentioned schedule over the first 12 Gameweeks makes the former Barcelona man the standout option in the budget bracket right now.

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1,834 Comments Post a Comment
  1. manutd99
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Current defenders. Any changes?
     Cahill, Jones, Caulker, Wisdom, Hutton

    Which out of the following
    Ward, PVA or Caulker?
    Which 2 out of Wisdom, Hutton, Moore?

    Could downgrade Caulker to a 4.5 and upgrade either Hutton or Wisdom for another 4.5 def
    Pick and suggestions appreciated

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    1. Dark_Mata
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Pva wisdom IMO

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  2. Dark_Mata
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Will Marc Wilson play much / start?

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    1. Rödallegabomb ᴿᴮ
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Yes at the start, but he will likely have limited game time thereafter, unless he is preferred over other players. This will become apparent as the season rolls on.

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  3. Rödallegabomb ᴿᴮ
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    VORP - Value Over Replacement Player, Interactive Table For ALL

    Recently, I have produced an interactive table, which shows the value of players using a process named VORP, or Value Over Replacement Player. This table contained information from the members section, using the projections as the source of points.

    This has two main drawbacks. Firstly, they are only available to members, so not everyone can have access. Secondly, they are only predictions, so are not really that accurate.

    I have an article on it in the community section, which explains a lot more about the members chart I made, this article can be found here:

    http://www.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/2014/08/13/value-over-replacement-player-vorp/

    There is a link to a table in the members section within that article, and within that table is a link to the interactive table. Members, please do not share this!

    More recently, I have made a table, which is based off last seasons points totals, which is the old fashioned way to calculate VORP. Of course, there are drawbacks to this one, but there are with any method of calculating so called 'value'. The link to this table, which is available to all, can be found below:

    https://public.tableausoftware.com/profile/rodallegabomb#!/vizhome/VORPBasedon1314PointsByRodallegabomb/Sheet1

    How To Use The Interactive Table:

    It may seem a little bit complicated at first, with dots everywhere. It really it quite simple, you just need to know where and what to look for.

    • The higher up the chart, the higher the VORP

    • The higher the VORP, the better the value

    • The further to the right of the chart, the higher the price of the player and vice versa

    • You can select a team from the left side and view players from that team only to narrow down the search. You can also filter by position, I hope to add more filters soon

    • Hover over a dot to see more information about it

    • Double click in an area to zoom in and see more accurately where they are spread

    • Press the home button in the top left to return to the original view

    Both the tables I have created are in a BETA stage. They will be updated when I have the time to make them more accurate and useful, with new features being added too.

    I plan to do an average of the two, which sadly will only be available to members because it contains the projections. This will be the most accurate as it takes into account player's previous scoring, as well as the likelihood of a repeated event, and other factors such as new signings etc.

    Please bare in mind, some popular picks this year may be low down on the table, this is because they didn't score well last year, and as it is based on that, the scores won't be manipulated to show otherwise. This is what the average table will be for.

    I hope everyone enjoys these and puts them to good use, I did not want to leave anyone out, which is why I made the non-members table.

    As always, have a wonderful day 🙂

    -RB

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    1. lifes a pitch
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      nice one. cheers

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    2. Rödallegabomb ᴿᴮ
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      I am reposting this on the new article, so look out for it there if this ones is deleted.

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  4. sarnshawn
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Help?

    Boruc (myhill)
    Coloccini, Baines, Ivanovic, O'Shea (Bruce)
    Mata, Sterling, Ramsey (Dyer, El Ahmadi)
    Bojan, Sturridge, Costa

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    1. lifes a pitch
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      seems a bit expensive at the back stil decent. 8/10

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    2. Tired and weary
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Needs more Rooney

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      1. sarnshawn
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Rooney over Sturridge then?

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  5. aliiipee
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Do you guys think that Rio will start at QPR? If not, any decent suggestions for a 4.5 midfielder who will play?

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    1. BurnySizz
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Not going to join to not play imo will partner caulker

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    2. telite
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Think QPR are looking to play 3 at the back this season, so expect Rio to start. Otherwise there's van Aanholt, Vlaar etc. Maybe Martin Kelly if he's straight into the palace 11.

