Spot the Differential

Spot the Differential – Gameweek 33

With six teams sitting out Gameweek 33, most Fantasy managers are focused on cobbling together 11 starters ahead of a bumper fixture list in Gameweek 34. Differentials could be a defining characteristic this weekend, then, so we’ve looked to Leicester’s quietly impressive frontman, Everton’s high-flying winger, and Saints’ under-rated assist machine in pursuit of such players.

David Nugent

Following a seven-match spell in which Leicester City only registered four goals, the Foxes’ forward line has finally clicked into gear, with David Nugent (4.9) and Jamie Vardy (4.6) both notching two goals in their last three outings. Yet while Vardy has attracted investment from 34,000 Fantasy managers this week, only 6,000 individuals have taken a punt on his fellow striker.

The argument for acquiring Nugent over Vardy is strengthened by the fact the ex-Pourtsmouth forward was assigned to penalty duties during Leicester’s 2-1 win over West Ham – despite seeing his effort saved by Adrian, he’s expected to remain at the head of the queue.

Beyond a home tie against Swansea City on Saturday, Leicester City face a double Gameweek 34 (bur, CHE) and then round off their campaign with a further trio of home encounters in their final four fixtures (NEW, SOU, sun, QPR). Considering the Blue Army have recorded eight goals in their previous three matches, their budget forwards certainly harbour the potential to give Fantasy teams an edge.

Aaron Lennon

Everton’s form has picked up in the last month – with three wins and a draw in their last four – which in part can be attributed to Aaron Lennon’s attacking output. The former Tottenham Hotspur winger’s two goals across that stretch secured a win over Queens Park Rangers and a draw against Swansea City.

The 6.2-priced midfielder hasn’t been blessed with a wealth of goalscoring opportunities – netting with his only two attempts – but has received more passes in the final third (40) than another other Everton midfielder in their last three matches. Lennon could also benefit from the return of Romelu Lukaku in Saturday’s clash against Burnley, having already accrued three assists despite his limited pitch time (915) this term.

The Toffees’ agreeable run-in provides further reason to invest in the pint-sized speedster. Four home ties (BUR, MUN, SUN, TOT) and winnable trips to Aston Villa and West Ham United cap of the Merseysiders’ campaign, offering hope that Roberto Martinez’s men can end the season with a flourish. If you are considering Lennon, though, it’s worth noting he is unable to face his parent club on the final day of the campaign due to the conditions of his loan deal.

James Ward-Prowse

Victor Wanyama’s two-match suspension – awarded for receiving his 10th yellow card of the season in Saints 2-0 victory over Hull City – could well pave the way for James Ward-Prowse to be handed a couple of starts. In the Kenyan’s absence, Steven Davis is likely to drop back into the double-pivot alongside Morgan Schneiderlin, freeing up the No. 10 berth for Ward-Prowse – a scenario that occurred last weekend after he replaced Wanyama at the break before netting a penalty in the 2-0 win over Hull.

Although Sadio Mane attempted to disobey team orders and take the spot-kick himself, head coach Ronald Koeman was adamant in his post-match presser that Ward-Prowse is next in line when first-choice Dusan Tadic is benched. Bearing in mind that Tadic has started three of the last nine, it’s fair to say the Serbian has fallen out of the first-team picture of late, boosting the youngster’s spot-kick prospects.

Furthermore, despite clocking just 1227 minutes and tallying 14 starts this campaign, Ward-Prowse has bagged an impressive eight assists in the FPL game. Indeed, at just 4.8, he’s proven a relatively consistent Fantasy option under Koeman, earning points in eight of his 20 appearances to date – with Sunderland, Leicester and Villa also in the next five, he could be a real under the radar option if he can cement a starting berth from this point onwards.

1,532 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Bapilot747
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 19 days ago

    Anyone punting on Falcao this week?

    1. Jafooli
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      😯

    2. Syd.
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      I wouldn't even p*ss on him

  2. WINNING!
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 19 days ago

    GTG?
    or use 1FT (1.8m)

    Fernández, Terry, Clyne, Ivanovic
    Boyd, Hazard, Silva
    Kane, Agüero, Murray

    Pantilimon (PVA, Ramsey, Cazorla)

    Any suggestions?

