Opinion

The Knee Jerk – Gameweek 3 – Sunday

This was meant to be the day that would see talent from the north London clubs cause tremors in the Fantasy Premier League ranks and market place. Instead, both Spurs and Arsenal fell flat – to varying degrees of disaster.

Harry Kane had the opportunity to transform the Fantasy Football landscape. Not only could he have buried the August goal hoodoo, but he could also have delivered points for the 16.1% who captained him to capitalise on the failings of others – including Romelu Lukaku’s zero point score.

Once again he blanked. Once again the numbers he produced defied belief.

Kane had ten attempts on goal, seven from inside the box. For the second match running, he has surpassed his personal record for the number of shots in a single Premier League match without scoring.

This season Kane has fired just 25% of his efforts on target with a zero conversion rate. His rates for both in 2016/17 were 52% and 26% respectively.

According to certain statistical models, he should have 2.5 goals by now. But he hasn’t. He’s got nothing, and he’s being ushered out of FPL squads at a pace.

To compound matters, both Chelsea’s Alvaro Morata and Roberto Firmino of Liverpool provided goal and assist returns with maximum bonus to overtake Lukaku in the forward standings.

They provide an obvious exit route for those left feeling decidedly uneasy about Kane’s extraordinary three-match drought.

Dismissing talk of the August “curse”, there is perhaps another reason behind this sorry spell: maybe Spurs really are destined to struggle at Wembley.

We have just two “home” matches to go on – the first against the champions Chelsea, while it should also be noted that Spurs only edged out Burnley 2-1 at White Hart Lane last season.

However, there is building momentum behind the theory that Mauricio Pochettino’s men could lack intensity and that sides will raise their game on visiting Wembley.

With Swansea City and Bournemouth the next two opponents due to arrive, we will surely have more evidence soon. Falter against that pair, and our confidence in Kane and Spurs’ other key assets – Christian Eriksen and Dele Alli – will plummet.

While it’s a testing trip to Everton to come next, those forthcoming home fixtures, coupled with the unfeasible and record-breaking numbers – may convince many Kane owners to sit on their hands, even when faced with cheaper and more profitable temptations.

Spurs toiled, but their suffering pales in significance next to the cataclysmic display delivered by Arsenal at Anfield.

Like Kane, Alexis Sanchez had the opportunity to put Fantasy managers in a spin. Instead, he played a 60-minute role in a farcical Gunners performance which may actually transpire to be his last for the club.

It remains to be seen if Sanchez stays in the Premier League to be a factor in our season. For now, he played his part in making Liverpool’s attacking assets seem irresistible, as the aforementioned Firmino pulled the strings for both Sadio Mane and Mo Salah to step up with further hauls.

It appears that there is still one thing we can all rely on as Fantasy managers: Liverpool will present us with the dilemma of putting many attacking eggs in a single basket.

With Kane – our most bankable scorer currently defying all odds to misfire – perhaps we should just embrace that “problem”.

Mark Mark created the beast. He's now looking to tame it.

4,192 Comments Post a Comment
  1. andy85wsm
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 9 months ago

    Stream link is up - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gbtBvwPK2Oo

    Chatting FPL in a few minutes

    1. G-Whizz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 9 months ago

      I'll tune in, and relive a miserable game week 😆

    2. CFC96
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 9 months ago

      Tuned in, keep up the great content Andy

    3. Weasel51
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 9 months ago

      Always a great watch.

      Keep it up Andy.

  2. Garlana
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 9 months ago

    Reckon lukaku will be off pens for now or do you think mourinho will keep faith with him?

    1. KingNidge
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 9 months ago

      Pogba will hit the next one i reckon

    2. Rainer
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 9 months ago

      Reckon he still has them once he's seen practicing them.

    3. ooooo
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 9 months ago

      I think he'll still take them

  3. merin
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 9 months ago

    How would you get Kane into this team?
    I'm getting rid of either Eriksen or Alli, but that alone doesn't give me enough to do Chic -> Kane.
    Any suggestion for how I can get more funds?

    Foster Elliot
    Valencia Tripper Yoshida Hegazi Mbemba
    Eriksen Alli Mkhitaryan Salah T.Carroll
    Lukaku Chicharito Mounie

    WC active , ITB: 0.8

    1. SC not pearls before swine
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 9 months ago

      Valencia to Jones (Or your preferred 5-5.5 million defender) seems most obvious.

    2. Weasel Boy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 9 months ago

      Do u really want Kane?

      1. merin
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 9 months ago

        Hmm... maybe not yet i think.
        I'll wait for him to hit form 🙂

    3. J ⚒ Gimme ur Mané
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 9 months ago

      Does this work?

