Preamble

The Pre-Match Preamble – Gameweek 37

As a Fantasy manager, I set out to learn at least one lesson each season.

This has arrived late in this campaign, with Gameweek 36 confirming what I suspected: I’m a Fantasy Premier League (FPL) manager who needs to bank his transfers in order to take risks.

I’ve often used this article to bleat on about my inability to commit to gambling at the right time. I have a habit of sitting tight on failing assets, in fear that they will wake from slumber and outscore any potential replacements; it’s proved my major downfall.

However, I’ve been missing the obvious: the ability to bank transfers is a feature tailor-made to help me overcome such hesitancy.

Last weekend I took my second points hit in three Gameweeks – only my third of the season. It worked it’s magic – a 15-point profit was a handsome return, particularly when it also helped capture Alexis Sanchez for Arsenal’s double.

For once, I allowed myself to take a risk. The trio of departed assets – Branislav Ivanovic, Cesc Fabregas and Raheem Sterling – could have easily outscored their replacements. The difference this time was that, because I was able to make three trades, I could commit with far more comfort.

The logic of signing David Silva and Alexis Sanchez was clear – they had obvious potential to score heavily. Meanwhile, I just couldn’t see an impotent West Ham scoring past Ron Vlaar – and so it proved.

Because I was able to make three trades, at the cost of just four points, I was able to build a scenario that made the gamble palatable; I was able to convince myself. I only needed one of my three transfers to deliver in order to justify the hit. In the end, David Silva was that player.

The point hit can be a powerful weapon in FPL but caution is the safety catch. Banking transfers and combining a hit to allow yourself three trades can flick back the safety. It can allow you to create a package of transfers that’s just too convincing to ignore.

Whether such gambles come off is another matter. The strategy can’t guarantee results. However, it can help overcome hesitancy and, if that’s your failing, it’s a tactic worth exploring.

Of course, to some, this will be stating the obvious. However, not all Fantasy managers are the same. Some have the balls to throw points hits about and back their conviction.

This Fantasy manager needs the reassurance offered by the three-trade set-up. I only regret taking this long to realise it.

Mark Mark created the beast. He's now looking to tame it.

1,443 Comments Post a Comment
  1. faux_C
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Biggest GW I've ever had and I gambled...

    Heaton, Hazard, Vardy -> Given, Cazorla, Giroud (-4)

    Terrified now.

    1. faux_C
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      (Given was just for the cash).

    2. Weasel Boy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Faux pas

  2. Hibbo
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Mark said balls in his article.

    1. Syd.
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Shocking

      Ban him

    2. Az
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      :O

      #PottyMouth

  3. Punty
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    updated

  4. Delhidynamo
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Man United 1 Arsenal 1

    Caz scorer Ramsey volley assist

    1. Manamongst
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      United won´t get off that easily...

      I fear it will be embarrassment...

    2. Top 210 Club
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      0-0

    3. The Nuttman
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      3-1 Arsenal.

  5. Scoredelario
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Am I the only person who, when game updates, gets an inexplicable sinking feeling that I've captained the wrong player?

    Never happened either but I get it everytime 😯

    1. Heels_Over_Head
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Not today.

      I've captained Connor.

      I was bored. That's my excuse.

      1. Scoredelario
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        Now that's ballsy

      2. Wishdom Teeth
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        wish your captain do well

    2. Numb
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Never happened?

      1. Numb
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        I often seem to captain the wrong player!

  6. FPL Daniel
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Gilly pls see my reply on last page..

  7. Bolivian Seaman
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    I'm going to save a free transfer (I'm making the bad joke first)

    1. Az
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      LOL

  8. Jawain - 9th overall 2014/2…
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Top 5 Global Managers Armband Choices + Hit Values for #DGW37
    1st #Sanchez
    2nd #Cazorla 4
    3rd #Sanchez 4
    4th #Sanchez 4
    5th #Sanchez
    #FPL

    Courtesy of Matty Kaye ‏@EmKWhy

    1. Forza
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      That's a shame, looks like 3rd-5th are wimps!

      1. Takamba
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        OI!!!

        1. Forza
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 11 months ago

          You might as well have gambled, no chance of winning it now and you might not have a better chance.

          1. Takamba
            • 9 Years
            8 years, 11 months ago

            Let's see what the players around the Sanchez (c) do.

            I have Ramsey, Cazorla and Defoe

            He has Ozil, Giroud and Larsson.

            As well as a few others (I have Benteke), I think there is enough scope to close the gap without having to make captain gambles, which would be unwise in a week where Sanchez is an option.

