Watchlist

The FPL Watchlist: Chilwell + £3.9m Steele rise

The Watchlist takes a medium-term look at the more desirable Fantasy Premier League (FPL) transfer targets, rather than concentrating on just the upcoming Gameweek as the Scout Picks does.

We’ve recently had our weekly refresh, with the main changes explained below.

ABOUT THE WATCHLIST

FPL friendlies round-up: Odegaard and Doherty looking sharp as White returns 1

Players are selected and ranked according to factors such as form, club injuries, forthcoming fixtures, Rate My Team’s points projections and whether or not the player in question is likely to be a bargain in FPL.

Arrows before the name indicate whether a player has climbed or fallen in our reckoning since the previous update or if they are a new entry into the tables.

We typically toe the line with FPL’s definition of ‘form’ (average points accrued in matches played over the last 30 days), which in this case incorporates Gameweek 23 onwards.

The key for the factors you’ll see in the below tables is as follows:

THE WATCHLIST: BEST FPL GOALKEEPERS

Out with the old Brighton number one, in with the new. Jason Steele (£3.9m) replaces the ousted Robert Sanchez (£4.6m) in the Watchlist, although the budget shot-stopper enters at a modest fifth place.

It seems too good to be true: a sub-£4.0m goalkeeper with as many as five Double Gameweeks still to come, playing for a side with the fourth-best rate of non-penalty expected goals conceded (xGC) since Roberto De Zerbi took over.

The hesitation to promote him higher up the rankings is less about Blank Gameweek 28 (and 32) than it is about how secure Steele is in his role in the medium term. De Zerbi didn’t completely close the door on a future Sanchez recall (“I think Robert can work to arrive at the same level”) when discussing his team selection last weekend, even if he was hinting that Steele could get a run in the side.

The last three Gameweeks have seen Newcastle United host Liverpool, blank, then face Manchester City at the Etihad. The schedule gets more favourable for the Magpies now, with five of the Premier League’s six lowest scorers to come in Gameweeks 27-34.

Nick Pope (£5.4m), still the division’s leading goalkeeper for clean sheets, also has a guaranteed fixture in Blank Gameweek 28, a double immediately after the March international break and then another as-yet-unscheduled double to follow.

THE WATCHLIST: BEST FPL DEFENDERS

Many of the key medium-term defensive targets of Gameweek 26 are the same this time around, something that will likely be reflected in the template Wildcard squads of Gameweek 27.

Where this week’s Wildcarders may differ is their take-up of Chelsea defenders.

Graham Potter’s switch to a 3-4-3 in the nervy win over Leeds United last weekend unleashed Ben Chilwell (£5.8m) as an attacking force, with the under-fire Chelsea boss sticking to that wing-back system against Borussia Dortmund in midweek.

Chilwell, on a share of set plays, assisted goals in both matches and was heavily involved in the opposition box, while Reece James (£5.8m) was back from (another) injury on Tuesday evening to play his part on the opposite flank – and declared in the mix for penalty-taking duties by his manager!

“It was him or Reece, sometimes you have to let the lads on the pitch sort it, we’ve got confidence in Kai.” – Graham Potter on Kai Havertz’s midweek penalty

There are caveats, to keep the pair midway down the Watchlist.

Chelsea’s progression to the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals means that there’ll be a two-legged European tie after Gameweeks 30 and 31, so there is always the risk that Graham Potter spares his key assets in the Premier League with precious little to play for domestically.

A possible Blank Gameweek 32 then follows.

Double Gameweek 29, meanwhile, features two league fixtures barely 72 hours apart, the second of which is against Liverpool. Potter has previous for handling James with kid gloves when the fixtures stack up, with the Chelsea boss keen to avoid re-injuries. An international break precedes the first Gameweek 29 fixture against Aston Villa, so perhaps any minutes logged with England will partly dictate whether or not the two Blues wing-backs face the Villans.

Away from Stamford Bridge, we’ve replaced Gabriel Magalhaes (£5.2m) with Oleksandr Zinchenko (£5.2m) as our go-to Arsenal defender. The Brazilian has done little wrong but Zinchenko’s all-round attacking potential is hard to ignore, as he sits second and joint-third among FPL defenders for shots and chances created in his last six matches.

THE WATCHLIST: BEST FPL MIDFIELDERS

 

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48 Comments Post a Comment
  1. TorresMagic™
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 15 Years
    1 year, 4 months ago

    362 left in Last Man Standing

    1. rainy
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 8 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      How many entered?

      1. TorresMagic™
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 15 Years
        1 year, 4 months ago

        https://torresmagic.webs.com/lmsupdate.htm

        Kept the numbers down and the admin is a fair bit of work.

    2. Jase3377
      • 5 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      Hi mate. I seem to have been removed, but not sure which week (as I have not had any low ones). Do you have a list or required scores?

      Thanks

      1. Jase3377
        • 5 Years
        1 year, 4 months ago

        Ahh ignore. It was GW23. Got 65 and required was 66
        Oh well

        (Benching Shaw cost me. Error)

    3. SpaceCadet
      • 10 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      Still in it!

      1. TorresMagic™
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 15 Years
        1 year, 4 months ago

        Likewise, out soon though.

