→ The 2014/15 season was Sergio Aguero's best ever for Fantasy returns. Seven of his goals/assists and 36 of his FPL points came in two meetings with which club that year?

Paddy Power Special – 3/1 on Man City to Beat Arsenal at the Etihad

Once again, Paddy Power have laid on another enhanced market for the weekend’s matches – this time around, our bookmaker friends are dangling odds of 3/1 for Man City to beat Arsenal at the Etihad in tomorrow’s lunchtime kick-off for those yet to register an account with them.

Bearing in mind that the regular odds of Manuel Pellegrini’s men winning for their eighth match in a row in front of their own fans is 4/5, this looks a standout deal for those yet to sign up with Paddy. If you don’t have an account and fancy a piece of the action, click here to join up and take advantage of the offer.

If you’ve already got an account with Paddy, you can still benefit from the Money Back Special on the Etihad match. Paddy are offering refunds on all losing First Goalscorer, Last Goalscorer, Correct Score and Scorecast bets should Olivier Giroud score anytime during the game.

To clarify, the City enhanced odds specials are limited to a £10 stake, are open to new Paddy Power customers only and subject to the terms and conditions specified.

Finally, of course, we should state that all these offers are only available to those aged 18 and over and are subject to Paddy Power’s terms and conditions. Also, if you’re going to bet, always gamble responsibly.

3,434 Comments Post a Comment

tw
10 years, 6 months ago
Hey guys! been busy all week with finals so haven't been able to even think about my fpl team until now (and i've got a flight to catch home in just under 2 hours!)

just seen that gerrard is out injured. who's my best bet to replace him? walcott? silva? nasri? michu? oscar? schurrle? someone else? my other mids are haz, ramsey, januzaj and ravel

cheers!
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1. Mavric Marco
  10 years, 6 months ago
  Oscar this week, Silva long term…and Hazard Captain 😉
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  1. tw
    10 years, 6 months ago
    silva it is then. don't wanna be wasting transfers on a one week punt....
    
    haz captain over lukaku? and suarez?
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    1. rdpx
      10 years, 6 months ago
      Luk or Suarez both good choices.
      
      Hax also a good choice but Silver Surfer seems to be pushing him quite heavily so don;t just take his word for it...
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      1. tw
        10 years, 6 months ago
        cheers mate!
        
        who are you leaning towards/going with?
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2. isacki: full casual
  10 years, 6 months ago
  Out of them, I reckon Silva is worth it as a long-term punt, with some hope of surprise returns against Arsenal.
  
  That said it shows it's not really the week to make the transfer.
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  1. tw
    10 years, 6 months ago
    sorta leaning towards him. but is double citeh attack too much?
    
    any idea when theo will be back?
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3. Bootsy: Snoddy's Reven…
  10 years, 6 months ago
  It's Oscar vs Theo vs Silva
  
  As you have Chelsea and Arsenal already, I'd take Silva
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  1. tw
    10 years, 6 months ago
    have kun though fwiw so I really have chelsea arsenal and citeh
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    1. Bootsy: Snoddy's Reven…
      10 years, 6 months ago
      Understand...same position here
      
      Over the 5 games leading to the wildcard, Silva and City could rack up some goals, especially at home over 26-28 Dec
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    2. Blue Lion
      10 years, 6 months ago
      The same advantage you got by having Gerrard and Suarez,You will get with Silva and Aguero.
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4. l'architetto
  10 years, 6 months ago
  Silva.
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l'architetto
10 years, 6 months ago
Need some help with the subs order.

Migs

JT,Coleman,Chester

Hazard,Sess,Ramsey,Whitts

Rooney(C,) Kun,Suarez

Janujaz,Williams,Collins

Should I play Williams instead of Whitts or go with Janujaz? Thanks.
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1. Bootsy: Snoddy's Reven…
  10 years, 6 months ago
  The subs are in order, I would think about playing Collins over Chester...is Collins fit?
  
