Pro Pundits - Lateriser

‘Enjoy the ride, adapt and stop planning’ – FPL’s reigning India winner says to focus on the short-term

The Double Gameweeks are here.

But it hasn’t been a smooth ride. Fantasy Premier League (FPL) managers have had so many unexpected detours (a lot of off-roading) on the way, but battered, bruised and with a lot of dents, we’re finally here.

Just know that you are not the only ones facing these twists and turns. It won’t be the last time unexpected rescheduling happens either.

FPL managers all over the globe have been meandering their way through these unexpected times and you’ve just got to enjoy the ride and adapt. It’s the only option you have really.

So what do I intend to do differently? First off, stop planning. Be more short-sighted. Normally, when making moves, I look at the next five to six Gameweeks.

Instead, I am going to play for the points available and have a more short-term approach when planning my moves.

This means I’ll likely look at the next three Gameweeks when making my moves and no more than that.

Why? We could literally have unexpected cancellations and changes (Double Gameweeks) at any time. So planning mid-term doesn’t have much value in my opinion.

Secondly, and I have said this multiple times this season, I’m all for wanting to chase price rises, but honestly, I can’t say it enough, this is the season to delay your transfers as far as possible.

The fantasy landscape is changing daily and new bits of information are appearing on a daily basis, which might drastically affect your transfer strategy.

You might think that your transfers might not be affordable the next day, but when you look closer, there is always another way.

Has the recent Double Gameweek news for Aston Villa and Newcastle and the lack of a double for Leeds United and Southampton changed my plans?

FPL Transfer Traps Gameweek 6 1

I currently own only Patrick Bamford (£6.6m) from the two teams and before Blank Gameweek 18, I sold Jack Grealish (£7.7m) and Che Adams (£6.0m).

I had heard murmurs of the Leeds vs Southampton game being called off and I just don’t trust the fitness of Villa’s players and the lure of two premium Manchester big hitters was too much for me.

It was a gamble and it won’t be the last time I’ll need to roll the dice this season.

It just seems like a season of difficult decisions given the sheer number of consistent big hitters but it is what it is.

Just a small note on Aston Villa, the nature of the COVID-19 outbreak is unknown at the time of writing and we don’t necessarily know how the squad has been affected.

It is a very thin squad that is very reliant on 10 to 14 players and if the majority of the first team squad is affected, I don’t know how much I’d trust them.

Keeping this in mind, their players come into the don’t buy/ don’t sell category for me until we know more about them.

Auto Draft 1

Speaking of difficult decisions, one big decision that FPL managers will likely be making this season is whether to sell Son Heung-min (£9.8m) or Harry Kane (£11.1m) for a premium Double Gameweek asset in Gameweek 19.

The one thing I’ll say is if you’re doing it to get in a premium big hitter like Mohamed Salah (£12.5m) or Kevin De Bruyne (£11.8m) who are genuine captaincy options, then it makes sense to me.

If not, it becomes a very difficult decision (one that might not necessarily be the right one) given their fixture in Gameweek 19.

Then it comes down to gut and the kind of FPL manager you are.

If I was to hold one of Son or Kane, at the moment I’d lean towards holding Son primarily because of the price difference.

I see a lot of people selling their Arsenal and Leeds United assets for Double Gameweek players.

It is important to not have the blinkers on for the doubles because both of these teams in addition to Spurs have very good games in Gameweek 19 and it might not be the smartest thing to sell them just to buy additional minutes in the Double Gameweek.

You need to look at the next couple of Gameweeks while making these decisions and then make the call.

A few things I have noticed in the last few weeks is that players like Son, Bruno Fernandes (£11.3m) and KDB have looked very tired in the last 30 minutes of games and I feel like in comparison, Liverpool and Chelsea both having some time off will play into their hands.

I’m personally expecting an upturn in performances for both of these teams in the coming weeks.

Having some time on the training ground with the full team without playing games can be underestimated and I think that will show.