      Valencia to jones
      Alli to atsu,
      mounie to Kane.

      1. merin
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 9 months ago

        It does. My a margin of 0.2m 🙂

        1. J ⚒ Gimme ur Mané
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          6 years, 9 months ago

          Maybe that's an option then?

          I think it's good to keep Chica because he's captain material this gameweek.

          1. merin
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 8 Years
            6 years, 9 months ago

            Actually, I think I'll wait before getting Kane in.
            He has to be in form, and right now it looks like he's dropping.

        2. svv040
          • 7 Years
          6 years, 9 months ago

          wait for the price to drop, he can easily be 12.3 by end of next week

          1. merin
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 8 Years
            6 years, 9 months ago

            Good call. Thanks! 🙂

  4. FPL Maldini
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 9 months ago

    Did Eriksen still look better than Alli today despite the Alli goal?

    1. Team Cruel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 9 months ago

      Does it matter who looks better? Mkhi has five assists despite playing poorly. At the end of the day it's the points that matter.

  5. Dr Dream
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 9 months ago

    Really poor start to the season for me....

    Fantasy Road cc going a lot better though. Great game.

  6. Weasel Boy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 9 months ago

    Kane to Morata
    Hegazi to Alonso are looking good right now

  7. Lone Wolf
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 9 months ago

    Jesus > Morata today to get price rise? (Got 2FT and WC)

    1. ooooo
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 9 months ago

      It's either him or Firmino

      1. Lone Wolf
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 9 months ago

        butwoul you do it today?

    2. J ⚒ Gimme ur Mané
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 9 months ago

      He won't rise tonight.

      1. Lone Wolf
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 9 months ago

        so you say NO?

        1. J ⚒ Gimme ur Mané
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          6 years, 9 months ago

          International break..... so early transfers could get you a nice profit through rises, but I can't see him being a massive bandwagon and potentially double or triple rising so if your doing it for money I'm not sure it's worth it.

          Think Jesus will do better than him anyway.

  8. StayoutheSpiceZone
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 9 months ago

    Keeping Serg and KDB, madness?

    1. JONALDINHO
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 9 months ago

      Yes.

    2. ooooo
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 9 months ago

      Could be

      1. StayoutheSpiceZone
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        6 years, 9 months ago

        Yes I was gonna do Kane for Aguero but I could see the Liverpool game having more goals than Everton vs spurs

    3. Eton Rifles
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 9 months ago

      um.....

      yep

    4. Weasel Boy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 9 months ago

      Defo.
      City rotation is a nightmare and they are awful at mo

      1. StayoutheSpiceZone
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        6 years, 9 months ago

        So which one to go? Not getting rid of both

  9. JONALDINHO
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 9 months ago

    Foster - (Elliot)
    Bertrand - Stephens - Suttner - (Ake) - (Long)
    Eriksen - Mkhitaryan - Willian - Carroll - (Ward Prowse)
    Kane - Lukaku - Firmino

    WC? If not what transfers should I make?Thanks!

    1. StayoutheSpiceZone
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 9 months ago

      I like this team

      1. JONALDINHO
        • 6 Years
        6 years, 9 months ago

        Thx!

    2. ooooo
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 9 months ago

      It's very strong

      1. JONALDINHO
        • 6 Years
        6 years, 9 months ago

        U think!Stephens,Willian,JWP are rotation risks and Kane will drop

      2. StayoutheSpiceZone
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        6 years, 9 months ago

        So Sergio out or KDB? Not shipping both

        1. JONALDINHO
          • 6 Years
          6 years, 9 months ago

          Hard desicion. Sergio probably because he's a rotation risk

  10. Expected goals stars
    Frip
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 9 months ago

    I posted this in a thread earlier. Comparing the top 3 xG leaders so far: Lukaku, Kane, Salah.

    Kane:
    Goal: 0 (0 shots)
    Post: 0.53 xG (2 shots)
    Saved: 1.04 xG (6 shots)
    Blocked: 0.64 xG (11 shots)
    Missed target: 0.34 xG (5 shots)
    Total: 2.55 (24 shots)

    There's no doubt that Kane has been unlucky with 1.57 xG (8 shots) resulting in saves or the woodwork. However, He has 11 blocked shots – those are almost half of his total shots. Not to mention his 5 shots off target. Seems like he's just firing at will, thereby inflating his stats. The thing about Kane is that his volume is so high that he also has his "better half" – the 8 shots that were saved or hit the woodwork. I think there's an argument to bring him in based on those "good" shots, since those 8 are still more than Salah or Lukaku.

