Selection

FPL Player List Analysis – Budget Forwards

After checking out the goalkeepers, budget defenders, mid-price defenders, premium defenders, budget midfielders, mid-price midfielders and
premium midfielders, we now assess the budget forwards in Fantasy Premier League (FPL).

Priced at 6.0 or below, investment in this area is often made with one eye on freeing up cash to spend on premium targets elsewhere.

But as witnessed by the displays of Spurs’ Harry Kane in 2014/15 and Jamie Vardy of Leicester City in 2015/16, a breakout performer can cement their place as a season-long value pick for our starting XIs.

However, on initial impressions, the number of strong options for our opening squads is very thin on the ground.

West Brom’s new signing Jay Rodriguez is arguably at the head of the queue in our quest for value up front.

Priced at just 6.0, he’s mainly been utilised in the support roles behind a lone forward in Tony Pulis’ 4-2-3-1, yet has already scored twice in pre-season.

The Baggies boast one of the finest opening schedules around and offer six favourable fixtures (BOU bur STK bha WHU WAT) in the first seven Gameweeks.

When injury-free, Rodriguez has also proved himself as a viable option in the past, netting 15 times for Southampton back in 2013/14.

For the same price, though, you could also opt for team-mates Matt Phillips in your five-man midfield who, when fit, is made all the more attractive by his share of set-pieces.

Similar to Rodriguez, Swansea City’s loan signing from Chelsea, Tammy Abraham (5.5), also sits around the 3.6% ownership mark.

The youngster netted 23 times for Bristol City last time out and has maintained that form by scoring three goals in pre-season, including a strike in Saturday’s 4-0 victory over Sampdoria.

With Fernando Llorente almost certainly ruled out of the opening couple of Gameweeks due to an arm injury, it appears that Abraham will cement a starting role from the off.

However, it remains to be seen whether Paul Clement will opt for a lone forward system or a midfield diamond with two up front, which could also bring Jordan Ayew (5.0) into contention. Ayew and Abraham started in tandem in a 4-4-2 against Sampdoria.

The Ghana international started all five of the final matches of 2016/17 in this formation and supplied returns in three of those fixtures.

Yet the future of playmaker Gylfi Sigurdsson will have a significant impact on how we assess the Welsh side. He played a part in 50% of their goals last term and his departure would be a major blow to the Swans’ creativity. Sigurdsson was again omitted against Sampdoria with his move to Goodison Park perhaps imminent.

Brighton’s Glenn Murray (6.0) registered 23 goals and five assists in the Championship last season.

He’s already scored twice over the summer and, crucially, also boasts spot-kick duties for the Seagulls. At 33 years of age, though, there’s a feeling that Murray will have his minutes managed by manager Chris Hughton.

The promoted outfit face Leicester City, Watford, West Brom, Bournemouth and Newcastle United in the first six Gameweeks, boosting Murray’s chances of making an impact from the off.

Yet with playmaker Pascal Gross at 5.5 and last season’s Championship Player of the Year, Anthony Knockaert at 6.0, Murray faces a tough task to force his way into our thinking.

Huddersfield new boy Steve Mounie (6.0) has been quick to make an impact since arriving from Montpellier and could be the standout budget forward among the promoted sides.

The target man – who netted 14 times in Ligue 1 last term – has scored four times over the summer friendlies and we expect him to claim the lone striker role in David Wagner’s 4-2-3-1 set-up.

He also offers some fine opening fixtures, with the Terriers facing just one of last season’s top eight in the opening eight Gameweeks.

Again, though, you have similarly priced midfield team-mates with arguably a greater upside. Tom Ince is also priced at 6.0 and has scored four times in pre-season, while set-piece taker Aaron Mooy sets to back 5.5.

Over at the bet365, Mark Hughes’ tactics are likely to determine our perspective of Stoke City’s host of budget frontmen.

The Potters’ boss mainly utilised a 4-2-3-1 set-up last season but, with January signing Saido Berahino (6.0) failing to score in any of his 17 appearances in 2016/17, Hughes has flirted with a 3-4-2-1 over the summer.

Forgotten man Joselu (5.5) has been the most recent beneficiary, bagging a brace in each of the last two friendlies, yet the Spaniard failed to play a single minute last season and looks anything but a secure pick. He is also party to intense speculation surrounding his future, with Newcastle United coveting his services.

The identically priced Mame Biram Diouf has grabbed three goals and a pair of assists but looks set to vie with Glen Johnson for the right wing-back berth if Hughes continues with three at the back.

At a cost of 5.0, Peter Crouch was one of only three players to be named in every Stoke squad last season. Yet a total of 13 starts in 2016/17 suggests that Hughes mainly sees the veteran – who turns 37 in January – as a “Plan B” off the bench.

