Spot the Differential

Signing Cancelo a week before fixture swing can give FPL owners the edge

Fantasy Premier League managers could turn to Manchester City, Aston Villa or Crystal Palace to replace their Liverpool defenders for Gameweek 9.

Key members of the Reds’ back-line leave teams in their droves following the international break, so we have used this week’s Differential column to identify three exciting replacements; all of whom we think have the ability to deliver points at both ends of the pitch over the forthcoming weeks.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

João Cancelo

Cancelo stars for City as Sheff Utd's weak right-side bodes well for Chelsea
  • FPL ownership: 2.4%
  • Price: £5.4m
  • GW9-13 fixtures: tot | BUR | FUL | mun | WBA

João Cancelo (£5.4m) endured a tough first season in England, but is now starting to shine.

Since making his first Premier League start of the campaign in Gameweek 5, the Portugal international has amassed 24 FPL points, averaging six per game. In that time, he has registered two clean sheets and, despite only providing one assist, has created more chances than any defender in the entire division.

Having performed as a right full-back in his first appearance against Arsenal, he has since been deployed on the left in Benjamin Mendy’s (£5.9m) absence. It remains to be seen what will happen when the Frenchman returns from injury, but given Cancelo’s excellent form, it is hard to see an immediate route back into the team.

Since losing 5-2 to Leicester City back in September, Manchester City have conceded just four goals in nine games in all competitions, keeping five clean sheets. While many FPL managers will be looking at Gameweek 10 as the optimum time to invest in their backline, there could be value in going a week early, given Matt Doherty’s (£5.8m) positive coronavirus (COVID-19) test, and the fact most of Tottenham Hotspur’s chances tend to be conceded from their right-side.

Manchester City’s left-back problem has been a theme throughout Pep Guardiola’s time at the club, but the recent form of Cancelo has perhaps provided a solution. Consistency will now be the key to retaining his place, but if he can do that, it’s hard to envisage him being a differential too much longer. 

Matt Targett

  • FPL ownership: 2.4%
  • Price: £4.5m
  • GW9-13 fixtures: BHA | whu | NEW | wol | BUR

Matt Targett (£4.5m) has been a solid performer for Aston Villa since joining from Southampton in 2019, making the left-back spot his own.

A product of the Saints academy, he has played a key role in a defence that has already kept four clean sheets in seven attempts this season, and perhaps doesn’t get the praise his performances often deserve.

The Englishman is yet to miss a single minute of league action so far, and with Jack Grealish (£7.5m) regularly drifting infield in front of him, plenty of space often opens up for him to attack. He’s got a good delivery too, which he showed in flashes against Arsenal last time out, when he provided the cross that was turned in by Bukayo Saka (£5.3m) for Villa’s first goal in their 3-0 win.

Interestingly, the 25-year-old scored his first goal for the club when he netted an injury time winner against this weekend’s opponents, Brighton and Hove Albion, back in October 2019.

This time, with Tariq Lamptey (£4.8m) likely to surge forward for Albion and support their attack, Targett could have his hands full defensively on Saturday, but at the same time, gaps could appear if space is left in behind. That has certainly been the case so far this season, with the Seagulls giving up 17 of their 42 chances down their right-flank, compared to just nine from the left. 

Still priced at just £4.5m, Targett offers the cheapest route into Villa’s defence, and could be a solid set and forget option given their appealing fixtures.

Patrick van Aanholt

  • FPL ownership: 0.7%
  • Price: £5.4m
  • GW9-13 fixtures: bur | NEW | wba | TOT | whu

Having just returned from a long-term injury, Patrick van Aanholt (£5.4m) looked back to his best against Leeds United before the international break.

The Dutchman supplied an assist and carried plenty of goal threat, registering three shots in the box. Determined to get forward at every opportunity, his attacking runs created space for Eberechi Eze (£5.8m) and Wilfried Zaha (£7.4m) to thrive and gave them a cutting edge which has been missing without him in the team.

