Drop the Flop

Drop the Flop – Gameweek 27

Our second instalment in a new series of articles shines the spotlight on two premium-priced players who would probably chuckle at the notion of being called ‘Flops’. Nonetheless, the Fantasy world is remorseless, and once you fall by the wayside as these two have, there can be no mercy shown by managers longing for those green arrows:

Mesut Ozil

Brought in by Arsenal on transfer deadline day for £42.5m, Ozil was introduced to Fantasy Premier League (FPL) at a similarly premium price of 10.0, making him the most expensive midfielder in the game. Expectations were, hence, almost unreasonably high. Nonetheless, after just seven Gameweeks, and a price increase to 10.8, it seemed that our initial hopes were justified and that the German could provide a genuinely consistent source of points throughout the season. Quickly proving why he acquired the nickname ‘King of the Assist’ during his time in Spain, Ozil’s first 12 games saw him tee up team-mates eight times, with four goals over that time further delighting his owners.

However, since Arsenal’s 6-3 drubbing at the Etihad back in Gameweek 16, things have slowly turned sour for Ozil and his owners. A shoulder injury picked up in late December saw the German miss two fixtures and, since his return, the Gunners’ record signing has produced a number of lacklustre displays which have subsequently served up no more than a meagre assist. Now down to just 9.7, a price tag still hardly justified for a player with attacking returns in only one of his last eight games, and with pundits queuing up to shoot down his performances after every match, it looks like it’s finally time to stop convincing yourself that Ozil’s class will shine through and wave “Auf Wiedersehen” to this Flop.

The good news is that Ozil’s premium price tag affords managers a wealth of options in looking for a replacement. Amongst the FPL midfield options, only Yaya Toure, Eden Hazard and Manchester United new boy Juan Mata are more expensive than the former Real Madrid man, although managers may naturally recoil from the idea of investing so much budget in any of United’s assets right now, whilst also turn their nose up at upgrading to such ‘safe’, template options as Toure or Hazard. Certainly, Toure’s upcoming back-to-back blanks diminish his short-term appeal.

The 8.0 priced Adam Lallana may now appear to be a bandwagon long since missed, but with fine fixtures ahead (whm, LIV, cry, NOR) the league’s most in-form midfielder is undoubtedly a competent and secure alternative to Ozil. On the other hand, for those uncomfortable with the thought of ridding themselves of Arsenal coverage, downgrading to Ozil’s midfield team-mate Santi Cazorla would seem to be the most sensible option, if you can stomach the Gunners’ blank Gameweek 29. The little Spaniard has picked up more than double the amount of points accrued by Ozil over the past five Gameweeks, and available for a similar price of 9.6 but with just a 3.7% ownership, Cazorla looks a decent differential as the Gunners go in search of their first league title for ten years.

Wayne Rooney

It would be fair to say that for the first half of the season Rooney emerged from the shadow of his strike partner Robin Van Persie to establish himself as the number one Fantasy option in United’s ranks. Nine goals and 11 assists in the opening 18 Gameweeks saw the 28-year-old deny his team’s faltering form to confirm himself as a consistent source of points, and with six double figure hauls amassed in that period, Rooney proved to be a dependable captaincy option for those resisting the temptation of a certain Uruguayan.

Plagued by injury throughout January, however, Rooney’s stock went into rapid free-fall. His return for United’s Gameweek 23 fixture with Cardiff looked promising, but with a meagre six points accrued in the four games since then, those who chose to draft the England man back into their sides have been left rueing the decision. With United continuing to stutter, and Rooney suffering from his versatility as David Moyes tries to accommodate him, Van Persie and Mata in the Red Devils’ line-up, it would seem that Rooney’s time as a viable fantasy option is up.

The main concern for the 11.2-priced Rooney’s owners will naturally be how valuable our frontline slots have become this season, with so many forwards offering outstanding value for significantly less outlay. Daniel Sturridge is, of course, one such contender. Having scored in every game since his comeback from injury in Gameweek 21, the Liverpool frontman has begun to outshine his team-mate Luis Suarez in recent weeks, and with fixtures against Swansea and Southampton to come next – at a time where Rooney has a blank Gameweek 28 – it’s hard to see past the 10.1-priced Sturridge as the perfect replacement.

