August
29

While Edin Dzeko’s four goals stole the show in Man City’s incredible 5-1 win at White Hart Lane, Fantasy managers would have been very aware of one other significant aspect of yesterday’s game- David Silva’s failure to play a part in any one of the away side’s goals.

Silva had been a sensation in his side’s first two games of the season but three assists from Samir Nasri at Spurs has many a Fantasy manager wondering whether his returns will be reduced as a result of the Frenchman’s acquisition. A look at Silva’s chalkboards from City’s last two games suggests that, while there is a definite difference to his play in each game, it’s far from a negative one.

One aspect of Silva’s returns so far worth noting is he has yet to make an assist in any game so far this season; James Milner grabbed two assists in the game at Bolton and there wasn’t any fear of his returns being diminished after the game at the Reebok.

Two goals and, in Fantasy Premier League (FPL), four Bonus Points have come the playmaker’s way, so from a creative perspective, little has changed; a look at our Members Area shows Silva still had his fair share of key passes yesterday. Silva had four shots against Spurs, the same number as he had at home to Swansea and one more than he managed at Bolton in Gameweek 2.

Silva’s heat maps from the Bolton (above) and Tottenham (below) games, however, highlight how much more central he was in the opponent’s half yesterday compared to the game at the Reebok.

His passing heat maps again confirm that Silva played more through the middle and drifted wide far less- he made 70 passes against Owen Coyle’s side, with 49% of his passes coming from the wings. At Spurs, he saw almost as much of the ball, making 67 passes, with 35% of those played from the flanks- a significant drop.

Indeed, the heat maps merely back up the idea that Silva will continue to be at the heart of City’s play, dropping deep and orchestrating matters, while getting forward into dangerous areas much the same- the only real issue is how much more of a danger Nasri will be in comparison.

With Silva priced at 9.6 in FPL and Nasri 9.5, it’s a quandary that may only become apparent as the season unravels, though the fact that two of the latter’s assists came from out wide certainly boosts his appeal; Dzeko has shown that with quality service from the flanks, he’ll score plenty.

Nasri v Tottenham, Milner v Bolton

Nasri’s move to the Etihad Stadium certainly suggests he should be a stronger Fantasy prospect than he was at Arsenal last term. Incredibly, he picked up just one assist over the course of last season and has already tripled that tally in his City debut. When it comes to goal attempts, though, it’s worth noting that he had just two shots yesterday- half the number of shots as David Silva.

A comparison of Nasri’s passing with James Milner’s (in the same role) in the previous game is revealing. The number of passes each player made was almost identical -Nasri made 76 and Milner 74- but in terms of pass success, there was a substantial difference- Nasri made only 5 stray passes compared to Milner’s 17, as City kept possession far better with the Frenchman on board.

Taking it a step further, Nasri made just three unsuccessful passes in the Spurs half yesterday, all from corners; in open play, then, he didn’t give the ball away once in his opponent’s half. Milner, on the other hand, made sixteen unsuccessful passes in the Bolton half.

It backs up a quote from this article by Simon Kuper. Kuper paid a visit to Man City’s training ground and found that, just like Fantasy managers, the club pay a great deal of attention to player statistics. Gavin Fleig, City’s head of performance analysis, explained the line of thinking:

“The top four teams consistently have a higher percentage of pass completion in the final third of the pitch. Since the recruitment of Carlos Tévez, David Silva, Adam Johnson and Yaya Touré to our football team, in the last six months alone, our ability to keep the ball in the final third has grown by 7.7 per cent.”

In addition to excelling out wide, Nasri was prepared to drop deep and play central far more than Milner and his link-up play with Silva looked promising yesterday- he played 19 successful passes to Silva and received 15 successful passes in return from the Spaniard. Against Bolton, Silva played 12 passes to Milner and received just 10 back, more or less half Nasri’s tally- an indication the new boy is more on the same wavelength.

