Selection

Watchlist Update – Abundance of cheaper forward options

As the first international break of the season nearly at an end, we have wrapped up our analysis of the FFS Watchlist.

Having looked at goalkeepers, defenders and midfielders in detail since the conclusion of Gameweek 4, we finish with the all-important forward options.

What we found was that the so-called ‘third striker’ is not dead, as we thought it was. In fact, there are plenty of assets worth considering for this role with premium players the ones that are proving more disappointing.

Sergio Aguero (£11.3m) currently sits at the summit for the forwards’ section of our Watchlist. The Manchester City striker currently tops the charts for shots on goal in the whole league and faces four very favourable fixtures over the next five Gameweeks. They include home meetings with Fulham, Brighton and Burnley, as well as a trip to Cardiff. Returns in three of the first four weeks of the campaign give him an ‘A’ for form although we have to point out his Rotation Risk factor with Champions League football creeping back into the equation in the very near future.

Up next is Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (£10.9m) on account of Arsenal’s continuing run of appealing fixtures. The Gunners top our Season Ticker for attack over the next six Gameweeks, and we still believe that Aubameyang is the way to go. Alexandre Lacazette (£9.4m) may have nearly matched his shot count in 158 fewer minutes, but Aubameyang remains the more assured starter. Fresh from a first goal of the campaign in Gameweek 4 we think the former Borussia Dortmund man will make the most of Newcastle (away), Everton (home), Watford (home) and Fulham (away) in the next four weeks.

Aleksandar Mitrovic (£6.7m) has earned more new owners ahead of Gameweek 5 than any other player so far, and with good reason. Only Aguero has had more shots than him among forwards, the two are level for efforts in the box but the Serbian is ahead on shots on target. Mitrovic’s form and price tag are hard to argue with. He has four goals and an assist in the first four Gameweeks of 2018/19 and has found the net 23 times in his last 30 matches for club and country.

Callum Wilson (£6.2m) is another one of many arguments against the so-called ‘death of the third striker’ in FPL. No forward has had more shots in the box since the start of the campaign than the Bournemouth man and he’s currently level with Aguero for efforts on target. Wilson looks to have a level of consistency above what he has produced in the past, which is why he sits so high on our Watchlist. With Leicester (home), Burnley (away), Crystal Palace (home), Watford (away), Southampton (home) and Fulham (away) it’s hard to find a reason not to include him in our squads.

Even though he has gone under the radar early on, Romelu Lukaku (£11.0m) is still very much at the heart of our thinking ahead of Gameweek 5. The Manchester United striker is currently second both for shots in the box and efforts on target thus far. With fixtures against Watford (away), Wolves (home), West Ham (away) and Newcastle (home) coming up between Gameweeks 5 and 8, there is plenty of reason to believe Lukaku can be a useful asset.

Harry Kane (£12.5m) remains the primary Tottenham striker as he continues to be the unchallenged number one in that position for Spurs. However, the England captain sits lower in the Watchlist than he has historically. Kane’s form isn’t too bad as he goes into Gameweek 5 with two goals and an assist to his name. However, Tottenham’s are neither here nor there with Liverpool and Man City book-ending a run of more favourable matches. It also has to be said that Kane is also currently operating at a lower level than last season as far as underlying statistics are concerned.

Danny Ings (£5.6m) is currently the cheapest forward entry on our Watchlist and he gets a mention with good reason. The Southampton man has matched Aguero and Mitrovic for shots in the penalty box and has registered just one fewer accurate shot than Man City’s leading attacker. The Saints fixtures are a little sticky between Gameweek 6 and 8 but things look good for a Gameweek 5 home meeting with Brighton.

Jamie Vardy (£8.9m) comes back into the equation for Gameweek 5 after returning from a suspension picked up against Wolves last month. There isn’t much data on him thus far, with just 93 minutes and no starts to his name in 2018/19. However, the Leicester City man has some appealing fixtures in which he could perform well. Only Arsenal and Bournemouth rank higher than the Foxes for Attack on our Season Ticker, with a Gameweek 6 hosting of out-of-form Huddersfield looking particularly tasty for Vardy.

Troy Deeney‘s (£6.1m) unexpected strike against Spurs, his second of the season, has put him in the thoughts of Fantasy managers. The fixtures still look tough for Watford, but Deeney actually has a goal in each of his last three home matches against Manchester United.

Glenn Murray (£6.5m) has three goals to his name thus far in 2018/19 which means we have to include him too. Brighton’s fixtures over the next three are a mixed bag with a trip to Southampton preceding back-to-back matches with Tottenham (home) and Man City (away). However, over six weeks they don’t look too bad with West Ham and Wolves both set to visit the Amex Stadium too.

