Scout Betting

Paddy Says – Gameweek 16

Bright and early, we camp outside Paddy Power’s door in anticipation of scanning their latest reckoning ahead of another Gameweek deadline.

Before we assess the odds for Anytime Scorer and Clean Sheets, those without a Paddy Power account may well fancy a flutter on the latest specials.

This weekend’s European acca is huge. New customers can gather massive odds of 30/1 on wins for Tottenham (vs Newcastle), Liverpool (vs West Brom), Real Madrid (at Villarreal), Atletico (vs Athletico Bilbao) and Juventus (vs Fiorentina).

Back on home soil, this evening’s live encounter at Dean Court is covered by Paddy’s offer of 6/1 on an away win for United over Bournemouth (regular odds are Evens).

There are two specials lined up for Sunday’s encounters, with Paddy dangling 5/1 on an Arsenal win at Aston Villa (regular odds 4/7) and 4/1 on Spurs prevailing over Newcastle at White Hart Lane.

Finally, for Monday night’s enthralling clash at the King Power, Paddy are presenting new customers with big odds of 10/1 on a Leicester home win over Jose Mourinho’s Chelsea.

Be sure to check the teams and conditions on all those offers and, of course, we should state that all these specials are only available to those aged 18. If you’re going to wager, always gamble responsibly.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 16

PlayerTeamOdds
KaneTOT1.53
BonyMCI1.72
BentekeLIV1.80
IheanachoMCI1.90
GiroudARS1.90
LukakuEVE2.00
De BruyneMCI2.25
SterlingMCI2.25
VardyLEI2.40
WalcottARS2.40
CoutinhoLIV2.50

Harry Kane (1.53) has been tipped by Paddy as the man most likely to grace the scoresheet in the Gameweek ahead of Tottenham’s enticing home clash against Newcastle United. Despite drawing successive blanks, the Lilywhites frontman ranked top among forwards for attempts (19) over the last four Gameweeks and is pitted against the league’s joint-worst defence (30 goals conceded). Paddy’s confidence certainly reinforces Kane’s case for the captaincy and justifies his placing at the summit of our Captain Poll.

In the absence of Sergio Aguero – who’s been ruled out with a heel injury – Wilfried Bony is priced at 1.72 for Manchester City’s home encounter against Swansea City. Although the Sky Blues failed to score in two of their previous four outings, they are the clear frontrunners with regards to home goals (23), ensuring that Kelechi Iheanacho (1.90), Kevin De Bruyne and Raheem Sterling (both 2.25) also feature in the top ten.

Christian Benteke (1.80) has been pinpointed as the man to spark a response from Liverpool in the wake of their 2-0 defeat at Newcastle. The Reds marksman locks horns with a West Bromwich Albion outfit that’s conceded fewer road goals (five) than any other side. Despite that, Paddy have Benteke earmarked a clear short-term differential, with team-mate Philippe Coutinho also well fancied out at 2.50.

Fresh from a hat-trick in Arsenal’s midweek Champions League triumph, Olivier Giroud (1.90) will be relishing the prospect of duelling an Aston Villa outfit that carded just one clean sheet in their previous 14 fixtures. The favourable nature of the Gunners’ match-up also means that a fit-again Theo Walcott (2.40) also ranks highly.

Romelu Lukaku (2.00) is arguably over-priced, given that he netted in his last five starts and ranked joint-top for shots inside the box (14) over the last four Gameweeks. Moreover, Everton face off against a Norwich City unit that charts top for shots inside the box conceded (141) and big chances conceded (38) across the entire campaign.

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 16

TeamOdds
Liverpool1.72
Manchester City2.00
Arsenal2.10
Tottenham2.10
Manchester United2.70
Watford2.87
West Ham United2.87
Crystal Palace3.00

Going head-to-head with a West Brom squad that places third-bottom for goals (14), bottom for attempts (136) and joint-bottom for big chances (15), Liverpool (1.72) boast the best clean-sheet prospects by Paddy’s estimation. Manchester City (2.00) occupy the silver-medal berth ahead of their Etihad meeting with the Swans, who’ve drawn blanks in four of their last five outings.

Arsenal and Tottenham both sit at the 2.10 mark. The Gunners engage a Villa side that have recorded only five goals since Gameweek 8, while Spurs possess the second-best defensive record at home (five goals conceded) prior to the visit of Steve McClaren’s Newcastle.

Manchester United (2.70) secured shut-outs in four of the previous six Gameweeks but are contending with a bevy of defensive injuries before their trip to Bournemouth. Meanwhile, Watford (2.87) registered three clean sheets in their last six match-ups, which bodes well for a road clash against Sunderland.

West Ham United (2.87) could struggle to silence a buoyant Stoke team without Winston Reid’s commanding presence in central defence. As for Crystal Palace (3.00), they’ll fancy their chances against a floundering Southampton attack that posted the second-worst shot-conversion rate (4.7%) over the last four Gameweeks.

