Spot the Differential

Phillips can offer excellent value as Liverpool prepare for fixture-swing

Gameweek 31 is almost upon us which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Leicester City, Liverpool and Arsenal, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

Nathaniel Phillips

  • FPL ownership: 1.9%
  • Price: £4.0m
  • GW31-35 fixtures: AVL | lee | NEW | mun | SOU

Academy product Nat Phillips (£4.0m) has taken his chance at Liverpool this season and now offers Fantasy managers exceptional value.

The 24-year-old spent the 2019/20 campaign on loan at VfB Stuttgart, where he helped them gain promotion to the Bundesliga. Having arrived back at Anfield ahead of the current season, he wasn’t expected to feature in many games, but has been thrust into action after injuries to key defenders Virgil van Dijk (£6.2m), Joe Gomez (£5.2m) and Joel Matip (£5.4m).

The Englishman has now made 11 Premier League appearances and alongside January loan signing Ozan Kabak (£5.0m), has kept back-to-back Premier League clean sheets. The duo have formed a decent centre-back partnership, and despite a challenging Champions League night earlier this week, it is worth remembering Real Madrid are an altogether different proposition to what they will face domestically during the run-in.

Crucially, the performances of Phillips have the added bonus of allowing Fabinho (£5.4m) to return to midfield. Jürgen Klopp’s side badly missed the Brazilian as a number six, and look a far better side with him sitting in front of the back four.

Up next for Liverpool is Aston Villa, who could be missing Jack Grealish (£7.5m) again this weekend. After that, the Reds take on Leeds and Newcastle, before closing the season with games against West Brom, Burnley and Crystal Palace.

Phillips costs just £4.0m, and as one of the cheapest starting defenders in the game, could be a quality enabler for the remainder of the season.

James Maddison

  • FPL ownership: 5.0%
  • Price: £7.1m
  • GW31-35 fixtures: whu | WBA | CRY | sou | NEW

James Maddison (£7.1m) returned with an appearance off the bench against Manchester City in Gameweek 30, having missed six matches through injury.

The playmaker had been in exceptional form prior to being side-lined, producing five goals, three assists and 64 FPL points between Gameweeks 17 and 25.

Unsurprisingly, the attacking midfielder has been Leicester City’s main creative outlet this term. Amongst team-mates, he leads the way for final-third touches, successful crosses and chances created, plus expected assists (xA).

However, since late last year, Maddison’s goal threat is improving too, something he touched on in an interview in January: 

“Me, the gaffer and Jack, the analyst, sat down and looked at where I can get more goals. Playing a bit deeper, I was a No.8 today, and breaking into the box and getting beyond that last line and really, kind of, almost smelling where the ball is going to drop. It’s not an easy thing to do. Frank Lampard was the best at it, arriving late and scoring goals, and that’s what I did today.” – James Maddison

Now shooting closer to goal, in more central areas, he has found the back of the net 11 times this season, eight of which have come in the Premier League.

Personal motivation could be a key factor, too. If Maddison is to force his way into Gareth Southgate’s England squad for the European Championship this summer, he will need to play a starring role during the run-in. Encouragingly, the fixtures offer him an opportunity to do exactly that, as Brendan Rodgers’s side face West Bromwich Albion, Crystal Palace, Southampton and Newcastle United between Gameweeks 32 and 35.

Whether fielded out wide, as a number 10 or deeper, Maddison has found a way to impact games, and could be a smart differential for those on the lookout for a new midfielder.

Rob Holding

  • FPL ownership: 3.4%
  • Price: £4.2m
  • GW31-35 fixtures: shu | FUL | EVE | new | WBA

Another budget defender you might want to consider is Rob Holding (£4.2m).

Following the news that David Luiz (£5.4m) will miss a number of weeks with a knee injury, we think the Englishman is likely to start alongside either Gabriel Magalhães (£4.9m) or Pablo Marí (£4.4m), who are both left-footed.

As the clubs only naturally right-sided centre-back, Holding is the obvious candidate to replace Luiz, and with a schedule that sees Arsenal take on Sheffield United, Fulham, Newcastle and West Brom in the next five Gameweeks, he can offer FPL managers real value.