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  6. GregK2
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Best Midfield (Bench) option for 5.0?

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  7. telite
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    A) Fabregas, Giroud, Ramsey?
    B) Costa, Ramsey + a MID 7.5 or under?

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    1. M.I.A.
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      B

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  8. Siva Mohan
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    QPR blow as Napoli hijack deal for Dutch ace De Guzman

    Napoli are leading QPR in the race to sign former Swansea midfielder Jonathan de Guzman.

    QPR have reportedly tabled a £7m bid for the Villarreal man, who spent the last two seasons on loan at Swansea.

    However, according to SportItalia, Napoli are now the favourites to sign the Dutchman.

    The Serie A side are said to be offering to take de Guzman on loan for the season, with a view to a permanent deal being struck next summer.

    The 26-year-old is thought to be in favour of a move to Rafael Benitez’s team and the prospect of Champions League football.

    As a result, de Guzman has delayed talks with QPR over a possible move until Napoli’s interest in him is resolved.

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  9. Rex Lapis
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    drop one

    O'Shea, Cameron, Fonte, Debuchy, Caulker

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    1. M.I.A.
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Fonte

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  10. M.I.A.
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    After a bit of chopping and changing I think I'm settled on the below team. Can anyone see any room for improvement?

    Krul/Elliot
    Terry/Jones/Debuchy/N Taylor/Moore
    Mata/Ramsey/Eriksen/Siggy/Albrighton
    Rooney/Costa/Jovetic

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  11. Siva Mohan
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Redknapp hopeful over Remy

    "You hope that doesn't happen," said Redknapp of the chance a rival could poach his in-demand forward due to his £8.5million buy-out clause.

    "But at the end of the day if he's got a buy-out clause there's very little you can do about it I would imagine.

    "That would be the worst scenario.

    "I don't think he would want to do that either to us, he's a good lad, he's got a good relationship with the chairman.

    "With a week to go before the window closes we all need to know where we're going, I don't think he would suddenly walk away the day before.

    "I think he's too decent a guy to do that."

    Redknapp believes Remy would only leave QPR for Champions League football.

    "I sat down with him when he came back but I didn't have to persuade him, we sat down and he just said 'look, I'm back, I want to play, I'm here'," said Redknapp.

    "So unless something comes up, Champions League or something massive for him, he would like to stay here and play.

    "And he's shown that attitude every day on the training ground, I couldn't have asked for more from him.

    "He's been great, he's worked hard, he's done his running, he's got himself fit, he's a proper professional and that's all you can ask.

    "There have been several clubs that have rung up about him, in the Premier League, but I don't think that they would be clubs that he would particularly want to leave QPR for.

    "He's trained great and we're hoping that he'll be here at the start of the season - but you never know.

    "I'm not trying to sell him because we don't want to sell him.

    "For me really, he should be a £20m striker, in comparison to others that are getting sold for £12m.

    "To have lost him for the amount that we were going to, he would have been too cheap.

    "And to have him back here is fantastic for us.

    "I want to keep him, the chairman wants him to stay, and we hope that he does stay.

    "When I looked at what he was going to go for to Liverpool, it was a fantastic buy for Liverpool at that money.

    "So their loss is our gain I think."

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    1. FPL Daniel
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      If Drogba is injured apparently Chelsea is going for him

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  12. Rödallegabomb ᴿᴮ
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    There is a new post by the way 😉

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  13. BurnySizz
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Interested on people's opinions of how many goals people are expecting for the 7.5m and under strikers this season?

    I'm going with Austin and expecting him to score around 10 this season

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  14. KAGAWAsaki
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Best 5 mil midfielder.. ???

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    1. cheekumz
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Ward or possibly Clyne?

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    2. BurnySizz
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Prob JWP or Davis

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      1. KAGAWAsaki
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Got siggy davis 1 more spot wid 5 mil can be filled!!

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        1. TheProfessor
          • 9 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          possibly darren fletcher, looking good in preseason with little competition atm

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          1. KAGAWAsaki
            • 12 Years
            9 years, 8 months ago

            Nopes wastes my 3 spot Utd cap.. any other choices??