In his absence, Tyrick Mitchell (£4.1m) has impressed, but it was evident against Leeds just how much they’ve missed the 30-year-olds attacking nature, which leads us to think he’ll retain his place in the starting XI come Monday.

Despite often struggling in attack, Crystal Palace have had a bright start to the season. They sit eighth in the table, and looking at the run of games coming up, they have the potential to pick up points given the struggles of goal-shy Burnley and West Bromwich Albion, and to a slightly lesser extent Newcastle United.

In Gameweek 8 there were signs of progress. The expectation now is that results should pick up, and with the possibility of goals and clean sheets, at least in the short term, van Aanholt could be a nice pick-up for those in search of a differential currently owned by just 0.7% of FPL managers. 

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1,986 Comments Post a Comment
  1. jay01
    • 6 Years
    2 months, 2 days ago

    On a WC.. thoughts on Richarlison over DCL for a 2 week punt?

    1. n-doggg
      • 8 Years
      2 months, 2 days ago

      Yep.

    2. Steve The Spud
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      2 months, 2 days ago

      High risk, don’t forget dcl is nearly 60% owned + will be cap’d by many, feels like a huge downside if he hauls and not sure the up side is that big

      1. jay01
        • 6 Years
        2 months, 2 days ago

        Hmmm im so tempted by gut feeling

    3. The Red Devil
      • 5 Years
      2 months, 2 days ago

      Yes if you're a risk taking manager

      1. jay01
        • 6 Years
        2 months, 2 days ago

        Risks have blown up in my face in the past tbf.. only thing i was thinking was im not going to captain DCL anyway so given two play the same gametime surely the points difference wont be big?

    4. dbeck
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 2 days ago

      why not both?

      1. jay01
        • 6 Years
        2 months, 2 days ago

        I have Hames too (good feeling about him) so not looking to trio.. will remove all for fixture swing though.. thought rich might be due some goals

    5. Pukki Blinders
      • 1 Year
      2 months, 2 days ago

      Why not both

  2. Abaddon
    • 6 Years
    2 months, 2 days ago

    Afternoon

    0,1 short of doing Bissouma and Salah to Zyiech and Bruno for free. So....

    Bissouma, Salah, Jimenez to Bruno, zyiech and DCL -4

    Yay or nay

    1. n-doggg
      • 8 Years
      2 months, 2 days ago

      Can you afford richarlison rather than dcl?

      1. Abaddon
        • 6 Years
        2 months, 2 days ago

        Yep. Think he will explode?

        1. n-doggg
          • 8 Years
          2 months, 2 days ago

          I wouldn’t go that far but worth a punt over dcl

  3. n-doggg
    • 8 Years
    2 months, 2 days ago

    2FTs made, good to go or anything worth a hit?

    Ryan
    Cancelo, kwp, Taylor
    Mane(vc), Bruno(c), son, grealish
    Dcl, Werner, adams

    2.5 itb for son to Kdb/sterling next week

    1. FPL_Motty
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      2 months, 2 days ago

      Looks good to me, nothing worth a -4 there

    2. Abaddon
      • 6 Years
      2 months, 2 days ago

      Nice. Out of curiosity..what transfers did you do?

      1. n-doggg
        • 8 Years
        2 months, 2 days ago

        Salah to mane (slightly regretting that now)

        TAA to cancelo

        1. Make United Great Again
          • 8 Years
          2 months, 2 days ago

          Who would you have rather got?

  4. tinear
    • 1 Year
    2 months, 2 days ago

    Going to ship TAA and Saiss for Chilwell Cancelo/Creswell for -8. Thoughts?

    1. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      2 months, 2 days ago

      Online TAA to Chillwell, Saiss likely to start this week

      1. The Red Devil
        • 5 Years
        2 months, 2 days ago

        Hey, for who? I have kilman, is he a risk?

