Our first members article of the week delves into the Gameweek 13 data this evening. We assess the downturn in form of a trio of premium midfielders, as Alexis Sanchez, Kevin De Bruyne and Eden Hazard’s displays arrive under our radar. Harry Kane and Roberto Firmino’s weekend showings are also analysed, whilst we take a look at Bournemouth’s midfield improvement since Eddie Howe switched tactics in Gameweek 11.
0.1%
According to African Football Experts, 100% LVG d Vardy to Man U,, GGMU
That's why they're in Africa. Vardy is this seasons 1 hit wonder.
Back 3 this week Cathcart VVD Rose
Benching Rojo
GTG?
I'd bench VvD for Rojo, imo.
Goal threat
Play Rojo and Mahrez Vardy?
Could go risky and bench Mahrez Vardy and play VVD Rojo Bolasie in a 442I don't think I'd go to that length tbh, but maybe diversifying by placing your eggs in both the ManU defense & Leicester attack could be a good way to spread the risk. The riskiest notion I'd consider would be benching only one of Vardy/Mahrez in favor of Bolasie considering his delicious attacking fixture vs the team with one of, if not the worst underlying stats in defense (NEW).
At the moment I've benched Mahrez first time since owned him GW3 to start Bolasie
I see low score maybe 1-1 1-0 either way and Vardy gonna be on penalties for his record chances
Still 0 CS from my GKs after 13 GW, absolutely nightmare.
Gutted. I had the rub of the green with Myhill, but out of luck since his patch ended
Who are your GK's? Myhill has an alright fixture (whu) this week, after that two tough bouts vs (TOT, liv). They then tidy up considerably after come GW17 with (BOU, swa, NEW, STO, che, sot, AVL, SWA, new, eve, CPL), & it isn't until GW28 that you start seeing red. That's only two or three (you could argue for Chelsea) resilient attacks they face in that run of 11 games. Considering Pulis' team are notorious flat track bullies in defense, that looks like a goldmine of CS's imo.
McCarthy + Hess gw 1,2
Guzan + McCarthy gw 3-10
Lloris + McCarthy gw 11 - now
what to do now?dont like DDG as I got Smalling
Yeah that'd be a pretty expensive option, if you have Lloris, I'd stick for sure. One of the best defenses in the league right now with great fixtures.
they have been solid whole games, but suddenly conceded 1 goal/game from personal error, very annoying
Stick with Lloris for now I'd say
would you keep a double brom defence for this perioud?
I'd consider it, yes. Pulis' defense is very consistent vs weak attacks.
but Foster, Lindegaard still there
For now there's been nothing to point towards Myhill being under threat has there? He's still the #1 choice for all we know.
1 from me. Lol @ you.
Is playing-
Richards vs WAT
over
Bertrand vs mci
Correct or Mental?
Correct.
thanks
Correct. Who are the other 2 DEFs that you're intent on playing?
Kolorov vs SOT
Moreno vs SWA
and thanksNo prob! Solid-looking DEF for the upcoming GW
Neither really, though I'd play Bertrand. Neither will keep a CS imo. Bertrand will at least give you a chance of attacking points
Mental
Ritchie, Mahrez, Depay or Lallana?
Barkley is an option but I do not like him in FPL.
Can I interest you in his feisty spanish teammate Deulofeu
Go on then... 😉
Mahrez from those. Whats your budget?
7.9
As above, Delofou looks good
A punt on Willian maybe?Could do, thanks.
Mahrez easily
Thanks. 🙂
Mahrez right now, keep an eye on Henderson when he comes back.
Thanks.
Pick 2 from KDB, Ozil, Coutinho from next gw (money no issue)
Kolarov is my 4th def, if I keep KDB then sell Kolarov so money is not big issue
Im still sticking, KDB with Ozil
Ozil and Coutinho
KDB and Ozil
KDB & Ozil
Ozil and Coutinho
1st two
Ozil & Coutinho (if fit)
Does anybody know how to get the most of Paul Riley's XG maps?
https://public.tableau.com/profile/paul.riley#!/vizhome/PremierLeague201516xGMap/PremierLeague201516ShotonTargetxGDashboard
1) can you see players sorted by XG scores?