  3. Pat Bonner
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 19 days ago

    Baines or Murray for this week only?

    1. Gazza2000
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      Murray

    2. t4thomas
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      Baines!

  4. Old
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 19 days ago

    Appreciate your opinion to help my decision making on this... 🙂
    Does this look OK for this GW?

    I'm worried of Remy.
    Should I get Vardy in for -4 ?
    Will do 3-4 LIV/CHE next week for -8/-12
    No WC left.

    Davis
    Terry - Toby - Coleman
    Siggy - Silva - Hazard - Eriksen
    Aguero - *Rémy* - Kane

    Bench/out:
    (Heaton) - *Vertongen* - *PVA* - *Moses*

    3.1 ITB

    Cheers and good luck to all

    1. Pat Bonner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      Team looks decent, not worth a hit to take remy out

  5. Snapes on a Plane
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 19 days ago

    Whom to captain?
    A) Murray
    B) Augero
    C) Silva

    1. Pat Bonner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      B

      1. t4thomas
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 19 days ago

        Packie Bonner... What a goalie. Just saying!

  6. Every Dog Has Its Day
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 19 days ago

    Repost - So I think we can all come to a conclusion that the main three captaincy targets are Aguero, Murray and Kane.Correct?

    Looking at these three players it will be difficult for some to select a captain. Instead of focusing on their goal attempts and shots inside the box (this is also important) I have decided to look at the opposing defence over the last four game-weeks.

    West Ham (Sergio Aguero)
    Goals Conceded: 1.50
    Goal Attempts Conceded: 16.00
    Goal Attempts Conceded In The Box: 11.00
    Big Chances Conceded: 2.75

    West Brom (Glenn Murray)
    Goals Conceded: 2.50
    Goal Attempts Conceded: 19,00
    Goal Attempts Conceded In The Box: 10,25
    Big Chances Conceded: 2.25

    Newcastle (Kane)
    Goals Conceded: 2.00
    Goal Attempts Conceded: 13.00
    Goal Attempts Conceded In The Box: 7.75
    Big Chances Conceded: 2.00

    So the conclusion I can draw from theses statistics is that Kane is out of the equation and it's a draw between Murray and Aguero. So now let me compare the two players over the last 4 game-weeks.

    Sergio Aguero
    Minutes Played: 360
    Points Per Game: 4.50
    Goal Attempts: 6.25
    Shots Inside The Box: 3.75
    Shots On Target: 1.75
    Key Passes: 1.25

    Glenn Murray
    Minutes Played: 339
    Points Per Game: 9.75
    Goal Attempts: 2.25
    Shots Inside The Box: 2.25
    Shots On Target: 0.75
    Key Passes: 1.00

    It is quite clear that over the last 4 game-weeks the statistics clearly favours Aguero. He triples Murray's goal attempts which is a massive factor for me as that is what I most look for in choosing a captain. Along with that Murray only beats Aguero once In these statistics, he has a much higher PPG that is it I will be going for Aguero,

    The risky choice would be David Silva if you are looking for a differential.

    Good luck 🙂

    1. Emre Can Pie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      Agreed. Aguero is proven FPL gold.

    2. Manamongst
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      Ummm, no thanks....Citeh look out of sorts. Yeah of course they´re due...but this week...naaah.

    3. Notorious
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      Nice post. Murray's stats not as great as I thought. Aguerro (C) locked in, no brainer for me.

      1. KipperRSA
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 19 days ago

        Aguero locked in for me too

    4. Nice Baps
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      and surely any team playing CP this week will have worked on how to stop them scoring

  7. Bapilot747
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 19 days ago

    A) Falcao & Zaha
    B) Nugent & Lennon

  8. dillydally1982
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 19 days ago

    Baines or Kolarov worth bringing in for a 4 point hit? If not, will be playing Lescott or Vertonghen (if fit). Wildcarding next week.

    1. money face bandwagon
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      V seldom a defender is worth a hit if u are looking into 1 week. A hit for defender only works across a few games gt tt

      1. money face bandwagon
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 19 days ago

        Got that right a few times myself..but almost always fail for 1 week

    2. t4thomas
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      Not for a hit.

  9. t4thomas
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 19 days ago

    How does this lot look?

