Spot the Differential

Spot the Differential – Gameweek 20

Our first trio of overlooked Fantasy options for 2016 has us turn to the defence for something different as Swansea’s bonus-bagging skipper into contention, along with a prime Fantasy asset who may just be ridding himself of personal demons to become worthy of consideration once again. We round things off with a Hammer’s battering ram scrapping for his starting role as the Upton Park treatment room begins to empty.

Ashley Williams

Swansea City failed to register a single clean sheet during Garry Monk’s final 10 matches at the helm, but they’ve only conceded in one fixture since Alan Curtis assumed the role of caretaker manager. The Swans have strung together three successive shut-outs, with Ashley Williams (4.8) scooping the maximum bonus points in each match-up. In fact, the Wales international has missed out on just one bonus point across Swansea’s five clean sheets this term and ranks third among all defenders for BPS score (412). Furthermore, Williams is ranked first for blocks (28), second for clearances (156) and third for Interceptions (52) amongst defenders this season, highlighting his key contribution for the Liberty outfit.

Delving deeper into Swansea’s underlying defensive stats over the past four Gameweeks suggests they’re a more disciplined outfit under Curtis. No team surrendered fewer big chances (two) across that stretch, while they ranked in the bottom seven for shots inside the box conceded (27) and bottom eight for shots outside the box conceded (16).

Next on the agenda for Swansea is a trip to Manchester United, followed by a home encounter against Sunderland. Their shut-out aspirations are bolstered by the fact that these two clubs ranked joint-bottom for goals (two) over the last four Gameweeks. Moreover, only three sides have recorded fewer shots on target (18) than the Red Devils since Gameweek 14, boosting Williams’ prospects of further points returns.

Branislav Ivanovic

While it would be folly to buy into the Guus Hiddink revolution just yet, there are signs that the Dutchman is already reviving fortunes and therefore their cast of Fantasy assets.

Ivanovic was once a crown jewel for Fantasy Football managers – a defender that combined the potential to claim clean sheets, alongside a set-piece goal threat and the propensity to raid forward and supply crosses. It was a heady combination.

Damaged by Chelsea’s alarming slide and an array of quite pitiful individual displays under Jose Mourinho, it will take time for us to come around to the idea of considering Ivanovic again. However, with under 8% ownership, early adopters may just be giving themselves the opportunity to bag a handy differential.

Since Hiddink’s arrival, Chelsea have conceded fewer goal attempts per match, while Ivanovic has upped his touches in the box and his rate of creating chances for others. The early indications are that the Serb could edge his way back into our affections.

Fixtures against a Crystal Palace (who have failed to score in their last two outings) and West Brom (who have scored just six goals in nine away from home) compound his short-term appeal.

Michail Antonio

Michail Antonio (5.2) had to bide his time following a summer switch from Nottingham Forest, but – in the wake of West Ham United’s injury crisis – the English wide man has been afforded four consecutive league starts. Having been involved (one goal, two assists) in all three of West Ham’s goals across the last four Gameweeks, Antonio should retain his starting berth irrespective of Victor Moses’ potential return this weekend.

Offering a glimpse of the form that saw him bag 14 goals in the Championship last season, Antonio placed joint-seventh for attempts (10) and fourth for shots inside the box (seven) among all midfielders over the previous four Gameweeks. Furthermore, Gerard Deulofeu was the only midfielder that carded more penalty-box touches (20) than Antonino (19), emphasising his willingness to foray forward.

West Ham’s goals have dried up of late (three in five), but Manuel Lanzini returned from injury earlier in the week and Dimitri Payet could feature against Liverpool, furnishing the Irons with some much-needed creative spark at the Boelyn Ground. Although the Reds secured clean sheets in their previous two outings, Slaven Bilic’s charges will draw heart from their opponent’s recent road defeats at the hands of Watford (3-0) and Newcastle United (2-0).

1,544 Comments Post a Comment
  1. faux_C
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 4 months ago

    Should I use my FT or leave this as it is?

    Butland
    Moreno, Kolarov, Dawson
    Ozil, Coutinho, Mahrez, KDB
    Vardy, Kane, Lukaku

    (Krul, Alli, Richards, Nyom)

    1. Tree House
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      Could save ig

    2. denial
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      Cout to Arnie

      1. faux_C
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 4 months ago

        Yeah, considering this.

      2. tommo75
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 4 months ago

        ^ this

    3. Sasquatch Slayer
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      Cout to Wally?

    4. AgentRed
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      I'd leave it but play Alli ahead of Coutinho

  2. FDMS All Starz
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 4 months ago

    Front 8,3.9itb,2fts:

    Mahrez,KdB,ramsey,Ozil,sterling
    Vardy,Lukaku,ighalo

    which is better? Sterling to silva or ramsey to walcott, or should I take a one week punt?

    1. tommo75
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      I'd ship Sterling, probably to Arnie on form. Might free up enough to do Vardy to Kun if you're that way inclined?

  3. Tree House
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 4 months ago

    Any danger of speroni coming back to ruin the Hennessy party?

