Football Index

Unpredictable start to the FPL season making Football Index decisions hard to call


Sponsored by Football Index


Six matches into the Fantasy Premier League (FPL) season and it’s fair to say that many managers are not happy.

The football has been so unpredictable, and the results so varied, that finding players producing consistent returns, week in, week out, has proved… tricky.

In fact, it’s boiled down to owning Harry Kane. Or Son Heung-min. And ideally both.

Even FPL experts have been left, at best, bemused.

So imagine what it’s like for someone trying to use FPL to guide his moves in another setting, Football Index.

In case you’re still not sure, Football Index (FI) is a kind of stock market where people use real money to bet on football.

You buy shares in individual players whose value can rise or fall depending on their performance both on and off the field. I’m new to FI and it’s beginning to show.

I’m still in profit, but it’s a figure in decline at present with the widespread unpredictability the season has brought so far.

Dividends – money paid out for the performance or media profile of my players – have been my saviour. Without them, I’d be making a loss right now.

I need to shake up my portfolio. Bring in new faces.

The problem is, only two of the seven players I currently own shares in would make me a profit if I were to sell.

It’s not like these players are doing badly. I own FI shares in three of the top 10 FPL forwards – Danny Ings, Raul Jimenez and Callum Wilson.

All three have had solid starts to the season, scoring four goals apiece. But it’s beginning to dawn on me that solid just doesn’t cut it on FI.

Traders don’t look just for solid performances. They consider many other factors that have an impact on the Index. It’s a bit like the FPL tendency towards knee-jerk decisions that some managers can’t help but display. Slow and steady might win the race, but crash, bang wallop is also a strongly adopted approach on FI, with big haulers paying out big dividends and attracting big trader interest.

As a result, I have three players in good form who would make me a loss if I were to sell them today.

And the less said about Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang, the better.

My long-term bet in the Arsenal forward’s value has gotten off on the wrong foot, as Mikel Arteta continues to flirt with the idea of turning the Gunners into a David Moyes-like unit so intent on stopping the opposition that they forget how to actually play.

It’s a notion so dull that even Moyes doesn’t subscribe to it anymore, although Frank Lampard is another who seems to be getting a massive kick out of clean sheets.

Which means that another in my portfolio, Mason Mount, is just not cutting it at the moment with his reduced playing time.

He and Aubameyang are getting close to being sold now. The former should make me a profit, while the latter will not. At all. His sale will hurt, but it really needs to be done with Arteta’s current gameplan.

Then I can look to Fantasy Football Scout Premium Members Area and try to find the next big thing with the form and fixtures to direct my strategy on FI.

But it’s not going to be easy. The three teams with the best upcoming schedule are Crystal Palace (drab), Everton (squad issues) and Aston Villa (bubble burst?).

Chelsea and Manchester United are up there too and have Champions League football to offer the prospect of a tidy midweek dividend for decent performers.

But their players aren’t cheap and, as mentioned, Lampard’s current flirtation with owning a fleet of parked buses has compromised the otherwise excellent pedigree of his attackers.

Whatever I end up doing is likely to come with a short-term loss. But, with the bigger picture in good shape.


Sign up to Football Index today and take advantage of their seven-day £500 money-back guarantee. T&Cs available on https://trade.footballindex.co.uk/moneybackguarantee/.

18+. Please gamble responsibly. http://begambleaware.org. #ad


Become a Member and get unrestricted access to our data and articles

Full-year memberships are now available for the price of £19.99. Monthly subscriptions also cost just £2.99.

Join now to get the following:

  • Plot your transfer strategies using the fully interactive Season Ticker.
  • Get projections for every Premier League player provided by the Rate My Team statistical model.
  • Use Rate My Team throughout the season to guide your selections and transfers.
  • Get access to over 150+ exclusive members articles over the season.
  • Analyse our OPTA-powered statistic tables specifically tailored for Fantasy Football Managers.
  • Use our exclusive tool to build custom stats tables from over 100 OPTA player and team stats.
  • Enjoy our brand NEW Flat-Track Bully feature which introduces an opposition filter to your tables.
  • View heatmaps and expected goals data for every player.
  • Use our powerful comparison tool to analyse players head-to-head.

ALREADY A USER? CLICK HERE TO UPGRADE YOUR FREE ACCOUNT

NEW TO SCOUT? CLICK HERE TO START A MEMBERSHIP ACCOUNT

389 Comments Post a Comment
  1. PascalCygan
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    1 month, 2 days ago

    Hi guys, thoughts here?

    A) TAA + Maupay > Coufal + Kane (-4)
    B) Jimenez > Kane (free)

    1FT 2.5ITB
    Martinez
    TAA Saiss Justin
    Salah Son Bruno Podence
    Jimi DCL Maupay

    Steer Struijk Mitchell Reed

    Thanks!

    1. Kloppcorn
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      1 month, 2 days ago

      I’d go B mate

    2. Kloppcorn
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      1 month, 2 days ago

      Trent looked very creative mid week

      1. PascalCygan
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        1 month, 2 days ago

        Thanks. I love owning TAA (usually!) so although it feels like the fun move I know I'll get burned if I ditch him.

        Jimi was the plan originally...

  2. Malkmus
    • 9 Years
    1 month, 2 days ago

    A'noon all. A little help, which is best:

    Ryan (Button)
    Saiss - Justin - Taylor - Mitchell - XX
    Salah - Son - Rodriguez - XX (Anguisa)
    Kane - DCL - XX

    A - Robertson, Grealish & Ings
    B - Lamptey (4.6), Bruno & Bamford +1.7

    Cheers !

    1. Fit_to_drop
      • 1 Year
      1 month, 2 days ago

      A for me

  3. Tmel
    • 9 Years
    1 month, 2 days ago

    Martinez
    James Saiss TAA
    Podence Salah Son Foden
    Kane DCL Jimenez
    (Steer Burke Lamptey Mitchell)

    1.3ITB & 2FT

    a) James > Chilwell (then perhaps Podence > Bowen next week?)
    b) Podence > Barkley
    c) Burke > Soucek
    d) James & Podence > Coufal & Grealish

    1. Fit_to_drop
      • 1 Year
      1 month, 2 days ago

      Can you do both in A this week?

      1. Fit_to_drop
        • 1 Year
        1 month, 2 days ago

        Oh i see. Holding onto Podence for good fixture.

  4. janlu0
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    1 month, 2 days ago

    Dilemma. McCarthy or Martinez?

  5. Damsko
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    1 month, 1 day ago

    Currently on WC. Please rate my team.

    Mccarthy

    TAA Dallas Chillwell

    Salah (C) Son Foden Grealish

    Ings Kane Bamford

    Bench: Steer Soucek Kilman Coufal

    ITB: 0.0