Scout Notes

Calvert-Lewin on Everton penalties – but Ings stays second in line at Villa

There was more to Leeds United v Everton and Aston Villa v Newcastle United than two spot-kicks but from a Fantasy Premier League (FPL) perspective, it was the main talking point from the Gameweek 2 matches at Elland Road and Villa Park.

FPL points predictions for Gameweek 3 and beyond 3

ASTON VILLA 2-0 NEWCASTLE UNITED

  • Goals: Danny Ings (£8.1m), Anwar El Ghazi (£6.0m)
  • Assists: Tyrone Mings (£5.0m) x2
  • Bonus: Mings x3, Ings x2, El Ghazi x1

INGS CLINICAL – BUT SECOND IN LINE ON PENS

Danny Ings (£8.1m) shot to the top of the FPL forwards’ points table with a goal in Aston Villa’s 2-0 win over Newcastle United.

The lack of chances created for the England international is a bit of a concern, as the Villa striker ranks only joint-14th for goal attempts among players in his position this season (see the below table from our Premium Members Area).

But being clinical with relatively few opportunities comes second nature to the former Southampton man, who is the only current FPL forward whose shot-to-goal conversion rate was in excess of 20% in each of the previous two Premier League campaigns.

That killer instinct also helps on the Bonus Points System, with fewer baseline bonus points deducted for shots off target.

With the injured Ollie Watkins (£7.4m) and Leon Bailey (£6.5m) still to come back into the side, and Emiliano Buendia (£6.5m) yet to hit his best form, the hope is also that the rate of chance creation will increase so that Ings can marry his ruthless streak with more shots at goal.

Bailey and Watkins’ eventual inclusion in the Villa starting XI may also be good news for Ings with regards to penalty-taking duties.

Anwar El Ghazi (£6.0m) was confirmed as Villa’s first-choice penalty taker on Saturday, stepping up from 12 yards with Ings on the pitch.

But El Ghazi’s place in the team is surely at risk in the medium term when Dean Smith has a full squad at his disposal.

The major downside for Ings is fixtures, with Villa sitting bottom of our Season Ticker from Gameweeks 4-10 and the September international break likely to be a jumping off point for many of us.

The forward did score five goals in 12 meetings with these sides last season, however.

DEFENCES FAIL TO CONVINCE

Despite the clean sheet, Villa’s backline will likely be off the menu due to the aforementioned fixture run and some unconvincing defending in Gameweeks 1 and 2.

Callum Wilson (£7.5m) wasted a one-on-one chance in a dominant opening 30 minutes for the visitors, with the Newcastle striker also being denied a penalty due to a tight offside call.

Tyrone Mings (£5.0m) is someone who could continue to prosper at the other end of the pitch, however: he was involved in both Villa goals, and the appointment of a set-piece coach in the summer should only add to his threat from free-kicks, corners and even throw-ins.

“I brought a set piece coach in in the summer and he’ll be taking plenty of kudos for that goal as well. It was a great finish from Danny Ings and a set-piece routine we have actually worked on in pre-season. Matt Cash has got a long throw and why not utilise it?” – Dean Smith

Matt Targett (£5.0m) looks like a ‘sell’, meanwhile, with Ashley Young (£5.0m) displacing him at left-back.

As for Newcastle’s ropey backline, they are joint-bottom for big chances conceded this season. A first-half knee injury to Isaac Hayden (£4.5m) will, barring further recruitment, make their 3-5-2 set-up look even more open when Southampton visit Tyneside in Gameweek 3.

It’s a pity that they aren’t tighter at the back, as Matt Ritchie (£5.0m) sits second behind only Trent Alexander-Arnold (£7.5m) for chances created this season.

Still, that more attacking mindset has helped elevate Wilson to fourth in the FPL forwards’ table for shots on goal.


Aston Villa XI: Martinez, Cash, Mings, Konsa, Young, Ramsey, Luiz (Tuanzebe 88), McGinn, Buendia (Philogene-Bidace 86), Ings (Wesley 91), El Ghazi.

Newcastle XI: Woodman; Fernandes (Joelinton 78), Lascelles, Schar, Murphy, Willock (Fraser 90), Hayden (S Longstaff 45), Almiron, Ritchie, Wilson, Saint-Maximin.

