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Moneyball – Ricardo Vaz Te

In a new series of articles for members, we explore those unfashionable, unwanted and unexciting players who don’t necessarily come with You Tube clips or Armani ads but deliver that all important quantity which drives the “Moneyball” strategy: comparative value.

The term “Moneyball” found its way across the Atlantic for many with the arrival of John Henry, whose Fenway Sports Group added Liverpool to their holdings list alongside Henry’s great pride: the Boston Red Sox. Henry’s Red Sox failed in a bid to hire Billy Beane, the general manager of the Oakland A’s and chief proponent of the so-called Moneyball strategy but, using Beane’s approach to player acquisitions, went on to deliver their first championship in 86 years. Henry’s attempts to replicate his success on Mersyeside by applying certain principles to player analysis under Damien Comolli failed to have the desired effect, however.

Despite popular opinion, the lessons of Moneyball do not start and end with saving money or looking for one particular attribute in players, but rather looking for players discarded by the wider market, either because they succeed in an uncommon way or because they do so in a particularly unfashionable manner.

Given that most Fantasy managers spend a large portion of our money on just a handful of players, we, too, are forced to invest for value at the bottom end of our squad and in that arena we have to accept imperfection if we’re going to achieve success. Finding the right assets to fill the budget gaps in our squads can prove vital; the Moneyball series is here to help – to investigate the lower end market and attempt to find diamonds in the rough.

Using the Moneyball concept and the data available to our Members, we’ll attempt to identify and analyse players who perhaps appear “imperfect” solutions but, in fact, offer strong potential for those with limited funds.

Chris Glover Creator of the plfantasy blog, providing a stats focused approach to fantasy football. Exiled to Canada but still prefer my sports played on grass rather than ice. Follow them on Twitter

1,540 Comments Post a Comment
  1. busteddocket
    • 11 Years
    11 years, 7 months ago

    My defence is

    Jaask, Begovic.
    Baines, Ridgewell, Cuellar, Demel, Clark.

    I don't want to double up on West Ham defence so could get
    Jaask - Foster and
    Ridgewell- Davies/Clyne

    Any ideas thanks, basically I need cheap rotating defenders that don't double up.

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  2. Hanso Lo
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    11 years, 7 months ago

    Hey Guys,

    Keep Rangel or swap out for Gibbs or Saylor?

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  3. BOOM XHAKALACA
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 7 months ago

    Bench Graham or Kaca?

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    1. Shaps
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 7 months ago

      kacas

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    2. Kevin Twine
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 7 months ago

      Kaca

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  4. AzzaCuper
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 7 months ago

    big problem guys

    rvp for torres

    to make money elsewhere

    walker to gorkss
    or
    ivanovic to clark

    or something else?

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  5. rasher
    • 14 Years
    11 years, 7 months ago

    Fed or jaask?

    have jaaskin but fedhas home fixture. cant decide

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    1. Kevin Twine
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 7 months ago

      Fed

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  6. O Fenomeno
    • 13 Years
    11 years, 7 months ago

    Locarno if you're looking for something to gamble the 50 free bet on, Golden Flower is 2/1 for the 4:00 at Down Royal.

    Caen are 9/4 -1 tonight in French Div 2. Caen have been brilliant at home and LeMans have been shite away.

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  7. hazza44
    • 11 Years
    11 years, 7 months ago

    Fill in the gaps with 24.5 mil left for my CL team.

    Sirigu
    Gibbs Rafael ??? ???
    Robben Hazard Santi
    Messi Ibram???

    Subs: Unnerstall Vida ??? Tomas

    cheers

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    1. DHWizzo
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 7 months ago

      Uchida, Ivanovic/Vidal
      Kroos
      Kherzakov

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      1. DHWizzo
        • 13 Years
        11 years, 7 months ago

        Shirikov, Affelay both good shoust too

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      2. hazza44
        • 11 Years
        11 years, 7 months ago

        thanks

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    2. DHWizzo
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 7 months ago

      I would go Evra over Rafa likely too

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  8. Piggs Boson
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 7 months ago

    Why did Vaz Te only play 45 mins vs Swansea?

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  9. Valar(Keith)
    • 14 Years
    11 years, 7 months ago

    this is the week that the Bale, Kagawa, Rafael, Graham and Hangeland wagons take off.. :i hope:

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    1. Eoin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 7 months ago

      + 3/5

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      1. Valar(Keith)
        • 14 Years
        11 years, 7 months ago

        even if 2 out of 5 take off i dont mind

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        1. JK - Cønt ⭐
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          11 years, 7 months ago

          I will take Rafa and Brede please

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  10. Brookins
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 7 months ago

    JK, another potential Europa League striker, in Matavz 7 goals, 3 assists in 9 games for PSV! Only 6.5M

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    1. Brookins
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 7 months ago

      Or Lens 6 goals 2 assists in 8 same team at 6.0

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    2. Parm
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 7 months ago

      Any more tip Brookins?