  2. Wakanda
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    1 year, 4 months ago

    If you have TAA, Salah, Darwin in your team ?
    will you take Salah out for JWP ?

    1. egan
      • 3 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      NOO WAAY

    2. Steve Stiffler
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      Not this week, defo not

    3. Wakanda
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      JWP has dgw though

      1. TorresMagic™
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 15 Years
        1 year, 4 months ago

        Just means more appearance points.

  3. egan
    • 3 Years
    1 year, 4 months ago

    Pick one pls

    a. Rashford / Salah to MacAllister for -4 ?
    b. Darwin to Tonet for -4?
    c. do both for -8
    d. Keep Rashford Salah and Darwin

    1. Wakanda
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      based on my above concern, i think majority are looking at removing liverpool assets next GW

    2. Nanook
      • 2 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      D

  4. Wakanda
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    1 year, 4 months ago

    Guys, who will you captain from this team ?

    MID : Salah MacAlister (DGW)
    FWD : Toney (DGW) Haaland Darwin

    1. rainy
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 8 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      Captain poll says Toney

    2. Steve Stiffler
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      Toney

    3. egan
      • 3 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      If you have a crappy rank, Cap MacAllister or Mitoma for a potential higher upside. Toney is safer tho

      1. Wakanda
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        1 year, 4 months ago

        i will stick with Toney, looking to secure monthly

    4. Bggz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      ffs rmt has mitoma top then toney

  5. DGW blindness is for Kinnea…
    • 11 Years
    1 year, 4 months ago

    If money is no issue then Chilwell over Fofana?

    1. Bluetiger1
      • 2 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      Yes

    2. Nanook
      • 2 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      Yes

    3. Big Mike
      • 1 Year
      1 year, 4 months ago

      Yes but I'd prefer James as he has less competition for his place.

  6. Philosopher's Stones
    • 4 Years
    1 year, 4 months ago

    Which seems better?

    A: Nketiah -> Mbeumo
    B: Nketiah + Maddison -> Toney + Martinelli (-4)
    C: Nketiah + TAA -> Toney + Chillwell (-4)

    *Can get 11 in 28 for a hit if A and B, for FT if C
    * Will FH in 29

    1. Onana Whatsmyname
      • 14 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      I like C - Chilwell looks like someone to get on ASAP

    2. Nanook
      • 2 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      I like C of those. You get 2 quality assets plus get to keep Maddison and save a hit in 28.

    3. Big Mike
      • 1 Year
      1 year, 4 months ago

      Just do Nketiah > Toney.

  7. Yankee Toffee
    • 9 Years
    1 year, 4 months ago

    "Too many players selected from Brighton."

    This feels like Dunkgate all over again...

    1. Nanook
      • 2 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      Just don’t triple captain Duffy 🙂

    2. Camino Aleatorio
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      I recall many false dawns...

      Felipe Anderson

  8. Bluetiger1
    • 2 Years
    1 year, 4 months ago

    Good morning fellow FPL Managers

    Hope all feeling good & looking forward to GW27 with the possibility of a good DGW

    I'm still undecided on best captain option, Have you decided yet on best captain option yet for this GW27?

    1. Bluetiger1
      • 2 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      Sorry just seen earlier comments on the same subject- I think its time for a cup of tea & try to wake up

    2. Onana Whatsmyname
      • 14 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      Those Brighton fixtures scream goals to me….in Mitoma we trust.

    3. Fefguero
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      March

  9. Fefguero
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 2 Years
    1 year, 4 months ago

    Play two, bench two;

    -Kepa or Pope
    -Ake or Shaw

    1. Nanook
      • 2 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      Shaw for me. Bigger upside
      For the GK, are you playing Trippier or Chilwell?

      1. Fefguero
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 2 Years
        1 year, 4 months ago

        Trippier. That mean go Kepa to hedge bets?

    2. Big Mike
      • 1 Year
      1 year, 4 months ago

      Play Pope and Shaw.

  10. Ibralicious
    • 9 Years
    1 year, 4 months ago

    Best move here with the unfortunate Sanchez situation? Sanchez —> Steele with the FT?

    Sanchez
    Mee - Estupinan - Henry
    Saka - Rashford - Martinelli - Mitoma
    Haaland - Kane - Toney

    (Kepa) (Zinchenko - Trippier - Maddison) 1.2 ITB

    Cheers!

    1. rainy
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 8 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      Worst that happens is Sanchez gets his spot back and you play Kepa

  11. Plumbers Pan
    • 1 Year
    1 year, 4 months ago

    Just finished work

    Raya
    White Shaw Robbo
    Maddi Saka Salah Andreas
    Haaland Toney Watkins
    Ward Botman Bueno’ Oderg

    Bringing in maybe 1 more Brent & 1 more Brighton

    No Rashford though, bit of a concern

    Or wait until 29 to bring back in ?

    1. Cojones of Destiny
      • 6 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      Rash over Ode

    2. rainy
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 8 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      Rashford can wait until 29. Won’t be a captain pick this week and blanks next

  12. Plumbers Pan
    • 1 Year
    1 year, 4 months ago

    Sorry 1ft 0 itb

  13. Cojones of Destiny
    • 6 Years
    1 year, 4 months ago

    thoughts on this move :
    Nketiah + Sanchez to Toney + Raya -4?