The Knee Jerk

The Knee Jerk – Boxing Day

Boxing Day confirms the arrival of one heavy-hitting Gunners midfield asset, only for their star middle man to suffer an injury that threatens to trigger a wave of transfer activity. While thousands of Fantasy managers will be occupied by that particular pairing, a certain Saints striker remains largely ignored as he goes on providing ample points for a paltry sum.

The Game Changer

Theo Walcott’s impact on his return from injury has been almost instant. His brace at Upton Park turned the game Arsenal’s way and confirmed that Walcott is back amongst the top-level Fantasy assets available.

In truth, we’ve been crying out for Walcott’s arrival in our season. His record of 14 goals and 13 assists last season pointed towards great things this campaign but, derailed by injury, Walcott’s Fantasy potential has been tempered as the midfield has failed to keep pace with the output of our forwards. Until now.

Four goals in his three league starts suggest that Walcott can compete with the very top midfield assets, surpassing the scoring rate of his much-vaunted team-mates Mesut Ozil and Aaron Ramsey through sheer goal power. With David Silva and Eden Hazard also showing some consistency, focus is back on the expensive midfield targets.

Owned by just 5% of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) managers, a state of alert was declared with Walcott’s previous brace, mentioned in this article. Today’s returns will heighten that initial interest into a frenzy which is likely to accelerate significantly as January wildcards are laid down.

The Underused

The Gameweek drew focus on our Fantasy forward lines, as we contemplated the gamble of overlooking the devastating form of Luis Suarez. The likes of Wayne Rooney and Romelu Lukaku tempted the armband with so many Fantasy managers boasting one or both in their squads. Indeed, despite the recent injury to Sergio Aguero, few have considered dismantling their “template” strike force – it’s meant that Southampton’s Jay Rodriguez has struggled to get the Fantasy recognition he deserves.

Rodriguez notched a brace and an assist in Southampton’s fine 3-0 win at Cardiff to take him to eight league goals from his last 12 starts. That kind of strike rate, for an FPL fee of just 6.0, allows him to top the “value” rankings on 13.6, ahead of Luis Suarez.

Just as there is no doubt about the established pool of players that make up the typical forward line, there can be little argument on which player offers the best value for those who choose to risk plunging the price brackets.

Right now only 6% have dared cheapen their forward line and take up the Rodriguez option. With further heavy-hitting midfield options opening up, it will interesting to see how the January wildcard changes that particular statistic.

The Selection Poser

Aaron Ramsey’s rise to near essential status has been slowed of late thanks to a harsh fixture list and the potential return of Theo Walcott. Today’s events not only underlined Walcott’s appeal as an explosive alternative to Ramsey, it also saw the Welshman suffer an injury that could signal the first significant bout of sales.

Arsene Wenger has announced that Ramsey’s thigh injury suffered in the second-half at West Ham today, will rule him out for the rest of the Christmas programme. While some will wait for scans and further details, the news will mean Ramsey will sit out matches with Newcastle and Cardiff in the next four days. A Gameweek 21 return on January 13 could be on the cards, although the nature and severity of the injury is not yet clear.

Significantly, the injury comes off the back of a spell that has seen Ramsey return goals in just one of his last eight league matches. While a pair of assists has calmed any panic, that dip in form, coupled with today’s injury, will likely prove the catalyst for sales.

Having risen to 7.6 form an initial value of 5.5, Ramsey has a long way to fall, with thousands set to sacrifice funds when the decision to sell on is made. Again, the January wildcard will bring the Ramsey situation into focus. There’s little doubt that if Ramsey goes into the New Year sidelined, as expected, we will see a lot of movement away from the season’s stand-out midfielder, heading in the direction of Walcott. Current transfer statistics in the FPL already confirm such a trend, with Walcott and Ramsey topping the transfers in and out tables just a few hours after the final whistle.

Mark Mark created the beast. He's now looking to tame it.

6,689 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Robe Wan
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Who's keeping the faith with lukaku?

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    1. The ghost of a Pug's g…
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      No

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    2. Robe Wan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Oooh top of page big question

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    3. El Muñeco
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      I am, got good fixtures. Although the main reason i'm keeping is the more pressing issues elsewhere in my team.

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      1. waitinginthelonggrass
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 5 months ago

        This

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        1. Arsenal USA FC
          • 11 Years
          10 years, 5 months ago

          x3

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          1. Gloria Kanchelskis
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 10 Years
            10 years, 5 months ago

            +1 with Howard sent off and Davis a new keeper is the priority

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      2. Robe Wan
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 5 months ago

        Hmm me too. Patience can be such a virtue in this game

        Great player, good team, great fixtures, off form

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      3. Crouch Potato!
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 5 months ago

        Has already had some good fixtures one could argue.

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        1. HabitualLineSteppers
          • 10 Years
          10 years, 5 months ago

          " Has already had some good fixtures one could argue. "

          That is a very good point.

