Football Index

The best Football Index players to consider this weekend


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We spoke to Adam from Football Index Trader to get the latest tips and advice ahead of the weekend’s action


The football calendar is causing havoc with Fantasy Premier League teams right now, and has definitely had a big impact over on the Football Index too.

The erratic fixture calendar plus some important recent changes to the way we win dividends on Football Index has my brain working overtime. Something I am sure anyone trying to navigate recent gameweeks on FPL can understand! 

On Friday January 8, Football Index announced that “In Play Dividends” were to be removed and replaced with an as yet unknown win mechanic that should encourage more medium to longer term trading.

In Play Dividends were a simple mechanic that meant players got payouts for goals, assists and clean sheets (for a period of 30 days from purchase).

Suffice to say, as attractive as In Play was, it has contributed strongly to some short-term trading behaviour in recent months that wasn’t good for the market overall. I am hopeful that whatever FI come up with to replace it will be better for the longer-term. 

But changes like this do mean a strategy adjustment, which is worth considering…

FI Strategy

Does early FPL team news really provide an advantage?

A good tip for sustainable success on FI is never to stray too far from the original concept of the platform. FI is designed to be a longer-term, slower burning alternative to traditional betting. 

In my opinion, it is more intellectually satisfying than punting on a goal at the bookie or backing a horse. In the same way getting your Captain choice nailed on in FPL feels great – FI can be full of those deliciously smug “I told you so” moments. And they reward us with real money, not just bragging rights.

Trends come and go on FI. In recent months a combination of factors ranging from COVID to the fixture calendar to FI doubling our payouts caused many people to chase short term rewards and move away from that longer term, slower burn approach.

Those trends can (and when backed by good research – should) be leaned into. But completely reworking our player choices and extending too far away from that original purpose of FI is always very risky. It is likely that at some point FI takes steps to reinforce the original purpose of FI in those situations as they did last week.

My second tip for sustainable success would be in a similar vein – stick reasonably close to real quality players that are actually relevant to the FI scoring system and are at a reasonable price.

It’s often very tempting to chase hyped “wonderkids” or similar, and people will do this often based on little to no evidence that they are in any way suitable for FI.

This can be good whilst people are in that kind of mood, and I definitely participate when I can see an advantage, but we need to be aware that in any market turbulence such players are likely to struggle.

At least when you have quality players at value prices – you know that even if the price dips temporarily – you have a bet that is worth something solid as they can win you dividends.

We can’t always predict what the market will do week to week – but we can put ourselves in a strong position by holding good quality players. And the key to that is great quality research – something good FPL managers are no stranger to.  What FPL managers and FI traders are looking for is a bit different – but the skillset is very much the same.

My suggestion when thinking of building an FI portfolio for the months ahead would be to focus on some of the proven quality players that are strong in the existing FI scoring system and win mechanics. Many of these are at surprisingly good value prices right now. 

There is currently no need to go chasing the 16 year old “next Messi”. 

What we want is big ticket players with a Champions and Europa League campaign ahead, and ideally with a spot at Euro 2020 too.

I hope that such players benefit from the new win mechanic that FI will introduce, at least on some level. We don’t know exactly what that is yet. But given that these players should already offer value, if we happen to be putting ourselves on the right side of any new way to win, we’re doing ourselves no harm.

Example Players

Let’s pick out a few examples of players who would fit that description, and examine the reasons they might succeed or fail. To make things easier, I’ll focus mainly on a few that will be familiar to FPL managers.

Harry Kane

Werner, Son and Kane kept quiet as FPL's two best defences impress again

Strengths

The appeal of Kane for media dividends as we head towards Euro 2020 is obvious. Many traders are very short-sighted and simply getting in early whilst the price is suppressed has an obvious appeal.

In FI performance scoring terms, he’s ok, but is frequently beaten by slightly more FI suitable players. But he’s not too far away from wins as it is, and if we do see a new win mechanic that lowers the winning bar slightly it could benefit him strongly. 

It’s a small bet on the outcome of the announcement here but I don’t think it’s a reckless one because even without this help the current price would be reasonable.

Spurs also have a tasty Europa League Round of 32 match up on the way and could go far in that competition. Those late stage knockout games can be very lucrative on FI as they come with big payouts and a high chance of winning because only a few teams are competing that day.

Weaknesses

He is far from the world’s most suitable FI player and will usually need more than just one goal to get a really competitive score. But he can be explosive and is also adding a lot of assists this season.

Value

For the current £3.29 to £3.65 there are a lot of positive factors in his favour with the Europa and Eur’s on the way. Obvious media appeal. Still just 27 with years ahead. And a factor not to be underestimated on FI – just a plain old obvious name traders (and new traders) are just going to be familiar with and want.