Certainly, there are alternatives in midfield that will set you back roughly the same. Joe Allen (5.5) bagged six goals and three assists in a central support slot last season and is one to watch if Hughes reverts to 4-2-3-1 and hands him a reprisal of that role.

However, it was a 3-4-2-1 against Red Bull Leipzig today with Allen deployed deeper. That meant that Xherdan Shaqiri (6.0) and Bojan (5.5) were deployed behind Berahino as the lone striker. The latter hobbled off with a foot problem, while Shaqiri provided two assists.

For all the budget and mid-price options available at Stoke, it should be noted that a dire opening schedule has them ranked bottom in our season ticker for attacking potential over the first eight Gameweeks.

Elsewhere, Burnley frontman Sam Vokes (6.0) finished the previous season in fine form – indeed, five of his ten goals in 2016/17 arrived in his final five appearances.

The Welshman’s average of 3.3 points per match (ppm) is second only to West Ham’s Andy Carroll (3.8) in this price bracket but, although he featured on 37 occasions last season – more than any Clarets’ forward – only 21 of those outings arrived in the first XI.

Furthermore, with fellow frontman Andre Gray (6.5) outscoring him by four goals to two over the summer so far, there’s uncertainty over his role once again. The same applies to fellow Clarets budget striker Ashley Barnes (5.5). The pair were both on the bench – with Gray in the XI – for the Clarets’ abandoned friendly with Hannover 96 today.

Midfield pair Jon Walters and Robbie Brady are both priced at 5.5 and have scored twice over the pre-season, though with Chelsea, West Brom, Spurs and Liverpool in the first six, investment in the Burnley attack looks best avoided.

Meanwhile, the likes of Liverpool’s Dom Solanke (5.0) and Newcastle United’s Aleksandar Mitrovic (5.0) have netted two and three goals respectively over the summer but look likely to be utilised from the bench at best.

Mitrovic started just 11 times in the Championship last season, and a lack of mobility looks at odds with Rafa Benitez’ counter-attacking approach. Ultimately, the Serbian could dig into the pitch time of Dwight Gayle (6.5) and diminish his team-mate’s Fantasy potential.

Stefano Okaka has started all but two of Watford’s five friendlies up front due to Troy Deeney’s injury absence.

At 5.5, the Italian could prove a short-term option for those looking to Wildcard in the first international break, with clashes against Bournemouth and Brighton in the first three Gameweeks.

Okaka bettered Deeney for both minutes per shot (35.3 to 70) and goal (238.5 to 294.1) last season, but there still has to be question marks over his ability to cement a regular role at the latter’s expense if new manager Marco Silva keeps faith in a 4-2-3-1 set-up.

However, the Italian found himself benched in today’s friendly with Real Sociedad, as Jerome Sinclair – a player yet to be added to FPL – lead Marco Silva’s Hornets attack. Okaka was introduced at half-time.

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2,322 Comments Post a Comment
  1. COTTERILL96
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 10 months ago

    Who is the best midfielder for 8.0 or under?

    1. Turbolag
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      Pogba

      1. The Wise Owl
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 10 months ago

        Stats?

        1. Turbolag
          • 7 Years
          6 years, 10 months ago

          35 shots in the 9 matches where he wasn't chained to the defense last season.

      2. COTTERILL96
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        6 years, 10 months ago

        I have 17.0 to spend on a liverpool midfielder and another midfielder but would prefer mane, should I just settle for salah so I can afford pogba then?

        1. Turbolag
          • 7 Years
          6 years, 10 months ago

          I would definitely say yes to that. I don't dislike Mane, but I don't think he's worth more than Coutinho or Salah.

    2. salazar1963
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      David Silva

    3. Siggy in the Middle
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      Pogba

    4. goriuanx
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      Zaha. Would've said Fabregas but maybe he only starts GW1.

    5. Jude Rooney
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      Pogba followed by Ramsey

    6. F4L
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      zaha

  2. potatoace
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 10 months ago

    That moment when you realise that your entire team is built around tripper..

  3. Lone Wolf FPL
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 10 months ago

    Repost. Rate both teams guys. Thanx!

    I.
    Foster, Elliot
    ALOSNO, Cedric, Daniels, AKE (Hunemeier)
    KDB, Willian, Zaha (Carroll, RLC)
    Lukaku, Kane, Firmino

    II.
    Foster, Elliot
    KOLASINAC, Cedric, Daniels, (Mee, Hunemeier)
    KDB, Willian, Zaha, PHILLIPS (Carroll)
    Lukaku, Kane, Firmino

    1. ooooo
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      First team: 8.5/10
      Second: 8/10

  4. VFORVANDETA
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 10 months ago

    Mane or Firmino?

    1. ooooo
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      Mane

    2. salazar1963
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      Mane in a canter

    3. Lone Wolf FPL
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      I would prefer Mane but as I cant find decent 3rd striker I will go Fimino as penos and 1mil to spend edges it.