The imminent return of Sergio Aguero will also have Fantasy managers on alert. Those holding Rooney might fancy an upgrade to the big-hitting Argentine, who – like Sturridge – still sits above Rooney in the FPL forward rankings, despite missing more than double the number of games as the United forward throughout the campaign thus far. Once City’s back-to-back blanks in Gameweek 28 and 29 are over, Aguero will surely be one to consider, given that his side will have three doubles from Gameweek 30 onwards – whilst it’s accepted he won’t play every minute of those matches, Aguero, in comparison to other frontline options, has shown he needs little time to deliver.

There are plenty of cheaper alternatives to mull over, too. Emmanuel Adebayor has recently climbed our Watchlist as he continues his renaissance under Tim Sherwood, whilst, like the Togo international, Southampton duo Rickie Lambert and Jay Rodriguez have a fixture in Gameweek 28 and 29 and are both showing strong form.

However, for those in search of some real differential value in the attempt to shake up mini-leagues, it’s worth monitoring Romelu Lukaku’s recovery from an ankle injury. If the Everton forward remains on the sidelines, his Toffees team-mate Lacina Traore could be one to mull over – the Ivorian needed just four minutes to notch on his debut against Swansea in the FA Cup last weekend and, at 7.5, with some stand-out fixtures to follow, could prove to be the canniest of calls.

1,087 Comments Post a Comment
  1. LOCO ABREU
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    What you think?Think i'm ready for the dgws but not for the blanks.
    Mannone
    Sagna-Kos-Ivan(Olsson-Ward)
    Silva-Hazard-Yaya-Mirallas(Noone)
    Sturridge-Suarez-Adebayor

    1.3 left Silva>Lallana maybe next week.

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    1. Demel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Hi Loco, I think that looks like a decent transfer. However, I would hold this weekend and reassess.

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      1. LOCO ABREU
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        thanks Demel, How is your team for Uefa?

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    2. LewanGOALski
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Lallana or Nolan (if no blank) will be my sure Silva replacement after Stoke

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    3. RabMac
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      I don't even think you are ready for the double gameweeks and I wouldn't even try to be just now as you only know when one of the fixtures are.

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  2. Proggy
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    REPOST: lost on page, sorry. 🙁

    If Hull draw 0-0, will they have a blank GW29?

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    1. Parm
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      I believe so. Replay to be played that weekend.

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      1. tm245
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        On another note, your spreadsheet with the fixtures is immensely helpful. Thanks.

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        1. Parm
          • 12 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          No problem.

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  3. JT's Dog
      10 years, 3 months ago

      I totally marked my territory over the bottom of last page.
      #smellthescent

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      1. Proggy
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Awww! You are just the cutest dog ever!

        "steals" 😆

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        1. JT's Dog
            10 years, 3 months ago

            Tickle me tickle me

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            1. Proggy
              • 10 Years
              10 years, 3 months ago

              Only if you don't poo on the cat!

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              1. Colonel Shoe 肝池
                • 12 Years
                10 years, 3 months ago

                is that a common occurrence 😯

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                1. Proggy
                  • 10 Years
                  10 years, 3 months ago

                  Only at 11:29 on a Saturday morning...

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              2. JT's Dog
                  10 years, 3 months ago

                  Gulp , what cat?

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                  1. Proggy
                    • 10 Years
                    10 years, 3 months ago

                    Fluffy, he's only a little fluffy!

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        2. gers23
          • 12 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          What to do with Erikskon? Have 9.1 for a replacement!

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          1. gers23
            • 12 Years
            10 years, 3 months ago

            Have Hazard Mata and Lallana sorry

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          2. Colonel Shoe 肝池
            • 12 Years
            10 years, 3 months ago

            id hold for the mo mate, gonna need those frees and id be stunned if he missed 2 in a row, must be rested

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            1. gers23
              • 12 Years
              10 years, 3 months ago

              With Spurs winning 4 0 though could he not struggle to get back in?