LEEDS UNITED 2-2 EVERTON

  • Goals: Mateusz Klich (£5.5m), Raphinha (£6.5m) | Dominic Calvert-Lewin (£8.1m), Demarai Gray (£5.5m)
  • Assists: Patrick Bamford (£8.0m), Liam Cooper (£4.5m) | Abdoulaye Doucoure (£5.5m)
  • Bonus: Klich x3, Gray x2, Calvert-Lewin x1

CALVERT-LEWIN ON PENALTIES

As if being front and centre of Everton’s attacking play under Rafael Benitez wasn’t enough, Dominic Calvert-Lewin (£8.1m) now seemingly has penalty-taking responsibilities in his locker.

‘Get the ball to Calvert-Lewin’ seems to be the Toffees’ mantra and the England striker has had more shots in the box (nine) and efforts on target (six) than any FPL asset this season, adding another four of each of those on Saturday.

He is top for expected goal involvement (xGI) among Premier League players in 2021/22, too, despite not being fully match sharp.

“He’s had a problem with his toe. He has not been doing full training sessions in the last 10 days. You can see the quality he has but he is missing a little bit of the stamina to finish the games in the way he wants to finish them.” – Rafael Benitez on Dominic Calvert-Lewin

Calvert-Lewin was the man to step up from 12 yards on Saturday in the continued absence of Gylfi Sigurdsson (£6.9m), having been fouled himself for Everton’s first-half penalty.

“It’s something I’ve wanted for a while [becoming Everton’s penalty-taker]. I’ve been ready to step in and take that responsibility. 

“I spoke to the manager before the first game of the season, we had that conversation. He put me on the pens and thankfully I put one away against Leeds.” – Dominic Calvert-Lewin

Above: Dominic Calvert-Lewin’s xG shotmap (taken from the Premium Members Area) in 2021/22 shows how close to goal his nine chances have been.

BUDGET GRAY IMPRESSES

Calvert-Lewin on Everton penalties - but Ings stays second in line at Villa 3

Two of Everton’s £5.5m midfielders combined for their second goal.

Abdoulaye Doucoure‘s (£5.5m) slightly more attacking remit under Benitez is something we highlighted last week and it was he who teed up Demarai Gray (£5.5m) to score, the latter arguably being the Toffees’ stand-out player at Elland Road on the left wing of a 4-4-2.

“It [Gray’s goal and performance] is an indication we have a player trying to do his best. At the same time, he is pushing the players around him, because the competition is good in each position.

“Gray and Townsend are giving us competition in the wide areas and that will only be positive for the team and the strikers.” – Rafael Benitez

TWO GAMES, ZERO CLEAN SHEETS

A total of 34 shots were shared equally in this match, which doesn’t sound like a great advert for either defence on paper.

Indeed, Everton and Leeds are two of 11 sides who have yet to register a clean sheet this season, and the Whites have allowed more shots on target than any other team.

If we’re clutching at straws regarding the set-piece-taking Lucas Digne (£5.5m) and co, we can say that preventable, individual Michael Keane (£5.0m) errors have accounted for two of the goals that Everton have conceded in 2021/22, with the other a Raphinha (£6.5m) howitzer.

But there were shaky moments in either side’s backline, and this was a good advert for the absent Diego Llorente (£4.5m) and Ben Godfrey (£4.9m), arguably the two sides’ most accomplished centre-halves.

Patrick Bamford (£8.0m) and Raphinha at least got back among the FPL attacking returns, the latter racking up an eye-catching six shots – a Gameweek high among FPL assets, even if all bar his goal came from outside the box and they amounted to a combined xG of 0.18.

Leeds United XI: Meslier, Ayling, Cooper, Struijk, Firpo (Shackleton 60), Phillips, Dallas, Klich (Roberts 60), Raphinha, Harrison, Bamford. 

Everton XI: Pickford, Keane, Coleman, Mina, Digne, Allan, Doucoure, Iwobi (Townsend 75), Gray (Delph 83), Richarlison, Calvert-Lewin (Kean 90). 