Become a Member and access our data

Memberships for the 2018/19 campaign are now available for the price of £15.

Join now to get the following:

  • Plot your transfer strategies using the fully interactive Season Ticker.
  • Get projections for every Premier League player provided by the Rate My Team statistical model.
  • Use Rate My Team throughout the season to guide your selections and transfers.
  • Get access to over 130+ exclusive members articles over the season.
  • Analyse our OPTA-powered statistic tables specifically tailored for Fantasy Football Managers.
  • Use our exclusive tool to build custom stats tables from over 100 OPTA player and team stats.
  • View heatmaps and expected goals data for every player.
  • Use our powerful comparison tool to analyse players head-to-head.

CLICK HERE TO BECOME A FANTASY FOOTBALL SCOUT MEMBER

520 Comments Post a Comment
  1. BOATIES FC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 1 Year
    11 months, 8 days ago

    I can't find part two of the set piece takers and targets article? It's my favourite one of the week. Has it not been published yet?

  2. Dazzrb
    • 3 Years
    11 months, 8 days ago

    What to do with this lot? 1FT 0.1ITB..

    Ederson
    VVD Alonso PVA
    Salah Hazard Mkhitaryan Fraser
    Kun Ings Zaha

    Button AWB Kabasele Gunnarson

    Thanks in advance!

    1. Ghost Gooner
      • 5 Years
      11 months, 8 days ago

      Depends on length of injuries (zaha and fraser). I'd roll the ft for now

    2. AnfieldLad
      • 5 Years
      11 months, 8 days ago

      I think Mendy is essential. Perhaps Mkhi + VVD -> Pedro + Mendy

  3. theodosios
    • 1 Year
    11 months, 8 days ago

    From GW8, Murray will be nice differential since he's back on penalties.He doesn't have a real competition in Andone and Locadia.

    1. GXNG
      • 2 Years
      11 months, 8 days ago

      Pretty sure Locadia dropped him a few times last season, but yeah.

    2. badgerboy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      11 months, 8 days ago

      He's not back on penalties though. Houghton said after the Palace game Gross is still the first choice penalty taker.

  4. Ibralicious
    • 4 Years
    11 months, 8 days ago

    Those who own both Kun and Haz, who is your armband going to be on?

    1. child of God
      • 1 Year
      11 months, 8 days ago

      Kun

    2. Ghost Gooner
      • 5 Years
      11 months, 8 days ago

      About to take a hit to get Haz in for Alli and I'm tempted to go with Haz. I'm just wary of Kun's ownership

    3. Podge
      • 8 Years
      11 months, 8 days ago

      Kun

      1. Rihanovic
        • 2 Years
        11 months, 8 days ago

        Kun.

    4. xiMoxiee
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      11 months, 8 days ago

      Haz because I'm sure I'm the only one with him in my mini league

  5. The Baby-faced Assassin
    • 6 Years
    11 months, 8 days ago

    Could do with some advice! What to do?

    A) Play Zaha in hope he plays, if not it’s a 2 pointer from Westwood
    B) Take a hit and swap him for Wilson?

    1. Dthinger
      • 2 Years
      11 months, 8 days ago

      I don't think its worth a hit

    2. Podge
      • 8 Years
      11 months, 8 days ago

      A

  6. Team Bobcat
    • 2 Years
    11 months, 8 days ago

    Thanks for voting thus far. Cinally for the next 5. Pick one from both combos paired with the other.

    a) King Mitrovic
    b) Schurle Fraser Pereyra Maddison

    Cheers

    1. Tempestic
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      11 months, 8 days ago

      Mitro, Maddison

  7. daitheboot
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    11 months, 8 days ago

    I am worried about being too 'template' as all bar my 4.0 GK of my squad have been mentioned in these articles... should I change?

    1. Holmes (specialist in failu…
      • 5 Years
      11 months, 8 days ago

      As long as they bring points, all good...

  8. Dthinger
    • 2 Years
    11 months, 8 days ago

    Is Lucas Moura looking more attractive now that Dele will be out this weekend?