Clearly, City are a more cohesive and dangerous side with Nasri in the first XI. His addition to the City line-up makes Mancini’s side a much more dangerous team, with attacking moves far less likely to break down. With Dzeko and Serio Aguero both benefiting from his service, Spurs have already found out just how much of a difference he has made.

About The Author

paul

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  1. poss kalou move from chelski as per skysports news

    • 3 years, 3 days ago
    1. to where?

      • 3 years, 3 days ago
  2. I wonder if arsenal will give park a contract longer than 2 years. In 2013 he's gotta go serve 2 yrs in the military. So its either let him go for free after 2 years or pay him a salary while he's on military duty.

    • 3 years, 3 days ago
    1. Do pro footballers get any exemption? Surely the insurance premiums alone would be enough for an exemption.

      • 3 years, 3 days ago
      1. They do get exemption sometimes.

        • 3 years, 3 days ago
      2. As far as I know the only sportsmen to get exemptions were the 2002 wc squad. That was a reward. Korea take their military duty quite seriously considering their neighbours up north.

        • 3 years, 3 days ago
        1. Chan Ho Park I believe, he was a Dodger's Pitcher. Other South Korean baseball players have earned exemptions from military service by helping their nation win championships in the Olympics or the Asian Games. I'm thinking football is no different.

          • 3 years, 3 days ago
  3. Bod

    Any chance arsenal might go for Beneyoun, not like chelski want him

    • 3 years, 3 days ago
    1. hope not, he won't suit them.

      • 3 years, 3 days ago
      1. Rumour from the Sun was that Malouda > Arsenal for 8m

        • 3 years, 3 days ago
        1. Bod

          Well he is French....

          • 3 years, 3 days ago
        2. Arsenal won't be able to afford the salary. Arensal's highest is van Persie, 10k per week.

          • 3 years, 3 days ago
          1. Surely you're missing a zero there.

            • 3 years, 3 days ago
            1. He's obviously bullshitting

              • 3 years, 3 days ago
              1. Or stupid :D

                • 3 years, 3 days ago
      2. Small, check. Weak, check. Talented, check. Likes tippy tappy, check. Not english, check. Perfect fit :D

        • 3 years, 3 days ago
        1. Haha, no premier league experience? hmm what's going on Arsene??

          • 3 years, 3 days ago
          1. Age another problem too.

            • 3 years, 3 days ago
      3. Bod

        I think it's been proven recently that players that suit them won't necessarily bring success :p

        It's just amrumour I heard, no weight to it, there are players they'd be much better off getting

        • 3 years, 3 days ago
  4. Any news about Odemwingie? Would love to have him for the next 5 weeks..

    • 3 years, 3 days ago
    1. Doubtful for next game

      • 3 years, 3 days ago
  5. Wildcarders must be annoyed with ~300k of Dzeko's transfers in going to waste, no?

    For those that aren't aware or are new to the game, then once a player has risen .1m in any given gameweek, it takes typically, double the number of transfers to go up a further.1m.

    So, up .1m = 36k NTI, up .2m = 36k + 72k (a NTI of 108k).

    As you can see, it's pretty unlikely for any player to go up .2m in a GW if there's any sort of delay in the price changes kicking in.

    It's made more unlikely that once a player changes in price, the additional transfers in (or out) are erased - they don't count towards the next step increase.

    • 3 years, 3 days ago
    1. Twisted Saltergater, what I said on the previous page was incorrect. Baines has not been sold 6000 times today, but this whole gameweek this far. I have no idea if he will drop.

      • 3 years, 3 days ago
    2. I can still very easily see him going up again, his ownership having been so low to begin with. And I'm less concerned about the potential profit than the fact that I have him in my team ahead of this and future rises anyway.

      • 3 years, 3 days ago
    3. Yes. But I'd be very surprised if Dzeko doesn't go up 0.2. Today's NTI is nearly 200k!

      • 3 years, 3 days ago
      1. Dzeko's NTI today is not 188k.

        It's 188k - [x]k he had up until (when is it?) 2am this morning.

        TFPL is not updated properly.

        • 3 years, 3 days ago
      2. No, this is also incorrect. That figure is for the whole gameweek.

