Comments (Last 30 Days)

  1. The pros and cons of a Gameweek 24 Wildcard in FPL 9 hours, 47 mins ago

    Yes, those are among the caveats. What I was writing about are the underlying fundamentals. But tactical considerations (managing DGWs, for example) are also important and this season a manager's reactive capability is at least as important as their strategic grasp. For example, I usually try to avoid hits as far as possible. This season I accept that hits will be part of the necessary toolkit so the emphasis moves from trying to avoid them to making sure that they are used as effectively as possible. » Read

  2. FPL Daily: Salah remains at AFCON for now ahead of Gameweek 24 9 hours, 56 mins ago

    There are standard quarantine conditions in entering the UK from outside. They change on a regular basis and depend on whether a person is fully vaccinated. Do you know that Salah is? If not, he'll certainly have to quarantine. » Read

  3. FPL Daily: Salah remains at AFCON for now ahead of Gameweek 24 11 hours, 23 mins ago

    Quarantine. » Read

  4. FPL Daily: Salah remains at AFCON for now ahead of Gameweek 24 11 hours, 30 mins ago

    If they lose the SF they play the 3rd place game on the same day as the final. » Read

  5. The pros and cons of a Gameweek 24 Wildcard in FPL 15 hours, 14 mins ago

    Nice work on VORP although it's based on this season alone of course. A broader way to look at the VORP question is to divide your budget into 67.5m compulsory spend and 32.5m discretionary spend (based on the starting budget - the discretionary spend should have increased to around 36m by now). When you analyse that you will see that the points per £1m you need from the discretionary spend are much higher than you can expect from your compulsory spend. With the compulsory portion you will be lucky to achieve better than 33 points per GW (0.5 points per 1m per GW at best). So if you are aiming for an average 66 points per GW then that leaves 33 points to find. OK, let's say 7 of those points can come from captaincy. That leaves your 32.5m discretionary spend needing to produce 26 points per GW (0.8 ppm pGW). That rough calculation (it's just a ballpark) allows you to set points targets for all players in your squad that you don't intend to use as captains. Robertson needs t… » Read

  6. Double Gameweek 25 for Man Utd and Brighton confirmed 16 hours ago

    Yes, it's crazy. Wait till GW26 for Salah. » Read

  7. Who are the best Aston Villa players to own in FPL for Gameweek 24 and beyond? 20 hours, 42 mins ago

    PS: Yes, I do already have Robbo in my team and I made exactly the calculation you mentioned - likely points GW23-26 - before taking a hit to get him. Jota ➡ Salah will be the resolution but whether that is GW24 or GW26 remains an open question for me. » Read

  8. Who are the best Aston Villa players to own in FPL for Gameweek 24 and beyond? 20 hours, 48 mins ago

    I'm all for the structural analysis so kudos for that. What seems to be missing is an equivalent analysis of the midfield, which implies you are making assumptions about what a good midfield looks like. It is possible to have better forwards in your Robertson team by economising in midfield (or indeed by economising on your 4th defender). Ramsey is a 6m midfielder for 4.6m. Gray is a 6m midfielder for 5.5m. Raphinha is a 7.5m midfielder for 6.6m. Saka is a similar type of case. Coutinho is under-priced at 7m and you can continue with Bowen, Maddison, Trossard. There's a long list. I'm guessing you are assuming a heavy spend in midfield but that way you exclude some fantastic value too. Personally I think a premium forward (Kane/Ronaldo/Lukaku) is best from a purely structural perspective (if only there were one that could be relied on). But even if you stay in the mid-range for forwards you can have a solid team with Robertson provided you restrict yourself to two premium… » Read

  9. FPL Daily: Ranieri sacked, Hodgson linked and Covid cases fall further 2 days, 5 hours ago

    You probably don't need Salah till GW26 when Liverpool likely have a DGW (they can't have one before then). GW25 you'll want Ronaldo for the United DGW. So slow is fine, as long as you realise that Salah's price will rise because all the obsessives will be rushing to get him back (already are). Squad is nice so I'd just be thinking about increasing the bank to have enough for Jota ➡ Salah in one transfer. Ramsey in for Martinelli or Broja for King maybe. » Read

  10. Possible DGW25 for Saints, why Lowton was benched and Salah's penalty rival 2 days, 6 hours ago

    He gave an interview to FFS describing exactly how he goes about things. Guess his own words are a good enough authority. 😉 But hey, don't make Kabuk a proxy for yourself. It's your own approach and attitude you are defending, isn't it? Well, if you want to play FPL in a safety-first, EO-conscious, 4th-place-is-a-trophy kind of way way, be my guest. 😆 » Read

  11. Possible DGW25 for Saints, why Lowton was benched and Salah's penalty rival 2 days, 10 hours ago

    Wanting to win and playing to win are two different things. Playing to win means taking risks. Kabuk plays to avoid risk. Simple really. » Read

  12. Possible DGW25 for Saints, why Lowton was benched and Salah's penalty rival 2 days, 10 hours ago

    150-200 points behind isn't "pretty close". That's the typical gap between OR 1 and OR 10k. » Read

  13. Possible DGW25 for Saints, why Lowton was benched and Salah's penalty rival 2 days, 12 hours ago

    Kabuk isn't lucky, he just single-mindedly plays for a top 10K finish. He has zero aspiration to win FPL and makes no attempt to do so. Everything is safety and waiting for others to make mistakes. OK, that's his bag and he likes playing that way. But it does indicate how the popular measure of success is skewed by things like the FFS HOF, which is the equivalent of Wenger's "4th place is a trophy" idea in practise. Finishing top 10k is an indicator of competence. 8 times in a row is serial competence. Seems to me to be a mediocre aim for your hobby, though, unless your primary aim is to win a specific ML or something. » Read

  14. Double Gameweek 23 confirmed for Burnley and Watford 5 days, 20 hours ago

    Because he's 20 and Ranieri doesn't want to put too much pressure on him. » Read

  15. Double Gameweek 23 confirmed for Burnley and Watford 5 days, 20 hours ago

    And no, there will be no DGW24. » Read

  16. Double Gameweek 23 confirmed for Burnley and Watford 5 days, 20 hours ago

    Looks like Villa v Burnley is pretty solid for GW27 if that helps. 😆 » Read

  17. Double Gameweek 23 confirmed for Burnley and Watford 5 days, 20 hours ago

    It's possible but there are plenty of later slots where Leeds/Villa could be added and neither team have a huge backlog. » Read

  18. Double Gameweek 23 confirmed for Burnley and Watford 5 days, 20 hours ago

    Don't expect Joao to start both games is all. » Read

  19. Double Gameweek 23 confirmed for Burnley and Watford 5 days, 20 hours ago

    Incentive to injure opposition players maybe? Neither team have that many games to add, maybe that's a factor. Burnley really needed to get one played. » Read

  20. Double Gameweek 23 confirmed for Burnley and Watford 5 days, 21 hours ago

    My guess is that's why it hasn't been put in. Would be a double-header 4 days apart. » Read