Spot the Differential

Spot the Differential – Gameweek 25

Our usual early Saturday scour for overlooked Fantasy options comes around once again this morning. Southampton and Newcastle’s new boys are joined by Swansea’s resurgent playmaker as all three prepare for a home fixture this weekend.

Charlie Austin

Having shaken off a knock that sidelined him for Southampton’s stalemate at the Emirates, Charlie Austin (7.0) is in contention for a starting berth ahead of West Ham United’s visit. Even in the event that the English marksman has to settle for a cameo role in the second half, he showcased his capacity to deliver attacking returns in reduced minutes against Manchester United, emerging from the bench at the 79-minute mark to seal a late winner.

In appreciation of Romelu Lukaku’s form, fitness and Gameweek 27 blank, many of the Belgian’s 42% ownership are scouring the market for a replacement forward. Jamie Vardy – as the second-most transferred-in player this week – represents the most popular choice because of his recent renaissance (three goals in two starts), yet, having netted 18 times for relegated QPR last term, Austin’s goal scoring pedigree suggests he could prove a viable alternative.

In terms of Austin’s immediate prospects, West Ham are in the midst of an eye-catching purple patch (one loss since Gameweek 14), but Ronald Koeman’s side will draw confidence from the Irons’ less-than-stellar stats away from the Boleyn Ground: they rank third for shots inside the box conceded (127) in road match-ups, while only five sides have conceded more big chances (20).

Gylfi Sigurdsson

The first 19 Gameweeks of the season yielded just two goals and one assist for Gylfi Sigurdsson (7.0), belying the attacking productivity (seven goals, 10 assists) that saw him emerge as a prime mid-priced asset last term. In the Swans’ last five outings, however, the Iceland international has re-established himself as a viable option on the Fantasy market, notching a pair of penalties and two goals from open play.

Although Sigurdsson’s assignment to dead-ball duties comprises a large part of his appeal, his underlying statistics across the previous four Gameweeks illustrate the depth to his game: he ranked in the top 10 among midfielders for attempts (10), while only Christian Eriksen managed more shots on target (eight) than the ex-Spurs playmaker (six).

Sigurdsson’s assist potential (one this campaign) has been limited by the pitiable form of Swansea’s forward contingent, so Alberto Paloschi’s impressive 45-minute debut stint against West Brom in midweek – in which he recorded three shots inside the box and struck the woodwork – portends an upturn in that regard. Certainly, both men will fancy their chances this Saturday as Francesco Guidolin’s unit prepare to host a Crystal Palace outfit that places second for goals conceded (10) since Gameweek 21 and rolls up to the Liberty on the back of a five-match losing streak.

Andros Townsend

Andros Townsend (5.8) was largely isolated during his debut for Newcastle United in a 3-0 loss to Everton, mustering just 59 touches by virtue of the Toffees’ territorial dominance. However, with West Bromwich Albion – a team that averages the lowest percentage of possession (39.3%) throughout the season – next on the Magpies’ agenda, the former Tottenham Hotspur winger should be afforded greater license to express himself this weekend.

The fact that Newcastle are playing host to the Baggies – who have managed just two clean sheets in 14 outings and are without Jonny Evans – is extremely pertinent, given that they’ve chalked up more than three times as many goals in home matches (19) than road fixtures (six). Indeed, the Tynesiders tasted defeat in just one of their last five match-ups at St James’ Park.

Newcastle’s blank at Goodison Park doesn’t do justice to their underlying stats over the last four Gameweeks – McClaren’s men ranked joint-fourth for attempts (55), fourth for shots inside the box (36) and second for shots on target (21). Given that Townsend’s has averaged an effort every 34.8 minutes this term, his eye for goal could prove decisive as the Magpies attempt to climb out of the bottom three.

1,366 Comments Post a Comment
  1. ameenkw
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Butland / Hennessey
    Bellerin / Dawson / Simpson / Souare / Ake
    Ozil / Payet / Mahrez / Alli / Stanislas
    Aguero / Lukaku / Kane
    1 FT & 2.5 ITB

    I'm planning Ozil -> Sanchez .. yay or nay?

    1. Ibralicious
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Deffo yay

    2. d1sable
      • Has Moderation Rights
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Preference.