        1. RamaJama
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          2 months, 2 days ago

          Kilman if he’s not playing because of father’s dearh, or for Coady who is in quaranteen

          1. The Red Devil
            • 5 Years
            2 months, 2 days ago

            Damn! I have Taylor & kilman & need one of them to play

            1. RamaJama
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 8 Years
              2 months, 2 days ago

              Sounds like Taylor has A good chance to play

      2. tinear
        • 1 Year
        2 months, 2 days ago

        How about Chiwell and Cancelo? Which of them? Can bring either one next week. I have Zouma.

        1. HashAttack
          • 3 Years
          2 months, 2 days ago

          I've got Zouma, Chillwell and Werner - it's blocking me from getting Ziyech - seems a risk when you double up in defence for any team

          1. tinear
            • 1 Year
            2 months, 2 days ago

            Got Ziyech instead of Werner. Think both of them is good pick. Shipping out Zouma next week if no other transfer needed to be done.

  5. unitednations
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    2 months, 2 days ago

    Chances of the following players starting this gw:

    A) Saiss
    B) Mitchell
    C) James
    D) Barnes

    1. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      2 months, 2 days ago

      70
      25
      70
      70

  6. Tommo1888
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    2 months, 2 days ago

    How many games do we think Salah will be out for given his result yesterday?? Klopp said he will be back in England today

    1. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      2 months, 2 days ago

      1 most likely

    2. g40steve
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      2 months, 2 days ago

      Have they published his result from today?

  7. C_G
    • 5 Years
    2 months, 2 days ago

    how does my WC look? 1.2 ITB

    Martinez McCarthy

    Lamptey Cancelo Chilwell Targett Mitchell

    Ziyech KDB Bruno Grealish Soucek

    DCL Vardy Bamford

    1. BenDavies
      • 8 Years
      2 months, 2 days ago

      Love it, especially the Soucek pick. He's being criminally ignored on here

    2. djoker_nole
        2 months, 2 days ago

        As template as template gets

    3. wilson007
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      2 months, 2 days ago

      RMWCT:

      Martinez
      Robbo Cancelo Chilwell
      KDB Bruno Son Grealish Ziyech
      DCL Watkins

      Forster Brewster Kilman 3.9

      No Robbo is an easy answer but I still like the attacking threat of that back 3, and pool will keep some cleanies even with a couple of injuries.

      1. BenDavies
        • 8 Years
        2 months, 2 days ago

        template team minus robbo, looks very good though

        1. wilson007
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 1 Year
          2 months, 2 days ago

          Thanks mate 🙂

    4. HashAttack
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 2 days ago

      Would have liked more positive news about Rashford

      Have Bruno and I could play 4-3-3 with Coufal instead of Rashford ... but think I still need to stick with Rashford

      1. The Red Devil
        • 5 Years
        2 months, 2 days ago

        Are you seriously considering benching Rashford when he's playing West Brom?

        1. HashAttack
          • 3 Years
          2 months, 2 days ago

          I just don't want a cameo - hopefully he plays a full match or doesn't play

          1. The Red Devil
            • 5 Years
            2 months, 2 days ago

            Personally think he'll start, ole plays Rashford almost always
            Dunno, generally prefer an attacker to a defender

        2. Jimmers
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          2 months, 2 days ago

          Rashford might be benched by Ole

        3. HashAttack
          • 3 Years
          2 months, 2 days ago

          Coufal could be a 9 pointer

    5. Atimis
      • 4 Years
      2 months, 2 days ago

      Robo/Chilwell/Kilman

      with Reguilon/Mitchell on the bench

      is that def good enough for this week ??

    6. fc_skrald
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 months, 2 days ago

      What a good feeling now I have fully accepted that most likely I will only have 9 players this gw. I will stick to the original plan for the season - zero hits.

