Spot the Differential

Odegaard’s creativity can help provide FPL value in BGW29 and beyond

Blank Gameweek 29 is almost upon us which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Arsenal, Fulham and Brighton and Hove Albion, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

Martin Ødegaard

Can Martin Ødegaard live up to his potential and become a top FPL asset?
  • FPL ownership: 2.1%
  • Price: £6.0m
  • GW29-33 fixtures: whu | LIV | shu | FUL | EVE

Martin Ødegaard (£6.0m) has made a real impact at Arsenal since joining from Real Madrid on loan in January.

The Norwegian international has now started seven of the Gunners’ last nine matches in all competitions, predominantly as a number 10, and has repaid his manager’s faith with important goals against Olympiacos and Tottenham Hotspur.

His displays have seen him become the focal point of the side, which is reflected in his numbers.

Since making his first league start last month, Ødegaard ranks first amongst team-mates for successful passes in the final-third and joint-top for chances created, while his total of four shots over the last two matches highlights his increasing goal threat. His ability to make himself free on the edge of the box is a really nice part of his game, and having taken a few corners too, there is lots to like.

Sunday’s 2-1 victory over Spurs in the north London derby leaves Mikel Arteta’s side 10 points adrift of the top four. However, a win against West Ham United this weekend would allow them to close the gap, and they have momentum. In fact, since Boxing Day, they sit fourth in the Premier League form table, having collected 27 points from their last 14 matches.

In a relatively short space of time, Ødegaard has become an integral part of this Arsenal side, and could be a useful budget differential for the run-in.

Tosin Adarabioyo

  • FPL ownership: 0.9%
  • Price: £4.5m
  • GW29-33 fixtures: LEE | avl | WOL | ars | –

Fulham defender Tosin Adarabioyo (£4.5m) has been a crucial part of Fulham’s defensive improvement this season.

Before his arrival in October, the Cottagers had shipped 11 goals in their opening four matches of the campaign. However, they have gradually improved since, and have now conceded just five in their last eight outings. 

During that time, the 23-year-olds partnership with Dane Joachim Andersen (£4.5m) has helped Scott Parker’s side register five clean sheets, and with Alphonse Areola (£4.6m) excelling in goal, bringing in a Fulham defender this week could be a shrewd move.

Their opponents in Gameweek 29, Leeds United, have failed to score in four of their last five matches, while Adarabioyo’s threat from set-pieces could be another route to points, too. The centre-back has produced 15 headed attempts from set-plays this term, a team-leading total, which is particularly relevant given that defending dead-ball situations has been an achilles heel throughout Marcelo Bielsa’s time at Elland Road. 

It’s another huge game for Fulham, who currently sit in the relegation zone but can move up to 17th with a win. Beyond that, there are winnable matches against Aston Villa, Wolverhampton Wanderers, Burnley, Southampton and Newcastle United before the end of the season, so there is potential to hold their assets long-term.

Adarabioyo has established himself as a key player for Fulham this season, and with an FPL ownership of just 0.9%, could be a useful differential.

Danny Welbeck

Welbeck ready to profit from Brighton's appealing run of fixtures
  • FPL ownership: 0.4%
  • Price: £5.5m
  • GW29-33 fixtures: NEW | mun | EVE | che | shu

Following the inclusion of Joël Veltman (£4.4m) in last week’s column, this time it’s the turn of team-mate Danny Welbeck (£5.5m).

After several substitute appearances, the 30-year-old returned to Brighton and Hove Albion’s starting XI last weekend and was central to their win, providing the assist for Leandro Trossard’s (£5.8m) second-half strike.

The former Manchester United and Arsenal forward has now been directly involved in five goals this term, despite being limited to just 15 appearances and eight starts. That suggests he can make a notable impact when on the pitch, and with Newcastle United up next, he could be worth a look.

The Magpies have been poor on the road this season, and have won just three of their 14 Premier League away games. During that time, only Leeds United have a worse expected goals conceded (xGC) total, while they also rank in the bottom three for attempts in the box and shots on target conceded.

While Brighton have often flattered to deceive under Graham Potter, the return of Adam Lallana (£6.2m) can help them kick on. Against Southampton, he was pulling the strings in a slightly deeper role, and if he can stay fit for the remainder of the season, then Albion’s survival chances will receive a massive boost.

Welbeck has a big role to play too, and could be a nice under the radar option in Blank Gameweek 29.