      Lottery who scores more points at this stage I feel.

      I would but no guarantees

    3. V-2 Schneiderlin
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Yes I've just done the same move

    4. Takedog1
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      on a free hell yeaaaa

  2. DrunkPhilosophy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Butland McCarthy
    Dawson Williams Walker Francis Moreno
    Ozil Payet Alli Mahrez Arnatovic
    Lukaku Kane Aguero
    2 FT, 2.0 itb

    Thinking to do the boring Dawson --> VD and save the other

    What do you guys think?

    1. Birds of Prey
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      save

  3. Ando
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Hey guys, thinking of using my WC this week to shake things up, feel as though my squad is stagnating. Any feedback is appreciated!

    Forster / (Hennessey)

    Ivanovic / VvD / Jagielka / (Wimmer / Simpson)

    Sanchez / Firmino / Payet / Alli / Sanchez / (Lingard)

    Aguero / Kane / Vardy

    The only players I have kept from my original squad is: Payet, Alli, Aguero & Kane.

    1. Ibralicious
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I would personally upgrade Lingard to atleast Mahrez and in change downgrade Ivanovic and another defender, or even Sanchez Ozil if required. But I also have to play my bench boost chip which influences that decision so its ur call really.

      1. Ando
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Ok thanks mate

  4. Ibralicious
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Who to bench between Barkley, Payet and Vardy? Surely Vardy with the toughest fixture?

    1. gwitbrock
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Payet

    2. Mahesh_Kumar
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Vardy

  5. JimmyCoop
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Start Wolly or Ward?

  6. Ando
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Woops Sanchez x2 >.

  7. TorresMagic™
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Ideas for this lot?

    de Gea Hennessey
    Ward Bellerín Moreno Francis Simpson
    Payet Alli Mahrez Stanislas Özil
    Lukaku Kane Agüero

    2 FT, £4.5m in the bank.

    Which would you do?

    a) Payet + Stan > Antonio + Sanchez
    b) Ward > Sot/Swa/other def
    c) Payet/Mahrez > Sanchez, would get the player back GW27 at latest.
    d) something else

    Cheers In advance.

    1. d1sable
      • Has Moderation Rights
      8 years, 2 months ago

      B and get saints def - helps for blank

      1. TorresMagic™
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Seems the orthodox choice.

    2. Sid07
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      B

    3. Ziro Becomes One
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      A for me out of those choices. Gives you a (c) option and upgrades your 5th mid.

    4. Concrete
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      A could work but I was being logical B to Cresswell, VvD

    5. Eden Hazardous
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      B with VVD or Azpi

    6. ameenkw
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      What about Ozil -> Sanchez & keep an FT?

      1. TorresMagic™
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        It's an option. Ozil was in the middle of everything last week.

    7. Zizoulicious
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Moreno or Ward to a chelsea or So'ton defender

      Save the other ft, or go payet -> Sanchez, I probably would

    8. The Raging Bull
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      B only

      Francis or Ward > Fonte/Williams/Azpi

      Roll the other FT

    9. HVT
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      B > VVD.

    10. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Cheers all, won't ask again.

    11. Birds of Prey
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      D Luk> Giroud

      1. TorresMagic™
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Giroud kills me if I pick him.

    12. boredjames
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I like A. Not sure Payet is so essential now he is playing out wide. Antonio covers him and you use the saved cash well on Sanchez.

      1. TorresMagic™
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Cheers BoredJames, who would you bench?

        1. boredjames
          • 11 Years
          8 years, 2 months ago

          Antonio for this week. Can't see West Ham getting much at Saints.

          1. TorresMagic™
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • Has Moderation Rights
            • 14 Years
            8 years, 2 months ago

            Payet to Sanchez is roughly the same then 😀

            1. boredjames
              • 11 Years
              8 years, 2 months ago

              Oh yeah, sorry! Didn't realise you had the cash to do it in one move. Def save the transfer and do it in one.

              1. TorresMagic™
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • Has Moderation Rights
                • 14 Years
                8 years, 2 months ago

                Thanks for replying again.

    13. sleecc
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      B to Saint or Chelsea defender.