This season, the 25-year-old has started 21 Premier League matches, and kept eight clean sheets during that time. He has arguably been Mikel Arteta’s best defender, and as a result, was rewarded with a new contract back in January.

Despite a poor showing against Liverpool last weekend, Arsenal do appear to be heading in the right direction. Since Boxing Day, when they beat Chelsea 3-1, they have played 16 Premier League games, winning eight, drawing four and losing four, so their form has generally been good. The arrival of Martin Ødegaard (£6.0m) has added another creative option, and their forthcoming schedule offers encouragement that they can kick on and finish the season strongly.

Holding is likely to keep his place at centre-back in the coming weeks, and at £4.2m, could be a good bargain option for your squad.

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1,194 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Bojam
    • 4 Years
    3 months, 21 days ago

    Who to start this week? (A) Bale or (B) Watkins?

    Team:

    Martinez
    Dias, Stones, Azpi
    Bruno, Son, Bale, Jota, Gundo
    Kane, DCL

    Sanchez; Watkins; Coufal; Dallas

    0FT; 0.7ITB

    Is three Spurs overkill vs Utd? Will Bale even start?
    Watkins got a hattie vs Pool earlier in the season. Bit of a freak result though and Grealish out is a massive factor...

    1. DRIZ ✅
      • 9 Years
      3 months, 21 days ago

      A

      1. Bojam
        • 4 Years
        3 months, 21 days ago

        Cheers! Anyone else?

  2. BigAsGiroud_
    • 5 Years
    3 months, 21 days ago

    For this week,
    A) Maddison+Bruno
    Or
    B) Sterling+Son

    1. DRIZ ✅
      • 9 Years
      3 months, 21 days ago

      A

    2. Magic Zico
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      3 months, 21 days ago

      A this week

  3. VICTORIOUS SECRET! !
    • 8 Years
    3 months, 21 days ago

    Reguilon + bamford----> philips + laca ???

    Yay or nay ?

    1. DRIZ ✅
      • 9 Years
      3 months, 21 days ago

      A

  4. JONALDINHO
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    3 months, 21 days ago

    A) KDB(C) to Sterling(C)
    B) Antonio to Iheanacho
    C) Both for (-4)

    Will be doing KDB to Bruno next week anyway and Bamford will play instead of Antonio

    1. DRIZ ✅
      • 9 Years
      3 months, 21 days ago

      A

    2. HIAFL (Howe to Train your D…
      • 3 Years
      3 months, 21 days ago

      a

  5. Shark
    • 1 Year
    3 months, 21 days ago

    Interesting that these guys are still differentials. I have Maddison and Holding on WC and I expect many will go for all three. I wonder how long they will remain as differential status.

    1. JBG
      • 3 Years
      3 months, 21 days ago

      Maddison been injured

    2. Nay08
        3 months, 21 days ago

        Maddison just came back from injury.
        with Holding, I think he more nailed after Luiz injured no? plus... It's Arsenal.

    3. McClements
      • 1 Year
      3 months, 21 days ago

      GTG on WC? 0 in bank

      Mendy (Forster)
      TAA/Coady/Holding (Rudiger/Dallas)
      Bruno/Sterling(C)/Salah(V)/Jota/Neto
      Kane/Nacho (Davis)

      Sterling to Son next week.

      1. DRIZ ✅
        • 9 Years
        3 months, 21 days ago

        7.5/10 g2g

      2. Nay08
          3 months, 21 days ago

          what do you think if instead Bruno/Sterling/Nacho you do Lingard/Son/Vardy.
          is there enough cash?

      3. Nay08
          3 months, 21 days ago

          another option I still can't decide on WC:

          1. TAA, with two dead benches (Mitchell and Davis the 4.2 fw)
          so only have 1 bench option. (I usually go with 2 playing benches just to feel safe)

          or

          2. Creswell, Philips, Iheanacho
          Philips will probably be on the bench anyway but at least he has a high chance of playing so not a dead bench if anything happens on my main player

          the team besides the disputed above:
          Leno/Forster
          Azpi/Castagne/Coady/-/-
          Salah/Son/Lingard/Jota/Neto
          Kane/Vardy/-

          1. Bojam
            • 4 Years
            3 months, 21 days ago

            Personally, I'd go option 2. You'll probably need more than one playing bench option.