2) When you select a player what does their XG rank mean? (for eg: Kane's is 125)
3) What else can we be learning from these?
(Yes, I have gone through his explanation of the model - just wondering how to use the maps properly!)1. You can't do it on that chart in particular I'm pretty sure, but he does update it weekly on his twitter with an image ranking them in order.
2. The rank takes into account each players shots value & the chance of it going in (higher the number, the better), off that the model then determines who has the most expected goal value in total.
3. Where teams are shooting from (is there an emphasis on a particular flank?). Coutinho takes a lot of shots, but is Coutinho taking quality chances? Where have teams been conceding shots from? Before the Bournemouth game - is Kane under performing considering all the quality chances he's taking are not producing goals (very low xG efficiency). Are certain teams & players taking very poor quality chances & converting from them, could they be over-performing? etc...
Was about to say this 👿
You were fasterWizardy 😯 How u do dis?
Check the links below the chart
Cheers.
Thank you, guys. Very helpful!
Hi All,
Is it worth a hit to shift either Mane or YYT for Ozil this GW?
Also, play Van Dijk (mci), Francis (EVE) or Huth (MUN) this GW?
Butland
Van Dijk Kolarov Clyne
YYT Sanchez Mahrez Mane
Kane Lukaku Vardy
McCarthy Huth Francis Surman
Cheers!Play VVD.
I'd keep Mane. Possibly get rid of Yaya for OzilThanks Pochecinno.
Had VvD locked in - appreciate the confirmation.
Undecided as to whether or not a hit is worth it to bring in Ozil for either Mane or YYT.Maybe not a hit, but out of Mane and Yaya, I'd get rid of Yaya.
Prob not worth a hit but do shift Mane when you can
Prob VVDCheers SAB.
If I hold Mane this week - I'll keep him the following week with Southampton at home to Villa.Fair enough. Makes sense for that fixture. Do look objectively at Mane, before you know it hes been in your team for 8 weeks or so scoring 2's and 3's because you are waiting for the next explosion.
Best defender for 4-4.5?
Ward? Souare? Wollscheid? Simpson? Any others?Wollscheid or Ake
Have Gomes already and don't want to double up on Watford defense
Makes sense. Wollscheid then, I'd say
Thanks 😀
Ha, you are really grappling this one aren't you? 🙂
I'd probably go Souare or Cathcart (preferring him to Ake just because of guaranteed pitch time).
Are you swaying in any direction yet?I am haha. I'm not sure whether it's worth using the FT lol
Also swaying to either Ward or Wollscheid really
Muniesa might displace Wollscheid
Ward for the extra goal threat
Thanks
nyyyyyyyom
0.1 over what I want to spend 😉
myhill or hennesey this weekend?
Hen
cheers poch
Hello DZ!
Having a really shitty day, as my girlfriend of 3 years just broke up with me. Looking for some FPL advice to get my mind of things.
Have 2 FT and want to get in Aguero
A) Pelle, KDB, Kolarov -> Kun, Coutinho, Moreno
B) Pelle, KDB, Kolarov -> Kun, Firmino, Dann (or other 5.3 or less)A
A look the better option. Liverpool have great fixtures.
Whats the rest of you're team look like?Butland, Ruddy
Kola VVD Belle, Richards Evans
Sanchez KDB Özil Mahrez, WW
Lukaku Pelle Vardy
Can you do Pelle to Kane for free ?
Yes, have 1.8 ITB. You don't want Kun over Kane though?
Kane over Kun. Form+Fixtures
I have aguero in my team, but Kane is an equally good option. especially as in your case it avoids selling kdb and taking a hit.
Would you use the other FT on Moreno/Toby or save?
Save.
Your defence is one of the better ones I've seen here, and 2 FTs always come in handy.
Sell Kolarov once he gets benched, not before that.
Sorry to hear that mate. There'll be better days though eh?
I'd go B because there is a good chance Cout misses SWA (you could always wait for Klopp and see if gives and clarity on this point tho) and I would choose a Spurs defender. I just don't trust Pool to keep clean sheets, virtually regardless of who they playThanks mate, it will, just hard to imagine right now.
