Paddy Power – Get 33/1 on England Euro 16 Win

Resting the Madrid players. Otherwise this could be their starting line-up?

Nolito gets another start ahead Pedro, shame he is a striker...

Who is Mak?

Tempted

Maybe... have Glik and Muller so that will be a good addition

Not to start but I'm planning to use my FT to get either Konoplyanka or Yarmolenko for GW2. One game punt vs Northern Ireland before I wildcard.

Indeed

B

or C with two 7.0 mids

I have currently all 3 from B so that.

There is a guy on FISO forums who is pulling together a £20 entry one. I've joined. I play loads on there..very reliable folk

Sorry forgot to post his email..ben_app21@outlook.com .give him a shout if you bothered

You would think they would get it done today now that all the final squads are announced, but probably not...

Błaszczykowski? No.

Dzagoev? One for the WC in GW 3.

Dzagoev is injured

I'd want an Italy defender, no England for me please.

Ive got 3 english! Ha.

Dier, OOP
Alli, Only we (the Prem followers know his worth)
Kane, Seems best 8.5m forward

Gomez tournament top scorer 20/1 each-way
DDG Golden Glove 8/1

I have done a brief study of most of the markets and the bookies seem to be working to pretty hefty overounds in their favour. For obvious reasons some are battening down the hatches as a consequence of Leicester ( their markets are much tighter for 2016/7).
I will only be monitoring over/under 2.5 goal markets for when prices are favourable.
Good luck with your bets.

Does anyone consider bets based on a potential cash out option? For e.g. bet on Lewandowski as tournament top scorer and if he scores 1+ in their first game, surely you can cash out some profit. This may work well on Gomez who may not start the entire tournament but could be the top scorer in group stages

Isco is dropped from the Spain squad though

This year they lowered the cost of GKs from the heavy hitters making it easier forus to get coverage this way. If this is the same next year I cant see me starting without Cech DDG or Courtois

Myhill served me well early doors at 4.5m.

So happy to see an FPL related post

I think your conclusions are mistaken. 🙂

First of all, the home/away balance on clean sheets from individual teams can vary quite a bit (actually a lot) from season to season. We are talking about a small sample size of 38 events. Basing home/away rotation strategies on what has happened with one team or group of teams over one season will lead you into wrong conclusions. There's no guarantee that those tendencies will be replicated next season.

Second, the home/away balance on clean sheets over 380 games (760 events) is much more reliable. There have been close to 3 home clean sheets to 2 away clean sheets overall every season for the last 12 seasons. Over the last 3 seasons the numbers have been creeping slightly down for home clean sheets and up for away ones, but only slightly. Rotation with a leaning towards home fixtures certainly is a thing. But more for defenders than GKs actually.

The main mistake you are making with GKs is not to take saves into account. DDG may get more clean sheets than Gomes but he certainly won't be making more saves. This season DDG had 82 credited saves and scored 18 save points. Gomes made 123 saves for 30 save points. This also affects the BPS - a Gomes clean sheet was worth an additional 1.5 or so BPs last season (which is typical for a GK that plays for a lesser team). A DDG clean sheet was worth 0.5 BPs on average. It's simply because DDG isn't usually having to work so hard for the clean sheet (in terms of saves).

Take the big price difference into account and suddenly your premium GK won't look like such good value any more. Gomes' additional 12 save points and 6 extra BPs (achieved from 4 fewer clean sheets) were more than enough to compensate for the fact that United were safer on clean sheets than Watford. Gomes thus outscored DDG by 15 FPL points. It is true that DDG missed 4 games at the start of the season and would have been close to Gomes' score if he had played all 38. But he cost 1.0m more.

A GK from a resilient lower-table team is the way to go. Or a 4.5/4.0 rotation if there is a starter somewhere at 4.0 as there was this season. Yes, you still have to pick the right one(s). But that applies to the premium GKs too. Look at Courtois. 😕

Eliseu not nailed. Koscielny is good, but France have a shaky defensive record. Not too sure about Calhanoglu. I would downgrade Kosci, Calha and Olsson (to Lindelof) and upgrade Eliseu/Berezutski/Glushakov.

Think Randolph is better pick than Kozacik...
Juanfran i think will not play...Dont like matuidi, mak and kane

Good team IMO. Lack of a heavy hitting midfielder is a bit of a worry, but your strikers should cover that. JUANFRAN WILL START

Lindelöf is the only one of those that looks decent value.

Fabregas and Giroud is good for me. Gomez and Morata aren't nailed. Think there are better German options than Gotze. Pogba is the ultimate boom or bust IMO.

Looks good, different but good.

Personally think that only one of Gotze / Gomez is enough.

http://www.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/comment/13399977

http://www.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/comment/13399616

http://www.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/comment/13399574

forgot Randolph/Kozicki as 2nd gk

Decent but wouldn't double on Portugal defence

That strikeforce is amazing.
However, to upgrade the bench, id do this:
Neuer--> Sommer (1.0 ITB)
Griezzman--> Giroud (2.5 ITB)
Then upgrade bench.

None of them will replace Diarra. Cabaye or Schneiderlin will, in my opinion.

Difficult one, that's why most have the keeper instead!

Eliseu

Thumbs up from me mate

Not a fan of Dier or Hector but only because I don't see many clean sheets coming. Juanfran and Denayer are must have's if they are defo nailed and Lichsteiner is a good pick. Maybe consider Austria defence?

The rest looks great, although I don't know much about Junuzovic

Like it!

I think you can afford to downgrade DDG is you are going with 2 keepers - especially as he's not 100% to start

Also, think there are better options than Dier, can see England being involved in a lot of 2-2's!

Wouldn't pick De Gea, Casillas could potentially play I think.

Similar here;

Hart Randolph
Denayer Taylor McAuley Rat Lindelof
Ozil De Bruyne Rakitic Hamsik Matuidi
Muller Long Kane

Not keeping Hart though he's just left over from my draft. Actually fancy a punt on Giaccherini at 5.0m but I will end up with lots playing late on...

I'd love Pogba but can't help but think he'll be one of those players that has a great tournament without doing much fantasy points wise.

Eliseu is apparently a good Portuguese option

B

B