    4. Big Sum
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      I'll go Firmino

    5. VFORVANDETA
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      2/2

  5. KingNidge
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 10 months ago

    If that's Evans and McAuley out now i'm going nowhere near that West Brom defence

    1. UnitedFan
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      I'm considering going from Foster + Myhill > Fabianski + Nordfeldt.

      1. KingNidge
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 10 months ago

        Decent shout

      2. fedolefan
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 10 months ago

        Be wary of Nordfeldt. Swansea signed Mulder. No clarity on who's #2.

        1. UnitedFan
          • 8 Years
          6 years, 10 months ago

          Ah, didn't know that. Thanks.

    2. fedolefan
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      I own Hegazi but he is on the bench even for GW1. I'd like some "coverage" if they somehow shut up shop but will only play if I'm forced to and I don't want to even waste a transfer drafting a WBA player in.

  6. Waxys
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 10 months ago

    Milner back on pens?

    1. Jazz!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      Confirmed

      1. NestorC
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 10 months ago

        by who?

    2. Weasel Boy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      Huh

  7. ooooo
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 10 months ago

    Danillo/Bertrand/Ake/__/
    £5.0m who should I get? I could also downgrade bertie to yoshida and get a £5.5

    1. VFORVANDETA
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      Davies

      1. ooooo
        • 6 Years
        6 years, 10 months ago

        Good shout. How long is Rose out for?

  8. Ode
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 10 months ago

    What do you think of my Kaneless team:

    Foster
    Bertrand Yoshida Ake Trippier
    Willian KDB Sanchez Ritchie
    Jesus Lukaku

    Myhill Carrol Mee 4.0

    This is my plan B if Sanchez does well tomorrow

    1. A.T
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      Nice

  9. A.T
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 10 months ago

    Kane yay or nay?

    Marks set go!

    1. F4L
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      yayyayyayyayyay

    2. goriuanx
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      Yay.

      Nailed, pens, goals, captain. You know what you're going to get.

      1. A.T
        • 13 Years
        6 years, 10 months ago

        That 3m goes a long long way though.

    3. NestorC
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      I will say nay, only because without him I can afford a really nice team, and I like Erik as a fpl aspect

    4. Freddo
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      Yay, don't think it's ever been a wise idea to go against the game with one of the season most captained players.

      It will likely be him and Lukaku all season for a large chunk of the game.

  10. Azathoth
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 10 months ago

    Why Trippier was subed that early?

    1. Waxys
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      season ending injury

      1. In FPHell
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 10 months ago

        How can you possibly know that?

        1. Waxys
          • 7 Years
          6 years, 10 months ago

          joke lol

    2. A.T
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      Injury

  11. F4L
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 10 months ago

    Presuming everyone has 4 premium mids+strikers, or there about, who are you're current favourite picks for the remaining 2-3 spots in your offense?

    1. Football Weekender
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      Premium - Kane, Lukaku, KDB

      Others - Firmino, Fabregas, Ramsey, Ritchie

  12. JJO
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 10 months ago

    So now both Trippier and Cedric probably out for gw1?

    1. JJO
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      I thought at least my defence is settled

    2. A.T
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      Cedric?

      1. JJO
        • 11 Years
        6 years, 10 months ago

        Not fit enough?

        1. A.T
          • 13 Years
          6 years, 10 months ago

          Oh right, I thought he was injured or something.

    3. Emiliano Sala
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      Why cedric?
      He will play

    4. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      Why Cedric? Did he get injured today?

      1. Freddo
        • 6 Years
        6 years, 10 months ago

        No he didn't, he started and played.

      2. JJO
        • 11 Years
        6 years, 10 months ago

        No,match fitness under question

    5. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      Mean Yoshida out?

      1. JJO
        • 11 Years
        6 years, 10 months ago

        Why Yoshida?

  13. crazyasianac
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 10 months ago

    Best players for the empty spots?

    Foster, (Elliott)
    Kolasinac, 5.5, Ake (Lascelle, Rangel)
    KDB, Mkhi, 7.0, JWP (Carroll)
    Firmino, Kane, Jesus

    Could do Kane Mkhi Lascelle to Lukaku, Alli, 4.0 but I feel like the explosive captain option as well as well as the fact that I think the theory of Kane starting slow is not going to be the case this season (The last two seasons he didn't have a proper pre season due to other tournaments), caused me to keep with Kane up top

  14. JimmyB
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 10 months ago

    Is this defence to expensive?

    Alonso, Trippier, Kolasinac, Taylor, Britos

    1. F4L
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      possibly, what does the rest of the team look like mate?

    2. VFORVANDETA
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      Yep.

  15. F4L
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 10 months ago

    Kane is on the plane to greatness

  16. Rainer
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 10 months ago

    MIssed the game.