That's very true and it's the only reason why I haven't pulled the trigger yet. Dier the best option for > 5.4?Yeah been there, albeit many years ago. Spend plenty of time with some good mates and try to give her a wide-berth.
I'd probably be inclined to go Alder or Rose. Walker is a cheap option. All good options really. Dier a good set piece threat although I haven't see a lot of evidence lately.That's what I want to do, but staying in Hong Kong on an internship for 4 weeks, actually the worst time to do it.
Oh, kind of messed that up, meant to write 5.3 or less actually. Really want Alder, but I'm 0.1 shortMate, you're an 80 minute flight away from the Philippines. I lived there for 2 years. The flights are about 40/50 dollars return if you're lucky and the women are priceless 🙂 It'll soon help you forget, have a good weekend. You can go solo and be busy all weekend 😀
Ok. Well there's nothing you can about that. Don't sit in a hotel room for too long. Stay busy and exercise for the endorphins. You'll sleep better too.
That's good advice, than. Also, I guess this is a good time as ever to get a little ripped
Sorry for your shitty news mate.
A looks good to me.
Personally i have been burnt by Lpool mids so not personally promoting them but with form and fixtures im prob being stupid, cant think of a reason not to go Cout, if hes fit of course.Thanks man, means a lot.
Had Henderson at the point when he stopped to deliver last year, so I'm a bit hessitantPatronizing old man advice-
- Keep your dignity, no begging and pleading
- Dont Facebook stalk
- Try and keep it amicable, no insults
- No messages at random times saying i miss you etc.
- Get out with mates, play football, cycle, go the gym, be busy
Done all of this when younger and when you look back its not a good feelingAnd from a pragmatic point of view, not abiding by points 1,2,4 will mean she definitely misses you less.
Relevant in case you are interested in the possibility of rekindling this one day. Get on with your sh!t and do not press 'send' on anything needy.
What will be will be.
Women, in general, have a way of closing off completing and shutting you out totally. Don't take it personally*1,3,4
My girlfriend broke up with me this summer. I have learned from earlier mistakes, so I pretended to take it without a problem (even do I didn't). Just said to her that I think it was the right thing to do, and so on.
Kept my self from contacting her by doing stuff with my friends.
She contacted me a couple of times, but I just kept it cool and talked to her like a friend.
After two month she wanted me back, and said she missed me and all that. By that time I was over her, and said to her that we should be just friends.
Some good advices up here.But what helps the most (IMO) is to be with other girls. Often it feels like you miss the girlfriend, but really you miss A girlfriend.
You are not used to being alone. So in many cases you miss having a girlfriend more than you miss you're actual girlfriend.
If that make sense. Hard for me to explain in english.
Thanks mate, that is really helpful. Never been in this position before. Have a mate coming to visit for the weekend, really looking forward to it
Sab's advice is good, however, you will still understandably feel terrible and be absolutely overcome occasionally with the desire to do any or all of his first four When you do, say to yourself, just hold of until [tomorrow morning/ after lunch/ some other period that gives you time to reflect]. You'll almost certainly feel differently then.
Yep it might sound patronising but *CRINGE* it is true. Brought back some memories of me as a late teen!
Too soon to lose KDB/Kolarov? You could try to get Kane and Moreno in there and worry about Aguero another day. That's just my thoughts.
Think Kola will be rotated soon and have honestly lost faith in KDB. I am very worried about Kane though, might just turn to him instead
When the time is right you could do KDB + Vardy -> Aguero + Lanzini/6.0m. KDB would provide City cover in the meantime.
That is a solid suggestion, thanks. You don't think that will leave me with a weak midfield including Mahrez, Lanzini/6 and WW?
It does seems weak..hmm. That's the sacrifice for having a strong attack though. Maybe the situation will be clearer in a couple of weeks time.
A
Arsenl totally smashed Zagreb 😯
yeah now that we control our own destiny (literally) hopefully we won't crew up
Sanchez looking good! Need him to start bringing me some pts. Most of my rivals have changed him to Ozil to free up cash for Agureo.