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              1. Colonel Shoe 肝池
                • 12 Years
                10 years, 3 months ago

                hmm it was a depleted newcastle, im almost certain he was rested like mirallas was (b4 the match was called off)

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                1. gers23
                  • 12 Years
                  10 years, 3 months ago

                  So i shouldnt do Erikson to Gerrard then lol 🙂

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                  1. Colonel Shoe 肝池
                    • 12 Years
                    10 years, 3 months ago

                    well id wait till pressers......remember gerrard may not have a gw29 fixture, so thats another swap to make

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          3. Proggy
            • 10 Years
            10 years, 3 months ago

            Gerrard. 🙂

            I'd hold Eriksen though, he may start vs Norwich.

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            1. gers23
              • 12 Years
              10 years, 3 months ago

              Gerrard was who i had planned on getting in

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        3. tm245
          • 12 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          Just reading the article and am wondering if Ozil is just exhausted -- German and Spanish leagues have 2-3 weeks off at the holidays so maybe he wasn't used to the schedule in the Premier League. Has this been the case for other signings from those leagues? Wondering if they ever get it back or if once they hit the wall that's more or less it for the season.

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          1. JT's Dog
              10 years, 3 months ago

              Someone posted an article, from sky I think, stats about how he was used to playing 60 ish min per game at slower pace.
              Plus if you think about it he had other players who would take more of the responsibility of him at Madrid. At arsenal everyone is expecting him to dominate a game, which isn't really his style

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              1. tm245
                • 12 Years
                10 years, 3 months ago

                Yeah, looks out of it since Ramsey has been sidelined.

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            • LOCO ABREU
              • 12 Years
              10 years, 3 months ago

              Spanish league don't have holidays but he seems exausted yep.

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              1. tm245
                • 12 Years
                10 years, 3 months ago

                Thought they did but checked and it seems they keep going steadily.

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            • isacki: full casual
              • 12 Years
              10 years, 3 months ago

              Many factors of course. The Spanish game really is slower and you have more time to play delicious through balls (Teams that press mercilessly like Atletico Madrid are the exception). Here they're not standing for that crap, and the number of Prem through balls per game has been falling since the mid 2000s I think - something like half that now. It's all about quick sharp team passing now, and Arsenal are falling into the same trap that got Barca stale, going too slow.

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              1. tm245
                • 12 Years
                10 years, 3 months ago

                They are looking a bit like previous Arsenal teams more than the squad from the first half of the season, though I have no statistical backing for that statement.

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                1. isacki: full casual
                  • 12 Years
                  10 years, 3 months ago

                  I think they've lost everyone who can run or shoot lol. Walcott and Ramsey's absences both showing how one dimensional the rest of the players are.

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          2. Proggy
            • 10 Years
            10 years, 3 months ago

            Sturridge ---> Aguero for triple City DGW's, then switch back?

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            1. La Roja
              • 12 Years
              10 years, 3 months ago

              Suarez to Kun for me. Studge is on fire

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              1. LewanGOALski
                • 12 Years
                10 years, 3 months ago

                I may be forced to it due to my low TV

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          3. VougieDipond
            • 11 Years
            10 years, 3 months ago

            Any Ultimate Beta players got some ideas on early strategy? I have just picked the best squad overall not thinking about fixtures.

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          4. Sif
            • 11 Years
            10 years, 3 months ago

            Chester on the bench for Hull, maybe back sooner than March 15th?

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            1. LewanGOALski
              • 12 Years
              10 years, 3 months ago

              I think they didn't put him on the bench with no reason. Hopefully he'll be back by the time of GW29 and Hull won't have blank 😉

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          5. LewanGOALski
            • 12 Years
            10 years, 3 months ago

            if Hull looses, I'll have 11 players for GW28 & for GW29 with no hits required, along with a season WC to be used for GW31 most likely 😎

            Go for it Brighton!!!

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          6. Parm
            • 12 Years
            10 years, 3 months ago

            Does anyone know who the co-commentator is for tonights game?