It is worth noting Chelsea have all their players fit now including their full-backs and it’s easy to forget that when they, along with Hakim Ziyech (£8.1m) were fit, Chelsea were creating chances for fun.

They have a decent looking Double Gameweek (both Leicester and Fulham are in the worst five teams for big chances conceded at home this season) and I quite like their fixtures in the mid-term as well.

There are some good picks in that team both in attack and in defence should you fancy it.

Some of you are wondering about whether you should Bench Boost or not.

In my opinion if you have players from the likes of Leeds who have a good Gameweek 19 fixture, I’d still use the chip and play the Bench Boost.

The case for you to Bench Boost is even stronger, especially if you have used your Free Hit chip in Gameweek 18.

I say that is the case because if you wildcard in Gameweek 25 for the Double Gameweek in 26, your bench spots will need to be likely focused on Blank Gameweek 29 and that is something to consider while you’re making your decision.

Otherwise, one of the prime advantages of having used the Bench Boost chip is so that it’s out of the way and you can focus funds on your starting 11 (plus two bench spots) rather than spreading them over 15 players.

It is very difficult to give an answer with regards to this conundrum because it is very team dependant but generally when it comes to using your chips, there will be many more mini Double Gameweeks in play the way the season is going, so there are going to be more opportunities than you think for chip deployment.

I intentionally decide to just talk a little bit of macro-philosophy with this article ahead of the Double Gameweek but all of you are aware of the numbers and the good picks so I thought it might be worthwhile to outline a few things that might not have caught your attention.

I’ve been making steady progress with my season after a terrible start.

Despite having games called off for my Manchester City and Spurs assets and despite not deploying my Free Hit chip in Gameweek 18, I’ve climbed from a 3.1 million Overall Rank (OR) in Gameweek 12 to a 1.54 million OR at present.

I was very happy to get a 300,000 sized green arrow in Gameweek 18 despite taking a hit, owning nine players and not deploying the Free Hit chip which tells you that quality matters over quantity.

If the odds are stacked against you in a particular Gameweek in terms of numbers of players, it still isn’t the end of the world because if you have the right players, you could still climb up the table.

Also, it is worth mentioning that Zophar & I had the pleasure of interviewing the creator of LiveFPL.net recently and it was a pleasure getting to chat with Ragabolly.

He’s a PHD in quantum physics and still claims to not be a genius.

He’s a very humble guy and it’s an interview worth watching if you haven’t already. You can see it here.

We also did our standard podcast of The FPL Wire where we talk about Double Gameweek 19 in depth which you will find below. Thanks for reading and good luck this Gameweek!

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5,989 Comments Post a Comment
  1. The Count of Monte Cristo
    • 8 Years
    2 months, 28 days ago

    Could someone please confirm price changes are at 01:30 GMT (just under an hour away)?

    1. The Count of Monte Cristo
      • 8 Years
      2 months, 28 days ago

      FFS, I reckon I've made about 100 posts in the past couple of hours and this is the one that gets top post...

    2. Il Capitano
        2 months, 28 days ago

        Correct

      • All about the galacticos
        • 6 Years
        2 months, 28 days ago

        Indeed it's that time

        1. The Count of Monte Cristo
          • 8 Years
          2 months, 28 days ago

          Thanks all

    3. Mesh
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 months, 28 days ago

      When is the Leeds vs Southampton game likely to go ahead?

      1. boroie
        • 2 Years
        2 months, 28 days ago

        Still rumours it could be this GW

      2. Hazz
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        2 months, 28 days ago

        Ben reckons GW23 is a good candidate, but it is just his well educated guess.

        https://twitter.com/BenCrellin/status/1350127923089592320?s=19

        Unfortunately he doesn't make the decisions, haha.

        1. All about the galacticos
          • 6 Years
          2 months, 28 days ago

          has been pretty good, wouldn't lose any leeds players

      3. jason_ni
        • 5 Years
        2 months, 28 days ago

        no one knows, all speculation at this point.

      4. camarozz
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        2 months, 28 days ago

        Well that's a joke if we have Bamford and Dallas on the bench coz they are single gw players at the moment?