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    4. Gooner Kebab
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      got other issues to address...fixtures still good

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    5. applebonkers
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      always. hes not predictable, that's half the charm

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    6. Bollard
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Might keep one more week. Depends if i have to use my FT to sort out a Ramsey replacement. Not doing anything until tomorrow. Dont think Walcott will rise nor will Lukaku or Ramsey fall tonight - so time to think and see press statements before making any moves.

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    7. andres
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      if it wasnt for howard and rambo he would be gone...

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    8. Dots321
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Nope or Mirallas either

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    9. Schürrle Class
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      I have no option. I have to keep him or the other option for me is a -4 hit which I would prefer not

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    10. Goaldigger
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      I think in this case patience is virtue.

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    11. Studgie G
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      i am

      once people transfer him out he goes wild always

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  2. HuttonDressedasLahm
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Phew!

    Cup rival dead team has Cashley and Ivanovic (18 points) luckily the rest of his team got 14 🙂

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  3. HurriKane
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Thinking about taking a punt on dzeko . Good idea ??

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    1. Robe Wan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      No

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    2. Del Griffith
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      risky but could pay off. Only do if you dont have other pressing matters

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    3. The ghost of a Pug's g…
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Nah. But he prob will play...and if he plays he will score at least 2

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      1. Bubz
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 5 months ago

        Why not then?

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        1. The ghost of a Pug's g…
          • 13 Years
          10 years, 5 months ago

          Depends what the probability is really. I'm 60% certain.

          But I'm 100% certain he won't start the match after. Wasting subs week on week ain't my thing

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  4. El Muñeco
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Is either:

    Ozil to Walcott

    or

    Nasri to Silva

    Worth a hit?
    Or is it worth doing both for -8?

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  5. Louis
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Howard and Ramsey to Harper and Walcott for -4?? Yes or no??

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    1. El Muñeco
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Can you afford to do it with Mannone?

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      1. Louis
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 5 months ago

        No I can only afford a 4,2 keeper.

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        1. El Muñeco
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          10 years, 5 months ago

          McGregor's injury didn't look serious, so with no playing gk it does have an element of risk.

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    2. Hy liverpool
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      howard >mannone
      yes

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  6. Gooders
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Which of these looks the best option?

    A. Ozil, Ramsey & Clyne > Walcott, Silva & Ward (-4)

    B. Ozil, Ramsey & Lukaku > Walcott, Silva & 7.8 (-4)

    C. Ozil & Ramsey > Walcott/Silva & Lallana/Cabaye

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    1. The ghost of a Pug's g…
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      C

      Walcott and lallana

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    2. El Muñeco
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      A

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  7. The ghost of a Pug's g…
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Repost*

    Any hull fans out there?

    Will Meyler be fit?

    Any Fulham fans out there?

    Will Kashmir continue to play?

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  8. Chris P Bacon
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Why was Chico benched today?

    Chances of Brady starting next match? Thinking either Mutch/Wittingham in for him this GW, and then Fer/Snodgrass in for Brunt next GW. Rotates well through January.

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  9. andres
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    howard, rambo => mannone, 9.7 mid...

    is there a better option than silva?

    HOWARD davies
    merte coleman chester (ward williams)
    hazard wally RAMBO cabaye (jedinak)
    LUKAKU Roo Suarez,
    0.9, 1FT

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  10. Jebiga
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    taransfers done: bardsley and walcott in for coleman and ramsey

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    1. waitinginthelonggrass
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      You got rid of Coleman? Why? Awful move, why not distin.

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    2. Jose
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      coleman? thats brave, season keeper for me

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    3. Make United Great Again
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      LOOOOOL why on earth did you get rid of Coleman???

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    4. Jebiga
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      have already distin, colman was brought for this week punt and he fails

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      1. waitinginthelonggrass
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 5 months ago

        He is the top scoring defender by a mile, you gave him one week and consider him a fail? Well done.

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  11. Jose
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    bardsley (next 4 = car, AVL, ful, SOT)

    or

    tomkins (next 4 = WBA, ful, car, NEW)?

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    1. AugustaBlue
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      I'd say Tomkins

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    2. Jebiga
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      i just brought bardsley and feels nice 🙂

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  12. AugustaBlue
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    For GW19:

    A: Bench Ramsey, Play Whittingham
    B: Ramsey > Wilshere (Whittingham as a strong sub-in for worst case)

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    1. El Muñeco
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Wilshere really isn't an FPL player worth considering

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      1. AugustaBlue
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 5 months ago

        It's him or Cabaye. Cabaye has rough fixtures - I'd almost trust Whittingham's GW19 over his. Wilshere most likely will take Ramsey's spot(says the general fan base) and has quite nice stats for his minutes played. With Arsenal's fixtures it's hard to not replace Ramsey with a teammate.

