Spot the Differential

Spot The Differential – Gameweek 31

While we have a limited pool of players to choose from this week, we are still confident our trio of differentials can deliver once again.

A returning Crystal Palace attacker tops the bill, while a West Brom forward and a Liverpool defender are also backed to produce.

Wilfried Zaha

After supplying an assist on his return from injury in last weekend’s 2-1 defeat to Chelsea, Crystal Palace’s Wilfried Zaha could be a powerful differential in Gameweek 31.

The Ivory Coast international is expected to return to the starting XI for this afternoon’s trip to Huddersfield Town.

Eagles boss Roy Hodgson is likely to continue with a 4-4-2 formation and Zaha could be handed a start alongside either Christian Benteke or Alexander Sorloth up front.

Despite injuries limiting him to just 20 starts this season, Zaha sits second for penalty area shots (36), shots on target (15) and chances created (38) among Palace players.

He may have managed just four goals and as many assists so far, but Zaha’s minutes per shot (61.7 to 41.6) and minutes per chance created (80 to 48) are both up from last season, when he supplied seven goals, 11 assists and a career-high 149 points.

Owned by just 6.0% of Fantasy Premier League managers, Zaha promises to be a key influence against Huddersfield.

The Terriers kept a clean sheet at home to 10-man Swansea City last weekend, but they had conceded eight goals across their previous three matches at the John Smith’s Stadium.

Zaha’s 3.6 points per match is superior to any other Palace attacker and, at just 6.8 in FPL, he represents a stand-out differential option.

Salomon Rondon

With two goals from his last five Gameweek starts, and faced with a favourable trip to Bournemouth, West Bromwich Albion’s Salomon Rondon is worth a look.

The Cherries have mustered a single clean sheet from their last 17 encounters, while they rank first for the most shots conceded inside the box (43) and big chances allowed (16) over the last four Gameweeks.

Eddie Howe’s side have also conceded the most headed chances this season with 82, which is a weakness the 6.0-priced Rondon can exploit.

The Venezuelan’s numbers in recent weeks underline his status as the Baggies’ main attacking threat.

His nine shots inside the box over the last four Gameweeks put him fourth among players with a Gameweek 31 fixture, while no team-mate has registered more than three penalty area attempts.

With an ownership of only 1% in FPL, Rondon can be a real difference maker in Gameweek 31 for those maverick managers amongst us.

Virgil van Dijk

Liverpool’s star-studded attacking trio are garnering much of the interest ahead of this evening’s home meeting with Watford, but Virgil van Dijk is unfortunate to be on the periphery of our thinking.

The centre-back has been brought in by just 29,000 managers since Saturday’s deadline, which is less than a tenth of the interest there has been in team-mate Roberto Firmino.

Indeed, he is only the fifth most transferred-in Reds player.

But with the potential to deliver points at both ends of the pitch, the 7.7%-owned defender is worthy of taking up one of our three Liverpool slots.

Jurgen Klopp’s side boast the third strongest home defence, having conceded just 10 goals at Anfield.

Eight of their 12 clean sheets have come in front of their own fans.

Today’s opponents Watford travel to Merseyside having scored just two goals in their last eight away matches.

So the omens for defensive returns appear strong, while van Dijk has offered a real set-piece threat after joining from Southampton in January.

Since making his Reds debut in Gameweek 24, van Dijk has produced nine shots, with eight of those coming from inside the penalty area.

Only Leicester City’s Harry Maguire (11) and Burnley’s Ben Mee (nine) have registered more penalty area attempts among FPL defenders.

Offering arguably the best chance of both defensive and attacking returns of any defender in the reduced Gameweek 31, the Dutch international makes the decision on the three Liverpool slots a difficult one.

2,383 Comments Post a Comment
  1. SoShy
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Karius
    Mariappa Shindler Daniels
    Gudmsn* Mane Salah(c) Richalison Shaq
    Wilson Tosun

    Fab Aguero Duffy Chilwell

    Should I take a hit and bring in one more player or is this gtg?

    1. Stats Don\'t Lie
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Yes, maybe an eve def, stanislas or rondon?

    2. WE GO FOR IT
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      If it's the first hit, get Stan. Otherwise let it be.

    3. SoShy
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Lots of love for Stan.. I'll do it for the culture

  2. Harry Ball Bag™⚽⚽…
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Anyone going with Mounie captain?

    1. La Roja
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      lol is the word

      1. Harry Ball Bag™⚽⚽…
        • 14 Years
        6 years, 3 months ago

        I’ll keep it on Firmino then 🙂

        1. La Roja
          • 12 Years
          6 years, 3 months ago

          Good lad

    2. Stats Don\'t Lie
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Massive pair of balls you got there sir

    3. Botman and Robben
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Ball Bag the dare-devil!

  3. Clifford☯
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Stanislas Or Zaha for a -4?

    1. Harry Ball Bag™⚽⚽…
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Zaha

    2. RashFraud
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Stan

    3. Stats Don\'t Lie
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Stan

    4. Clifford☯
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Cheers Everyone!

    5. Toblerone52 - Zlatan Ibra-H…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Wilf

    6. V-2 Schneiderlin
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Stan

  4. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    No PreAmble? 🙁

    1. Wild Rover
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Probably at 1pm

    2. El-Kloppico
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      No early Kick off

      1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        6 years, 3 months ago

        Ah. Thanks, both.

