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  • 1 Year

Website: https://fantasy.premierleague.com/entry/88036/history

Contrarian stock market investor (which might creep into my FPL thinking a bit too much at times). Resisting groupthink. Overcoming cognitive biases to make more rational decisions.

Comments (Last 30 Days)

  1. EURO Fantasy managers eyeing defensive assets as Denmark host Finland 19 hours, 10 mins ago

    No, you can't sub on players after they play. » Read

  2. Belgium lead Russia after Finland beat Denmark 19 hours, 58 mins ago

    French for goals? » Read

  3. Belgium lead Russia after Finland beat Denmark 20 hours, 10 mins ago

    Brighton & Hove Denmark 20 shots, Finland 1. xG champions of Euro 2020. » Read

  4. UEFA EURO 2020 Matchday 1 Scout Picks 2 days, 1 hour ago

    It's a very strange Scout Picks in defence, going double Macedonia when there are so many good, cheap options from better sides. » Read

  5. Best EURO 2020 Fantasy players from Ukraine 8 days, 21 hours ago

    Finland 0-1 Estonia FT Not how you want to enter the Euros if you're Finland. » Read

  6. Best EURO 2020 Fantasy players from the Netherlands 9 days, 16 hours ago

    Ancelotti rumoured to be going for Richarlison from his former club. Not exactly Galacticos these days, eh Mr. Perez? » Read

  7. What can we learn about EURO 2020 from previous tournament data? 10 days, 15 hours ago

    I don't see Nations League. I can see friendlies, Euro qualifiers, and World Cup qualifiers. » Read

  8. What can we learn about EURO 2020 from previous tournament data? 10 days, 15 hours ago

    Yeah, I'm not playing the Euros game. I need to get outdoors in the off-season, it's not good for me to play these games all year round. » Read

  9. Everything you ever wanted to know about the FPL Bonus Point System - part two 12 days, 4 hours ago

    Who is more deserving than Fabio? He has five straight top 2k finishes and counting. It appears only 3 other managers (Yavuz Kabuk, Mark Hurst, Mato Stanic) have even finished top 10k in all of the last 5 years, let alone top 2k. » Read

  10. Everything you ever wanted to know about the FPL Bonus Point System - part two 13 days, 7 mins ago

    A mathematician once calculated that to maximise one's chances of picking the best spouse, one ought to reject 1/e (about 37%) of the potential candidates and then pick the first one who is better than all previous candidates. I have often wondered if this finding has any relevance to chip-playing in FPL. Without subjecting yourself to too much "captain hindsight", do you consider that you played your Triple Captain: A. Too early; should have kept it for later B. Too late; should have played it at an earlier time but decided to wait C. The right time (regardless of whether you chose the right player in that GW) » Read

  11. Everything you ever wanted to know about the FPL Bonus Point System - part two 13 days, 37 mins ago

    That said, I have thought it might be fun if they waived the 3-player-per-club rule when you are on a FH. For one week, you could then have a certain club's entire starting XI if you could afford it. » Read

  12. Everything you ever wanted to know about the FPL Bonus Point System - part two 13 days, 1 hour ago

    Wouldn't this take most of the skill out of creating a good FH team? » Read

  13. Everything you ever wanted to know about the FPL Bonus Point System - part two 13 days, 3 hours ago

    Goalkeeper baps are the most messed up. It's too easy for a GK to get baps for not doing a whole lot in a 1-0 or 0-0 game. Whereas it's too hard for them to get baps for a heroic performance in a game where both teams score. They could start by doubling the bps for a save that prevents a big chance from being scored (compared to an ordinary save). » Read

  14. Who made our 2020/21 FPL Team of the Season? 13 days, 22 hours ago

    Yes, this is great to remember! The punditry seem to have a weakness for dismissing these "one-hit wonder" types of defenders and insisting they will regress -- which does eventually happen, but sometimes not until a whole season has gone. » Read

  15. Who made our 2020/21 FPL Team of the Season? 13 days, 23 hours ago

    Interesting. I felt like my basic structure was sensible, but I just had a lot of the wrong individuals, and stuck with them too long instead of switching to players who were performing better. I spent 27.5M on defenders, 42M on mids, and 22M on forwards with a structure of: B (F) P P B B (F) P P M B (F) M M (F) (P=premium, M=mid-price around 7.5-9.0, B=budget, F=fodder) I felt like the people who were the most likely to suffer early last season were those without the mid-priced mid slot (many had 2 premiums, 2 budget, and 1 fodder). Many of them felt that they had no choice but to WC early. » Read

  16. Who made our 2020/21 FPL Team of the Season? 14 days, 2 hours ago

    Interestingly, they all took different approaches to strikers. Darren went all cheap with Antonio, Mitrovic, and Wilson. Fabio also had Antonio and Mitrovic, but went Werner. Mark went with just two playing strikers (Werner and Adams) and one fodder. » Read

  17. Who made our 2020/21 FPL Team of the Season? 14 days, 2 hours ago

    Fabio, Mark, and Darren all did it well, and even managed to hold their WC until much later. They started with: Mark -- TAA, Robbo, James, Ayling, Vinagre (to Digne GW2) Fabio -- TAA, Digne, Justin, Dallas, KWP Darren -- TAA, Robbo, Digne, KWP, Taylor They also did really well though with picking at least one mid or striker who was very successful and at least moderately differential (Son for Fabio and Darren, Grealish for Mark). This helped them get off to a good enough start where they weren't too tempted to tear it all up and WC early. » Read

  18. UEFA Champions League final preview: Best Fantasy players for Chelsea v City 14 days, 23 hours ago

    Didn't stop them from making Pukki 6.5 in 2019-20. They'll be determined not to repeat their mistake of pricing Bamford so low last year. » Read

  19. UEFA Champions League final preview: Best Fantasy players for Chelsea v City 14 days, 23 hours ago

    Got to be at least 6.5 » Read

  20. Euro 2020 Fantasy strategy: How do the chips work and when should we use them? 15 days, 4 hours ago

    You only gain 29 points, not 29x2. The first 29 points he gets prior to becoming captain are already counted, so you only get 29 additional from him being promoted to captain. » Read