  Gotta bench Williams imo....I'm about to sell him
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  1. l'architetto
    10 years, 6 months ago
    Collins might not play and secondly Sunderland almost score against everyone. As for Williams he's going out for Kos after Arsenal vs Che.
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Arsenal USA FC
10 years, 6 months ago
Vorm - Boruc

Terry Williams Chester - Ward Clyne

Hazard Ramsey Walcott Ravel - PHernadez

Suarez Lukaku(C) Aguero

A Boruc -> Ruddy/Marshall
B Clyne -> Distin/Olson(NOR)
C PHernandez -> Fer
D Save FT
E Another Option
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1. sean4
  10 years, 6 months ago
  Walcott C. Do something different. Man city v Arsenal will be both sides all out attack and walcotts pace will help counter in this situation.
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  1. Arsenal USA FC
    10 years, 6 months ago
    Should I also do a -4 to get in a keeper that will play?
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    1. TorresMagic™
      10 years, 6 months ago
      Vorm may well play.
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Tabone
10 years, 6 months ago
Wow read that whole discussion afew pages back... SEAN4's thinking has no logic at all.. I hope he wasnt being serious.. if he was then wow
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1. sean4
  10 years, 6 months ago
  Did you even read the discussion. Or read the part where I was dismissed as a troll and therefore disregarded anything valuable you could gain from my side of the argument? No one has successfully disputed the cake analogy. Laughing at me wont make me wrong.
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  1. rdpx
    10 years, 6 months ago
    Gouffran for the win
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    1. sean4
      10 years, 6 months ago
      I know this is a joke. But can you tell me why Gouffran can't be a serious option at 6.4. I admit Remy is better if you have the extra cash but if you only have 6-7mil then he is a decent option..
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  2. Tabone
    10 years, 6 months ago
    I read the whole thing. Do u realise that when lukaku scores 10 points amd fletcher scores 2... everyone with lukaku gains 8 points on you? Dont you think theres maybe a reason why everyone gets lukaku suarez aguero rooney?
    
    Did you know that to do well in epl.. you need points?
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    1. sean4
      10 years, 6 months ago
      Il post here too.. Do u understand that just because Lukaku scored last week it doesnt mean he will score thisweek? and Just because Fletcher didntscore last week it doesnt mean he wont this week? And if Lukaku does score you have a tiny slice of cake (share points) but if fletcher does you get the whole cake to yourself. You must love sharing and I admire your morality but in this game you need to be greedy... not such a dificult argument to follow
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      1. Blue Lion
        10 years, 6 months ago
        So You are saying Fletcher will outscore Lukaku this season? Isnt it better to go with form better than differential ,especially in the case of strikers?
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      2. Goodfella1
        10 years, 6 months ago
        Lukaku is a delicious victoria sponge cake, everyone wants a slice, it's premium cake but it tastes nice and delivers regularly.
        
        Fletcher is a cake made of rancid haggis, sure you get the whole thing but that's only because no-one else wants it, it will give you the shits.
        
        How's that for a cake analogy?
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      3. Zep
        10 years, 6 months ago
        Being greedy is great for FPL, but the only thing that matters is goals, and ultimately, the points garnered from those goals...
        
        Ownership shouldn't really matter... by concerning yourself with ownership at this stage you are hindering yourself from what should be your main priority; scoring the the maximum amount of points...
        
        Ok, by selecting the most popular players as the teams above you in the ranking, you are somewhat limiting your ability at getting closer to them and passing them in rank... but in the same token, we have 15 different players to choose from which makes that possible, so why would you try to differentiate in what has proved to be the highest point earning position just for the sake of differentiating?
        
        IMO, differentiating only works in the positions that merit it...
        
