Scout Reports

Scout Report – Mario Balotelli

Liverpool’s tenth signing this summer is a monumental one whichever way you look at it. Sky Italia’s Mario Sconcerti has astutely observed that the curious thing about Mario Balotelli is his ability to prompt champagne corks to pop both when he arrives at and leaves a club – but Brendan Rodgers, seemingly unaware of the dramatic irony, has lauded the fiery superstar’s conviction in his own abilities above all else:

“There’s excitement about him coming in. As a coach, I’m really looking forward to working with him. One thing he doesn’t lack is confidence; he’s got that self-belief and football arrogance when he’s on the field. All of the big teams and best teams have that. There are no big egos in our squad, this is a group that has been successful, improved and got to the Champions League in the last couple of years because they are a team. He knows he needs to fit into that.”

THE HISTORY

Balotelli started his professional career with two appearances for Lumazzane before undergoing an unfruitful trial at Barcelona. Snapped up by Roberto Mancini for Inter back in 2007, Balotelli soon found himself in the first team but his disciplinary record started to slip after Mancini departed. A failure to maintain a rapport with new boss Jose Mourinho saw Balotelli edged onto the periphery and, after serving up 20 goals in 59 appearances, he moved to Man City in the summer of 2010 to be re-acquainted with mentor Mancini.

A litany of on and off-field misdemeanours followed. Whether he was attending a press conference, scoring or getting off the coach in a funny hat, pageantry was never far behind. Balotelli never became a first team regular, with Sergio Aguero impossible to displace, but had a sterling scoring record given his limited appearances (20 goals in 53 games).

Fantasy-wise, the Italian international never broke the 100-point barrier in his time at City but his most successful season (2011/12) produced 13 goals and two Fantasy Premier League (FPL) assists over 1,326 minutes – roughly 6.5 points for every 90 minutes on the pitch. He also picked up four red cards and 11 yellows in his two-and-a-half-year spell at the Etihad, but perhaps more worryingly for Liverpool and Fantasy managers alike, only managed four FPL assists.

Balotelli’s move to Milan in 2013 also provided decent statistics. In 18 months he scored 27 goals including a spectacular 30-yard, 109 km/h free kick against Livorno in December 2013. His off-field stunts were too much for the Milanese to bear, though, and he found himself surplus to requirements this summer.

Balotelli’s international career has been decent. Having spurned the chance to play for Ghana, he obtained Italian citizenship and has 13 goals in 33 caps to his name. He was the Azzurri’s first-choice striker at the World Cup, having established himself at Euro 2012 and, of course, scored the winner against England in the group stages.

THE PROSPECTS

Balotelli is an explosive forward who promises fireworks (literally) everywhere he goes. The overwhelming relief felt by Milan regarding his sale is yet to produce even a hint of buyer’s remorse at Anfield, though, and at 10.0 in FPL, if he can become a regular starter for the high-scoring Reds, he could be a Fantasy bargain.

Nonetheless, the reality is that, at present, there’s a lot of uncertainty as to whether he will slot into Rodgers’ system. Going back to his tenure at Swansea, high intensity and strong work ethics have been integral to his methods – Balotelli is certainly intense but his work ethic leaves much to be desired.

It is also unclear how he will line up with Sturridge. With Luis Suarez gone, Liverpool have opted to play the Englishman as a lone striker but Super Mario’s arrival could see Liverpool revert to the 4-1-2-1-2 with which they had so much success last season, with Raheem Sterling fielded at the tip of the midfield diamond. Such a scenario could diminish the playing time of Philippe Coutinho, who was substituted after 59 minutes against Manchester City – and with £25 million-man Adam Lallana yet to kick a ball, there are more questions than answers resulting from the transfer.

One matter that is unlikely to change for Liverpool is their incumbent penalty taker. Skipper Steven Gerrard has been entrusted with spot-kicks for years and is unlikely to be replaced, even by someone with a record as immense as Balotelli’s. Further analysis of the stats indicates this is particularly bad news for Balotelli’s Fantasy prospects. While he does produce goals from open play and scores the odd free-kick, 24 of his 86 strikes have been penalties, including five of his 20 Premier League goals.

