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Why The Spurs Defence Might be Underpriced

As a Spurs fan, I’ve grown accustomed to not counting on my team for defensive assets in FPL. But since Jose Mourinho‘s arrival, perhaps unsurprisingly I’ve started to notice that change. 

Prior to Mourinho last season, Spurs only kept one clean sheet in 12 matches. This form continued in the early stages of the Mourinho reign, with late goals conceded to West Ham and Bournemouth contributing to Spurs only getting one clean sheet in Mourinho’s first 10 matches. 

But as his tenure progressed, there were signs that he was shoring Spurs up defensively. Even against the best attacking sides in the league, Spurs were capable of defending resolutely: against Liverpool, Spurs defended well with a low block, only conceding to a very good goal by Roberto Firmino (£9.5m); when repeating the trick against Pep’s City, Spurs got the clean sheet and ran out 2-0 winners. Putting aside their off-colour day against Sheffield United, Spurs conceded just five goals from nine games at the back end of last season, racking up four clean sheets after the restart. 

This improvement in defence is particularly impressive when you consider the squad Mourinho was working with. With Victor Wanyama having lost his legs and Eric Dier (£5.0m) opting to become a central defender, Spurs were operating with Harry Winks (£5.5m) or Moussa Sissoko (£5.0m) as a defensive midfielder, which neither is suited to. Moreover, they had the mistake-prone Serge Aurier (£5.5m) playing at right-back.

The situation in the Spurs squad looks much improved. Toby Alderweireld (£5.5m) looks refocused after signing a new long-term contract, Hugo Lloris (£5.5m) has returned to top form in goal after his long injury layoff, and Eric Dier is now settled in central defence.

They’ve also made astute acquisitions in the summer transfer window to increase their defensive solidity. In defensive midfield they picked up the positionally-aware Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg (£5.0m) from Southampton, who had the most ball-recoveries of any player in the league last season, and – while unlikely to return significant points himself – will make them more defensively sound, improving the value of their defensive assets.

More directly relevant to FPL managers is the upgrading of Aurier to the defensively-reliable and attacking-returning FPL-favourite Matt Doherty (6.0m). After preseason training with Mourinho, there is reason to think Spurs will be defensively sound this season. 

It seems that FPL hasn’t priced in this improved defence, with several cheap assets available who will get regular game time. While lacking in attacking threat, Ben Davies (5.0m) is a nailed-on starter, playing a crucial role in Mourinho’s tactical system. Eric Dier (£5.0m) also looks set to start most games and provides a threat from set pieces. Perhaps most interestingly, at a slightly higher price reflecting his attacking threat, Matt Doherty (£6.0m) is likely to start every match and gain points at both ends of the pitch. 

Tottenham’s settled defensive unit of Lloris, Davies, Dier, Alderweireld and Doherty under the management of Mourinho looks much sturdier than we’ve been used to since Pochettino‘s team started to decline. Taken together, it seems likely that Spurs’s early season frailty last campaign and reputation for focussing more on attack than defence has led to some underpriced FPL assets.

39 Comments Post a Comment
  1. TopMarx
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Thank you for this FPL Octopus, I agree with you. I'm currently on Matt Doherty as my Spurs defender of choice because I think he will prove to be better value than Dier or Davies with those attacking returns. I think he will get 25 points more than them over the season. Which defender(s) do you have?

    1. DaisyDaisyDaisyDaisy
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Just Davies for now on a wait and see. However I also have Dele and Son so potential to pick up clean sheet mid points

      1. TopMarx
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        I currently have those two mids as well. Son's looked really good in pre-season but a switch to the left once Kane is back is a concern. Still, Son is very good in the transition phases of the game, not sure his starting position matters too much in that regard. And a lot will depend on how the opposition set up: Son better with spaces to run into.

    2. Karan14
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Would you recommend going with Dier or Davies if Doherty is not affordable?

      1. RiskyBusiness
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        I would imagine Davies is more nailed on, I have him for now.

      2. TopMarx
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        They are both good picks, I slightly prefer Davies because he's really our only left-back. The other left-footed options are Sess and Cirkin. Sess is better attacking or as a wing-back. Cirkin has impressed at times in pre-season but wasn't great against Watford. I would like Spurs to sign another left-back but until then Davies is nailed imo.

    3. Agger
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      I don’t believe Doherty is 100% nailed to start the season ahead of Aurier. A few tactical pieces I’ve read is giving me this idea

      1. TopMarx
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Interesting. I'm of the opinion that he is but I've heard a few share these doubts. Aurier is looking for a move away from the club and Spurs are trying to sell, Gedson is the other player who occupied the right-back spot during pre-season. I also think Doherty is a good fit with Mourinho. We shall see!

        1. Hiroku
          • 3 Years
          3 years, 8 months ago

          Hey, great article!