            1. Nay08
                3 months, 21 days ago

                thanks man, as of now I also lean toward 2 a little bit tbh. just need some thought if is it worth sacrificing bench to get TAA

          2. HIAFL (Howe to Train your D…
            • 3 Years
            3 months, 21 days ago

            Mendy Forster
            Taa Rudiger Fofana Coady Mitchell
            Salah Sterling Bruno Jota Neto
            Kane Iheanacho Vydra

            0.0 itb

            WC gtg?

          3. Ohh1454
            • 3 Years
            3 months, 21 days ago

            Captain Kane or Jota ?

            1. Shark
              • 1 Year
              3 months, 21 days ago

              Jota if you are chasing.

              1. Nay08
                  3 months, 21 days ago

                  yes and you can put Kana as VC in case jota not playing

            2. JJeyy
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 5 Years
              3 months, 21 days ago

              Leeds let Aubameyang score a hattrick I wonder how many they'll let Sterling score

              1. DRIZ ✅
                • 9 Years
                3 months, 21 days ago

                Sterling another 3pts

              2. b91jh
                • 4 Years
                3 months, 21 days ago

                Got a clean sheet vs Chelsea in the same universe tho.

              3. ebb2sparky
                • 10 Years
                3 months, 21 days ago

                No doubt I'll be proved wrong but I think Leeds will make it tough for city

            3. unitednations
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 9 Years
              3 months, 21 days ago

              Best team on WC

              Mendy -- Forster
              Rudi XXX XXX Veltman Holding
              Bruno Salah Jota Son XXX
              Kane Nacho XXX

              A: TAA + Shaw + Lingard + Davis
              B: Philips + Coady + Vardy + ESR

              1. HIAFL (Howe to Train your D…
                • 3 Years
                3 months, 21 days ago

                a

            4. Hansel
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 10 Years
              3 months, 21 days ago

              Thoughts on this WC team?

              Kepa Forster
              TAA Dias Shaw Coady Holding
              Salah (C) Son Jota JLingz Gundo
              Kane Iheanacho Antonio

              0.0 ITB

              1. bodgejob
                • 6 Years
                3 months, 21 days ago

                Kepa?!

              2. ZAMUNDA
                • 4 Years
                3 months, 21 days ago

                Is Kepa starting?

              3. Please Answer Me
                • 6 Years
                3 months, 21 days ago

                The whole FFS community demands an explanation on your Kepa pick right now

              4. HIAFL (Howe to Train your D…
                • 3 Years
                3 months, 21 days ago

                kepa !!!

              5. gart888
                • 7 Years
                3 months, 21 days ago

                This WC team is a hilarious combination of being absolutely template, and insane. Kepa and Antonio are such bizarre picks. Everyone else is so reasonable.

              6. b91jh
                • 4 Years
                3 months, 21 days ago

                You dont need a manager in a FPL team.

              7. Hansel
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 10 Years
                3 months, 21 days ago

                Haha it's Mendy guys, I blacked out! Antonio injury makes him a no go too

            5. LLoris
              • 2 Years
              3 months, 21 days ago

              Is Rudiger nailed or should I go with D.Sanchez for the dgw?

              1. Thomas Magnum
                • 5 Years
                3 months, 21 days ago

                I'd say Rudi is more nailed than Sanchez

            6. bodgejob
              • 6 Years
              3 months, 21 days ago

              Mendy + James or Johnstone + Alonso on WC? Both options with Rudiger

              1. Thomas Magnum
                • 5 Years
                3 months, 21 days ago

                first one i think

              2. ZAMUNDA
                • 4 Years
                3 months, 21 days ago

                Johnstone + Alosno then. Triple chelsea is a no

            7. Thomas Magnum
              • 5 Years
              3 months, 21 days ago

              Rip this WC apart, tried to go with some real differentials
              Sanchez Forster
              TAA Dias Dawson Rudiger Phillips
              Salah Bruno Maddison Greenwood Lingard
              Kane Iheanacho Wood
              0.0itb
              Thoughts?