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    2. Jose
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      not wilshire thats for sure. i'd play whitts

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    3. Bielsa's Blue Bucket
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      A

      Love that grav

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  13. Freshy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    #mcfc now confirm Demichellis pulled hamstring yesterday,Nastasic back v Palace,Zaba to be rested on Saturday,Lescott still hoping to stay!
    manager said Negredo just "tired" so could be fit for Saturday

    https://twitter.com/IanCheeseman/status/416307332294123521

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    1. applebonkers
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      surely means nastasic to start. he was back today on the bench

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      1. Crouch Potato!
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 5 months ago

        At this stage one needs to deal in players who are certain to play.

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    2. Crouch Potato!
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Cheers Freshy, good work.

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  14. 1234thro
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Ive just realised that by taking out Ramsey I am set to have 0 Arsenal players over their favourable run of fixtures. Anyone else in my position, what are your plans?
    I could bring in Walcott, but it would require a hit and serious downgrade (something like Zaba-->Alex Bruce, and seeing as I already own Chester..thats not good), is Wilshere a decent punt? Or should I still favour Llana over him?
    Hmm, got a lot to think about before the weekend!! 😛

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  15. BT31 - WE ARE ALL TINKERMEN…
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Will Walcott rise today?

    If not better to wait for news tomorrow.

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    1. El Muñeco
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      check totalfpl.com

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    2. Crouch Potato!
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Very likely to the rate he is being bought at.

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    3. HabitualLineSteppers
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Regarding Walcott price rise:

      42 minutes ago he was @ 77.3%

      just now ...... 81.4%

      _______

      I didn't think it possible - but he may rise tonight - I will be watching the trend .....

      http://totalfpl.com/pricechanges

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  16. For Fuchs Sake
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    I have Ramsey at 7m, how much would he drop by? Is it worth just getting rid now?

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  17. Sparrer
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    To the guy I advised to take out Jay Rod yesterday: I'm very, very sorry.

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    1. Robe Wan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      +1 to the guy I advised not to get Theo in for a hit

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      1. Scottys Army
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 5 months ago

        i didnt listen

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  18. DÏLKS
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    I've just done Howard --> Szcesney

    Is it worth doing Vlaar --> Ward (-4)

    And if I do that, I can afford Ramsey --> Walcott

    What you reckon?

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  19. Make United Great Again
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Ramsey and Distin out for...

    A. Gibbs, Cabaye

    B. Gibbs Lallana

    C. Chester Nasri

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    1. Jose
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      of those i'd say A but will have to live with them playing against each other this week

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      1. Make United Great Again
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 5 months ago

        That doesn't always mean low scoring points 😉

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  20. RTH92
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Any news on Negredo regarding his injury?

    Was contemplating doing.. ramsey and hooper -----> sterling and negredo

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    1. waitinginthelonggrass
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Rumours on total fpl that city have said he is "tired", take what you want from that.

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    2. RTH92
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      any other good striking options for under 9.8?

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      1. waitinginthelonggrass
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 5 months ago

        Remy, j Rod

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  21. TeddiPonza
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Eriksen for Ramsey

    OR

    Wally and Cabeye for Özil and Ramsey (-4 pt hit)

    Thanks

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  22. Parm
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    http://i.imgur.com/Qy0fRgn.png

    1FT; £1.0m ITB

    Thinking either Koscielny to Kolarov OR Lukaku to Negredo/Dzeko(Depending on Pressers?)

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    1. FF Dirtbag
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      You can wait for sure. But I would keep faith with lukaku one more game

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    2. Studgie G
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      stick both are a waste

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    3. Scottys Army
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Luk is your weakness parm , i would sell him

      Neg if hes passed fit by pelle

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  23. Demelbrush
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Am I mad doing double chelsea and double everton defence next week?

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    1. Make United Great Again
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      You'll get burned by it

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  24. Bollard
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Lampard (C) for me on Sunday 🙂

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    1. Wild Rover
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      I guessed you would

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  25. Dots321
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Koscielny and Clyne back this weekend?

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    1. FF Dirtbag
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Bloody would love clyne to be back

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  26. Unconstitutional
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Cabaye, Lallana, Henderson or Sterling in for Ramsey?

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    1. Carrick Doesn't Deserv…
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      lallana

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  27. jas5sk - Youtube channel
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Best option in mid at 6.5?

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    1. Carrick Doesn't Deserv…
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      wilshere

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  28. Ady87
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Looking for a punt up to £7.3m to replace Ramsey. HBA 7% ownership and in form could pay off. Don't fancy Eriksen. Cabaye is the safe bet but can he keep up this form?

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    1. FAITHNOMORENO
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      cabaye surely in better form and more consistent than hba.

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  29. GREENDREAMS11
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Does anyone know if Podolski will get starts ?

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  30. andres
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    how many games for howard?

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    1. waitinginthelonggrass
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      1

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    2. El Muñeco
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      1

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