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            1. Polaris - The Mortal Coil
              • 10 Years
              10 years, 3 months ago

              Sounds like John Salako, but I'm not sure.

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          7. isacki: full casual
            • 12 Years
            10 years, 3 months ago

            Watching Hull v Brighton once again reminds me of the absurdity that I find players from the second highest division in the entire country dreadful to watch.

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            1. Parm
              • 12 Years
              10 years, 3 months ago

              We probably have to best Second division in the World, cherish it. 😉

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              1. Parm
                • 12 Years
                10 years, 3 months ago

                *the best

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              2. isacki: full casual
                • 12 Years
                10 years, 3 months ago

                Best attended for sure, think it was the 5th highest attended league in Europe or something.

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            2. Optimus.
              • 13 Years
              10 years, 3 months ago

              Lua Lua is so good they named him twice

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            3. LOCO ABREU
              • 12 Years
              10 years, 3 months ago

              Like Ulloa

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              1. isacki: full casual
                • 12 Years
                10 years, 3 months ago

                Apparently he was meant to be a threat, but I barely even know he's playing so far

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                1. LOCO ABREU
                  • 12 Years
                  10 years, 3 months ago

                  used to be a nice finisher

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                2. Parm
                  • 12 Years
                  10 years, 3 months ago

                  I beg you pardon 😉

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                  1. isacki: full casual
                    • 12 Years
                    10 years, 3 months ago

                    Always works

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          8. LewanGOALski
            • 12 Years
            10 years, 3 months ago

            UCLF:

            Muslera or DDG along with Courtois?

            4.0 def: Toprak, Smolnikov or sb else?

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            1. LOCO ABREU
              • 12 Years
              10 years, 3 months ago

              Toprak,DDG but think both will concede.

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              1. Camp No No
                • 10 Years
                10 years, 3 months ago

                Toprak surely will. DDG is a good one to go with, although I ponder the option of taking Courtois and then just a cheapie - maybe Lopez from Real in case he would play after all.

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          9. Uncle Gamst
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 12 Years
            10 years, 3 months ago

            Apologies if I'm stating the obvious but if non of the current GW29 blanks are resolved i.e. moved to Mon, Tues etc then we are all screwed. For instance I currently have Giroud and SAS and no obvious replacements that won't screw me before/after GW29.

            Therefore all I can do is sit and wait and hope that we hear something positive before the GW27 deadline. I have two free transfers but no one looks appealing.

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            1. Camp No No
              • 10 Years
              10 years, 3 months ago

              In a competition, if all are screwed, none is.

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              1. Uncle Gamst
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 12 Years
                10 years, 3 months ago

                True, might as well wait until last moment and we might be rewarded with news that Liverpool, Everton can actually play in GW29. For me that's 4 additional players...happy days 🙂

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          10. Mr Sarcastic
            • 13 Years
            10 years, 3 months ago

            UCL
            Any worthy 4.0 defenders to get if Adriano does not start tomorrow?

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            1. LOCO ABREU
              • 12 Years
              10 years, 3 months ago

              Toprak,Holebas,Manolas

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            2. LewanGOALski
              • 12 Years
              10 years, 3 months ago

              not sure if investing in Barca or City defenders is a good idea. I can see a goals galore.

              I am considering Toprak and Smolnikov

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              1. Mr Sarcastic
                • 13 Years
                10 years, 3 months ago

                Thanks guys, maybe I go for that Toprak man then.

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            3. Polaris - The Mortal Coil
              • 10 Years
              10 years, 3 months ago

              Manolas
              Holebas
              Chedjou

              All nailed on.

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              1. Polaris - The Mortal Coil
                • 10 Years
                10 years, 3 months ago

                And Toprak.

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              2. LOCO ABREU
                • 12 Years
                10 years, 3 months ago

                Chedjou didn't play today, not sure why, i think Teles fron Gala is nailed, new signing.

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          11. gers23
            • 12 Years
            10 years, 3 months ago

            With Spurs winning 4 0 last week surely Sherwood will go with the same team again no?