        However, Fletcher has a good run of fixtures coming up, hopefully he can bag you a few goals to reward you from venturing from the norm...
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    2. sean4
      10 years, 6 months ago
      And do you realise, that to do well you also need MORE POINTS THAN OTHERS. Not give all your points to everyone else. I'm not saying get shit players that wont get any points. Im saying get players that wil get points but points you keep all to yourself, what is so hard to understand?
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      1. TorresMagic™
        10 years, 6 months ago
        May as well get 11 different players.
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      2. Tabone
        10 years, 6 months ago
        Well you got ALOT of catching up to do to make up all the points you have missed out on lol. You must really enjoy getting further and further behind as each week goes on!
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        sean4
        10 years, 6 months ago
        I have been unlucky with injuries etc.. but last week for example a brave decision of Paulinho(c) paid off and I'm doing it again despite the ridicule and predict I will be moving up as a result. Also I saw the potential in Rooney while everyone wanted Suarez and get a load of his points.
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        TorresMagic™
        10 years, 6 months ago
        Suarez (c) paid off more for all the cake eaters.
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        Tabone
        10 years, 6 months ago
        Suarez scored more points though lol.
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        Strificus
        10 years, 6 months ago
        I have Suarez, Aguero, Rooney
        
        All the cake for me.
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      3. TorresMagic™
        10 years, 6 months ago
        It's not Lotto.
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  3. Tabone
    10 years, 6 months ago
    And btw... while I was reading the whole thing I was laughing... thinking ur clearly joking... the more I read the quicker I realised ur not.. but thats okay.. ur entitled to ur opinion. We are just telling you ur wrong and trying to help out. But ull figure that out urself.
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    1. sean4
      10 years, 6 months ago
      Thank you at least you let me have my opinion. I have no problem with being told I'm wrong but so far only 2 people have came up with half decent counter arguments (TM and Breadbin)most people fail to grasp the concept from the off.
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      1. isacki: full casual
        10 years, 6 months ago
        Here's the two holes in your cake argument Sean4.
        
        "if Lukaku does score you have a tiny slice of cake (share points) but if fletcher does you get the whole cake to yourself. "
        
        1. You present the two scenarios like they are equally probable. They aren't. Proof: bookie's odds. Proof of these: continued existence of bookies. If you think your odds are better, become a bookmaker and make a killing/go bust. (These two scenarios aren't equally probable, either 😉 ) Until then, it's just your opinion with a tenuous link to reality.
        
        2. You haven't considered the example of Lukaku AND Fletcher scoring. It is likely that even if you go to all that risk of picking Fletcher (If Fletcher doesn't score and Lukaku does score you lose lots of rank), Lukaku will score anyway and you will have gained nothing. Now toss that coin over 10 GWs and see how you do. (Refer back to point 1).
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2. Tabone
  10 years, 6 months ago
  Do me a favour sean... find me 1 player in the top 50k that has fletcher or welbeck
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  1. sean4
    10 years, 6 months ago
    We will see at the end of the season.
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  2. sean4
    10 years, 6 months ago
    I'm an all or nothing type of guy. Everyone here seems happy in the security of top 100k. They wont go for much more. Maybe the 'best' will even go for top 10k. But too scared to push further so they play it safe... make sure they dont drop out of 100k, dont take risks. Because they know they will be ridiculed for it if they dont get top 100k. I take a strategy that will either fall flat on its arse or win massivley. My strategy is capable of winning FPL. If it fails i get outside 100k so people lauh, but thats the risk I take to try and finish at the very top.
    
    Has anyone on this site ever won fpl? No one ever will unless we break this 'beat the average' mentality. Take a WIN or nothing MENTALITY.
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    1. Tabone
      10 years, 6 months ago
      Hahaha... you have got it all wrong
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      1. sean4
        10 years, 6 months ago
        But you are still yet to tell me why.
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        Tabone
        10 years, 6 months ago
        Ive told you plenty of times. As everyone else has. You are way behind firstly because of this decision you have made..... and you will just get further and further behind.. dont you think aguero suarez lukaku rooney will keep scoring heavily? Even if fletcher does somehow... become the new cristiano ronaldo... then everyone will just get him In then anyway? What will you do then? Sell him and get chamahk? Or gayle?
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    2. Tabone
      10 years, 6 months ago
      Are you (c) fletcher aswell?
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3. Tabone
  10 years, 6 months ago
  Can u send me a link of ur team? Or post it atleast lol
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  1. sean4
    10 years, 6 months ago
    I wont do a link because people just ridicule rank. Im not here to entertain. Here is my team after transfers:
    