    1. Demí
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      Very unlikely as it stands

      1. Tree House
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 4 months ago

        Thanks a lot

    2. BecAuse79
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      Seproni is Ready long time ago , Yet Hennessy is starting

  4. Shack
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 4 months ago

    What do people think to Ward as a 5th def? He rotates well with my other defenders and his stats are very similar to Dann's, so I am not sure if he is worth the extra mil. Cheers!

    1. Tree House
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      Good

    2. Burger
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      Go for it

    3. faux_C
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      If he's just Dann without the goal threat then he should be a decent pick imho.

      1. Gazpilicueta
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 4 months ago

        Goals so far this season

        Dann - 3

        Ward - 2

    4. tommo75
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      Definitely. Save the mil.

  5. Davros
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 4 months ago

    Play one for third defender spot:
    A) Moreno (whm)
    B) Dann (CHE)
    C) Dawson (STO)

    1. Tree House
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      Tricky... Go Moreno

      1. Davros
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 4 months ago

        Cheers, that's where I'm leaning
        I just know that Dawson and dann will score when I bench them!

    2. denial
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      B

    3. Sergeant Garcia
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      A

    4. Davros
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      Cheers all!

    5. tommo75
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      Between A and B. I wan't to go CP defense over Moreno but can't quite bring myself to do it.

    1. AK ⭐
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      Benteke?

      1. Akeem
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 4 months ago

        not Benteke

    2. Tadic is the new Eriksen
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      what's the game?

      1. Akeem
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 4 months ago

        guess the corresponding EPL player 😀

        1. Tadic is the new Eriksen
          • 11 Years
          8 years, 4 months ago

          cool thanks =]

          is first one andy carroll?

          1. Akeem
            • 8 Years
            8 years, 4 months ago

            not Carroll

    3. Eden Hazardous
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      #10 PAYET

      1. Akeem
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 4 months ago

        not Payet

        1. Eden Hazardous
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 4 months ago

          Sturridge?

        2. kingcolesy
          • 10 Years
          8 years, 4 months ago

          8 flamini

    4. Wild Rover
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      Benteke and Drogba

      1. Akeem
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 4 months ago

        not Benteke, not Drogba

    5. Eden Hazardous
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      #11 Sturridge

      1. Akeem
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 4 months ago

        not Sturridge 😀

    6. Gazpilicueta
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      number 9 - Jimmy Bullard

      number 10 - Iain Dowie

      1. Akeem
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 4 months ago

        not Bullard, not Dowie

    7. Burger
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      10 is Lescott

      1. Akeem
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 4 months ago

        DING DING DING DING DING ---- #10 Lescott is Correct!

    8. Back on the horse
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      8 ward
      10 lukaku

      1. Akeem
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 4 months ago

        not Ward, not Lukaku

    9. Back on the horse
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      11 williams

      1. Akeem
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 4 months ago

        not williams

        1. Rusty Nail
          • 8 Years
          8 years, 4 months ago

          11 sagna

          1. Akeem
            • 8 Years
            8 years, 4 months ago

            not Sagna

            1. Rusty Nail
              • 8 Years
              8 years, 4 months ago

              im having that the eyes and cheekbones are identical

    10. Burger
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      11 is Young.

      1. Akeem
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 4 months ago

        not Young

        1. @persecuted_by_mods
            8 years, 4 months ago

            Rosicky surely

            1. Akeem
              • 8 Years
              8 years, 4 months ago

              DING DING DING DING DING ---- #8 Rosicky is CORRECT!!!

        2. Rusty Nail
          • 8 Years
          8 years, 4 months ago

          8 is tugay ill take half a point since hes retired

          1. Akeem
            • 8 Years
            8 years, 4 months ago

            not Tugay 😀 , Rosicky

      2. Akeem
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 4 months ago

        Quiz continues in NEW POST ___ see you there

      3. Sasquatch Slayer
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 4 months ago

        #8 Rosicky

        1. Sasquatch Slayer
          • 8 Years
          8 years, 4 months ago

          #11 Richards

      4. SneakyPete
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 4 months ago

        10- Lescott

        11- Lukaku

          1. Daveyo123
            • 10 Years
            8 years, 4 months ago

            Lescott in the matrix

      1. Back on the horse
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 4 months ago

        First

    11. denial
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      Play Moreno or Simpo?

      1. Emp
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 4 months ago

        blergh probably moreno just

    12. Park the bus
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      Start wollscheid or evans?

      1. Emp
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 4 months ago

        wolly

    13. goodday there mate
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      DDG (Bultland)
      Toby Bellerin Dawson (Simpson Ake)
      Rambo KDB Ozil Mahrez (Alli)
      Ighalo Vardy Luk

      G2G lads? 1FT and unlimited cash

    14. Dave1966
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      Who to bench from these guys:

      Arnautovic, Barkley, De Bruyne, Ozil, Mahrez
      Vardey, Lukaku, Kane.

    15. Mickey Tyrion™
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      Have no idea why people are starting Spurs defenders over other quality choices on the bench..

      Only teams with lower clean sheet probability this week are their opponent, Bournemouth, and NEW.

