Our brand new series, plundering the new Referee data soon to be available to our members, continues with an analysis of the Gameweek 16 appointments.
We scan the assignments and attempt to pick out the key pairings, assessing the data to decipher the potential impact of certain whistlers on their respective fixtures and the players in line to either suffer or benefit as a result.
Are today's games looking OK? Planning on Mustafi to to Kiko
Hold on I'll just check, I live in Manchester
http://www.stargate4173.com/Polar/PolarJournals/images/grisefiord407_4.jpg
That looks like an alternate ending to the shining 🙂
😛
Went through fan forums and weather reports lol. Looks like Sunday bad today OK is the general consensus sofar
I've had a look at some charts and am pretty confident there's going to be some pretty large accumulations. However Liverpool usually avoids lots of snow due to the coastal location, Manchester due to the urban warming effect and being in a valley. Travel & safety issues are of far more concern than the pitches themselves.
Tomorrow's games are 99% fine.
Sunday I'd guess at a postponement risk of:
Liverpool vs Everton - 15%
United vs City - 10%
Liverpool vs Everton slightly more likely purely due to it being the early game and thus travel networks having less time to sort themselves out. Both are helped by the games being derbies.
If Burnley or Huddersfield were at home on Sunday then you'd be looking at more towards 90% postponement risk...
Madness to use percentages based on nothing.
Men in black - don't like this article, predicting what decisions a ref might makeI'd just stupid.
Yup. Felt a bit weird reading through the whole article 🙂 .. The red card stats are an OK takeaway though
I should have read up. I dont do anything differently based on this article so i have stopped reading it.
Decisions shouldn't be made on the likelihood of a penalty being given I agree. You can look at the stats both ways. 'he's given one penalty in 7 games, he doesn't give penalties' or he's given 1 penalty in 7 games, he's due to give a penalty.' It's a pointless stat.
Also its not being looked at who these fouls are being given against. Maybe Ref A has reffed 4 games for the highest fouling team in the league and Ref B has reffed 4 games for the lowest fouling team in the league. Now Ref A is reffing the lowest fouling team in the league, who's to say he will now have no opportunities to give frees against the low fouling team.
I get the aim here but I feel there's factors that's aren't being considered such as which teams were reffed by which refs in the past
This without a shadow of a doubt.
This ref has given 10 red cards more compared to that ref. The Outcome Bias here seems to suggest he'll keep giving out red cards. So many other factors come into play, which teams he's refereed in the past, whether he always gets heated derbies etc. What's more likely to happen is he'll produce less red cards and revert to the league's average (but there are so many factors we can't hold for), the sample size is so small that it is essentially meaningless.
There's some refs that give more penalties. There's history with certain teams and certain refs both good and bad. It has potential.
Planned gw17 move is Daniels and Niasse to Femenia and DCL -4. Just had a thought, with Femenia's bappage and Burnley being Bradyless, would I be better off bringing the Daniels to Femenia move forward a gw?
A) Daniels to Femenia -4 this gw
B) Daniels to Femenia and Niasse to DCL -4 next gw
I would keep daniels
Fixtures turning after this gw, so need to shift him for now
exactly, after this gameweek, no need to take a hit for him now
Just see it as a cheeky way to make a couple of points with Femenia's love of baps and attacking threat
I'm doing B. next week.
Bench one:
(A) Speroni (BOU)
(B) Pope (WAT)
Bench one:
(A) Zeegalaar (bur)
(B) Daniels (cry)
(C) Ward (WAT)
AC
Anyone else considering Cresswell from gw18-gw26? Westham got really nice fixtures and coincides nicely with the fixture turn of Burnley (Would be perfect Mee replacement)
sto NEW bou blank DGW hud BOU CPL bha WAT
Being on corners and set peices is an added bonus too
AA
Bench one...
A) Mee
B) Daniels
C) Maguire
D) Hegazi
D
Why?
And thanks
D
Why Hegazi?
Thought you were having a conversation with yourself for a moment there
I´m a little crazy but not that crazy hahaha
Dont think he will get cleen sheet
I see but Mee against Watford I don´t think he will get it too but ok, thanks!
Play two please:
1. Daniels (cry) - playing RLC
2. Naughty (WBA)
3. Kiko (bur)
And would you play RLC over Carroll?
RP
1/2
RLC>Carroll
Help below?
1st 2 then yes, hic!
Ah Netley, how be you squire?
Well...................... and then I was okay! 😆
Oh 😮
Hope nothing too serious, good to hear better and best of luck with full recovery 🙂
Well it's been a hard road from Stella to Export but I may just make it, thanks for the support mate, means a lot.