Memphis Depay

Football Index

Strengths

Well in range of FI performance wins at Lyon. Has a potentially good move on the table possibly to Juventus or Barcelona most likely at the end of the season which could combine nicely with optimism for him as Holland’s leading man at Euro 2020. 

Weaknesses

Not many, still just 26. He’s playing below his potential right now yet is still in contention. He’s fine at Lyon, a move to Juventus or Barcelona probably only improves him.

Value

Fantastic value at £1.48 to £1.74, with the only dampener the lack of European competition this season. But you don’t always need to tick every box, just enough. Euro 2020 gives a nice late season reason to hold.

Mason Mount

Mount has massively improved this season in underlying FI numbers. In the past on FI, people were far too optimistic well before he was ready. Now? They are likely too pessimistic. And he looks ready.

Strengths

Looking very strong for FI scoring these days. We have seen one performance win this season but he’s unlucky not to get more. Poor Chelsea form hasn’t helped, and his goal output needs to improve. He gets plenty of chances though, far more than his current scoring rate would let on.

Weaknesses

If he can just improve his finishing he could be a regular FI competitor. And such players at big EPL teams and in the England set up are rare. And potentially very valuable.

Some uncertainty around a possible new coach coming in, but it would seem harsh to sideline him after good performances this season.

Value

Still young and available between £1.18 to £1.34 I think he is a bargain. There are of course risks – what if he doesn’t start finishing the chances he gets? What if Lampard is sacked and a new coach doesn’t fancy him?

But if he did reach his FI potential as a Chelsea and England regular I don’t think he’d have any problem clearing £4. So a good balance of risk reward here in my view.


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800 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Gazwaz80
    • 1 Year
    3 months, 7 days ago

    I’m considering taking a minus 12, getting D/G week players in but also players I want for the next 4-5 weeks.
    They’ll be a lot it managers out there that are nervous about taking hits and sticking with a relatively mediocre team but if you get them in on a D/G week, the chances are you’ll more than make up for your loss if you get decent players in.
    Risk v reward hopefully 🙂

    1. Hiddenpaw
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      3 months, 7 days ago

      I took a -12 last week and I am very pleased with the results, I agree a lot of people adverse to taking hits. If it feels right, go for it!

      1. Gazwaz80
        • 1 Year
        3 months, 7 days ago

        Absolutely, there’s been a few weeks where I’ve taken a minus 8 when I’m almost certain I’ll get my minus back and more, currently on 1062 points, not the best but certainly not the worse 🙂

        1. Hiddenpaw
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 3 Years
          3 months, 7 days ago

          A lot better than my 968, was over 4 million 5 weeks ago though now 1.6m. Bench boost this week to hopefully get back in the top 1m. Horrible season!

    2. Ron_Swanson
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 months, 7 days ago

      Go for it mate. This is the season to take some risks and have some fun with it

      1. Gazwaz80
        • 1 Year
        3 months, 7 days ago

        Cheers Hiddenpaw and Ron, think this season is definitely the one to be taking risks as there’s been so many variables. Good luck fellas for the rest of the season...

  2. nevins84
    • 8 Years
    3 months, 7 days ago

    Grealish & Son to Salah & Soucek for the DGW @-4...

    Good or bad?

    1. ivantys
        3 months, 7 days ago

        Good if Grealish gets suspended for the newcastle game.

      • BERGKOP
        • 9 Years
        3 months, 7 days ago

        Yes

      • Rupert The Horse
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        3 months, 7 days ago

        Yeah I like it.

      • TomSaints
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        3 months, 7 days ago

        Meh. Gut feel is no as I think Son is due a haul and Grealish can play well v anyone.

      • nevins84
        • 8 Years
        3 months, 7 days ago

        Thanks Guys...

      • linkafu
        • 1 Year
        3 months, 7 days ago

        Good
        Grealish risks suspension at his next yellow

      • House Frey Wedding Planner
        • 2 Years
        3 months, 7 days ago

        Good. I'm most likely taking those 2 out for a hit as well

    2. HD7
      • 4 Years
      3 months, 7 days ago

      Mccarthy to Martinez (-4) ?

      Or wait for updates if Martinez is fit?

      1. Hiddenpaw
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        3 months, 7 days ago

        wait

      2. Original - Wolves Ay We
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        3 months, 7 days ago

        wait

    3. Manimals
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      3 months, 7 days ago

      Would you bench boost with bench of Martinez, Bamford, Raphinha and Dallas if you had both wildcard and free hit left?

