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Wisdom of the Crowd – Gameweek 21

Each week we are reviewing the aggregated predictions on Superbru’s Premier League Predictor game, using the collective Wisdom of the Crowd predictions to guide our fantasy football thinking.

Please join the Fantasy Football Scout league here and add your own predictions to the data – the more there are, the more accurate the crowd should be (in theory).

GAMEWEEK 20 REVIEW

Man United’s draw with Burnley at Old Trafford was the biggest unexpected result of Round 20, and the title race seems to be done and dusted.

Here are the Gameweek 20 results in descending order of predictability:

Well done to Lars Valdresbråten from Norway for winning the Yellow Cap. He remains in third place in the FFS pool.

Mr Crowd Wisdom – using the aggregated predictions of the crowd – moved moved up 13 places to 56th out of 455 in the FFS pool, and remains well above average on page 1 of the leaderboard.

The aggregated predictions of the community are making better predictions than most individual players in the game, suggesting that there is credibility in the Wisdom of the Crowd concept.

GAMEWEEK 21 PREVIEW

Here is the Expected Goals chart for each fixture in Gameweek 21:

And here is the ranking of teams in order of Expected Goals Scored and Conceded:

It’s Manchester City at the top of this chart yet again, with Chelsea, Manchester United,  Liverpool and Arsenal also expected to score at least two goals each. This looks to be a strong Gameweek for those with the likes of Raheem Sterling, Alvaro Morata, Eden Hazard and Alexis Sanchez in their sides.

Chelsea and Man United are predicted to keep clean sheets, with Watford, Newcastle and Burnley the pick of the budget options.

Is there anything that catches your eye in these predictions?

Good luck!

6 Comments Post a Comment
  1. J0E
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Thanks for this. Think there will be a lot of unhappy Hazard sellers this week.

    1. Patch
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Keeping for one more Week...

    2. knight_king2
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Capt him, Jonty?

      Or stick with ever popular Salah?

  2. G-Whizz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Dear G,

    How you did
    In Round 20, you picked 6 / 10 outcomes correctly, which was better than the 65,845-strong community's average of 5.64 / 10. Nice going.

  3. focaccia
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Howdy lads, hoping for a bit of advice on my team over the next few weeks. Need to get Kane back in for the DGW so help with that appreciated.
    £0.6 in the bank and 1FT.

    Elliot
    Azpi, Jones, A-Arnold, Schindler
    Hazard, Salah, Coutinho, KDB
    Rooney, Morata

    (Adrian, DCL, Dunk, RLC)

  4. Steve
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Thanks. This article is one of my favourites. I look for it each week to confirm my thinking or help me choose at a time of indecision