    16. osceola31909
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      Anyone considering transferring in Darmian? Is he a rotation risk now?

      1. masewindu
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 4 months ago

        Done it..I'm behind.

    17. Puzzle
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      2 FT, no idea what to do. Anyone?

      Butland (Hennessey)

      Moreno, Dawson, Bellerin (Dann, Simpson)

      KDB, Mahrez, Ozil, Ramsey (Alli)

      Lukaku, Kane, Vardy

      1. Filthbomb
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 4 months ago

        Stick

    18. Elly88 > KTR (Kevin The …
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      I can hear Mahrez screaming for your attention. I promise he will punish you Ozil captainers. Do not joke with the force.

      1. masewindu
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 4 months ago

        I'm convinced. We'll see if your Jedi senses are tuned

    19. Bad Butcher
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      Smalling/Darmian or Ivanovic? I haven't got United and Chelsea players now.

      1. supercolso
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 4 months ago

        Smalling defo. Darmain not guarenteed.

      2. Emp
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 4 months ago

        ivano

    20. supercolso
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      Hi guys,
      Can't decide on final bench place.First to 3 wins.
      a) De Bruyne
      b) Arnautovic

      Thanks

      1. Elly88 > KTR (Kevin The …
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 4 months ago

        KDB

      2. ekul the lokonga enthusiast
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 4 months ago

        B

      3. That Fantasy Guy
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 4 months ago

        B

    21. Elly88 > KTR (Kevin The …
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      Start Henessey or Butland?

      1. JabbaWookiee
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 4 months ago

        Butland 100%

    22. WE GO FOR IT
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      REPOST

      DDG
      Bellerin Cresswell Simpson/STO defender
      KdB Ozil Mahrez Arnie
      Kane Vardy Ighalo

      Bench: Hennessey; Barkley,Toby, Dann

      2FT and 3m ITB

      1) Which STO defender to take for Simpson?
      2) Should I use AOA? I'm chasing in my mini league.

      1. supercolso
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 4 months ago

        Johnson if you have the money if not Wolly.
        Don't think it is the best week to use AOA, could be a few tight games.

        1. WE GO FOR IT
          • 8 Years
          8 years, 4 months ago

          3m itb. So, money is not the worry.
          And whom to bench?
          Thanks for the reply.

    23. dimas np
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      Who Should be benched lad?

      A. KDB or B. Ighalo?
      and
      1. Dann or 2. Otamendi

      1. JabbaWookiee
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 4 months ago

        Don't understand the structure of your question really. But for two of those 4 both the city boys

        1. dimas np
          • 11 Years
          8 years, 4 months ago

          thats what im asking... thanks.. 🙂

    24. Cilly Bonnolly
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      With (at the moment) De Gea and Ighalo on my bench for today, is it mental to consider using the bench boost? Alderweireld and Richards are the others.

    25. BecAuse79
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      which one :

      A)
      Henn
      Ward--Kolorov--Simpson

      B)
      Henn
      Simpson--Moreno--Kolarov

      C)
      Howard
      Ward--Kolorov--Simpson

      Tobby is an option

    26. JabbaWookiee
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      Starting the new year on a safe/cowardly (delete as applicable) note and opting to captain Ozil over Giroud. Just hope I don't live to regret it.

      LET 2016 BE THE YEAR OF GOOD CAPTAINCY CHOICES!!!

      1. tommo75
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 4 months ago

        Keep making the right (not cowardly) C decisions is a big part what this game is about. I.e. the correct decision at the deadline, not with hindsight at the final whistle. The right decisions are usually what the masses are doing and for a reason. If you do it week in week out you're rank will benefit, most people will do it most weeks but not all, over time you'll make up ground.

        1. JabbaWookiee
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 4 months ago

          Very, very true. Worst case scenario youre in the same plight as others if it doesn't come in. If it does, you don't fall away from the pack. But differentials should by that rationale not be captained and sometimes the temptation to potentially make up ground is too great. Also depends on the stage of the season and what's going on around you in minileagues. But can't deny you've made a great point there.

    27. HazMac
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      Play 2
      A) Simpson v BOU (H)
      B) Delaney v CHE (H)
      C) Walker v EVE (A)

      1. Emp
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 4 months ago

        AB

    28. Emp
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      i was all set to bench one of yaya ramsey( deep positioning exspecially at home) or wally(startting risk) for alli with dembes out. Last time Dembes was out Alli was more advacned then Kane but with the possibilty of son starting pushing alli into the pivot probably better to bench alli ?

    29. The Poacher AJ
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      Happy new year everyone!

      Butland
      Mertesacker, Smalling, Zouma
      Mahrez, Ramsey, KDB, All,
      Giroud, Agüero, Kane (C)

      Stanislas, Sagna, Targett

      What do you think? I have 1FT and 0.3 in the bank, and not sure about the armband as well.

      Cheers!

    30. That Fantasy Guy
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      Vardy (c) it's Hatrick time

    31. Ray Kinsella
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      I have butland, Toby, hoolahan and Dann on my bench. Would you use the bench boost this week?

    32. johnboy23
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 4 months ago

      Dawson or dann this gameweek??