    Myhill
    Baines (v) | Alderweireld | Schlupp
    Hazard | Silva | Eriksen | Mane
    Aguero (c) | Kane | Murray

    Dawson | Naughton | Sanchez | Foster

    WC next week.

    1. Saniul
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      As good a XI that is possible for this week.
      Best of luck!

      1. t4thomas
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 19 days ago

        Thanks! I used my 2 FT to bring in Baines and Murray.

        1. Saniul
          • 11 Years
          9 years, 19 days ago

          Think one of Baines/Coleman will have a monster week. Hard to say who. 😉

          1. t4thomas
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 11 Years
            9 years, 19 days ago

            Yeah, agree. That's why armband is firmly on Aguero... Baines V for show!

          2. JUSTBLAZE
            • 11 Years
            9 years, 19 days ago

            Porque no los dos?
            Why not have both?

          3. copps
            • 12 Years
            9 years, 19 days ago

            I have this feeling too so am bringing in both for a -4. But i only have 1 playing def this week so its an easier decision tempting me for the hit

        2. Emre Can Pie
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          9 years, 19 days ago

          Brought in those 2 on UFPL for a one week punt.

  10. Saniul
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 19 days ago

    Krul,
    Bertrand, Alderweireld, Ivanovic,
    Silva, Hazard (c), Eriksen, Puncheon, Sigurdsson,
    Kane, Vardy.

    If Aguero does something, my week is over.

    1. Arrow Marked Drogba
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      captain silva

      1. Saniul
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 19 days ago

        I think I prefer Hazard. That's a United CB pairing of McNair and Smalling they are up against, and that too without the Blind/Carrick shield.

      2. t4thomas
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 19 days ago

        Agree with this.

  11. Arrow Marked Drogba
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 19 days ago

    Guys please help (dont judge willian punt

    A) Huth willian
    B) Cambiaso Terry

    already have ivan and hazard

    1. t4thomas
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      b.

    2. money face bandwagon
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      All are bad options...hard to choose which one is better out of them.

      1. Arrow Marked Drogba
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 19 days ago

        I Agree but both are replacing vertonghan and my 5th midfielder so doesnt ruin my side...

      2. Manamongst
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 19 days ago

        Swansea won´t mind Cambiasso like almost all the teams this season. He dials-in more and more each week....and Terry, well...there is no understanding how people like him or Fat Frank end up with ball for sitters.

    3. Manamongst
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      b

      broken clock week for them.

  12. Bobby
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 19 days ago

    Are many people here bothering to bring in a leicester defender next week? If so which one? Considering swapping out mee for one a week early!

    1. John Nerdelbaum
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      Morgan or Huth if I was bringing one in

    2. t4thomas
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      Schlupp.

    3. money face bandwagon
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      tbh if a lei gets u points its likely to be this gw rather than dgw

    4. Viper
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      I have Schlupp but would go for Huth if I had the choice now. Quite a few efforts on goal!

  13. JUSTBLAZE
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 19 days ago

    Why are people going Baines of Coleman? Coleman has been better of the two this season and it seemingly in better form.

    1. t4thomas
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      Set pieces and nostalgia.

    2. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      name value, I always said coleman was better

      1. money face bandwagon
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 19 days ago

        Hope u did go for baines for the gw8 period...

    3. money face bandwagon
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      Having baines in the team always feel good.

    4. Emre Can Pie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      Set-pieces.

  14. Gazza2000
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 19 days ago

    Fabianski
    Terry, Baines, Clyne
    Eriksen, Hazard, Silva, Bolasie
    Kane, Remy, Agüero (c)

    (Hamer, Boyd, Dawson, van Aanholt)

    I'm set, GL all

  15. Ballz
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 19 days ago

    Play Wollscheid and bench Mané? Will end up as 4-3-3 in such case.
    Just somtired of Mané getting 30mins and 1pointers.

    1. t4thomas
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      3-4-3 always.

      1. Ballz
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 19 days ago

        Thanks

  16. VRP
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 19 days ago

    Good to go?

    Davis
    Schlupp - Terry - Bertrand
    Fabregas - Hazard - Silva - Mane - Walters
    Aguero - Kane
    (Jones - Giroud - Bellerin)

  17. PlayPercentage
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 19 days ago

    Most of the Chelsea forum posters seem to think that Remy will start.
    In FPL terms, this probably means he won't even be on the bench...