        What do we do?

    4. jason_ni
      • 5 Years
      2 months, 28 days ago

      FT
      Dier to
      A) Coufal.
      B) Cresswell

      Is aaron worth the extra wedge?

      1. JJeyy
        • 5 Years
        2 months, 28 days ago

        Ogbonna if u want to save on Cresswell

        1. jason_ni
          • 5 Years
          2 months, 28 days ago

          hmm, not that I want to save - I guess I have 5.4 exactly, and Cresswell in theory should be the most likely of the west ham defence to get attacking returns.

          Can always sell him down the line ( 5.4 seems alot for a hammers defender!)

    5. Gandalf
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 months, 28 days ago

      Factoring in upcoming gameweeks also, what's the consensus on Kane > Vardy for -4 (with no value tied up in Kane)?

      1. jason_ni
        • 5 Years
        2 months, 28 days ago

        You have son - maybe.

        No Son - nope

    6. Garfield1001
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 months, 28 days ago

      Would you bench boost the following:

      McCarthy Dallas Raphinha Adams

      Thanks

      1. jason_ni
        • 5 Years
        2 months, 28 days ago

        Not the strongest BB.. Leeds could do well though.

      2. OptimusBlack
        • 7 Years
        2 months, 28 days ago

        I think atleast two of them shoud have DGW so No

      3. Magic Zico
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 2 Years
        2 months, 28 days ago

        10-20 pts I reckon, happy with that?

        1. Garfield1001
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          2 months, 28 days ago

          Would be over the moon with 20

      4. boroie
        • 2 Years
        2 months, 28 days ago

        Guessing you were pissed about the Southampton Leeds game being off. Have you any transfers? Adams to Antonio and I’d probably BB then

        1. Garfield1001
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          2 months, 28 days ago

          Already done Kane to Antonio to fund KDB in

      5. TheOneAndOnly
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        2 months, 28 days ago

        I've something similar and fear not bench boosting, and Sou v Leeds going ahead

    7. tuturututu
        2 months, 28 days ago

        Bottomed

        This is my setup:

        Fabianski
        Robertson, Stones, Justin, Coufal
        Salah(c), Bruno, Rashford, Maddison, Soucek
        Firmino

        Meslier; Giroud, Bamford, Alioski

        Should I hit the BB button or not?

      • POTATO
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        2 months, 28 days ago

        Son > Salah -4 hit?

      • burkeyoa
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        2 months, 28 days ago

        Bruno > KDB for a -4?

        Cant get to KDB any other way and given Bruno with 4 yellow cards.

        1. EIE
          • 3 Years
          2 months, 28 days ago

          Bit too punchy for me - Bruno could even end up playing more minutes across the two than KDB!

      • Tsparkes10
        • 2 Years
        2 months, 28 days ago

        So stuck... bb tempted but probs means a -8 or -12. 1FT 0.3itb

        Johnstone
        Coufal Justin Robo
        Salah Bruno Son Soucek Raph
        Bamford Vardy
        (McCarthy, Dallas, Lowton, Adams)

        A) Save
        B) Robo, Son to Stones, KDB (-4)
        C) Adams, Lowton to Brewster, Dias (-4)

        1. jason_ni
          • 5 Years
          2 months, 28 days ago

          longer term, I like C, Dias is solid option.

          Losing Robbo on a dbl, and Son with his fixture could be rough. (but then Kdb could make it all back)

          Tough call.

        2. The Count of Monte Cristo
          • 8 Years
          2 months, 28 days ago

          I don't think you had brought up C before - that's a good one medium as said below

          1. Tsparkes10
            • 2 Years
            2 months, 28 days ago

            Only thing is bench headache

      • JJeyy
        • 5 Years
        2 months, 28 days ago

        TC Salah this week or wait for a Spurs/City double in a later single gameweek?