1,245 Comments Post a Comment
  1. PM
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 4 months ago

    QUICK POLL:
    Current (poor) defense: Dawson/Moreno/AWilliams (Davies, Targett)

    1. Leave it for next GW(s)
    2. 4 pt hit, Davies to Alderweireld
    3. 4 pt hit, Williams to Kolarov/Otamendi

    1. qreen qoblin
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      Taking a hit for a defender is very risky. Clean sheets only give 4 points and are rare. Plus a yellow card and ypu are already 1 point behind

    2. Hypnos
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      2

  2. Oxford Comma
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 4 months ago

    As I said previously. there's little point in captaining the same player as the herd as if he does well, you gain nothing. Whereas if you captain a differential, you overtake the same herd and potentially make a big climb in the rankings. There's no point getting stuck amongst most other managers whatever the result; you might as well go for it. I'd rather have a go and finish 3m+ than play like a sheep and finish 2nd. That's why I've just sold Barkley and why I'm captaining Sterling.

    1. Fitzy.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      Stupid advice.

    2. FPL Emu
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      Except.

      There are 38 GWs, and choosing low variance, secure points every week will definitely get you there over maverick moves.

    3. Weasel Boy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      Yup a Kane owner?

      1. Weasel Boy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 4 months ago

        You*

    4. Merlin Magic
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      Nice punt

      • 10 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      As I said earlier:

      ...Until the herd are right and you get frozen out of the good rankings

    5. Trae44
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      And if your captain fails but a highly owned player when highly captained scores well?

    6. kalmoffit
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      Agree up to a point. Who cares if no one else rates your player? If you like him, play him.

    7. Oxford Comma
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      Of course there is potential downside, and I'm not suggesting picking a 'maverick' captain every week, just that it's boring when everyone has the same players. Now and then good. If you're just picking the same captains as most other players, you won't gain much ground.

        • 10 Years
        8 years, 4 months ago

        I think its too early to be going for maverick picks, that said I don't think Sterling is too outside the box as a pick. If you've got aspirations of winning the whole thing, I think you just need to go for the players you think will get the most points over the first 30 weeks, then differentiate on your last wildcard to try and burst through the pack if you're still in contention.

        1. Oxford Comma
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 4 months ago

          Hmm. I'm only interested in beating my mate for money anyway 🙂

  3. Hypnos
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 4 months ago

    I need a poo

    1. Back on the horse
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      gtg

  4. Bøwstring The Carp
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 4 months ago

    If all the games were played at the same time I would want to captain Lukaku anyway, so I'm not going to let the early KO influence that

    Surely it's a fallacy we're al guilty of?

    1. FPL Emu
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      I hate early captainers. Always fail for me. That being said, they always do anyway.

    2. Sailboats
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      Idc about that. Points are points

  5. WhatWouldYourZlatanSay
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 4 months ago

    Front 8 dilemma:

    ozil - kdb - mahrez - mane - barkley

    Ighalo - Lukaku - vardy

    I'm inclined to think chelsea will sit deep so Mahrez might be more effective than Vardy...
    Bench mane or barkley, or bring silva in for one of them and go 3-5-2..

    What say you, good people?

    1. Licious Lizard
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      Bench Barkley 🙂

    2. qreen qoblin
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      Bench mane. No form and stoke solid

      1. WhatWouldYourZlatanSay
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 4 months ago

        But Stoke aren't playing Soton..confused face.

        1. qreen qoblin
          • 8 Years
          8 years, 4 months ago

          Sorry i meant crystal

  6. Licious Lizard
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 4 months ago

    Trying again 🙁

    A: Cech + bellerin
    B: Butland + Peiters
    C: Butland + Bellerin

    Thanks!

    1. qreen qoblin
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      C to sprwad risk since arsenal defence not so solid without coqlien

      1. Licious Lizard
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 4 months ago

        Thanks. What I am on atm. Just uncertain after the bookmakers predictions :/

  7. FPL Emu
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 4 months ago

    I am a little afraid of doing Mane to Countinho.

    Should I be?

    1. Licious Lizard
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      Good long term move, I think... Good GW although a little concerned over game time this week

      • 10 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      I've been burnt by both this season but honestly Coutinho is the better pick. Don't do it for a hit though.

    2. WhatWouldYourZlatanSay
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      Coutinho won't get loads. He might get the winner, a screamer cutting in from the left, and bag you 10 points, but I don't think there'll be a goal fest, WBA will be on lock. Mane is maybe less likely to get points, but more likely to get lots if he does. Not helpful, I know. I feel your pain :-/

      1. FPL Emu
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 4 months ago

        Hehe, thanks.

  8. Oxford Comma
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 4 months ago

    Any other non-Mahrez owners here? I refuse to get him. He is impossible to own at over 60%. I think it's only a matter of time before he starts to falter and I recoup all I have lost on him so far. He will become another Taarabt.