ALL YOU NEED TO KNOW FROM GAMEWEEK 2

FPL Gameweek 2 round-up: Sunday goals, assists, bonus and injuries 4
646 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Pep Roulette
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Buendia to

    A. Alli
    B. Raphinha
    C. Sarr
    D. Keep

    1. Twisted Saltergater
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Keep this week, then C.

    2. Touré De Force
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      All good options. A. Most upside

    3. WVA
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Keep

    4. FPL_BUCCANEER
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      B

    5. ZeBestee
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      B

    6. coriswrasse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      B. Leeds have a good run of fixtures starting now. Minus Pool in GW4.

  2. Twisted Saltergater
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Still prefer Ings to DCL

    1. Touré De Force
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Penos +5 goals inthe season, surely, although I expect Ings to claim them eventually

      1. Ron_Swanson
        • 13 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        I’m gonna have both as season keepers

        1. WVA
          • 7 Years
          2 years, 7 months ago

          Haha we'll see

        2. Touré De Force
          • 13 Years
          2 years, 7 months ago

          Yes also have both ATM but it gets tough when Lukaku/ Kane/ Another Premium becomes essential unless you are happy with 3-4-3 or 4-3-3 (prefer 3-5-2 myself)

      2. Twisted Saltergater
        • 14 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        El Ghazi unlikely to be starting when Bailey and Watkins are fit

    2. g40steve
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      I have Antonio & Ings, was thinking Ings to DCL
      Or find the cash for Toney to DCL, decisions.

      1. Twisted Saltergater
        • 14 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Seems a bit of a luxury transfer when Ings has Brentford at home?

    3. ZeBestee
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Ings gives you slightly more consistent returns and swapping him for DCL is a sideway move imo, at least for now.

    4. Camzy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Really? I think Ings is a clear remove after this week.

      1. Twisted Saltergater
        • 14 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        The next 4 after BRE aren’t great in terms of double point hauls, but he could still tick over.

        I’ve been surprised with how attacking Everton have been under Rafa. Interested to see how they do against Brighton… DCL has Dunk, Webster and Duffy to contend with.

    5. coriswrasse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Did Toney to DCL.

      1. jia you
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        I've made that same move mate...Toney is easy to get back in if he starts firing

  3. twisterteo
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Lukaku Vs Liverpool..... Points prediction?

    1. WVA
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      7

    2. Lallana's Bananas
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      6

    3. ZeBestee
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      9

    4. Eleven Hag
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      2

    5. jia you
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      -1

    6. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Whatever number drops from VVD's pocket.

    7. WHUFCSmith23
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      5

    8. bOttOmEdpOstrEpliEr.
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Of course 13

    9. TheBiffas
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      2 please

  4. R.C
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    is it crazy to sell Bruno for Lukaku?

    1. Zinedine Kilbane
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Thinking of it with a move to pogba.

    2. ZeBestee
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Not crazy, but you have to keep Bruno as he can make your gameweek look awful.

    3. TheBiffas
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Keep this week surely

  5. g40steve
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Need to see plenty of,

    OMG Barnes & OMG Antonio from Bemba tonight 🙂

    1. WVA
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      I have both sooooooooo....

    2. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      The exact two who can save my GW.

    3. Pino
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      OMG Buendia too

  6. Scots Gooner
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Hopefully a goal fest tonight - West Ham vs Leicester.

    Three previous games have ended -

    3-2
    0-3
    4-1

    1. Eleven Hag
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Barnes goal is all I want

      1. Scots Gooner
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        A few for Barnes + a few from Antonio and I'll have a happy start to the week

    2. ZeBestee
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      I would take an Antonio brace and a Barnes goal and assist.

    3. Firminooooo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Goals for Barnes and Antonio, red card for Benrahma. Happy days.

      1. jia you
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Haha Benny is on my bench but a yellow card and blank would suffice 😉

  7. FPL_BUCCANEER
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Sanchez Foster
    TAA Shaw Ayling Veltman Tsimi
    Salah Bruno Raph Barnes Gilmour
    Antonio Ings Wilson

    2FT 0.0ITB.

    Any thoughts? TIA all 🙂

    1. coriswrasse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      replace Tsimikas after price rise. Robertson is back. Get that cheap guy from Southhampton.