              1. DRIZ ✅
                • 9 Years
                3 months, 21 days ago

                6/10 g2g this week

                1. Thomas Magnum
                  • 5 Years
                  3 months, 21 days ago

                  Appreciate the honesty! Too punty?

              2. Please Answer Me
                • 6 Years
                3 months, 21 days ago

                pretty average

                1. Thomas Magnum
                  • 5 Years
                  3 months, 21 days ago

                  Anything obvious to change?

                  1. Please Answer Me
                    • 6 Years
                    3 months, 21 days ago

                    Why Wood and not Vydras? Either way I'd only want them for this gameweek and 33, the other ones I'd use the 5 midfielders.Jota should be there instead of double Liv defence because there are other defenders with great fixtures anyway. The GK probably wont get more than 2cs the rest of the season.

                    1. Please Answer Me
                      • 6 Years
                      3 months, 21 days ago

                      oh and no Son...

                    2. Thomas Magnum
                      • 5 Years
                      3 months, 21 days ago

                      The forward options are so bare right now, he'll be gone though. Just struggle to find another nailed on option in that price range. I prefer Jota but no other basically nailed on 4.0 defender to replace Phillips will have to upgrade.

              3. b91jh
                • 4 Years
                3 months, 21 days ago

                Like the idea but Greenwood has been poor yesterday, even worse than Dan James

                1. Thomas Magnum
                  • 5 Years
                  3 months, 21 days ago

                  He's expendable. Can just downgrade him to Raphinha again and see how I can reinvest

                  1. b91jh
                    • 4 Years
                    3 months, 21 days ago

                    Thoughts on Moura if you are not going Son?

                    1. Thomas Magnum
                      • 5 Years
                      3 months, 21 days ago

                      Yeah Moura is in my thinking but it's between him Greenwood, Maddison and Jota

              4. Magic Zico
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 2 Years
                3 months, 21 days ago

                Improve GK, just one between Maddison & Greenwood and Wood is only good this week for the next few.

                1. Thomas Magnum
                  • 5 Years
                  3 months, 21 days ago

                  Thank you, MZ, Back to the drawing board!

                  1. b91jh
                    • 4 Years
                    3 months, 21 days ago

                    Fabianski could be a good differential pick to you. Leicester and Chelsea and it is a green sea.

                    1. Thomas Magnum
                      • 5 Years
                      3 months, 21 days ago

                      I'll look into Fabianski, should be good for the price. Prefer him to Leno but just worry about the defense now Rice is out

            8. JakeTheRed
              • 6 Years
              3 months, 21 days ago

              Afternoon all,

              I've been trying to piece together my WC for a little while, trying to make some points up in my ML. Only other chip I have remaining is BB.

              Mendy - (Forster)
              Dias - Rudiger - Coady - (Phillips) - (Struijk)
              Salah - Fernandes - Maddison - Lingard - (Neto)
              Kane - DCL - Lacazette

              Thoughts?

            9. HD7
              • 4 Years
              3 months, 21 days ago

              Okay, mates a little of the DON KLOPPEONE Style 🙂

              A, B or C ?

              A) Vardy > Bruno one

              Mendy, Foster
              TAA, SHAW, Rudiger, COADY, Holding
              Salah, LINGARD, Son, Jota, Neto
              Kane, VARDY, Davis

              B) Attacking one (No Taa, Vardy in)

              Mendy, Forster
              PHILIPS, FOFANA, Rudiger, DIOP, Holding
              Salah, BRUNO, Son, Jota, Neto
              Kane, VARDY, Davis

              C) Template one ( Vardy misses out and we hope Nacho is nailed)

              Mendy, Foster
              TAA, SHAW, Rudiger, COADY, Holding
              Salah, BRUNO, Son, Jota, Neto
              Kane, NACHO, Davis

              1. HD7
                • 4 Years
                3 months, 21 days ago

                I know most like C but I think I will go with B.