      I've got.... http://i.imgur.com/4EA64.jpg

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      1. Brookins
        • 12 Years
        11 years, 7 months ago

        Theres a lot of potential value in these PSV strikers, Mertens has got 9 assists 2 goals in 9 matches

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        1. Parm
          • 12 Years
          11 years, 7 months ago

          But this is the Dutch League we're talking about here, Suarez, Kuyt etc.

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          1. Brookins
            • 12 Years
            11 years, 7 months ago

            Yeah true, but they have got Dnipro and AIK in their teams, could be some massive scores there. They got 13 goals in their 6 group games last time in the Europa League against harder opposition.

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            1. Brookins
              • 12 Years
              11 years, 7 months ago

              in their group*

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      2. blue cheese
        • 12 Years
        11 years, 7 months ago

        Llorente gets to play after all that transfer saga?

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    3. JK - Cønt ⭐
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 7 months ago

      Meh, am happy with Falcao, Millito and Rip Van Winkle I think.

      Are either of the 3.5 Stuttgart guys gonna play?

      Currently sitting on

      Kozacik

      Maggio, Godin, San Jose

      Gouffran, Fer, Huszti, Hamsik

      Falcao (c) Millito, Van Wille

      Goryainov, Xavier, Daems, Rodriguez

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      1. Brookins
        • 12 Years
        11 years, 7 months ago

        If you mean the Stuttgart keepers, then no unfortunately not, their first choice is going nowhere! 😀

        But, this is my team now.

        Kozacik

        Maggio - Prochazka - Nagatomo
        Bastos - Gouffran - Hamsik - Sneijder
        Falcao (C) - Matavz - Harnik

        Goryainov - Miranda - Huszti - Andreasen

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        1. Brookins
          • 12 Years
          11 years, 7 months ago

          Really liking the strength in my midfield, slightly worried that lack of expensive forwards good cripple me though.

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        2. JK - Cønt ⭐
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          11 years, 7 months ago

          swapped Millito for Matavz and brought in Wesley and Prochazka for Fer and Daems.

          Would you keep Daems and upgrade Xavier instead (couldn't afford an 8.5 guy) or should I Fer over Xavier?

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          1. Brookins
            • 12 Years
            11 years, 7 months ago

            Im trying to move Huzti up to Xavier, because I really fancy Metalist.
            I have andreasen anyway who is a copenhagen mid, so dont really need 2 of them, andreasen an oop, classed as a defender when he's a mid.

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            1. Brookins
              • 12 Years
              11 years, 7 months ago

              Just did Prochazka to Sevinsky and Huzti to Xavier.

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            2. JK - Cønt ⭐
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 12 Years
              11 years, 7 months ago

              so Hutszi or Fer?

              Just brought Andreasen in for Rodriguez and it leaves me 5 million on that last spot. Anyone better than Krasic, or should I put Rodriqguez back in and stick with Hutzsi.

              is Andreasen actually likely to get attacking points for Hannover? Surely Hutzi is.

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              1. Brookins
                • 12 Years
                11 years, 7 months ago

                I;d keep Hutzsi. Stick with krasic

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  11. Captain Shirokov
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 7 months ago

    Right, Demel or Williams for this week? 🙂

    Many thanks.

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    1. Parm
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 7 months ago

      Willie.

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  12. Scroobius Mac
    • 13 Years
    11 years, 7 months ago

    Guardian has gone for Wigan to shift Boyce back to RCB and Miyaichi starting at RWB.

    Surely they'd be better off switching to 4-4-2 than letting Nani/Young merk Miyaichi.

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    1. Valar(Keith)
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 7 months ago

      😯 boyce wagon 🙁

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    2. Kostja
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 7 months ago

      Guardian sucks soo bad with the predicted lineups.

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      1. Parm
        • 12 Years
        11 years, 7 months ago

        They have Carrick playing Centre-Half despite Ferdy and Evans being back 😎

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        1. Scroobius Mac
          • 13 Years
          11 years, 7 months ago

          They've changed that now.

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    3. Mark
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 17 Years
      11 years, 7 months ago

      Could happen but I reckon Lopez will come in and Fig will move forward. Why start Ryo - a more attacking option - at wingback?

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      1. Scroobius Mac
        • 13 Years
        11 years, 7 months ago

        Was there any news on Young they have him starting too, thought he was out?

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    4. Piggs Boson
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 7 months ago

      I doubt that will happen.

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    5. Parm
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 7 months ago

      Who mentioned anything about Nani and Young?

      It's all about Robbie Brady now! 😉 😎

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    6. Kevin Twine
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 7 months ago

      Surely that won't happen..

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  13. Yes Don
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    11 years, 7 months ago

    Good article. Well done author.

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    1. Chris Glover
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 7 months ago

      Thanks! More to come in the series soon

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  14. Djerbil
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 7 months ago

    Its Very Very Important for me that McAuley rises 0.1 tonight.. With 78% rise at 3k NTI today, What are the chances??

    Slim, Isn't it??

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    1. Scroobius Mac
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 7 months ago

      Aye.

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    2. Jebiga
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 7 months ago

      it will

      whats your team value ?