They tried to double team Sanchez and failed miserably. Sigali was worse than useless trying to close him down. He left acres of space down the middle in doing so.
😳 another reply fail. To EH this time.
I cant even count Sanchez' pen box touches......SO MANY!!!
Hi guys, I don't suppose anyone has to hand easily what are the expected DGW's and how many there will be this season?
27, 30, 34, 37
league cup final, FA Cup R5, FA Cup QF, FA Cup SF reschedsWow, 4! Thank you. This will help loads. The FPL competition I'm in is difficult but winnable with the right tactics. It currently has 4 different ways to win (league, 2 x cup and a tiered league system).
Thanks Mr. Balders! And no reply fail 🙂http://www.fantasy-challenge.co.uk if anybody is interested. Can only enter pre season and only if there are spaces, usually people have to drop out and there is a waiting list. This season was the first in ages there was a few empty spaces. I'd recommend it for the serious fpl geeks amongst you!
I'm not the organizer, just an enthusiast.Got a contact address for them? I'm interested!
It's on the website, home page near the bottom I think. You'll have to wait for next season though. In a nutshell it costs 30 quid to enter but with 4 different games you can will 100 on each game. Even finishing 5th in your mini league gets you your money back and there are only max of 20 in the mini league. That's a 1 in 4 chance of getting your cash back. Browse the site, all pay outs and explanations are on there. It's been running for years. If you're lucky enough to get promoted into the premier league they have their own cup for the top 8 and basically entry into that cup gets you 30 quid back just for playing in it. It makes it much more fun but harder as you might be player 3 different head to head games in one week, all with cash riding on it.
I'm currently 240k position and still 2nd in my mini league, so you don't have to be top 5k or 10k finisher to get money back.Thanks 🙂 I've bookmarked it for next season.
Baring in mind I own Lukaku already, which would you do?
A: Wijnaldum ---> Barkley/Deulofeu
B: Save FT. Play one of Ayew/Wijnaldum
Or do you prefer any other £7m priced mids?A with Deu, assuming you have Mahrez of course
ofc
B. Play Ayew
If you got Wijnaldum and not playing it anymore, its time to sell. Barkley/Deulofeu is OK.
I'll play Wijnaldum over Ayew purely looking at who the teams up againts. Liverpool is full of confidence and Crystal Palace just lost.I have used him a fair bit but he hasnt got much of late so it is probably time to sell
ohh Willian at £6.9 with those fixtures...
Willian also becoming an option?
New crowd.
Who do you guys think I should captain? Kane, Lukaku or Ozil? If you could provide a reason, that would be great, thanks!Kane
He loves derbies especially at the LaneKane
remember last season
Think Lukaku is a safer bet this week. Chelsea are on the up
Lukaku
Lukaku has the slight edge.
Playing Bournemouth with bad def record atm, even Swansea who finding it hard to score can get two. The guy is on fire.
Kane demolished Chelsea last year, dont think Mourinho will forget that.
Ozil is the punt.Sanchez
Thanks all!
Nabil's point about his performance last year vs Chelsea edges it for me! 🙂
If Mourinho plays Baba Rahman against Spurs , we will lose....was awful yesterday
You get the impression his parents were hippies who said 'We'll let him name himself' Unfortunately like every baby his first words were baba baba baba baba
You'll lose anyway 😉
1 game too late Alexis, 1 game too late.. 2 goals and assists in PL too now man. I am gave you the trust previous game I am giving you again. MOreeeee we need moreeee 😛
Yep that performance has persuaded me to captain him. He is a confidence player after all.
What do people think about Willian at £6.9 for Chelsea cover for these coming great fixtures...
Xmas incoming so it is probably the worst time to buy him. Surely a rotation risk when congestion piles up
Only scores from FK's
They're still goals after all
Fair point haha
LOL @ sanchez sellers - carry on please
Want to see a guy dropped in price and rise again in the same week.
Hey Bearhug, Team Malaysia win or lose last week?
Lost, we scored a high 321 but Tahiti's Harry Kanes killed us.
Ouch. Unlucky to lose with such a high score. Better luck/matchup next week
Malaysia 321 v 338 Tahiti, highest scoring match.