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942 Comments Post a Comment
  1. jai1212
    • 7 Years
    3 months, 1 day ago

    A. Lingard or Raphinha?
    B. If I have 9 starters, does it make sense to take a hit for 10?
    C. If yes, then do I take out DCL or Stones? (Antonio / Tierney)

    1. linkafu
      • 1 Year
      3 months, 1 day ago

      Raphina
      Depend of the move but a hit for a nonplaying player costs you -2

      1. linkafu
        • 1 Year
        3 months, 1 day ago

        C Maybe DCL for Anto

    2. antis0cial
      • 5 Years
      3 months, 1 day ago

      Raph
      Depends who you are taking a hit to get, but 9 is enough I think

  2. chelseabrad
    • 6 Years
    3 months, 1 day ago

    Gundogan > Raphinha/Lingard for a -4? Currently only 9 starters including Bamford...

    1. Hart-ake
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 months, 1 day ago

      yeah, go Raphina I would say, as Leeds look good for GW30 too.

    2. Holmes
      • 7 Years
      3 months, 1 day ago

      Can work

    3. fpork
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 months, 1 day ago

      I have the same dilemma. Leaning towards yes since both Raphinha and Lingard have good fixutres in 30.

    4. Karan14
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 months, 1 day ago

      Nope

  3. Hart-ake
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    3 months, 1 day ago

    Which one to bring in (for the next two weeks)?

    a) Bale
    b) Trossard
    c) Odegaard

    1. Holmes
      • 7 Years
      3 months, 1 day ago

      AB

  4. Nay08
      3 months, 1 day ago

      bottomed
      Please help me with a better combination for gw29 and gw30? because I probably will WC on 31

      A) 2 Defender, from Dallas, Dawson, Targett, Dunk
      B) 1 Midfielder, from Lingard, Trossard, Bale, Lookman

      it can be any other options, the options above are just my thinking.
      have 2 FT, but I don't mind taking the -4.

      Team Right now
      Martinez/Button
      Creswell/Cancelo/Dias/Pereira/Mitchell
      Salah/Son/Gundogan/Raphinha/B.Traore
      Kane/DCL/Bamford

      cheers

    • Sho-kun
      • 3 Years
      3 months, 1 day ago

      On FH. GTG?

      Sanchez
      Dunk/Tierney/Dallas
      Auba/Bale/Raph/Gross/Jlingz
      Bam/Kane

      If Bam out then either Antonio or Watkins

      1. Sho-kun
        • 3 Years
        3 months, 1 day ago

        Bench

        Martinez/Watkins/Aina/Coufal

    • linkafu
      • 1 Year
      3 months, 1 day ago

      A Antonio + Bale
      B Antonio + Lingard

      1. Sho-kun
        • 3 Years
        3 months, 1 day ago

        A

      2. Tonyawesome69
        • 2 Years
        3 months, 1 day ago

        Why not ask Bale or Lingard? Lingard for me

        1. linkafu
          • 1 Year
          3 months, 1 day ago

          Just because it's a double on West Ham

          1. Tonyawesome69
            • 2 Years
            3 months, 1 day ago

            Surely just look at each position in isolation rather than a double-up

      3. antis0cial
        • 5 Years
        3 months, 1 day ago

        I really can't decide on Lingard vs Bale, Lingard nailed but Bale probably more explosive, albeit only gets 60-70 minutes. Also, will Bale make it through the Internationals unscathed?

    • Tonyawesome69
      • 2 Years
      3 months, 1 day ago

      Holding and Salah to Dallas and Lingard (-4) leaves me with the team below.

      GTG?

      WC31 FH33
      1FT 0itb
      Martinez
      Cresswell Dallas
      Raphinha Son Bale Lingard
      Kane Bamford
      (Fabri Stones Cancelo Digne Gundo DCL)

    • JBG
      • 3 Years
      3 months, 1 day ago

      Areola or Martinez?

      I'm on Areola atm.

      1. Bavarian
        • 3 Years
        3 months, 1 day ago

        me too

      2. linkafu
        • 1 Year
        3 months, 1 day ago

        Aerola. No CS for both but Areola will face more shots imo

    • linkafu
      • 1 Year
      3 months, 1 day ago

      Why no one looks at Maupay? He faces Newcastle at home and scored twice in the reverse fixture

      1. popey
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 2 Years
        3 months, 1 day ago

        plenty of well owned striker options already in play - Kane, Bamford, Watkins, Antonio

      2. AC/DC AFC
        • 5 Years
        3 months, 1 day ago

        No Goal scored since gw19 and just 1 assist.