      1. Weeb Kakashi
        • 4 Years
        2 months, 2 days ago

        Thats madness tbf..
        If you have 9 players and you take a -8 its basically a -4 .

        1. fc_skrald
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 5 Years
          2 months, 2 days ago

          🙂 -8 is always -8 and could be even worse, red card, missed penalties etc. If my captain does alright it should be good.

          1. Would Ed Woodward
            • 2 Years
            2 months, 2 days ago

            Or they could work out and you could profit.

      2. Ole.
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        2 months, 2 days ago

        Stick to the plan, for science.

    7. Jet5605
      • 6 Years
      2 months, 2 days ago

      Hey guys, I was planning to do Son > Ziyech this week with my FT. With Salah now out (for 2 games?) should I just hold him and let Soucek come off the bench (not the worst replacement)?

      A - Son > Ziyech
      B - Salah > KDB
      C - Salah > Ziyech
      D - Other suggestion?

      McCarthy
      Chillwell - Taylor - Konsa
      Son - Bruno - Salah - Grealish
      Vardy - DCL - Bamford  

      Steer - Soucek - Egan - Mitchell     

    8. shapply
      • 7 Years
      2 months, 2 days ago

      Need to sell Wilson (decided to keep Salah); replacement:
      a) Watkins
      b) Bamford

      1. BenDavies
        • 8 Years
        2 months, 2 days ago

        a

      2. Lemongrab
        • 11 Years
        2 months, 2 days ago

        Watkins with villa fixtures

      3. RamaJama
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        2 months, 2 days ago

        A

      4. HashAttack
        • 3 Years
        2 months, 2 days ago

        Need is a strong word .. probably points off the bench this week and then a pretty good fixture run - cry, avl, WBA, lee, FUL

    9. Lemongrab
      • 11 Years
      2 months, 2 days ago

      Is Kane to Richarlison absolutely crazy?

      1. BenDavies
        • 8 Years
        2 months, 2 days ago

        yes

        1. Lemongrab
          • 11 Years
          2 months, 2 days ago

          As in...that's plan's so crazy it just might work

          1. BenDavies
            • 8 Years
            2 months, 2 days ago

            as in it's an extremely risky move with little reward. would rather kane to vardy

      2. Pukki Blinders
        • 1 Year
        2 months, 2 days ago

        Smart Move imo

      3. Lemongrab
        • 11 Years
        2 months, 2 days ago

        (would fund Son to KDB next week)

      4. Ninjaa
        • 10 Years
        2 months, 2 days ago

        Maybe but fixtures are a lot better and if you use the funds from it wisely elsewhere who knows

    10. Ninjaa
      • 10 Years
      2 months, 2 days ago

      On wildcard, Midfield is
      KDB Bruno Ziyech Grealish 4.5m

      Best 2 strikers to go with Vardy for 13.5m
      Currently DCL and Watkins

      1. Zim0
        • 2 Years
        2 months, 2 days ago

        I think that's about right. Maybe consider bamford. Or che adams

      2. wulfranian
        • 4 Years
        2 months, 2 days ago

        i prefer Wilson over Watkins.Great fixtures.

        1. MMN
          • 6 Years
          2 months, 2 days ago

          Any particular reasons for Wilson over Watkins?

      3. Puntillimon
        • 5 Years
        2 months, 2 days ago

        Make that a playing 4.4 with riedewald

        1. Ninjaa
          • 10 Years
          2 months, 2 days ago

          Yes its him I've got. Bargain

      4. HashAttack
        • 3 Years
        2 months, 2 days ago

        Mine are Werner and Bamford - but hopefully Werner can become Aguero next week

        1. HashAttack
          • 3 Years
          2 months, 2 days ago

          Sorry - 2m over budget

    11. wulfranian
      • 4 Years
      2 months, 2 days ago

      So we don't have a clear image for Rashford.Do you think it's worth to get him?

