Scout Notes

Calvert-Lewin on Everton penalties – but Ings stays second in line at Villa

There was more to Leeds United v Everton and Aston Villa v Newcastle United than two spot-kicks but from a Fantasy Premier League (FPL) perspective, it was the main talking point from the Gameweek 2 matches at Elland Road and Villa Park.

FPL points predictions for Gameweek 3 and beyond 3

ASTON VILLA 2-0 NEWCASTLE UNITED

  • Goals: Danny Ings (£8.1m), Anwar El Ghazi (£6.0m)
  • Assists: Tyrone Mings (£5.0m) x2
  • Bonus: Mings x3, Ings x2, El Ghazi x1

INGS CLINICAL – BUT SECOND IN LINE ON PENS

Danny Ings (£8.1m) shot to the top of the FPL forwards’ points table with a goal in Aston Villa’s 2-0 win over Newcastle United.

The lack of chances created for the England international is a bit of a concern, as the Villa striker ranks only joint-14th for goal attempts among players in his position this season (see the below table from our Premium Members Area).

But being clinical with relatively few opportunities comes second nature to the former Southampton man, who is the only current FPL forward whose shot-to-goal conversion rate was in excess of 20% in each of the previous two Premier League campaigns.

That killer instinct also helps on the Bonus Points System, with fewer baseline bonus points deducted for shots off target.

With the injured Ollie Watkins (£7.4m) and Leon Bailey (£6.5m) still to come back into the side, and Emiliano Buendia (£6.5m) yet to hit his best form, the hope is also that the rate of chance creation will increase so that Ings can marry his ruthless streak with more shots at goal.

Bailey and Watkins’ eventual inclusion in the Villa starting XI may also be good news for Ings with regards to penalty-taking duties.

Anwar El Ghazi (£6.0m) was confirmed as Villa’s first-choice penalty taker on Saturday, stepping up from 12 yards with Ings on the pitch.

But El Ghazi’s place in the team is surely at risk in the medium term when Dean Smith has a full squad at his disposal.

The major downside for Ings is fixtures, with Villa sitting bottom of our Season Ticker from Gameweeks 4-10 and the September international break likely to be a jumping off point for many of us.

The forward did score five goals in 12 meetings with these sides last season, however.

DEFENCES FAIL TO CONVINCE

Despite the clean sheet, Villa’s backline will likely be off the menu due to the aforementioned fixture run and some unconvincing defending in Gameweeks 1 and 2.

Callum Wilson (£7.5m) wasted a one-on-one chance in a dominant opening 30 minutes for the visitors, with the Newcastle striker also being denied a penalty due to a tight offside call.

Tyrone Mings (£5.0m) is someone who could continue to prosper at the other end of the pitch, however: he was involved in both Villa goals, and the appointment of a set-piece coach in the summer should only add to his threat from free-kicks, corners and even throw-ins.

“I brought a set piece coach in in the summer and he’ll be taking plenty of kudos for that goal as well. It was a great finish from Danny Ings and a set-piece routine we have actually worked on in pre-season. Matt Cash has got a long throw and why not utilise it?” – Dean Smith

Matt Targett (£5.0m) looks like a ‘sell’, meanwhile, with Ashley Young (£5.0m) displacing him at left-back.

As for Newcastle’s ropey backline, they are joint-bottom for big chances conceded this season. A first-half knee injury to Isaac Hayden (£4.5m) will, barring further recruitment, make their 3-5-2 set-up look even more open when Southampton visit Tyneside in Gameweek 3.

It’s a pity that they aren’t tighter at the back, as Matt Ritchie (£5.0m) sits second behind only Trent Alexander-Arnold (£7.5m) for chances created this season.

Still, that more attacking mindset has helped elevate Wilson to fourth in the FPL forwards’ table for shots on goal.


Aston Villa XI: Martinez, Cash, Mings, Konsa, Young, Ramsey, Luiz (Tuanzebe 88), McGinn, Buendia (Philogene-Bidace 86), Ings (Wesley 91), El Ghazi.

Newcastle XI: Woodman; Fernandes (Joelinton 78), Lascelles, Schar, Murphy, Willock (Fraser 90), Hayden (S Longstaff 45), Almiron, Ritchie, Wilson, Saint-Maximin.