😆
No worries, good to have ya back 😀
Doctors said it was Paul Dummett Syndrome, alcohol levels collapsing in cans. Didn't know what they meant until I saw his status. hic!
123 and bench RLC?
1 and 3
1,2 and play RLC
Start one + 1st Sub:
A) Kiko (bur)
B) Simpson (new)
C) Stephens (hud)
Ha, just as difficult........A + B?
A
Kiko start, Simpson sub
Mahrez or Siggy ?
Team
Speroni
Alonso Bellerin Kiko
Mahrez Richarlison Ramsay Salah Hazard (c)
Firmino Morata
Begovic Clark Duffy Quaner
Mahrez
M
Mahrez
Good to go. Bench order all good ?
Speroni
Maguire Mee Daniels
Salah Coutihno Richarlson Gross RLC
Kane C. Morata VC
Hennessy DLC Zeegrlaar Jones
Its a -8 though. Cheers
Good team. only worry is you havent got the most inform midfeilder in hazard
I will have him nxt game though.
Anyone else considering Cresswell from gw18-gw26? Westham got really nice fixtures and coincides nicely with the fixture turn of Burnley (Would be perfect Mee replacement)
sto NEW bou blank DGW hud BOU CPL bha WAT
Being on corners and set peices is an added bonus too.
One to watch
West ham have loads of big lads to get on the end of his sp and crosses too... he plays well most games too
"DGW hud BOU CPL bha WAT" 😮
West Ham has poor defensive record.
Cresswell always a great option...When West Ham show form that is...
Hi.
3.9, Foster
Azpi, Ota, Mee, Naughton, Moreno*
Hazard, Salah, Sterling, rlc, Chupo.
Kane, Morata, 4.5
Moreno to Kiko? So i can have 3 subtitutes? Yes no?
Yes good move. kiko nailed and equally if not greater attacking potential playing wingbacks
Start him or Mee?
Play Mee
Looks okay at Anfield
https://hginthesea.files.wordpress.com/2015/09/football.jpg
ffs switching cap from salah to kane that looks bad. keep us updated
think i can see coutinho in the photo so he must be back in training which is good news
Does anyone do anything different based on the referee data?
All about the pen's & cards, but the refs see this and calm it down a bit. In a way it's cheating as they deliberately don't want to be highlighted, what an age eh?
Nothing, they have meetings and the FA warn them etc.
who to get for mroeno
A) Tarowski
B) Femenia/Zeeglaar ( already have Gomes)
A, if no Burnley def
B with Kiko
A
Is Sane to Cout a knee jerk (free)?
No never mind jerking, he hasn't trained - Phil.
Cout is out?!
no
I'm saying he hasn't trained yet, still time, no word of injury, game Sunday.
No video of him training that's all.. All reports are from fans who didn't see him on Liverpool TV. I can't see him missing a derby
Complete knee jerk.
Wouldn't go that far.
Start 1:
A) Otamendi
B) RLC
C) Abraham
Thanks.
B
A
How to use my 2 FT with this team:
Foster
Davies // Monreal // Mee
Salah // Sterling // Hazard // Gross
Kane (C) // Jesus // Abraham
Bench: Eliott // Kiko Femenia // Carroll // Wimmer
I am thinking of replacing Davies and Wimmer.
Davies to Christensen and save the other
Thanks.
Actually Davies could start this week and that could backfire.. Lol. Maybe Wimmer to Duffy or Carroll to RLC this week
Bad move
Davies to Kenny and Jesus to Kun
Id keep for now
Look at Carroll and Wimmer. Opportunity to bolster bench for rotation. Bavies fixtures are good but cover will be require particularly with him. I think if Bavies plays he has more points potential than most alternatives this week.
Planned gw17 move is Daniels and Niasse to Femenia and DCL -4. With Femenia being good with baps and Burnley being Bradyless, would I be better off bringing the Daniels to Femenia move forward a gw for a couple of points profit potentially?
A) Daniels to Femenia -4 this gw
B) Daniels to Femenia and Niasse to DCL -4 next gw as planned when Daniels' fixtures turn
wait
Dont for -4
I'd hold Niasse. He will get minutes and DCL could be pushed out wide for his pace. Not worth a -4 imo
An answer nobody knows. DCL can hold the ball up and Sam is not one to change a winning side.
Ya but with the schedule, things will most likely change. Niasse has done well when given gametime so he could do well again given a chance
As I said, nobody knows. I would want sure benched players getting gametime.
Still early days though. I've had Ladapo for ages now and he's not causing me any problems. If I had Niasse, I'd hold and see what happens over the next couple of games
Cheers guys
Are you going to ask again in 10 minutes?
😆
😆 Will try my utmost not to
Bench 1
A. Mee
B. Naughton
C. Kiko
N
Mee
Anything for hit?