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      1. Djerbil
        • 12 Years
        11 years, 7 months ago

        Team Value is not imp..

        The 0.1 rise will determine whether I get a Perfect Defence or not

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    3. Just_Ty
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 7 months ago

      Indeed

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  15. Egg noodle
    • 14 Years
    11 years, 7 months ago

    What has been the net gain from the wildcard this gameweek? I am only wanting to know the profit you made AFTER selling the players that you do not wish to keep. Include tonights potential price rises as well. thanks

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    1. Djerbil
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 7 months ago

      0.3 🙁

      0.4 if McAuley rises tonight

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      1. Egg noodle
        • 14 Years
        11 years, 7 months ago

        0.3mill is quite significant actually.
        I'm guessing you also got some players which you want to keep for cheaper, so you have probably ended up with about 0.7mill of savings.

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        1. Djerbil
          • 12 Years
          11 years, 7 months ago

          yeah..sold Michu and kept Dyer

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    2. Drip Doctor
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 7 months ago

      I've only made .1 off Jenkinson, .2 if i decide not to keep Ben Arfa.

      Need McAuley & Dyer to rise tonight to make a profit out of them.

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      1. floydy_floyd
        • 13 Years
        11 years, 7 months ago

        exact same as me for all 4

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  16. jam
    • 14 Years
    11 years, 7 months ago

    Fletcher vs Berbatov?

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  17. Djerbil
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 7 months ago

    Choose:

    A.Demel+Hughes+Saylor
    or
    B.Gorkss+Hangeland+Demel (have Jaask already)

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    1. Djerbil
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 7 months ago

      I messed it up:

      A.Hughes+Saylor
      or
      B.Gorkss+Hangeland

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  18. Just_Ty
    • 14 Years
    11 years, 7 months ago

    Had Vaz Te in mind to rotate with Guthrie and allow me to have a better def...
    Will do that or go cheaper at the back for Berbs

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  19. gazbhoy32
    • 14 Years
    11 years, 7 months ago

    Question:

    Why is Clichy not playing?

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    1. Jebiga
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 7 months ago

      because hes better than kolarov and the rest of defence

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    2. Just_Ty
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 7 months ago

      Coz even Evra is preferred to him in French national...
      No, honestly, no clue why Deschamps picks Evra who played very badly again (not good going forwards and opening up at the back) - Clichy should get gametime should City stick to a back 4 for good

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  20. GOONER
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 7 months ago

    Who to Bench out of these players? I need 2 players to bench, Stevens is already benched.

    Rangel Jenkinson Cole Zabaleta (Stevens)

    HBA Pienaar Cazorla Michu Sterling

    RVP Graham Tevez

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  21. Hyperion
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 7 months ago

    Kagawa -> Maloney, Torres -> RVP worth a hit?

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  22. Pepin - RIP Absinthe
    • 13 Years
    11 years, 7 months ago

    I just did the comparison tool on Vaz Te vs. the other budget striker options. No joke - he has the stats!

    Why did he only play 45 minutes vs Swansea?

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    1. Piggs Boson
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 7 months ago

      I think it's because they were doing badly and change was needed. And yeah, very tempted to get Vaz Te, i could then have a Bale, Cazorla, Hazard trio 😎

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  23. MJ6987
    • 13 Years
    11 years, 7 months ago

    So, remarkable lack of injuries over the international break...

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  24. hazza44
    • 11 Years
    11 years, 7 months ago

    Kags to Santi and Rafael to Ridgewell for -8 point hit??

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    1. Hyperion
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 7 months ago

      I'd hold, 8 points is too much. Santi has a pair of tough games after this week.

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    2. Pepin - RIP Absinthe
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 7 months ago

      I wouldn't. Rafael should start and he has a good fixture.

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    3. tommygun
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 7 months ago

      Hell no

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  25. Piggs Boson
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 7 months ago

    Can anyone give me a solid argument for picking Bale based on stats?

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    1. OPTA FPL
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 7 months ago

      hasnt scored from January

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  26. rhinosserossy
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 7 months ago

    Davies or W. Reid?

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  27. Lateriser 12
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 7 months ago

    Cracking line up of 3pm fixtures tomorrow.

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    1. Paolo Di Laernu - low rep r…
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 7 months ago

      It worries me, It will all be over too quickly! But I like that I can sit back and relax to watch the Sunderland game after at 17.30

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  28. The EJJ
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 7 months ago

    Play Noble or Maloney? Both likely to only harvest 2 points.

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  29. Van Dal
    • 14 Years
    11 years, 7 months ago

    time to get rid of Ivanovic or keep?

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    1. Drip Doctor
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 7 months ago

      Keep

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  30. Paolo Di Laernu - low rep r…
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 7 months ago

    If West Ham hadn't signed Carroll I think a lot of people would have been interested in Vaz Te and Cole. Both at 5.5 with Cole dropping to 5.4, could have been a decent shout. I suppose it's a good shout for the next few weeks with Carroll being out but I don't see it being a popular choice for anyone right now. If one of them scores a brace this weekend that could all change.

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