  9. Kun still the man!
      11 months, 8 days ago

      Current team : 0.5 itb, 1 ft
      Henessey/McCarthy
      Alonso Mendy PVA AWB Peltier
      Hazard Mane Bilva Mkhi Hughes
      Kun Tosun King

      a) Mkhi to Ramsey
      b) Bilva to Pogba
      b) WC
      c) save ft

      1. Podge
        • 8 Years
        11 months, 8 days ago

        Second b to be honest

        1. Kun still the man!
            11 months, 8 days ago

            Who you reckon has better chance to play this gw, mkhi or bilva? Already burned me gw4

      2. Tempestic
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 1 Year
        11 months, 8 days ago

        Narrowed it down to 2 WC teams...
        A) Pat (Foster)
        Alonso Mendy Pereira DOHERTY (WanB)
        Salah Hazard DILVA Maddison (Hojbjerg)
        Aguero Wilson (QUANER)

        B) Pat (Foster)
        Alonso Mendy Pereira BENNET (WanB)
        Salah Hazard Maddison (RICHARLISON Hojbjerg)
        Aguero Wilson MITROVIC

        Leaning towards B just because of the improved bench, though I would like Dilva. Thoughts?

        1. Dthinger
          • 2 Years
          11 months, 8 days ago

          I think B

        2. Podge
          • 8 Years
          11 months, 8 days ago

          B

        3. whitepool
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 5 Years
          11 months, 8 days ago

          B. Silva costs nearly 2M more than Richarlison and the latter is not a rotation issue. Oh and he scored 3 goals in the two complete games he played. Plus you get Mitrovich thrown in for Quaner. B all day.

          1. Tempestic
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 1 Year
            11 months, 8 days ago

            Thanks

      3. IrishRed
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        11 months, 8 days ago

        Do I need to WC? Or should I just let AWB come in for Alli and leave it for another week?

        Foster
        Robbo Alonso Mendy AWB
        Salah Madisson Walcott
        Aguero(c) Mitro Arnie
        (Hamer Hughes Alli Peltier)

        1. Dthinger
          • 2 Years
          11 months, 8 days ago

          Is Walcott fit?

          1. IrishRed
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 3 Years
            11 months, 8 days ago

            I'm not sure. If not, Hughes comes in

        2. Kizza_10
          • 4 Years
          11 months, 8 days ago

          Personally I’d leave it another week mate

      4. Dannyb
        • 2 Years
        11 months, 8 days ago

        Repost as im really struggling lol. How's this for a wildcard? Bench too weak?
        Patricio Hamer
        Alonso Mendy Holebas Bennett AWB
        Mane Hazard Dilva Hoiberg Ward
        Aguero Lukaku Mitrovic
        Thoughts appreciated.

        1. Podge
          • 8 Years
          11 months, 8 days ago

          It’s lovely

        2. Holmes (specialist in failu…
          • 5 Years
          11 months, 8 days ago

          Yes, I think so. You might struggle to field 4 at back every week, so 7th attacking players has to be upgraded

          You can drop one of the midfielders for a mid-price player and upgrade Hojberg/Ward

      5. vardys party
        • 3 Years
        11 months, 8 days ago

        Ederson (foster)
        Robertson Alonso Mendy (AWB Cook)
        Salah Mkhitryan Lucas Fraser (Stephens)
        Aguero Tosun Zaha

        0.7itb 1 Ft
        What to do? I'd rather get hazard in, but it means losing salah. Need some help.

        A. Get hazard
        B keep as it is

        1. Udo
          • 1 Year
          11 months, 8 days ago

          Out of those two B. But honestly you could change Tos/Zaha to Vardy&....

      6. Kizza_10
        • 4 Years
        11 months, 8 days ago

        Think I’ve finally settled on a wildcard team I’m happy with.

        Is their any changes you’d make other than “it needs Salah” ?

        De Gea
        Alonso Robertson Mendy
        Lucas Mane Hazard Maddison
        Wilson Aguero Mitrovic

        Subs: Hamer, Wan B, Bennett, Billing

        0.1 in the bank

        1. dbuk87
            11 months, 8 days ago

            Kepa for de gea

          • McSlu
            • 2 Years
            11 months, 8 days ago

            Pat for deGea and Lucas to dilva

        2. fridge
          • 7 Years
          11 months, 8 days ago

          Struggling with this one. Fancy Hazard and one Pool mid over 2 pool but how?

          Patricio
          Mendy. Alonso. VVD
          Salah. Mane. Bilva. Fraser
          Ings. Aguero. Zaha

          Foster. AWB. Cairney. Peltier

          A) Mane + Bilva > Hazard + Maddison (-4)
          B) Salah > Hazard
          C) Save

          1. Concrete
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 5 Years
            11 months, 8 days ago

            A

        3. Brakos2k
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          11 months, 8 days ago

          Best defender for sub 5.3m?