      1. Our Tiny Windows
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Price rise tonight?

  8. Shafinology
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Hey guys plz help me out. I have both Veltmen & White in my team & I have only 1 FT. Which one should I transfer out & for whom? My other defender in Amerty(4.0) so I'm thinking of bringing Ayling to catch the good run of fixture of Leeds. Please do suggest.

    1. g40steve
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      I did White to Dier

    2. Firminooooo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      I wouldn’t sell Veltman one GW before he is back.

  9. loshmi83
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Dier or Sanchez to be dropped once Romero is fit?

    1. Who are all Lukakus
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      same question

    2. Twisted Saltergater
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      I was asking the same question in preseason. Wanted to start with Sanchez but he’s the right sided CB and that’s where Romero plays.

      With any luck, Nuno will go to 3 at the back so Dier and Sanchez will both be good value.

      Try and find 0.5m for Reguilon if you can.

  10. Twisted Saltergater
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Anyone twigged that the price change mechanism is like a Venus Manager Trap, luring unsuspecting players into making rash transfers and taking points hits?

    1. Twisted Saltergater
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      I fall for it every year, and last night in a moment of weakness used a FT to bring in Duffy.

      1. Just a fountain
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Haha, i fell in the same trap! Casuals have it easy.

        1. Twisted Saltergater
          • 14 Years
          2 years, 7 months ago

          2 x FT’s and the best I can do is preserve TV by selling White. I can’t even argue it’s a good or pressing move.

    2. jia you
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Promising myself that I won't chase price rises this season but old habits die hard lol

    3. WVA
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Yep it's horrendous, i fall for it everytime and its not even accurate, white on -100 doesnt drop, greenwood on 93 and rises so really theres no point in checking it anyway

      1. Khark
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        I think theres still point but just have a wider scope ... so presume anything above 90% will rise for example

      2. Twisted Saltergater
        • 14 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        I stayed resolute GW1, banked the transfer despite holding a lame Gundogan. Punished in a way with a 0.1m drop, I then took that scar into GW2 and acted on White’s potential drop.

        What I should be doing is going back to the ticker and looking at who the next bandwagon might be!

        1. jia you
          • 7 Years
          2 years, 7 months ago

          me too with bloody Pepe, took the price drop on the chin...finally got rid...used my 2FTs to get in double Everton attack

          1. Twisted Saltergater
            • 14 Years
            2 years, 7 months ago

            Oh, I’ve still got ESR perma-benched until GW4 stinking up the place.

            No doubt he’ll be 5.4 after the international break.

      3. TorresMagic™
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 14 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        White was nowhere near -100 once the flag appeared.

        1. Twisted Saltergater
          • 14 Years
          2 years, 7 months ago

          Did the flag appear 2h before price changes?

            1. Twisted Saltergater
              • 14 Years
              2 years, 7 months ago

              Perhaps someone at FPL Towers popped in to see if they’d left the gas on.

        2. WVA
          • 7 Years
          2 years, 7 months ago

          The flag was added after midnight, long after everyone had made their transfers based on him being on -100 but yes once the flag appeared he went back to -50 but it was too late at that point, they should have flagged him earlier or waited for the price changes to happen and then do it today.

          1. Rassi
            • 9 Years
            2 years, 7 months ago

            Omg, get over it.

    4. Rassi
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Haven't cared about price rises for a decade now. It is very liberating to let that weight loose. Also my OR has improved but that may be just a coincidence.

      1. WVA
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        I tried to do that this season but have already failed

      2. Twisted Saltergater
        • 14 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        That’s definitely the way to play this game.

      3. Firminooooo
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        I only try to catch price rises if it involves transfer I will make that GW anyway.

  11. g40steve
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Whites ownership has dropped 135k & still only -71%

    1. WVA
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      They reset him by flagging him this morning at 00:15am to stop his price from dropping

      1. Just a fountain
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Doesnt scream fair to me

        1. WVA
          • 7 Years
          2 years, 7 months ago

          Exactly what i said, they waited for everyone to make their transfers then reset him even though they knew from the game that he had COVID so could have flagged him straight away.... I've got a lot of stick over the season for complaining that price changes are fixed so I'll leave it at that

        2. TorresMagic™
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 14 Years
          2 years, 7 months ago

          He needed a flag so sounds fair.