            We'll see I guess...

            1. Manamongst
              • 13 Years
              8 years, 11 months ago

              Dawson???

              Are you here from the future?

            2. Manamongst
              • 13 Years
              8 years, 11 months ago

              btw fine logic.

      2. Jawain - 9th overall 2014/2…
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        No kahunas 🙂

    2. BigManBakar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Brilliant. 🙂

      1. Takamba
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        Glad you did that!

        1. BigManBakar
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          8 years, 11 months ago

          Time will tell. 🙂

          1. Takamba
            • 9 Years
            8 years, 11 months ago

            In all seriousness, brave gamble. I'm now in the odd situation of wanting Caz to succeed in order to close gap on first, but also flop because you have now captained him!

            1. BigManBakar
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 11 Years
              8 years, 11 months ago

              Haha, awkward scenario to be in. One goal would be perfect for you. 🙂

            2. Manamongst
              • 13 Years
              8 years, 11 months ago

              What is with you guys and WBA defenders this week?

              They could be in minus #´s...Ironic that you both have the same Stoke defender

              I think your captains won´t decide it, Sissoko goal or Defoe goal.

              1. Takamba
                • 9 Years
                8 years, 11 months ago

                I don't see Chelsea scoring. Might be gut feel.

                3 youngsters in the team, league wrapped up, away at a stingy West Brom defence. Could easily go 0-0, maybe 1-0 West Brom.

                1. Luis Suarez Ate My Homework
                  • 12 Years
                  8 years, 11 months ago

                  I'm hoping for a 1-0 WBA win!

                  1. Takamba
                    • 9 Years
                    8 years, 11 months ago

                    With a Dawson header?

                    That'd do nicely!

      2. Scoredelario
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        I want you to win it all for the valiance.

        But I'm a Sanchez captainer.

        Does not compute!

        1. BigManBakar
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          8 years, 11 months ago

          Thank you anyways! 🙂

          1. Kane Toads
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 11 Years
            8 years, 11 months ago

            Hi TFF. All the best. I hope you go all the way. I have Sanchez (C) but also have Caz - so all is good!

    3. Shifty
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Guess only one manager out of the chasing 4 wants to win this thing

      1. Takamba
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        People said that last week about Aguero. Look what happened.

        Has to be sensible differentials to win.

        1. Forza
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 11 months ago

          You're 30 points behind though, no room for caution with 2 GWs left.

          1. Jawain - 9th overall 2014/2…
            • 11 Years
            8 years, 11 months ago

            Thats what I think

          2. djenzio
            • 9 Years
            8 years, 11 months ago

            yeah but if you didn't captain Aguero last week then you would have no hope of winning, need to get differentials elsewhere.

            i do think this week going against Sanchez is not as risky as going against Aguero last week at home to QPR

            1. Takamba
              • 9 Years
              8 years, 11 months ago

              This was my point re: Aguero

              Maybe you're right about Sanchez....but the thing is, who would you go for?? Ramsey injury doubt, Caz hasn't exactly set the world alight with his scores recently, and Giroud's last 4 read 2, 2, 2, 2.

              Sanchez is the clear option.

              1. Jawain - 9th overall 2014/2…
                • 11 Years
                8 years, 11 months ago

                I agree that he is the clear option as Aguero was last week. I just don't think the gap is achievable with the teams as they are currently so therefore need the extra captaincy differential. I hope you prove me wrong and take a massive chunk out of the lead!

                1. Takamba
                  • 9 Years
                  8 years, 11 months ago

                  Thank you, appreciated!

                  In all honesty, maybe the gamble wasn't big enough. Maybe I've gone with what has got me in this position in the first place. Time will tell...

          3. Manamongst
            • 13 Years
            8 years, 11 months ago

            Just because you´re pushing the panic button doesn´t mean he has to...

        2. Jawain - 9th overall 2014/2…
          • 11 Years
          8 years, 11 months ago

          I don't have enough differentials to catch 40 without a captaincy gamble.

        3. Shifty
          • 10 Years
          8 years, 11 months ago

          So you're being sarcastic with TFF above then 🙂

          1. Takamba
            • 9 Years
            8 years, 11 months ago

            Haha, yes!

            Basically....I need Defoe to go absolutely nuts!

            1. Shifty
              • 10 Years
              8 years, 11 months ago

              Kun like performance incoming

              1. Takamba
                • 9 Years
                8 years, 11 months ago

                Would be amazing. I need really him to perform.

      2. Scoredelario
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        You could say the reason they're top 10 is partly because of a strict strategy of making the 'right' decision pointswise. Plenty of others probably flew down the ranks taking gambles.