      1. Lemongrab
        • 11 Years
        2 months, 2 days ago

        Just get Bruno

        1. wulfranian
          • 4 Years
          2 months, 2 days ago

          Not enough money.

    12. only2
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      2 months, 2 days ago

      J.Lewis nailed on for newc? Him or Lascelles?

      1. Pukki Blinders
        • 1 Year
        2 months, 2 days ago

        Lewis is nailed

        1. only2
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          2 months, 2 days ago

          Thanks!

    13. Dele
      • 4 Years
      2 months, 2 days ago

      No Bruno? Who’s the next best captain option this week?

      1. Miguel Sanchez
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        2 months, 2 days ago

        Werner, Richarlison, Grealish, Rashford all good options

      2. RAFA THE GAFFA
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        2 months, 2 days ago

        Would also like to know this. Thinking about getting Rashford

      3. abhirup780
        • 6 Years
        2 months, 2 days ago

        DCL?

      4. caldracula
        • 4 Years
        2 months, 2 days ago

        Vardy, DCL, Grealish

    14. OLLY G
      • 4 Years
      2 months, 2 days ago

      Mings or Targett?

      1. Puntillimon
        • 5 Years
        2 months, 2 days ago

        Targett. Cheaper and can be attacking at times

      2. Pukki Blinders
        • 1 Year
        2 months, 2 days ago

        Not even close

    15. The Red Devil
      • 5 Years
      2 months, 2 days ago

      I have Taylor and kilman in squad & need one of the two to start
      Do I take the risk or take a hit to get cancelo for one of them?

      1. Puntillimon
        • 5 Years
        2 months, 2 days ago

        Cancelo could easily be a 2 pointer this week. No hurry. Just hope for the best

        1. The Red Devil
          • 5 Years
          2 months, 2 days ago

          Can get chilwell too, money no issue

    16. C_G
      • 5 Years
      2 months, 2 days ago

      Grealish and Watkins double up on WC?

      Or Get Bamford in as third striker and only have Grealish for Villa attack?

      1. caldracula
        • 4 Years
        2 months, 2 days ago

        Double up

    17. Van der Faart
      • 9 Years
      2 months, 2 days ago

      Cant wait for the juicy Son and Kane points to come in tomorrow and the sellers to be crying

      1. Pukki Blinders
        • 1 Year
        2 months, 2 days ago

        Unrealistically confident Spurs enthusiasts smh, enjoy your blanks

        1. Van der Faart
          • 9 Years
          2 months, 2 days ago

          I'll return to this tomorrow at 7PM.

          1. Pukki Blinders
            • 1 Year
            2 months, 2 days ago

            Will you also return when Kane/Son blank?

            1. Van der Faart
              • 9 Years
              2 months, 2 days ago

              They wont blank. Two best players in the game at present

              1. Pukki Blinders
                • 1 Year
                2 months, 2 days ago

                We’ll see about that

      2. Don Kloppeone
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        2 months, 2 days ago

        Hope you’re right! Holding them both this week and getting KDB and maybe Vardy next week

      3. Holmes
        • 7 Years
        2 months, 2 days ago

        2pts from Kane won't be juicy enough

      4. HashAttack
        • 3 Years
        2 months, 2 days ago

        Crying? ... Having sold him twice before, losing 24 and 18 points, a 3rd time will result in more than just crying

    18. Pukki Blinders
      • 1 Year
      2 months, 2 days ago

      Telles or double City defence on WC?

      1. Holmes
        • 7 Years
        2 months, 2 days ago

        Double city

      2. HashAttack
        • 3 Years
        2 months, 2 days ago

        Telles - better CS potential this week and I wouldn't want to block double MCI attack

    19. Gunner Boy
      • 6 Years
      2 months, 2 days ago

      Who is a better pick?

      Cancelo or Castagne?

      1. Lemongrab
        • 11 Years
        2 months, 2 days ago

        Cancelo if you have a bench option for when he gets the occasional rest.