          1. WVA
            • 7 Years
            2 years, 7 months ago

            It was the timing of the flag that wasn't fair

            1. TorresMagic™
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • Has Moderation Rights
              • 14 Years
              2 years, 7 months ago

              Just meant the White sellers may have kept instead of selling for Duffy who got a rise anyway.

      2. g40steve
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Typical

        1. WVA
          • 7 Years
          2 years, 7 months ago

          see above reply

      3. Twisted Saltergater
        • 14 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Oh man. At least I can bring in Tierney if he’s ever fit again, without thinking it’s a sideways move from White.

        1. g40steve
          • 6 Years
          2 years, 7 months ago

          Broken at present

      4. TorresMagic™
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 14 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Reset would be starting from 0 which didn't happen.

        1. WVA
          • 7 Years
          2 years, 7 months ago

          You know what i mean, adjusted shall we say because of the flag

          1. TorresMagic™
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • Has Moderation Rights
            • 14 Years
            2 years, 7 months ago

            Corrected/adjusted, still better than left alone. Flag was due to happen.

            1. WVA
              • 7 Years
              2 years, 7 months ago

              It was due but I genuinely had no idea they flagged players in the middle of the night just before the price changes

              1. TorresMagic™
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • Has Moderation Rights
                • 14 Years
                2 years, 7 months ago

                FPL is a global game, they don't sleep. They even update league in a reasonable time although with no bonus except the last update.

    2. Gandalf
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Partly due to his flag, would have dropped in price without it

  12. tricpic
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    What chance Kaku rises twice before the weekend? On wildcard and playing the in out hokey kokey.

    1. Nate(U)dog(ie)
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Think there'll be too many WCs in play for that but never know

  13. ZeBestee
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    For those who watched the Eve game, how did Gray play? His returns and price point looks nice

    1. BoleynWin
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      He definitely passed the eye test, linked up with DCL really well. If it wasn’t for Meslier in goal DCL would have had a hatrick with Gray assisting all of them….

      It’s a bit of a punt though, historically Gray has these explosive starts but they are short lived and he fails to kick on. I can also a lot of shared minutes in those wing positions, Townsend, Iwobi, Gray, Delph.

  14. Who are all Lukakus
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    who to sell first, Veltman or White? I have Tsimikas as well
    A. Livramento
    B. Duffy
    C. Dier
    D. both
    E. other suggestions

    1. coriswrasse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Veltmen will be back. A. is cheap and plays.

      1. Who are all Lukakus
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Veltman will be missing this gameweek at least.

  15. Bobby Digital
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Thinking about burning a transfer...

    Martinez
    Shaw AWB TAA Tsimi
    Salah Bruno Raph
    Ings Wilson Antonio

    Foster Amartey Gilmour ESR

    1. Bobby Digital
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      2FT, 0.0M ITB

      What would you do?

      1. Hint
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Livramento in for Amartey or Tsimikas

    2. g40steve
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Swap Martinez for Lloris?

      1. Bobby Digital
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Next GW... Villa has BRE this week. Good idea though.

        1. g40steve
          • 6 Years
          2 years, 7 months ago

          ESR to Gray - possibly sideways but looked involved with DCL

    3. WVA
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Sell Tsimi once he rises again and bank the 0.1

      1. g40steve
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Livramento

    4. Bobby Digital
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Good stuff... cheers.

  16. Khark
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    IF Kane goes to city.

    Lukaku and Kane the premiums and then Salah and Bruno downgraded to Jota and Greenwood. Thoughts?

    1. R.C
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Jota and Greenwood are not nailed though

    2. g40steve
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      I am already hovering over Salah & Toney > Jota & Lakaku?

    3. Pep's Money Laundry
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Prefer to go one midfielder & striker, so Salah and Kane for me with easy switches to the other two when needed

    4. Dr. Rog
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      You cant have them all. Just because they are shiny new toys doesnt make them better picks.

      Im viewing it like this.