        • 3 years, 3 days ago
        1. Fair enough. Still reckon Dzeko will go up again though.

          • 3 years, 3 days ago
          1. Yes. That part was correct :)

            • 3 years, 3 days ago
          2. As do I, but a .3m increase was on the cards if it was last year's game!

            • 3 years, 3 days ago
          3. Was it possible he might have squeaked up to a 0.4 rise on the final day before the deadline without this initial delay holding him back?

            Just thinking out loud.

            • 3 years, 3 days ago
  6. I think my biggest concern is not making profit, but potentially getting priced out of the market slightly by unusually large price shifts that may not be repeated to even it all out (ie if other plays start to do well in gwk 10 will they still be bought on board in such numbers?).

    I dont mind missing out on price hikes (although i am on some) but the potential price drops of seemingly most of my players is a real worry and could be difficult to recover from.

    • 3 years, 3 days ago
    1. This.

      • 3 years, 3 days ago
    2. Hi Qubit, saw your post from the previous page but comments had moved on and so I missed my chance to reply.

      I'm in the same boat. Really don't want to play my WC but the players I don't mind keeping, others are transferring out with their WC. I have Yaya Toure and don't mind keeping him for the Wigan game but he's going to be 7.9m at this rate.

      Team value is so critical early doors and a real tough balance with trying to plan transfers / minimise point hits.

      • 3 years, 3 days ago
      1. Personally, I reckon early season, taking an few point-hits to get in players who are going to rocket in price is a good move.

        • 3 years, 3 days ago
  7. Bod

    Hypothetical question, if you were arsenal manager right now, what would you do? Who, if anyone would you bring in and how much would you bid for them?

    • 3 years, 3 days ago
    1. If I was the Arsenal manager I would retire a successful and wealthy man.

      • 3 years, 3 days ago
    2. Would have raised the wage ceiling and signed Mata for starters.

      • 3 years, 3 days ago
      1. Joe

        +1, Mata would have been perfect. Can't believe they let Chelsea snap him up...disappointing. You can't lose Fabs and Nasri and just lay down

        • 3 years, 2 days ago
    3. Well..it´s obvious the problem is on defense...

      • 3 years, 3 days ago
  8. Tough Fixtures vs Tough Fixtures to Win

    A lot of folks on here warned people off buying Man United players based on tough fixtures. That still holds true but there is a distinction between tough fixtures to get a win (but where a 3-2 is likely), compared to tough fixtures where it's difficult to score.

    Tottenham and Arsenal have never been tough teams to score against, for attacking sides. Where as Chelsea, Stoke away, Liverpool away, and Man City I expect will be tough to score against.

    So, Man United's fixtures have been tough from a clean sheet perspective but not going forwards. That could flip around with their next run of games making Smalling and co. better picks.

    • 3 years, 3 days ago
    1. I never really followed that, as I'm working from my own ticker.

      • 3 years, 3 days ago
    2. Agree...that´s why Rooney was a must from me since GW1!

      • 3 years, 3 days ago
      1. Me too. With Young, Nani and eventually Valencia providing free kicks and penalties galore, it was a no brainer!

        • 3 years, 3 days ago
    3. This is a good point!

      • 3 years, 3 days ago
    4. I made a suggestion last year for two tickers. Attack and defense. Think it might have been too much extra work

      • 3 years, 2 days ago
  9. gee ive started something here,lol

    • 3 years, 3 days ago
    1. re baines i mean

      • 3 years, 3 days ago
      1. Sssshhh! He's essential ;-)

        • 3 years, 3 days ago
        1. im lost? what that hes gonna drop in price?

          • 3 years, 3 days ago
          1. na nothin, just chattin, love bainesy

            • 3 years, 3 days ago
            1. cheers man.

              • 3 years, 3 days ago
          2. We're all DOOMED!!! :-)

            • 3 years, 3 days ago
  10. I think TFPL has percentages updated now...not sure about entries though...