  8. Sid07
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Ozil to
    1) sanchez
    2) save

    1. Lyonnais
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      2

  9. The Raging Bull
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Has Balders posted a recent Bonus spreadsheet?

  10. Takamba
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Tempted to captain Polaschi now....

  11. KeepCalm
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    I'll leave it to you guys, i cant decide this...I am chasing btw

    Captain
    A. Aguero (LEI)
    B. Kane (WAT)
    C. Sanchez (bou)
    D. Ozil ((bou)

    1. ameenkw
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      not Ozil ..

    2. waldo666
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      A

    3. Concrete
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      B if chasing

    4. You've got red on you.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Same dilemma...I am on C but any could be in the points

    5. Birds of Prey
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      C if chasing

    6. Stinglikeabee
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I have exactly the same problem. Currently on kane as spurs are playing well and scoring. City I don't trust and it could be tight against Leicester. Arsenal haven't been scoring goals but surely will explode any time soon. Sanchez is the player I'm considering changing to, this reminds of leicester away when he scored a hatrick.

    7. KeepCalm
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      see, if you guys arent helping. who do i listen to

      i am just gona make Arnie the captain and be done with it

    8. V-2 Schneiderlin
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Kane

  12. Krul Runnings
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Feel as though by avoiding Sanchez, Firmino etc today that I'm very much playing the GW30 long game. ML rivals might outscore me over these next two weeks but in GW30 I can see them only having 4/5 players whilst I will get 11 out.

    If they WC to get 11 players they will end up with a team similar to mine given the lack of fixtures. Then I will play my WC to take adv of the DGWs & hopefully crush them.

    Fingers crossed

    1. You've got red on you.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Yes but how much more will they get by fielding quality players, than the extra 2 points per extra player you have in GW 30?

    2. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Feel the same. Could finish well ahead even after hits in GW30

  13. For Fuchs Sake
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Stick with this team now it looks like Lukaku will play?

    Butland
    Toby Dawson Moreno
    Sanchez Payet Alli Mahrez
    Kane Kun(c) Luk

    Subs: Henn, Huth, Ward, Watson

    Thanks!

  14. denial
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Start payet or mahrez?

    Already playing vardy

  15. BOOM XHAKALACA
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Couldn't decide between Kane and Kun, so I went Firmino!

    1. GalacticosFC
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Same here, let's hope it pays off!

    2. Zizoulicious
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Not a bad choice either!

  16. le flem
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    right. have 2ft, 3.8 itb. need to make a transfer

    choices are
    a. lukaku to vardy
    b. richard to ivanovic
    c. watson to antonio
    d. ozil to sanchez
    e. richards to virgil van dijke

    appreciated if you could comment. thanks in advance.

    1. Concrete
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      B or E

    2. waldo666
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      B

    3. boredjames
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      E. Sound move that won't bite you like all the others could.

      1. le flem
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        it seems richards has to go. thanks.

    4. Birds of Prey
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      A-E though I prefer Gorud to Vardy

  17. Concrete
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    GtG?

    Butland
    Azpi Toby Daniels
    Payet Ozil Alli Sanchez
    Vardy Aguero (c) Kane

    Henn Cresswell Mahrez Simpson.

    1. WINNING!
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Bench Payet

      1. Concrete
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        May do...thanks

    2. V-2 Schneiderlin
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I'd worry about having both Ozil and Sanchez over the medium term but probably fine this week

      1. Concrete
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Cheers... I think I'll dg Ozil next week

  18. Lyonnais
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Bench one:

    Bellerin, Payet, Mahrez

    1. Mahesh_Kumar
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Mahrez

    2. WINNING!
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Payet

    3. Lyonnais
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      thanks all !

    4. Stinglikeabee
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Payet

    5. Concrete
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Mahrez

    6. Birds of Prey
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Payet

    7. V-2 Schneiderlin
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Bellerin - go for attack always imo

  19. You've got red on you.
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    G2G? Who to captain though...having an awful season, worth putting it on Sanchez?

    ------------------Butland--------------

    --------VVD - Monreal - Azpi-------

    Sanchez - Payet - Mahrez - Ozil

    -----Aguero - Kane - Ighalo--------

    Subs: Elliot - Daniels - Simpson - Lingard

    1. Concrete
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Yes looks good

      Aguero unless chasing and need to catch up then Kane or Sanchez

  20. Here's the manager
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Could someone help me use 1 FT of my 2 FT from this lot please !