    Cech (Mignolet)
    
    Shawcross Tomkins Demichells (Kaboul, Kos)
    
    Paulinho(c) Michu Coutinho Ozil Hazard
    
    Fletcher Welbeck (Maiga)
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    1. Tabone
      10 years, 6 months ago
      Im going to guess your rank...... about 2,999,839.... close?
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      1. sean4
        10 years, 6 months ago
        haha did you read my point? My strategy revolves round the fact that my rank has the risk of being very bad, because i play the risk to have a VERY good rank. Maybe only 1 in 5 seasons it will be a good rank. But it will be top 10. not 10k. 10. The strategy is risk and reward.
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        sean4
        10 years, 6 months ago
        and fyi my rank is much better than what u guessed anyway.
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        Tabone
        10 years, 6 months ago
        Do you realise that if.. and I mean ifff ur players start scoring the most points... and I repeat IF... then everyone would get them in anyway? I dont know how u could possibly think you could win without tany of the highest scoring players.
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TorresMagic™
10 years, 6 months ago
Smith out 🙁
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1. TorresMagic™
  10 years, 6 months ago
  111, explains it all.
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  1. isacki: full casual
    10 years, 6 months ago
    Triple Nelson
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Torreslove
10 years, 6 months ago
I need to bench one of the following midfielders

Shelvey
Lallana
Morrison

Who would you bench? currently its lallana warming the bench
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1. Scoredelario
  10 years, 6 months ago
  Shelvey. Lallana is extremely attacking. He has had a dry spell purely because of hard fixtures but even then got in some great positions and came very close many times.
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2. ImpinAintEZ
  10 years, 6 months ago
  Shelvey. I agree with Scoredelario
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tw
10 years, 6 months ago
The Draw for the Sixth Round Proper of the FFS FA Cup (technically the quarter finals) is now available and can be found here!

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AuuifMuJM44AdGJoSkN1VDBQbUx5Mml6VFBqNDRCWWc&usp=drive_web#gid=20
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Scoredelario
10 years, 6 months ago
What's everyone's wildcard strategy?

I personally am building a team looking no further than gw20. From there I will decide on a weekly basis whether I like my team for the next gameweek. If I am OK with my team, I'll just make a short term transfer and reassess the next week. If not, I'll wildcard with a very longterm view.

Why this strategy? It means I can maximise my short term potential, and there is always the chance of a wildcard if things go pear shaped and I am not happy with my team.
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1. rdpx
  10 years, 6 months ago
  save it for the big late DGWs is mine.
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  1. Scoredelario
    10 years, 6 months ago
    I'm talking about the Jan wildcard or are you expecting dgw in Jan? (I can't remember when they usually are)
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tw
10 years, 6 months ago
got a few more questions for you all:

what's the thinking on captain this week? lukaku? hazard? suarez cuz he's seemingly becoming the "rvp" of this year?

and with a gk pairing of boruc and vorm do I need to ship one of them? don't want no playing gk's again this week...
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1. TorresMagic™
  10 years, 6 months ago
  Vorm could play.
  Seems rested in Europa now.
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2. l'architetto
  10 years, 6 months ago
  Going with Rooney. Low ownership. Loves playing against Villa.
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  1. tw
    10 years, 6 months ago
    good shout. don't have him though 🙁
    
    so who's your vc? 😉
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3. Scoredelario
  10 years, 6 months ago
  Lukaku for me based on goalscorer odds. I've averaged 19.7 so far using (mostly) that strategy so I'll stick to it. (I do know some people think the odds mean little though, as was illustrated yesterday when I was heavily criticised for relying on them!)
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TorresMagic™
10 years, 6 months ago
Another review........
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copps
10 years, 6 months ago
Wickets dropping fast
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HarryS
10 years, 6 months ago
Captain Lukaku, Aguero or Suarez?
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1. ImpinAintEZ
  10 years, 6 months ago
  Lukaku
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BigManBakar
10 years, 6 months ago
Any changes I should make or is it alright to save this week?Thanks in advance!