        Agree though, they won't win. This was the time.

        1. Camp No No
          • 10 Years
          8 years, 11 months ago

          It's quite simple really. All the season, think only of how you would most likely make the most points. But in the very end, if you're chasing, make some less probable picks to make difference. You probably lose, but there's a chance to win. Going safe, there is none.

          That said, I personally didn't gamble with the captaincy. My team is and has ever been different enough without a captaincy gamble.

  9. Az
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    A: Schmeichel, Ivanovic, Skrtel, Vardy

    B: Mignolet, Alderweireld, Henderson, Kane

    Which would you rather?

    (one of these teams is 15 points ahead of the other..)

    1. Balitelivision
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      A by some distance...

  10. Jawain - 9th overall 2014/2…
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Top 50 Captaincy

    Sánchez : 88.00%,
    Cazorla : 4.00%,
    Giroud : 4.00%,
    Koscielny : 2.00%,
    Ramsey : 2.00%,

    TFF and myself with Cazorla captain

    1. Bolivian Seaman
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      You've based your whole captaincy on penalties

      1. Shifty
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        Reckon you should be a member

        1. Bolivian Seaman
          • 13 Years
          8 years, 11 months ago

          Does it say what his conversion rate from open play is?

          1. Camp No No
            • 10 Years
            8 years, 11 months ago

            I guess it does, yes. But that's easy to count without member tables, so I can reveal it here: 1/81in PL, 1/92 PL+CL.

            1. Camp No No
              • 10 Years
              8 years, 11 months ago

              Did not check from member stats, this is public information:
              http://www.whoscored.com/Players/4522

      2. Jawain - 9th overall 2014/2…
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        And that I would rather stand a chance at winning

        1. Bolivian Seaman
          • 13 Years
          8 years, 11 months ago

          Sorry didn't mean to so negative. Hope it goes well. Personally I think giroud will do the best

      3. Rupert The Horse
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        -1

      4. Manamongst
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        which Arsenal ain´t getting. If only they gave points for kicking balls into defenders...Santi would be the man!

    2. BigManBakar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Best of luck mate. High risk, high reward. Personally I don't think there is much of a difference in finishing 2nd or 10th, for example.

      1. Jawain - 9th overall 2014/2…
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        Exactly my philosophy

      2. Camp No No
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        Are there any rewards for other than the winner anyway?

        1. Jawain - 9th overall 2014/2…
          • 11 Years
          8 years, 11 months ago

          No

          1. Camp No No
            • 10 Years
            8 years, 11 months ago

            So, in that case, why try anything else but to win the whole game.

        2. BigManBakar
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          8 years, 11 months ago

          No

      3. Dr. Agabuse
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        Thank you. I'm tenth 🙂

        1. Camp No No
          • 10 Years
          8 years, 11 months ago

          Who are you captaining?

      4. Every Dog Has Its Day
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        Goodluck dude! 🙂

    3. FPL Daniel
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      And Sissoko

    4. Camp No No
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      I want to state my respect to the Kos captainer. However, I also wish him bad luck with it.

  11. Syd.
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    If Sunderland stay up it will have earned Advocat £2 million

    1. Manamongst
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      nice payday. Adam Johnson will go nuts.

  12. FPL Daniel
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Now or never.

    The Machine captained Ozil against mine Alexis. Comeeee ooon Alexis!!! Double brace please.

    P. S. I feel bad I didn't by Rambo at the end 🙁

    1. Pinky and Brain
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      "By" LOL

      1. Manamongst
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        You try learning another language that aint Polish/English not from youth.

  13. Federico
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Oh my! I'm second in my ML, 21 behind, and just checked the captaincy for my rivals 😀

    3rd place went for Aguero, as he needed a serious differential.
    1st place ALSO went Ageuro. I don't understand this, but this seriously gives me hopes as I went safe with Sanchez! 😀

    1. Az
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Now that is a nice position to be in!!

      1. Federico
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        Still a fair bit behind, but this gives me an unexpected life line! 😀

        1. Make United Great Again
          • 11 Years
          8 years, 11 months ago

          Wish I had this

  14. gers23
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Rival captained Defoe.Did not see that coming.

    1. In Like Flynn.
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      I doubt he did.

      1. gers23
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        He did lol. Against my Sanchez

  15. In Like Flynn.
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Come on Leicester, do a number on Sunderland.

    1. Syd.
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      You could be right

    2. Punty
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      0-0 please

    3. Al
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      1-0 Sunderland you've heard it here first!

      1. The Captain and Doneil
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        Hope so. PVA goal

        1. Al
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 11 months ago

          agreed!