        1. Gandalf
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          2 months, 28 days ago

          Based on their recent form including salah's, too risky a TC I think

          1. EIE
            • 3 Years
            2 months, 28 days ago

            Yeah, hold fire

      • FDMS All Starz
        • 5 Years
        2 months, 28 days ago

        Sell which one for Kdb? Really stuck

        A) Rashford (bought at 9.5...now 9.6)
        Or
        B) Son (bought at 9.1...now 9.8)

        ...Son looks to be dropping tonight and Rashford close to a rise in price soon

      • DIMITRIS
        • 2 Years
        2 months, 28 days ago

        How do you rate Sterling as a 3xc for this DGW? I know that he's been under the weather lately, but we all know what he can do. He's bound to score at least 15-17 goals this season, and given that he sits on 4 goals at this moment, do you think this might be the turnung point of the season for him?

        1. DIMITRIS
          • 2 Years
          2 months, 28 days ago

          Also the upside is enormous and he's as good differential as it gets.

        2. londontom
          • 4 Years
          2 months, 28 days ago

          I'm TCing him

          1. DIMITRIS
            • 2 Years
            2 months, 28 days ago

            Good luck to you, I'm also considering that option. It's between "safe" KDB option or thr risky one with Sterling.

        3. Scout15
          • 3 Years
          2 months, 28 days ago

          I wish I would have the guts to do it. A bold move that could go either way...

          1. EIE
            • 3 Years
            2 months, 28 days ago

            It's a decent opportunity if you're chasing, for sure. I'm weighing up whether I may actually bring him in instead of KDB (got neither ATM)

            1. DIMITRIS
              • 2 Years
              2 months, 28 days ago

              I'm chasing like mad. Some 180 points behind from 1st place ib my ML. I might just do that. Cheers

          2. DIMITRIS
            • 2 Years
            2 months, 28 days ago

            I know, and I'm pindering about it because I'm chasing massively.

        4. Hits Magnet
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          2 months, 28 days ago

          I'd be worried that the peno miss might mess with his confidence in front of goal which is already quite shaky ..... so its not worth the risk this GW ..... you could lose a lot of ground

      • Genji3lade
        • 3 Years
        2 months, 28 days ago

        Would gets more points over the next two weeks?

        Son (Shu, Liv)
        Dias (Cry, Avl, Wba) -4

      • camarozz
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        2 months, 28 days ago

        Surprised KDB is so far ahead of Salah in the capitan debate?

        Is it possible KDB misses a game due to fatigue?

        Or is he safe to capt?

        Or go with Salah (c)?

        1. DIMITRIS
          • 2 Years
          2 months, 28 days ago

          I don't think that City has an alternative for him. They are KDB-dependent at the moment. I think he'll play both. Maybe Pep will substitute him if City is leading by 4-0 or something. But if the games are tight he just can't afford to play without him.

          1. camarozz
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 6 Years
            2 months, 28 days ago

            So who would u capt?

      • dsefton
        • 5 Years
        2 months, 28 days ago

        who scores more:
        A) antonio + justin
        B) antonio + james
        C) watkins + cresswell

        1. El Lobito 10
          • 3 Years
          2 months, 28 days ago

          A

      • Scout15
        • 3 Years
        2 months, 28 days ago

        A) BB with Foden + Gundo
        B) no BB with KDB(C)

      • Teahupo'o
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        2 months, 28 days ago

        Bottomed.

        Madness to go without City defenders? Best moves?

        Martinez
        TAA Justin Coufal
        Salah Bruno Son Barnes Bowen
        Vardy Bamford

        (Steer, Adams Dallas Mitchell)

        A) Son Bamford Adams ➡ KDB Antonio Brewster -8
        B) Son TAA Adams ➡ KDB Stones Antonio -8
        C) Son Bamford Adams Bowen ➡ KDB Antonio Brewster Foden -12

      • Niho992
        • 2 Years
        2 months, 28 days ago

        Balbuena to Stones for -8 and bench Dallas or

        Play Dallas and bench Balbuena

        1. Wonderful Wizard Hazard
          • 7 Years
          2 months, 28 days ago

          What is the other hit for?