Marshall (WBA)
Zaba(ARS) Chester(STO) Collins(SUN)
Ramsey(MCI) Haz(CRY) Barkley(FUL) Ravel(SUN)
Aguero(ARS) Suarez(TOT) Lukaku(FUL)

Subs:Davis,Sess,Dawson,Ward.
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1. GTS
  10 years, 6 months ago
  save it and you're good to go.
  Goodluck!
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isacki: full casual
10 years, 6 months ago
Got to share this for anyone who missed it the first time round, before I sleep.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s_JVekPzUVo

Night!
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1. copps
  10 years, 6 months ago
  lol what a troll
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2. Pepin - RIP Absinthe
  10 years, 6 months ago
  Night pal
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NATSTER
10 years, 6 months ago
Any update on Evra? He still flagged as doubt.
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1. applebonkers
  10 years, 6 months ago
  a bit odd only this article is reporting it, but the last paragraph doesnt look good http://www.theguardian.com/football/2013/dec/13/manchester-united-david-moyes-keane-schmeichel
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  1. NATSTER
    10 years, 6 months ago
    Thank you AB. It doesn't sound good at all. I will keep hoping.
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applebonkers
10 years, 6 months ago
can we please change the cake to pizza. can eat pizza all day, at any time. cake just feels a bit desserty
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1. sean4
  10 years, 6 months ago
  Glad I have generated discussion hope people won't be scared to not share. Pizza/cake whatever your fave food is the analogy applies. Just dont get Rick Van Wolf's Winky Pizza thats a meat feast you don't wanna try.
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Demelbrush
10 years, 6 months ago
Any news on moxey today?
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1. ImpinAintEZ
  10 years, 6 months ago
  Heard he is a doubt
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Turtlepower
10 years, 6 months ago
@TotalFPL: BBC reporting that Ravel Morrison is an injury doubt for West Ham's match against Sunderland.
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1. TorresMagic™
  10 years, 6 months ago
  Big game so hopefully he is fine.
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2. GTS
  10 years, 6 months ago
  great.
  amalfitano would play again and give me a secured 2pts.
  yey..
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3. NATSTER
  10 years, 6 months ago
  Oh.. Lallana is ready on my bench.
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Zep
10 years, 6 months ago
Pepin, I am so pissed that I never got Shurrle in the draft this week...

I tried to claim him, and as the bottom ranked team, should really have gotten him...

But for whatever reason they said my Ba > Shurrle straight swap was invalid, which is utter nonsense... 😡
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1. Pepin - RIP Absinthe
  10 years, 6 months ago
  That's odd, they are both forwards. I dropped him last week, but still got his 2 goals 😎
  
  Now straight back, I was worried someone would claim him!
  
  My team is looking really strong now, to be honest!
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  1. Zep
    10 years, 6 months ago
    This is the third time this has happened to me in as many weeks, so I am slowly losing interest and patience with the game...
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    1. Pepin - RIP Absinthe
      10 years, 6 months ago
      Your entire team is injured, which doesn't help...
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TorresMagic™
10 years, 6 months ago
Going off Sean4's point of view.

Would FPL be better if points for goals were different based on % ownership?