Pope
Kola Mee Maguire
Salah Hazard Coutinho Richarlison
Kane (c) Morata DCL
Elliot Daniels RLC Hume
No, but may look at Daniels vs Maguire. Pretty sure Pool score, CPL less likely vs Bournmouth
Magu vs Newcastle.
Best striker under 6 ?
Kane 2 years ago at 5.5
Calvert or the cheapest one that lets you put them on the bench and have a good midfield
DCL and rotate with RLC seems the way.
Why would you rotate a constant attacking threat ?
Fixtures, but I take your point on threat.
Courtois
Alonso Otamendi Ward
Salah(C) Sterling Ramsey Richarlison
Kane(VC) Morata Wilson
Elliot RLC Lowe Britos
GTG... kinda?
Still between Salah and Kane to C, any final advice?
I'm going Salah because Liverpool have been scoring a ridiculous amount of goals and Spurs haven't.
That´s true and a Merseyside derby can be a goal fest. I will go Salah, thanks!
I have both and C Salah. Look at my grav to see it was not an easy decision.
I see and thanks mate. I will go Salah!
On the contrary, makes it a very easy decision.
Kane frustrates....brace or 2 pointer....id go Salah...clean sheet is at least 3 vs 2 point week.
Good point. My choice is made. Thanks!
Who would you cap, if you had to? Within a minute of reading this.
Salah. That´s the name that comes to my mind.
i would easily go salah between those
I see, it´s done. Thanks mate
I'm going Salah but either way it will end up being the wrong decision. That's FPL.
You are right but I will go Salah too. Thanks
do neither of you have hazard?
I don´t have Hazard, just Morata.
Same.
Have niasse, keep or buy other forward up to 5.8? Who? Thanks
Keep for the next. If no joy, get Crouch
keep
Keep
Id get murray on pens n ok fix
Ota > Christensen guys?
It's an odd one, why?
Mmmm...just feel like city aren't keeping many CS so were relying on ota to keep scoring at the rate he has to match the likely CS of Chelsea (which I think is unlikely). Maguire is my other potential fall guy...
You're right, but the scoring method is so heavily biased towards def's who can score that Ota is the one, unless...
In isolation is Sane to Ramsey (-4) going to pay off in next three?
Ramsey (sou whu NEW)
Sane (mun swa TOT)
Unless there's other factors it either pays off in one game or not at all
well I'm sitting with 0 in the bank with 2 injured players and niasse so it will free up funds
3.7ITB and 1FT
Elliot
Alonso • Kolašinac • Naughton
Hazard • Gross • Coutinho • RLC • C-Moting
Morata • Kane
Pereira • Niasse • Hunemeier • Moreno
A) Niasse => Firmino
B) Elliot => DDG to solve GKs issue and forget
C) A and Elliot => Hennesey for -4
D) Other move
C
C moting to richarlson maby
Alright lads, playing/bench order correct?
Pope
Alonso Christensen Dunk
Salah Hazard Sterling Rich RLC
Kane Firmino
Elliot Mee Niasse Moreno
I'd start mee and put Dunk first sub
Pick two to play
1 Mee
2 Kiko
3 Gomez
4 Naughton
Also would you play RLC or DCL?
2 4 RLC
12, rlc
Posted this as a reply but thought I'd put it up as a post, my take on the weather situation (I'm only an amateur enthusiast :D) :
I've had a look at some charts and am pretty confident there's going to be some pretty large snow accumulations. However Liverpool usually avoids lots of snow due to the coastal location, Manchester due to the urban warming effect and being in a valley. Travel & safety issues are of far more concern than the pitches themselves.
Tomorrow's games are 99% fine.
Sunday I'd guess at a postponement risk of:
Liverpool vs Everton - 15%
United vs City - 10%
Liverpool vs Everton slightly more likely purely due to it being the early game and thus travel networks having less time to sort themselves out. Both are helped by the games being derbies.
If Burnley or Huddersfield were at home on Sunday then you'd be looking at more towards a 90% postponement risk...
Arsenal game is fine?
Yes
Why 90% for Burnley and 10% for Manchester?
Altitude - more of a factor for Huddersfield but Burnley is almost certainly getting much more snow than Salford
Infrastructure
Travel distances for away fans
And dare I mention, 'club size'
But mainly it's the localised nature of UK weather
I know all about that having done a dissertation on it...
And you disagree?
Tbh 90% was a figure I threw out there as it didn't matter (no BUR or HUD match on Sun)
Would still be pretty likely though especially for HUD. Shame Oldham aren't at home on Sunday 😀
Only tha Manchester might be more like 30%
6 years, 4 months agoAny snow news update? The paranoia on here last night made me hold off on my transfers