    • OldSchool
      • 11 Years
      3 months, 1 day ago

      Son confirmed out yet?

      1. Original - Wolves Ay We
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        3 months, 1 day ago

        Won't until they name the team line-up before the match.

    • Hryszko
      • 3 Years
      3 months, 1 day ago

      So, people think these moves are worth it? got 2FT so this would be for a -4.

      Salah > Trossard
      Gundo > Odegaard
      Dier/Dias > Dunk

      1. antis0cial
        • 5 Years
        3 months, 1 day ago

        I'm keeping hold of Salah, Pool have a great run in. Issue is being stuck with 2 Brighton after this week, who you are unlikely going to want to play for a while.

    • antis0cial
      • 5 Years
      3 months, 1 day ago

      A) Lowton Sterling to Dallas Lingard
      B) Gundo Sterling to Lingard Bale
      C) Lowton Sterling to Dallas Bale

      1. AC/DC AFC
        • 5 Years
        3 months, 1 day ago

        B

      2. linkafu
        • 1 Year
        3 months, 1 day ago

        Don't know your team but we have the same kind of problems...

        1. antis0cial
          • 5 Years
          3 months, 1 day ago

          Not much of a team this week!

          Areola
          Veltman Coufal
          Raph
          Kane Antonio

          Meslier Digne Dias Bruno Salah Sterling Gundo Brewster

    • Help Me!
      • 5 Years
      3 months, 1 day ago

      For coming 2 weeks...
      Is it worth a hit to get Lookman/Trossard/Groß for Gündogan?

      1. Original - Wolves Ay We
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        3 months, 1 day ago

        Wouldn't get any of those personally.

    • damiang2233
      • 11 Years
      3 months, 1 day ago

      Free Hit this week. Thoughts?

      Sanchez (Aerola)
      Creswell, Dunk, Aina, (Targett, Tierney)
      Bale, Auba, Raphinha, Lingard, (Lookman)
      Kane, Lacazette, Antonio

      Should i be looking at bamford?

      1. AC/DC AFC
        • 5 Years
        3 months, 1 day ago

        Nice.

        I fancy Fulham home to Leeds but it could explode either way.

    • youzef
      • 6 Years
      3 months, 1 day ago

      Sanchez
      Burn Strujik Dallas Konsa
      Raphinha Lingard
      Kane(C) Watkins

      Good to go (no points hit) and use ft to get in Lingard and Dallas.
      Any players worth taking a hit for in the mid or fwd role?

    • HMC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 months, 1 day ago

      stones to dallas
      salah to auba
      gundo to lingard

      is this worth -4
      if not what are the priority moves? team is linked
      basically moves for the next 2gw as i wc in 31

      1. Prison Mike
        • 5 Years
        3 months, 1 day ago

        Not sure on Auba

        1. AC/DC AFC
          • 5 Years
          3 months, 1 day ago

          If Aubameyang is dropped again does Lacazette step up?

      2. AC/DC AFC
        • 5 Years
        3 months, 1 day ago

        I'd priorities Lingard there.

    • Prison Mike
      • 5 Years
      3 months, 1 day ago

      Dunk or Veltman?

      1. Blue&White85
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        3 months, 1 day ago

        Dunk

    • markus808
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 months, 1 day ago

      Kane or Lingard captain? What do the stats say?

      1. Original - Wolves Ay We
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        3 months, 1 day ago

        Stats say never look past Kane.

    • tissae
      • 6 Years
      3 months, 1 day ago

      Son + Gundo -> Bale + Lingrad for free? Yey or nay?

      1. AC/DC AFC
        • 5 Years
        3 months, 1 day ago

        Yay

      2. Zen Arcade
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 2 Years
        3 months, 1 day ago

        I think Rotor Lingrad were the team who knocked Spurs out of Europe.

      3. Help Me!
        • 5 Years
        3 months, 1 day ago

        I would do it for -8

    • AC/DC AFC
      • 5 Years
      3 months, 1 day ago

      How would you improve this squad?

      Areloa
      Cresswell, Dunk, Lascelles
      Lingard, Auba., Bale, Lallana
      Antonio, Lacazette, Kane.

      Sanchez. Moura, Dallas, Aina.

      Appreciate any tips to improve my free hit.