For a forward

40%+ = 4
20 - 40% = 5
10 - 20% = 6
0 - 10% = 7
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1. Pepin - RIP Absinthe
  10 years, 6 months ago
  I love this idea actually, never thought of it before. A little too late in the evening to try to figure out the statistical / mathematical complications / imperfections it would create.
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  1. TorresMagic™
    10 years, 6 months ago
    Those who got Ramsey early would have been rewarded more etc. Great idea TM. 😉
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2. Fitzy.
  10 years, 6 months ago
  It would be a great tweak I think, carry it right through the different positions too...
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3. GTS
  10 years, 6 months ago
  IDK what happened but by the looks of it, it's more of a gamble and it could pay dividends to those who would really risk on lesser owned players.
  But if for example Suarez ends a season with 20 goals and 40% ownership he would be given 80 pts and let say Welbeck ends with 10 goals and 10-20% ownership 70pts could be rewarded less the bonuses and everything else in between.
  It could spice things up in FPL actually.
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  1. TorresMagic™
    10 years, 6 months ago
    Luck factor would increase though so many wouldn't be fans. Captain on a low % ownership player like Walcott could really be a big scorer. Some would sell Suarez looking for an alternative even short term that could beat him etc.
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    1. Joburger
      10 years, 6 months ago
      Way too gimmicky. Would be time to find another preferred fantasy football game for me if they did anything like that.
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TorresMagic™
10 years, 6 months ago
Harris out. 🙁
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ImpinAintEZ
10 years, 6 months ago
Choose 4:

Coutinho
Ramsey
Yaya
Ozil
Oscar
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1. copps
  10 years, 6 months ago
  wow, thats a hell of a midfield that. who are your strikers?
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  1. ImpinAintEZ
    10 years, 6 months ago
    Rooney Suarez Aguero
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    1. copps
      10 years, 6 months ago
      must be a really high team value plus cheap defence? must be tough benching one of those each week.
      
      id probably bench ramsey out of those.
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      1. ImpinAintEZ
        10 years, 6 months ago
        Haha you got it!… With the exception of coleman, my defense is bad!
        
        Any particular reasons? My friend gave me same advice, but no reasons.
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    2. Strificus
      10 years, 6 months ago
      Your defense and goalie must be wretched.
      
      You must also have a $108-110m team
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2. Strificus
  10 years, 6 months ago
  Ramsey
  Yaya
  Ozil
  Oscar
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  1. ImpinAintEZ
    10 years, 6 months ago
    Reasons for Cout?
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Kevtheotter
10 years, 6 months ago
How am I looking? Don't like how many player I have in the City and Spurs games... Meet to someone maybe?

Mig
Dawson Mert Distin
Hazard Nasri Ramsey Redmond
Aguero(c) Saurez Rooney

Lewis JWP Gabbidon Clyne
.1 in the bvank no freebies.

Cheers lads
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1. Kevtheotter
  10 years, 6 months ago
  Mert*
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HarryS
10 years, 6 months ago
Captain?

Lukaku
Aguero
Suarez
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1. TorresMagic™
  10 years, 6 months ago
  No wrong answer.
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2. Pepin - RIP Absinthe
  10 years, 6 months ago
  I have all three and I have got it on Rom-rom
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Koflok
10 years, 6 months ago
Afternoon fellas. What's new?
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1. Pepin - RIP Absinthe
  10 years, 6 months ago
  'Ello tater
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  1. Koflok
    10 years, 6 months ago
    Ello Pep.
    
    Is Sean4 our celebrity of the day? Seems like he brought up something interesting? Link?
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    1. Pepin - RIP Absinthe
      10 years, 6 months ago
      Haven't seen it myself 😉
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    2. sean4
      10 years, 6 months ago
      I have an interesting view on differentials. Seems to be popular for the wrong reasons but I hope that as a result of some people laughing at it some people will see it and take it seriously and change the shape of the ethos of this site. Then one day someone on here might actually WIN fpl.
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      1. TorresMagic™
        10 years, 6 months ago
        That has already happened twice.
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        sean4
        10 years, 6 months ago
        proof? Show me the player and I bet you they took on my strategy. I bet there rank isnt 50k then 30k then 20k. I bet his rank is 150m, 300k, 5t, 890k, 1st. Its the maths of a winning strategy, Like businesses. You get conservative businesses that will always be safe, but a risky business could fall flat but it could also be the BEST. I want to be the best. Sorry if that offends people.
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        TorresMagic™
        10 years, 6 months ago
        Jon Reeson & McGurn.
        Evs finished 5th last season & a couple more finished higher.
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        TorresMagic™
        10 years, 6 months ago
        http://fantasy.premierleague.com/entry/8486/history/
        