      1. Brehmeren
        • 10 Years
        3 months, 7 days ago

        Yes. Expect Leeds to score 3 against Brighton

        1. Manimals
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 2 Years
          3 months, 7 days ago

          Thanks mate!

    4. Bubz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 months, 7 days ago

      I don’t think McCarthy will play personally. Just trying to decide whether him to Martinez for -4 is worth it or not hmmm

      1. Maddamotha
        • 4 Years
        3 months, 7 days ago

        Why do you think that?

        1. Bubz
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          3 months, 7 days ago

          No need to rush him straight back in after covid and a couple days training

      2. Bobby_Baggio
        • 9 Years
        3 months, 7 days ago

        Why what's happened with McCarthy?

        1. Bubz
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          3 months, 7 days ago

          Covid?

          1. Bobby_Baggio
            • 9 Years
            3 months, 7 days ago

            Dam

      3. Neves say Neves
        • 2 Years
        3 months, 7 days ago

        would also like to know why

        1. Bubz
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          3 months, 7 days ago

          He’s just had covid

      4. ivantys
          3 months, 7 days ago

          I started Forster just in case

          1. Ron_Swanson
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 10 Years
            3 months, 7 days ago

            Doesn’t matter who you start does it? If you have them both

            1. ivantys
                3 months, 7 days ago

                I don't have mccarthy though.

          2. ⱼₐᵣᵥᵢₛₕ
            • 6 Years
            3 months, 7 days ago

            If he's been asymptomatic, he's probably been training virtually as normal in his back garden.

            1. Bubz
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 7 Years
              3 months, 7 days ago

              Still think he’d want him in first team training for longer before returning

          3. Hiddenpaw
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 3 Years
            3 months, 7 days ago

            Do we know for certain that Martinez didn't have COVID?

            1. Bubz
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 7 Years
              3 months, 7 days ago

              No

        • Bobby_Baggio
          • 9 Years
          3 months, 7 days ago

          Are these moves madness for -12 and using my BB? Robbo + Balbuena + Raphinha + Adams > Stones + Dias + Foden + Antonio.

          Johnstone - McCarthy
          Justin - Robbo - Coufal - Balbuena - Alioski
          Salah - Son - Bruno - Soucek - Raphinha
          Kane - Adams - Bamford

          1. Chandler Bing
            • 4 Years
            3 months, 7 days ago

            Just save the BB mate

            1. Bobby_Baggio
              • 9 Years
              3 months, 7 days ago

              Worth TC instead?

        • linkafu
          • 1 Year
          3 months, 7 days ago

          Please Help: YES or NO

          Bowen, Dallas and Adams to Soucek Stones and Wilson for -8

          1. Chandler Bing
            • 4 Years
            3 months, 7 days ago

            No

          2. 2OLEgend
              3 months, 7 days ago

              no

            • Hiddenpaw
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 3 Years
              3 months, 7 days ago

              No

            • nevins84
              • 8 Years
              3 months, 7 days ago

              Bit ordinary for a -8 i prob wouldnt

          3. Brakos2k
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 8 Years
            3 months, 7 days ago

            Thinking to do Kane, Son and Grealish to Vardy, KDB and Foden/ Bowen for -8. Any thoughts?

            1. 2OLEgend
                3 months, 7 days ago

                Personally I would want Son long term. Grealish & Kane to Antonio & KDB?

            2. RAFA THE GAFFA
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 5 Years
              3 months, 7 days ago

              Expected EO of Salah and KDB?

              Can I enjoy either without Captaincy?

              1. Salarrivederci
                • 4 Years
                3 months, 7 days ago

                Don't think so 🙂

              2. Chris_H
                • 11 Years
                3 months, 7 days ago

                I think Salah will definitely be under 100, KDB maybe just over? I don't expect Salah to haul massively in either tbh

            3. RECKLESS
              • 8 Years
              3 months, 7 days ago

              guys you think kdb will play both games? Is son to.kdb worth a -4?

              1. onceuponatyne
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 7 Years
                3 months, 7 days ago

                I did, but yeah, he may not start one.

              2. JabariParkersEyelid
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 1 Year
                3 months, 7 days ago

                Considering the upcoming games for him probably.

                I'm pretty set on not doing it though personally.

            4. NoSalah'd
                3 months, 7 days ago

                Is my bench boost gtg?
                Johnstone, McCarthy
                Cancelo, Dias, Zouma, Coufal, Dallas
                KDB (c), Bruno, Salah, Son, Soucek
                Antonio, Adams, Bamford

                1. I SPEAK ENGELS AND DRINK GI…
                  • 1 Year
                  3 months, 7 days ago

                  So bench boostin McCarthy (might be out), Dallas, Bamford, Adams (fit?)