      Salah + Bruno up until the GW7 wildcard. Lukaku doesnt have the fixtures and Kane isnt up to speed wherever he ends up.
      Post GW7 the fixtures really swing in Chelseas favour. At that point I may bring Lukaku then, but its likely I will sacrifice TAA rather than Salah.
      Kane is a wait and see. If he goes to City and looks like the real deal its probably a matter of sacrificing one of Bruno or Salah to house him in the team. Unlike Lukaku his price is just a bit too high.

  17. Jdpz
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Does the price swing algorithm work the same for new players?

    1. hewittj1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      yes, but it's not 100% accurate generally fyi

    2. WVA
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Algorithm lol

  18. Hktrader88
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Can't decide if this is worth it or not, but it looks to be the best way to get Lukaku while he is still 11.5m

    TAA, Shaw, Coufal, (Amartey), (Livramento)

    Salah - Bruno - Raph - Benrahama - (Bissouma)

    DCL - Wilson - Antonio

    Cost -4 to switch to front line of Lukaku - DCL - 4.5m

    Means playing one of the 4.0m each week or Bissouma, but once I have 2FTs again I could always free money up via Shaw or Coufal to 4.5s.

    I realise its international break and I should wait, but this is probably the only chance I get having a team with TAA, Bruno, Salah and Lukaku in it. Lukakus ownership is so low, that he could easily be 12m by GW7. Wise move or kneejerk?

    1. _figu
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      For me it doesn't seem flexible enough with three premiums and Trent.

  19. hewittj1
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Can someone remind me, are price drops frozen if a player is red flagged still? Thinking of Veltman on -78% and red flagged due to Covid

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Only if the red flag changes to 100% available like after a suspension.

  20. tricpic
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Spare a thought for Barnet - this is very funny https://barnetfc.com/a-message-from-our-chairman

    1. Andy_Social
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Thanks, enjoyed that. Pity I've stopped playing Football Manager as a lower league manager - I could have integrated it into my imaginary scenario!

    2. BoleynWin
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Nice to see an honest and open Chairman. Few and far between nowadays…

  21. KnightSlayer
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Get in Mateusz Klich

  22. TorresMagic™
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Anyone here in the danger zone in LMS (scoring around 40 points) with 1 or 2 players left?

    1. Men in green tights
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Yeah on 47 , 2 to play

      1. TorresMagic™
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 14 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        No worries for you unless 1 isn't Antonio.

        1. Men in green tights
          • 5 Years
          2 years, 7 months ago

          Got Coufal and Benrahma
          Cheers

          1. TorresMagic™
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • Has Moderation Rights
            • 14 Years
            2 years, 7 months ago

            Interesting, Barnes another factor at 37 EO in LMS. Antonio has 83

    2. KnightSlayer
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      44

    3. Dynamic Duos
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      50 with Antonio, should be ok?

      1. TorresMagic™
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 14 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Easily.

    4. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      43 with two to play. My worst FPL start ever!

    5. Chelsea Dagger
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      36 with Coufal and Antonio. Not. Looking. Good.

  23. Zilla
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Williams potentially 4.0m playing defender too

    1. TomSaints
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      It’s for Norwich though so literally no game
      I’d want to play him. But better a bench warmer for 4.0 who plays I guess

  24. MIGHTY JOE
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    So people going to cash in on Tsimikas tomorrow if he rices tonight?

    1. WVA
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Yep then he'll start and score v Chelsea

      1. MIGHTY JOE
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Classic

    2. Andy_Social
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      I am, and quickly. Price will fall again once people like me take the cash and do a runner.

    3. bitm2007
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Probably before the GW deadline. That 0.1m would allow me to get DCL in as part of a hit.

    4. Firminooooo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Keep until WC. 0.1 not worth -4.

    5. I Member
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Not me. I have more important transfers to make.

      1. coriswrasse
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Same, if he drops he is still 4.0 fodder not to be bothered with as long as your squad is solid front to back.

  25. Strchld
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    If Salah is allowed to play GW4 I can forget to get Son and dont have idea how to use one of 2 FTs. Everyone else has same problem?

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      I have 1 FT along with Tsim, Veltman & will try to save.