    We expecting Trippier to start GW1?

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      Too early to tell.

    2. PvA
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      He had a moon boot and crutches

  17. goriuanx
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 10 months ago

    Anyone know Newcastle's first choice defence? Ta

    1. salazar1963
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      Lacasallas ?

    2. Mull
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      Clark is the guy you want.

      1. shearer9
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 10 months ago

        Have you heard of Lejeune?

    3. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGeniusâ…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      Yedlin/Gamez, Lascelles/Lejeune, Dummett/Lejeune, Dummett/Clark

    4. zes
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      dummett probably most nailed on then I'd say Clark, Lejeune, Manquilo to start with Lascelles injured

    5. Ohhh Shola Ameobi
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      For GW1, it looks to be:

      Manquillo Lejeune Clark Dummett

      I'd imagine Lascelles comes in for Clark if/when fully fit, likewise Yedlin for Manquillo.

  18. VFORVANDETA
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 10 months ago

    Is JAY nailed?

    1. SEXY SOLO SAUCE FOR THE LAS…
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      JWP? If so I'd say 75% nailed, will play a lot more often than not

      1. VFORVANDETA
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 10 months ago

        Jay Rod.

        1. SEXY SOLO SAUCE FOR THE LAS…
          • 7 Years
          6 years, 10 months ago

          Oops lol

    2. Ode
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      I'd say yes, Rondon has been terrible and even if he doesn't start as a striker he can play on the wings too

  19. Wild Rover
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 10 months ago

    Tammy Abrahams was the reason England were going to win the U21 tourno. He was poor. We didnt

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      Didn't know who he was until this comment 🙂

  20. SEXY SOLO SAUCE FOR THE LAS…
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 10 months ago

    How is she looking guys?

    Foster
    Kolasinac | Daniels | Alonso
    Mane | Milivojevic | JWP | Ritchie
    Jesus | Kane | Lukaku

    Elliot | Suttner | T. Carroll | Long

    1. Lone Wolf FPL
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      that mid..

      1. SEXY SOLO SAUCE FOR THE LAS…
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 10 months ago

        Suttner instead of Mili in a 4-3-3?

    2. Super Pav
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      Fairly weak midfield by name, but actually a good chance of some decent points in Ritchie, Mili and Mane.
      If you think the strong front 3 makes up for missing out on likes of KDB/Alli/Cout, then it's looking good.

      JWP's a good shout, not seen him in too many squads.

      1. SEXY SOLO SAUCE FOR THE LAS…
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 10 months ago

        Thanks, tbf I have jumped a bit of a JWP bandwagon today from here haha.
        Yes my midfield is weak, but in my head I am classing Alonso and Kol as kind of midfielders lol

  21. Pukki Party
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 10 months ago

    Gtg?

    Foster
    Alonso Kolasinac Bailly Yoshida
    KDB Mane Willian Zaha
    Kane Firmino

  22. Flynny
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 10 months ago

    Who is better 3rd striker to join Kane and lukaku

    A...firmino (means sacrificing salah or mane)

    B...jrod.....keeping salah or firmino

    Thanks

    1. Freddo
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      Jesus.

  23. Emiliano Sala
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 10 months ago

    Danilo or davies?

    1. salazar1963
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      Close. Nothing in it. Both will probably be on bench week 4 ?

      1. Emiliano Sala
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 10 months ago

        It needs a FT by then

  24. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 10 months ago

    Please rate:

    DDG/ Elliot
    Naughton/ Francis/ Suttner/ Lowe/ Mee
    KDB/ Willian/ Zaha/ Ramsey/ Carroll
    Kane/ Lukaku/ Firmono

    Thanks!

    1. salazar1963
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      Defence sucks big time !

  25. Sourav_07
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 10 months ago

    How serious is Trippier's injury?

  26. Bambi
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 10 months ago

    8 of my starting 11 come from 4 teams. Really hope city, Southampton, Liverpool and Bournemouth perform

  27. Scotty B
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 10 months ago

    If you could have any 3 defenders regardless of price who would you have?

    1. PvA
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      Alonso, Kompany and Kolas

      1. The Tinkerman
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 10 months ago

        +1

    2. AzzaroMax99
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      Alonso, Walker, Valencia 😀

    3. F4L
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      Alonso Kolasinac Valencia

    4. Sourav_07
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      walker/kola/alonso

  28. AzzaroMax99
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 10 months ago

    Firmino + Mane for GW1?
    It could be gold 😀

    1. Pukki Party
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      Both been in my team for a week

  29. marquinhos
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 10 months ago

    Thoughts on Abraham as a 3rd striker guys?

    1. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      Good choice but may have picked up injury today

  30. Giovanni Giorgio
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 10 months ago

    Salah + Austin ---> Firmino + Zaha/Willian?