                Reason: I dont see a lot of defenders that are worth the big money. Will hope Philips and Fofana do well.

                1. Thomas Magnum
                  • 5 Years
                  3 months, 21 days ago

                  Looks like you've answered your own question. Either are fine

                  1. HD7
                    • 4 Years
                    3 months, 21 days ago

                    Hey there are a lot of analytical minds around here who can easily make me go 180 degrees with arguments:)

                    I dont want to just hear what I like to hear 😀

            10. Totti
              • 4 Years
              3 months, 21 days ago

              On wildcard
              Who to get?

              A) shaw
              B) maguire

              1. HD7
                • 4 Years
                3 months, 21 days ago

                To be fair, I decided against Man Utd defenders, mate. Otherwise Shaw

                1. Totti
                  • 4 Years
                  3 months, 21 days ago

                  Why you decided this?

                  1. HD7
                    • 4 Years
                    3 months, 21 days ago

                    You can see above:)

            11. Tshelby
              • 6 Years
              3 months, 21 days ago

              Vardy or Salah in?

              Martinez,
              Shaw, Dias, Coufal, Dallas, Veltman
              Son, Lingard, Jota, Fernandes, Gundogan
              Kane, Antonio, Bamford

              1ft - 4.7 itb

            12. barcaa7
              • 3 Years
              3 months, 21 days ago

              Why everyone have Foster ?

              1. gart888
                • 7 Years
                3 months, 21 days ago

                He's starting for southampton lately, and only costs 0.1 more than a minimum option. If you really need that 0.1 then go with a 3.9, but if you can spare it it's a decent insurance policy against a Mendy rotation.

                1. barcaa7
                  • 3 Years
                  3 months, 21 days ago

                  I realy need this 0.1 to upgrade valtman to Fofana

            13. DannyDrinkVodka
              • 1 Year
              3 months, 21 days ago

              Naive to stick Stones in on a WC? Have Shaw first on bench in case he doesn't start.......

              1. gart888
                • 7 Years
                3 months, 21 days ago

                Not really. Decent risk reward. I'm doing Dias myself, but could see going Stones if I needed those funds elsewhere.

            14. b91jh
              • 4 Years
              3 months, 21 days ago

              Gtg? Almost finalized wc team.

              Mendy
              TAA Rudiger Holding
              Auba(c) Bruno Jota Lingard
              Kane Nacho Wood

              Forster Maddison Cresswell Castagne

              1. gart888
                • 7 Years
                3 months, 21 days ago

                If planning on Auba -> Salah soon I like it. Though lack of Son could be bad for the DGW

            15. Marc Jobling
              • 9 Years
              3 months, 21 days ago

              Mendy - Forster
              Dias - Targett - Coady - Holding - Phillips
              Salah - Jota - Fernandes - Son - Lingard
              Kane - Iheanacho - Vydra

              £1.9m ITB, plan to BB in 34/35

              Good to go?

            16. The Red Devil
              • 6 Years
              3 months, 21 days ago

              GTG? Subs order correct?

              Sanchez
              Stones/Shaw/Rudiger
              Salah/Son/Fernandes/Lingard
              Kane/DCL/Vydra

              Martinez/Raphonha/Phillips/Dunk

              cheers

            17. jimbo_smells
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 8 Years
              3 months, 21 days ago

              Hi all,

              Think I've decided to hold fire on my WC until GW33, as already have 3xSpurs for GW32.

              HOWEVER, team not looking so great for this week, so thoughts on best transfer option(s) from these:

              A) Antonio -> Iheanacho
              B) Antonio -> Vardy
              C) Antonio -> Lacazette
              D) Antonio -> Wood
              E) Antonio -> Ings

              F) Raphina -> Jota

              G) Dallas/Coufal -> TAA
              ---
              H) - Some combination of the above for a -4?

              (Have 3.9m itb, so plenty of upgrade options)

              ?