    Lukaku:
    Goal: 1.45 xG (3 shots)
    Post: 0 xG (0 shots)
    Saved: 0.86 xG (3 shots)
    Blocked: 0.46 xG (4 shots)
    Missed target: 0.24 xG (4 shots)
    Total: 3.01 (14 shots)

    Lukaku has been clinical so far. The only reason his xG aligns with his actual goals is because he missed a penalty worth 0.76 xG. Otherwise things have been going as well as they could be for him -> only 0.1 xG saved and no woodwork.

    Salah:
    Goal: 1.39 xG (2 shots)
    Post: 0 xG (0 shots)
    Saved: 1.20 xG (6 shots)
    Blocked: 0 xG (0 shots)
    Missed: 0.23 xG (4 shots)
    Total: 2.81 xG (12 shots)

    Salah is clinical on the other hand. It's worth noting that all 4 of his missed shots have come from similar positions in the right side of the box. When he gets in on the other side he puts his shots on target very well.

    My personal takeway from this is that I'll wait out the price drops and then bring in Kane after the break. Depending on the internationals, I'm also gonna try to fit Salah in. Mane might be the better player overall, but so far Salah has been the one getting into the most dangerous positions most often. I'm gonna hold Lukaku and temper expectations a little.

    1. JONALDINHO
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 9 months ago

      Still think Mane is better than Salah. Salah only seems to get involved when games open up but Mane is always a threat. Salah won't have much space in behind against the likes of West Brom,stoke,etc which is where he thrives.

      1. Frip
        • 11 Years
        6 years, 9 months ago

        That's a good observation and a great example of why you shouldn't base 100% of your decisions on the stats. I was also leaning towards Mane and I think you nailed the reason for that. He's more involved while games are still tight it seems. As long as I find the 0.5m I'm going Mane

        1. Spag Bolasie
          • 6 Years
          6 years, 9 months ago

          Mane is involved in the build up more, but Salah makes runs into the dangerous areas you want your players in. He rarely misses the target with chances.
          If you opt for Mane at 0.5 more youre doing something wrong.

    2. J ⚒ Gimme ur Mané
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 9 months ago

      Thanks, great post.

      I've got all three of them and they won't move all season for me I don't think.

    3. andy85wsm
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 9 months ago

      Great post - thanks for this.

      1. Frip
        • 11 Years
        6 years, 9 months ago

        Thanks 🙂

    4. tisza
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 9 months ago

      also have to factor in Salah has played about 60 minutes less than the other 2. Improves his stats but does raise the ugly threat of rotation.

      1. grumpyman
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 9 months ago

        Or it means he's had his rest and the others will be rotated.

  11. LosBlancos
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 9 months ago

    Is it worth losing Kane for the next GW, then bringing him in straight aftwr that and basically getting an extra .2m in your bank? (would cost 2 transfers though)

    1. LosBlancos
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 9 months ago

      maybe .3 if he drops by that much

    2. JONALDINHO
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 9 months ago

      That's what I'm considering,just don't know his replacement

  12. Football Heaven
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 9 months ago

    How did morata look?

  13. Wild Rover
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 9 months ago

    Bottomed..

    Didn't see the game but everyone was saying Morata was poor, miles off the pace etc but suddenly became a beast. What's the story?

    1. Dr Dream
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 9 months ago

      Usually folk who own a player say that he's playing worse than he actually is...so I take no notice....

    2. el polako
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 9 months ago

      Looked off pace and not really reading his teammates intentions.
      Still grabbed a good header and assist, surely sign of a good player.

    3. Eton Rifles
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 9 months ago

      he's played 186 mins and is on 24 points
      that's all I need to know

    4. CloudSky
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 9 months ago

      Flukey assist and a header later...

      1. CloudSky
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 9 months ago

        I mean you know how it goes here. 🙂

  14. kareem akk
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 9 months ago

    i got
    foster ( elliot)
    bertrand Davies Alonso ( Mee Francies )
    KDB SALAH Richarlison Mooy Alli
    Lukaku Chicharito ( Crouch)

    and i dont know what to change

  15. Football Heaven
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 9 months ago

    Just to point out, Kane has a threat level of 303 on for which is huge. Don't really know what they mean buy threat but is that a sign?

  16. el polako
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 9 months ago

    Kane, oh Kane...
    I will sell him and he will score.
    I will keep him and he will keep getting good underlying stats but not real points.
    I feel wounded and pissed off after his 3 consecutive blanks as captain.
    Might just go Morata for 1 gw to make some money.

  17. Football Heaven
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 9 months ago

    ALLI VS ERIKSEN

    1. Dr Dream
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 9 months ago

      Same as last year. Pick one a stick with it and hope you get the higher scoring one of the two....but it will only be by a few pts either way anyway...