                  Definetly not

                  1. NoSalah'd
                      3 months, 7 days ago

                      Adams is fit, and with Ings out he's the only striker in the team!

                  2. Brehmeren
                    • 10 Years
                    3 months, 7 days ago

                    Yep, gtg

                2. ZakyJ
                  • 5 Years
                  3 months, 7 days ago

                  For those not BBing, are you TCing?

                  im tempted to bring in KDB and TC him, i have a feeling hes going to go off

                  1. onceuponatyne
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 7 Years
                    3 months, 7 days ago

                    I think there's a good chance he'll not start one of those two games though.

                  2. The Tinkerman
                    • 5 Years
                    3 months, 7 days ago

                    Undecided, might TC KDB or Vardy, but likely to be a few more DGWs coming up, will give it until the deadline

                  3. JabariParkersEyelid
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 1 Year
                    3 months, 7 days ago

                    I'm going to hold my chips this week, question marks on all the big 3 for captaincy.

                3. StinkinRich
                  • 10 Years
                  3 months, 7 days ago

                  I’m pretty sure I played my free hit but on transfer page it’s showing active chip as “wildcard” so worrying clicked wrong button!

                  Can anyone confirm whether it shows the active chip as “free hit” when played or is this correct cos technically I have a one week wildcard.

                  1. Hiddenpaw
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 3 Years
                    3 months, 7 days ago

                    It should highlight the Free Hit pink if you are playing it. Sounds like you clicked Wildcard by mistake.

                  2. Chandler Bing
                    • 4 Years
                    3 months, 7 days ago

                    You played your wildcard mate.

                    1. StinkinRich
                      • 10 Years
                      3 months, 7 days ago

                      Doesn’t show as pink as on mobile (not app)...

                      I’m hardly inexperienced either.

                      Annoying but can’t be undone so will have to adapt fh team slightly to longer term approach..

                  3. JabariParkersEyelid
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 1 Year
                    3 months, 7 days ago

                    This is brutal to read.

                4. LLoris
                  • 2 Years
                  3 months, 7 days ago

                  Is BB for Johnstone Anguissa Dallas Watkins worth it??

                  1. boombaba
                    • 8 Years
                    3 months, 7 days ago

                    probably

                  2. 2OLEgend
                      3 months, 7 days ago

                      Yes

                    • I SPEAK ENGELS AND DRINK GI…
                      • 1 Year
                      3 months, 7 days ago

                      No

                    • Brehmeren
                      • 10 Years
                      3 months, 7 days ago

                      Yes

                  3. Rinseboy
                    • 9 Years
                    3 months, 7 days ago

                    Can I quick vote on who you think scores better this week out or Kane or Son?

                    I've had Son most of the season and built up good value in him and he's been great. However not sure if Sheffield game suits Kane better?

                    My gut says Son is the one to keep but thoughts??

                    Need to lose one to upgrade Brewster!

                    1. tbos83
                        3 months, 7 days ago

                        Son based purely on value

                      • TomSaints
                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                        • 3 Years
                        3 months, 7 days ago

                        Son is a season keeper, especially if you have loads of value tied up.

                      • The Tinkerman
                        • 5 Years
                        3 months, 7 days ago

                        I think Kane scores more when Spurs should be dominating the ball vs. son. But probably want to keep the value in Son if you anticipate buying him back. It’s only one GW.

                      • PogBruno
                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                        • 3 Years
                        3 months, 7 days ago

                        Kane - better option vs bus parking imo

                    2. tbos83
                        3 months, 7 days ago

                        Who scores more:
                        A) Salah + Antonio
                        B) Vardy + Cresswell

                        1. NoSalah'd
                            3 months, 7 days ago

                            A

                          • The Tinkerman
                            • 5 Years
                            3 months, 7 days ago

                            Probably will be Close. B is much cheaper.

                        2. Jellyfish
                          • 9 Years
                          3 months, 7 days ago

                          Whose playing their TC this week? KDB is the only candidate for it imo, Salah and Bruno will both be embroiled in a drab Liverpool v Man U 1-1 draw affair so can't see either hailing big this GW.

                        3. Winston.
                          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                          • 7 Years
                          3 months, 7 days ago

                          For DGW19 and therefater,supposing all fit;
                          A. Son+Foden+Martial
                          B. KDB+Raphinha+Watkins
                          In A need to captain Salah, in B captain KDB...

                        4. Lost in fantasy
                          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                          3 months, 7 days ago

                          Who to bring in instead of Lacca?
                          0.4 itb.

                          Have Bam and Antonio.

                          Thanks!