    • 3 years, 3 days ago
  11. It makes me wonder though... everyone's going berserk over the two manchester club's performance and limitless knee-jerks... here's my team... i would like to know what are the changes i should make... please people do suggest...

    given

    de laet/ simpson/ hughes/ figueroa/ l.young

    nani/ silva/ n'zogbia/ adam

    suarez/ rooney/ long

    got 1 miln in the bank.. no transfers made as of now....

    • 3 years, 2 days ago
  12. Average start to the season for me so played the wild card, Just wanted a few opinions on this Cleverly or jarvis (wolves) in mid field? if i have jarvis il have to go with woodgate in defence if i play cleverly then i can have richards in defence all due to price, what do you think would be the best value there?

    • 3 years, 2 days ago
    1. in fact might go with ward instead of woodgate but maybe wolves have had a few easier games recently?

      • 3 years, 2 days ago
  13. Hmmm... Still, I can't decide between Silva and Nasri. Shall I get both?

    • 3 years, 2 days ago

Scout Picks

For Gameweek 3

  • Krul
  • Caulker
  • Kolarov
  • Dummett
  • Fábregas
  • Ramsey
  • Sigurdsson
  • de Jong
  • Jovetic
  • Rooney
  • Aguero
  • Williams
  • Eriksen
  • Adebayor

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Fixture Ticker

The Watchlist

Goalkeepers

Last updated: 31 Aug, 2014 7:45am
Player Club Factors
No Change Krul NEW B, Vs, £
Up Mignolet LIV C, Vs
Up Begovic STO B, Vs
No Change Forster SOT B, Vs
Up De Gea MUN B
No Change Courtois CHE B
No Change Mannone SUN C, Vs, £
No Change Fabianski SWA A, Vs
Up Lloris TOT B, VsX
Up Heaton BRN B, Vs, £

Defenders

Last updated: 31 Aug, 2014 7:55am
Player Club Factors
No Change Ivanovic CHE A
Up Clyne SOT B, Vs, £
Up Lovren LIV B, Vs
Up Shawcross STO B, Vs
Up Janmaat NEW A, £
No Change Jones MUN C, Vs
No Change Taylor SWA B, Vs, £
No Change Van Aanholt SUN C, Vs, £
Down Ward CPL C
No Change Caulker QPR B
Up Duff BRN B, Vs, £
No Change Vertonghen TOT B, VsX
Up Coleman EVE B

Midfielders

Last updated: 1 Sep, 2014 11:22am
Player Club Factors
Up Sterling LIV A, Vs
Down Ramsey ARS B
No Change Fábregas CHE A
No Change Sigurdsson SWA A
No Change Hazard CHE B
Up Dyer SWA A, £
Up Tadic SOT B, Vs
Up Sánchez ARS B
Up Puncheon CPL B, £
Up Henderson LIV B, Vs
No Change Larsson SUN B, Vs, £
Down Eriksen TOT C
No Change Cabella NEW B, Vs
Down Mata MUN B, Vs
Down Silva MCI B
Up Arfield BRN C, Vs, £

Forwards

Last updated: 31 Aug, 2014 7:47am
Player Club Factors
No Change Diego Costa CHE A
Up Sturridge LIV B, Vs
Down Rooney MUN C, Vs
No Change Aguero MCI B, Rest, Inj
No Change Adebayor TOT B
Up Naismith EVE A, £
Up Pellè SOT B, Vs
Down Jovetic MCI B
Up Emmanuel Rivière NEW C, Vs, £
Down Bony SWA C, Vs
Up Austin QPR B
Up Jutkiewicz BRN C, Vs, £

Selection Factors

A, B, C Current Form
Vs Favourable Fixtures
VsX Unfavourable Fixtures
Rest Rotation Risk
Inj Injured/Returning from Injury
OoP Out of Position
£ Potential Bargain
Sus Suspended/Near Suspension

“Petr is an amazing goalkeeper, but the difference between them is ten years and we think we have to make a decision about the future of the club and to give the goal to Courtois”

Jose Mourinho Chelsea Manager