The contrast with Suarez is inevitable and, while most strikers would pale in comparison to Suarez’s production, Balotelli is certainly no exception. The Uruguayan scored 0.63 goals per appearance during his time in England compared to Balotelli’s 0.37 and also managed to be a legendary Fantasy player without ever scoring a penalty. Suarez also blew Balotelli away in terms of last season’s numbers. He produced more shots (5.5 to 5.1), key passes (2.6 to 1.1) and chances created (2.6 to 1.3) per match than the Italian. The new boy’s chance conversion rate (13.3%) last season was also inferior to Suarez’ 17.1%.

Balotelli is a fascinating player who will undoubtedly provide great entertainment this season but it’s too early to say whether Rodgers can bring out the best in him. He has the potential to slot into a potent attack, and at 1.5 cheaper than Sturridge, could prove great value. With Sterling at 8.6 in midfield, though, many may choose to overlook the new boy to begin with, but with an excellent set of fixtures from Gameweek 4 onwards, he certainly has the platform to quickly make his mark.

Further Reference

Mario Balotelli Wikipedia

Mario Balotelli Transfer Markt Page

Mario Balotelli You Tube Highlights

Bantasy Football Proud founder of Bantasy Football, privileged contributor on Fantasy Football Scout and foolishly optimistic Spurs fan.

4,236 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Scoredelario
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Anyone else considering hedging their bets re gametime, by bringing aguero in but not captaining him?

    1. Hubert
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      If I bring him in, I'll captain him.

      1. Scoredelario
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Let's see if pellegrini gives any clues then

  2. Messi & fabregas
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    so... costa to be replaced by:

    A) RVP

    B) Sturidge

    C) Balotelli

    D) Aguero

    1. Scoredelario
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      D for the quality.
      Or
      B for the assurance of starts.

      I don't think RVP has looked anywhere near good enough yet.

  3. BayerNevaLusen
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Dzeko owners keeping him?

    1. laGan1n1
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      yes

  4. sinik
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Nike has a 30 day return policy no questions asked. 30 days from shipping date. I just got an email saying that my NikeID cleats have been delayed and will ship no later than 9/25 (but if they can't ship by then they'll just cancel the order and refund me) which is bullshit because I placed the order 7/14. So what I'm doing is buying a pair of Superflys now with next day delivery and when my NikeIDs do arrive, I just take the new ones to a Nike Store and they refund the full price no questions asked! Added bonus of being able to cancel the NikeIDs if I don't end up liking playing in them.

    1. Scoredelario
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Save the transfer

  5. Mr Sarcastic
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    If you are getting Aguero in for Costa - are you going to captain him?
    Wouldn't surprise me if he gets 30 min again. Not totally convinced about Rooney (c) either tough.

    1. BayerNevaLusen
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Are you being sarcastic?

    2. Scoredelario
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      I'm having the same issue, which is why I'm considering signing but not captaining. Does seem a bit non committal though. Pellegrini may shed light on it

    3. Captain Peacock
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      I think it's been established now that 30 min is more than enough time for him to score

  6. Rinseboy
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Guys is this wildcard team a punt too far! I love it but probably too punty just yet?

    please Give me your opinions!!

    Krul
    Clyne PVA Wisdom Caulker NTaylor
    Di Maria Sanchez Hazard Tadic Siggy
    Aguero Adebayor Wood

  7. RamaJama
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Who will fall in price first, Chambers or Dzeko?

  8. SpaceCadet
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Remy/ Pelle/ Ade or Bony?

    1. Rex Lapis
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Bony

    2. BayerNevaLusen
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Ade

  9. BayerNevaLusen
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Just noticed that Di maria is 9.5 and Eto'o is 6. Eto'o could be a bargain 😀

    1. Rex Lapis
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Eto'o nailed on?

      1. BayerNevaLusen
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Obviously not at this stage. But he could be a great player if he cements a starting spot.

  10. The Man Pastore
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    HI, my 3 strikers are Costa, Rooney and Naismith

    Did Bojan -> Naismith early before Bojan drops.