  5. Peekay
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Stanislas or Zaha???

    1. Harry Ball Bag™⚽⚽…
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      See above

    2. GE
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Stan

  6. james 101
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    GTG?

    Pickford.
    Alexandra. TAA.
    Salah. Walcott. Shaq.
    King. Firmino. Quaner.

    Nothing worth a hit I presume?

    And... GOOD LUCK!
    Should be an interesting one!!

    1. Harry Ball Bag™⚽⚽…
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      U

      1. james 101
        • 12 Years
        6 years, 3 months ago

        Cryptic!

    2. Make United Great Again
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      You’re good to go good luck

      1. james 101
        • 12 Years
        6 years, 3 months ago

        Thanks mate!

    3. Stats Don\'t Lie
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Who's Alexandra?

      1. james 101
        • 12 Years
        6 years, 3 months ago

        Ha. Wtf.

        Baines!!! (And TAA)

        I blame apple (rather than looking at myself)

  7. GE
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    No! My plan was to bring in Zaha and Stanislas, but forgot that I have Hennessey, Speroni and RLC already (max Palace) 🙁

    Lol, so who to bring in here:
    1) King
    2) Mounie
    3) Tosun

    1. Make United Great Again
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Tosunnnnn

    2. Clifford☯
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      2

    3. Stats Don\'t Lie
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      2

  8. Viper
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Which of these is worth a hit?

    Butland, Baines, A. Smith

    A. All

    B. None

    C. One/two (who?)

    🙂

    1. Stats Don\'t Lie
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      C, the defs. Don't think goalies can justify a hit

  9. HD7
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Team is on -8 so far...

    VVD Baines
    Stanislas Shaq* Salah
    Firmino Wilson Mounie

    A) 8 players is enough, hope Shaq is ok
    B) Get Zaha
    D) Get Butland
    E) play the Free Hit and deal with 35 later

    1. Stats Don\'t Lie
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      A

  10. Tekkerslovakiaftw
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Best striker to get in? Already have firmino and wilson

    1. JurgenRocks
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      I got Tosun in

    2. XabiAlonso
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Pull your pants down to do a m....

    3. HD7
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Mounie

    4. Stats Don\'t Lie
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Mounie/rondon

    5. Tekkerslovakiaftw
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Went Tosun in the end

  11. The Polymath
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Only have 2 playing defenders. If one of my midfielders doesn't play will he be subbed by a midfielder on the bench?

    1. Wild Rover
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      You have to have 3 defs, even if one of them is not playing

      1. The Polymath
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 3 months ago

        Sure but if a attacker or forward doesn't play can they still be subbed or will I lose my subs because of not having enough playing defenders,

        1. CloudSky
          • 7 Years
          6 years, 3 months ago

          Gets subbed.

          1. The Polymath
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 8 Years
            6 years, 3 months ago

            Thanks

  12. Zilla
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    #THFC: Vorm, Trippier, Sanchez, Vertonghen (C), Davies, Dier, Sissoko, Lamela, Eriksen, Lucas, Son. #COYS

    1. Zilla
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Son ST will be a must

      1. La Roja
        • 12 Years
        6 years, 3 months ago

        ST?

        1. CloudSky
          • 7 Years
          6 years, 3 months ago

          Striker.

      2. Les Bleus
        • 12 Years
        6 years, 3 months ago

        Potential TC even.

      3. Pasqualinho
        • 15 Years
        6 years, 3 months ago

        I’m keeping. But a fixture away at Chelsea is a tough one.

        1. Zilla
          • 6 Years
          6 years, 3 months ago

          Yeah it will be tough one for sure, but you won't be surprised if he scored

    2. CRO KLOPP
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Alli dropped?

      1. La Roja
        • 12 Years
        6 years, 3 months ago

        Injured

        1. CRO KLOPP
          • 6 Years
          6 years, 3 months ago

          Yes,I forgot, cheers

  13. La Roja
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Where the heck is preamble?

    Uncool thing to do when there is less games Mr Sutherns

    1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      + 42. 🙂

    2. Wild Rover
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Deadline is at 2pm so I'm guessing it will be later

      1. Park the bus
        • 13 Years
        6 years, 3 months ago

        This was my assumption too. Calm down 🙂

    3. CRO KLOPP
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Pregamble this week

      1. La Roja
        • 12 Years
        6 years, 3 months ago

        lol

  14. FPL AXE
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    When will the DGW fixtures be revealed?

    1. Les Bleus
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      It seems after the FA cup games this weekend.

    2. La Roja
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Could be on Monday

  15. Park the bus
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Baines or Coleman for the final piece of my free hit team. Reckon Tosun May take pens which is putting me off Baines!

    1. Hart-ake
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      It's such a 50/50 call. I'm siding with Coleman...just.