🙁 wanna cry
6 more games to go, we're the 14th highest score, and highest point loser. We will come good.
It's the luck of the draw when it comes to H2H. We lost too, so bring on Round 2!
Yea, it was unlucky.
Welcome to BPL, Sanchez, Here we have Tony Pulis.
Yes please!
A bit gutted he did so well last night because, unlike a those shipping, I was (and am) considering a -4 to get him in this week.
For a player who is explosive and scores goals in bunches those fixtures are so hard to ignore.
be sure to rub our noses in it when you are inevitably proven right
Lol@ Sanchez owners who think he's essential. 9 BLANKS in 13 games! 6 goals 1 assist ALL YEAR. take away the 5 goals in 2 games and his season has been a total failure. FACT.
Oh and btw...I own him for some stupid reason. Not for long though...
you should sell him this gameweek
I would...but move has already been made thanks to pelle
you would sell Sanchez ahead of Norwich, Sunderland and Aston Villa?
Sell him for a hit then
Give him an offer he can't refuse.
"Take away the 5 goals in 2 games".
No.1 goal and 1 assist in 11.
Do you apply the same 'logic' to Aguero?
haha I love your new username
😀
Aguero had 1 goal and 1 assist in 7.
what are you on about - you only see what you see, like them horses with visors.
Many better, more consistent Mids
Think I am good to go this week
Gk Butland
Toby Bellerin Souare
Sanchez (VC)Marhez Ozil Coutinho
Aguero (C) Vardy Kane
Subs Kompany Cattermole Bennet
Any changers ?Very solid. Would put the armband on Sanchez though
thanks and may change before then only on him for now 🙂
I got Lukaku instead of Kun this week. Soton one of most miserly defence in league
Not a bad shout and yea true I only got aguero because he price was going to go up so got him in time and I had Costa and he was not very good for me at all
Which one to bench?
Myhill (Whu) or Gomes (Avl)No difference lol... I'd go Villa as being less likely to score even though Hammers are without Payet so bench Myhill
Anyone think it's worth getting rid of kompany for anyone else if so who for and why?
If you want an injury free def with good upcoming fixtures, Toby is a good shout.
Thanks will have a look
Hey guys. Any changes needed?
Myhill
Bellerin-Kolarov-Moreno (Ward, VVD)
Mahrez-Ozil-Sanchez-KDB (Deuofeu)
Lukaku-Kane-Vardy
1FT
Best Pelle replacement?
Have Lukaku and Vardy.
2FTs and 5.5m in the bank.
A. Kane
B. Aguero
C. Anyone else?
Current front 8,
Alexis Ozil Mane Barkley Tettey
Lukaku Pelle Vardy
Thanks.Aguero.
Cheers.
2FTs & 5.5m to splash - sitting pretty! Kun has to come in!
Cheers. Hope he gets rested tonight.
Who should I start between van Dijk(mci) and Dawson(whu)?
Dawson.
Dawson. WHU seem a bit toothless without Payet.
Dawson
Thanks guys
Dawson's Creek to spice things up a bit.
Gday all. What to do here?
Sanchez, Ozil, sterling, Mahrez (mane)
Kane, vardy, ighalo
a) vardy > lukaku
B) ighalo + sterling/mane > lukaku + 8.1m/7.1m (-4)
C) sterling / mane > coutinho/ firmino
D) save ft
ThanksI'd think about ditching Mane.
You saved the cash and FTs definitely for Aguero. Not having Kane just scares you 🙂
Zzzz reply failed to Edenoftheeast.
WELCOME TO THE SHOW
time for 16-0!
http://i.imgur.com/qif7Lbg.pngohh boy I'm not getting sleep tonight!
time for NBA history!
Stoked, on a different wavelength right now.
Oh & Mutumbo!!
Think I just gave myself more of a benching headache...
Who to play?
A) Smalling (lei)
B) Ward (NEW)
C) Dawson (whu)
D) Moreno (SWA)
E) Rose (CHE)
ABD
Was my thinking. Thanks
8 years, 5 months agoChance of Vardy off to Real Madrid in January?