    1. Hypnos
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      caved in this week

    2. Licious Lizard
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      Sold him GW 14 for Coutinho haha... Not getting him back now with those fixtures (plus I have Vardy)

  9. NasiKandaqFC
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 4 months ago

    KANE OR kDB for (C) ?

    1. JoeJitzu +42
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      K......

  10. Team Cruel
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 4 months ago

    Big Dave
    Toby - Moreno - Cresswell
    Coutinho - Mahrez - KDB - Ozil
    Vardy - (K)ane - Lukaku

    Defaileou, Simpson, Evans

    GTG? Don't really want to bench Defaileou...

  11. John wick
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 4 months ago

    Headache

    Kane or lukaku? For armband

    1. NasiKandaqFC
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      going with Kane..but now I have second thoughts..got kDb as well mate...Kane cost me last week..

    2. Saint & Reevesy
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      I did Kane on the basis I hate having the captain play in the early kickoff......

  12. Merlin Magic
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 4 months ago

    Mahrez is going to destroy Chelsea. That's why he is my captain

    1. ChrisTanFPL
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      Butland or DDG?

      1. Merlin Magic
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 4 months ago

        Butland. Stoke are good defensively away from home

        1. fertorres9
          • 8 Years
          8 years, 4 months ago

          Thanks mate

  13. FPL Emu
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 4 months ago

    Last five league encounters between Palace and Southampton:

    Ston 1-0 Palace

    Palace 1-3 Soton

    Palace 0-1 Soton

    Soton 2-0 Palace

    Palace 0-2 Soton

    So four clean sheets and five victories? Might be holding on to Mane and VVD after all, then

    1. FPL Emu
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      Oh, and Mané scored in the last two

      1. Saint & Reevesy
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 4 months ago

        We should bounce back.....

  14. TRLSP
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 4 months ago

    Hennessey
    Dier, Moreno, Bellerin
    Eriksen, Barkley, Ozil (c), KDP
    Lukaku, Martial, Vardy

    Bench:
    Myhill, Van Dijk, Souaré and Mahrez

    Good to go? Any suggestion pls.

    1. Licious Lizard
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      Would consider Mahrez over Barkley, but tough call.

  15. Alittude
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 4 months ago

    will ramsey keep his position wen sancez comes back?

  16. Hypnos
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 4 months ago

    What is this strange feeling?
    -I feel so strange inside!
    It's so strange, but appealing!
    -I feel... good. Oh!

    1. Sailboats
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      First time getting a BJ

  17. Mr. Grv
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 4 months ago

    The only early captain I remember doing well for me was kun against tot last year.

  18. Ravager
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 4 months ago

    Schmeichel(Butland)
    Kolarov Bellerin Moreno VvD (Saylor)
    KDB (vc) Ozil Mahrez (Ayew, Wanyama)
    Vardy Lukaku (c) Ighalo

    6.2 ITB, 1 FT

    A.Vardy > Kane (c)
    B. Ayew > Barkley/Deulofeu?
    C. Any other suggestion?

  19. Bøwstring The Carp
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 4 months ago

    What good and bad FPL memories do you have?

    Think this is my 4th year on FFS but a few that spring to mind is Ferguson trolling us by ruling Evans out only for him to start at the end of the season (and didn't he score or get a clean sheet?).

    Another one was when I had Aguero (C), Silva (VC) and both picked up unexpected injuries. First time I never had a captain in a GW.

    Tevez was a nice cheap option to own, especially when Aguero was out here and there. Also miss the days of Ryan Taylor and his set piece duties, not to mention this beauty that I think me and Doosra were foaming over for ages 😆
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_Dd4vLMZHUQ

  20. stojanovzr
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 4 months ago

    Play simpson or francis?
    Bench mahrez or bolasie?
    Thanks

    1. El Patron
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      Simpson

      Bolasie

  21. Tshelby
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 4 months ago

    Think I'm just going to put the armband on KDB maybe this is a bold statement but cause KDB is better then Kane imo

    1. El Patron
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      Big mistake

  22. WhatWouldYourZlatanSay
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 4 months ago

    Last 2 Qs for the morning:

    1. Butland or Hennesey?

    2. Who to bench:

    Mane, KDB, Silva, Barkley, Mahrez, Vardy

    I'm sweating gosh darn it.

    1. El Patron
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      Butland

      Bench Barkley

  23. NasiKandaqFC
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 4 months ago

    Who to Captain?
    A. Kane
    B. Lukaku
    C. kDb

    1. El Patron
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      Kane

  24. ElDaddy
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 4 months ago

    Lamela over KdB anyone?

    1. El Patron
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      No

  25. fertorres9
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 4 months ago

    Butland or DDG?

    1. El Patron
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      DDG