          I currently have Doherty myself, and I think he'll still get a lot of licence to get forward with Mourinho as he did for WOLVES. My main concern is whether he'll be getting *in the box* as much. Most of his threat comes from getting on the end of crosses, while Aurier for Spurs last season generally held the width and looked to get those crosses in himself.

          I'm wondering whether that's a tactical thing that Mourinho specifically wants from his right fullbac, in which case I'm afraid Doherty's threat will be greatly reduced as his crossing isn't his strongest suit, or whether Serge just doesn't look for the runs into the box that make Doherty so dangerous.

      2. FPL_octopus
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        I'm quite confident about Doherty given Aurier is attracting transfer interest. Seems to me that if they are looking to sell Aurier it's unlikely he will start Prem matches, and if he stays will be used in Europa/Carabao matches

    4. FPL_octopus
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Thanks Topmarx!

      I'm currently choosing between Davies and Doherty, dependent on where else on the pitch I might want to put some funds. Given the favorable early fixtures for Spurs, the attacking returns from Doherty are looking hard to turn down

      1. TopMarx
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        I think they both could be value for money, hopefully!

    5. domadilla
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      I’ve gone for Dier, if Davies does not have licence to get forward then Dier has threat from set pieces. I think Doherty will not be as prolific for Spurs as he was for Wolves but will monitor him and upgrade early if he is getting in the box

  2. RiskyBusiness
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Are Onomah and Berge not better options then Soucek?

    Both seemingly nailed on and have fixtures you'd consider using them whereas Soucek has nothing past gw1 for weeks?

    1. EmmetRyan
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Agree, Soucek fixtures are horrible.

    2. TopMarx
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      or Ceballos?

  3. NABIL - FPL otai
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    As Doherty and Dier owner, this is a pleasant read.

    I wonder if there is anyone better than Dier or Davies at 5.0, maybe wolves defenders from GW3 onwards, but I'd rather difficult roll my luck with the double up for at least 2 GWs

    1. Santigold
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      GW1 is actually not that bad for Wolves defence. SHU don't score loads of goals.

      1. NABIL - FPL otai
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Indeed, but City in Gw2 looks hard for a cleanie although a win is a possibility. I'd rather wait.

  4. Red Red Robins
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    if after the conference Moyes says Soucek is out, would you sooner
    A- leave him in as it saves a transfer
    B- Ceballos, or another 5mill mid - Kante? But tbh nothing in 5mill bracket is there

    1. FPL_octopus
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      I'd be tempted to go for a budget option like Stephens for 4.5 and put the cash elsewhere

      1. Red Red Robins
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Already for Bissouma mate

    2. NABIL - FPL otai
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      A as I believe Mitchell of Palace is good enough to cover him in GW1

      1. Red Red Robins
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Yeah same, desperate for an alternative though as after GW1 Soucek fixtures awful so kind of hoping his price will drop when i put him back in
        Ceballos isnt great fantasy wise, but home to Fulham maybe a punt - although a long shot

  5. saihtam
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Is Sánchez considered so out of favor that Dier is so certain to start every game?

    1. FPL_octopus
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      No, last season Mourinho used Sanchez in matches where he was worried about pace in behind (can't remember in which match he said this). However Dier is getting better and better after his previous fitness problems so hard to say what will happen this season. Mourinho doesn't think Sanchez is solid after he did a job on him in the Europa league final with United

      You can be pretty confident about Davies though. He plays a very specialized role in the side

      1. Weak Become Heros
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        I may swap from Dier to Davies then if we are certain he isnt under threat from Sess at all (for prem games)?

  6. FPL_octopus
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    By the way, what do you think of my current draft for GW1:

    McCarthy

    TAA
    Vinagre
    Saliba
    Doherty

    Jota
    Auba
    Salah

    Werner
    Calvert-Lewin
    Mitrovic

    Bench: Nyland, Stephens, Mitchell, Greenwood

    1. hewittj1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      replace Saliba with another 4.5

    2. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Saliba in due to the Luiz injury? I like it mate, I personally think people are sleeping on Nketiah at 6m, I’d rather him that Mitro.

  7. SJP08
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    What are the chances of Foden and Greenwood being 'shunned' for the first few gameweeks due to their 3 lions frollocking?

    1. hewittj1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      doubt it - blown out of proportion by English media IMO

      1. Weak Become Heros
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        This.

  8. hewittj1
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Dier + Son v Doherty + Alli?

    1. hewittj1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Dier/Davies - interchangeable

    2. FPL_octopus
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Personally I'm not sure about Alli's gametime, so would go for Son/Dier

      1. TopMarx
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Interesting, I think Alli is a definite, he's in my team

  9. Flair
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Totally agree as a double defense owner. Those fixtures and Jose second season effect scream clean sheets!

  10. Bow Locks
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Nice work. What sort of spurs team will travel to Bulgaria do you think?