                          1. NoSalah'd
                              3 months, 7 days ago

                              Antonio

                              1. Lost in fantasy
                                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                3 months, 7 days ago

                                Bam and Antonio is already in the team 🙂

                            • Hiddenpaw
                              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                              • 3 Years
                              3 months, 7 days ago

                              Punt on Martial or Cavani?

                            • waltzingmatildas
                              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                              • 10 Years
                              3 months, 7 days ago

                              Cavani?

                          2. waltzingmatildas
                            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                            • 10 Years
                            3 months, 7 days ago

                            How to fund Son to KDB?
                            A) Firmino to Antonio (-4)
                            B) Robertson to Stones (-4)
                            C) Wood and Taylor to Davis and Mitchell (-8) - don't play BB?

                            McCarthy Johnstone
                            Robbo Cancelo Coufal Dallas Taylor
                            Salah Bruno Son Soucek Raphina
                            Bamford Wood Firmino

                            1. NoSalah'd
                                3 months, 7 days ago

                                A for sure

                              • Hiddenpaw
                                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                • 3 Years
                                3 months, 7 days ago

                                A

                              • JabariParkersEyelid
                                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                • 1 Year
                                3 months, 7 days ago

                                Yeah, A.

                            2. NB 1
                              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                              • 2 Years
                              3 months, 7 days ago

                              I have 10 DGW out field players. + son

                              Bench is Johnston (DGW), Bamford, Dallas, mitchel

                              Should I Bench Boost??.. Y or N

                              1. Hiddenpaw
                                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                • 3 Years
                                3 months, 7 days ago

                                Y - just to get it out of the way haha!

                                1. NB 1
                                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                  • 2 Years
                                  3 months, 7 days ago

                                  Haha

                              2. linkafu
                                • 1 Year
                                3 months, 7 days ago

                                Yes

                              3. 2OLEgend
                                  3 months, 7 days ago

                                  I would, yes

                                  1. NB 1
                                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                    • 2 Years
                                    3 months, 7 days ago

                                    So banking on Leeds? , not confident on mitchel or Johnstone

                              4. Captain Vantastic™
                                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                • 9 Years
                                3 months, 7 days ago

                                One of the most ridiculous argument I'm reading to play BB this week is 'To just get it out of the way'. Seen people playing BB even with non playing GK and even Brewster!

                              5. linkafu
                                • 1 Year
                                3 months, 7 days ago

                                MC carthy and Dallas to Forster and Stones for -4?

                                1. Corgzzzz
                                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                  • 5 Years
                                  3 months, 7 days ago

                                  Have I missed some news about McCarthy ?? Keep seeing people posting stuff about playing Forster and selling McCarthy....

                              6. HaffNanner
                                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                • 3 Years
                                3 months, 7 days ago

                                A) Kane and Stones

                                B) Vardy and Cancelo

                                1. waltzingmatildas
                                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                  • 10 Years
                                  3 months, 7 days ago

                                  B

                              7. Rinseboy
                                • 9 Years
                                3 months, 7 days ago

                                think Im gonna roll with this BB for a -4. Any major issues here?

                                Johnstone Meslier
                                Justin TAA Maguire Coufal Dias
                                Salah (c) Bruno Son Soucek Gundog
                                Antonio Vardy Bamford

                              8. Dele
                                • 4 Years
                                3 months, 7 days ago

                                Steer, Dunne, Son, Kane OUT

                                Areloa, Dias, KDB(c), Antonio IN

                                for a -8?

                                1. Lindelol
                                  • 2 Years
                                  3 months, 7 days ago

                                  Yes but Perhaps leave out Steer to Areloa? and save a hit

                                  1. Dele
                                    • 4 Years
                                    3 months, 7 days ago

                                    So bench boost without a keeper?

                              9. Silecro
                                • 3 Years
                                3 months, 7 days ago

                                Johnstone, Adams, Bednarek, Dallas

                                Good enough for BB?

                              10. Redcat1
                                • 5 Years
                                3 months, 7 days ago

                                would you play Justin (SOU/CHE) over Dier (shu) or Bamford (BHA) or not at all ?

                                1. Holmes
                                  • 7 Years
                                  3 months, 7 days ago

                                  Not over Bamford

                              11. Mattymo23
                                • 9 Years
                                3 months, 7 days ago

                                Is this worth BB??

                                McCarthy Adams Dallas KWP

                              12. RAFA THE GAFFA
                                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                • 5 Years
                                3 months, 7 days ago

                                Who would you get rid of from Adams or DCL? DCL injured but probably someone I’d want more longterm. Is there any update on his fitness? Or is it stupid to keep him? Cheers