        I don't see the big bumps.
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        Fitzy.
        10 years, 6 months ago
        And I'm pretty sure Chris McGurn hasn't finished worse than around 7k in about 6 or 7 years playing.
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        organdonor47
        10 years, 6 months ago
        Last years winner explains how he never went for differentials and he has a consistent history. http://www.fiso.co.uk/viewarticle.php?id=535
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        Billy Gilmore
        10 years, 6 months ago
        http://www.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/comment/6238753
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      2. Koflok
        10 years, 6 months ago
        Just read through the argument.
        
        Although I disagree with his selection of players, or even the cake scenario. But I do get what he's trying to say. Basically he just want differentials eh?
        
        Points is points for me. Getting 16 points from Fletcher or Lukaku is in the end the same. It's all about finding the players that will score the most in the weeks you own him.
        
        If you can find a 'different cake' that you will genuinely believe that will outscore (outtaste?) the mainstream cake, then so be it. Just know the risk as someone has pointed out, if Lukaku turns out outscoring the Fletchers or Welbecks then you're screwed.
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        Koflok
        10 years, 6 months ago
        And if you happen to find the player that you greedily have to yourself and outscore a player that everyone have, then good for you.
        
        Early adopters of Michu last year and Ramsey this year are those people.
        
        Soon it will Redmond which I own. 😉
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Evil Greg
10 years, 6 months ago
sean4....you have amused me. Bravo!

Now where's that cake...
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sean4
10 years, 6 months ago
A nursery rhyme before bed...

baa baa FPL sheep..have you any bandwagons?
yes sir yes sir 3 strikers full
Aguero, Lukaku, oh the boring pain... and one little nibbler whose taking a trip to the lane. (as in white hart lane)

Good night

https://www.google.co.uk/search?q=SHEEP&espv=210&es_sm=122&source=lnms&tbm=isch&sa=X&ei=hcOrUqu1Mc-qhAfFkoGIAg&ved=0CAkQ_AUoAQ&biw=1920&bih=946
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1. isacki: full casual
  10 years, 6 months ago
  A bedtime story for you 😉
  
  Here's the two holes in your cake argument Sean4.
  
  "if Lukaku does score you have a tiny slice of cake (share points) but if fletcher does you get the whole cake to yourself. "
  
  1. You present the two scenarios like they are equally probable. They aren't. Proof: bookie's odds. Proof of these: continued existence of bookies. If you think your odds are better, become a bookmaker and make a killing/go bust. (These two scenarios aren't equally probable, either 😉 ) Until then, it's just your opinion with a tenuous link to reality.
  
  2. You haven't considered the example of Lukaku AND Fletcher scoring. It is likely that even if you go to all that risk of picking Fletcher (If Fletcher doesn't score and Lukaku does score you lose lots of rank), Lukaku will score anyway and you will have gained nothing. Now toss that coin over 10 GWs and see how you do. (Refer back to point 1).
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  1. isacki: full casual
    10 years, 6 months ago
    In case you respond to point 1 by objecting that you are _not_ claiming they are equally probable and that Lukaku is more likely to score, then you have admitted he is the better option. QED.
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    1. sean4
      10 years, 6 months ago
      continued existence of bookies isnt because they put out the realistic odds. They put out odds depending on betting patterns etc so they are guaranteed to make money. I do in fact make quite a lot of money from betting by exploiting this. The bookies still win overall because most the sheep get exploited by the bookies.
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      1. isacki: full casual
        10 years, 6 months ago
        You do understand odds are probabilities, right?
        
        No matter how the odds are set, if you overestimate or underestimate the probability you will lose in the long run.
        