LEEDS UNITED 2-2 EVERTON

  • Goals: Mateusz Klich (£5.5m), Raphinha (£6.5m) | Dominic Calvert-Lewin (£8.1m), Demarai Gray (£5.5m)
  • Assists: Patrick Bamford (£8.0m), Liam Cooper (£4.5m) | Abdoulaye Doucoure (£5.5m)
  • Bonus: Klich x3, Gray x2, Calvert-Lewin x1

CALVERT-LEWIN ON PENALTIES

As if being front and centre of Everton’s attacking play under Rafael Benitez wasn’t enough, Dominic Calvert-Lewin (£8.1m) now seemingly has penalty-taking responsibilities in his locker.

‘Get the ball to Calvert-Lewin’ seems to be the Toffees’ mantra and the England striker has had more shots in the box (nine) and efforts on target (six) than any FPL asset this season, adding another four of each of those on Saturday.

He is top for expected goal involvement (xGI) among Premier League players in 2021/22, too, despite not being fully match sharp.

“He’s had a problem with his toe. He has not been doing full training sessions in the last 10 days. You can see the quality he has but he is missing a little bit of the stamina to finish the games in the way he wants to finish them.” – Rafael Benitez on Dominic Calvert-Lewin

Calvert-Lewin was the man to step up from 12 yards on Saturday in the continued absence of Gylfi Sigurdsson (£6.9m), having been fouled himself for Everton’s first-half penalty.

“It’s something I’ve wanted for a while [becoming Everton’s penalty-taker]. I’ve been ready to step in and take that responsibility. 

“I spoke to the manager before the first game of the season, we had that conversation. He put me on the pens and thankfully I put one away against Leeds.” – Dominic Calvert-Lewin

Above: Dominic Calvert-Lewin’s xG shotmap (taken from the Premium Members Area) in 2021/22 shows how close to goal his nine chances have been.

BUDGET GRAY IMPRESSES

Calvert-Lewin on Everton penalties - but Ings stays second in line at Villa 3

Two of Everton’s £5.5m midfielders combined for their second goal.

Abdoulaye Doucoure‘s (£5.5m) slightly more attacking remit under Benitez is something we highlighted last week and it was he who teed up Demarai Gray (£5.5m) to score, the latter arguably being the Toffees’ stand-out player at Elland Road on the left wing of a 4-4-2.

“It [Gray’s goal and performance] is an indication we have a player trying to do his best. At the same time, he is pushing the players around him, because the competition is good in each position.

“Gray and Townsend are giving us competition in the wide areas and that will only be positive for the team and the strikers.” – Rafael Benitez

TWO GAMES, ZERO CLEAN SHEETS

A total of 34 shots were shared equally in this match, which doesn’t sound like a great advert for either defence on paper.

Indeed, Everton and Leeds are two of 11 sides who have yet to register a clean sheet this season, and the Whites have allowed more shots on target than any other team.

If we’re clutching at straws regarding the set-piece-taking Lucas Digne (£5.5m) and co, we can say that preventable, individual Michael Keane (£5.0m) errors have accounted for two of the goals that Everton have conceded in 2021/22, with the other a Raphinha (£6.5m) howitzer.

But there were shaky moments in either side’s backline, and this was a good advert for the absent Diego Llorente (£4.5m) and Ben Godfrey (£4.9m), arguably the two sides’ most accomplished centre-halves.

Patrick Bamford (£8.0m) and Raphinha at least got back among the FPL attacking returns, the latter racking up an eye-catching six shots – a Gameweek high among FPL assets, even if all bar his goal came from outside the box and they amounted to a combined xG of 0.18.

Leeds United XI: Meslier, Ayling, Cooper, Struijk, Firpo (Shackleton 60), Phillips, Dallas, Klich (Roberts 60), Raphinha, Harrison, Bamford. 

Everton XI: Pickford, Keane, Coleman, Mina, Digne, Allan, Doucoure, Iwobi (Townsend 75), Gray (Delph 83), Richarlison, Calvert-Lewin (Kean 90). 