  18. ooooo
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 9 months ago

    Will Kane really drop 0.3mil?

    1. Chenku╰☆╮
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 9 months ago

      no max .1

    2. Syd.
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 9 months ago

      No

    3. Aston-villain
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 9 months ago

      I think 0.2 is likely

    4. Wild Rover
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 9 months ago

      I would guess .2, one drop now as folk knee jerk, then another when majority make transfers nearer deadline

  19. FantasyNik123
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 9 months ago

    Kane (c) next week. This man is driving me mad but he just has to score.

    1. el polako
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 9 months ago

      Two season ago I was telling myself that Leicesters phenomenon wont last,refused to buy their players...
      Ended up with my worst OR ever.
      Just saying that sometimes this game makes no sense at all, and what you believe in can come back and bite you big time.

    2. grumpyman
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 9 months ago

      This.

  20. Aston-villain
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 9 months ago

    Kolasinac and Willian to Pogba and Jones -4....yes or no?

    1. Drip Doctor
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 9 months ago

      Hmmm, i think Kolasinac will start next GW. It will be a goo GW to have him too.

  21. KGFC
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 9 months ago

    Which is better?

    1. Mbemba + Richarlison + 0.3itb
    2. Naughton + 5.8 MID?

    If 2, then which is a better pick... Mooy / Brady / Atsu / Doucoure ...?

  22. ABCDEFC
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 9 months ago

    Forster (Elliott)
    Yoshida / Stones / Hegazi (Dummett, Long)
    Salah / De Bruyne / JWP / Ritchie (Carroll)
    Kane(C) / Jesus / Firmino

    Stones, Dummett, JWP, KDB >> Jones, Clark, Pogba, Silva (-8)?
    Or should I wildcard and make more changes?

  23. Danstoke82
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 9 months ago

    Hi guys, A or B?

    A) Mane + Zanka
    B) Salah + Maguire

    ?

    1. WUSS
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 9 months ago

      A

    2. merin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 9 months ago

      B

  24. WUSS
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 9 months ago

    Foster / Elliot
    Stephens Alonso Davies /Long Francis
    Ritchie Pogba Debruyne Willian /Caroll
    Kane Moonie Lukaku

    A. Kane -> Morata & Debruyne -> Mane for a hit.
    B. Wildcard
    Foster / Elliot
    Stephens Jones Hegazi Davies /Long
    Mikhi Salah Pogba Eriksen /Caroll
    Lukaku Morata Jrod

    1. merin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 9 months ago

      That WC team has 4 Manu-players, so it wont work.

  25. nkhoughton
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 9 months ago

    Who to drop to double pool attack?

    Eriksen Willian Pogba RLC Salah
    Kane Jesus

    0.5 itb

    1. Carcetti
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 9 months ago

      Jesus

    2. WUSS
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 9 months ago

      Double them up next week

      1. nkhoughton
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 9 months ago

        Not think they can beat city?

  26. Del Monte
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 9 months ago

    Thoughts on this WC please?

    Forster Elliot

    Alonso Davies Jones Holgate Mbemba

    XXX Mane Tadic XXX Carroll

    Kane Lukaku Abraham

    A) De Bruyne (Don't laugh, he will come good just like Kane) & Mooy/Atsu
    B) Alli/Eriksen & Ince/Phillips/Ritchie
    C) Mkhitaryan/Pogba & Fabregas/William/Ramsey/Ayew/Lanzini/Arnautovic

    1. merin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 9 months ago

      C

  27. Call Me Old Fashioned
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 9 months ago

    https://fantasy.premierleague.com/a/team/30469/event/3

    If this was your team would you wildcard?

    1. Team Cruel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 9 months ago

      Never.

    2. diesel001
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 9 months ago

      Nope - change Danilo and Mounie for a -4.

      1. Call Me Old Fashioned
        • 13 Years
        6 years, 9 months ago

        There is no one better for less than 7M now

  28. THFC4LIFE
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 9 months ago

    Rate this wildcard team please

    Forster Elliot
    Jones Bertrand Hegazi Mee Long
    Mhki Eriksen Salah Richarlison T.Carrol
    Morata Firmino Lukaku

    1. merin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 9 months ago

      Decent, except for Long. Get Mbemba instead.

    2. grumpyman
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 9 months ago

      Looks good. Apart from the fact in 2 weeks you'll be ripping it up to get Kane back in 😉

  29. FPL Blow-In
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 9 months ago

    2questions.

    What was LMS safety score?

    Aguero to Kane, Firminio or Morata

  30. F4L
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 9 months ago

    When's Bertrand going to get some attacking returns? surely he must do soon

    1. diesel001
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 9 months ago

      Be happy with the clean sheet points and BAPS