    I still have 1FT, should I replace Costa now or bench him and wait next week? Who would you replace him by?

    1. Scoredelario
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      How much $?

      1. The Man Pastore
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Sorry, 0.4 in the bank

        1. Scoredelario
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          9 years, 9 months ago

          If Costa is confirmed out you should sell. I guess the popular choice is jovetic since you can't afford aguero.

          A safer pick might be adebayor

    2. sinik
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      wait for Friday presser. he could be out 1-2 weeks (which doesn't matter with international break comging up) and you stick or be out 4-5+ where you twist

      1. The Man Pastore
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        I heard 6 weeks though..

        1. sinik
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 9 months ago

          all speculation unless it's a quote from Chelsea/Mourinho though

      2. RamaJama
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        And Costa will be price protected?

        1. sinik
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 9 months ago

          he's actually going up so you have nothing to worry about except him missing out on said rise

        2. Derbz87
          • 9 Years
          9 years, 9 months ago

          actually this is incorrect any sort of flag doesn't price protect its only once said flag is removed besides which FPL have yet to flag him

      3. Scoredelario
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        I wouldn't stick while there is any doubt. Their fixtures after the break aren't particularly appealing anyway

        1. The Man Pastore
          • 9 Years
          9 years, 9 months ago

          I might do Costa --> Jovetic then. I don't have Man City cover too..

          But I will waste my FT left, that really was not in my plan!

          I don't know if I should bench him one week and bring aguero in next week for 2FT.

          my full team is:

          De Gea (Gilks)
          Debuchy Clyne Cahill (wisdom Bruce)
          Hazard Mata Siggy Ramsey (Elmohamady)
          Costa Rooney Naismith

  11. Rafe63
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    So Giroud and Costa injured.. how big a points knock do you think you'd avoid with a wild card?

  12. Damo.
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Champions League Draw!!

    1. Damo.
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Costa injured!?

    2. BayerNevaLusen
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      What time is it?

      1. Damo.
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Not til 4ish this evening I think man

  13. RamaJama
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Worth bringing in Aguero when you have Dzeko?

    1. Captain Peacock
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Yes, if you sell dzeko for adebayor soon.

      1. RamaJama
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Yes, thinking of that move next GW. Have 2 FTs, have to use them on
        Costa to Aguero
        Terry to Coloccini

  14. Dangerous Dave
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Drogba is essential now.

    1. Captain Peacock
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      If Costa is back soon, no.
      If Costa is not back soon, also no.
      They will get Falcao or someone.

      1. Coaly
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        No we won't

  15. The 12th Man
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    What to do if Costa news is confirmed? 3.5 itb FT used for this week

    Krul
    Caulker, Clyne, Wisdom
    Lamela, Ramsey, Siggy, Sterling
    Jovetic, Rooney, Costa

    Elliott, Marney, Chester, Chambers

    A. Costa > ? For -4. Thinking Aguero, Adebayor, Drogba risk.
    B. Play WC and fix issues with Caulker, Chambers + get in Fabregas

    1. Captain Peacock
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      A. But wait to see.

  16. BayerNevaLusen
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Am I the only one that is not talking about Costa!? Maybe because I don't own him 😀

    1. Derbz87
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      In fairness if its true this Costa news doesn't just affect Costa owners Chelsea might well look a shadow of the side without him as the focal point of attacks for the coming tricky fixtures potentially affecting points hauls for Fabregas etc.... right through to the defence. Its a knock on effect the team doesn't play as well struggles for results etc...

      1. BayerNevaLusen
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        I don't own any Chelsea mids as well 😀

        1. Strificus
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 9 months ago

          ".... right through to the defence"

  17. Christina.
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    the joy of 2 FT.

    like a mini WC with all the hits that will fly around tomorrow.

    1. Strificus
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      I had that joy; until I blew them last night. ha

  18. Rafe63
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    anyone fancying Walters after last night?

  19. BayerNevaLusen
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Im assuming that none of the Price changes sites are reliable these days?