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          12. rozzo
            • 10 Years
            10 years, 3 months ago

            anyone know if Eric Durm is nailed on for Dortmund? Played 3 group stage games and is only 4mil.

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            1. LOCO ABREU
              • 12 Years
              10 years, 3 months ago

              Shmelzer is back now

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          13. 1justlookin
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 13 Years
            10 years, 3 months ago

            Has there been any word on an article for Ultimate FPL?

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            1. Strificus
              • 10 Years
              10 years, 3 months ago

              I think everyone using it is still in a sort of WTF?! state.

              I think it will kill a lot of the fun we get in regular FPL; as you barely have to deal with injuries.

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          14. JK - Cønt ⭐
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 12 Years
            10 years, 3 months ago

            UCL

            a) Arda Turan and Lewa

            b) Mkhitaryan and Diego Costa

            1) Ibra
            2) Messi

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            1. LewanGOALski
              • 12 Years
              10 years, 3 months ago

              a) & 1) would be my choices, but I think you already know it 😉

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            2. Hamstergod
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 11 Years
              10 years, 3 months ago

              a & 1 seem more reasonable

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            3. Mr Sarcastic
              • 13 Years
              10 years, 3 months ago

              b + 1

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          15. Strificus
            • 10 Years
            10 years, 3 months ago

            For those with 3 Liverpool players; what is your strategy now that it looks like there is likely to be a blank coming?

            My bench will be full; so personally, I either go with empty roster spots or ship 1-2 of them.

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            1. Camp No No
              • 10 Years
              10 years, 3 months ago

              For one blank, I will not sell SAS. Could I bring them back afterwards? Most probably no. Will I want to. Definitely yes.

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              1. Strificus
                • 10 Years
                10 years, 3 months ago

                I got Sturridge and Gerrard late; so it would be an easier move for me.

                I'm dreading dropping Yaya; as I had him from the start.

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            2. T1P
              • 11 Years
              10 years, 3 months ago

              Sell Sterling (Ince), Sturridge. Keep Suarez, get Aguero for Sturridge at a later date

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              1. Strificus
                • 10 Years
                10 years, 3 months ago

                Will the timing work out? It looks like City and Liverpool share a blank. Trading for Aguero will likely keep him on the bench.

                I have the same strategy (unless I ship Ade; instead of Sturridge); but I might go with a punt that week.

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            3. Colonel Shoe 肝池
              • 12 Years
              10 years, 3 months ago

              depends when you got em, if you dont lose much value then theyre worth transfering out if you cannot bench

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            4. Sergeant Slaughter
              • 12 Years
              10 years, 3 months ago

              I have three and I'm keeping them.

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          16. Jafooli
            • 12 Years
            10 years, 3 months ago

            Best def for around 4.0m going forward?

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            1. Jafooli
              • 12 Years
              10 years, 3 months ago

              Is Dann nailed on?

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            2. menunited
              • 10 Years
              10 years, 3 months ago

              chambers at 3.9 as long as he stays locked in...

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            3. tm245
              • 12 Years
              10 years, 3 months ago

              I am hoping Hull lose and the answer is Chester.

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          17. GlasgowFF
            • 12 Years
            10 years, 3 months ago

            I am just going to take as many hits as I need to to get 11 players in these gameweeks.

            Fook it.

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            1. Strificus
              • 10 Years
              10 years, 3 months ago

              For midfielders and strikers; it isn't a horrible strategy. An empty roster spot will likely lose you at the very least 2 points (as no one will be playing the 90 mins). If you look at it that way; you are only taking -2 point hits. It also has the potential to gain points; versus an empty roster spot being a guaranteed blank for points.

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          18. Mr Sarcastic
            • 13 Years
            10 years, 3 months ago

            UCL again - am I only one going without Alaba???
            Can't find place for him 🙁
            I think Ivanovic is better bet for this round.