  16. mcrayeps
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Rival already -8 hit, field 8 players, have Lossl
    Me -4 hit, field 10 players, doesnt have any hud def

    Should i :
    A) another -4 hit for Zanka / Schindler
    B) another -4 hit for Bou def
    C) -4 hit is enough

    1. Les Bleus
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      C

    2. 007 [RoboKlopp]
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      C, good luck.

      1. mcrayeps
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 3 months ago

        cheers 😉

  17. Legohair
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Zaha worth -8???

  18. Shultan
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Kane to King or mounie?

  19. Dele
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    So Shaq is fit and starting today after all that?

    1. Wild Rover
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      *fat

    2. Viper
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Says who?

  20. FPL ZB
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Reliable twitter sources (apparently) say Gomez starts over TAA today

    1. Park the bus
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      This is bad - rival has Gomez

  21. Jayben23
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Zaha or Baines ?

  22. ChristoBisto
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    My 16 point hit gives me 11 players this week. The players they replace will score 0. So if the 5 players I've brought in score 16 between them I'm even (3 points each). But if any of Butland, Coleman, PVA, Zaha or Stanislas haul I'm up and bring that average above 3 it becomes profitable. Seems like a favourable gamble to take.

    Have I missed anything in that logic? Obviously I'm aware a player could get a negative score, but as long as they average 3 each together I'm even so nothing lost right?

    Posting this as our community here seems to be quite cautious. Many are taking no hits or one hit and fielding less than 11 players.

    1. ☻ Jon Snow ☻
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Guess you’ve lost a lot of value from your previously fielded team, if you plan to bring them back. Could be that you now can’t afford your favorable XI

      1. ChristoBisto
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 3 months ago

        The players I spoke for these didn't lose much value. My selling value is 103.7m.

    2. Ron_Swanson
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Follow your heart bro. Live by the sword...

    3. Toblerone52 - Zlatan Ibra-H…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      The only trouble is getting rid of all the players next week. Unless youvhave wildcard in which case I guess it's a solid gamble

      1. ChristoBisto
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 3 months ago

        Yes wildcarding either next week or week after, so can get rid of these.

    4. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Very good. And how is your team for NEXT WEEK? Is it as strong as your team for last week? And, if not, why not?

      GW32:

      ARS : STK 599
      BOU : wat -72
      BRI : LEI 3
      BUR : wba 231
      CHE : TOT 16
      CPL : LIV -397
      EVE : MCI -308
      HUD : CPL 121 new -206
      LEI : bri -3
      LIV : cpl 397
      MCY : eve 308
      MUN : SWA 591
      NEW : HUD 206
      SOT : whm -45
      STK : ars -599
      SWA : mun -591
      TOT : che -16
      WAT : BOU 72
      WBA : BUR -231
      WHM : SOU 45

      1. ChristoBisto
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 3 months ago

        Next week is likely to be wildcard time for me, so I don't know how strong it'll be yet for 32. But that's the joy of the wildcard I guess.

        1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          6 years, 3 months ago

          Well, good luck with it. I hope that you have not lost too much value.

          FYI. I bought in Aubameyang, this week. I took - 4.

          1. ChristoBisto
            • 8 Years
            6 years, 3 months ago

            Thank you. My team selling value is 103.7m currently, which I think is okay. How come you brought him in this week? Is it to avoid losing value on Kane?

  23. FPL ZB
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Estimate percentage chances that one of DCL, King or Shaq doesn’t play at all today?

    1. james 101
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      100% hoping that they all won't not play.

      But can't say more than that.

  24. james 101
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Are we pretty sure King is playing?

  25. Spurs Go MaddiSon
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Transfers used, has the cash. Team:

    Foster
    Schindler, VVD
    Salah, Stanislas, Choupo
    Firmino, Mounie

    A) GTG
    B) Tosun -4
    C) Wilson -4
    D) Something else -4

  26. Sedemuda
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Mariappa VVD Zanka
    Salah Styanislas Walcott Allen
    Firmino Niasse
    1 FT King or Wilson?
    Worth a -4 for Pickford or Butland?
    Thoughts appreciated, thanks.

    1. Clifford☯
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Wilson
      Don't take the hit

  27. SoShy
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Those who aren't putting the armband on Salah..
    May the fantasy Gods be at your side

    1. El-Kloppico
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Mane and Firmino can easily outscore him.

  28. Hazz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Who is everyone VC-ing? Firmino, or a non-Liverpool asset?

    1. james 101
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Firmy

      Boring but makes sense

    2. the dom 1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      VC on Firm

  29. Pat Bonner
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Starting to consider Rondon over mounie and Wilson! Maybe not best timing, 10mins before deadline

    1. Sedemuda
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Deadline is at 2pm

      1. Rash
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 3 months ago

        This

      2. Pat Bonner
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        6 years, 3 months ago

        Ah great! Cheers. I can take my time

    2. ☻ Jon Snow ☻
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      10 mins? You got hours left

  30. Viper
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    I'm thinking of doing De Gea & Alonso - > Butland & A. Smith (-8).

    Partly because I think it'll pay off but also partly because I want De Gea & Alonso on my WC and would prefer to get them 0.2 cheaper. Silly thinking?

    1. 007 [RoboKlopp]
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      But you lose some TV for sure?