        Same as thinking Fletcher is an option.
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  2. sean4
    10 years, 6 months ago
    I play by rank not pure point system. This is the real risk reward way you have a real chance of winning FPL, admitdly it is risky because you can end up with a bad rank. If I have Lukaku and he scores do i go up in rank... no.. at least not much because everyone has him. If Fletcher does and I have him the do I go up in rank.. yes! Its a simple logic!!
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    1. TorresMagic™
      10 years, 6 months ago
      😆
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    2. isacki: full casual
      10 years, 6 months ago
      If I have Lukaku and he scores do i go down in rank... yes.. by lots, because everyone has him. If Fletcher does and I have him then do I go up in rank.. yes! Once every few months!
      
      Fixed that for you.
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      1. sean4
        10 years, 6 months ago
        haha you just got caught without realising! if Lukaku scores you go down because everyone has him! If fletcher scores and you have him you go up! see... i told you the logic was simple!! You just said my exact point!!! Thank you!
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        isacki: full casual
        10 years, 6 months ago
        No, you do.
        
        😆
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        sean4
        10 years, 6 months ago
        'If I have Lukaku and he scores do I go down in rank? yes' 'If I have fletcher and he scores do i go up in rank..yes.' You admitted that having lukaku is likely to make your rank fall and having fletcher is likely to make your rank increase.
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        isacki: full casual
        10 years, 6 months ago
        I'm describing what happens to you lol.
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        isacki: full casual
        10 years, 6 months ago
        Lord, give me patience for this 😆
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        sean4
        10 years, 6 months ago
        So what happens to me is my rank goes up when Fletcher scores and urs goes down when Lukaku scores? HAHA I wonder whose the better off...
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        TorresMagic™
        10 years, 6 months ago
        We are still waiting to see your rank/link.
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        isacki: full casual
        10 years, 6 months ago
        lol man you're so confused I'm almost thinking the best lesson would be to let you play your confused strategy and see what rank it takes you to.
        
        Anyway, out of sympathy:
        
        If you choose to own Fletcher over Lukaku
        
        A) when Lukaku scores and Fletcher doesn't, you lose a lot of rank.
        
        B) When Fletcher scores and Lukaku doesn't, you gain rank.
        
        A is much likelier than B.
        
        You lose.
        
        QED.
        
        Night mate 😉
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        sean4
        10 years, 6 months ago
        U are actually backing up my own opinion with facts but areso closed minded to thesheep mentality you can't see it! 'MUST HAVE LUKAKU' keep saying that mantra.
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        isacki: full casual
        10 years, 6 months ago
        I'm a Rooney owner over Lukaku btw, sorry to undermine your argument 😉
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2. Billy Gilmore
  10 years, 6 months ago
  Btw in response to your above "has anyone on this site won fpl"
  
  Someone who has replied to you earlier... http://www.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/comment/6238753
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  1. sean4
    10 years, 6 months ago
    Giggs? or Zlatan?
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    1. Billy Gilmore
      10 years, 6 months ago
      McGurn, whose comment I linked...
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3. applebonkers
  10 years, 6 months ago
  shouldnt you be called shaun
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Pepin - RIP Absinthe
10 years, 6 months ago
Loving him is like driving a new Maserati down a dead end street
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Salah’s Sonnet
10 years, 6 months ago
Hi guys, got two questions for ya.

1. Anyone think it's worth doing a 4 point hit to do Giroud to Lukaku? Or just do for free next week?

2. Captain Aguero or Suarez for this GW? It's doing my head in!

Comments much appreciated.
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Göz
10 years, 6 months ago
Off to a G'day League match tonight so need to confirm everything now.. Playing Burner instead of Shelvey is the only last minute change I'd consider, Shelvey having played 90mins of Europa League against Norwich away.. thoughts? Good to go?

Szczesny

Terry Coleman Collins

Ozil Hazard (c) Shelvey Morrison

Aguero Suarez Lukaku

Subs: Daniels, B. Turner, Bannan, Baker
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