      • Ruinenlust
        • 3 Years
        2 months, 28 days ago

        Sterling or Foden, if I can’t afford KDB?

        1. El Lobito 10
          • 3 Years
          2 months, 28 days ago

          Raz

      • El Lobito 10
        • 3 Years
        2 months, 28 days ago

        Final, big call:

        A. On currently:
        Martinez
        Dias Cancelo Tierney
        Son Bruno Madisson Neto KdB(TC)
        Kane Bamford
        6 double gameweekers

        Would you stick or FH to this:
        Martinez
        Stones Bailly Shaw Dawson
        Salah KdB Soucek Bruno Sterling(C)
        Vardy
        11 double gameweekers

        Thanks 🙂

      • OptimusBlack
        • 7 Years
        2 months, 28 days ago

        TC Whom
        A- Salah
        B- Vardy
        C- Robbo

        1. El Lobito 10
          • 3 Years
          2 months, 28 days ago

          A

      • the egyptian king
        • 3 Years
        2 months, 28 days ago

        A) Robertson & KDB
        B) Cancelo & Mane

        One seems safe one is exciting

        1. El Lobito 10
          • 3 Years
          2 months, 28 days ago

          B

      • Jehstafari
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        2 months, 28 days ago

        Robbo & Son & Kane > Stones & KDB & Vardy -8?

        This feels stupid with the value that will be lost

        1. In Bale We Trust
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          2 months, 28 days ago

          Can’t see that one working out tbh

          1. Jehstafari
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 4 Years
            2 months, 28 days ago

            Yeah I know what you mean. Only way to get KDB in

      • beso
        • 4 Years
        2 months, 28 days ago

        Calvert & Balbuena > Antonio & Stones for -4 ?

      • John78
        • 9 Years
        2 months, 28 days ago

        Johnstone (McCarthy)
        Justin Stones KWP Coufal Dallas
        Salah Fernandes Son Soucek Foden
        Bamford Adams Vardy

        Did Kane & Rapinha to Vardy + Foden (-4), going without KDB, what do you think? going to BB too.
        Mainly because wanted to keep Son

      • PogChamp
        • 9 Years
        2 months, 28 days ago

        A lot of faith being put on West Ham here. I've been stung too many times so will probably just go with Cresswell.

      • grooveymatt65
        • 7 Years
        2 months, 28 days ago

        Hi guys just need abit of help...

        im doing a wildcard on fanteam but when i change my players and click update team it doesnt mention about a wildcard on the screen after it just lists the transfers that are happening and theres a confirm button.

        Do i need to hit confirm first or something or is there a wildcard button befor i do the transfers?

        thanks

        1. Krafty Werks
          • 6 Years
          2 months, 28 days ago

          You're not seeing anything because the second wildcard on Fanteam is not available until after GW19 double, it will appear on your transfers page as soon as this gameweek gets underway, so can only use from GW20 onwards basically.

      • Wonderful Wizard Hazard
        • 7 Years
        2 months, 28 days ago

        Grealish/Balbuena to Foden/Stones for a hit?

        Martinez
        Robbo Cancelo Dallas
        Salah Bruno Son Grealish
        Wilson Vardy Bamford

        Balbuena Mitch Bissouma

      • Sacked in the Morning
        • 7 Years
        2 months, 28 days ago

        Should I remove Kane to get KDB? Want KDB long term. Am BB'ing.

        Martinez, Johnstone
        Coufal, Taylor, Dias, Alioski, Mitchell
        Salah, Bruno, Son, Grealish, Soucek
        Kane, Bamford, Antonio

        Thinking Grealish + Kane --> KDB + Wilson?

      • Alisson WondHaaland
        • 5 Years
        2 months, 28 days ago

        A) Kane, Taylor to Vardy, Stones -4
        B) Kane, Grealish to KDB, Antonio -4
        C) Kane, Taylor, Grealish to KDB, Stones, Antonio -8

        If I do A or C, I would bench boost with:

        Mccarthy, Bissouma, Alioski, Coufal

        If I do B, I would ignore the bench boost