ALL YOU NEED TO KNOW FROM GAMEWEEK 2

FPL Gameweek 2 round-up: Sunday goals, assists, bonus and injuries 4
646 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Steve The Spud
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    AMARTEY PARTY

    1. @persecuted_by_mods
        2 years, 8 months ago

        Oh he's gonna cause a party for sure, for west ham

      • Ginkapo FPL
        • 12 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        All aboard

    2. the Chaser
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Do we think Williams becomes Norwich first choice LB? Don’t know much about Giannoulis

      1. potatoace
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        Yes he would

      2. just a man
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        I assume yes

      3. Skonto Rigga
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        Four of City's goals came from Norwich's left-back position on Saturday and Giannoulis was hauled off at HT, so every chance.

      4. the Chaser
        • 13 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        Thanks all

    3. Egg noodle
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Antonio Barnes go on rampage pls

      1. JohnnyRev7
        • 13 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        I endorse this comment.

    4. Scholes Out For Summer
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Benrahma brace Antonio assists please and thank you

      1. BobbyV
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        0-0 then

    5. potatoace
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Hey barnes
      Hey Tony
      Superstar Amartey
      Here we go!

      1. Ginkapo FPL
        • 12 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        Winner. Hot topic

      2. SEXY SOLO SAUCE
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        Chemical brothers?

        1. iL PiStOlErO
          • 4 Years
          2 years, 8 months ago

          Fantastic chemistry

      3. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        Brilliant!

      4. Sad Pablo Arsecobar
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        Last lime should have been Iheanacho!

        1. Sad Pablo Arsecobar
          • 7 Years
          2 years, 8 months ago

          Line

    6. SEXY SOLO SAUCE
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      If Benrahma looks good tonight, then Salah & Pukki to Benrahma & Kane for free looks juicy

      1. Dynamic Duos
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        Doh

      2. Threat Level Midnight
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        I'd give Kane some time first

      3. Eleven Hag
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        Will Kane start and be good?

        1. SEXY SOLO SAUCE
          • 7 Years
          2 years, 8 months ago

          The latter is a guarantee, the former I would think so yes

          1. FPL_trail_runner
            • 3 Years
            2 years, 8 months ago

            Play this years FPL

            Nuno is now boss, he has played 10min since the Euros , wants out and id reckon he will be sold to City this window

            1. SEXY SOLO SAUCE
              • 7 Years
              2 years, 8 months ago

              Reckon he’ll be better under Nuno

              1. FPL_trail_runner
                • 3 Years
                2 years, 8 months ago

                Nothing to indicate this

                Nuno is a defensive manager and Kane wants to leave

                1. SEXY SOLO SAUCE
                  • 7 Years
                  2 years, 8 months ago

                  Jimenez thrived under Nuno as a striker.
                  My point being he’s a good manager and I think Spurs will be better/more stable.

                  So if Kane stays he’ll naturally be involved in a better season, or if he leaves he’s banging them in at City.

                  Win win either way

      4. BobbyV
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        we're still in August

        1. SEXY SOLO SAUCE
          • 7 Years
          2 years, 8 months ago

          That theory went out the window last season with 4 assists, 1 goal and 3 BAPs in GW2

    7. twisterteo
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Sanchez
      TAA Shaw Ayling Livramento
      Buendia Bruno Salah Mahrez
      Ings Antonio

      1 free transfer

      Need to free fund... Shall I transfer Buendia or Mahrez and who for?

    8. Stamford B
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      I really hope my players do well tonight but at the same time I don’t want anyone I don’t have to do well otherwise I may go down in rank.

      1. potatoace
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        Welcome to FPL. Take a seat. Enjoy

      2. Threat Level Midnight
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        Math checks out

    9. Tabasco
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Anyone still got Digne? Looking to replace but not sure who for; maybe James or Reguilon?

      1. the Chaser
        • 13 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        Yeah he sucks, I’m gona replace him with livramento or Williams to create funds

      2. Sad Pablo Arsecobar
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        James is the best option. I have regullion, and don't regret it. But James has a slightly higher ceiling

      3. 2001: A Space Origi
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        Cresswell!! next 2 games are Palace and Saints!!

    10. R.C
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Would you pick Raya over Sanchez if you have Duffy?

      Or is there any other 4.5 GK who's better?

      1. potatoace
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        I would stick with Sanchez for now.