          1. Dthinger
            • 2 Years
            11 months, 8 days ago

            Pereira maybe?

          2. Gudjohnsen
            • 2 Years
            11 months, 8 days ago

            Pereira or Chilwell? Maybe Luke Shaw?

        4. Jurgen Flopp
          • 5 Years
          11 months, 8 days ago

          Who scores more?

          A) Salah, Zaha, Maddison
          B) Mane, Lukaku, Fraser

          Cheere

          1. Gudjohnsen
            • 2 Years
            11 months, 8 days ago

            A

          2. Podge
            • 8 Years
            11 months, 8 days ago

            B

          3. Dthinger
            • 2 Years
            11 months, 8 days ago

            tough one. over the course of the whole season, I'd say A, but I'd be worried Lukaku will score a bunch in the next few weeks.

        5. Sarri, not Sarri
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          11 months, 8 days ago

          a) Mane, BSilva > Hazard, Maddison
          Or
          b) BSilva, Zaha > Maddison, Mitro

          1. Gudjohnsen
            • 2 Years
            11 months, 8 days ago

            A

          2. Podge
            • 8 Years
            11 months, 8 days ago

            A

          3. Concrete
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 5 Years
            11 months, 8 days ago

            A

        6. Merlinho
          • 10 Years
          11 months, 8 days ago

          Draft team
          Need to start 2 defenders from Robbo (tot), Young (wat), AWB (hud)

          Going on CS odds alone gives Young and AWB, but I’m not convinced. Any thoughts?

          1. Dthinger
            • 2 Years
            11 months, 8 days ago

            Why do you have to bench one? who else do you have?

            1. Merlinho
              • 10 Years
              11 months, 8 days ago

              Mustafi and Azpilicueta are my others, starting Azpilicueta and benching Mustafi, so leaves 2 to play.

              1. Dthinger
                • 2 Years
                11 months, 8 days ago

                I think I would play Mustafi over AWB. They're bound to keep a clean sheet eventually. Maybe Azpi, Mustafi, and Young?

                1. Merlinho
                  • 10 Years
                  11 months, 8 days ago

                  Not convinced that Arsenal will keep a CS this side of Huddersfield at home!

            2. Merlinho
              • 10 Years
              11 months, 8 days ago

              Iwobi is my only other bench option realistically.

        7. Gudjohnsen
          • 2 Years
          11 months, 8 days ago

          WC team

          Patricio (Hamer)
          Alonso, Mendy, Pereira (Wan Bissaka, Bennett)
          D.Silva, Hazard, Mané, Kante (Hojberg)
          Aguero, Lukaku, Ings

          Too unbalanced?

          1. SirT83
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 1 Year
            11 months, 8 days ago

            Looks good! Nice differential with Lukaku.

          2. SirT83
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 1 Year
            11 months, 8 days ago

            Not loving Kante though.

            1. Gudjohnsen
              • 2 Years
              11 months, 8 days ago

              Yeah, any better 5 million fodder?

              1. SirT83
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 1 Year
                11 months, 8 days ago

                That's the problem. Which would make me think twice on Lukaku. He would have to outscore the someone like Wilson and the upgraded mid you would get from choosing Wilson instead. Cause Kante will not get too many points imo. You have 0 itb?

              2. SirT83
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 1 Year
                11 months, 8 days ago

                Could also downgrade to Vardy/Firmino and get a midfielder that will provide better chances of good games.

                1. Dthinger
                  • 2 Years
                  11 months, 8 days ago

                  There are a couple of more attacking midfielders in the 4.5 range aren't there? Even if you don't like them, you could play 4-3-3

          3. Concrete
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 5 Years
            11 months, 8 days ago

            Get rid of Kanté

          4. dbuk87
              11 months, 8 days ago

              Best I have seen

          5. SirT83
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 1 Year
            11 months, 8 days ago

            3rd rotation defender.
            A- Ake
            B- TAA
            C- Pereira
            D- Cook
            E- Chilwell
            F- Cook

            1. Holmes (specialist in failu…
              • 5 Years
              11 months, 8 days ago

              Trent

            2. Concrete
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 5 Years
              11 months, 8 days ago

              4.5 if rotating

          6. Garlana
            • 4 Years
            11 months, 8 days ago

            Mkhi owners keeping him this week or getting rid? I ideally want to keep one more week and bank the transfer but I'm getting itchy fingers!

            1. SirT83
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 1 Year
              11 months, 8 days ago

              Left him behind! But I'm on WC.

            2. badgerboy
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 4 Years
              11 months, 8 days ago

              Just going to bench him and look to sell next week.