      1. Strchld
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Oh I have Tsimi toom. Maybe burning one FT to get Duffy/Livramento

  26. TomSaints
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    City buying Aubameyang would be funny after all this Kane drama

    1. Andy_Social
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Where did THAT come from? An hour ago it was Lewandowski!

    2. Firminooooo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Why no interest for Jimenez?

  27. King Sheep
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    TAA / Greenwood / Ings >>>>> Coufal / Raphinha / Lukaku +0.5 ?

    Yes or No please folks ....

    1. Zilla
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Nay

    2. WVA
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Ooooo that looks strong but its a no for now, doubts around Raph GW4 apparently

    3. Baines on Toast...
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      That could lose you 20+ points this week. Wait.

    4. OptimusBlack
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Yees

  28. Baines on Toast...
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    5 penalties in 20 games so far, so an average of 0.25 per game of 0.125 per team per game.

    Assuming the average conversion of 84%, that means a penalty taker gets a boost of around 0.10-0.11 to their XGI/90.

    That's a pretty significant amount - the average NPXGI/90 for forwards over the first two weeks is 0.46, so penalties provide around a 25% boost.

    1. Dynamic Duos
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Dom in

    2. Ask Yourself
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Aston Villa average 1 penalty a game. Aston Villa have scored 100% of their penalties. Aston Villa penalty taker receives a 100% boost every game

      1. Baines on Toast...
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        The 5/20 stat is actually pretty relevant given it was higher last year and the VAR guidance is clearly changing things.

    3. lugs
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      pretty annoying too that 2 of my expected pen takers (Son & Richarlison) didn't take one this weekend 🙁

    4. Sgt Frank Drebin
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Do you maybe know how that looked historically? 20 games is somewhat small sample imho.

      1. Baines on Toast...
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        So (I think) in all of last season I think it was 124, which was 0.33 per game. Already seen a number this year that would've been given last year (handball/soft pens) so I think last year's data isn't too useful.

        1. Sgt Frank Drebin
          • 7 Years
          2 years, 7 months ago

          Thank you. I agree, last season was an outlier. I checked and 124 penalties in a season was a record number (number of penalties given has risen significantly from the early 00' though). I made some calculations and according to it, from season 2016-2017 to 2019-2020 there were 381 penalties in 3040 games, so around 0.125 penalty per game. Looks like in current season 0.25 penalties per game is still higher than the mean, but still, the sample is quite small.

          1. Baines on Toast...
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 13 Years
            2 years, 7 months ago

            Intersting, thanks!

    5. JONALDINHO
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Actually more than that for the better teams who’ll obviously get more pens

      1. Baines on Toast...
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Probably yes - although a lot of the pens United/City win after softer ones that may not stand this year. So I'm a little cautious on that front.

  29. Bobby Digital
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Vestergaard injured...

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Breaking news?

      1. Andy_Social
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        dial-up digital

        1. Bobby Digital
          • 6 Years
          2 years, 7 months ago

          Haa 🙂

      2. ThisTimeNxtYrRodney
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Hi magic man. Do you know when the FFSH2H fixtures will be released.

        1. TorresMagic™
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 14 Years
          2 years, 7 months ago

          You can find yourself in the H2H widget on the right. The fixtures are still hidden but should be out soon.

          1. Wet Knee Houston
            • 10 Years
            2 years, 7 months ago

            I have 0 points and there is only one team/19 which outscored me in GW1 =)) The beauty of H2H leagues 🙂

  30. Maddi Son
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Is catching a price rise really worth it for a 11.5m forward who you will captain once in the next 4 GW's? :/

    1. Ask Yourself
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Would you even captain him against AVL over Bruno vs NEW?

      1. Maddi Son
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Nope. Might be a nice little rank booster that.

    2. Andy_Social
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      He's cappable GWs 7-11. No harm getting him early and scoring a steady stream of points before you double them.

      1. Maddi Son
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Or you could just wait until GW7? DCL or Jimenez could easily match him for points over the next 4.

    3. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Are you expecting a hatrick when you captain him?

      1. Maddi Son
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Think you missed the tone of my post. I'm not going anywhere near him until GW7 mate.

        1. TorresMagic™
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 14 Years
          2 years, 7 months ago

          Transfer in for captaincy then sell works.