      2. Original Sin
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        Yes I would

      3. MagicMessi
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        Only if you willing to play Duffy every week but if u planing to bench then keep Sanchez

    11. iL PiStOlErO
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      So that defence is getting more and more problematic and will see Madders today but already lost 0.1 on him and he has Nor next...also Ars are awful but have solid fixtures in next few gw so maybe keep White just for some rotation.

      Maybe something like Targett+Tsimi to Ayling(good fixtures)+Livramento(seems nailed and playing ok for now)?

      Sanchez Steele
      TAA Shaw Targett Tsimi White
      Salah Bruno Mahrez Maddison Bisso
      Ings Antonio Scarlett

      2FT, 0ITB

      1. Original Sin
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        I have Ayling but I personally don't like him as I don't think west ham will keep too many CS even with good fixtures. I would get a Spurs 4.5, Dier/ Sanchez

        1. iL PiStOlErO
          • 4 Years
          2 years, 8 months ago

          You mean Leeds yes. Will look at spurs def and Livramento combo...cheers.

      2. Ajax Hamsterdam
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        Targett to 4.5 maybe spurs ?

        1. iL PiStOlErO
          • 4 Years
          2 years, 8 months ago

          Can do that yes. Tanganga maybe cause of attacking returns. Also who is this Thomas guy from Lei? How long will he play?

          1. Ajax Hamsterdam
            • 9 Years
            2 years, 8 months ago

            Don't think he's no nailed. Bertrand should take his spot when back but might be wrong

            1. iL PiStOlErO
              • 4 Years
              2 years, 8 months ago

              Yeah, you are probably right, forgot about Ryan.

    12. el polako
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Bit shite that Lukaku is already rising, my plan was to get him in for Vardy after GW3, it means it will cost me bit more.
      Still no hits or WC needed so not too bad.

      1. Fish up a tree
        • 2 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        People well & truly on board the Kaku express

        What do you think his price will be come start of GW3?

        1. George Agdgdgwngo
          • 14 Years
          2 years, 8 months ago

          I was like you. I’ve decided to wc and jump onto kaku express. First part of the season is all about value for me

      2. Sad Pablo Arsecobar
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        Just get him now. He will be fixture proof

    13. MagicMessi
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Come on Bowen steal the goals from Antonio and Benrahma 😀

    14. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Need 8 points to reach (half) a century of points tonight wish me luck !!

    15. welshyoo
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Anyone doing Toney go Wood?

      Thought he was unlucky not to get one or two against Liverpool

      1. Ajax Hamsterdam
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        Toney to Armstrong for me

      2. MagicMessi
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        No please dont do it youll regret

      3. Fish up a tree
        • 2 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        Wood not do this

    16. Pep Roulette
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      It's Said Time

    17. Von Lipwig
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      How high will ADA go before a big correction?

    18. Walter White (WW)
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Yarmolenko should start more often for West ham, they just need to give his left leg a sniff at goal

    19. Original Sin
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      I would expect a lot more teams to have May be double Spurs defenders. A top half team with decent fixtures and couple of 4.5 options. Am I missing something?

      1. Ajax Hamsterdam
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        Unknown quantity at the start of the season

      2. FPL_trail_runner
        • 3 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        Massively over performing the underlying data

        They would have conceded 4 goals by now if you played their games back again

        1. @persecuted_by_mods
            2 years, 8 months ago

            This, hard avoid, bad defenders and bad defence. Won't keep getting lucky

            1. Original Sin
              • 9 Years
              2 years, 8 months ago

              Never saw the matched. But thanks for the heads up. Plan changed

        2. Original Sin
          • 9 Years
          2 years, 8 months ago

          I am thinking if getting
          1 premium
          2 X Spurs 4.5
          1X 5m
          1 X 4m
          On WC. May be 5m to 4m depending on the need.

        3. Fish up a tree
          • 2 Years
          2 years, 8 months ago

          Spurs defence is on borrowed time, things will go bandy soon enough
          2 x spurs defenders is lunacy

      3. Berkshire Hafaway-Line
        • 3 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        Question is...does Vardy like to party on a Monday night?

        1. SEXY SOLO SAUCE
          • 7 Years
          2 years, 8 months ago

          Whenever I’ve had him I can confirm the answer is no

      4. Walter White (WW)
        • 2 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        1-1
        Soucek G Fornals A

        Thomas G Tielemans A

      5. FOMFF
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        So what's the craic with Son? He scuppered?