              Cheers!

              1. Bojam
                • 4 Years
                3 months, 21 days ago

                In pretty much the same boat mate. 3 Spurs players. Can play the FH in 33. Thinking to WC in 34 probably.

                What's your full team? Will help to advise on transfer.

                1. Bojam
                  • 4 Years
                  3 months, 21 days ago

                  My team is:

                  Martinez
                  Dias, Stones, Azpi
                  Bruno, Son, Bale, Jota, Gundo
                  Kane, DCL

                  Sanchez; Watkins; Coufal; Dallas

                  0FT; 0.7ITB

                  Already did Raphinha -> Jota.
                  Considered Watkins -> Iheanacho (-4) but not sure it's really worth it this week.

                  1. jimbo_smells
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 8 Years
                    3 months, 21 days ago

                    Not ideal with Bale.. but guess you have to hold for now. Not sure anything else is worth a -4 this week

                    1. Bojam
                      • 4 Years
                      3 months, 21 days ago

                      Yeah I know. Bringing him in GW29 was a bit of a disaster. Seems silly to get rid now though with the DGW coming. Just not sure whether to start him or Watkins this week?

                2. jimbo_smells
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 8 Years
                  3 months, 21 days ago

                  Cheers! Jealous of your FH.. I'm all out except WC! But maybe I'd consider saving it for the possible blanks/doubles in 35/36?

                  Anyway, my full squad:

                  Mendy, Martínez

                  Dias, Coufal, Alonso, Reguilón, Dallas

                  Fernandes, Raphinha, Son, Lingard, Gündogan

                  Kane, Bamford, Antonio

                  1. Bojam
                    • 4 Years
                    3 months, 21 days ago

                    Reckon I'd do Raphinha -> Jota. Liverpools fixtures are great and you'll want some attacking coverage (Jota's numbers compare well to Salah's).
                    If Antonio is definitely out then I reckon a -4 to Iheanacho might well be worth it too. Or wait a week and see.
                    Without the FH, I'd be considering WC'ing in 33 otherwise you won't get a full team out. You can probably get away with keeping Kane and one or two City players on the bench that week if you want them for the run in.

            18. I Member
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 5 Years
              3 months, 21 days ago

              WC team good to go?

              Mendy
              TAA, Rudiger, Holding
              Salah, Fernandes, Son, Mount, Jota
              Kane, Iheanacho

              Forster; Coady, Fofana, Brewster.

              Play Holding (shu) or Coady (ful)?

              Can have Lingard instead of Mount but need differentials.

              1. Krafty Werks
                • 6 Years
                3 months, 21 days ago

                GTG...play Holding as far more chance of a cleanie i think? Bookies clean sheet odds agree.

              2. Ronnies
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 6 Years
                3 months, 21 days ago

                Holding.

                Especially if Boly is still out.

            19. Zlatan F.C
                3 months, 21 days ago

                Template WC team with Gundo and Fofana

                Am i G2G? Plan is to get Son for Gundo next GW

                Mendy (Forster)
                Rudiger TAA Fofana Holding Coufal
                Salah Jota Gundo Lingard Bruno
                Kane Nacho Vydra

              • Please Answer Me
                • 6 Years
                3 months, 21 days ago

                Those of you on WC playing Kane, Son and Davis/Burke...what are you going to do in GW33 if there's rotation?

              • SomeoneKnows
                • 5 Years
                3 months, 21 days ago

                Bamford or Woods on my WC?
                Will need him to play GW32 (BB) & GW33.

                Woods has better fixtures but if I sell Bamford it'll be difficult to bring him back for the run-in as I have lots of value invested

              • winchester
                  3 months, 21 days ago

                  hey there lads! have 1,7m itb and 1ft / WC and TC available - Not sure if I should use ft or wc.. Would it be wise to save Wildcard for later? cheers.

                  pope (martinez)
                  dias cresswell dallas (targett veltman)
                  bruno lingard raphinha son (gundo)
                  dcl kane bamford

                  a) raphinha -> jota
                  b) hit the WC chip