            3. Concrete
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 5 Years
              11 months, 8 days ago

              Might be getting rid

            4. J T
              • 2 Years
              11 months, 8 days ago

              Last chance saloon

          7. Ohh1454
            • 1 Year
            11 months, 8 days ago

            Is vardy and madisson to much ?

            1. Concrete
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 5 Years
              11 months, 8 days ago

              Just get Vardy

            2. Ghost Gooner
              • 5 Years
              11 months, 8 days ago

              Not if you think Madisson will outscore Pereyra, Richarlison, Walcott etc

          8. Sherlocko
            • 1 Year
            11 months, 8 days ago

            WILDCARD!!

            Ryan- Hamer
            Alonso- Mendy- Bennet- WanB- 3,9
            Dsilva- Salah- Hazard- Richa- Højbj
            Wilson- Aguero- Mitro

          9. Skull And Gnomes 9
            • 2 Years
            11 months, 8 days ago

            Mitrovic looks like he's visited the dark side in that pic.

            Orcish.

            1. FPL Virgin
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 3 Years
              11 months, 8 days ago

              He looks a bit like Andy there 4 me.

              1. Skull And Gnomes 9
                • 2 Years
                11 months, 8 days ago

                😆 I'm sure he'll take that in the spirit intended.

            2. Numb
              • 4 Years
              11 months, 8 days ago

              Not the most flattering photo is it?

              1. Skull And Gnomes 9
                • 2 Years
                11 months, 8 days ago

                You don't want to meet it in a dark alley, for sure.

            3. El Fenomeno R9
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 3 Years
              11 months, 8 days ago

              Hes looking down with right eye and up with left eye,good skill to trick GKs.

              1. Skull And Gnomes 9
                • 2 Years
                11 months, 8 days ago

                He won't scare Ederson.

          10. Concrete
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 5 Years
            11 months, 8 days ago

            Firmino Mkhitaryan to Hazard Wilson -4

            Y or N

            1. Teomi
              • 1 Year
              11 months, 8 days ago

              Yes

          11. Blackbird235
            • 2 Years
            11 months, 8 days ago

            Patricio - Hamer
            Mendy - Robertson - Wan-Bissaka - Peltier - Mee
            Salah - Mkhitaryan - B. Silva - Kante - Richarlison
            Auba - Aguero - Ings

            i have 2 free transfers, I am thinking of replacing Mkhi, Bilva and Mee to get Alonso, Maddison and Fraser but now I'm thinking about wildcard to also put Kane instead of Aguero. Any suggestons?

            1. Ghost Gooner
              • 5 Years
              11 months, 8 days ago

              Why ditch Kun when he has a better fixture than Kane?

            2. Don Rogers FC
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 6 Years
              11 months, 8 days ago

              I don’t see a wildcard in this.

              1. Don Rogers FC
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 6 Years
                11 months, 8 days ago

                Not with 2ft

                1. Blackbird235
                  • 2 Years
                  11 months, 8 days ago

                  I am getting impatient about getting Kane because eventually he will be indispensable but you are right, 2 FT is not worth a wildcard. But I do have to replace Mkhi and Bilva, do you have any other suggestions beside Fraser and Maddison? I have 12.8 for both

                  1. Don Rogers FC
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 6 Years
                    11 months, 8 days ago

                    I’d be tempted to use just one transfer. Either Mkhitaryan or Bilva to someone you think might play and score well over the next 3, then give it a spin. You’ll have Richarlison back next week And can take a view.

                    You could even find that Mkhitaryan, Bilva and Kanté all get returns this week. I certainly would n’t panic to get Kane in, his ownership must be lowiah among those still playing.

                  2. Don Rogers FC
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 6 Years
                    11 months, 8 days ago

                    But not Fraser, he is injured.

          12. EL tridente
            • 1 Year
            11 months, 8 days ago

            Who to start
            A) Holebas
            B) Wan B
            C) Bennett

          13. Rash
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 2 Years
            11 months, 8 days ago

            1st time ever I've held out on making a transfer over the september international break! Only because I can't decide on keeping Mané or getting hazard.

          14. Henning
            • 4 Years
            11 months, 8 days ago

            Hmmm 2.6m in The bank what to do?

            Hennessey Hamer

            Robertson Alonso Mendy Cook Wan-Bissaka

            Salah Moura Mkhitaryan Wallcot Neves

            Aguero Mitrovic Ings

            1. Rash
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 2 Years
              11 months, 8 days ago

              Walcott to DSilva maybe