        1. Gunner Boy
          • 6 Years
          2 months, 2 days ago

          Mitchell and Dallas

          1. Lemongrab
            • 11 Years
            2 months, 2 days ago

            Yeah should be ok I would go Cancelo

      2. Holmes
        • 7 Years
        2 months, 2 days ago

        Not much in it, Cancelo sets you for long term

    20. Jet5605
      • 6 Years
      2 months, 2 days ago

      Doherty out for...

      A - Coufal
      B - Targett

    21. PlayPercentage
      • 10 Years
      2 months, 2 days ago

      Who takes Liverpool pens when Salah does not play?
      Milner, maybe. Who are the others?

      1. Pukki Party
        • 3 Years
        2 months, 2 days ago

        Milner Mane Firmino in that order is my guess

      2. Would Ed Woodward
        • 2 Years
        2 months, 2 days ago

        Milner then Fabinho would be my guess.

    22. Pukki Party
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 2 days ago

      Best option?

      A) Cancelo/Dias
      B) Chilwell
      C) Digne

      1. Bobby_Baggio
        • 9 Years
        2 months, 2 days ago

        B

        1. Pukki Party
          • 3 Years
          2 months, 2 days ago

          Cheers

    23. DK_13
      • 5 Years
      2 months, 2 days ago

      Probably set on this WC team
      McCarthy
      Chilwell cancelo telles castagne
      KDB bruno grealish
      Vardy werner DCL
      Forster I souchek bissouma Ferguson

      If castagne doesn't start against Liverpool, I don't really mind souchek coming in place. I got him for the next 3 fixtures after that.

      Gtg?

      1. jtreble
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        2 months, 2 days ago

        I like your call on Castagne.

      2. Pukki Blinders
        • 1 Year
        2 months, 2 days ago

        4 at the back, that’s a first

      3. JVALDEZ
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        2 months, 2 days ago

        liking it tbf

      4. Chrisscfc
        • 7 Years
        2 months, 2 days ago

        No villa GK/defender?

        1. DK_13
          • 5 Years
          2 months, 2 days ago

          Can't have them all

          1. DK_13
            • 5 Years
            2 months, 2 days ago

            I had targett. But got too much free cash so went castagne

    24. Bobby_Baggio
      • 9 Years
      2 months, 2 days ago

      Afternoon all. Your help please? 1FT and 0.4m ITB. Happy to take a -4 too.

      McCarthy
      Justin - Konsa - Chilwell - Kilman
      Podence - Son - Hamez
      DCL - Kane - Vardy

      Salah - Lewis - Stephens

      A) Salah > Bruno
      B) Salah + Lewis > Bruno + Cancelo (-4)
      C) Salah + Podence > Grealish + Ziyech (-4) - 0.1m out of Bruno + Grealish 🙁
      D) Save
      E) Anything else

      1. The Count of Monte Cristo
        • 8 Years
        2 months, 2 days ago

        I would rule out B first as I don't think Cancelo is worth a hit to bring in this GW.

        I'd prefer A out of the others for now. Team is pretty good shape alll things considered and do not think a hit is necessary this GW. Bruno (C) DCL (VC) perhaps if you do A?

        1. Bobby_Baggio
          • 9 Years
          2 months, 2 days ago

          cheers for the input

    25. Don Kloppeone
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 2 days ago

      So consensus time.

      Son > KDB not worth a -4 this week right?

      (Already have Bruno and also have Kane fwiw)

      1. TeddiPonza
        • 10 Years
        2 months, 2 days ago

        Wait a week

        1. Don Kloppeone
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 3 Years
          2 months, 2 days ago

          Cheers. GL!

      2. Bobby_Baggio
        • 9 Years
        2 months, 2 days ago

        no its not worth -4 this week

        1. Don Kloppeone
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 3 Years
          2 months, 2 days ago

          Thanks mate!