    1. Captain Peacock
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Nope

  20. Darth
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Just thought I would share with you all my latest shot of the Milky Way, hope you like it.

    https://m.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=692092384210134&substory_index=0&id=336709546415088

    Sorry for the non-fpl talk 🙂

    1. Wilshere Knowledge
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Wow! 😀

  21. Make United Great Again
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    So far Jovetic has gone up 0.2.

    I hate waiting on pressers. But then Costa getting injured proves waiting is the best thing!

  22. Scotty B
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    I was going to come on here and ask who to play out of:-

    Kaboul, Clyne & Lovren?

    But now just woke up to the news that Costa is injured!

    Do I now take a -4 hit or just play two of the above rather than just the one??

    1. Rafe63
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      take a 4 point knock and lose 0.2 you mean

  23. Orion
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Don't worry about Costas injury... Chelsea have a decent replacement in front... Ivan is going to become real OOP 😀

    1. Ryan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Fabregas as a false 9 is on the cards imo

      1. Orion
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Yeah that is reality, maybe, but I went for Ivan because he spent most time in the box for now... 😀

    2. BayerNevaLusen
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Or maybe Torres or Drogba might play.......

      1. Orion
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        That has nothing to do with FPL 😀

    3. Derbz87
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      All joking aside this is a real life lesson in why putting all your eggs in one basket is not a good idea! This is why the likes of City have such options up front and why Liverpool have moved to get Balotelli in, especially with Sturridges track record with injuries. Chelsea gambled big time in hedging their bets with Costa whilst letting Etoo, Lukaku and Ba (possibly Torres too) leave the club whilst only bringing in an over the hill Drogba as a feel good gesture. News hasn't been confirmed yet but it could backfire spectacularly on Mourinho

      1. Orion
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        True that, also...

  24. The Man Pastore
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    I might do Costa --> Jovetic this week. I don't have Man City cover too..

    But I will waste my FT left, that really was not in my plan!

    Do you think I should bench him one week and bring Aguero in next week for 2FT?

    my full team is:

    De Gea (Gilks)
    Debuchy Clyne Cahill (wisdom Bruce)
    Hazard Mata Siggy Ramsey (Elmohamady)
    Costa Rooney Naismith

    1FT/0.4 in the bank

  25. Koflok
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Tempted again by Naismith even after 0.3 price swing from Bojan falls and his rise.

    1. Strificus
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      I wonder what happens with Eto'o in the picture.

      1. Koflok
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Naismith won't be drop surely. Their best player so far.. 😉

  26. Ohhhhh Gary Macca!
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Is it worth taking a -4 hit on Costa?

    I'm thinking
    Costa -> Aguero/Sturridge/Balotelli/Adebayor

    2.0m ITB

    1. The 12th Man
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Same here. I'm thinking Aguero or Adebayor

    2. Strificus
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Consider the following:
      - How much points do you think any bench replacement could make? (1-2 points?)
      - How many points do you think a replacement will make (~6 points?)

      You're almost banking on breaking even. If the replacement doesn't score; it isn't worth it.

      No one can answer this question for you. Part of the game is making these gut decisions.

  27. Ohhhhh Gary Macca!
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    What's everyone doing if they play 352? Still worth a hit?

  28. snakeheart42
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Guys,
    I'm fairly new to this FPL thing and I just wanted to ask. I've already taken a four-point hit to bring in Steven Naismith for Bojan and Siggy for Henderson. And now I'm heraing that Diego Costa would be sidelined for 4 weeks due to a hamstring injury. I'd like to swap him but I fear I'd have to use my wildcard. Would this mean my four point deduction for my previous confirmed transfers will be disregarded? Or I'd still be deducted 4 points even with the wildcard. Thanks!

    1. tw
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      just lose costa for another 4pt hit. a WC is worth more than just 3 or 4 transfers

      but if you do WC, it will erase any hits you took that week.

    2. Amateur Pundit Zan
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      You will be refunded any points hits for that GW.

      I wouldn't use a WC just to deal with one injury unless you see it as an opportunity to transform your team

  29. Amateur Pundit Zan
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Anyone know that feeling when you've partied all night and suddenly there are people up and about going about their morning business and it messes with your mind a little bit. I feel that at the end of the DZ sometimes.