      1. waltzingmatildas
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        3 months, 1 day ago

        BB or FH?

        1. AC/DC AFC
          • 5 Years
          3 months, 1 day ago

          FH

      2. antis0cial
        • 5 Years
        3 months, 1 day ago

        I would start Dallas over Lascelles. Don't like the Lallana punt, rest looks good.

        1. AC/DC AFC
          • 5 Years
          3 months, 1 day ago

          Thinking that Welbeck may be a good punt too.

    • waltzingmatildas
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 months, 1 day ago

      Think I'm just going to do Stones to Dunk which gives me:
      Martinez
      Coufal Dunk Dallas
      Son Raphinha
      Kane Antonio Bamford

      Would you do Salah to Lingard for a hit?

      1. sirmorbach
        • 5 Years
        3 months, 1 day ago

        Like it, similar situation myself. Think I won't take the hit though.

    • sirmorbach
      • 5 Years
      3 months, 1 day ago

      Martínez / Forster
      Dias / Stones / Cresswell / Dunk /  Dallas
      Salah / Bruno / Gündogan / Raphinha / Soucek
      Kane / Antonio / Watkins

      Any hit needed/worth it here, friends? WC available

      1. waltzingmatildas
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        3 months, 1 day ago

        Hmm, yeah similar. Guess it depends on how aggressive you want to go.

    • HD7
      • 4 Years
      3 months, 1 day ago

      2FT

      Mates, which two players would you add to this bunch for GW29 ...

      Martinez, Regulion, Son*, Kane, Bamford* + Bissouma, Strujik

      I think to get Lingard and one of Auba/Laca/Rafinha/Dallas/Dunk/
      Trossard?

    • Hybrid.power
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 months, 1 day ago

      Hi all, I've been avoiding FPL for a while due to dismal results. I've seen a lot of people advising against free hit this week, is there going to be another big double soon?

      1. Original - Wolves Ay We
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        3 months, 1 day ago

        Mainly because most can get a decent number of players without using the FH.

        1. Hybrid.power
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          3 months, 1 day ago

          Fair enough

      2. Stupendous
        • 8 Years
        3 months, 1 day ago

        No they're done

        1. Stupendous
          • 8 Years
          3 months, 1 day ago

          One or two teams have doubles to go i mean

    • Netters2018
      • 2 Years
      3 months, 1 day ago

      Bale or Laca on a FH?

    • fpork
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 months, 1 day ago

      DCL->Kane for a FT?

      1. Stupendous
        • 8 Years
        3 months, 1 day ago

        Definitely

    • damiang2233
      • 11 Years
      3 months, 1 day ago

      GTG?

      Sanchez (Aerola)
      Creswell, Dunk, Aina, (Targett, Tierney)
      Bale, Auba, Lookman, Lingard, (Raphinha)
      Kane, Lacazette, Antonio

      1. AC/DC AFC
        • 5 Years
        3 months, 1 day ago

        Nice

      2. Stupendous
        • 8 Years
        3 months, 1 day ago

        You could have more points on your bench than in your 11

        1. damiang2233
          • 11 Years
          3 months, 1 day ago

          Who you think I should bench?

    • Stupendous
      • 8 Years
      3 months, 1 day ago

      Son to Bale for a hit?

      Would likely mean 11 definite starters (well, 10, Auba).

      1. Super Saints
        • 4 Years
        3 months, 1 day ago

        I'm doing it, not convinced Son will be back for Newcastle either.

      2. TimoTime
        • 1 Year
        3 months, 1 day ago

        Wondering the same with Salah to give me 9

        Honestly 10 sounds like enough although I see you may be nervous about Auba (however I am sure they will have been working hard to fix whatever issue there was there).

        As it stands it looks like Son is still out... however I would wait until the very last minute to do the switch to see if any news comes, otherwise it could be a good shout

    • TimoTime
      • 1 Year
      3 months, 1 day ago

      Salah > Bale for a -4?

      Would mean I can field 9 (if Bamford plays..)

      1. Prison Mike
        • 5 Years
        3 months, 1 day ago

        I’d say yes

    • Pops15
      • 4 Years
      3 months, 1 day ago

      I have 9+ Son this week without a hit. Already used my free transfer on Dunk. I'm contemplating bringing in Lingard or Auba for a hit. Is it worth the move or just stick with what I got?

      Cheers!

      1. Super Saints
        • 4 Years
        3 months, 1 day ago

        I would say so, i'd go for Lindgard