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            1. LewanGOALski
              • 12 Years
              10 years, 3 months ago

              I'm going with both 😎

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              1. Mr Sarcastic
                • 13 Years
                10 years, 3 months ago

                I bet you won't have Messi, Ibra, CR7 🙂

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                1. LewanGOALski
                  • 12 Years
                  10 years, 3 months ago

                  I am satisfied with Ibra and CR7 along with my super-punt of Aubameyang 😎

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            2. LOCO ABREU
              • 12 Years
              10 years, 3 months ago

              i'm not going with him also, but is a risk, alaba is very offensive.

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              1. Mr Sarcastic
                • 13 Years
                10 years, 3 months ago

                I know, been my captain at least once.
                I have a feeling this might bite me.....then again, wouldn't surprise me to see arsenal score in both matches.

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          19. menunited
            • 10 Years
            10 years, 3 months ago

            Anyone got any early tips for captain?
            I wont have a chance to change my team after tonight...
            I got stu, suar, dzec,
            lal, mata, haz, toure...

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            1. TG32
              • 11 Years
              10 years, 3 months ago

              Sturridge

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            2. Sergeant Slaughter
              • 12 Years
              10 years, 3 months ago

              Dzeko (punty, but tasty) or Sturridge.

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              1. menunited
                • 10 Years
                10 years, 3 months ago

                Does everyone feel the same that suarez is fatigued to hell and not worth the gamble?

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          20. TG32
            • 11 Years
            10 years, 3 months ago

            So what's the latest with blanks and DGW's?

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              • 10 Years
              10 years, 3 months ago

              articles and hot topics all over the place. try opening your eyes buddy.

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              1. TG32
                • 11 Years
                10 years, 3 months ago

                I ain't your 'buddy'.

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                  • 10 Years
                  10 years, 3 months ago

                  you can say that again. 🙂 'tetchy'.

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              1. Open Controls
          21. Az
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • Has Moderation Rights
            • 14 Years
            10 years, 3 months ago

            Come on Brightooooonnn!!

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            1. Colonel Shoe 肝池
              • 12 Years
              10 years, 3 months ago

              +1

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          22. RabMac
            • 10 Years
            10 years, 3 months ago

            Who do you think the best defender is for the next 3 game weeks, money is no object. The only thing is they must play every single match.

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            1. Colonel Shoe 肝池
              • 12 Years
              10 years, 3 months ago

              terry if fit

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              1. RabMac
                • 10 Years
                10 years, 3 months ago

                I wouldn't even say Terry is the best Chelsea defender this season but he is a contender.

                The teams I am looking at just now are: Chelsea, Spurs & Norwich. In addition may look at West Ham if Hull crash out tonight.

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          23. T1P
            • 11 Years
            10 years, 3 months ago

            Ultimate FPL. What is the general opinion of when the unlimited transfer game week will be? Is it before GW 3, or after? Thanks!

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          24. Jafooli
            • 12 Years
            10 years, 3 months ago

            Anyone worked out if Southampton play better with Chambers of Clyne?

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            1. Jafooli
              • 12 Years
              10 years, 3 months ago

              *or

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              • 10 Years
              10 years, 3 months ago

              poch says chambers - that's all that matters.

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              1. Jafooli
                • 12 Years
                10 years, 3 months ago

                Really? He's put his money on Chambers publicaly?

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                1. Jafooli
                  • 12 Years
                  10 years, 3 months ago

                  * publicly

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          25. JK - Cønt ⭐
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 12 Years
            10 years, 3 months ago

            RvP to Kun after GW29

            sense or madness?

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              • 10 Years
              10 years, 3 months ago

              wait until kun is fit or you'll waste two transfers.

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                • 10 Years
                10 years, 3 months ago

                * could waste two transfers if he gets an injury set back

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            1. Parm
              • 12 Years
              10 years, 3 months ago

              Sense. Distribute the cash elsewhere.

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            2. tm245
              • 12 Years
              10 years, 3 months ago

              If you can carry RVP over the blank and then c him gw29, a transfer to Aguero afterward is genius imo.

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          26. Polaris - The Mortal Coil
            • 10 Years
            10 years, 3 months ago

            Get in Ulloa.

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