        2. Camp No No
          • 10 Years
          8 years, 11 months ago

          PVA own goal would be sweet.

          1. The Captain and Doneil
            • 9 Years
            8 years, 11 months ago

            -1

    4. Manamongst
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Sunderland 4 - 3

      A. Johnson brace, Vardy goal-assist

  16. Syd.
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    I've looked at my team for next week

    I will be struggling to make a transfer

    1. In Like Flynn.
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      I have two in case of injuries.

  17. super zlatan
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Did jinswick captain Kos?

    1. Shifty
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      He usually sticks to his guns (or the guns we tell him to)

      1. super zlatan
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        Just seen his team. He did captain him. Hope it pays off

  18. Punty
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    My rival has O'shea.. is he likely to play? hopefully one 1point cameo..

    1. Forza
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      He should start

    2. Camp No No
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Hopefully a red card.

  19. Gamoriola of the Galaxy (Eu…
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    @Reedy if you're lurking somewhere: treble Leicester defence? 😯

    That could really swing our pivotal LAWR tie!

    1. super zlatan
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      I'm considering this for next week

  20. Pariße
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    My rival who's 50pts clear at the top did this:

    Hazard & Agüero > Sanchez (C) & Giroud

    Smart move to block me, but I would've definitely chosen other players.

  21. Gaztafari
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    I've got 11 home players for last week with 2 free transfers left.

  22. Pinky and Brain
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    0.1 short from doing Kane to Benteke FML

    1. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      He's old news now.

    2. Manamongst
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      I did Benteke to Defoe...consider yourself lucky. He´s done his little bit to get that contract, afraid we may not be seeing much pimpjuice from him for the duration.

  23. Syd.
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Has Charlie Boy been in a scrap

  24. Az
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Smalling & Giroud to Kolarov & Benteke (C)

    Now thats an exciting 2 transfers for the final GW!

    1. FPL Gossip Blogger
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Not worried about Benteke being potentially rested for the Cup final?

      1. Az
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        Nah, Sherwoods too proud to rest players and he'll want to keep the decent run going heading into it.

        imo of course, i could be totally wrong like I always am in GW 38!

  25. The Captain and Doneil
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Hull must win today. Counting on a N'Doye explosion and barrage of puns.

    1. Syd.
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Manager isn't exactly helping

      He has been everything except positive and this will ripple through to the players

      They look like a team that are already resigned to going down

  26. Az
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    AHHHH two weeks left!

    This is the first season where at this point ive actualy had something to play for. I am excited!

    1. Heels_Over_Head
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Congrats...

      Hope to join you next year.

    2. davies
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Same - shitting myself.

  27. davies
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    GW38 punts:

    Any ideas?

    1. Heels_Over_Head
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      (c) Austin

      1. davies
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        I'll pass. 😛

    2. Forza
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Cisse!

    3. Camp No No
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Wait for GW37 to pass first.

      1. davies
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        Yes, obviously. Just want some ideas, mate.

    4. Heels_Over_Head
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Newcastle players

    5. Syd.
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      There will be a few

    6. The Captain and Doneil
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Mahrez

    7. Bolivian Seaman
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Lukaku 🙂

    8. Dr Dream
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Cisse.

    9. Amateur Pundit Zan
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Too busy thinking about my gw1 squad next year. Sorry davies

      1. Dr Dream
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        Bale, Memphis, Gestede, Aguero, plus some others....Done...

    10. QPR expects... glory!
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Fellaini

    11. Pariße
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Ulloa

    12. The Nuttman
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Siem De Jong?

  28. Bolivian Seaman
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Mr No 1. has no hazard. Risky

    1. Bolivian Seaman
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      top 4 don't have him

  29. Top 210 Club
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Come on Aguero (c) get a brace and assist! Lets pray for a Sanchez 3, 2!

  30. Luis Suarez Ate My Homework
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    So:

    Schmeichel (Gilks)
    Skrtel Bellerin Azpil
    Cazorla Sanchez Hazard Hendo
    Kane Benteke Aguero

    Subs: Cambiasso Yoshida Baird

    15 points ahead in my ML and my nemesis has:

    K Davis (Myhill)
    Skrtel Wasiliewski Terry
    Coutinho Sanchez Fabregas Sterling
    Kane Giroud Aguero

    Subs: Cambiasso Dier Bruce

    It's tough to tell who's going to come out on top. 120 EUR riding on it.

    Let the games begin.