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            1. TheProfessor
              • 9 Years
              9 years, 8 months ago

              hmm, james mccarthy, delph or JWP are the best i reckon

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  15. cheekumz
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Final defender conundrum:

    A) Ward + 0.5m for future transfers

    B) Debuchy

    Full team is:

    Bego / (Gilks)
    Cahill / xxxx / Van Aanholt / (Wisdom) / (Bartley/Hutton)
    Ramsey / Sterling / Mata / Siggy / (Marney)
    Rooney / Costa / Dzeko

    Any input appreciated,
    Cheers 🙂

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    1. AC A Little Silhouette of M…
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Debuchy for GW1, Ward for the next few weeks afterwards, would go with Ward personally.

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  16. FPL Daniel
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Sorry for asking but what is VORP...?

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    1. FPL Daniel
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Fantasy related. I see lads mentioning it several times

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    2. Demí
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      It's on the first line of the post you replied to above

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      1. KAGAWAsaki
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Demi need ur opinion on this planning a 523..Thoughts??

        Krul Foster
        Lovren Cahill Jones Smalling Clyne
        Siggy Davis SWP Sterling Hazard
        Pelle Rooney Costa

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  17. Shoot Lovejoy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Is Steven Taylor at Newcastle expected to be first choice this season? Just looking for a cheap defender and he's 4.0.

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    1. BurnySizz
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      No

      Janmaat Williamson colo haidara

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  18. Cardiff Kopite
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Manquillo - IS he going to play???

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  19. Mikei
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Fabregas or Yaya?

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    1. telite
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      I'd go with Fab from the start

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    2. lifes a pitch
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Yaya

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  20. lifes a pitch
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    is Hutton nailed??? i didn't think so

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    1. cassanata
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      I'm pretty sure he is. Had a good troll through the villa forums and 95% of villa supporters think he will

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      1. lifes a pitch
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        im a villa fan and not so sure after Cissoko signing

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  21. Lnjs
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Lamela and and Coutinho or Hazard and Sigurdsson? Better GW1 fixtures for Liverpool and Spurs than for Swansea, and Hazard and Siggy will be a bandwagon, but will I regret not taking Hazard? Only Chelsea cover at the moment is Costa.

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  22. BeachBadger
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    On the night bus with wifi. Lets get this FPL thing sorted out by morning so I can enjoy the rest of my holiday 😉

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  23. leonoflondon
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Why isn't Chris Smalling mentioned? He's not injured is he?

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  24. FPL Bargain
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Davies and Duff or Reid/Trippier and Bruce

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  25. hanshotfirst
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Thoughts on my team? I JUST WANT TO BEAT MY DAD!!

    Howard / (Krul)
    Curtis Davies / Debuchy / Terry / Manquillo / (Wisdom)
    Ramsey / Mata / Fletcher / Hazard / Puncheon
    Rooney / Jovetic / (Bojan)

    Swaying over the whole Fabregas vs Hazard debate and whether Manquillo will get a game.

    Any help appreciated guys.

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  26. FPL Bargain
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Hazard is the right choice

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  27. Mikei
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    A) Chambers and Hazard
    B) Debuchy and Fabregas
    ?

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    1. FPL Bargain
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Other nailed on Defender and Hazard

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  28. Scotty Pippen
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Any thoughts on Matic?

    I know he is always going to be a deep player and won't set the world a light but even with relatively low minutes last season he managed 4 assists which could go up with a striker to play the ball through to

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  29. TATTOOED_2
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    I want a MUFC defender. Started with Shaw, then changed to Evans (who missed the last pre-season game and is doubtful) and now have Jones but still not sure.

    Should I risk Evans (if fit he would be my preference), pick Jones or pick Smalling?

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  30. white lightning
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Thoughts welcome

    Begovic
    Jones, C. Davies, Chambers
    Ramsey, Sterling, Ericksen, Young
    Rooney (c), Costa, Sturridge

    Myhill, Marney, Wisdom, Hutton

    I'm undecided on C. Davies/Caulker but went with C. Davies based on fixtures.

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