  18. Viper
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 19 days ago

    In a bid to try & catch me, two of my rivals have sold Aguero in the past few weeks. It was going very well for them until last week. C'mon Aguero (c), Bury them once and for all!!

    1. t4thomas
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      THIS!

    2. Notorious
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      Pretty much the same situation for me in my most important ML. A hattrick will be nice 🙂

    3. KickIt
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      I'm with you on that!

  19. Ten Season Wonder
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 19 days ago

    C.Dawson to Baines for a hit this week?

    1. t4thomas
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      Treat yourself to a hit?

      1. Ten Season Wonder
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 19 days ago

        Thing is, I've got 2FTs yet I am never happy

        1. t4thomas
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          9 years, 19 days ago

          Rank?

  20. Big Bad Barry
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 19 days ago

    Oh man

    Having captain jitters!

    On Murray? Surely everyone will captain Aguero in my ML

    Got 1-1 feeling that good hopefully Silva notches? Wishful thinking eh

    1. t4thomas
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      Aguero all the way.

    2. Ballz
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      I am going Murray for that excact reason

    3. Emre Can Pie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      Chasing, captain Murray. Blocking, captain Aguero.

      1. Ballz
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 19 days ago

        Agree

    4. t4thomas
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      As a few people sold Aguero, I am hoping this helps rank too.

    5. Big Bad Barry
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      Murray with everything crossed!

    6. mad_beer ✅
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      i'm on Silva at the moment. Hold my hand!

  21. 5678
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 19 days ago

    Members, how do we get these stats as the raw numbers rather than "mins per"?: http://members.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/player-stats/midfielders/kpi-attacking/

  22. Saniul
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 19 days ago

    All I need is for Aguero to blank this week.
    Even if he notches next week, the damage will be minimal since not many will (c) him.

  23. bennyp
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 19 days ago

    Hey lads, any last minute changes?

    Panti - Foster (both out..)
    Bert - Terry - Ivan - (Pva - dawson)
    Hazard - Mane - Eriksen - Boyd - (caz)
    Aguero(c) - Kane - Vardy

    1ft and 2.4 itb.

    Plan is to get Mingolet/skertl + Hendo and Cout next week for a -4.

    Other ideas?

  24. You Must Be Jokin Ere
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 19 days ago

    Anyone else like me line up their subs in order of best to worst even though none of them have games?

    1. Jafooli
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      o/

      OCD anonymous 😛

  25. rdamjan
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 19 days ago

    Best two defenders for this week. Max 11,6. I have JT, Dann, Alderwield. Considering Cahill (because of DGW) and Stones. Right enough money for this combo. Any better options? Thank you

  26. wolves_simmo
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 19 days ago

    Whats the latest with Remy?

    Do we know if hes trained?

    Sorry if already been covered.

    1. andres
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      key question is how many mins will he get over the DGW

      1. wolves_simmo
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 19 days ago

        True....no idea what to do with him?

        -4 point hit for Vardy?
        keep

        already planned to take a -4 point hit next week for 2 Liverpool players!

  27. fijuhmon
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 19 days ago

    Krul, Pants
    Dawson, Rose, Azpi, Naughton, Clyne
    Sanchez, Hazard, Eriksen, Boyd, Hendo
    Giroud, Kane, Kun

    2 FT, 0 itb.

    Giroud & Sanchez -> Murray & Fabregas must be to right way to go?

  28. Jafooli
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 19 days ago

    An off form Aguero playing in an off form team is still the third highest scoring striker with 162pts.

    😉

    1. The Machine
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      hasnt been off form the whole season though

      1. Jafooli
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 19 days ago

        yeah true, two goals against the run of play last week says that he's back in form 😉

  29. The Machine
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 19 days ago

    Done for the week
    Krul

    Lescott terry huth

    Silva hazard boyd eriksen

    Kane aguero murray

    Hopefully a good score

  30. raz_sheikh
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 19 days ago

    Sturridge -> Aguero for a hit (can field 11 players and bench Studge)

    Yay/Nay?

    1. copps
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      Afuero is a must this week imo.esp for captain. Sturridge will be a problem for you in gw34 as well, he probably wont play both games. Do it

    2. Taffer
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      step away from the computer