    Butland ( McCarthy)
    Dawson Williams Cresswell ( Ward Francis)
    Ayew Alli Mahrez Ozil (Payet )
    Aguero Kane Lukaku

    Thinking of keeping it low key in the hope of a Lukaku / Ayew surprise.

    A. MCCarthy to Hennessy
    B. Ward to ??

    Any thought guys?

    1. Here's the manager
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I have to say I'm a little bit bit tempted by Vardy though !

    2. Concrete
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Money Itb?

      1. Here's the manager
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Only 0.5

        1. Concrete
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 2 months ago

          Dawson to Soton def

          1. Here's the manager
            • 11 Years
            8 years, 2 months ago

            Cheers for that

    3. Birds of Prey
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      McCarthy> Schmeichel

      1. Here's the manager
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Thanks, I'm leaning towards a playing keeper more. Good shout so I don't end up with 2 palace in defence

  21. Tronity
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    A) Ozil > Sigurdsson
    B) Lukaku > Vardy
    C) Save FT

    1. HVT
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Save

    2. Lyonnais
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      C

    3. Concrete
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      B or save

    4. Tomlette Greggs
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      B

  22. Ron Swansea City
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Who to bench, Silva or Enner Valencia?

    1. HVT
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      EV

    2. Concrete
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      B

    3. Tomlette Greggs
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Valencia

    4. Ron Swansea City
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      And so it is done, cheers.

  23. keotes
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Who to bench?
    A) Vardy
    B) Mahrez

    1. HVT
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      B

    2. Concrete
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      B

    3. Tomlette Greggs
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      B

    4. sleecc
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      B

  24. Elly88 > KTR (Kevin The …
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Final poll
    Captain Sanchez or Kun?

    1. Tomlette Greggs
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Aguero

  25. PGR
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Who drops out of the Leicester defense when Schlupp comes back?

    1. Tomlette Greggs
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      think no one. Schlupp was played further upfield on the left flank a few times, and Fuchs at leftback, earlier this season.

    2. Gravless wonder
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Nobody

    3. Elly88 > KTR (Kevin The …
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      None. OOP.

    4. PGR
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Cheers guys!

    5. Old Man
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      It's not necessarily the case that he'll get back in. Certainly not Fuchs. If it ain't broke don't fix it.

  26. Dimen
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Lukaku - Austin? Dumb move?

    1. Van der Faart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Not really. Lukaku lost some form. Austin frees up funds as well.

  27. simosalminen
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    1 FT, 6.0 ITB.

    I really want Sanchez, but with the midfield Ozil, Payet, Firmino, Alli, Mahrez there are no obvious options.

    Firmino will probably be moved soon, but he has the best possible fixtures next 2 gameweeks (SUN, avl).

    Swapping Sanchez in for Ozil seems somewhat sideways, and saving FT would give a lot more room to move next week. I would captain Kun anyways, because, well... he's Kun.

    I can do Alli, Mahrez and Payet as well, but given their prices and how well they've all played, I'd be really reluctant to move any of them.

    A) Save and see what to do next week
    B) Move Ozil to Sanchez

    1. Fowler23
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Save for sure

      1. simosalminen
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Thanks, will do this

  28. @persecuted_by_mods
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Captain Aguero guys, they're gonna win the match and the title. #Jinxed

      1. The Raging Bull
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Absolutely, Aguero is up against Bob Huth and Wes Morgan for goodness sake!

      2. Stinglikeabee
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        These words have just made me switch from Kane to Aguero.

    • Fowler23
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Who to play
      Zouma Dawson Baines

      I'm thinking play Zouma?

    • Punter
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Morning all, any critiques on this WC team?

      Cech - Schmeichel
      Toby A - Daniels - Williams - Cresswell - Borthwick-Jackson
      Sanchez - Payet - Firmino - Mahrez - Alli
      Aguero - Kane - Vardy

      £0 ITB - I kinda want to get Costa in there but next few fixtures aren't great... Would need to go Vardy + Firmino/Payet to make it happen

      1. King Henrik
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Teams fine. Feck Costa

      2. Slash
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Defence isn't very good long term- I'd maybe downgrade Cech to Forster and upgrade a defender or two